Transcript
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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

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MICHIGAN STATEWIDE GENERAL ELECTION SURVEY

MAY 27, 2016

600 SAMPLE LIKELY GENERAL ELECTION VOTERS

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page Topic

2 Methodology

3 Key Findings

12 Aggregate Survey Results

22 Cross-tabulation Report

METHODOLOGY

The Glengariff Group, Inc. conducted a 600-sample, live operator telephone survey of likely November 2016 Michigan general

election voters. The survey was conducted from May 24-26, 2016 and has margin of error of +/-4.0% with a 95% level of confidence.

67% of respondents were interviewed by landline telephone. 33% of respondents were interviewed by cell phone telephone. This

survey was conducted on behalf of the Detroit News and WDIV Local 4.

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KEY FINDINGS

Michigan Voters Most Optimistic About Detroit

By a margin of 23.8%-62.3%, Michigan voters believe the nation is on the wrong track.

By a margin of 34.3%-51.3%, voters believe Michigan is on the wrong track.

o Strong Republican voters believe Michigan is on the right track by a margin of 49.6%-35.3%. But Strong Democratic

voters believe Michigan is on the wrong track by a margin of 27.1%-64.1%. Independent voters believe Michigan is on

the wrong track by a margin of 27.3%-53.8%.

But by a margin of 39.7%-37.2%, Michigan voters believe Detroit is on the RIGHT track – 22.5% just do not know.

o There is a significant difference in how Southeast Michigan voters view Detroit versus how out-state voters view

Detroit. Southeast Michigan voters are strongly bullish on the direction of Detroit as compared to Out-State voters

who believe Detroit is on the wrong track.

Out State Voters Right Wrong Metro Detroit Voters Right Wrong

UP/North 26.9%-32.1% Oakland 57.5%-31.3%

West 25.0%-38.2% Macomb 52.0%-38.0%

Southwest 26.0%-40.0% Wayne 51.4%-34.3%

Mid 25.0%-50.0% Detroit 61.5%-35.9%

East Central 19.6%-43.5% Det Outer Ring 49.3%-35.8%

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

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Economy, Flint, and Education Lead Voters Concerns

Voters were asked what they thought the most important issue was facing Michigan right now. (Voters were not provided

options but were asked in an open ended question.)

o 27.0% of voters said the economy and jobs were Michigan’s most pressing issue.

o 16.2% of voters said the Flint water issue was the state’s most pressing issue.

o 13.8% of voters said education funding or education quality were the state’s most pressing issue.

Obama Popularity Now At 50%

By a margin of 50.0%-40.2%, Michigan voters have a favorable impression of President Barack Obama – his highest favorable

rating since early in his first term.

o Barack Obama has a favorable rating of 44.1%-39.2% among Independent voters.

o Men are split in their view with 45.8% favorable and 46.2% unfavorable. But women have a strong favorable opinion

at 53.8% favorable to 34.6% unfavorable.

Snyder Approval Plummets – Driven By Losses Among Independent Voters

By a margin of 33.2%-49.2%, Michigan voters have an unfavorable opinion of Rick Snyder.

o Independent voters view Rick Snyder unfavorably by a margin of 31.5%-47.6%.

o Strong Republican voters view Rick Snyder favorably by a margin of 67.7%-17.3% -- nearly one in five Strong

Republican voters have an unfavorable view of the Republican Governor.

o Strong Democratic voters view the Governor unfavorably by a margin of 11.5%-72.9%.

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By margin of 39.6%-52.4%, Michigan voters disapprove of the job being done by Rick Snyder as Governor.

o What is most important in these numbers is the INTENSITY of opposition to Governor Snyder:

9.3% Strongly Approve of his performance. 30.3% Somewhat Approve of his performance.

18.2% Somewhat Disapprove of his performance. But 33.2% STRONGLY DISAPPROVE of his performance.

o By a margin of 37.1%-53.2%, Independent voters disapprove of the Governor’s performance. 35.0% of Independent

voters now strongly disapprove.

o By comparison, only 26.3% of Strong Republican voters strongly approve of the Governor’s Performance.

Clinton, Trump Equally Unpopular; Sanders Most Popular

Republican nominee Donald Trump enters the General Election campaign with only 27.3% of voters viewing him favorably.

59.5% of Michigan voters have an unfavorable opinion of Donald Trump.

Party Favorable Unfavorable

Strong Dem 4.7% 88.5%

Lean Dem 10.0% 84.0%

Independent 32.2% 51.0%

Lean GOP 47.5% 39.3%

Strong GOP 53.4% 29.3%

o Donald Trump is view unfavorably by Independent voters by a margin of 32.2%-51.0%. But Leaning Republican

voters view him favorably by a margin of only 47.5%-39.3%, and Strong Republican voters view him favorably by a

margin of 53.4%-29.3%. Three in ten base Republican voters have an unfavorable impression of Donald Trump.

o 63.1% of female voters have an unfavorable impression of Donald Trump as compared to 55.6% of male voters.

o 88.3% of African American voters have an unfavorable impression of Donald Trump.

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Hillary Clinton is viewed unfavorably by voters by a margin of 30.5% (favorable) to 57.2% (unfavorable). Statistically similar

with Donald Trump’s negative ratings.

Party Favorable Unfavorable

Strong Dem 65.1% 20.3%

Lean Dem 40.0% 40.0%

Independent 17.5% 69.2%

Lean GOP 8.2% 86.9%

Strong GOP 3.0% 93.2%

o Hillary Clinton has a stronger favorable rating with her base than Donald Trump has with his Republican base.

However, Hillary Clinton has considerably more work to do with Leaning Democratic voters than Donald Trump has

with Leaning Republican voters.

o At 17.5%-69.2%, Hillary Clinton is sharply more unpopular with Independent voters than Donald Trump.

Bernie Sanders is the only Presidential candidate viewed favorably by voters by a narrow margin of 42.8%-41.0%.

Party Favorable Unfavorable

Strong Dem 72.9% 16.1%

Lean Dem 60.0% 24.0%

Independent 35.7% 41.3%

Lean GOP 21.3% 68.9%

Strong GOP 12.8% 75.2%

o Bernie Sanders is viewed considerably more favorably than Hillary Clinton among voters that Lean Democratic or

Independent.

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Clinton Leads Trump by 4.5% -- Major Gender Split

Hillary Clinton holds a lead of 43.0%-38.5% over Republican nominee Donald Trump. 4.0% of voters say they will vote for

another candidate. And 11.8% of voters are undecided. (By way of comparison, Barack Obama held a 5.5% lead over Mitt

Romney in May 2012.)

Party Clinton Trump Other Undecided

Strong Dem 84.9% 5.8% 4.2% 4.7%

Lean Dem 62.0% 16.0% 8.0% 12.0%

Independent 28.7% 37.8% 4.9% 23.8%

Lean GOP 11.4% 70.5% 4.9% 11.5%

Strong GOP 6.0% 81.2% 0.0% 9.0%

Hillary Clinton leads 45.8%-30.1% among female voters – a lead of 15.7%. Donald Trump leads 47.6%-37.9% among male

voters – a Trump lead of 9.7%.

