dimensão e medição da pobreza extrema e a situação social e pobreza extrema no rio grande do...

Click here to load reader

Post on 02-Jan-2016

62 views

Category:

Documents

0 download

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

Dimensão e medição da pobreza extrema e a situação social e pobreza extrema no Rio Grande do Sul. Jorge Abrahão de Castro Diretor da Diretoria de Estudos e Políticas Sociais do IPEA Brasília, 26 de maio de 2011. Dimensão e medição da pobreza extrema. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

TRANSCRIPT

  • Dimenso e medio da pobreza extrema e a situao social e pobreza extrema no Rio Grande do Sul

    Jorge Abraho de CastroDiretor da Diretoria de Estudos e Polticas Sociais do IPEA

    Braslia, 26 de maio de 2011

  • Dimenso e medio da pobreza extrema

  • Qual pobreza?Qual Meta estabelecer?Qual problema a ser enfrentado como prioridade?Attenao a idosos, Mortalidade infantil, Analfabetismo, desemprego juvenil, Pobreza, Desigualdade, etc PobrezaExtrema, absoluta, rural, etc.Pobreza extremaDiminuir ; diminuir ; erradicarErradicar a pobreza extrenaO que significa?Por que?O que ?Problema uma situao indesejvel declarada por um ator social e que passvel de ser enfrentado com aes concretas.(C.Matus)Qual o instrumento de referncia para delimitar o problema?Linha nacional de monitoramento da pobreza extremaO que ?

  • Definindo a pobrezaO que a pobreza extrema? o estado de privao de um indivduo cujo bem-estar inferior ao mnimo que a sociedade a qual ele pertence julga obrigada a garantir.

    Como medir o bem-estar?

    Como definir o mnimo?

  • ndices Multidimensionais

    Considera que a pobreza um fenmeno complexo, que envolve outras dimenses alm da renda (como o acesso a servios, o exerccio da cidadania etc) e/ou que a renda medida pelas pesquisas domiciliares no bom indicador de bem-estar

    AbsolutaLinhas subjetivasLinhas oficiais/administrativasBolsa FamiliaBPC/LOASBanco MundialLinha Nacional de PobrezaLinhas objetivasMtodo calrico diretoMtodo calrico indiretoRelativaCapacidades e comodidades Amartya SenBens relacionaisInsuficincia de rendaConsidera a pobreza um fenmeno complexo, mas julga que a renda o indicador mais importante do bem-estar e/ou que est intimamente associada com as outras dimenses do fenmeno

    PobrezaEnfoques para linha?Seleo das variveis Normalizao Ponderao Linha de corteNecessidades Bsicas Insatisfeitas (NBI)ndice Marginacin (Mxico)ndice de Pobreza Humana (IPH1 e IPH2)Bens representativos

  • Linha de elegibilidade de aes ou programasLinha nacional Linha de monitoramentoPr-requisitosTransparncia: facilidade de clculo a partir das informaes disponveisAdequao ao problema: delimitar claramente os grupos de interesseAproveitar os sistemas de dados e informao existentesSepara os elegveis dos no elegveis ao programaPermite o monitoramento do aes ou programasDelimita os extremamente pobres Quantos so?Quem so?Onde esto?Permite o monitoramento da extrema pobreza Como evolui?Sistema de indicadores auxiliares Qual linha?Linha de pobreza extrema

  • Linha de nacional pobreza extremaValor deve ter como base algum perodo anterior ao nicio da estratgiaA linha deve ser ajustada por um ndice de preo adequadoDever ser exequivel e focar no problema selecionado fixaLinha de elegibilidade de aes e programasValor no precisa ter como base algum ano anteriorPode ser mas no precisa de reajustes por um ndice de preoPode ser elevada quando se desejar e/ou se tiver condies oramentrias No precisa ser fixaParmetros para linhas de pobreza com objetivos diferentesLinha para estudos e pesquisasValor pode ou no ter como base algum ano anteriorPode ou no ser ajustada por um ndice de preoAs restries oramentrias so apenas toricas Pode ser fixa ou noQuais so os parmetros da linha?

  • chegar a zero?Renda das famlias voltilZero pessoas esto abaixo da linhaDiferente de zeroSimNoPor qu?O que significa erradicar?Na prtica, isso impossvelVolatilidade de longo alcanceFamlias sem perfil de pobre que ficam momentaneamente sem renda em um ms especficoVolatilidade de curto alcanceNovas famlias caem na pobreza a cada ms e a poltica pblica sempre demora um tempo para cadastrar e atender novos beneficirios Quanto deve ser?Apenas residual, mas difcil estimar com precisoNo h fontes de dados adequadas no momentoAs melhores estimativas disponveis sugerem algo em torno de 8 % dos pobres extremos inciaisOu seja, a extrema pobreza poderia ser considerada erradicada caso restassem apenas 0,08*N pessoas da situao incial de extrema pobreza

  • Diferenas nos resultados?Censo, PNAD, POF e outrasFontes diferentes = Nmeros diferentesPor que?Perguntas diferentes sobre rendaEm geral, quanto mais detalhadas, maior a renda mdiaIncluso ou no da renda no-monetriaPerodos de referncia distintosSazonalidadePNAD: s renda do ltimo msPOF: renda de vrios mesesDesenho amostral e projeo de populaoSeleo de municpios e setores censitriosFlutuaes amostraisAtualizaes de projees

