e-cigarettes: back to the future · 2020. 3. 4. · 2 how e-cig works dinakarc, o’connor gt. n...

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1 E-cigarettes: Back to the Future Stanton Glantz, PhD Professor of Medicine UC San Francisco Myths Substantially safer than cigarettes Help smokers quit Don’t appeal to kids BRITISH AMERI CAN TOBACCO IMPERIAL BRANDS

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Page 1: E-cigarettes: Back to the Future · 2020. 3. 4. · 2 How e-cig works DinakarC, O’Connor GT. N EnglJ Med 2016;375:1372 Grana R et al. Circulation. 2014;129:1972-1986 Types of e-cigarettes

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E-cigarettes: Back to the Future

Stanton Glantz, PhDProfessor of MedicineUC San Francisco

Myths

Substantially safer than cigarettes Help smokers quit Don’t appeal to kids

BRITISH AMERI CANTOBACCO

IMPERIALBRANDS

Page 2: E-cigarettes: Back to the Future · 2020. 3. 4. · 2 How e-cig works DinakarC, O’Connor GT. N EnglJ Med 2016;375:1372 Grana R et al. Circulation. 2014;129:1972-1986 Types of e-cigarettes

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How e-cig works

Dinakar C, O’Connor GT. N Engl J Med 2016;375:1372

Grana R et al. Circulation. 2014;129:1972-1986

Types of e-cigarettes

Many shapes and sizes

Page 3: E-cigarettes: Back to the Future · 2020. 3. 4. · 2 How e-cig works DinakarC, O’Connor GT. N EnglJ Med 2016;375:1372 Grana R et al. Circulation. 2014;129:1972-1986 Types of e-cigarettes

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Vaped marijuana

JUUL

Juul Launch Parties

June 4, 2015 https://twitter.com/JUULvapor/status/606656253885038592

Page 4: E-cigarettes: Back to the Future · 2020. 3. 4. · 2 How e-cig works DinakarC, O’Connor GT. N EnglJ Med 2016;375:1372 Grana R et al. Circulation. 2014;129:1972-1986 Types of e-cigarettes

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More than clever marketing

More & faster nicotine absorption

It worked

Source: Nielsen Total US xAOC/Convenience Database & Wells Fargo Securities, LLC (c/o TFK)

Page 5: E-cigarettes: Back to the Future · 2020. 3. 4. · 2 How e-cig works DinakarC, O’Connor GT. N EnglJ Med 2016;375:1372 Grana R et al. Circulation. 2014;129:1972-1986 Types of e-cigarettes

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Ecigs and quitting: Two standards

E-cigs as medicine– FDA Center for Drug Evaluation and Research– Safe and effective– Randomized clinical trials

E-cigs as consumer product– FDA Center for Tobacco Products– “Appropriate for protection of public health”– Observational studies

Ecigs to quit: NEJM Paper

Clinical intervention 4 weeks intensive counselling 9 RCTs

– Show efficacy as clinical interventions

80% using ecigs at 1 year– vs. 9% for NRT

Clinical trials: quitting benefit

NOTE: Weights are from random effects analysis

Overall (I-squared = 25.5%, p = 0.217)

Holliday 2019

Walker 2020

Hajek 2019

Lee 2019Lucchiari 2020

Halpern 2018, EC vs free cessation aid

Study

Hatsukami 2019

Bullen 2013

Lee 2018

1.67 (1.22, 2.30)

3.35 (0.63, 17.74)

3.06 (0.98, 9.52)

2.01 (1.33, 3.06)

0.70 (0.33, 1.46)2.05 (0.78, 5.35)

2.00 (0.84, 4.77)

ES (95% CI)

2.38 (1.11, 5.06)

1.28 (0.63, 2.65)

0.83 (0.25, 2.80)

100.00

3.35

6.66

25.54

13.028.78

%

10.33

Weight

12.65

13.67

6.00

1.67 (1.22, 2.30)

3.35 (0.63, 17.74)

3.06 (0.98, 9.52)

2.01 (1.33, 3.06)

0.70 (0.33, 1.46)2.05 (0.78, 5.35)

2.00 (0.84, 4.77)

ES (95% CI)

2.38 (1.11, 5.06)

1.28 (0.63, 2.65)

0.83 (0.25, 2.80)

100.00

3.35

6.66

25.54

13.028.78

%

10.33

Weight

12.65

13.67

6.00

Less cessation More cessation1.1 .2 .4 .6 .8 1 2 4 6 8 10 20

Clinical Trials

Page 6: E-cigarettes: Back to the Future · 2020. 3. 4. · 2 How e-cig works DinakarC, O’Connor GT. N EnglJ Med 2016;375:1372 Grana R et al. Circulation. 2014;129:1972-1986 Types of e-cigarettes

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Population Studies: no benefit

What about kids?