Clinton leads 90.9%-5.2% among African American voters. Trump leads 43.0%-35.0% among Caucasian voters.

Sanders Leads Trump by 18.7% -- Sanders Reaches Above 50%.

Bernie Sanders leads Donald Trump by a margin of 51.7%-33.0% -- a whopping 18.7% margin.

Party Sanders Trump Other Don’t Know

Strong Dem 90.7% 3.6% 0.5% 4.7%

Lean Dem 76.0% 8.0% 0.0% 16.0%

Independent 44.8% 30.1% 1.4% 21.0%

Lean GOP 19.7% 62.3% 4.9% 9.8%

Strong GOP 12.8% 76.0% 0.0% 9.8%

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Sanders leads among Independent voters by a 15-point margin.

Sanders pulls nearly one in five leaning Republican voters, and 13% of strong Republican voters.

Sanders leads Trump among women by a margin of 54.5%-24.9% -- a nearly 30-point margin. But Sanders also leads Trump

among men by a margin of 48.6%-40.6% -- an 8-point margin.

Libertarian Candidate Receives More than 11% of Vote

In a three-way match up, Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by a margin of 36.8%-32.7% -- a margin of 4.1%. Libertarian

Candidate Gary Johnson takes 11.5% of the vote.

Party Clinton Trump Johnson

Strong Dem 78.7% 3.6% 7.3%

Lean Dem 54.0% 6.0% 18.0%

Independent 18.9% 32.2% 18.2%

Lean GOP 9.8% 59.0% 12.5%

Strong GOP 1.5% 74.5% 9.1%

The introduction of a third party Libertarian candidate takes equally from both Clinton and Trump.

Gary Johnson wins 17.4% of voters under 30 and 21.3% of voters aged 39-39.

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Voter’s Lack of Enthusiasm Will Present Major Challenges to Both Sides

Voters were asked on a scale of one to ten how excited they were to cast a ballot in this year’s November election. At 5.7,

voters are showing little enthusiasm at this point in casting a ballot. By comparison, voter enthusiasm in August 2012 for the

last presidential election was 7.6, and in May 2014 voter enthusiasm for a gubernatorial election was a 6.3.

The chart below compares enthusiasm to vote by party affiliation for August 2012 compared to May 2016.

Party 2012 2016

Strong Dem 8.2 6.5

Lean Dem 7.0 5.8

Independent 6.7 4.5

Lean GOP 7.8 6.0

Strong GOP 8.2 5.8

At 5.8, Republicans in particular face difficult challenge in motivating their base voters. Independent voters come in at 4.5

raising the specter of low Independent voter turnout making the 2016 election a battle of both sides to turn out their base

voters.

The most highly motivated voters at 7.3 are City of Detroit voters and at 6.9 African American voters. Caucasian voters

come in at 5.6.

Trump vs. Clinton: Voters Split on Who They ‘Think’ Will Win

Voters were asked regardless of who they plan to vote for, who did they think would actually win. Voters are split with 42%

of voters believing Donald Trump will win while 41% of voters believe Hillary Clinton will win.

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Detroit Public Schools: By Margin of 49%-39%, Voters Support One of the Legislative Plans

Voters were read descriptions of current plans in the State Senate and the State House to help the Detroit Public Schools deal

with its debt problem.

30.7% of voters support the Senate Plan.

18.5% of voters support the House Plan.

39.2% of voters do not support either plan.

Viewed in another way, 49.2% of voter support either the Senate or House plan while 39.2% of voters do not support either

Legislative Plan.

52.9% of West Michigan voters do not support either Legislative Plan. Regionally, the House Plan leads the Senate Plan only

in West Michigan.

Strong Republican voters are split with 21.1% supporting the House Plan, 20.3% supporting the Senate Plan, and 48.1% of

strong Republican voters not supporting either legislative plan.

Voters Narrowly Support Detroit Education Commission

By a margin of 42.7%-37.8%, Michigan voters narrowly support the creation of the Detroit Education Commission that would

control how many new or charter schools could open in the City of Detroit.

o The DEC has the support of all party affiliations except Strong Republican voters who oppose it by a margin of 32.3%-

47.4%.

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Party Support Oppose

Strong Dem 47.9% 31.8%

Lean Dem 46.0% 34.0%

Independent 41.3% 39.2%

Lean GOP 50.8% 36.1%

Strong GOP 32.3% 47.4%

o Detroit voters oppose the creation of the DEC by a margin of 41.0%-48.7%.

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MICHIGAN STATEWIDE SURVEY

Hello, my name is __________. I’m not selling anything. I’m doing a quick survey of opinions in our area. It should take

approximately five minutes.

A. Are you registered to vote at the address I am calling?

1. Yes…..CONTINUE 100.0%(600)

2. NO….TERMINATE

1. Thinking about the upcoming Presidential election in November 2016, would you say you are definitely voting, probably

voting, probably not voting, or would you say you are definitely not voting?

1. Definitely voting….CONTINUE 81.5% (489)

2. Probably voting….CONTINUE 18.5% (111)

3. Probably not voting….TERMINATE

4. Definitely not voting….TERMINATE

5. Don’t Know/ Refused….TERMINATE

2. And what county do you currently live in? IF WAYNE, ASK: WOULD THAT BE IN THE CITY OF DETROIT OR

OUTSIDE OF THE CITY OF DETROIT?

1. UP/ N Michigan 13.0% (78)

2. West 11.3% (68)

3. Southwest Michigan 8.3% (50)

4. Mid Michigan 8.7% (52)

5. East Central Michigan 7.7% (46)

6. Oakland 13.3% (80)

7. Macomb 8.3% (50)

8. Wayne 11.7% (70)

9. City of Detroit 6.5% (39)

10. Remainder of Detroit MSA 11.2% (67)

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3. Generally speaking would you say things in the nation are on the right track, or would you say things are on the wrong track?

1. Right track 23.8% (143)

2. Wrong Track 62.3% (374)

3. Don’t Know/ Refused….DO NOT OFFER 13.8% (83)

4. And what about here in Michigan. Would you say Michigan is on the right track or would you say things have gotten off on

the wrong track?

1. Right track 34.3% (206)

2. Wrong track 51.3% (308)

3. Don’t Know….DO NOT OFFER 13.5% (81)

4. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.8% (5)

5. And what about in the City of Detroit. Would you say Detroit is on the right track or would you say things have gotten off on

the wrong track?

1. Right track 39.7% (238)

2. Wrong track 37.2% (223)

3. Don’t Know…DO NOT OFFER 22.5% (135)

4. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.7% (4)

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6. And what one issue do you think is the most important issue facing the state of Michigan right now? [IF

INFRASTRUCTURE, ASK: WHICH INFRASTRUCTURE DO YOU MEAN?]

