Transcript

1

High Fraction

Hybrid Solar in

Canada’s North

Making $’s and Sense…

Now!

Dave H. Gerwing B.Eng., M.Sc., P. Eng.

[email protected]

Sr. Technical Engineer – Lockheed Martin Canada

www.lockheedmartin.ca/renewables

2

Objectives of Presentation

1. Communicate Lockheed Martin’s Product

and Service Offerings

2. Share Test Results for Solar Hybrid

Renewable Energy Systems

3. Present Simulation Results for Hybrid

Renewable Energy Systems for Northern

Canada Communities

3

Lockheed Martin Canada Offerings

1. Engineer, Procure, Construct & Manage

Complete Projects

2. Proprietary Solar Tracking Hardware

4

Existing Off Grid Power Systems

5

Off Grid Renewable Power System

Typically Small Non-Scalable

kW sized Solutions

Charge

Controller &

DC-AC Inverter

6

Lockheed’s Hybrid Solar Solution

Scalable Solutions kW –MW size

Hybrid

Inverter = Charge Controller

& DC-AC Inverter

& AC-DC Rectifier

7

Lockheed’s Hybrid Solar + Wind Solution

Hybrid Solar + Wind Power

System

Scalable Solutions kW –MW size

Hybrid

Inverter = Charge Controller

& DC-AC Inverter

& AC-DC Rectifier

8

Northern Solar Resource

• Pros

– Low geographic

resource variability

– Simple to install and

maintain

– No special skills or

tools

• Cons

– Sunset

– 3 months of winter

darkness

– Needs storage or

additional energy

generators

– Anemic resource

perception

Map Source NRcan

Fixed Tilt Panel

@ Latitude

TRT Tracked

Solar Panels

+50-60%

Trackers Make Canada’s Northern Solar Resource Better Than The South

9

Wind Furling of PV Array

Wind and Snow

Compliant Solar

Panel Mounting…

Lowers Anchoring

and Structural

Costs

Tracked Panel Mounting = Lower Cost and Increased Energy Captured

10

Additional Benefits of Tracking

Vertical

panels are

clear of

snow

Accumulated

snow on

fixed panels

can take

months to

clear

Solar Panels Clear of Snow Capture Up to 10% More Energy Per Year

11

Type of Mounting Matters

1.6x More Customers Served From The Same Solar Panels When Tracked

12

Compact Shipping & Wind “Furling”

Patent Pending

Pre-Assembly and Pre-Wiring = Reduce Cost for Remote Solar

13

14 kWdc System

Minimum Touch With Minimum Equipment = Fast & Low-Cost Deployment

On-Site Off-Loading and Deployment

Field Labor: 2 men x 2 hours to erect from boom truck drop

14

How to Measure Success

𝑺𝒐𝒍𝒂𝒓 𝑭𝒓𝒂𝒄𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏 𝒐𝒓 𝑹𝒆𝒏𝒆𝒘𝒂𝒃𝒍𝒆 𝑭𝒓𝒂𝒄𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏

𝑺𝑭 𝒐𝒓 𝑹𝑭 =𝑬𝒏𝒆𝒓𝒈𝒚 𝑫𝒆𝒍𝒊𝒗𝒆𝒓𝒆𝒅 𝒕𝒐 𝑳𝒐𝒂𝒅 𝒇𝒓𝒐𝒎 𝑺𝒐𝒍𝒂𝒓 𝒐𝒓 𝑹𝒆𝒏𝒆𝒘𝒂𝒃𝒍𝒆

𝑻𝒐𝒕𝒂𝒍 𝑬𝒏𝒆𝒓𝒈𝒚 𝑫𝒆𝒎𝒂𝒏𝒅𝒆𝒅 𝒃𝒚 𝑳𝒐𝒂𝒅

𝑳𝒆𝒗𝒆𝒍𝒊𝒛𝒆𝒅 𝑪𝒐𝒔𝒕 𝒐𝒇 𝑬𝒍𝒆𝒄𝒕𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒊𝒕𝒚

𝑳𝑪𝑶𝑬 =𝑹𝑬 𝑪𝒂𝒑𝒊𝒕𝒂𝒍 𝑪𝒐𝒔𝒕 & 𝑴𝒂𝒊𝒏𝒕 𝑪𝒐𝒔𝒕 𝒐𝒗𝒆𝒓 𝑷𝒓𝒐𝒋𝒆𝒄𝒕 𝑳𝒊𝒇𝒆 ($)