    Ideal fazer o monitoramento a partir de uma nica base

  • Por que extrema pobreza?Referncia internacionalFocalizar nos que mais precisamCaso a linha seja alta, o grupo que mais precisa o mais difcil de ser tirado da extrema pobreza tende a se diluir nas estatsticasRestrio oramentriaMetas do Milnio (ODM 1)Linha de US$ 1,25 por dia PPP equivale em 2011 a cerca de R$ 70 per capita por msO custo um mltiplo do Hiato de PobrezaO Hiato de Pobreza aumenta de forma no linearPequenos aumentos no valor da linha geram grandes aumentos no Hiato

    Grf3

    0

    20.615052288

    41.298501888

    61.98932352

    82.68012288

    103.370944512

    124.165219584

    145.059005952

    166.304177664

    187.894520832

    209.588272896

    231.796664064

    254.533814784

    277.56602496

    301.116638208

    325.194496512

    350.502793728

    376.836204288

    404.38012032

    432.81422592

    462.049099008

    492.363807744

    523.243757568

    555.935445504

    589.973208576

    624.974592

    661.596263424

    699.664879872

    739.767308544

    783.039376896

    827.025997824

    874.016933376

    921.971177472

    970.949332224

    1022.060921856

    1075.170710784

    1129.529958912

    1185.171806976

    1242.826798848

    1302.156622848

    1363.009562112

    1426.195515648

    1490.498944512

    1555.981519872

    1622.851106304

    1690.554467328

    1759.993284864

    1830.843857664

    1903.691783424

    1978.431403776

    2053.898271744

    2133.848537856

    2214.813382656

    2297.10935808

    2381.6719104

    2467.5683328

    2555.07680256

    2644.85835264

    2736.52077312

    2830.02664704

    2924.5842048

    3022.45605888

    3121.55153664

    3222.78802176

    3326.14524672

    3431.26129152

    3538.17424128

    3648.53467392

    3762.86486784

    3878.68149504

    3995.63622144

    4115.21993472

    4236.52260096

    4359.90458112

    4485.37968384

    4612.49712384

    4744.18388736

    4877.7383808

    5014.31518464

    5154.37577472

    5295.93883392

    5441.42844672

    5588.49447168

    5737.03935744

    5888.91257088

    6043.37757696

    6200.3533056

    6359.33150976

    6520.70016768

    6684.75326976

    6850.86920448

    7020.15823104

    7191.6822528

    7365.05930496

    7545.77564928

    7729.05817344

    7914.37702656

    8101.86717696

    8292.25736448

    8485.54536192

    8680.90777344

    8889.05498112

    9099.01357056

    9310.99067136

    9526.0918656

    9743.46146304

    9963.86450688

    10187.92639488

    10415.3794176

    10645.20841728

    10876.73521152

    11111.18921472

    11347.7699712

    11586.3264768

    11828.03402496

    12071.63536128

    12318.20600064

    12577.12668672

    12842.56995072

    13110.54264576

    13381.1545728

    13659.1926528

    13939.10848512

    14221.7766912

    14507.32622592

    14794.63279872

    15088.84614144

    15385.6368

    15686.01169152

    15990.41380608

    16297.12129536

    16607.78562816

    16920.60989952

    17235.72685056

    17557.27662336

    17881.69191168

    18208.4190336

    18537.98071296

    18870.41236224

    19205.8794624

    19544.05773312

    19887.90623232

    20235.08773632

    20585.45257728

    20938.24439808

    21295.9496448

    21657.30415872

    22021.44

    22388.4580608

    22757.4939648

    23128.7058432

    23512.0849152

    23897.1856128

    24284.932224

    24676.2200832

    25069.6772352

    25484.368512

    25901.3426688

    26320.7667456

    26742.591744

    27165.960192

    27596.3042304

    28029.5414016

    28465.7563392

    28905.6439296

    29347.9168512

    29792.9180928

    30243.1421184

    30699.2726784

    31157.5435776

    31617.8278656

    32081.9496192

    32548.3542528

    33017.360256

    33489.3507072

    33963.8356224

    34446.4587264

    34931.3535744

    35418.8431104

    35909.891712

    36403.2009216

    36901.2473856

    37401.2938752

    37903.8838272

    38409.7165824

    38918.1618432

    39430.2441216

    39948.707328

    40470.0970752

    40994.7296256

    41521.5359232

    42051.15072

    42583.651968

    43118.9015808

    43657.7793024

    44199.3430272

    44744.0404224

    45291.5685888

    45841.2281856

    46392.576

    46946.235648

    47520.5236224

    48096.4329984

    48674.23104

    49254.7574016

    49837.5220992

    50423.217792

    51011.1384576

    51601.2974592

    52194.1046016

    52788.8182272

    53386.8459264

    53987.2656384

    54590.84352

    55198.5884928

    55808.2911744

    56420.3056896

    57036.5674752

    57656.829312

    58279.2604416

    58903.5201024

    59532.16512

    60162.57408

    60795.9518976

    61431.7373184

    62069.5071744

    62714.0499456

    63360.9513216

    64010.0531712

    64661.6673024

    65315.4084096

    65973.071616

    66632.1646848

    67307.5920384

    68005.1154432

    68706.213504

    69409.6991232

    70115.2560384

    70823.1581952

    71535.2964864

    72249.4570752

    72969.3460224

    73692.5512704

    74418.4959744

    75147.2068608

    75878.4389376

    76612.0897536

    77348.1860352

    78086.2489344

    78826.2160896

    79567.5552

    80324.2619904

    81082.1647872

    81842.0876544

    82605.3401856

    83370.5637888

    84140.419968

    84912.3051264

    85686.4575744

    86463.0933504

    87241.0186752

    88023.4473984

    88808.0097792

    89594.9018112

    90384.865152

    91176.8663808

    91970.9277696

    92771.799936

    93579.92832

    94389.8874624

    95201.2118784

    96015.9194112

    96832.2127104

    97650.7421184

    98471.9998464

    99294.9970176

    100124.4152064

    100955.5282944

    101788.463232

    102623.8258176

    103463.2708608

    104307.504384

    105152.9762304

    106000.8957696

    106852.8754944

    107706.6369792

    108562.3049472

    109420.33152

    110280.4160256

    111143.5985664

    112008.5294592

    112877.1730944

    113748.6653184

    114622.1531136

    115498.5407232

    116376.8927232

    117257.803776

    118140.5723136

    119025.1337472

    119911.178496

    Linha de Pobreza (R$ set/2009)

    Hiato de pobreza (bilhes de R$ de set/2009)

    GRAFICOS

    Grfico 1. Hiato de Pobreza em R$ Bilhes como Funo da Linha de Pobreza. Brasil, 2009

    Grfico 2. Indicadores de pobreza extrema. Brasil*, 1995-2009

    Painel 1 - Nmero de PobresPainel 2 - Porcentagem de Pobres

    Painel 3 - Hiato Mdio (em % da linha)Painel 4 - Gini entres os Pobres

    Painel 5 - GE2 entre os PobresPainel 6 - FGT(2)

    Grfico 3. Distribuies de Renda Simuladas e Observada para os Dez Dcimos Mais Pobres

