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    National Diet Library, Kansai-kan 8 Oct2010 1

    Latest Trends in USLibraries and OCLC in theDigital Environment

    James Michalko

    Vice President, OCLC Research

    National Diet Library, Kansai-kan

    8 October 2010

    with thanks to Lorcan Dempsey, Brian Lavoie, David Lewis, Constance Malpasand Karen Smith-Yoshimura for their contributions

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    Problem Statement

    As academic libraries change the way they manageprint collections

    Sending books to storage

    Discarding duplicated physical books and journals

    Licensing e-journals and e-books

    Responsibility for the scholarly record and culturalheritage will be changed and redistributed amongnational and academic libraries

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    Overview

    The changing place of the US Library within University

    Collection trends (within US research libraries)

    Mass Digitization and the switch to e-books

    Implications for libraries, national libraries and

    OCLC

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    Simplistic

    Content

    Disclaimer

    Time is short, language is a barrierAll examples are U.S.A perspective

    This presentation

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    a Diversion

    Some analysis of Japan and OCLC WorldCat

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    OCLC and NDL collaboration

    NDL has agreed to:

    Load its JapanMARC records into WorldCat

    This is just beginning

    Contribute its authority files to the VirtualInternational Authority (VIAF) file

    This links authority files from national libraries and otheragencies and makes them available on the web.

    NDL data is not yet loaded

    These statistics will change when the NDL contributionshave been integrated.

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    Japanese Book Publication

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    Japan in WorldCat

    Statistics current as of July 2010

    Materials published in Japan:

    As of July 2008: 2,660,638

    As of July 2010: 3,185,301 (+20 percent)

    Total Japanese holdings:

    6,322,711

    Original WorldCat records contributed byJapanese institutions:

    1,099,346

    Total holdings in WorldCat attached to

    Japanese-contributed records:

    2,160,027

    Japanese-language materials:

    As of July 2008: 2,539,948

    As of July 2010: 2,985,134 (+18 percent)

    4.3 million

    1.3 million

    4.1 million

    1.4 million

    Japanese Collective Collection in WorldCat

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    Overview

    Disclaimer

    my perspective is research and academic

    libraries

    Based on USA the forecast in Japan may bevery different

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    Overview

    The changing place of the Library within University

    Collection trends (within US research libraries)

    Mass Digitization and the switch to e-books

    Implications for academic libraries, national libraries

    and OCLC

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    Place of the Library in University

    Why do Universities have libraries?

    It was more economical to have a physical collection than to send researchers orstudents to the information.

    It was useful to locate all the needed information resources for research andlearning physically close to the work.

    Local collections were assets and contributed competitively to scholarly output

    Consider the town squarein the United States

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    The network changes everything

    The network has reconfigured whole industries

    Travel, News, Book Retailing

    The network is now the first option for researchersand learners

    Impact on the university library

    changed the value of physical book collections and libraryspace

    changed the relevance of the library assets and services to theUniversitys outputs

    We do not yet know what it will mean toreconfigure the library within the University

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    collection trends

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    An unsustainablepattern of growth

    Source: Expenditure Trends in ARLLibraries, 19862007ARL Statistics20062007, Association of ResearchLibraries, Washington, DC

    ARL Expenditures, 1986-2007

    Less investment in libraries

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    . %rend continues library allocations would fall below 0 5 by, fit sector concerns about infrastructure costs in the middle and budget

    .the research sector all support this trend

    :Analysis based on NCES data Constance Malpas

    Less investment in libraries

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    Source: Service Trends in ARLLibraries, 19912007 ARL Statistics20062007, Association of ResearchLibraries, Washington, DC

    While student enrollment

    has increased(+25%) . . .

    In the last 15 years . . .

    use of onsite library

    collections/services hasdecreased (-10 to -50%). . .

    and reliance on external

    collections has more thandoubled (+150%)

    Students and researchers relianceon library has changed

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    What Do We Know About Print Book Use

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    12.9%

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    switch to e-books

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    Move from Print to Electronic Collections

    2010 David W. Lewis.

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    Move from Print to Electronic Collections

    2010 David W. Lewis

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    and the switch to primarily e-bookpurchasing will happen soon

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    Forecasts Digital Availability of e-books- the publishers expect this switch

    *Current

    :Trade

    / :Acad Prof

    :Text books

    / :H S

    #Ten Years*Five YearsFront Back

    Segment

    %25

    %10

    %20%1

    %85

    %75

    %90%20

    %100

    %100

    %100%50

    %50

    %30

    %10%5

    :Memo* ,Assumes top tier publishers 1 000 active publishers# .Assumes any active publisher selling on Amazon com

    OCLC work commissioned from Michael Cairns.

    Based on interviews with selection of industry experts.

