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LOYOLA MARYMOUNT UNIVERSITY | 2015

PREPARING FOR THE FUTURE OF THE REGION

Forecast LA would like to thank the following companies and organizations for their support

californiacommunityfoundation

PARKINGCOMPANY OF AMERICA

For more information:Thomas and Dorothy Leavey Center for the Study of Los AngelelesLoyola Marymount University1 LMU Drive, Suite 4119, Los Angeles, CA 90045 [email protected]

Breakfast

WelcomeDavid W. Burcham, President, Loyola Marymount University

Opening RemarksDon Knabe, LA County Board of Supervisors, 4th District

International, National, & State Economic ForecastChris Thornberg, Beacon Economics

Regional & Local Economic ForecastJordan Levine, Beacon Economics

Public & Leaders Outlook SurveyFernando Guerra, Center for the Study of Los Angeles

Break

The Future of Higher Learning in CaliforniaFrancisco C. Rodriguez, LACCD ChancellorEloy O. Oakley, Long Beach City College Superintendent/PresidentChui L. Tsang, Santa Monica College Superintendent/President

Closing RemarksJohn Chiang, California State Treasurer

Tuesday, April 7, 2015 | Gersten PavilionForecast LA Program

PREPARING FOR THE FUTURE OF THE REGION

What does it mean to be an Angeleno?

ContentsABOUT US & AUTHORS ........................................ 4

SUMMARY ......................................................... 7

METHODOLOGY .................................................. 8

CHAPTER 1: DEMOGRAPHICS............................... 10

CHAPTER 2: OUTLOOK........................................ 16

CHAPTER 3: CIVIC & ECONOMIC REALITIES........... 24

CHAPTER 4: CULTURAL IDENTITY......................... 30

CHAPTER 5: LEVELS OF SATISFACTION................. 36

CENTER ACTIVITIES .......................................... 42

MISSION.......................................................... 45

SPONSORS ...................................................... 48

Cutting-edge. Free spirited. Dreamer.Tiene el mejor clima y es la mejor ciudad.

Adapts to change.Nunca me he sentido discriminada, eso me hace angelina.

Always evolving and reinventing.Metropolitan. Industrious. Capable. Innovative.

Este es mi nuevo hogar.There is a certain confidence about us. The sun’s always out.Me considero más angelino que latinoHardworking. Quick-witted. Flexible. Adaptable.

Ser bilingüe.Love of Los Angeles. Love of cultures. Diversity. Good food. Tolerance.

“

”—Respondents from Loyola Marymount University’s 2015 Public Outlook Survey

F O R E C A S T L A

32015 | FORECAST LA

C O N T E N T S

About UsThe Thomas and Dorothy Leavey Center for the Study of Los Angeles at Loyola Marymount University is one of the leading undergraduate research centers in the nation. It is a respected leader in public opinion surveys, exit polling, and leadership and community studies. Founded in 1996, the Center also conducts groundbreaking research on voter preferences and voting patterns, quality of life concerns, and contemporary urban issues. The Center provides rigorous, mentored research experiences for undergraduate students at LMU.

Loyola Marymount UniversityLocated between the Pacific Ocean and downtown Los Angeles, Loyola Marymount University is a comprehensive university offering 60 major programs, 39 master’s degree programs, one education doctorate, one doctorate in juridical science, one juris doctorate, and 10 credential programs from four colleges, two schools, and Loyola Law School. Founded in 1911, LMU is ranked third in “Best Regional Universities/West” by U.S. News & World Report. LMU is the largest Jesuit Catholic university for undergraduates on the West Coast with more than 6,000 undergraduate students and more than 3,000 graduate and law students. For more LMU news and events, please visit www.lmu.edu/news.

Berto Solis is a research associate at the Center for the Study of Los Angeles. Solis manages visual and editorial unity across the Center’s print, web, and audio visual materials. He also serves as the Center’s special events coordinator, promoting, planning, and executing Center activities including lectures, forums, and conferences. He mentors undergraduate students on research design and presentation skills during large scale academic projects run by the Center. Solis received his B.A. in Spanish from UC Santa Barbara.

Maia Krause is a research associate at the Center for the Study of Los Angeles. She assists with various phases of research including survey development, implementation, and dissemination. Prior to joining the Center she completed her Ph.D. in English at UC Irvine. At UCI, she worked at the UC Humanities Research Institute, where she provided administrative and research support to initiatives in the humanities and social sciences. Krause earned her B.A. in English from Stanford University.

Alejandra Alarcon is the research coordinator for the Center for the Study of Los Angeles. She serves as the Center’s office manager and scheduler and is the first point of contact for Center communications. She leads the Center’s undergraduate Student Research Assistants and mentors them through research projects as they continue to develop their methodological and technical skills. Her research interests include race-sex-gender studies, contemporary urban issues and community studies. Alarcon earned her B.A. in Chicana/o Studies from Loyola Marymount University.

Brianda Alvarez is a Graduate Student Assistant at the Center for the Study of Los Angeles. She provides administrative support for daily operations, assists Center staff with various research projects, and works closely with the Center’s undergraduate Student Research Assistants. Alvarez is currently a graduate student in the Counseling program at LMU and is pursuing a career in K-12 School Counseling. Her previous work experience includes working for the Ethnic Resource Centers at UC Santa Cruz and serving as a Program Manager for SACNAS, a national STEM organization dedicated to fostering the success of Hispanic/Chicano and Native American scientists in college and beyond.

Fernando J. Guerra, professor of political science and Chicana/o studies, is the founding director of the Center for the Study of Los Angeles at Loyola Marymount University. He earned his doctorate in Political Science from the University of Michigan and his B.A. from the University of Southern California. Guerra has served on standing commissions, blue ribbon committees, and ad hoc task forces for the City of Los Angeles, the State of California, and regional bodies in Southern California. He is a source for the media at the local, national, and international level and has published in the area of state and local government and urban and ethnic politics.

Brianne Gilbert is the associate director for the Center for the Study of Los Angeles and an adjunct faculty member in political science and urban studies at Loyola Marymount University. She has worked on dozens of studies involving voter polls, public opinion research, and leaders/elite surveys and has served as a consultant in the fields of sociology, anthropology, GIS (geographic information systems), education, public opinion research, international affairs, geology, and medicine. She also is the author of Statistics in the Social Sciences: Inferential Statistics as Rhetoric in Sociology. Gilbert received her B.A. from Wittenberg University and her M.A. from Florida International University.

A U T H O R B I O SA B O U T U S

4 FORECAST LA | 2015 52015 | FORECAST LA

6 FORECAST LA | 2015

sufficiently prepared for a major earthquake, and that measures taken in response to the drought have not been enough.

Some elements of dissatisfaction relate to issues that tangibly can be addressed by civic and corporate action: bad traffic, unavailability of quality housing, and a lack of job opportunities. These issues have actionable solutions. Public transportation, for example, ranks surprisingly high on satisfaction among civic issues. Angelenos have turned a corner in their views on the potential of public transportation, a notion that seemed impossible only a few years ago.

People are most likely to effect positive change when they are optimistic about the opportunities before them. As such, invested and empowered people are the greatest assets a community can have. Los Angeles can move forward best when its residents and leaders understand the various opportunities and challenges the region has to offer. Forecast LA aims to facilitate this process.