    GRAFICOS

    0

    20.615052288

    41.298501888

    61.98932352

    82.68012288

    103.370944512

    124.165219584

    145.059005952

    166.304177664

    187.894520832

    209.588272896

    231.796664064

    254.533814784

    277.56602496

    301.116638208

    325.194496512

    350.502793728

    376.836204288

    404.38012032

    432.81422592

    462.049099008

    492.363807744

    523.243757568

    555.935445504

    589.973208576

    624.974592

    661.596263424

    699.664879872

    739.767308544

    783.039376896

    827.025997824

    874.016933376

    921.971177472

    970.949332224

    1022.060921856

    1075.170710784

    1129.529958912

    1185.171806976

    1242.826798848

    1302.156622848

    1363.009562112

    1426.195515648

    1490.498944512

    1555.981519872

    1622.851106304

    1690.554467328

    1759.993284864

    1830.843857664

    1903.691783424

    1978.431403776

    2053.898271744

    2133.848537856

    2214.813382656

    2297.10935808

    2381.6719104

    2467.5683328

    2555.07680256

    2644.85835264

    2736.52077312

    2830.02664704

    2924.5842048

    3022.45605888

    3121.55153664

    3222.78802176

    3326.14524672

    3431.26129152

    3538.17424128

    3648.53467392

    3762.86486784

    3878.68149504

    3995.63622144

    4115.21993472

    4236.52260096

    4359.90458112

    4485.37968384

    4612.49712384

    4744.18388736

    4877.7383808

    5014.31518464

    5154.37577472

    5295.93883392

    5441.42844672

    5588.49447168

    5737.03935744

    5888.91257088

    6043.37757696

    6200.3533056

    6359.33150976

    6520.70016768

    6684.75326976

    6850.86920448

    7020.15823104

    7191.6822528

    7365.05930496

    7545.77564928

    7729.05817344

    7914.37702656

    8101.86717696

    8292.25736448

    8485.54536192

    8680.90777344

    8889.05498112

    9099.01357056

    9310.99067136

    9526.0918656

    9743.46146304

    9963.86450688

    10187.92639488

    10415.3794176

    10645.20841728

    10876.73521152

    11111.18921472

    11347.7699712

    11586.3264768

    11828.03402496

    12071.63536128

    12318.20600064

    12577.12668672

    12842.56995072

    13110.54264576

    13381.1545728

    13659.1926528

    13939.10848512

    14221.7766912

    14507.32622592

    14794.63279872

    15088.84614144

    15385.6368

    15686.01169152

    15990.41380608

    16297.12129536

    16607.78562816

    16920.60989952

    17235.72685056

    17557.27662336

    17881.69191168

    18208.4190336

    18537.98071296

    18870.41236224

    19205.8794624

    19544.05773312

    19887.90623232

    20235.08773632

    20585.45257728

    20938.24439808

    21295.9496448

    21657.30415872

    22021.44

    22388.4580608

    22757.4939648

    23128.7058432

    23512.0849152

    23897.1856128

    24284.932224

    24676.2200832

    25069.6772352

    25484.368512

    25901.3426688

    26320.7667456

    26742.591744

    27165.960192

    27596.3042304

    28029.5414016

    28465.7563392

    28905.6439296

    29347.9168512

    29792.9180928

    30243.1421184

    30699.2726784

    31157.5435776

    31617.8278656

    32081.9496192

    32548.3542528

    33017.360256

    33489.3507072

    33963.8356224

    34446.4587264

    34931.3535744

    35418.8431104

    35909.891712

    36403.2009216

    36901.2473856

    37401.2938752

    37903.8838272

    38409.7165824

    38918.1618432

    39430.2441216

    39948.707328

    40470.0970752

    40994.7296256

    41521.5359232

    42051.15072

    42583.651968

    43118.9015808

    43657.7793024

    44199.3430272

    44744.0404224

    45291.5685888

    45841.2281856

    46392.576

    46946.235648

    47520.5236224

    48096.4329984

    48674.23104

    49254.7574016

    49837.5220992

    50423.217792

    51011.1384576