𝑨𝒍𝒍 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝑬𝒏𝒆𝒓𝒈𝒚 𝑷𝒓𝒐𝒅𝒖𝒄𝒆𝒅 𝒐𝒗𝒆𝒓 𝑬𝒒𝒖𝒊𝒑𝒎𝒆𝒏𝒕′𝒔 𝑳𝒊𝒇𝒆 (𝒌𝑾𝒉)

Hybrid Solar Energy Systems have a lower LCOE than

Diesel Generators

in Canada’s North TODAY!

RF and LCOE are Key Metrics for Understanding Energy Solutions

15

Why Tracked Hybrid Solar in the North

• Validated universally available solar resource +/-15%

• Trackers add up to 60% more energy than fixed mount panels

• Pre-wiring and pre-assembly reduces field labour by up to 75%

• Low-skill deployment & maintenance

• Minimum on-site equipment

• Batteries and Hybrid Inverters enable renewable fractions >70%

• Return on Investment 4-8 years

• Resident Health Enhancements

– Lower noise

– Reduce up to 80% of diesel odor, & particulates

• Avoid up to 80% of Diesel Generated Greenhouse Gases

Solar & Battery Hybrid = Enhanced Physical and Financial Health

16

Sustaining the Success

• Avoid the Stranded Asset Syndrome – pick a pedigree integrator

• A high inertia company as an integrator will outlast the product

• Lockheed Martin Canada has:

– 75 years in Canada

– Competencies are:

• Proprietary solar tracking systems

• Integrated energy solutions

• Small, medium and large scale project management

• In service support for aging equipment

• Remote site logistics

• Training & re-training systems

Lockheed Martin Excels at Long-Term In-Service Support

17

Solution Benefits

Power

System

Levelized

Electricity

Cost ($/kWh)

Return on

Investment (years)

Diesel

Run Time (hours/year)

Renewable

Fraction (% Renewable Energy/

Total Energy)

Diesel

Genset

Alone -2

See below Base line 8760 0%

Solar +

Diesel +

Battery -1

$0.76 SDB

$0.93 Diesel Only

6.8 years 4290 26%

Solar +

Diesel +

Wind +

Battery -2

$0.58 SDWB

$0.75 Diesel only

6.9 years 3330 58%

Based on delivered diesel fuel cost of $2.00/liter & NREL - Homer simulations with Meteonorm Solar Data

1. 68° North Latitude - Canada

2. 58° North Latitude - Canada

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High Fraction Hybrid Solar Energy … Now Making $’s and Sense in Canada’s North

www.lockheedmartin.ca/solar-energy for product information, white paper & presentation

Dave H. Gerwing B.Eng., M.Sc., P. Eng.

[email protected]

613 599-3280 x 3456

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Back-Up Slides

20

Analyze Total Community Energy Use

Energy Not Suitable In One Category May Be Perfect For Another

21

Advantage of Solar Tracking

40-60% more

energy …

vs. fixed mount solar panels

Location Latitude

(°N)

Tracked/Fixed

(%kWh)

Paulatuk, NWT 69.4 161%

Iqaluit, NT 63.7 141%

Brochet, MB 57.9 146%

Shamattawa, MB 55.9 138%

Toronto, ON 43.7 137%

Tracked Solar In Canada’s North = Huge Performance Gains vs. Fixed

22

Power Plant Capacity Factors

𝑪𝒂𝒑𝒂𝒄𝒊𝒕𝒚 𝑭𝒂𝒄𝒕𝒐𝒓 =𝑵𝒆𝒕 𝑬𝒏𝒆𝒓𝒈𝒚 𝒑𝒆𝒓 𝒀𝒆𝒂𝒓 𝒇𝒓𝒐𝒎 𝑺𝒐𝒖𝒓𝒄𝒆 (𝑴𝑾𝒉)

