©2018 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved.
Elizabeth Brigham, Head of Product Marketing, SoftwareDecember 5, 2018
Advisor Market &Wealth Management TrendsMorningstar Perspective
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There’s never been a better—or more important—time for great advice.”
“
3
Wealth Management Market Trends
Advisor Behavior
Investor Behavior
Rise of Technology
Transformation
4
The US Retail Wealth Market Will Top $40T by Year 2020 in Client Assets. RIAs Experienced the Highest Growth In Assets.
Source: Cerulli Associates Advisor Metrics 2017, Cerulli Intermediary Distribution
0
5
10
15
20
25
2013 2016 2017E 2021E
Wirehouse Regional BD Indy BD RIA Bank B/D Insurance B/D OtherBank TrustsPrivate BanksCAGR = 4%
CAGR 19%
CAGR 5%
CAGR 8%
CAGR 9%
Total Client Assets Across Industry Segments: 2013 – 2021E ($ Billions)
$23.3T$27.6T
$40.1T
$30.6T
$5.8 $8.4
$4.5
$2.4$1.9
$3.7
$2.4
$6.5
$5.8
$2.9
$2.4
$3.9
$6.4
$3.3
$2.8
$4.7
$7.2
5
0
50000
100000
150000
200000
250000
300000
350000
2013 2016 2017E 2021E
FINANCIAL ADVISORS BY SEGMENT
Insurance BD IBD Wirehouse Regional RIA Hybrid RIA2 Retail Bank
The US Advisor Segment – Representatives Growth rate (Brokerage and Fee-Based)
Source: Cerulli Associates Advisor Metrics 2017
While overall advisor populations are estimated to shrink by 2021, both RIAs and IBDs are estimated to add over 6,000 advisors combined vs. 2017.
6
Changing Advisor Behavior
Transparency Scale Service & Value
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“As technology puts more pressure on advisors to justify their fees in the first place, more and more advisors are starting to offer comprehensive financial planning, which is why (despite the lack of growth overall in the financial advisor headcount) a record number of people have been sitting for the CFP exam for the first time in recent years.”
7
Michael Kitces
Financial Advisor Industry Influencer
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Changing Investor Behavior
Holistic Advice Ease & Convenience
Transparency & Lower Fees
What Investors Value
Advisors Think Investors Say
Source: Morningstar Research
Help reaching goals
Understanding needs
Skills and knowledge
Focus on best interest
Explains concepts well
Approachable
Good reputation
Avoids common mistakes
Clear fee structure
Can maximize returns
Knows tax consequences
Low Value High Value
What Investors Value
Advisors Think Investors Say
Source: Morningstar Research
Help reaching goals
Understanding needs
Skills and knowledge
Focus on best interest
Explains concepts well
Approachable
Good reputation
Avoids common mistakes
Clear fee structure
Can maximize returns
Knows tax consequences
Low Value High Value
Advisors Think
What Investors Value
Advisors Think Investors Say
Source: Morningstar Research
Help reaching goals
Understanding needs
Skills and knowledge
Focus on best interest
Explains concepts well
Approachable
Good reputation
Avoids common mistakes
Clear fee structure
Can maximize returns
Knows tax consequences
Low Value High Value
Investors SayAdvisors Think
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Rise of Technology
AI & Machine Learning
Integrations
Mobility & On-Demand Service
13
Transformation
Digital Client Experience
Behavioral Finance
Fully-integrated Platforms
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On-Demand Expectations
15
Market Developments We’re Tracking
Rep as PM ESG/Sustainability Generational Asset Growth
16
Rep as Portfolio Manager Programs Continue to Attract Assets; CAGR should stabilize around 15% in 2018 through 2021
Sources: JPMorgan Asset Management, Cerulli Associates
$70.3 $69.7 $62.3 $79.6 $108.3 $139.0 $193.0 $258.6 $212.9
$309.9 $397.2
$459.5 $578.9
$755.6
$923.9 $982.4
$1,150.4
$1,492.6
$1,721.1
$1,982.4
$2,281.8
$2,624.8
-0.8%
-10.6%
27.8%
36.1%
28.3%
38.8%
34.0%
-17.7%
45.5%
28.1%
15.7%
26.0%
30.5%
22.3%
6.3%
17.1%
29.7%
15.3%15.2%
15.1%15.0%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
$0
$200
$400
$600
$800
$1,000
$1,200
$1,400
$1,600
$1,800
$2,000
$2,200
$2,400
$2,600
$2,800
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018E 2019E 2020E 2021E
Rep-as-portfolio-manager program assets Growth rate
17
Steady Growth in ESG Interest and Evaluation within Morningstar Cloud
ESG Data and analytics usage in Morningstar Cloud
18
Wealth Transfer across generations indicates growth with Baby Boomers and GenX in next decade
Source: 4/4/18 Hearts & Wallets Presentation (Varas) (United States Census Bureau)
Consumer Households, Investable Assets by Generation
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There’s never been a better—or more important—time for great advice.”
“
©2018 Morningstar. All Rights Reserved.
Appendix
22
What Morningstar Direct Users are Reading
Active v. Passive
Market Trends
Asset Flows