    51601.2974592

    52194.1046016

    52788.8182272

    53386.8459264

    53987.2656384

    54590.84352

    55198.5884928

    55808.2911744

    56420.3056896

    57036.5674752

    57656.829312

    58279.2604416

    58903.5201024

    59532.16512

    60162.57408

    60795.9518976

    61431.7373184

    62069.5071744

    62714.0499456

    63360.9513216

    64010.0531712

    64661.6673024

    65315.4084096

    65973.071616

    66632.1646848

    67307.5920384

    68005.1154432

    68706.213504

    69409.6991232

    70115.2560384

    70823.1581952

    71535.2964864

    72249.4570752

    72969.3460224

    73692.5512704

    74418.4959744

    75147.2068608

    75878.4389376

    76612.0897536

    77348.1860352

    78086.2489344

    78826.2160896

    79567.5552

    80324.2619904

    81082.1647872

    81842.0876544

    82605.3401856

    83370.5637888

    84140.419968

    84912.3051264

    85686.4575744

    86463.0933504

    87241.0186752

    88023.4473984

    88808.0097792

    89594.9018112

    90384.865152

    91176.8663808

    91970.9277696

    92771.799936

    93579.92832

    94389.8874624

    95201.2118784

    96015.9194112

    96832.2127104

    97650.7421184

    98471.9998464

    99294.9970176

    100124.4152064

    100955.5282944

    101788.463232

    102623.8258176

    103463.2708608

    104307.504384

    105152.9762304

    106000.8957696

    106852.8754944

    107706.6369792

    108562.3049472

    109420.33152

    110280.4160256

    111143.5985664

    112008.5294592

    112877.1730944

    113748.6653184

    114622.1531136

    115498.5407232

    116376.8927232

    117257.803776

    118140.5723136

    119025.1337472

    119911.178496

    Linha de Pobreza (R$ set/2009)

    Hiato de pobreza (milhes de R$ de set/2009)

    serie

    16.288306

    17.275467

    17.449613

    15.533336

    16.14084

    17.504572

    15.695795

    16.979631

    14.917879

    12.895565

    10.81587

    10.480855

    8.986324

    9.159473

    N Pobres

    Ano

    dados

    10.94

    11.5

    11.43

    10.09

    10.32

    10.49

    9.34

    9.98

    8.56

    7.26

    6.01

    5.78

    4.96

    5.02

    Taxa Pobreza

    Ano

    zero

    41.19

    44.13

    42.23

    42.93

    42.38

    45.47

    42.18

    44.04

    41.74

    42.69

    43.77

    51.2

    48.69

    48.35

    Hiato mdio (% linha)

    Ano

    uf

    0.2933

    0.3183

    0.3063

    0.2934

    0.2944

    0.3322

    0.3003

    0.3145

    0.3043

    0.3004

    0.3066

    0.3837

    0.3639

    0.3636

    Gini pobres

    Ano

    deflacao

    0.0289

    0.0338

    0.0316

    0.0276

    0.028

    0.0324

    0.0255

    0.029

    0.0233

    0.02

    0.0171

    0.0213

    0.0171

    0.0172

    FGT

    Ano

    simdois

    0.1365

    0.1592

    0.1472

    0.1377

    0.1375

    0.1718

    0.1419

    0.1543

    0.1448

    0.1417

    0.1457

    0.2249

    0.2035

    0.2026

    GE2

    Ano

    simula

    08.86383516.7690519.8708567.8454267

    9.32774531.0888254.4501367.2304576.4330467

    27.5213445.4859469.3388778.6560193.33717

    40.7124858.0623880.6615291.32741103.4906

    51.9891268.6271490.9364299.95667112.6322

    62.5855377.831698.65325108.3523118.4457

    72.0093586.7253105.7835116.2587124.8207

    79.5543194.57048113.7604120.4776130.6207

    Observado sem PBF

    Observado com PBF

    Simula1

    Simula2

    Simula3

    0%

    1,1%

    2,3%

    '

    4,4%

    6,2%

    Baseline sem bolsa

    Baseline com bolsa

    R$68 p crianas ja recebendo

    R$68 todos j recebendo

    R$68 p todos ext. pobres

    Centsimo

    Renda Mdia

    grafcontas

    Sem norte rural19951996199719981999200120022003200420052006200720082009

    Populao148865606150176912152708270153930494156352137166885678168080523170169518174187085177743559179903279181467707181051933182533531