Moving from region to city to neighborhood, Angelenos become more optimistic. They expect their incomes and finances to improve or remain the same, and they expect unemployment to decrease. Levels of overall satisfaction have improved compared to last year. Angelenos overwhelmingly think their neighborhoods are headed in the right direction and feel safe. Given their vantage point and ability to effect change, leaders continue to register this optimism at a higher level than residents.

Challenges remain. The optimism of Angelenos does not mean they are unaware of problems, both regional and national. Even while Angelenos feel more secure, the economy and job creation remain a top concern. Angelenos recognize a growing disparity between rich and poor, and they are concerned about the affordability of homes in the region. There are still significant economic disparities amongst different ethnic groups, and while education can be an equalizer, educational attainment is not balanced among Angelenos. Still, residents are proud of the diversity of the region, and many cite acceptance of different types of people as a central element of Angeleno identity.

As the economy has stabilized, other concerns have emerged. Angelenos and their leaders agree that more attention needs to be focused on the potential impact of natural disasters. While the fear of another international economic meltdown is still predominant in the anxieties of the county’s leaders, both leaders and residents are concerned that the area may not be

SummaryOver the past year, Angelenos have become more optimistic. They have an increased sense of financial stability and job security, and continue to be highly satisfied with their quality of life. Across the board, Angelenos see the region, their cities, and their neighborhoods as going in the right direction. They recommend Los Angeles as a good place to live.

S U M M A RY

72015 | FORECAST LA


PLEASE NOTE:

All numbers represent percentages, unless otherwise indicated. Due to rounding, not all rows or columns total 100%.

92015 | FORECAST LA

Public Outlook Survey

SAMPLINGSince the primary purpose of this study was to gather representative input from adult residents within the Los Angeles region, a random digit dial (RDD) sample was employed. The RDD sample was drawn by determining the active phone exchanges (the first three numbers of a seven-digit phone number) and blocks with a given sampling area (in this case, by the zip codes that comprise the county). A random list of all active residential and cell phone numbers in the area was produced. This method included both listed and unlisted phone numbers.

The margin of error is ±3.0% for the entire sample of 2,400 residents.

SCREENERSThe protocol for this study involves asking potential respondents a series of questions, referred to as screeners, which were used to ensure that the person lived within the county and were at least 18 years old. The sample size was 1,200 residents from the city of Los Angeles and 1,200 residents from Los Angeles County who live outside the city of LA. The first quota was a random digit dialing of approximately 600 subjects. Upon completion of each wave, the remaining necessary quotas were determined, and the following approximate racial/ethnicity quotas were employed in each sample: the second quota obtained 90 Caucasian, non-Hispanic responses; in the third quota, 240 African American responses; and for the fourth quota, 195 Korean and Chinese responses; and the fifth and final quota, 75 Filipino responses. Given the demographic proportion of Latinos in the region, Latinos were expected to naturally fall out from the initial wave of 600 subjects. If this natural fall out did not occur, an additional wave was added.

DATA COLLECTIONTelephone interviews were conducted the first four full weeks in January 2015 between the hours of 4:30pm and 9pm during the week, 10am to 4pm on Saturday, and 10am to 5pm on Sunday. The survey was translated into Spanish, Mandarin, and Korean. Translators who spoke Spanish, Mandarin, and Korean were available to conduct interviews for residents who only spoke, or were more comfortable speaking any of those languages.

Leaders Outlook Survey

SAMPLINGThe universe for the Leaders Outlook Survey was the 88 sitting city managers of Los Angeles County. In order to not exclude any cities we included interim and acting city managers. The survey was completed by 57 of the 88 city managers, including the city managers of the top ten most populous cities in the county.

DATA COLLECTIONIn an initial letter sent to each of the 88 city managers, the Center for the Study of Los Angeles explained the purpose of the survey and requested their participation in a face-to-face interview with a researcher from the Center. Researchers followed up with email and phone requests. Interviews were conducted over a four and a half month period from October 2014 to February 2015. City managers were interviewed in meeting rooms or offices at their respective City Halls. Interviews took about 45 minutes to complete.

The subject consent form took approximately five minutes to read and sign, including time for any questions from the city manager for the researcher about the survey or the consent process. At any point the city manager was allowed to opt out of the survey. In addition, city managers were informed that there were minimal risks associated with this study, that no penalties existed if he or she chose not to participate, and that no individual responses would be reported without his or her explicit consent after the interview process.

MethodologyAs part of Forecast LA’s unique approach to forecasting in the Los Angeles region, the Center for the Study of Los Angeles conducted two outlook surveys. The Leaders Outlook Survey involved face-to-face interviews with Los Angeles County City Managers who discussed their priorities for their cities, how their municipalities will fare economically in the short and long term, and other public policy issues. The Public Outlook Survey involved 20-minute telephone sessions with 2,400 adults living in Los Angeles County. Survey respondents were asked about quality-of-life concerns, personal economic well-being, homeownership patterns, overall life satisfaction, and various civic issues.

M E T H O D O L O GY

CHAPTER 1

DEMOGRAPHICS

D E M O G R A P H I C S : R E S I D E N T S D E M O G R A P H I C S : R E S I D E N T S

Demographics: Residents / 18 and Older

UNION MEMBERSHIP

No one in my household 79% belongs to a union I or someone in my household 21% belongs to a union

POLITICAL IDEOLOGY

Liberal 42%Moderate 27%Conservative 31%

HOUSEHOLD INCOME

Under $40K 46%$40K–69,999 23%$70K–99,999 14%$100K–149,999 9%$150K or more 9%

MARITAL STATUS

Single 32%Married/Domestic partnership 53%Divorced/Separated/Widowed 15%

BIRTH COUNTRY

U.S.-born 57%Foreign-born 43%

YEARS LIVED IN LOS ANGELES

5 years or less 6%6-15 years 18% 16-25 years 27%26 or more years 49%

GENDER

Male 49%Female 51%

RACE/ETHNICITY

Latino 44%White 30% African American 8%Asian American 15%Other ethnicity 2%

AGE

18-29 24% 30-44 28%45-64 32%65 & over 15%

EDUCATION

Less than high school 17% High/tech school graduate 45% College graduate 28% Graduate degree 10%

EMPLOYMENT

Employed full-time 43%Employed part-time 13%Student 9%Homemaker 8%Retired 18%Unemployed 9%

Residents surveyed (2,400)


Demographics: Leaders

NATIVITY

U.S.-born 94% Foreign-born 6%

MARITAL STATUS

Single 4%Married 90%Separated/Divorced 4%Domestic Partnership 2%

YEARS LIVED IN LOS ANGELES

0–5 years 13%6-15 years 6% 16-25 years 10%26 years or more 71%

GENDER

Male 95%Female 5%

RACE/ETHNICITY

Latino 24%White 70% African American 2%Asian American 2%Other ethnicity 2%Multiple responses allowed.

AGE

18-29 0% 30-44 12%45-64 74%65 & over 14%

EDUCATION

College degree 15% Graduate degree 85%

POLITICAL PARTY

Democrat 45%Republican 30%Declined to state 23%Other 2%

POLITICAL IDEOLOGY

Liberal 34%Moderate 47%Conservative 19%

The 57 City Managers interviewed as part of the Leaders Outlook Survey represent 86% of the LA County residents who live in cities.

