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Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015 h"p://denreymer.com  

Technology Adoption and Market Disruption

Strategic Technology Trends

Time

Gro

wth

Emerging Growth Mainstream

Disruption Clarified and Starting Disruption

Uncertain

Disruption Happening or Happened

Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015

The New IT Reality Emerges

Intelligence Everywhere

Merging the Real World and the Virtual World

1  Computing Everywhere 2  The Internet of Things

4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics

6  Smart Machines

7  Cloud/Client Computing

3 3D Printing

5 Context-Rich Systems

8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure 9 Web-Scale IT 10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection

Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015

The New IT Reality Emerges

Intelligence Everywhere

Merging the Real World and the Virtual World

1  Computing Everywhere 2  The Internet of Things

4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics

6  Smart Machines

7  Cloud/Client Computing

3 3D Printing

5 Context-Rich Systems

8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure 9 Web-Scale IT 10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection

Computing Everywhere — Look Beyond Mobile Form Factors

Inside everything All around

Pocketable Portable Shared areas Desk

Touch, voice, etc. Keyboard, mouse

Gesture

Portable screen Wearable Convertible

•  Many form factors, screen sizes, interaction styles, platforms, architectures

•  Technology advances accelerate: Sensors, displays, wireless and more

•  Embrace heterogeneity and loss of complete control

•  Use containment and isolation as a foundational security strategy

The User Experience in a Hyper Connected World

Richer I/O Models

Emotionally Impactful

Consumer- Driven

People- Centric

Think "Outside in" and Focus on Solution Architecture, Design Thinking and Development

Exploit the natural affinity between agile development methodologies and UX — Pilot and iterate

Create UX pattern libraries that guide application development teams — Personas and use cases

Tool software, so usage data can be extracted and analyzed — Continuous feedback

1

2

3

The Internet of Things Links to Everything

Internet of Things 25B Things by 2020

Internet of Information 30T Web Pages in Google Index, 2013

Internet of Places 6 Foursquare Check-Ins,

January 2015

Manage

Monetize

Operate

Extend

Internet of People 1.35 billion monthly active users

July 2014

Identify New Patterns and Define New Technical Architectures for the Internet of Things

Enterprise/ Thing Gateway Cloud/"Internet" On-Premises

Analytics Data Application Logic and Rules

User Interface

10101001010100 11010101010010 10110101011

Experiment! A $75 Proof of Concept …

Can Save $75,000 "Customer down, magnet down, $75,000 magnet recovery problem to recool the magnet.

These have really worked well monitoring our magnets at our office in Ohio."

… and embrace the "maker culture."

Source: http://supermechanical.tumblr.com/post/51173089463/in-an- internet-of-medical-devices-weve-got-the

… "3d printing is not new but is newly strategic"

2014

Enterprise

2015

Consumer

3 2 1 0

4

5

6

2012 2013 2016 2017

Billions of Dollars

7

81.9% CAGR

Consumer Shipments Point to More Pervasive Use

400,000 200,000

0

600,000

800,000

1,000,000

Shipments 1,200,000

2012 2013 2014

Enterprise

2015

Consumer

2016 2017

95.4% CAGR

Look for Innovation Opportunities From the Simple & Mundane to the Complex and Critical

Airbus A320 Redesigned Nacelle

Hinge Bracket

Injection Molds Cut Tooling Costs

by Up to 97%

M1 Abrams Tank Engine Material Added to Worn Components

Not Impossible Labs "Project Daniel" Prosthetic Limbs

Courtesy of EOS

Courtesy of Not Impossible Labs

Is 3D Print for You? Five Key Questions Responsive Will we be able to focus more on our customers'

needs and less on our manufacturing processes?

Knowledge Do we need to develop our staff's additive manufacturing skills?

Agile Will we make our product development and production processes more nimble?

Cost How much can we reduce product development, operating and support costs?

Will we be able to create items that were difficult or impossible to produce before? Innovation

Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015

The New IT Reality Emerges

Intelligence Everywhere

Merging the Real World and the Virtual World

1  Computing Everywhere 2  The Internet of Things

4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics

6  Smart Machines

7  Cloud/Client Computing

3 3D Printing

5 Context-Rich Systems

8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure 9 Web-Scale IT 10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection

Big Data Security Analytics at the Heart of Next-Generation Security Platforms

Information Collect, Correlate

Big Data

Knowledge Analyze

Data Data Data Data

Logs, Events, Costs, Usage, Attacks, Breaches

Community

Patterns, Meaningful Anomalies

Dependencies, Relationships

Context Continuous Monitoring

and Analytics

Context-Aware Intelligence Model, Simulate, Act, Protect

Context-Rich Systems Understand Who, What, When, Where, How and Why

User-Facing Context Content Sources Process Models

Environment

Community

Identity and Pref.

Location

Calendar

Etc.

History

Connectivity

Patterns

System-Facing Context

Real-Time, Context-Aware, Risk-Aware and Active: Adaptive Access Control

Risk engine.