𝑬𝒏𝒆𝒓𝒈𝒚 𝒊𝒇 𝑷𝒍𝒂𝒏𝒕 𝑶𝒑𝒆𝒓𝒂𝒕𝒆𝒅 𝒂𝒕 𝑵𝒂𝒎𝒆𝒑𝒍𝒂𝒕𝒆 𝑪𝒂𝒑𝒂𝒄𝒊𝒕𝒚 𝟐𝟒𝒙𝟕𝒙𝟑𝟔𝟓 (𝑴𝑾𝒉)

Typical Capacity Factors

– Solar in Canada’s North 10-12%

– Wind in Canada’s North 5-40% (highly variable by geography)

– Solar in Nevada 19%

– Hydro 40%

– Concentrated Solar with Storage in Spain 75%

– Nuclear 91%

Perception is that Capacity Factor = Maximum Renewable Fraction…

No Longer True With Cost Effective Storage and Hybrid Inverters

Renewable Energy Capacity Factors ≠ Renewable Fraction

23

Wind Power

Small Wind Speed Changes = Large Impact on Energy Supplied

𝑷𝒐𝒘𝒆𝒓 𝟓𝒎𝒑𝒔

𝑷𝒐𝒘𝒆𝒓 𝟕𝒎𝒑𝒔

=(𝟓)𝟑

(𝟕)𝟑= 36%

Wind Power is Proportional to Wind Speed^3

24

Wind Prospecting with Lockheed Lidar

Lockheed 3D Wind Energy Mapping Enhances Project Success

25

Renewable Fraction (RF) & Fuel Price

Hybridizing Appropriate Technologies Maximizes Renewable Fraction

26

LCOE & Fuel Price

Northern Tracked Solar is Less Expensive Than Diesel Electricity Today !

Tip

pin

g P

oin

t

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Cycle Charge vs. Load Following

• Under load following, the genset varies it’s output power to

follow the load meeting current electricity demands:

– None of the electricity produced by the diesel generators is stored

by the battery… but the genset runs 8760 hrs/yr

• Under cycle charging, the genset operates very efficiently at full

capacity intermittently. Any surplus power charges the battery:

– Battery state of charge set points keep the battery at optimal

charge levels automatically starting and stopping the genset

– Under this scenario, the diesel generators can be turned off, but a

grid forming inverter is needed

– Integrating renewables with cycle charge can cost-effectively

maximize their fraction of total energy supplied and dramatically

reduce diesel fuel use, run times and maintenance costs

Cycle Charging + Hybrid Inverter Minimize Diesel Run Times & Fuel Use

28

Hybrid Inverters

• Perform the following functions:

– Enable seamless transfer from grid forming “Islanded” operation

mode to frequency following “Grid Tie” mode when gensets are

powering the majority of the system

– Contain:

• Inverters for DC to AC load support from battery or DC

renewable source

• AC-DC charger/rectifier to enable genset to charge the batteries

• DC to DC charge controllers to enable renewables to charge the

batteries

• Keep the grid stable with 0-100% renewable fraction, genset on

or off, using batteries as the system inertia

– Capable of no power “Black Starts” for remote system resets

– Full remote control and system monitoring

Hybrid Inverters + Batteries Enable High Penetration RE Solutions

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68°N Latitude – Arctic Circle Canada

@ $2.00/Liter fuel price:

• 31% reduction in fuel

• 51% less genset run time

• Positive Net Present Value

• IRR in the teens

• ROI < 7 years

Community Renewable Energy is Economic Today!

Solar-Battery & Genset

Cycle Charge Example

26% Renewable Fraction

Community System:

• 90 kW Genset

• 135 kW Solar

• 120 kWh Battery

• 100 kW Hybrid Inverter

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58°N Latitude – Northern Canada

@ $2.00/Liter fuel price:

• LCOE Diesel Alone: 0.75$/kWh

• LCOE SBW-D Hybrid 0.58$/kWh

• 55% reduction in fuel

• 62% reduced Genset hours

• IRR 13 %

• ROI ~ 7 years

• NPV: $6 M

• Saves 1,500 tons of GHG/year

Solar-Battery-Wind & Genset

Cycle Charge Example

53% Renewable Fraction

High Impact Hybrid Solar … Now Making $’s and Environmental Sense

Community System:

• 425 & 855 kW Gensets

• 5118 MWh/yr Electrical Load

• 250 kW Solar

• 600 kW Wind

• 1MWh Battery

• 500 kW Hybrid Inverter


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