_________________________________

[RECORD/CODE RESPONSE BELOW/CODE ‘OTHER’ RESPONSES]

1. Economy/Jobs 27.0% (162)

2. Flint water issue/ water drinking systems 16.2% (97)

3. Roads/Bridges 8.0% (48)

4. Education Quality/ Education Funding 13.8% (83)

5. Bad Government/ Poor Leadership 4.3% (26)

6. Government Corruption 2.8% (17)

7. Taxes/ Government Spending 4.3% (26)

8. Health Care 1.7% (10)

9. Welfare/Welfare Abuse 1.0% (6)

10. Other 13.0% (78)

11. Don’t Know/ Refused 7.8% (47)

I am going to read you the names of several people you might have heard of. For each, please tell me if you have a favorable or

unfavorable impression of that person.

7. Barack Obama

1. Heard of, Favorable 50.0% (300)

2. Heard of, Unfavorable 40.2% (241)

3. Heard of, No Opinion 8.2% (49)

4. Never Heard Of 0.0% (0)

5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.7% (10)

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8. Donald Trump

1. Heard of, Favorable 27.3% (164)

2. Heard of, Unfavorable 59.5% (357)

3. Heard of, No Opinion 10.7% (64)

4. Never Heard Of 0.0% (0)

5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 2.5% (15)

9. Hillary Clinton

1. Heard of, Favorable 30.5% (183)

2. Heard of, Unfavorable 57.2% (343)

3. Heard of, No Opinion 10.3% (62)

4. Never Heard Of 0.0% (0)

5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 2.0% (12)

10. Bernie Sanders

1. Heard of, Favorable 42.8% (257)

2. Heard of, Unfavorable 41.0% (246)

3. Heard of, No Opinion 14.2% (85)

4. Never Heard Of 0.3% (2)

5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.7% (10)

11. Rick Snyder

1. Heard of, Favorable 33.2% (199)

2. Heard of, Unfavorable 49.2% (295)

3. Heard of, No Opinion 15.2% (91)

4. Never Heard Of 0.3% (2)

5. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 2.2% (13)

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12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Rick Snyder is doing as Governor of Michigan? ASK: WOULD THAT BE

STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?

1. Strongly approve 9.3% (56) Approve: 39.6%

2. Somewhat approve 30.3% (182)

3. Somewhat disapprove 18.2% (109)

4. Strongly disapprove 33.2% (199) Disapprove: 52.4%

5. Don’t Know/ Refused 9.0% (54)

13. If the election for President of the United States were held today and [ROTATE] Hillary Clinton was the Democratic candidate

and Donald Trump was the Republican candidate, who would you vote for to be President of the United States? IF DON’T

KNOW, ASK WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?

1. Clinton 38.2% (229) Clinton: 43.0%

2. Lean Clinton 4.8% (29)

3. Trump 35.0% (210) Trump: 38.5%

4. Lean Trump 3.5% (21)

5. Other…..DO NOT OFFER/ ASK: AND WHO WOULD THAT BE? 4.0% (24) Other: 4.0%

6. Don’t Know…DO NOT OFFER 11.8% (71) DK: 11.8%

7. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 2.7% (16)

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14. If the election for President of the United States were held today and [ROTATE] Bernie Sanders was the Democratic candidate

and Donald Trump was the Republican candidate, who would you vote for to be President of the United States? IF DON’T

KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?

1. Sanders 50.0% (300) Sanders: 51.7%

2. Lean Sanders 1.7% (10)

3. Trump 30.8% (185) Trump: 33.0%

4. Lean Trump 2.2% (13)

5. Other…DO NOT OFFER/ ASK: AND WHO WOULD THAT BE? 1.2% (7) Other: 1.2%

___________________________________________________

6. Don’t Know…DO NOT OFFER 11.7% (70) DK: 11.7%

7. Refused….DO NOT OFFER 2.5% (15)

15. If the election for President of the United States were held today and [ROTATE] Hillary Clinton was the Democratic

candidate, Donald Trump was the Republican candidate, and Gary Johnson was the Libertarian candidate, who would you vote

for to be President of the United States? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?

1. Clinton 33.9% (203) Clinton: 36.8%

2. Lean Clinton 2.9% (17)

3. Trump 30.5% (183) Trump: 32.7%

4. Lean Trump 2.2% (13)

5. Johnson 8.7% (52) Johnson: 11.5%

6. Lean Johnson 2.8% (17)

7. Other…DO NOT OFFER/ ASK: AND WHO WOULD THAT BE? 2.3% (14) Other: 2.3%

_______________________________________________

8. Don’t Know…DO NOT OFFER 14.5% (87) DK: 14.5%

9. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 2.3% (14)

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16. Regardless of whom you plan to vote for in November, do you think [ROTATE] Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump is most

likely to be elected President?

1. Clinton 40.8% (245)

2. Trump 42.2% (253)

3. Don’t Know…DO NOT OFFER 13.7% (82)

4. Someone else…DO NOT OFFER 1.8% (11)

5. Refused….DO NOT OFFER 1.5% (9)

17. The State Legislature has been considering plans to help Michigan’s largest school system, the Detroit Public Schools, deal

with its debt problem. Governor Rick Snyder, Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan and the Michigan Senate support a plan that would

pay off $467 million in debt for the Detroit Public Schools. In addition, the Detroit Public Schools would receive an addition

$200 million in transition costs to repair existing schools and invest in improved education programs. They argue that without

this additional funding, the Detroit Public Schools will simply start off in debt again as they grapple with these existing needs.

The State House supports a plan that would pay off the $467 million in debt for the Detroit Public Schools. In addition, the

Detroit Public Schools would receive only $33 million for transition costs to repair existing schools and invest in education

programs. State House leaders question why the state should subsidize building repairs for one single school system.

Would you say you support the Senate plan that pays off the debt and provides $200 million in transition costs, the House plan

that pays off the debt but provides $33 million in transition costs, or would you say you do not support either plan?

1. Senate plan 30.7% (184)

2. House plan 18.5% (111)

3. Do not support either plan 39.2% (235)

4. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 11.7% (70)

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18. As part of this debate, the Michigan Legislature is considering the creation of a Detroit Education Commission that would

control how many new or charter schools could open in the City of Detroit. Supporters argue the commission is needed to

control the number of schools, stabilize enrollment, and stop the loss of students in Detroit Public Schools that contributes to

the school system’s debt. Opponents argue that the commission would decrease competition among schools and limit parental

choice. Would you say you support or oppose controlling the growth in charter schools in Detroit?

1. Support 42.7% (256)

2. Oppose 37.8% (227)

3. Don’t Know/ Refused 19.5% (117)

Now, just a few questions for statistical purposes.

19. Generally speaking, would you say you tend to vote mostly for Republican candidates, do you vote mostly for Democratic

candidates, or would you say you vote equally for both Republican and Democratic candidates? IF VOTE EQUALLY, ASK:

WOULD YOU SAY YOU LEAN MORE TO THE DEMOCRATIC PARTY, MORE TO THE REPUBLICAN PARTY, OR

WOULD YOU SAY YOU ARE AN INDEPENDENT VOTER?

