Do we need a less lavish lifestyle to be sustainable?

Arild Hermstad

• Founded 1974

• Inspired by the book “The Future in our hands” by Erik Dammann

• 22.000 members

• 22 local groups

• Folkevett magazine

• We need you as a member

Only 2 % of the global CO2 emissions come from German coal power plants.

“Global warming 'irreversible' for next 1000 years:”

study released 27th January 2009

Growth in consumption = growth in the emissions

He is optimistic, since we will have a lot of money when the climate changes.

But can money make up for irreversible climate change?

Lord Nicholas Stern (author of report from 2006) says no, solving the problems rather than repair them will be a lot cheaper.

Economist William Nordhaus

More consumption – increased emissions from imports

Imports of selected goods, tons as an index, 1990=100

0

100

200

300

400

500

1990 1995 2000 2006

Sportsutstyr

Møbler

Kinas CO2-utslipp

Klær

Kilder: Økologisk utsyn 1997-2006, SSBs Utenrikshandelsstatistikk.US EIA (t.o.m 2004) Estimat 2005-2006 basert på BP Statistical Review of World Energy

More consumption – more air travel

0

5 000

10 000

15 000

20 000

25 000

30 000

35 000

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006

millio

ner pa

ssas

jerk

ilom

eter

Utenriks rute

Utenriks charter

Innenriks

Kilder: Statistics Norway, Avinor, FIVH

Two different curves

0

20

40

60

80

100

Raske kutt tidlig (klimabanen)

Two different curves

0

20

40

60

80

100

Store kutt i slutten av perioden (Stoltenbergbanen)

Two different curves

0

20

40

60

80

100

Store kutt i slutten av perioden (Stoltenbergbanen)

Raske kutt tidlig (klimabanen)

What is the plan?

Climate crisis? No – finance crisis

“ We cannot let the terrorists achieve the objective of frightening our nation to the point where … people don't shop ”

- Oktober 2001

Kilde: Isachsen m.fl: Norge i verden: Framtidsbilder 2030