    Painel 1 - Nmero de PobresPainel 2 - Porcentagem de PobresLinha26.3329.5930.8831.8333.8738.942.7549.9552.8755.6257.1759.9464.2367

    N Pobres16.28830617.27546717.44961315.53333616.1408417.50457215.69579516.97963114.91787912.89556510.8158710.4808558.9863249.159473

    Taxa Pobreza10.9411.511.4310.0910.3210.499.349.988.567.266.015.784.965.02

    Hiato mdio (% linha)41.1944.1342.2342.9342.3845.4742.1844.0441.7442.6943.7751.248.6948.35

    Gini pobres0.29330.31830.30630.29340.29440.33220.30030.31450.30430.30040.30660.38370.36390.3636

    GE20.13650.15920.14720.13770.13750.17180.14190.15430.14480.14170.14570.22490.20350.2026

    FGT0.02890.03380.03160.02760.0280.03240.02550.0290.02330.020.01710.02130.01710.0172

    Com norte rural200420052006200720082009

    Populao177610950181110809183178002184600753184044892185573345

    Linha52.8755.6257.1759.9464.2367

    N Pobres15.6113.4111.2710.979.299.47

    Taxa Pobreza8.797.406.155.945.055.10

    Hiato mdio (% linha)41.3142.3843.5250.7148.547.93

    Gini pobres0.3000.2970.3040.3800.3620.360

    GE20.1410.1380.1440.2210.2020.199

    FGT0.0240.0200.0170.0220.0170.017

    Painel 3 - Hiato Mdio (em % da linha)Painel 4 - Gini entres os Pobres

    Painel 5 - GE2 entre os PobresPainel 6 - FGT(2)

    grafcontas

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    N Pobres

    Ano

    Nmero de Pobres (milhes)

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    &A

    Page &P

    Taxa Pobreza

    Hiato mdio (% linha)

    Ano

    Taxa Pobreza (em %)

    Hiato Mdio (% linha)

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    &A

    Page &P

    Gini pobres

    GE2

    FGT

    Ano

    Gini dos Pobres

    GE2

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    N Pobres

    Ano

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Taxa Pobreza

    Ano

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Hiato mdio (% linha)