1. Democratic 32.0% (192) Democratic: 40.3%

2. Lean Democratic 8.3% (50)

3. Independent 23.8% (143) Independent: 23.8%

4. Lean Republican 10.2% (61)

5. Republican 22.2% (133) Republican: 32.4%

6. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 3.5% (21)

20. And on a scale of one to ten, how excited are you to cast a ballot in the November General Election this year? One means you

are not at all excited and ten means you are extremely excited. You can choose any number from one to ten.

SCORE: 5.7

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 DK/Ref

19.3% 5.8% 50% 4.7% 14.8% 6.8% 5.7% 8.7% 3.3% 24.5% 1.3%

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21. Do you or does any member of your household belong to a labor union or a teachers association?

1. Yes, union household 26.3% (158)

2. No, non union household 72.7% (436)

3. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 1.0% (6)

22. Could you please tell me in what year you were born?

1. 1987-1998 (18-29) 19.2% (115)

2. 1977-1986 (30-39) 10.2% (61)

3. 1967-1976 (40-49) 26.8% (161)

4. 1952-1966 (50-64) 23.7% (142)

5. 1951 and before 65+ 19.7% (118)

6. Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.5% (3)

23. And what would you say is the last grade of school you completed?

1. High school grad or less 23.3% (140)

2. Community college, vocational training, some college 25.2% (151)

3. College Graduate 50.7% (304)

4. Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 0.8% (5)

24. And what is your race or ethnic background?

1. Caucasian 73.7% (442)

2. African American 13.8% (83)

3. Hispanic/Puerto Rican/ Mexican American 1.7% (10)

4. Asian 1.5% (9)

5. Mixed Race…DO NOT OFFER 2.0% (12)

6. Native American 1.2% (7)

7. Other/ Don’t Know/ Refused…DO NOT OFFER 6.1% (37)

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

21

25. Gender:

1. Male 48.0% (288)

2. Female 52.0% (312)

26. Telephone:

1. Cell phone 33.0% (198)

2. Landline 67.0% (402)

cubb

THANK YOU. THAT CONCLUDES OUR SURVEY.

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

22

3. Generally speaking would you say things in the nation are on the right track, or would you say things are on the wrong track?

Right Wrong

Strong Dem 38.5% 42.7%

Lean Dem 32.05 48.0%

Independent 20.3% 67.1%

Lean GOP 13.1% 80.3%

Strong GOP 9.8% 84.2%

18-29 23.5% 60.9%

30-39 29.5% 52.5%

40-49 22.4% 67.1%

50-64 23.9% 62.0%

65+ 23.7% 62.7%

UP/N 16.7% 66.7%

West 22.1% 69.1%

Southwest 18.0% 64.0%

Mid 25.0% 61.5%

E Central 21.7% 60.9%

Oakland 26.2% 62.5%

Macomb 20.0% 60.0%

Wayne 27.1% 60.0%

Detroit 43.6% 43.6%

Det MSA 23.9% 65.7%

High School 22.9% 61.4%

Some Post 19.9% 65.6%

College Grad 26.0% 61.5%

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

23

Male 25.0% 62.5%

Female 22.8% 62.2%

Union 29.1% 58.2%

Non Union 21.8% 63.8%

Caucasian 20.4% 66.1%

Af Amer 44.2% 40.3%

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

24

4. And what about here in Michigan. Would you say Michigan is on the right track or would you say things have gotten off on

the wrong track?

Right Wrong

Strong Dem 27.1% 64.1%

Lean Dem 42.0% 52.0%

Independent 27.3% 53.8%

Lean GOP 36.1% 39.3%

Strong GOP 49.6% 35.3%

18-29 37.4% 46.1%

30-39 27.9% 59.0%

40-49 38.5% 44.1%

50-64 31.0% 57.0%

65+ 33.9% 55.1%

UP/N 38.5% 51.3%

West 32.4% 50.0%

Southwest 30.0% 52.0%

Mid 36.5% 44.2%

E Central 19.6% 52.2%

Oakland 37.5% 53.8%

Macomb 50.0% 32.0%

Wayne 32.9% 58.6%

Detroit 30.8% 64.1%

Det MSA 31.3% 53.7%

High School 32.1% 54.3%

Some Post 27.8% 54.3%

College Grad 38.5% 48.7%

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

25

Male 37.2% 49.0%

Female 31.7% 53.5%

Union 27.2% 62.7%

Non Union 36.9% 47.5%

Caucasian 34.4% 50.7%

Af Amer 37.7% 51.9%

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May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

26

5. And what about in the City of Detroit. Would you say Detroit is on the right track or would you say things have gotten

off on the wrong track?

Right Wrong

Strong Dem 44.8% 38.5%

Lean Dem 34.0% 54.0%

Independent 35.0% 35.7%

Lean GOP 39.3% 36.1%

Strong GOP 39.8% 33.1%

18-29 42.6% 32.2%

30-39 37.7% 44.3%

40-49 37.9% 35.4%

50-64 40.1% 40.8%

65+ 39.8% 36.4%

UP/N 26.9% 32.1%

West 25.0% 38.2%

Southwest 26.0% 40.0%

Mid 25.0% 50.0%

E Central 19.6% 43.5%

Oakland 57.5% 31.3%

Macomb 52.0% 38.0%

Wayne 51.4% 34.3%

Detroit 61.5% 35.9%

Det MSA 49.3% 35.8%

High School 37.9% 36.4%

Some Post 33.8% 38.4%

College Grad 42.8% 37.5%

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

27

Male 43.8% 35.8%

Female 35.9% 38.5%

Union 35.4% 46.8%

Non Union 41.1% 33.9%

Caucasian 39.1% 34.8%

Af Amer 46.8% 45.5%

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May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

28

6. And what one issue do you think is the most important issue facing the state of Michigan right now? [IF

INFRASTRUCTURE, ASK: WHICH INFRASTRUCTURE DO YOU MEAN?]

