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8/9/2019 Are We Going to Win the Iraq War

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Are We Going to Win theAre We Going to Win the

Iraq War?Iraq War?By Samuel ReddickBy Samuel Reddick


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OIF: The MissionOIF: The Mission

Topple the Baath Party Regime.Topple the Baath Party Regime.

Capture Saddam Hussein.Capture Saddam Hussein.

Find the Weapons of Mass DestructionFind the Weapons of Mass Destruction

(WMD).(WMD).

Create a stable and friendly democracy inCreate a stable and friendly democracy in

Iraq.Iraq.


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The InvasionThe Invasion

Goal: Topple the Baath Regime.Goal: Topple the Baath Regime.

Results: Light U.S. casualties,Results: Light U.S. casualties,decimation of the Iraqi military, anddecimation of the Iraqi military, and

the collapse of Saddams regime. Nothe collapse of Saddams regime. NoWMD found. U.S. and CoalitionWMD found. U.S. and Coalitionvictory.victory.


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Capturing SaddamCapturing Saddam

After the Coalition traps and kills Saddams sons,After the Coalition traps and kills Saddams sons,Uday and Qusay, they face the daunting task ofUday and Qusay, they face the daunting task of

finding the man who some think is dead.finding the man who some think is dead. The joint Special Operations Task Force, TF-121, isThe joint Special Operations Task Force, TF-121, is

sent in to capture him.sent in to capture him. On December 13On December 13thth , 2004, Saddam Hussein was, 2004, Saddam Hussein was

captured and handed over to the Iraqis.captured and handed over to the Iraqis.

He was executed December 30He was executed December 30thth

, 2006., 2006. From Saddams Capture on, the only remainingFrom Saddams Capture on, the only remainingmission is to stabilize Iraq. This will meet two keymission is to stabilize Iraq. This will meet two keythreats.threats.


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The InsurgencyThe Insurgency

The Key Players:The Key Players: Baathists who want theirBaathists who want their

power back. They pose apower back. They pose asmall threat as they aresmall threat as they arevery unpopular.very unpopular.

Iranian funded cells whoIranian funded cells whodont want Iraq to be adont want Iraq to be ademocratic nation.democratic nation.

Al-Qaeda terrorist andAl-Qaeda terrorist andother terrorist groups whoother terrorist groups whosee Iraq as an opportunitysee Iraq as an opportunity

to attack the US directlyto attack the US directlyand indirectly.and indirectly.


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Sectarian ViolenceSectarian Violence

Al-Qaeda soon realizes the best wayAl-Qaeda soon realizes the best way

to damage the Coalitions mission ofto damage the Coalitions mission of

stabilizing Iraq is to start a civil war.stabilizing Iraq is to start a civil war.

This has become the biggest politicalThis has become the biggest political

threat to the new Iraq and continuesthreat to the new Iraq and continues

to this very day.to this very day.


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Coalition ResponseCoalition Response

The Coalition occupation turns bloody andThe Coalition occupation turns bloody and

to establishing a new Iraqi state, theyto establishing a new Iraqi state, they

must combat the insurgents.must combat the insurgents.

The Coalition tries many strategiesThe Coalition tries many strategiesincluding a troop surge which proves theincluding a troop surge which proves the

most successful.most successful.


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ConclusionConclusion

Of the Coalitions four main goals, they have accomplished all butOf the Coalitions four main goals, they have accomplished all butone, the stabilization of Iraq.one, the stabilization of Iraq. The problem is, the Coalition can only assist, but it is the Iraqis whoThe problem is, the Coalition can only assist, but it is the Iraqis who

must build and protect their new country.must build and protect their new country. Even if Iraq stabilizes, we really didnt gain much from this war inEven if Iraq stabilizes, we really didnt gain much from this war in

the first place.the first place.

We arent any richer, safer, or more popular that we were beforeWe arent any richer, safer, or more popular that we were beforeMarch 2003.March 2003. The war may have done more to damage the Middle-East than help it.The war may have done more to damage the Middle-East than help it.

In the end, as with Vietnam, there will be no clear victor until theIn the end, as with Vietnam, there will be no clear victor until thelast U.S. aircraft leaves and the dust settles. It seems that whatlast U.S. aircraft leaves and the dust settles. It seems that whatGeorge Ball said in the 60s holds true even today, Once on theGeorge Ball said in the 60s holds true even today, Once on thetigers back we cannot be sure of picking the place to dismount.tigers back we cannot be sure of picking the place to dismount.

Its at this stage, all about timing.Its at this stage, all about timing.

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