    Ano

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Gini pobres

    Ano

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    GE2

    Ano

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    FGT

    Ano

    185,600,000

    LinhaNmero de pobres

    hiato/populaohiato

    017182410.0003301.7200.01010.0

    15,7461.1067711.72020.6920.00925604221

    510,2925.16250551.730104.0630.01854279341

    614,8386.55378661.750125.9440.02783285462

    738,9637.45952471.790150.2050.0371229583

    819,4738.44247281.810173.5360.046412966103

    1043,49410.01409101.850222.1370.055749477124

    1149,09611.11511111.900250.8280.065130668145

    1225,69512.26323121.930277.3290.074669629166

    1353,91513.3243131.980308.84100.0843635610188

    1453,24214.50325142.030341.54110.0941039311210

    1589,10015.15009152.120381.98120.1040753712232

    16130,30016.44712162.250432.46130.1142842213255

    1759,38917.28267172.310471.60140.1246255514278

    1893,42518.38576182.410519.53150.1351996415301

    1935,74219.14159192.440556.54160.1460104616325

    20105,86520.19793202.550611.24170.1573737417351

    2150,07321.47789212.600654.42180.1691972918377

    22209,21522.39284222.810740.81190.1815643519404

    2352,05923.42432232.860788.85200.194331120433

    2474,38324.21757242.930844.57210.2074573921462

    25153,33425.22508253.090925.76220.2210685222492

    26218,18326.60562263.3001,030.87230.2349334423523

    2779,22927.52887273.3801,096.19240.2496118224556

    28245,91828.09647283.6301,219.41250.2648945825590

    2949,22029.27234293.6801,280.09260.2806126625

    30279,95630.15372303.9601,425.02270.2970529227662

    3169,71431.46599314.0301,498.45280.3141455128700

    3287,49632.39625324.1201,580.39290.3321512729740

    33236,34433.39456334.3501,723.37300.3515801830783

    34104,51434.29922344.4601,818.23310.3713299231827

    35113,15835.35637354.5701,919.24320.3924285832874

    36110,39936.39725364.6802,021.76330.4139597633922

    37203,47237.39117374.8802,168.27340.4359506734971

    38110,77838.45874384.9902,277.38350.45889948351,022

    3998,51439.22764395.0902,383.42360.48274547361,075

    40218,32440.21234405.3102,549.33370.50715246371,130

    4174,78941.37488415.3902,649.86380.53213533381,185

    42140,95642.50191425.5302,785.53390.55802209391,243

    4370,75343.3665435.6002,888.36400.58466084401,302

    4477,91044.44115445.6802,996.67410.61198346411,363

    45150,31845.26669455.8303,145.95420.64035359421,426

    46161,54446.52465.9903,305.03430.66922546431,490

    47139,41347.40881476.1303,455.51440.69862676441,556

    48137,22548.26672486.2603,608.07450.72865082451,623

    4932,20449.25488496.3003,702.17460.75904924461,691

    50418,14850.12626506.7104,028.62470.79022687471,760

    5169,91851.54601516.7804,151.98480.82203837481,831

    52133,98752.45712526.9204,317.00490.85474667491,904

    53171,07353.25407537.0904,508.82500.88830433501,978

    54119,47754.4336547.2104,671.31510.92218852512,054

    55149,67455.44876557.3604,856.60520.95808573522,134

    56206,03756.40673567.5605,083.36530.99443848532,215

    57110,69257.34134577.6805,249.85541.0313889542,297

    58157,83658.26625587.8305,451.80551.069357552,382

    5969,54759.34412597.9005,595.04561.107924562,468

    60302,87560.16725608.2105,907.94571.1472148572,555

    6181,86761.37336618.2906,066.33581.1875262582,645

    62251,57362.41241628.5406,352.95591.2286821592,737

    63118,49363.38437638.6606,545.00601.2706657602,830

    64124,93764.19154648.7806,744.84611.3131215612,925

    65192,60065.34697658.9707,000.46621.3570654623,022

    66491,18166.55119669.4707,497.17631.4015587633,122

    6786,65167.30726679.5507,680.43641.4470133643,223

    68138,72168.29919689.6907,908.26651.4934201653,326

    6972,64269.26597699.7608,084.71661.5406166663,431

    70276,59970.277857010.0408,434.22671.5886199673,538

    71118,12671.438167110.1608,655.35681.6381711683,649

    72197,27872.384167210.3608,947.71691.6895047693,763

    73157,08473.372237310.5109,209.59701.7415057703,879

    74152,83674.48727410.6709,471.46711.7940177713,996

    75351,82975.129557511.0209,916.10721.8477101724,115

    76203,15076.458297611.22010,233.59731.9021743734,237

    77303,28177.476647711.52010,648.47741.9575721744,360

    78195,05678.252917811.72010,969.34752.0139097754,485

    7995,98879.209837911.82011,200.97762.0709847764,612

    80378,91580.189758012.19011,706.51772.1301113774,744

    8199,50781.402458112.29011,949.56782.1900765784,878

    82138,61382.399888212.43012,233.48792.2513987795,014

    83351,54383.368848312.78012,732.81802.3142851805,154

    84124,53284.307048412.91013,011.74812.3778461815,296

    85267,84385.361798513.18013,439.85822.4431701825,441

    86138,97186.496568613.32013,741.38832.5092019835,588

    87229,87787.433758713.55014,141.16842.5758977845,737

    88202,18488.386868813.75014,517.20852.6440879855,889

    89114,74289.183828913.86014,804.72862.7134418866,043

    90350,87390.306569014.21015,350.00872.783923876,200

    91142,42491.447879114.36015,676.09882.8553033886,359

    92154,84892.414759214.51016,019.30892.9277569896,521

    93610,07893.10299315.12016,874.27903.0014158906,685

    94202,31294.253499415.32017,283.93913.0760009916,851

    95167,60095.29369515.49017,658.86923.1520107927,020

    96238,01496.446649615.73018,118.94933.229024937,192

    97242,56197.442119715.97018,590.02943.3068693947,365

    98174,18698.229459816.14018,986.51953.3880099957,546

    99280,90799.526989916.43019,513.97963.4703027967,729

    100992,464100.075810017.42020,902.03973.5535098977,914

    101142,130101.467510117.56021,283.32983.6376918988,102

    102159,855102.363710217.72021,689.70993.7231759998,292

    103247,344103.182610317.97022,208.061003.80996111008,486

