Transcript
Page 1: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

Riding the Wave to a Comeback

Page 2: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

Riding the Wave to a Comeback

The 2nd District of New Hampshire

The Candidates The Campaign The Results

Page 3: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The 2nd District of New Hampshire

Race/Ethnicity 94.8% White 0.8% Black 2.0% Asian 2.6% Hispanic

Occupation 37.0% Blue Collar

63.0% White Collar

Median Income $61.5k in state $51.4k in U.S.

Partisanship D +3, PVI

’08 Presidential Vote

Obama, +13%

Page 4: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

Figure 7.1 Party Identification in New Hampshire’s 2nd District, 1999–2010

Page 5: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Republican: Charlie Bass

Occupation Politician

Political Experience

U.S. House of Representatives, 1995-2007

New Hampshire State Senate, 1988-1992

Page 6: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

Figure 7.2 Charlie Bass Favorability Ratings, 2001–10

Page 7: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

Table 7.1 Congressional Vote Scores for Charlie Bass, 1995–2006

Page 8: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Democrat: Ann McLane Kuster

Occupation

Attorney, Lobbyist

Political Experience

None

Page 9: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

Table 7.2 Campaign Finance Data for New Hampshire’s 2nd District, 2002–10

Page 10: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

Table 7.3 Receipts and Disbursements by Reporting Period, 2009–10

Page 11: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

Figure 7.3 Bass vs. Kuster Polling Results, 2010

Page 12: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

Figure 7.4 Voter Turnout of Core Partisans in the Electorate, 2000–10

Page 13: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Bass’ “New Approach”

NOTE: Internet access required.

Page 14: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Bass’ “Kuster’s Kitchen”

NOTE: Internet access required.

Page 15: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Bass’ “The Change We Need Now in Washington”

NOTE: Internet access required.

Page 16: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Bass’ “Had Enough”

NOTE: Internet access required.

Page 17: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: Revere America’s “Defeat Ann McLane Kuster”

NOTE: Internet access required.

Page 18: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: DCCC’s “Sorry Charlie, Once Is More than Enough ”

NOTE: Internet access required.

Page 19: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave

The Campaign: NRCC’s “Isn’t One Nancy Pelosi Enough?”

NOTE: Internet access required.

Page 20: Riding the Wave to a Comeback. Cases in Congressional Campaigns, Second Edition: Riding the Wave Riding the Wave to a Comeback  The 2 nd District of

The Results

Series10

25,000

50,000

75,000

100,000

125,000

150,000

108,610 105,060

Charlie Bass Ann McLane Kuster


Top Related