City with City Manager interviewed (57)

City with City Manager not interviewed (31)

PAT WEST, Long Beach

MIGUEL SANTANA, Los Angeles

J. ARNOLDO BELTRAN, Lynwood

JIM THORSEN, Malibu

FRANCESCA TUCKER-SCHUYLER, Montebello

PAUL TALBOT, Monterey Park

MIKE EGAN, Norwalk

DAVE CHILDS, Palmdale

MICHAEL BECK, Pasadena

RENÉ BOBADILLA, Pico Rivera

LINDA LOWRY, Pomona

RAYMOND CRUZ, Rolling Hills

BLAINE MICHAELIS, San Dimas

BRIAN SAEKI, San Fernando

STEVEN PRESTON, San Gabriel

JOHN SCHAEFER, San Marino

KEN STRIPLIN, Santa Clarita

RON GOULD, Santa Monica

KENNETH FARFSING, Signal Hill

ANTHONY YBARRA, South El Monte

MICHAEL FLAD, South Gate

SERGIO GONZALEZ, South Pasadena

BRYAN COOK, Temple City

LEROY JACKSON, Torrance

THOMAS MAUK, West Covina

RAYMOND TAYLOR, Westlake Village

JEFFREY COLLIER, Whittier

GREG RAMIREZ, Agoura Hills

DOMINIC LAZZARETTO, Arcadia

WILLIAM RAWLINGS, Artesia

BEN HARVEY, Avalon

DON PENMAN, Azusa

DOUG WILLMORE, Bell

JEFF KOLIN, Beverly Hills

MARK SCOTT, Burbank

TONY COROALLES, Calabasas

NELSON HERNANDEZ, Carson

TONY RAMOS, Claremont

JORGE RIFA, Commerce

DARYL PARRISH, Covina

JOHN NACHBAR, Culver City

GILBERT LIVAS, Downey

DARRELL GEORGE, Duarte

RAUL GODINEZ II, El Monte

GREG CARPENTER, El Segundo

SCOTT OCHOA, Glendale

CHRIS JEFFERS, Glendora

MICHAEL GOODSON, Hawthorne

TOM BAKALY, Hermosa Beach

ARTIE FIELDS, Inglewood

JOHN DAVIDSON, Irwindale

SHAUNA CLARK, La Habra Heights

JEFF BOYNTON, La Mirada

BOB RUSSI, La Verne

MARK BOZIGIAN, Lancaster

STEVE MANDOKI, Lawndale

MICHAEL ROCK, Lomita

D E M O G R A P H I C S : L E A D E R S D E M O G R A P H I C S : L E A D E R S


CHAPTER 2

OUTLOOK

How do you think things are going in the Los Angeles region/ your city/your neighborhood—

In the right direction or the wrong direction?

S U R V E Y R E S U LT S S U R V E Y R E S U LT S

Angelenos are more optimistic about the direction of the LA region, their city, and their neighborhood.

In addition, Angelenos continue to be increasingly optimistic as the immediacy of the connection approaches them. In other words:

Asian Americans and Latinos continue to be the most optimistic Angelenos. Nevertheless, ALL Angelenos are more optimistic in 2015 than in 2014 in regards to the direction of the region, their cities, and their neighborhoods. The largest gains in optimism between 2014 and 2015 were among Latinos and African Americans.

Los Angeles region:RIGHT DIRECTION WRONG DIRECTION

69% 31%

Your city: 75% 25%

Your neighborhood: 80% 20%

Los Angeles region: 94% 6%LEADERS

RESIDENTSBY RACE/ETHNICITY

RESIDENTS

Optimistic More optimistic

LA region City Neighborhood

2014

2015

56% 44%

62% 38%

2014

2015

54% 45%

61% 38%

2014

2015

69% 31%

79% 21%

2014

2015

61% 39%

73% 27%

RIGHT DIRECTION WRONG DIRECTIONLA REGION

RIGHT DIRECTIONCITY2014

2015

63%

70%

2014

2015

82%

82%

2014

2015

70%

71%

2014

2015

69%

77%

WRONG DIRECTION

RIGHT DIRECTION

2014

2015

68%

73%

2014

2015

84%

86%

2014

2015

80%

80%

AFRICAN AMERICAN

ASIAN AMERICAN

WHITE

LATINO

AFRICAN AMERICAN

ASIAN AMERICAN

WHITE

LATINO

AFRICAN AMERICAN

ASIAN AMERICAN

WHITE

LATINO2014

2015

69%

78%

WRONG DIRECTIONNEIGHBORHOOD

37%

30%

18%

17%

30%

29%

31%

23%

32%

27%

16%

14%

20%

20%

31%

22%



Do you believe the following will increase, stay about the same, or decrease by the end of the year?

More than two thirds of Angelenos expect unemployment to decrease or stay the same by the end of 2015. Unemployment expectations resemble last year: cautious optimism.

Latinos again most closely mirror the overall opinion of unemployment.

OVERALL6%

7%

WORSENIMPROVE

By the end of the year, do you expect the financial situation in your household to improve, stay the same, or worsen?

IMPROVE

50%

STAY THE SAME

45%

WORSEN

6%

Angelenos generally feel secure in their financial situation. About half of all LA residents (over 49%) felt their finances would improve by the end of the year both in 2014 and in 2015. Moreover, in both years over 40% of Angelenos felt their finances were stable and would remain the same by the end of the year.

Among ethnic groups, Asian American and white Angelenos were most concerned about their financial situations, but neither group had a proportion larger than 10% expecting household finances to worsen by the end of 2015. Asian Americans, the group with the highest percentage who feared their finances would worsen in 2014, demonstrate a greater sense of financial security in 2015.

STAY ABOUT THE SAME DECREASEINCREASE

TOTALS2014

2015

31%

30%

35%

34%

35%

36%

UNEMPLOYMENT OVERALL


AFRICAN AMERICAN

ASIAN AMERICAN

WHITE

LATINO

2014 36% 29% 35%

2015 33% 28% 39%

2014 27% 42% 31%

2015 32% 35% 33%

2014 32% 32% 35%

2015 27% 36% 37%

2014 29% 35% 35%

2015 31% 34% 35%

UNEMPLOYMENT BY RACE/ETHNICITY

WORSENING FINANCES OVERALL 2014 & 2015

WORSENING FINANCES BY RACE/ETHNICITY 2014 & 2015

2015

2014

AFRICAN AMERICAN

ASIAN AMERICAN

WHITE

LATINO

4%

6%

12%

8%

6%

4%

6%

7%

2015

2015

2015

2015

2014

2014

2014

2014

With most of Obamacare’s major provisions having been phased in as of January 2014, Angelenos have a solid year of experience with the new health care system. Almost two thirds of Angelenos continue to expect their healthcare costs to increase by the end of 2015, a zero net change from 2014. Fewer Angelenos expect their healthcare costs to decrease by the end of 2015 relative to last year. Angelenos are getting used to a new financial reality: a quarter of them expect their health care costs to remain the same.

HEALTHCARE OVERALL

STAY ABOUT THE SAMEINCREASE DECREASE

2014 65%

65% 25%

20%

10%

15%

2015

STAY THE SAME


In general, do you believe the national economy will do much better, somewhat better, somewhat worse, or much worse in 2015 than 2014?

Do you think the growing economic disparity between the rich and the poor will increase, stay the same, or decrease in the future?

2014 50%

63% 33%

48%

4%

2%

2015

Do you believe the Los Angeles’ regional economy will do much better, somewhat better, somewhat worse, or much worse in 2015 than 2014?