Economy Flint Roads/Bridges Education Govt Taxes

Strong Dem 23.4% 18.2% 5.7% 16.7% 6.8% 2.6%

Lean Dem 24.0% 24.0% 12.0% 12.0% 10.0% 0.0%

Independent 24.5% 15.4% 11.2% 15.4% 2.1% 2.8%

Lean GOP 29.5% 9.8% 6.6% 9.8% 3.3% 6.6%

Strong GOP 35.3% 15.0% 6.8% 9.0% 0.8% 6.0%

18-29 20.9% 25.2% 11.3% 13.0% 0.0% 4.3%

30-39 31.1% 6.6% 6.6% 23.0% 0.0% 5.6%

40-49 29.8% 13.7% 9.3% 11.8% 3.1% 5.6%

50-64 28.2% 17.6% 5.6% 12.0% 6.3% 3.5%

65+ 25.4% 14.4% 6.8% 14.4% 10.2% 5.9%

UP/N 23.1% 20.5% 10.3% 11.5% 3.8% 5.1%

West 27.9% 17.6% 5.9% 8.8% 4.4% 2.9%

Southwest 24.0% 10.0% 14.0% 12.0% 8.0% 6.0%

Mid 19.2% 19.2% 9.6% 15.4% 7.7% 3.8%

E Central 26.1% 17.4% 6.5% 21.7% 4.3% 2.2%

Oakland 21.3% 20.0% 5.0% 17.5% 1.3% 3.8%

Macomb 32.0% 18.0% 8.0% 12.0% 6.0% 2.0%

Wayne 35.7% 15.7% 4.3% 8.6% 1.4% 7.1%

Detroit 30.8% 15.4% 7.7% 15.4% 7.7% 2.6%

Det MSA 31.3% 6.0% 10.4% 17.9% 3.0% 6.0%

High School 27.1% 19.3% 6.4% 9.3% 5.0% 2.9%

Some Post 26.5% 16.6% 9.3% 13.9% 5.3% 5.3%

College Grad 27.3% 14.5% 8.2% 16.1% 3.3% 4.6%

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May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

29

Male 31.6% 13.2% 10.1% 10.4% 4.2% 4.5%

Female 22.8% 18.9% 6.1% 17.0% 4.5% 4.2%

Union 27.2% 16.5% 9.5% 16.5% 5.1% 3.2%

Non Union 26.6% 16.3% 7.6% 13.1% 4.1% 4.8%

Caucasian 27.8% 15.8% 8.6% 13.6% 4.1% 4.3%

Af Amer 24.7% 14.3% 6.5% 20.8% 2.6% 1.3%

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May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