USA (past 30 days)

NYTS

Page 7: E-cigarettes: Back to the Future · 2020. 3. 4. · 2 How e-cig works DinakarC, O’Connor GT. N EnglJ Med 2016;375:1372 Grana R et al. Circulation. 2014;129:1972-1986 Types of e-cigarettes

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Longitudinal Youth Studies

80 kids start for every smoker that quits

Probably worse than that Most optimistic quitting

estimate Youth numbers predate

Juul & explosion of youth use

As of today

No e-cig has been authorized by FDA All e-cigs are illegal FDA is starting limited enforcement for flavors

– Cartridge systems (like Juul) – Exempts menthol– Exempts refillables and disposibles

Page 8: E-cigarettes: Back to the Future · 2020. 3. 4. · 2 How e-cig works DinakarC, O’Connor GT. N EnglJ Med 2016;375:1372 Grana R et al. Circulation. 2014;129:1972-1986 Types of e-cigarettes

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San Francisco response I

2017: Flavored tobacco product ban– First comprehensive law

RJ Reynolds forces referendum– $12 million– 68% support law

Went into effect Jan 2019 92% compliance Many cities copying

San Francisco response II

2019: No ecigs sold without FDA approval

Juul initiative to override all e-cig rules– Allow sale of e-cigs in SF– Overturn flavor ban– Undermine T21 enforcement– $18 million campaign

82% support law Took effect Jan 2020

California

Page 9: E-cigarettes: Back to the Future · 2020. 3. 4. · 2 How e-cig works DinakarC, O’Connor GT. N EnglJ Med 2016;375:1372 Grana R et al. Circulation. 2014;129:1972-1986 Types of e-cigarettes

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95% safer? “lack of hard evidence

for the harms of most products on most of the criteria”

“There was no formal criterion for the recruitment of the experts”

No actual evidence cited

E-cigarettes deliver lower levels of some toxins

Toxins e-cigarette (15 puffs)

conventional cigarette

Nicotine inhaler

Formaldehyde (µg) 0.20 - 5.61 1.6 – 52.0 0.20Acetaldehyde (µg) 0.11 - 1.36 52.0 – 140.0 0.11Acrolein (µg) 0.07 - 4.19 2.4 – 62.0 NDo-methylbenzaldehyde (µg) 0.13 - 0.71 -- 0.07Toluene (µg) ND - 0.63 8.3 – 70.0 NDp,m-xylene (µg) ND - 0.2 -- NDNNN (ng) ND - 0.00043 0.0005 - 0.19 NDNNK (ng) ND - 0.00283 0.012 - 0.11 NDCadmium (µg) ND - 0.022 -- 0.003Nickel (µg) 0.01 - 0.03 -- 0.019Lead (µg) 0.003 - 0.057 -- 0.004ND = Not Detected; -- = not reportedData from Goniewicz et al. 2013 using lowest and highest values reported

Page 10: E-cigarettes: Back to the Future · 2020. 3. 4. · 2 How e-cig works DinakarC, O’Connor GT. N EnglJ Med 2016;375:1372 Grana R et al. Circulation. 2014;129:1972-1986 Types of e-cigarettes

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But, particles from e-cigs are like cigarettes

Nonlinear dose-response: particles and heart disease

Pope et al, Circulation, 2009

Vascular effects of cigarettes and e-cigs

Carneval et al, Chest 2016 doi:10.1016/j.chest.2016.04.012

Page 11: E-cigarettes: Back to the Future · 2020. 3. 4. · 2 How e-cig works DinakarC, O’Connor GT. N EnglJ Med 2016;375:1372 Grana R et al. Circulation. 2014;129:1972-1986 Types of e-cigarettes