MUCH BETTER SOMEWHAT BETTERSOMEWHAT WORSE

MUCH WORSE

17% 64% 15%

MUCH BETTER SOMEWHAT BETTERSOMEWHAT WORSE

MUCH WORSE

20% 61% 15% 5%

4%

Angelenos have very similar expectations for both the regional and national economies.

Most residents expect the economic disparity between the rich and the poor to grow. In 2015, fewer Angelenos expect the disparity to stay the same; more residents are either decidedly optimistic that it will decrease or pessimistic that it will increase.

Leaders, to a much greater degree, feel that this difference will continue to increase.

Do you think the growing economic disparity between the rich and the poor will increase, stay the same, or decrease in the future?

STAY THE SAME DECREASEINCREASE

INCREASE STAY THE SAME DECREASE

2014 54%

56%

33%

25%

13%

18%2015

NATIONAL ECONOMYOVERALL

REGIONAL ECONOMYOVERALL

RESIDENTS

LEADERS

In 2015, Latinos, the foreign-born, and the least educated expect economic disparity between the rich and the poor to decrease. Conversely, whites, the U.S.-born, and those with higher educational attainment expect economic disparity to increase.

NATIVITY

62%

49%

29%

20%

9%

31%

U.S.-BORN

FOREIGN-BORN

RACE/ETHNICITYAFRICAN

AMERICAN

ASIAN AMERICAN

WHITE

LATINO

58%

68%

63%

45%

29%

24%

28%

25%

13%

8%

9%

30%

EDUCATION LEVEL

INCREASE DECREASE

INCREASE DECREASE

INCREASE DECREASE

39%

67%

52%

21%

19%

21%

31%

73%

41%

12%

17%

6%

LESS THAN HIGH SCHOOL GRADUATE

HIGH SCHOOL/TECH SCHOOL GRADUATE

COLLEGE GRADUATE

GRADUATE DEGREE

STAY THE SAME

STAY THE SAME

STAY THE SAME



CHAPTER 3

CIVIC & ECONOMIC REALITIES

Have you seriously considered buying a home in the past, but chose not to do so?

Do you plan to purchase a home in the next year? Do you think the majority of residents in your city can afford to buy a home?

Angelenos overwhelmingly believe that most residents cannot afford a home in their city. Respondents are slightly more optimistic in 2015 than in 2014, but not by much.

NOYES

17%

20%

83%

80%

2014

2015

NOYES

32% 68%2015

38% 62%2014LEADERS

RESIDENTS

Leaders display a greater degree of optimism, both in 2014 and 2015. Mayors provided leaders’ opinions in 2014 and City Managers provided them in 2015.

This level of inflation may be explained by the leaders’ higher income levels and levels of education relative to the residents. In addition, their positions in the power structure of the city may bias them against making a negative assessment of their residents’ finances.

Residents living in the City of LA are more pessimistic about home affordability relative to LA County residents outside of the City of LA.

RESIDENTS BY LOCATIONIN LA COUNTY IN 2015

15% 85%

24% 76%

NOYES

YES NO

18% 82%

Most Angelenos are not planning to purchase a home in the next year. Cost and the inability to obtain financing were important factors in this decision.

Do you believe housing prices will increase, stay about the same, or decrease by the end of the year?


2014 69%

70% 22%

22%

8%

9%

2015

FOR RESIDENTS 2014 AND 2015

In 2014 and 2015, most Angelenos did not expect housing prices to decrease.

An important component of the American Dream is owning a home. Compared to U.S.-born Angelenos, foreign-born Angelenos were most likely to have considered purchasing a home in the past but then chosen not to.

NOYES

37% 63%

OVERALL

BY NATIVITY NOYES

32% 68%

43% 57%

U.S.-BORN

FOREIGN-BORN

CITY OF LA RESIDENTS ONLY

LA COUNTY RESIDENTS EXCLUDING CITY OF LA


S U R V E Y R E S U LT SS U R V E Y R E S U LT S

272015 | FORECAST LA

Education seems to serve as a great equalizer. Homeownership and stability at work directly correlate with higher educational attainment.

Unfortunately, inequities remain among different ethnic groups and their levels of educational attainment, especially between Latino and white Angelenos.

When given a battery of local issues other than education, Angelenos ranked them in the following order:

Excluding education, which one local issue is most important to you?

LESS THAN HIGH SCHOOL HIGH SCHOOL COLLEGE GRADUATE

AFRICAN AMERICAN

ASIAN AMERICAN

WHITE

LATINO

THE ECONOMY AND JOB CREATION 23%CRIME/PUBLIC SAFETY 14% AFFORDABLE HOUSING 13%

FIGHTING HOMELESSNESS 8%TAXES AND SPENDING 6% BUILDING AND IMPROVING INFRASTRUCTURE 5%GOVERNMENT EFFICIENCY 6%

32%

FIGHTING POVERTY 10%

32%

INCREASING MINIMUM WAGE 7%

E A R T H Q U A K E / D I S A S T E R P R E PA R E D N E S S 4%C O N D I T I O N O F S T R E E T S A N D S I D E WA L K S 4%

Angelenos show concern regarding natural disasters. They are ambivalent about their individual earthquake preparedness and strongly feel the region is not prepared for future drought conditions.

Do you consider you and your family earthquake prepared?

Do you feel Los Angeles is prepared enough for future drought conditions?

15% 27%

YES SOMEWHAT NO

59%

Education: The Great Equalizer?

LESS THAN HIGH SCHOOL

HIGH SCHOOL

COLLEGE

GRADUATE

LESS THAN HIGH SCHOOL

HIGH SCHOOL

COLLEGE

GRADUATE

LESS THAN HIGH SCHOOL HIGH SCHOOL COLLEGE GRADUATE

RENT HOME OWN HOME

70% 30%

54% 46%

34% 66%

31% 69%

YES NO

9%

31% 69%

22% 78%

16% 84%

91%

RENT OR OWN HOME BY EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT

EXPECTATION OF WORK HOURS CUT BY EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT

EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT OVERALL

EDUCATIONAL ATTAINMENT BY RACE/ETHNICITY

8% 54% 29% 9%

10% 39% 42% 9%

2% 35% 41% 22%

31% 53% 14% 2%

YES SOMEWHAT NO

35%

17% 45% 28% 10%


S U R V E Y R E S U LT SS U R V E Y R E S U LT S

CHAPTER 4

CULTURAL IDENTITY

Do you consider yourself to be an Angeleno?

57%43%

U.S.-born

foreign- born

Looking through the lens of ethnicity and nativity, foreign-born ethnic residents are the most likely to identify as Angeleno.

71% 85%

U.S.-BORN FOREIGN-BORNyesno38%

62%yes77%

no23%

PUBLIC: LEADERS: OVERALL

BY RACE/ETHNICITY

BY NATIVITY

BY RACE/ETHNICITY AND NATIVITY

Do you consider yourself to be an Angeleno?