    104207,143104.305510418.17022,682.191013.89767771018,681

    105282,186105.328610518.46023,255.841023.99113461028,889

    106382,032106.444810618.84023,963.271034.08540481039,099

    107163,635107.311610719.00024,399.451044.18058131049,311

    108218,276108.326610819.22024,910.371054.27716051059,526

    109105,540109.335110919.33025,279.061064.37475821069,743

    110311,177110.329911019.64025,921.741074.47371791079,964

    111104,713111.288111119.74026,296.871084.574320410810,188

    112218,816112.385511219.96026,827.861094.676445510910,415

    113230,131113.225711320.19027,379.461104.779637411010,645

    114161,484114.344511420.35027,842.661114.883591611110,877

    115292,853115.345111520.65028,491.031124.988860111211,111

    1161332111116.303411621.98030,593.081135.095083511311,348

    117221,352117.370611722.20031,167.591145.20219411411,586

    118178,158118.277611822.38031,686.251155.310719311511,828

    119375,651119.546211922.75032,491.211165.420094911612,072

    120473,385120.126412023.23033,445.921175.530803711712,318

    121169,281121.42912123.40033,970.431185.647057611812,577

    122249,865122.37312223.65034,616.981195.766240111912,843

    123214,681123.315712323.86035,217.601205.886558312013,111

    124126,034124.376212423.99035,691.461216.008061512113,381

    125579,638125.08912524.57036,848.751226.13289912213,659

    126303,955126.463212624.87037,603.121236.258579612313,939

    127252,033127.373712725.12038,285.651246.38549612414,222

    128341,883128.29412825.46039,112.251256.513706112514,507

    129138,213129.337412925.60039,631.771266.642705112614,795

    130350,844130.193213025.95040,486.311276.774805212715,089

    131177,718131.368813126.13041,077.111286.908062512815,386

    132266,371132.528913226.40041,812.611297.042929112915,686

    133561,821133.296713326.96043,026.041307.179603913015,990

    13495,180134.24313427.05043,502.591317.317313813116,297

    135242,144135.313527.30044,219.511327.456800313216,608

    136232,253136.295813627.53044,926.101337.597256613316,921

    137307,621137.446113727.84045,762.171347.738742313417,236

    138204,232138.433413828.04046,434.411357.883116313517,557

    139202,959139.323213928.24047,109.421368.028776913617,882

    140481,030140.154214028.72048,256.471378.175475513718,208

    141352,346141.422314129.08049,197.331388.323446813818,538

    142200,024142.417914229.28049,887.091398.472706713918,870

    143181,749143.347214329.46050,550.281408.623329514019,206

    144464,079144.253814429.92051,705.711418.775169614119,544

    145254,278145.267514530.18052,507.221428.929555614219,888

    146301,487146.456914630.48053,397.551439.085438114320,235

    147165,417147.381514730.64054,055.081449.242749914420,585

    148170,065148.381114830.81054,724.841459.401151414520,938

    149185,962149.374314931.00055,427.101469.56175914621,296

    1501012886150.067815032.01057,622.291479.724005114721,657

    151134,695151.445815132.15058,250.501489.887514822,021

    152222,399152.277915232.37059,041.9214910.05228914922,388

    153317,465153.265815332.69060,013.2215010.21798415022,757

    154145,747154.337915432.83060,674.8115110.38465615123,129

    1551805850155.047615534.64064,427.6815210.55679115223,512

    156186,983156.441615634.83065,193.3815310.72969915323,897

    157197,634157.385315735.02065,983.6215410.90379515424,285

    158175,747158.295615835.20066,737.1215511.07948115524,676

    159115,655159.335815935.31067,380.1715611.25614115625,070

    160639,859160.152716035.95069,032.4815711.44233515725,484

    161216,583161.336816136.17069,882.3715811.62955415825,901

    162316,972162.44816236.49070,932.6215911.81787315926,321

    163261,017163.371416336.75071,881.0216012.0072716026,743

    164147,395164.309216436.90072,612.0816112.1973616127,166

    165245,282165.259416537.14073,540.5016212.39058216227,596

    166782,428166.525116637.92075,544.7916312.58510316328,030

    167132,161167.38416738.06076,264.7316412.78096116428,466

    168188,148168.322716838.24077,100.7116512.97846816528,906

    169158,996169.325916938.40077,882.0916613.17704616629,348

    170345,675170.225117038.75079,048.1116713.37684916729,793

    171219,057171.486917138.97079,962.6016813.57899716830,243

    172186,655172.410117239.15080,815.4816913.78379716930,699

    173259,445173.33717339.41081,823.9417013.98955817031,158

    174159,023174.241517439.57082,628.9517114.19622317131,618

    175717,591175.108717540.29084,610.7717214.40461117232,082

    176203,133176.452217640.49085,523.2817314.61402417332,548

    177226,597177.452217740.72086,490.5017414.82460517433,017

    178325,051178.402117841.05087,673.4617515.03652617533,489

    17988,172179.346817941.13088,355.4017615.24956717633,964

    180416,908180.126718041.55089,749.5217715.46626217734,446

    181203,859181.441218141.75090,690.9117815.68397717834,931

    182193,336182.369418241.95091,614.2117915.90285717935,419

    183323,275183.385118342.27092,827.5018016.12333518035,910

    184121,691184.234218442.39093,603.4518116.34482818136,403

    185330,783185.170218542.72094,846.5018216.56844818236,901

    186577,232186.176318643.30096,647.5718316.79296618337,401

    187248,645187.429118743.55097,725.1418417.01862618437,904

    188249,624188.344418843.80098,810.8818517.24574218538,410

    189127,158189.252218943.93099,624.8718617.47403118638,918

    190260,030190.223819044.1944.19100,744.8518717.70395318739,430

    191293,616191.378519144.4844.48101,948.0518817.9367418839,949

    192179,464192.344219244.6644.66102,895.3018918.17084118940,470

    193315,091193.236319344.9744.97104,160.9619018.40639819040,995

    194196,675194.240919445.1745.17105,158.5219118.64293119141,522

    195269,276195.206419545.4445.44106,330.6819218.88072519242,051