30

7. Barack Obama

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard

Strong Dem 89.1% 3.1% 7.3%

Lean Dem 70.0% 20.0% 8.0%

Independent 44.1% 39.2% 14.0%

Lean GOP 11.5% 85.2% 1.6%

Strong GOP 12.0% 85.0% 3.0%

18-29 57.4% 23.5% 19.1%

30-39 49.2% 39.3% 8.2%

40-49 44.7% 46.6% 5.6%

50-64 47.9% 48.6% 3.5%

65+ 53.4% 38.1% 5.9%

UP/N 42.3% 41.0% 14.1%

West 42.6% 51.5% 4.4%

Southwest 56.0% 38.0% 6.0%

Mid 50.0% 40.4% 9.6%

E Central 45.7% 43.5% 8.7%

Oakland 52.5% 38.7% 8.7%

Macomb 44.0% 42.0% 8.0%

Wayne 51.4% 40.0% 7.1%

Detroit 82.1% 10.3% 7.7%

Det MSA 46.3% 44.8% 6.0%

High School 55.7% 37.1% 5.7%

Some Post 39.7% 44.4% 13.2%

College Grad 52.3% 39.8% 6.6%

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

31

Male 45.8% 46.2% 7.3%

Female 53.8% 34.6% 9.0%

Union 57.0% 33.5% 6.3%

Non Union 47.7% 42.4% 8.7%

Caucasian 43.7% 45.9% 8.6%

Af Amer 88.3% 5.2% 5.2%

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

32

8. Donald Trump

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard

Strong Dem 4.7% 88.5% 6.3%

Lean Dem 10.0% 84.0% 6.0%

Independent 32.2% 51.0% 14.0%

Lean GOP 47.5% 39.3% 13.1%

Strong GOP 53.4% 29.3% 12.0%

18-29 20.0% 66.1% 13.0%

30-39 23.0% 62.3% 13.1%

40-49 32.3% 58.4% 5.6%

50-64 28.2% 56.3% 12.0%

65+ 28.8% 58.5% 11.9%

UP/N 30.8% 46.2% 17.9%

West 23.5% 60.3% 11.8%

Southwest 26.0% 58.0% 14.0%

Mid 28.8% 61.5% 3.8%

E Central 32.6% 60.9% 4.3%

Oakland 22.5% 62.5% 13.8%

Macomb 36.0% 48.0% 14.0%

Wayne 27.1% 62.9% 10.0%

Detroit 12.8% 82.1% 2.6%

Det MSA 31.3% 61.2% 7.5%

High School 30.7% 59.3% 10.0%

Some Post 27.8% 53.6% 15.2%

College Grad 25.7% 62.5% 8.6%

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

33

Male 33.0% 55.6% 9.7%

Female 22.1% 63.1% 11.5%

Union 22.8% 62.0% 11.4%

Non Union 28.9% 58.7% 10.3%

Caucasian 30.8% 55.7% 10.6%

Af Amer 7.8% 88.3% 3.9%

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

34

9. Hillary Clinton

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard

Strong Dem 65.1% 20.3% 12.5%

Lean Dem 40.0% 40.0% 16.0%

Independent 17.5% 69.2% 11.2%

Lean GOP 8.2% 86.9% 4.9%

Strong GOP 3.0% 93.2% 3.0%

18-29 20.9% 56.5% 22.6%

30-39 279% 50.8% 16.4%

40-49 23.6% 67.7% 5.6%

50-64 37.3% 56.3% 4.9%

65+ 43.2% 48.3% 6.8%

UP/N 16.7% 65.4% 14.1%

West 23.5% 67.6% 4.4%

Southwest 22.0% 64.0% 10.0%

Mid 30.8% 63.5% 5.8%

E Central 32.6% 52.2% 10.9%

Oakland 32.5% 56.3% 11.2%

Macomb 38.0% 50.0% 8.0%

Wayne 30.0% 54.3% 15.7%

Detroit 76.9% 17.9% 5.1%

Det MSA 23.9% 62.7% 13.4%

High School 40.0% 49.3% 9.3%

Some Post 24.5% 62.9% 10.6%

College Grad 28.9% 58.6% 10.2%

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

35

Male 26.4% 63.2% 9.0%

Female 34.3% 51.6% 11.5%

Union 38.6% 46.8% 10.1%

Non Union 28.0% 60.3% 10.6%

Caucasian 24.0% 62.9% 10.6%

Af Amer 72.7% 15.6% 11.7%

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

36

10. Bernie Sanders

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard

Strong Dem 72.9% 16.1% 9.4%

Lean Dem 60.0% 24.0% 14.0%

Independent 35.7% 41.3% 19.6%

Lean GOP 21.3% 68.9% 9.8%

Strong GOP 12.8% 75.2% 12.0%

18-29 63.5% 22.6% 13.9%

30-39 37.7% 39.3% 18.0%

40-49 34.8% 50.9% 11.8%

50-64 40.1% 46.5% 12.7%

65+ 40.7% 39.8% 16.1%

UP/N 41.0% 35.9% 17.9%

West 29.4% 60.3% 8.8%

Southwest 52.0% 38.0% 8.0%

Mid 38.5% 46.2% 15.4%

E Central 37.0% 30.4% 26.1%

Oakland 36.3% 45.0% 18.8%

Macomb 46.0% 40.0% 12.0%

Wayne 50.0% 35.7% 14.3%

Detroit 64.1% 23.1% 10.3%

Det MSA 44.8% 44.8% 9.0%

High School 44.3% 35.0% 19.3%

Some Post 43.0% 38.4% 17.9%

College Grad 42.1% 45.1% 9.9%

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

37

Male 39.9% 45.5% 13.5%

Female 45.5% 36.9% 14.7%

Union 47.5% 36.1% 13.3%

Non Union 41.1% 42.7% 14.7%

Caucasian 39.4% 43.9% 14.7%

Af Amer 70.1% 16.9% 11.7%

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

38

11. Rick Snyder

Favorable Unfavorable No Opinion Never Heard

Strong Dem 11.5% 72.9% 14.1% 1.0%

Lean Dem 20.0% 64.0% 16.0%

Independent 31.5% 47.6% 16.8%

Lean GOP 49.2% 37.7% 13.1%

Strong GOP 67.7% 17.3% 12.8%

18-29 20.9% 51.3% 27.8%

30-39 24.6% 52.5% 16.4% 1.6%

40-49 39.8% 45.3% 12.4%

50-64 39.4% 50.7% 8.5%

65+ 33.9% 48.3% 13.6% 0.8%

UP/N 35.9% 37.2% 23.1%

West 33.8% 50.0% 14.7%

Southwest 36.0% 50.0% 14.0%

Mid 36.5% 50.0% 11.5%

E Central 23.9% 43.5% 23.9%

Oakland 40.0% 46.3% 13.8%

Macomb 40.0% 40.0% 18.0%

Wayne 21.4% 64.3% 10.0%

Detroit 20.5% 64.1% 10.3%

Det MSA 37.3% 50.7% 11.9%

High School 28.6% 51.4% 17.9%

Some Post 29.8% 47.7% 19.9%

College Grad 37.5% 48.4% 11.5%

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

39

Male 37.2% 47.2% 13.9%

Female 29.5% 51.0% 16.3%

Union 25.9% 60.1% 10.1%

Non Union 35.8% 45.2% 17.0%

Caucasian 37.3% 44.8% 15.8%

Af Amer 14.3% 71.4% 13.0%

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

40

12. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Rick Snyder is doing as Governor of Michigan? ASK: WOULD THAT BE

STRONGLY APPROVE/DISAPPROVE OR JUST SOMEWHAT APPROVE/DISAPPROVE?

Strong Somewhat Somewhat Strongly

Approve Approve Disapprove Disapprove

Strong Dem 1.6% 16.1% 18.2% 56.8%

Lean Dem 4.0% 22.0% 26.0% 34.0%

Independent 6.3% 30.8% 18.2% 35.0%

Lean GOP 11.5% 42.6% 21.3% 13.1%

Strong GOP 26.3% 51.1% 12.0% 4.5%

18-29 1.7% 27.8% 17.4% 38.3%

30-39 6.6% 31.1% 18.0% 34.4%

40-49 13.7% 32.3% 19.9% 25.5%

50-64 8.5% 35.2% 17.6% 34.5%

65+ 13.6% 24.6% 16.1% 36.4%

UP/N 15.4% 26.9% 19.2% 24.4%

West 7.4% 36.8% 13.2% 32.4%

Southwest 4.0% 34.0% 18.0% 32.0%

Mid 7.7% 28.8% 17.3% 36.5%

E Central 8.7% 23.9% 23.9% 34.8%

Oakland 12.5% 35.0% 17.5% 28.7%

Macomb 14.0% 30.0% 14.0% 26.0%

Wayne 4.3% 25.7% 22.9% 45.7%

Detroit 7.7% 20.5% 12.8% 53.8%

Det MSA 9.0% 35.8% 20.9% 26.9%

High School 5.0% 27.1% 15.0% 39.3%

Some Post 5.3% 33.1% 19.2% 31.1%

College Grad 13.5% 30.9% 18.8% 30.9%

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

41

Male 10.8% 32.3% 19.4% 28.8%

Female 8.0% 28.5% 17.0% 37.2%

Union 7.0% 28.5% 13.9% 43.7%

Non Union 10.1% 31.2% 19.5% 29.4%

Caucasian 10.0% 34.2% 18.3% 27.8%

Af Amer 3.9% 15.6% 14.3% 61.0%

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Michigan Statewide Survey

May 2016

Glengariff Group, Inc.

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13. If the election for President of the United States were held today and [ROTATE] Hillary Clinton was the Democratic candidate

and Donald Trump was the Republican candidate, who would you vote for to be President of the United States? IF DON’T

KNOW, ASK WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?

Clinton Lean Trump Lean Don’t Know Other

Strong Dem 77.6% 7.3% 4.2% 1.6% 4.7% 4.2%

Lean Dem 52.0% 10.0% 16.0% 0.0% 12.0% 8.0%

Independent 23.8% 4.9% 32.9% 4.9% 23.8% 4.9%

Lean GOP 9.8% 1.6% 65.6% 4.9% 11.5% 4.9%

Strong GOP 4.5% 1.5% 75.9% 5.3% 9.0% 0.0%

18-29 36.5% 11.3% 27.0% 6.1% 10.4% 7.0%

30-39 31.1% 4.9% 29.5% 6.6% 16.4% 4.9%

40-49 31.1% 4.3% 42.2% 1.2% 12.4% 4.3%

50-64 42.3% 2.1% 37.3% 4.9% 8.5% 2.8%

65+ 44.1% 1.7% 33.1% 0.8% 13.6% 1.7%

UP/N 21.8% 2.6% 48.7% 2.6% 16.7% 6.4%

West 30.9% 4.4% 36.8% 8.8% 10.3% 1.5%

Southwest 26.0% 12.0% 36.0% 2.0% 16.0% 8.0%

Mid 32.7% 5.8% 32.7% 7.7% 5.8% 13.5%

E Central 43.5% 4.3% 34.8% 2.2% 10.9% 2.2%

Oakland 41.2% 2.5% 37.5% 3.8% 8.7% 0.0%

Macomb 36.0% 4.0% 34.0% 0.0% 18.0% 2.0%

Wayne 40.0% 8.6% 28.6% 4.3% 12.9% 4.3%

Detroit 84.6% 0.0% 7.7% 0.0% 5.1% 0.0%

Det MSA 34.3% 4.5% 38.8% 1.5% 11.9% 3.0%

High School 40.0% 4.3% 35.7% 2.1% 14.3% 0.7%

Some Post 29.8% 2.6% 38.4% 4.6% 10.6% 9.9%

College Grad 39.1% 5.9% 33.2% 3.6% 11.5% 2.6%

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Male 31.6% 6.3% 44.1% 3.5% 7.3% 4.9%

Female 42.3% 3.5% 26.6% 3.5% 16.0% 3.2%

Union 48.1% 5.1% 29.7% 1.9% 10.1% 3.2%

Non Union 33.7% 4.6% 36.5% 4.1% 12.4% 4.4%

Caucasian 30.5% 4.5% 39.6% 3.4% 13.6% 5.0%

Af Amer 83.1% 7.8% 3.9% 1.3% 1.3% 1.3%

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14. If the election for President of the United States were held today and [ROTATE] Bernie Sanders was the Democratic candidate

and Donald Trump was the Republican candidate, who would you vote for to be President of the United States? IF DON’T

KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?