Most residents and leaders identify as Angeleno, though Latinos, Asians, and the foreign-born are the most likely to identify as such.

yes =

65%

WHITE

70%

AFRICAN AMERICAN

84%

ASIAN AMERICAN

84%

LATINO

AFRICAN AMERICAN

ASIAN AMERICAN

LATINO

WHITE

70%

66%

80%

77%

U.S.-BORN

U.S.-BORN

U.S.-BORN

U.S.-BORN

73%

66%

85%

89%

FOREIGN-BORN

FOREIGN-BORN

FOREIGN-BORN

FOREIGN-BORN

yes =

yes =

S U R V E Y R E S U LT S



STAY THE SAME OR INCREASE DECREASE

82% 18%

SUPPORT IMMIGRATIONOPPOSE

IMMIGRATION

82% 18%

Which side of the ideological spectrum do you most closely identify with?

Regarding various national wedge issues, Los Angeles is liberal.

Feminism

Immigration

Economic disparity

Minimum wage increase

Gun control

License for undocumented

Obamacare

Climate change

Gay marriage

Right to an abortion

SUPPORT FEMINISM

CAUSED BY HUMANS

SUPPORT GAY MARRIAGE

MORE GUN CONTROL

SUPPORT OBAMACARE

OPPOSE FEMINISM

CAUSED NATURALLY

OPPOSE GAY MARRIAGE

LESS GUN CONTROL

OPPOSE OBAMACARE

82% 18%

76% 24%

68% 32%

71% 29%

65% 35%

PRO-CHOICE PRO-LIFE

59% 41%

YES NO

81% 19%

SUPPORT LICENSES OPPOSE LICENSES

73% 27%

Excluding your residence in the Los Angeles region, what other qualities define what it means to be an Angeleno?This is a curated selection of open-ended responses for this question from LA residents.

FREEDOM OF EXPRESSION, BEING CULTURAL * LIVING IN LA * SPEAKS MEXICAN * LIVING IN LA ALL YOUR LIFE * MELTING POT, ETHNICITIES * LIBERAL MINDED, FORWARD THINKING, ACHIEVEMENT ORIENTED * I WAS BORN AND RAISED IN INGLEWOOD, CA * JUST MEANS BEING BORN AND RAISED IN LA * I THINK IT’S REPRESENTATIVE OF WHAT AMERICA IS: THE CULTURE, THE BELIEFS, IT’S A MICROCOSM OF THE UNITED STATES * I LOVE CULTURE MURALS * FREE SPIRITED, OUTDOORSY * HISPANIC AMERICAN OR MEXICAN * BORN IN LOS ANGELES * I THINK THE FACT THAT WE HAVE GOOD WEATHER AND THE BEACHES THE ENTERTAINMENT WORLD * THE INDIVIDUALISM, THE PRIDE, GREAT FOOD * MORE PRIVILEGES THAN ANYONE ELSE * WE ARE ALL EQUAL NO MATTER WHAT * I LIKE LIVING IN LA, BEEN HERE 20 YEARS * I HAVE NO IDEA WHAT IT MEANS * BE SUPERFICIAL, LAID BACK, A LITTLE SELFISH, A LITTLE DUMB * TO BE TOLERANT OF DIVERSE GROUPS * INDIFFERENT, NOISY * UNITY IN LOS ANGELES * HARD TO ANSWER * DIVERSITY * SOMEBODY WHO ENJOYS GOOD WEATHER, THE SUN, PARKS, SPENDING TIME OUTDOORS * LIVING IN LA IS VERY HECTIC, AIR QUALITY IS NOT GOOD AND TOO MUCH TRAFFIC * BEING PRACTICALLY RAISED HERE, I HAVE FAMILY HERE, GRANDKIDS, THREE GENERATIONS OF FAMILY HERE * BEING ACCEPTING OF OTHERS * THE WEATHER, MORE ATTRACTIONS TO OFFER THAN MOST CITIES * CONVENIENT TO LIVE AND NICE CLIMATE * LONG TERM RESIDENCY * LIVING IN LOS ANGELES * COMMUNITY * BEING LATINO * I’M A 4TH GENERATION ANGELENO AND I BLEED DODGER BLUE * SENSE OF COMMUNITY, LIBERAL POLICIES, SENSE OF THE HISTORY, LIFESTYLE * LIVED IN LOS ANGELES FOR 45 YEARS * ANGELENOS ARE FROM DIFFERENT COUNTRIES FROM AROUND THE WORLD * NICE WEATHER, GOVERNMENT BENEFITS, SOCIAL SECURITY BENEFITS * DRIVES FAST * LIVING HERE FOR A PERIOD OF TIME * LIVING HERE A LONG TIME * TO HAVE GOOD WEATHER AND HAVE AN OPPORTUNITY TO GO OUT AND DO SOME HUSTLING, ITS WARM ENOUGH TO DO WHAT YOU CAN DO * CASUAL, FREESTYLE * THE WEATHER AND THE EASE OF TRANSPORTATION AND NICENESS OF PEOPLE * I REALLY DON’T HAVE AN ANSWER * YOU CAN DO WHATEVER YOU WANT TO DO HERE * ADAPTABLE * BEST WEATHER * SOMEBODY WHO LIVES HERE AND CONSIDERS LOS ANGELES HIS OR HER HOME AND WANTS THE BEST FOR THE CITY * I TAKE PRIDE IN THE CITY * ACCESS TO EVERYTHING, LIKE ENTERTAINMENT AND HISTORY * SOMEONE WHO LIVES IN THE LA BASIN * VARIOUS RACES * MORE AWARE MORE PROGRESSIVE ABOUT WHAT GOES ON IN SOCIETY, MANY DIFFERENT CULTURES * I DON’T KNOW, I LIKE THE WEATHER * CUTTING-EDGE * BILINGUAL AND SUN TANNED * SUNSHINE AND BEACHES * THE WEATHER, BEACHES * BEACHES, WEATHER, TRAFFIC * GOING HARD OR GOING HOME * BORN IN HAWTHORNE IN 1935 BORN AND RAISED * ANGELENOS ARE MORE LIBERAL AND HAVE DIFFERENT ETHNIC BACKGROUNDS * I THINK ITS MUCH MORE SYNONYMOUS WITH BEING HISPANIC * A LOT OF HEART, A LOT OF CARING; FROM THE POOREST TO THE RICHEST THEY WILL LOOK OUT FOR PEOPLE IN NEED * THE LIFESTYLE IS LOOSE, IT’S NICE, AND WAGES BARELY REASONABLE * LIFESTYLE * EVERYTHING * LIVING IN LOS ANGELES FOR 47 YEARS * HOPE FOR SUCCESS FOR THE CITY * A HAPPY PERSON * BORN IN LA * BEING ON THE WEST COAST * TIENE EL MEJOR CLIMA Y ES LA MEJOR CIUDAD * YOU GOTTA BE RICH AND HAVE A GOOD JOB AND BE EDUCATED * BEING OPEN TO NEW THINGS AND IDEAS * SER BILINGÜE/TO BE BILINGUAL * ANGELENOS ARE MORE LIBERAL * ANGELENOS ARE MORE SERIOUS THAN THE PEOPLE FROM OTHER STATES, NOT EASY TO DEAL WITH * MULTICULTURAL, DIFFERENT ETHNIC PEOPLE CAN LIVE TOGETHER PEACEFULLY * NICE WEATHER, AFFORDABLE PLACE TO LIVE FOR ELDERLY PEOPLE LIKE ME * FREEDOM OF EXPRESSION, INTEREST IN ENVIRONMENTALISM * ETHNIC DIVERSITY AND ENTERTAINMENT * YOU HAVE TO BE NUTS * YOU HAVE SEEN THE UPS AND DOWNS IN THE ECONOMY SINCE YOU WERE A CHILD, YOU HAVE SEEN THE GOOD TIMES AND BAD TIMES * I CANNOT DEFINE ANGELENOS, THEY’RE JUST NORMAL PEOPLE AND MAKE NO DIFFERENCE * LIVE IN LA FOR MOST OF YOUR LIFE * CAPABLE * HELPING THE LESS FORTUNATE, HELPING THE COMMUNITY * DON’T REALLY KNOW * KNOWING THE CULTURES, KNOWING REGIONS AND AREAS, EACH AREA OFFERS DIFFERENT THINGS * A MELTING POT * LIVING HERE FOR A LONG TIME AND SEEING MY KIDS BORN HERE MAKES ME FEEL THAT I’M A PART OF THE CITY * TO LIVE COMFORTABLY, HAVE ENOUGH MONEY, BE SELF-SUFFICIENT * LOVE OF LOS ANGELES, LOVE OF CULTURES, DIVERSITY, GOOD FOOD, TOLERANCE * THE COMMUNITY * KNOWLEDGEABLE, RUDE * I WAS BORN HERE * IT’S A MINDSET, WE RECOGNIZE EACH OTHER * HAVING A BUSINESS AND PROVIDING JOBS FOR PEOPLE IN AND AROUND LOS ANGELES COUNTY, PAYING TAXES, HAVING PROPERTY, OWNING A HOME * I DON’T EVEN KNOW WHAT THAT MEANS, IS IT AN ETHNICITY? * NICE WEATHER, MOUNTAINS AND SEAS ARE CLOSE BY * SOMEONE WHO LOVES LA AND BELIEVES LA IS A GOOD PLACE, A DIVERSE PLACE, AND A MORE TOLERANT PLACE THAN THE REST OF AMERICA * LIVED IN SANTA MONICA * TO SPEAK SPANISH * WE’RE ALL A BUNCH OF ACTORS, I GUESS * PRIDE, HONOR, I HAVE LIVED HERE ALL OF MY LIFE * KNOWING YOUR WAY TO THROUGH LOS ANGELES AND LANDMARKS * LONG TERM RESIDENCY IN LOS ANGELES * BORN HERE * LIVING IN LOS ANGELES IS VERY HECTIC * DON’T KNOW WHAT IT MEANS * OPENNESS * SOMEONE WHO HAS BEEN HERE A WHILE AND UNDERSTANDS THE REGION * FREEDOM TO CHOOSE, NOT BEING FORCED TO CHOOSE OBAMA CARE * WORKING LIVING HERE FOR A LONG TIME * AN ANGELENO MUST BE A SPANISH PERSON * SOMEONE WHO HAS LIVED HERE A LONG TIME, MUCH OF THEIR LIVES * TO BE IN TRAFFIC * LAKERS AND DODGERS, WE GO FOR SPORTS * PROUD OF THE CULTURE, PROUD OF BEING PART OF THIS GROWING CITY * MULTI-ETHNIC GROUPS LIVING TOGETHER, I LIKE MANY KOREAN PEOPLES LIVING TOGETHER * THE CLIMATE * FREEDOM FOR A BLACK MAN TO BE ABLE TO GO JOGGING OR WALK DOWN THE STREET * NOTHING AT ALL * FREE SPIRIT, DIVERSITY OF CULTURAL BACKGROUND, CONVENIENT LOCATION TO HOLLYWOOD, ACTIVE ENTERTAINMENT BUSINESS AS WELL * LOS ANGELES IS A MULTICULTURAL REGION, YOU CAN MEET PEOPLE OF MANY DIFFERENT CULTURAL AND ETHNIC BACKGROUNDS FROM ALL AROUND THE WORLD IN LOS ANGELES * SOMEONE WHO HAS LIVED HERE FOR QUITE AWHILE * BORN AND RAISED * IT’S NOT JUST LIVING IN LOS ANGELES BUT BEING A GOOD CITIZEN OF LOS ANGELES, HELPING OTHERS * DON’T HAVE A CLUE, HAD NEVER EVEN HEARD OF WHAT AN ANGELENO IS * FREE, SOMEWHAT INSECURE * DIVERSITY AND FLEXIBILITY * HISPANICS ARE ANGELENOS * SOMETHING ABOUT LOVE OF THE CITY AND WANTING TO SEE IT PROSPER * LIVING IN THE AREA * THE WEATHER AND OPPORTUNITIES HERE * NICE WEATHER, LOTS OF JOBS AVAILABLE * IT’S THE LOCATION * GOOD WEATHER * MY FAVORITE SPORTS TEAM, THE DODGERS, IS IN LA * LAID BACK * CASUAL, MIND THEIR OWN BUSINESS * I FEEL COMFORTABLE HERE * NOT BEING A DRAIN ON THE CITY * THE CULTURE * BORN BRED AND EDUCATED IN LA * BEING TOLERANT * LOWRIDERS AND WEED * DO NOT KNOW * HAVING AT LEAST ONE CAR IN THE DRIVEWAY, DRIVING MORE THAN 10 MILES TO WORK, LIVING IN THE SUBURBS, PRIVATE SCHOOLS AND A LOT OF PEOPLE LIVING IN DEBT * IT MEANS TO BE LOYAL TO THE WEATHER CONDITIONS AND THE CULTURE AND ENTERTAINMENT * MULTICULTURAL *



