Transcript
Page 1: Q3 presentation final

23rd of October 2014Tele2 AB

Page 2: Q3 presentation final

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Note: All numbers exclude Norway and in parenthesis are Q3 2013.

Net sales(SEK billion)

EBITDA(SEK billion)

CAPEX(SEK billion)

EBITDA margin(percent)

(6.50) (1.47) (23) (0.66)

Q3 Financial Highlights

– Strong quarter with mobile end-user service revenue growth of 8%

– EBITDA year-on-year growth of 14%

– Growth in CAPEX driven by progress in the Netherlands roll out

– Growth is broad based across all markets

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Note: Mobile end-user service revenue excludes interconnect and equipment sales.

*Kazakhstan growth adjusted for currency fluctuations mainly due to devaluation.

Sweden(SEK million)

Tele2 Group(SEK million)

Baltics(SEK million)

Netherlands(SEK million)

Kazakhstan(SEK million)

8%

4

24%7%

(21%*)

3%6%

3,008 3,006 2,904 3,094 3,252

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

1,767 1,775 1,716 1,815 1,865

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

259 261 273308 321

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

462 431 415 444 474

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

240 251216 225

257

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

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Year-on-year growth for mobile end-user service revenue, Tele2 Group

Q3 12

Q4 12

Q1 13

Q2 13

Q3 13

Q4 13

Q1 14

Q2 14

Q3 14

CAGR 7.3%

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Strong quarter with mobile end-user service revenue growth of 6% fueled by continued

strong data usage

Consumer broadband turnaround continues. The MNO roll out remains on plan, the service

is currently being tested by friendly users

Positive net intake at 108,000 and EBITDA momentum continues

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Continued growth and a strengthened EBITDA margin at 18%

The Baltics show a trend of recovery with strengthened EBITDA margins

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-40%60%

-

Mobile Fixed broadband Fixed telephony Other EBITDA margin

Net sales(SEK million)

EBITDA(SEK million)

A strong quarter with many new and

extended business contracts

– Mobile: Strong net intake of 28,000 supporting the end-user service revenue growth of 6%.

– Consumer: 64% of postpaid handset customers are now on data bucket price plans and sales shifted towards bigger data buckets.

The continued increase in sales of data top-ups during the quarter also confirms the healthy increase in data consumption.

– Business: Continued strong mobile revenue growth, driven by increased customer stock as well as continued strong intake within

cloud PBX. Only 18 months after its launch, the PBX service is #2 in the market.

Q3 Highlights

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3,078 3,156 3,021 3,111 3,124

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

900 858 825 882

1,025

29% 27% 27% 28%33%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

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-40%60%

-

Mobile Fixed broadband Fixed telephony Other EBITDA margin

Net sales(SEK million)

EBITDA(SEK million)

CAPEX(SEK million)

Q3 Highlights

– Overall: Whilst preparing for MNO launch we are managing customer intake and acquisition cost.

– MNO: Continued ramp-up in CAPEX, up 25% versus last quarter. Network has been validated by Samsung and friendly users are

currently testing the service.

– Consumer: Mobile customer base was up 24,000, showing growth for the 12th consecutive quarter. The turnaround for consumer

broadband continues with positive net intake for the quarter.

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1,383 1,372 1,320 1,318 1,369

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

271 342

257 267 206

20%25%

19% 20%15%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

-40

10

60

110

160

210

260

310

360

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

120

401

259

372

445

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

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Q412

Q113

Q213

Q313

Q413

Q114

Q214

Q314

-40%60%

-

Mobile EBITDA margin

357 365

294 309 349

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

– Overall: Positive net intake at 108,000. In line with our stated strategy to focus on quality customers is paying off with ASPU up 27%

year-on-year.

– Data: Steady increase on data usage during the last three years.

– EBITDA: Momentum continues as a result of data growth and increased operational scale.

Net sales(SEK million)

EBITDA(SEK million)

Average usage per subscriber(MB, four month rolling average)

Q3 Highlights

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Interconnect cut and currency devaluation

-34

-7

1

3

22

-10%

-2%0%

1% 6%

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

-40

-30

-20

-10

0

10

20

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

x7

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-40%60%

-

Mobile EBITDA margin

Croatia Net sales(SEK million)

Croatia EBITDA(SEK million)

Croatia Q3 Highlights

Lithuania Net sales(SEK million)

Lithuania EBITDA(SEK million)

Lithuania Q3 Highlights

– Continued to deliver strong results

driven by further efficiency

improvements.

– LTE was launched.

– Continued growth achieving a net

intake of 33,000 customers.

– Strong financials due to increased

roaming revenues during summer and

increased prices in anticipation of

coming frequency fee increase.

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372 396

299 329

390

0

100

200

300

400

500

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

48

22 2533

72

13%6% 8% 10%

18%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

-

20

40

60

80

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

109 102 108127

143

33% 31%36% 38% 38%

0%

20%

40%

60%

-

50

100

150

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

334 327304 330

375

0

100

200

300

400

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

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-40%60%

-

Mobile Fixed telephony Other EBITDA margin

Latvia Net sales(SEK million)

Latvia EBITDA(SEK million)

Latvia Q3 Highlights

Estonia Net sales(SEK million)

Estonia EBITDA(SEK million)

Estonia Q3 Highlights

– Improved EBITDA margin through

reduced operational costs despite

price pressure in the market.

– First operator in the Estonian market

to launch data bucket price plans

including unlimited voice and SMS.

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– Launched roaming data buckets in EU

countries to enable customers to use

more data abroad.