    :College

    f h h bl

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    Status of the switch to e-publications

    Complete for e-journals

    Will be primarily electronic for books soon

    Combine with

    Mass digitization of legacy print collections Google in USA digitizing everything regardless of copyright

    status

    Google participating libraries creating a joint platform to

    store, preserve and ultimately access their copies of theGoogle digital versions. The platform is run by theUniversity of Michigan and called the Hathi Trust

    . .ww hathitrust org

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    Hathi Trust - current members

    California Digital Library Indiana University Michigan State University Northwestern University The Ohio State University

    Penn State University Purdue University UC Berkeley UC Davis UC Irvine

    UCLA UC Merced UC Riverside

    MOST OF THE US GOOGLE BOOK PARTNERS

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    Moving from Print to Electronic Books

    IF

    E-book publishing will be the norm and

    Legacy print will be digitized (Google, Hathi, theDigitizing Academic Books in Japanese project)

    THEN

    We can change the management of our existingprint collections

    We can retire our legacy print collections

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    Retire Legacy Print Collections

    Under way at manyinstitutions

    Discussions in process oncollaborations and nationalprograms

    2010 David W. Lewis.

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    Retiring Legacy Print Collections- digital is much cheaper than the library or a storage facility

    . .5 00 to $13 10.28 77

    . .50 98 to $68 43

    % . . , Life cycle cost based on 3 discount rate From Paul N Courant and Matthew Buzzy Nielsen On the Cost,of Keeping a Book in :The Idea of Order Transforming Research Collections for 21st Century Scholarship,

    , , :CLIR June 2010 available at :// . . / / / .http www clir org pubs abstract pub147abst html

    http://www.clir.org/pubs/abstract/pub147abst.htmlhttp://www.clir.org/pubs/abstract/pub147abst.htmlhttp://www.clir.org/pubs/abstract/pub147abst.html
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    implications

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    US Investment in Academic Print Collections

    ca emc rary xpen ures

    on Purchased and Licensed Conte

    0%

    10%20%30%40%50%60%

    70%80%90%

    1998

    2000

    2002

    2004

    2006

    2008

    2014

    2020

    Print books and journalE-journals and e-books

    Projected chang

    : , , , -Source US Dept of Education NCES Academic Libraries Survey 1998 2008

    ou arehere

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    A global change in the library environment

    June 2010: %Median duplication 31

    June 2009

    : %Median duplication 19

    mic print book collection already substantially duplicated in mass digitize

    Data current as of June 20

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    Result of E-books plus stored print

    With the exception of a small number of large research libraries,

    retrospective print collections will be managed as a shared resource and

    physically consolidated in large regional stores

    Library materials spending in the academic sector will be

    80+% directed toward licensed electronic content

    distributed by a small number of large aggregators

    Strong downward pressure on costs will

    push towards library consolidation,

    more resource sharing,

    move to outsourced services.

    IF

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    IFmost academic libraries become license agencies and

    provide local teaching and research support

    What happens to the record ofscholarship? to culturalheritage?

    Who collects it comprehensively?

    Who takes responsibility for preservation?

    The burden falls on research and national libraries

    The Scholarly Record includes

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    The Scholarly Record includes

    Legacy print

    Digitized printLicensed (e-books + e-journals)

    New scholarly outputs

    Primary sources

    Data

    Archives and Special Collections

    Communications

    From Lorcan Dempsey March 2010

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    For-ProfitNon-Profit

    Paid Access

    Free Access

    /of Provision for Scholarly Communication Journals

    Author PagesSocial Networks( . ., )e g Nature Network

    Open Access( . ., )e g BioMed Central

    trad Publishing

    ( . ., )Open Access e g PLoS.ArXiv org.RePEc orgPubMed Central

    NARCIS

    ICPSRAmerican Economic Review

    JSTOR

    Often enhanced with new forms of value adde.g., bundling articles with data; semantic enric

    Mostly experimental at this pointgrowing segment, aided by public policy support

    ition of coexistence with commercial publishing

    From Lorcan Dempsey March 2010

    From Lorcan Dempsey March 2010

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    For-ProfitNon-Profit

    Paid Access

    Free Access

    /of Provision for Scholarly Communication Journals

    Author PagesSocial Networks( . ., )e g Nature Network

    Open Access( . ., )e g BioMed Central

    trad Publishing

    ( . ., )Open Access e g PLoS.ArXiv org.RePEc orgPubMed Central

    NARCIS

    ICPSRAmerican Economic Review

    JSTOR

    Often enhanced with new forms of value adde.g., bundling articles with data; semantic enric

    Mostly experimental at this pointgrowing segment, aided by public policy support

    ition of coexistence with commercial publishing

    esearch institutions:significant funder?

    Research institutions:major constituency?

    Research institutions:75% of academic revenue?

    y

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    Stewardship From Lorcan Dempsey March 2010

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    COLLECTIONS GRID

    high low

    low

    hi

    gh

    All institutions: shift to licensedAll institutions: manage transition from print?Licensed channel providers: consumer, education, scholarly, ..

    All institutions:How much investment?

    Research institutions:managing institutional assets

    Research institutions:new scholarly outputs

    All institutions: learning material

    Conclusion #1

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    Conclusion #1

    The switch to e-publications and digital delivery will

    reconfigure the academic libraryThe academic library will use its resources to

    become the most efficient unit that adds local value

    By moving beyond its past and its tradition as aphysical storehouse of texts the library will

    become a bundle of services that adds value to theUniversitys output scholarship and research

    Conclusion #2

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    Conclusion #2

    This reconfiguation will require national libraries and agencies to

    Collaborate explicitly with academic libraries Redefine their mission

    Adjust their focus and investments

    Become part of a new reconfigured national system

    Take a key role in a this new system

    Result managed collection and preservation of thenations scholarly record and its cultural heritage

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    THANK YOU

    [email protected]

    comments, questions and observations are verywelcome via email

    with thanks to Lorcan Dempsey, Brian Lavoie, David Lewis, Constance

    Malpas and Karen Smith-Yoshimura for their contributions

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]
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