CHAPTER 5

LEVELS OFSATISFACTION

If someone was interested in moving to where you live, would you recommend it?

The following is a list of characteristics as they relate to your city overall. For each item, how would you rate the characteristics as a whole using the scale good, fair, or poor?

Overall how satisfied would you say you are with the quality of the services that your city or county provide?

Angelenos overwhelmingly recommend the places where they live, including the 88 cities and the various unincorporated areas in LA County.

Angelenos are also generally satisfied by the services their city or county provide.

yes no83% 17%

VERY SATISFIED SATISFIEDNEITHER SATISFIED NOR UNSATISFIED UNSATISFIED

VERY UNSATISFIED

16% 52% 21% 9% 3%

Do you feel that your local government is open and transparent about its operations?

yes nosomewhat

35% 31% 35%

GOOD FAIR POOR

61 33 6 50 39 11 48 44 8 48 35 17 45 34 21 44 37 19 44 44 13 43 43 14 43 36 22 42 41 17 38 42 20 36 44 20 35 41 24 32 45 22 30 37 33 22 50 28 21 42 37 19 32 49

Quality amenities and services (e.g., restaurants, post office, etc.)

Cultural or recreational opportunities

Overall quality of life

Public transportation

Quality of K-12 education

Walkability

Appearance of your city/county

Integration of different groups of people (cultural, racial, economic)

Mental health and physical

fitness resources

Sense of community

Environmental quality and sustainability

Access to affordable health care

Crime and safety

Disaster preparedness

Traffic or mobility

Desirable employment opportunities

Access to affordable quality housing

Homelessness

Responses are organized in order of highest “good” rating to lowest “good” rating.




If someone was interested in moving to your neighborhood, would you recommend it for the following aspects, yes or no?

Angelenos continue to show their love for the region by overwhelmingly endorsing LA as a safe place to live, work, raise children, and retire.

yes no

Spring 2016

See you then!