Sanders Lean Trump Lean Don’t Know Other

Strong Dem 89.1% 1.6% 3.1% 0.5% 4.7% 0.5%

Lean Dem 74.0% 2.0% 8.0% 0.0% 16.0% 0.0%

Independent 42.7% 2.1% 28.7% 1.4% 21.0% 1.4%

Lean GOP 19.7% 0.0% 57.4% 4.9% 9.8% 4.9%

Strong GOP 10.5% 2.3% 72.2% 3.8% 9.8% 0.0%

18-29 70.4% 0.0% 17.4% 2.6% 8.7% 0.0%

30-39 47.5% 1.6% 26.2% 4.9% 11.5% 1.5%

40-49 39.8% 1.9% 37.9% 0.6% 15.5% 1.9%

50-64 47.9% 1.4% 35.9% 2.8% 9.9% 1.4%

65+ 48.3% 3.4% 30.5% 1.7% 11.0% 0.8%

UP/N 43.6% 2.6% 37.2% 0.0% 16.7% 0.0%

West 44.1% 1.5% 30.9% 7.4% 10.3% 0.0%

Southwest 52.0% 2.0% 26.0% 2.0% 18.0% 0.0%

Mid 53.8% 0.0% 28.8% 3.8% 5.8% 5.8%

E Central 50.0% 2.2% 32.6% 2.2% 13.0% 0.0%

Oakland 47.5% 1.3% 32.5% 2.5% 12.5% 0.0%

Macomb 42.0% 4.0% 34.0% 0.0% 5.7% 2.9%

Wayne 60.0% 0.0% 28.6% 1.4% 5.7% 2.9%

Detroit 76.9% 0.0% 10.3% 0.0% 7.7% 2.6%

Det MSA 41.8% 3.0% 37.3% 1.5% 11.9% 1.5%

High School 50.0% 0.0% 30.0% 0.7% 17.1% 0.0%

Some Post 48.3% 3.3% 32.5% 3.3% 9.9% 1.3%

College Grad 50.7% 1.3% 30.6% 2.3% 10.2% 1.6%

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Male 46.2% 2.4% 38.5% 2.1% 8.0% 1.0%

Female 53.5% 1.0% 23.7% 2.2% 15.1% 1.3%

Union 53.8% 2.5% 25.9% 2.5% 13.3% 0.6%

Non Union 48.6% 1.4% 32.6% 2.1% 11.0% 1.4%

Caucasian 45.2% 1.6% 35.1% 2.0% 12.4% 1.1%

Af Amer 84.4% 1.3% 5.2% 0.0% 6.5% 1.3%

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15. If the election for President of the United States were held today and [ROTATE] Hillary Clinton was the Democratic

candidate, Donald Trump was the Republican candidate, and Gary Johnson was the Libertarian candidate, who would you vote

for to be President of the United States? IF DON’T KNOW, ASK: WHICH WAY DO YOU LEAN?

Clinton Lean Trump Lean Johnson Lean Don’t Know Other

Strong Dem 74.0% 4.7% 3.1% 0.5% 4.2% 3.1% 7.3% 2.1%

Lean Dem 48.0% 6.0% 6.0% 0.0% 16.0% 2.0% 18.0% 4.0%

Independent 17.5% 1.4% 30.1% 2.1% 15.4% 2.8% 24.5% 2.8%

Lean GOP 8.2% 1.6% 54.1% 4.9% 6.6% 5.9% 11.5% 4.9%

Strong GOP 1.5% 0.0% 70.7% 3.8% 6.8% 2.3% 12.0% 0.8%

18-29 29.6% 7.0% 24.3% 3.5% 12.2% 5.2% 13.9% 3.5%

30-39 24.6% 0.0% 24.6% 3.3% 18.0% 3.3% 14.8% 1.6%

40-49 27.3% 2.5% 35.4% 2.5% 9.9% 1.9% 15.5% 2.5%

50-64 40.1% 1.4% 33.8% 1.4% 4.9% 4.2% 10.6% 2.1%

65+ 42.4% 0.8% 29.7% 0.0% 3.4% 0.0% 17.8% 1.7%

UP/N 17.9% 3.8% 39.7% 1.3% 11.5% 2.6% 19.2% 2.6%

West 29.4% 1.5% 33.8% 2.9% 10.3% 2.9% 11.8% 2.9%

Southwest 22.0% 4.0% 32.0% 2.0% 8.0% 2.0% 28.0% 2.0%

Mid 34.6% 0.0% 25.0% 5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 11.5%

E Central 32.6% 4.3% 34.8% 0.0% 6.5% 4.3% 17.4% 0.0%

Oakland 40.0% 0.0% 31.3% 3.8% 5.0% 2.5% 13.8% 0.0%

Macomb 32.0% 6.0% 26.0% 0.0% 10.0% 2.0% 18.0% 0.0%

Wayne 32.9% 2.9% 25.7% 2.9% 11.4% 4.3% 15.7% 2.9%

Detroit 84.6% 0.0% 5.1% 0.0% 5.1% 0.0% 2.6% 0.0%

Det MSA 26.9% 4.5% 38.8% 1.5% 10.4% 1.5% 10.4% 1.5%

High School 37.9% 1.4% 29.3% 0.0% 6.4% 4.3% 18.6% 0.0%

Some Post 23.2% 3.3% 35.8% 4.6% 9.3% 1.3% 14.6% 6.6%

College Grad 35.9% 2.6% 28.9% 1.6% 9.5% 3.0% 12.8% 1.3%

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Male 29.9% 3.1% 36.8% 3.1% 10.1% 1.7% 10.4% 2.8%

Female 36.5% 2.2% 24.7% 1.3% 7.4% 3.8% 18.3% 1.9%

Union 44.3% 2.5% 26.6% 1.9% 8.9% 0.6% 12.0% 1.3%

Non Union 29.8% 2.5% 31.7% 2.1% 8.7% 3.7% 15.4% 2.8%

Caucasian 27.1% 2.5% 34.6% 1.8% 9.7% 3.2% 14.9% 2.9%

Af Amer 75.3% 3.9% 5.2% 0.0% 2.6% 2.6% 7.8% 1.3%

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16. Regardless of whom you plan to vote for in November, do you think [ROTATE] Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump is most

likely to be elected President?