– Introduced new tariff plans for data

usage in the market.

230 230 213 223 235

0

50

100

150

200

250

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

72 7262 67

83

31% 31% 29% 30%35%

0%

20%

40%

60%

-

20

40

60

80

100

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

182 172

154 161 165

0

50

100

150

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

43 37 39 38 41

24% 22% 25% 24% 25%

0%

20%

40%

60%

-

10

20

30

40

50

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

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Austria Net sales(SEK million)

Austria EBITDA(SEK million)

Austria Q3 Highlights

Germany Net sales(SEK million)

Germany EBITDA(SEK million)

Germany Q3 Highlights

– Growth in mobile with a net intake of

19,000 customers.

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– Focus on growing B2B customer base

and improving Tele2 brand

awareness.

– Successful up-sell of high speed

packages within the existing customer

base.

-40%60%

-

Mobile Fixed broadband Fixed telephony Other EBITDA margin

313 306 291 299 308

0

100

200

300

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

77 65

49 58 62

25% 21% 17% 19% 20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

0

20

40

60

80

100

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

213 226 229 226 232

0

50

100

150

200

250

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

18 32

34 31 35

8% 14% 15% 14% 15%

-60%

-10%

40%

-30

-10

10

30

50

Q3 13 Q4 13 Q1 14 Q2 14 Q3 14

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SEK million

Q3 2014 Q3 2013 ▲%

Net sales 6,584 6,500 1.3%

EBITDA 1,682 1,471 14.3%

EBITDA margin (%) 25.5% 22.6% 2.9%

Depreciation & associated companies -678 -724 -6.4%

Depreciation of net sales (%) -10.3% -11.1% 0.8%

One-off items - -450

EBIT 1,004 297 238.0%

Normalized EBIT 1,004 747 34.4%

Normalized EBIT margin (%) 15.2% 11.5% 3.8%

Financial items -46 -159

Taxes -232 -261

Net profit, continuing operations 726 -123 -690.2%

Discontinued operations -103 -48

Net profit 623 -171 -464.3%

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SEK million

YTD 2014 YTD 2013 FY 2013 ▲%

Net sales 19,079 19,172 25,757 -0.5%

EBITDA 4,514 4,401 5,891 2.6%

EBITDA margin (%) 23.7% 23.0% 22.9% 0.7%

Depreciation & associated companies -2,002 -2,144 -2,909 -6.6%

Depreciation of net sales (%) -10.4% -11.1% -11.2% 0.7%

One-off items 243 -445 -434

EBIT 2,755 1,812 2,548 52.0%

Normalized EBIT 2,512 2,257 2,982 11.3%

Normalized EBIT margin (%) 13.2% 11.8% 11.6% 1.4%

Financial items 50 -372 -551

Taxes -673 -749 -1,029

Net profit, continuing operations 2,132 691 968 208.5%

Discontinued operations -330 13,730 13,622

Net profit 1,802 14,421 14,590 -87.5%

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SEK million

Q3 2014 Q3 2013 YTD 2014 YTD 2013 FY 2013

OPERATING ACTIVITIES

Cash flow from operations, excl taxes and interest 1,660 1,501 4,514 5,730 7,117

Interest paid -62 -99 -222 -323 -374

Taxes paid -63 -31 -234 -370 -479

Change in working capital -92 -14 -802 -744 -451

Cash flow from operating activities 1,443 1,357 3,256 4,293 5,813

INVESTING ACTIVITIES

CAPEX paid -968 -862 -3,062 -4,228 -5,241

Cash flow after paid CAPEX 475 495 194 65 572

Shares and other financial assets -18 -51 709 17,245 17,235

Cash flow after investing activities 457 444 903 17,310 17,807

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SEK million

Q3 2014 Q3 2013 YTD 2014 YTD 2013 FY 2013

OPERATING ACTIVITIES

Cash flow from operations, excl taxes and interest 1,635 1,449 4,463 4,417 5,832

Interest paid -65 -96 -228 -246 -298

Taxes paid -63 -31 -234 -193 -302

Change in working capital -25 11 -657 -469 -249

Cash flow from operating activities 1,482 1,333 3,344 3,509 4,983

INVESTING ACTIVITIES

CAPEX paid -861 -606 -2,455 -3,352 -4,184

Cash flow after paid CAPEX 621 727 889 157 799

Shares and other financial assets -12 -3 727 -9 -11

Cash flow after investing activities 609 724 1,616 148 788

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Pro forma net debt / EBITDA 12 m rolling

SEK billion / Ratio

7.6 7.2 6.88.3 7.9

0.00

0.25

0.50

0.75

1.00

1.25

1.50

1.75

2.00

0.0

2.5

5.0

7.5

10.0

12.5

15.0

17.5

20.0

Sep 2013 Dec 2013 Mar 2014 Jun 2014 Sep 2014

Pro forma net debt Pro forma net debt to EBITDA

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20 Note: Guidance excludes Tele2 Norway

Net sales(SEK billion)

EBITDA(SEK billion)

CAPEX(SEK billion)

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Summary

Priorities

– Constant focus on MNO roll out in the Netherlands and Kazakhstan

– Cement the position of Tele2 Sweden as the leader in mobile data services

– Reassess our cost structure in anticipation of closing the Norwegian deal

– High quality quarter with strong results delivered across the board

– Sweden particularly strong, mobile end-user service revenue growth of 6%

– The 4G roll out in the Netherlands shows continued progress and investment on track

– Focus on quality customer intake in Kazakhstan has been paying off with positive net intake

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