Trust elevation.

Step-up authentication.

Transaction verification.

Contextual information.

Get more information!

Allow access.

STOP Deny access.

Allow access with fine-grained audit.

Other obligation.

Emerging Trend: The Contextual User Experience

Personal Assistants as Intermediaries Contextual Information: •  Location Information •  Available Endpoints • Human Request for Action • Relevant Services and Content

User Experience Platform: •  Intermediary Between Users and

Content/Capabilities •  Acts for or Interacts With the User to

Accomplish Goals: - The Invisible User Interface • Dynamically Assembles UI Screens/Forms

Image © Apple

Siri Image © Microsoft

Cortana Image © Google

Google Now

… Just the Beginning!

Information-Based Helpers

Machine-Focused Helpers

Sages

Doers

Autonomous Vehicles

Smart Machine Categories Based on What They Do

Movers

(Related market terms - Artificial Intelligence, Robots, Cognitive Computing, Anticipatory Computing)

Rio Tinto — Reinventing Mining … and More

Cornell Robot Credit: Hema Koppula and Ashutosh Saxena, 2013. Robot Learning Lab, Computer Science Department, Cornell University. See http://pr.cs.cornell.edu/anticipation

Cornell's Observant, Predictive Servant

Virtual Private Assistants — You Will Not Have Just One

Image © Microsoft Image © Google

Memorial Sloan Kettering and IBM Watson

Source: IBM

Maturity, Adoption and Diffusion

Segment Smart Advisor

Virtual Personal Assistant1

Early Emerging Use Cases

Adoption Accelerates

90% Adoption for Addressable

Market

Autonomous Personal Transport

Semiautonomous Robotic Assistants

1 Growth of use of virtual personal assistants for work purposes in 2017 to 2018 will exceed iPad's growth in its first 2 years.

2014 2017 Segments Merge (and Fragment) 2020 to 2022 2013 2017

2020 (±2)

2030 (±5)

2044 (±10)

2025 (2020 to 2030)

2032 (2025 to 2040)

?

Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015

The New IT Reality Emerges

Intelligence Everywhere

Merging the Real World and the Virtual World

1  Computing Everywhere 2  The Internet of Things

4 Advanced, Pervasive and Invisible Analytics

6  Smart Machines

7  Cloud/Client Computing

3 3D Printing

5 Context-Rich Systems

8 Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure 9 Web-Scale IT 10 Risk-Based Security and Self-protection

Unify Cloud and Mobile Strategies: Cloud/Client Computing

•  The application is in the cloud. •  Cloud is the coordination point and system of record. •  Clients can be anything with varying levels of data

and logic. •  Applications can span multiple clients. •  Multichannel, Multi-scn., ensemble interactions. •  The experience flows to the user in context. •  Mobile is not about devices … it is about people.

UX logic

Business logic

UX logic

Business logic

Data

Data

Software-Defined Applications and Infrastructure: The Future Is Software-Defined

Networking Cloud Services

Real-Time Infrastructure

Fabric-Based Computing

Service-Oriented Architecture

Model-Driven Architecture

Storage

Security

Data Centers

OpenStack Open Compute

Everything Is Programmable

The API Economy

Software-Defined Architecture for Application Services

Source: "Software-Defined Architecture for Application in Digital Business" (G00264171)

Outer View Resource Virtualization

Inner View Managed Resources

Inner APIs

Outer APIs

Inner View

Outer View

Web-Scale IT: The Foundation for the Digital Future

Web-scale IT is a pattern of global class computing that delivers the capabilities of large cloud services providers to the enterprise

Web-Scale IT

Infrastructure as Code

Web-Oriented Architecture

Collaborative Aligned

Organization

Velocity- F o c u s e d Processes

Risk- Embracing

Culture

Open

Industrially Designed Data

Centers

Source

Create Your Blueprint and Road Map for Web-Scale IT

DevOps API-Based Management Velocity-Focused Processes Collaboratively-Aligned Organization Risk-Embracing Culture

Web-Oriented Architecture

Industrially Designed

Infrastructure

1 2 3

All Roads to the Digital Future Lead Through Security

Security Myth: Perimeter Defense Will Protect My Applications

Mobile Internet of Things

Insider Attacks

Enable Applications to Protect Themselves Application Runtime

Dynamic Interaction Application

Source Code Output:

High-Assurance Security

Vulnerabilities Runtime

Application Self-Protection

Security-Aware Application

Design

Top 10 Strategic Technology Trends for 2015

ü  Proactively analyze disruptive technology trends and create a vision of the future technology landscape

ü  Link trend analysis to the impact on people (employees and customers), the business and IT

ü  Establish strategic decision models to take action on disruptive impacts

ü  Focus on the EA role as a visionary, an analyst and a catalyst for disruptive trend analysis across IT and the business

The New IT Reality Emerges

Intelligence Everywhere

Merging the Real World and the Virtual World

Digital Transformation & Innovation

http://denreymer.com


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