Clinton Trump Don’t Know

Strong Dem 69.3% 16.1% 10.9%

Lean Dem 60.0% 28.0% 8.0%

Independent 27.3% 49.0% 20.3%

Lean GOP 21.3% 62.3% 14.8%

Strong GOP 18.8% 69.9% 9.8%

18-29 39.1% 47.8% 8.7%

30-39 47.5% 31.1% 16.4%

40-49 34.8% 47.2% 15.5%

50-64 40.1% 43.0% 14.1%

65+ 46.6% 33.9% 17.8%

UP/N 28.2% 52.6% 16.7%

West 39.7% 39.7% 19.1%

Southwest 36.0% 42.0% 16.0%

Mid 40.4% 42.3% 11.5%

E Central 41.3% 41.3% 17.4%

Oakland 32.5% 50.0% 12.5%

Macomb 34.0% 42.0% 22.0%

Wayne 50.0% 42.9% 4.3%

Detroit 69.2% 10.3% 15.4%

Det MSA 44.8% 41.8% 13.4%

High School 40.0% 43.6% 14.3%

Some Post 30.5% 47.0% 17.9%

College Grad 45.7% 38.8% 12.8%

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Male 38.9% 48.6% 10.8%

Female 41.7% 36.2% 17.9%

Union 48.7% 34.8% 15.2%

Non Union 37.4% 44.5% 14.4%

Caucasian 35.7% 46.2% 15.8%

Af Amer 70.1% 18.2% 6.5%

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17. The State Legislature has been considering plans to help Michigan’s largest school system, the Detroit Public Schools, deal

with its debt problem. Governor Rick Snyder, Detroit Mayor Mike Duggan and the Michigan Senate support a plan that would

pay off $467 million in debt for the Detroit Public Schools. In addition, the Detroit Public Schools would receive an addition

$200 million in transition costs to repair existing schools and invest in improved education programs. They argue that without

this additional funding, the Detroit Public Schools will simply start off in debt again as they grapple with these existing needs.

The State House supports a plan that would pay off the $467 million in debt for the Detroit Public Schools. In addition, the

Detroit Public Schools would receive only $33 million for transition costs to repair existing schools and invest in education

programs. State House leaders question why the state should subsidize building repairs for one single school system.

Would you say you support the Senate plan that pays off the debt and provides $200 million in transition costs, the House plan

that pays off the debt but provides $33 million in transition costs, or would you say you do not support either plan?

Senate House Neither Don’t Know

Strong Dem 41.7% 17.2% 29.7% 11.5%

Lean Dem 44.0% 10.0% 26.0% 20.0%

Independent 30.1% 13.3% 45.5% 11.2%

Lean GOP 16.4% 36.1% 39.3% 8.2%

Strong GOP 20.3% 21.1% 48.1% 10.5%

18-29 41.7% 23.5% 18.3% 16.5%

30-39 32.8% 21.3% 26.2% 19.7%

40-49 31.7% 15.5% 44.1% 8.7%

50-64 23.2% 23.9% 45.1% 7.7%

65+ 26.3% 9.3% 52.5% 11.9%

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UP/N 25.6% 23.1% 42.3% 9.0%

West 14.7% 16.2% 52.9% 16.2%

Southwest 28.0% 24.0% 36.0% 12.0%

Mid 28.8% 15.4% 34.6% 21.2%

E Central 28.3% 13.0% 47.8% 10.9%

Oakland 33.8% 18.8% 37.5% 10.0%

Macomb 28.0% 28.0% 34.0% 10.0%

Wayne 28.6% 24.3% 34.3% 12.9%

Detroit 53.8% 7.7% 33.3% 5.1%

Det MSA 44.8% 10.4% 35.8% 9.0%

High School 30.0% 14.3% 45.7% 10.0%

Some Post 25.2% 21.9% 41.1% 11.9%

College Grad 33.6% 18.4% 35.9% 12.2%

Male 31.3% 17.0% 44.1% 7.6%

Female 30.1% 19.9% 34.6% 15.4%

Union 35.4% 13.3% 40.5% 10.8%

Non Union 28.4% 20.6% 39.0% 11.9%

Caucasian 27.6% 20.1% 39.6% 12.7%

Af Amer 46.8% 14.3% 28.6% 10.4%

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18. As part of this debate, the Michigan Legislature is considering the creation of a Detroit Education Commission that would

control how many new or charter schools could open in the City of Detroit. Supporters argue the commission is needed to

control the number of schools, stabilize enrollment, and stop the loss of students in Detroit Public Schools that contributes to

the school system’s debt. Opponents argue that the commission would decrease competition among schools and limit parental

choice. Would you say you support or oppose controlling the growth in charter schools in Detroit? ASK: WOULD THAT BE

STRONGLY SUPPORT/OPPOSE OR JUST SOMEWHAT SUPPORT/OPPOSE?

Support Oppose Don’t Know

Strong Dem 47.9% 31.8% 20.3%

Lean Dem 46.0% 34.0% 20.0%

Independent 41.3% 39.2% 19.6%

Lean GOP 50.8% 36.1% 13.1%

Strong GOP 32.3% 47.4% 20.3%

18-29 47.8% 32.2% 20.0%

30-39 42.6% 37.7% 19.7%

40-49 44.7% 36.6% 18.6%

50-64 47.2% 35.9% 16.9%

65+ 29.7% 46.6% 23.7%

UP/N 41.0% 39.7% 19.2%

West 42.6% 39.7% 17.6%

Southwest 34.0% 46.0% 20.0%

Mid 44.2% 28.8% 26.9%

E Central 41.3% 28.3% 30.4%

Oakland 38.7% 37.5% 23.7%

Macomb 46.0% 26.0% 28.0%

Wayne 50.0% 40.0% 10.0%

Detroit 41.0% 48.7% 10.3%

Det MSA 46.3% 41.8% 11.9%

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High School 32.9% 35.7% 31.4%

Some Post 44.4% 33.8% 21.9%

College Grad 46.1% 41.1% 12.8%

Male 42.4% 39.6% 18.1%

Female 42.9% 36.2% 20.8%

Union 51.9% 31.0% 17.1%

Non Union 39.4% 40.4% 20.2%

Caucasian 42.3% 36.9% 20.8%

Af Amer 49.4% 40.3% 10.4%

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20. And on a scale of one to ten, how excited are you to cast a ballot in the November General Election this year? One means you

are not at all excited and ten means you are extremely excited. You can choose any number from one to ten.

SCORE

Strong Dem 6.5

Lean Dem 5.8

Independent 4.5

Lean GOP 6.0

Strong GOP 5.8

18-29 5.6

30-39 4.8

40-49 5.7

50-64 6.1

65+ 5.8

UP/N 5.5

West 5.3

Southwest 5.7

Mid 5.1

E Central 5.9

Oakland 5.7

Macomb 5.3

Wayne 5.9

Detroit 7.3

Det MSA 6.1

High School 6.0

Some Post 5.6

College Grad 5.6

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Male 5.9

Female 5.6

Union 5.8

Non Union 5.7

Caucasian 5.6

Af Amer 6.9


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