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Juul like Marlboro Red

Rao, Liu, Springer https://www.biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/754069v1.full

Heart attack risk of cigarettes and e-cigs

Alzahrani , et al. Association Between Electronic Cigarette Use and Myocardial Infarction. Am J Prev Med. 2018 Oct;55(4):455-461. (updated to include 2014-2016 NHIS)

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E-cigarette Cigarette

Tommasi et al. Deregulation of Biologically Significant Genes and Associated Molecular Pathways in the Oral Epithelium of Electronic Cigarette Users. Int. J. Mol. Sci. 2019, 20(3), 738; https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms20030738

E-cigs and Cancer

Page 12: E-cigarettes: Back to the Future · 2020. 3. 4. · 2 How e-cig works DinakarC, O’Connor GT. N EnglJ Med 2016;375:1372 Grana R et al. Circulation. 2014;129:1972-1986 Types of e-cigarettes

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Ecigs cause cancer in mice

54 weeks Damage DNA 22.5% developed lung

adenocarcinoma 57.5% bladder urothelial hyperplasia

E-cigarette lung toxicity: Potential toxicants

VG

PG

E-liquid Base

Lung toxicants in e-cigs

Effects on pulmonary system

Gotts et al. BMJ 2019;366:bmj.l5275

Page 13: E-cigarettes: Back to the Future · 2020. 3. 4. · 2 How e-cig works DinakarC, O’Connor GT. N EnglJ Med 2016;375:1372 Grana R et al. Circulation. 2014;129:1972-1986 Types of e-cigarettes

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COPD increased risk

2013-4 PATH– including emphysema, chronic bronchitis

Ecigs every day or some day Propensity score matching

– Including smoking and SHS COPD odds ratio 1.86 (95% 1.22-2.83)

Perez et al. E-Cigarette Use Is Associated with Emphysema, Chronic Bronchitis and COPD. Am Thoracic Soc 2018 ttp://www.abstractsonline.com/pp8/#!/4499/presentation/19432

New York Times, 2019

An X-ray of a patient with a vaping habit, showing lung damage — densities or whitish cloud-like areas typically associated with some pneumonias, fluid in the lungs or inflammation.

By Sheila Kaplan and Matt Richtel

Published Aug. 31, 2019 Updated Sept. 11, 2019

THCCBD 36%

Both 51%

Nic 13%

Dual use dominates

CDC Dec 3, 2019 https://www.cdc.gov/tobacco/basic_information/e-cigarettes/severe-lung-disease.html

Page 14: E-cigarettes: Back to the Future · 2020. 3. 4. · 2 How e-cig works DinakarC, O’Connor GT. N EnglJ Med 2016;375:1372 Grana R et al. Circulation. 2014;129:1972-1986 Types of e-cigarettes

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Lipid-Laden Macrophages

And …

All 17 cases show a pattern of injury in the lung that looks like a toxic chemical exposure, a toxic chemical fume exposure, or a chemical burn injury

Butt, et al. Pathology of Vaping-Associated Lung Injury. N Engl J Med. 2019 Oct 2. doi: 10.1056/NEJMc1913069.

Page 15: E-cigarettes: Back to the Future · 2020. 3. 4. · 2 How e-cig works DinakarC, O’Connor GT. N EnglJ Med 2016;375:1372 Grana R et al. Circulation. 2014;129:1972-1986 Types of e-cigarettes

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E-cigs pollute the air

The bottom line

Combustion is not as important as we thought Rapid youth uptake

– Promoting progression to cigarettes Deterring quitting Pollute nonsmokers’ air Dual use more dangerous than just smoking EVALI Expanding the tobacco epidemic

What to tell smokers

Support quit attempts For most, hurt quitting Use FDA approved medication

– Counseling If already using e-cig

– Not sure what getting– Stop– Do not use cigs at same time

Page 16: E-cigarettes: Back to the Future · 2020. 3. 4. · 2 How e-cig works DinakarC, O’Connor GT. N EnglJ Med 2016;375:1372 Grana R et al. Circulation. 2014;129:1972-1986 Types of e-cigarettes

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Policy response

Ban all flavored tobacco products Aggressive public education Include e-cigs in smokefree policies Empower non-users

– Take back the bathrooms

FlavorsHookKids.org