Download - III. The market for PV hybrid solutions
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Business assessment for
diesel hybrid systems in Indonesia
Stephan Blocks, EKONID –– Berlin, 3st June 2013
I. Introduction: Review 2012 and outlook 2013-2014
2012
Business delegation on PV systems, open for all kinds of technology (on- and off-grid)
2013
Focus on PV hybrid systems for the off-grid market
2014 or 2015
AHK business trip in 2014 or 2015 especially for on-grid solutions
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I. Introduction: Framework of the AHK market
study
Update of the previous study with focus
on the PV hyrbid market (off-grid)
Serves as handbook for businesses
Focus on Indonesian actors and their
demand
Available latest end of July 2013
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II. Sentiment for PV hybrid solutions in Indonesia
High energy production cost for diesel gen-sets (30 Euro cent)
Competetiveness of PV solutions is increasing
Electricity demand increases by 9% annually
Electrification rate in average only 74 %
Necessity of decentralized grids to electrify remote areas
Awareness for PV solutions increasing
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II. Sentiment for PV hybrid solutions in Indonesia
II. Sentiment for PV hybrid solutions in Indonesia
III. The market for PV hybrid solutions
Indonesian ministries, local authorities:
Estimated budget for PV projects in 2013: USD 250 million
80% for off-grid solutions thereof
PLN
implements government as well as its own projects
Base transceiver stations
of telecommunication companies (2 MW installed capacity, estimated)
Captive power solutions
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III. The market for PV hybrid solutions: PLN/GOI
Besides the 8 large interconnected grids PLN operates
600 (mostly diesel powered) mini-grids outside the Java-
Bali network
PLN operates a total of 4600 diesel gensets (3,100 MW)
outside Java-Bali, representing 40 percent of the total
outer Java-Bali generation capacity
Estimation: 30,000 small diesel gensets in rural areas
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III. The market for PV hybrid solutions: PLN/GOI
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III. The market for PV hybrid solutions: PLN/GOI
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Location Inverter Capacity Renewable Capacity
Maluku and Makassar Islands status: under contract 500kW 700kW
Maluku Islands status: under contract 250kW 225kW
Marampit island (Sulawesi) status: complete 75kW 150kWp
Maluku Province status: under contract 275kW 405kW
Morotai Island, Maluku Status: complete 1.35MW 600kW
Bunaken, Sulawesi Status: complete 215kW 353kW
III. The market for PV hybrid solutions: PLN/GOI
E-procurement website of the Indonesian Ministry of Energy
http://eproc.esdm.go.id/eproc/app
Accessed: 02/06/2013
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Region Estimated Budget Tender period
Papua province (6 tenders)
600K – 2.0 million Euros 28/05 – 05/06/2013 and 31/05 - 10/06/2013
West Papua province (2 tenders)
> 1.0 million Euros 28/05 – 10/06/2013 and 31/05 - 10/06/2013
South Jakarta (on-grid?) 40K Euros 28/05 – 10/06/2013
Karimunjava island (East Java)
27K Euros 28/05 – 10/06/2013
III. The market for PV hybrid solutions: PLN/GOI
1000 islands project:
Phase I to start in 2014: hybridization of diesel gen-sets with PV
~35 MWp scattered across 170 locations
mini-feasibility studies already conducted for all sites
300 Mio US$ in loans from World Bank and KfW
tender to be announced internationally in 2014
High-quality components to ensure sustainability
opportunities for international participants
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III. The market for PV hybrid solutions
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III. The market for PV hybrid solutions
B) Base transceiver stations (BTS)
5-10 % of Indonesia’s 150,000 to 200,000 BTS are off-grid and
usually powered by diesel gen-sets
Operators aim at cost reduction for power supply to increase
margins
PV hybridization starts to be a cost-efficient alternative
System size 5-20 kWp
Telkomsel has experience with PV solutions since 2003
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III. The market for PV hybrid solutions
Telkomsel:
In 2007-2008: Conergy in partnership with Gerbang Multindo Nusantara (GMN)
16 off-grid photovoltaic systems for PT Telkomsel
total installed capacity of 158.50 kw
Project sites were located in remote areas around Sumatra, Sulawesi and Irian Jaya (Papua)
Status 2012:
Telkomsel operats 234 “green” BTS powered by solar cells and micro hydro power as green energy sources
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III. The market for PV hybrid solutions
Indosat:
Employs a hybrid system: combination of
solar cell panels, wind turbine and bio-fueled diesel gen-sets and
(where applicable) electricity from the PLN grid to supply power to a BTS
Experiences with Charge-Discharge-Controller (CDC), battery bank+diesel gen-set (760 sites in 2011)
Status 2012: more than 100 solar-powered BTS in remote areas to reduce reliance on diesel
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III. The market for PV hybrid solutions
C) Captive Power
According to PLN data:
6.4 GW of captive power installations (4 GW outside Java-Bali)
Diesel gen-sets are mostly used in off-grid areas for tourism, industry and residencies
no mass market yet as customers have to be convinced individually
Eco resorts and manufacturing plants that want to be seen as “green” provide a steady and increasing market for PV hybrid solutions
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IV. Challenges
Tender and business processes not always transparent
Import duties and local standards for technical
components
Lack of expertise
On-site problems
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V. Recommendations
Partnerships with experienced local contractors and distributors
Quick and reliable after-sale-services are a must
Durable technology for energy storage and control electronics
Ability to co-finance projects is an advantage
Successful pilot project leads to more opportunities
Community development in the project regions, including capacity
building for local stakeholders
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