3rd Annual

PUBLIC

LEADERS

84%

94%

For its overall quality of life

98%

67%PUBLIC

LEADERS

As a place to raise children

PUBLIC

LEADERS

86%

98%

As a safe place to live

83%

PUBLIC

LEADERS

80%

As a place to retire

85%

PUBLIC

LEADERS

64%

As a place to work

PUBLIC

LEADERS

86%

98%

As a place to live overall




C E N T E R A C T I V I T I E S

CENTER FOR THE STUDY OF LOS ANGELES’ DEVELOPMENT COUNCIL

MR. STEVE SOBOROFFChairman, Center for the Study of Los Angeles Development Council

Managing Partner, Soboroff Partners

MR. RAUL AMEZCUAManaging Director, Stifel, Nicolaus & Company, Inc.

MR. ANDY CARRASCODirector of Regional Public Affairs, Southern California Gas Company

MS. BARBARA CASEYFounder & CEO, Casey & Sayre

MR. ALEX MARTIN CHAVESCEO, Parking Company of America Management

MR. HENRY CISNEROSFounder & Chairman, CityView

MR. THOMAS FLINTOFTFounding Principal, Kindel Gagan

MR. JIM GARRISONPresident, Pacific Federal Insurance Co.

MR. RUBEN GONZALEZSenior Vice President of Public Policy & Political Affairs, LA Area Chamber of Commerce

MS. LISA GRITZNERPresident, Cerrell Associates, Inc.

MR. RANDAL HERNANDEZExternal Affairs Executive, Union Bank

MS. FRAN INMANSenior Vice President, Majestic Realty Co.

DR. DAVID O. LEVINEChief of Staff to Jerry Epstein, Spokesperson for ShoresMDR

MR. ALEXANDER MORADIManaging Partner & Founder, ICO Group

MR. GEORGE L. PLAPresident & CEO, Cordoba Corporation

MR. TIMOTHY G. PSOMASChairman, PSOMAS

MR. DAVID ROBERTI, ESQ.Attorney at David Roberti Law Office

MS. RENATA SIMRILSenior Vice President and Chief of Staff to Publisher and CEO Austin Beutner

MR. MARK SLAVKINDirector of Education, Wallis Annenberg Center for the Performing Arts

MR. GADDI VASQUEZSenior Vice President of Government Affairs, Southern California Edison

MR. PETER VILLEGASVice President of Latin Affairs at The Coca-Cola Company

of redistricting, and others. Additionally, students attend a networking reception, tour the capitol, and network with colleagues from other universities to better equip them as future leaders.

LEADERSHIP INITIATIVE The Leadership Initiative is an effort to promote effective leadership development, civic engagement, and public policy advocacy in Los Angeles. The Center is conducting an integrative study of leaders in ten sectors including politics, education, arts/culture, business, community, health, land use/housing, law, media/entertainment, and religion/spirituality. Upon completion, the Center’s Leadership Initiative will have identified and surveyed 1,000 leaders who impact public policy. The objective of this project is to provide data that will encourage collaborative leadership and accountability for better community outcomes in Los Angeles.

LA/DF: DEVELOPING BINATIONAL LEADERS Los Angeles/Mexico City (DF) is cutting edge, student-focused Los Angeles/Mexico City partnership and consortium. Developed by the Center in conjunction with a variety of companies, institutions, and organizations that have binational U.S./Mexico operations, LA/DF focuses on developing a new generation of international leadership. A group of

at-large elections, redistricting, and the creation of new positions. The result is a powerful visual tool that tells the story of a changing political landscape and the future of more equal representation.

TOP 300 MOST SIGNIFICANT ELECTED OFFICEHOLDERS IN CALIFORNIA The Top 300 is an extension of the Top 100. This database includes the state constitutional officers, Board of Equalization, U.S. Representatives, the Board of Supervisors for the ten largest counties, and the city councilmembers of the top ten most populous cities in the state. All of these elected officials are also documented by election year and coded for race (white, Latino, black, and Asian American) as well as gender. The Top 300 shows how power has shifted amongst ethnicities since 1960 and calls attention to the effects of redistricting on minority political inclusion.

SACRAMENTO SEMINAR The Sacramento Seminar is an annual event attended by students from colleges and universities throughout California. Students spend three days in the state capitol learning about politics, public policy, and careers in government service. The core of the Seminar is a series of panels with elected officials, lobbyists, chiefs of staff, interns, and Capital Fellows; topics have included the future of public policy, the new superminority, the effects

voters). Since then the Center has conducted eight exit polls in the city of Los Angeles and has produced some of the most accurate exit polling results in the country. To date, over 1,000 undergraduate researchers at LMU have collected more than 18,000 surveys.

LA RIOTS ANNIVERSARY STUDIESThe 1992 LA Riots had a profound impact on nearly every aspect of Los Angeles, including government policy, community relations, quality of life, and demographics. Many wondered how these Riots would affect future quality of life, and believed race relations in LA could no longer be ignored. In observance of each of the 5, 10, 15, and 20 year anniversaries of the LA Riots, the Center sponsored cross-sectional phone surveys of Angelenos to study their attitudes toward Los Angeles in a longitudinal effort to learn more about the Riots’ impact.

TOP 100 MOST SIGNIFICANT ELECTED OFFICEHOLDERS IN LOS ANGELES COUNTYThe Top 100 is a database of the 100 most powerful elected positions in LA County dating back to 1960. By recording the name, ethnicity, gender, and election year of each officeholder, the Top 100 database reveals the significant shifts in minority political inclusion over the last several decades. Ethnicities are coded as white, Latino, black, Asian American, and Jewish. The record documents changes in structures such as

FORECAST LA Forecast LA is an annual conference that explores the civic and economic concerns, cultural identities, and levels of satisfaction of residents and leaders in the Los Angeles region. As part of the Center’s unique approach to forecasting, it conducts two outlook surveys. The first is a telephone survey of LA County adult residents in LA County, who are asked about personal economic well-being, overall life satisfaction, and various civic issues, and face-to-face interviews with a set of LA County leaders. In the case of 2015, the second group consists of LA County’s city managers, who discuss their cities’ priorities, how their municipalities will fare economically, and other topical issues. Forecast LA is a collaboration with one of California’s most distinguished economic research firms, Beacon Economics.

LA VOTES EXIT POLLSTo address methodological issues surrounding the discrepancies in 2000 and 2004 Presidential election exit poll results, LMU researchers developed and implemented an innovative sampling technique in Los Angeles. The racially stratified homogenous precinct approach addressed problems with poor sampling techniques, inaccurate results, and skewed reporting of underrepresented subgroups (e.g., African American and Latino

CENTER FOR THE STUDY OF LOS

ANGELES’ STUDENT RESEARCH ASSISTANTS

ZAYD AL-MARAYATI Class of 2016

STEPHANIE ANAYA Class of 2016

COLIN ARNOLD Class of 2015

ISABEL CASSO Class of 2015

ELIN HENNINGSSON Class of 2016

TAYLOR KAY Class of 2016

BRIANNA MEDINA Class of 2017

NAREK MKRTOUMIAN Class of 2015

ALISON SACKERSON Class of 2015

JOHN SALINAS Class of 2018

PRISCILLA TORRES Class of 2017

SUMMER WALL Class of 2015

STEPHANIE WILLIAMS Class of 2016

Center ActivitiesThe Center for the Study of Los Angeles produces a wide variety of scholarly work, from journal articles, presentations, and studies to commissioned volumes regarding Los Angeles and its prominent members. In addition to these research projects and as part of its commitment to education about the region, the Center for the Study of Los Angeles hosts a diverse range of events, many of which are free and open to the public.

LECTURE SERIESThe Center organizes two lecture series in addition to various standalone lectures and panels throughout the year. Lectures are filmed and broadcast on LA36 and archived on the Center’s YouTube channel. The Fall Lecture Series examines race, ethnicity, and political inclusion in the region, state, and nation. The spring Forecast LA Lecture Series focuses on the future of Los Angeles especially in terms of culture, politics, infrastructure, education, and elections, and culminates in the Forecast LA conference. All lectures are free and open to the public. These lectures offer students an intimate perspective on Los Angeles and create opportunities for them to interact with public leaders.

THE THOMAS AND DOROTHY LEAVEY CENTER FOR THE STUDY OF LOS ANGELES RESEARCH COLLECTION The Research Collection is a special collection focused on preserving Los Angeles political artifacts. It houses papers of Los Angeles public officials, Los Angeles’ real estate and industrial developers, reformers and reform movements (principally in the late twentieth-century Los Angeles), prominent Roman Catholic families in Los Angeles, and other collections related to Los Angeles history and politics. Most recently the Center celebrated the addition of the Bill Rosendahl-Adelphia Communication Corporate Collection of Public Affairs Television Programs. The Research Collection encourages original undergraduate research and preserves knowledge for future generations of Angelenos.

LMU students complete a 15-week course of preparatory briefings and local field trips prior to traveling to Mexico City for a week- long immersion. In this program Los Angeles and Mexico City-based college students acquire a greater understanding of their own metropolis through a systematic comparison of the structures and dynamics of these two megacities.

UNDERGRADUATE RESEARCH SYMPOSIUM The Undergraduate Research Symposium (URS) is an annual conference hosted by LMU during which the work of several hundred undergraduate students is presented to faculty, staff, family, and other LMU students. Each year, many of the Center’s student researchers design, organize, and present a research project at the URS. In addition to receiving guidance about interviewing methods, data analysis, and writing, students are mentored in the use and application of statistical analysis programs like Stata and SPSS, geographic information systems software like ArcGIS, and survey creation and processing software like Qualtrics. Furthermore, students learn to use and process large datasets including the Center’s LA Riots and LA Votes archives, various city clerk and county clerk archives, the American Community Survey, and the U.S. Decennial Census. The process often entails dozens of drafts but yields excellent, graduate-level work.

CENTER FOR THE STUDY OF LOS

ANGELES’ AUXILIARY PERSONNEL

AFFILIATESMEGAN BERRY

Director of Development for Constituent Programs

MASON STOCKSTILLAssociate Director of Media and

Communications Relations

CLAY STALLSCurator for the Center’s Research Collections, Archives and Special

Collections Department

SCHOLARS AND FELLOWS

DAVID AYONSenior Research Fellow

STEVEN BRADFORDSenior Research Fellow

MARA A. COHEN-MARKSSenior Research Fellow

FRANK ROMOGraduate Research Fellow

MATT BARRETOResearch Scholar

STEPHEN NUÑOResearch Scholar


Research CollectionPUBLIC OFFICIALSBob Beverly PapersMayor Richard J. Riordan Administrative PapersDavid A. Roberti PapersMike Roos PapersJoel Wachs PapersBill Rosendahl-Adelphia Communications Corporation Collection of Public Affairs Television Programs

LOS ANGELES DEVELOPERS Fritz Burns Papers (2 collections)Daniel Freeman Family PapersDocuments for the History of the Daniel Freeman Family and the Rancho CentinelaJames Keane Collection of Fritz Burns Biographical MaterialsCharles Luckman PapersJack and Bonita Granville Wrather PapersWrather Investment Corporation Incorporation Records

REFORMERS and REFORM MOVEMENTSCatholic Human Relations Council CollectionCatholic Labor InstituteThomas A. Gaudette PapersLAAMP CollectionLEARN CollectionWilliam F. Masterson PapersRebuild LA Collection

ROMAN CATHOLIC FAMILIES Dockweiler Family Collections (2 collections)Documents for the History of the Machado Family and the Rancho La BallonaJoseph Scott CollectionStephen Mallory White PapersWorkman Family PapersMary Julia Workman Research Materials Collection

OTHER COLLECTIONSBig Pine Citizen Newspaper CollectionJ. D. Black PapersThe Citizen and Cheviot ChatterDocuments for the History of Nineteenth-Century Los Angeles“LA 2000” Records of the 2000 Democratic National Convention

KCET-TV Collection of "Life and Times" video recordings & production filesKCET-TV Collection of "California Connected" video recordings & production files

Pardee Dam Construction Photograph AlbumCarroll and Lorrin Morrison Photographic CollectionRancho La Ballona Map, 1876Which Way, LA? CollectionWPA Transcriptions of Los Angeles City Archives Records

FORECAST LA Lecture Series

The Forecast LA Lecture Series explores the future of Los Angeles from the perspective of its thought leaders, elected officials, and residents. Lectures are held in the spring semester on select Tuesdays from 5-7 pm at Loyola Marymount University.

ORGANIZED BY THE THOMAS AND DOROTHY LEAVEY CENTER FOR THE STUDY OF LOS ANGELESCO-SPONSORED BY THE BELLARMINE FORUM OF THE BELLARMINE COLLEGE OF LIBERAL ARTS

What does it mean to be an Angeleno?February 10:

Mayor Riordan and his memoirFebruary 17:

Election post-mortemMarch 10:

New urbanism: smart growth in LAMarch 17:

Los Angeles County City ManagersMarch 24:

Forecast LA for the LMU communityApril 7:

Spring 2015 SeasonAhmanson Auditorium, 5-7 pm

#ForecastLA @LMUCSLA on Facebook, Twitter, & Instagram

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A well-run city government is the core of the CAO’s mission. For information visit cao.lacity.org.

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Forecast_LA 2015-0225.indd 1 2/26/15 7:54 AMProud to suPPort LoyoLa MaryMount university.

Celebrating 150 years

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We are proud to support Loyola Marymount University and Forecast LA in preparing for the future of Los Angeles.

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Life’s betterwhen we’reconnected® to community to jobs

to compassion to each other

At Bank of America, we’re connecting our resources and people to the things that make life better in communities across the United States. From working with local businesses that create jobs and supporting nonprofits that address critical needs to revitalizing neighborhoods and funding safe and affordable housing. Our mission is simple: to help Los Angeles thrive.

Learn more about how we’re helping at

bankofamerica.com/greaterlosangeles

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Proud to SupportForecast LAThe Thomas and Dorothy Leavey

Center for the Study of Los Angeles at

Loyola Marymount University and

Beacon Economics

EmployeeBenefi ts:What we do best!

Mercer is a global team of over 20,000 individuals who dedicate their skills and knowledge to enhancing the health, wealth and careers of more than 100 million people worldwide.

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Thanks to all our generous sponsors!

www.lmu.edu/forecastLA

for more information:thomas and dorothy leavey center for the study of los angelesloyola marymount university1 lmu drive, suite 4119los angeles, ca 90045310.338.4565 | [email protected]

reproduction of this document or any portion therein is prohibited without the express written permission of the center for the study of los angeles. copyright © 2015 by loyola marymount university.designed by berto solis, karen stein, & ginny warren

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