    196285,970196.369219645.7345.73107,548.5619319.11981519342,584

    197114,533197.371819745.8445.84108,368.0419419.36013919443,119

    198146,674198.330819845.9945.99109,266.6319519.60209219543,658

    199210,405199.315719946.2046.20110,320.9219619.84525119644,199

    2001683106200.018220047.8847.88114,914.7619720.08981719744,744

    201166,657201.373520148.0548.05115,891.3119820.33565419845,292

    202149,129202.362220248.2048.20116,829.3719920.58244819945,841

    203237,551203.27120348.4348.43117,986.4120020.8320046,393

    204148,803204.177620448.5848.58118,931.8920121.0785920146,946

    205260,275205.163720548.8448.84120,155.1620221.33644220247,521

    206230,874206.381520649.0749.07121,312.0120321.59502220348,096

    207169,998207.421220749.2449.24122,323.1820421.8544520448,674

    208214,770208.306220849.4649.46123,450.1820522.11510320549,255

    209130,567209.285620949.5949.59124,371.1520622.37676120649,838

    210319,484210.253121049.9149.91125,771.3320722.63973520750,423

    211171,744211.3121150.0850.08126,805.0920822.90370820851,011

    212340,116212.382921250.4250.42128,271.3220923.16868620951,601

    213297,167213.269221350.7250.72129,635.9321023.43485321052,194

    214117,116214.291521450.8450.84130,545.3021123.70187621152,789

    215211,908215.252321551.0551.05131,702.0521223.97038721253,387

    216563,257216.466621651.6151.61133,774.5821324.23997221353,987

    217123,605217.429421751.7351.73134,715.7821424.51097521454,591

    218195,814218.348721851.9351.93135,848.8421524.78384921555,199

    219123,907219.319721952.0552.05136,797.6221625.05760221655,808

    220370,627220.121322052.4252.42138,400.7221725.33239321756,420

    221244,815221.583622152.6752.67139,679.0721825.60909121857,037

    222181,817222.424922252.8552.85140,795.4621925.88758521957,657

    223184,854223.332722353.0453.04141,924.3422026.16705322058,279

    224136,883224.240322453.1753.17142,928.7222126.44734222158,904

    225578,709225.081922553.7553.75145,129.3122226.729622259,532

    226238,636226.375422653.9953.99146,421.5122327.0126522360,163

    227159,705227.413122754.1554.15147,504.4322427.29703322460,796

    228222,352228.354622854.3754.37148,762.5822527.58249722561,432

    229142,107229.307822954.5154.51149,805.5622627.86885222662,070

    230334,690230.154623054.8554.85151,383.4722728.15824822762,714

    231124,707231.458923154.9754.97152,387.3522828.44870322863,361

    2322583253232.495323257.5657.56160,238.8122928.74014622964,010

    233775,927233.276223358.3358.33163,098.9923029.03271723064,662

    234109,586234.237823458.4458.44164,106.7023129.32624323165,315

    235219,673235.213623558.6658.66165,427.4923229.6215323265,973

    236178,075236.293823658.8458.84166,635.7523329.91745923366,632

    237263,279237.456423759.1059.10168,090.6023430.22072223467,308

    238355,478238.345423859.4659.46169,815.0823530.53390623568,005

    23970,269239.349923959.5359.53170,730.1223630.84869523668,706

    240501,814240.097524060.0360.03172,889.7023731.16455623769,410

    241346,305241.343724160.3860.38174,611.5923831.48134723870,115

    242194,343242.438224260.5760.57175,900.4923931.79919123970,823

    243231,775243.372624360.8060.80177,303.2124032.11893724071,535

    244157,976244.216324460.9660.96178,495.4024132.43959124172,249

    245216,193245.226524561.1861.18179,862.5524232.76281724272,969

    246227,564246.3224661.4161.41181,268.4524333.08753224373,693

    247144,671247.369524761.5561.55182,434.1224433.41347724474,418

    248146,625248.284424861.7061.70183,609.0824533.74066424575,147

    24994,662249.229524961.7961.79184,632.2824634.06898324675,878

    2501297242250.029925063.0963.09189,265.5124734.39838824776,612

    251101,737251.425163.1963.19190,329.0024834.72889124877,348

    252188,043252.321525263.3863.38191,655.9224935.06027724978,086

    253305,802253.290425363.6863.68193,344.8825035.39251825078,826

    25498,733254.236625463.7863.78194,410.0325135.72537525179,568

    255400,309255.094225564.1864.18196,400.3725236.06513225280,324

    256190,360256.309725664.3764.37197,755.3525336.40542625381,082

    257222,042257.415125764.6064.60199,212.6125436.74662725481,842

    258168,988258.319625864.7664.76200,510.9425537.08932325582,605

    25970,019259.240825964.8364.83201,505.7325637.43290425683,371

    260440,041260.185126065.2765.27203,656.6825737.77856525784,140

    261161,430261.404326165.4465.44204,945.5725838.12513725884,912

    262240,401262.46426265.6865.68206,486.6225938.47272725985,686

    263208,448263.306526365.8865.88207,932.6026038.82143226086,463

    264142,042264.256426466.0366.03209,173.2126139.17071626187,241

    265199,562265.32126566.2366.23210,600.1426239.52202226288,023

    2661041202266.516726667.2767.27214,718.3726339.87428626388,808

    267124,342267.463426767.3967.39215,923.9826440.22759626489,595

    268143,893268.340326867.5467.54217,195.4426540.58228526590,385

    26993,769269.308826967.6367.63218,308.5626640.93788926691,177

    270300,101270.157827067.9367.93220,092.4426741.29441826791,971

    271166,344271.489727168.1068.10221,448.5526841.65400526892,772

    272174,992272.400127268.2768.27222,836.8826942.0168526993,580

    273224,049273.298327368.5068.50224,390.1127042.38051727094,390

    274111,260274.298327468.6168.61225,577.8827142.74479727195,201

    275548,866275.085827569.1669.16228,212.4127243.11059627296,016

    276162,342276.419527669.3269.32229,579.9527343.47710727396,832

    277144,833277.421727769.4669.46230,893.1927443.84462227497,651

    278258,578278.454427869.7269.72232,589.3627544.21336227598,472

    279253,093279.120427969.9769.97234,273.3627644.58288327699,295

    280410,113280.101128070.3870.38236,491.0327744.955287277100,124

    281112,693281.453628170.5070.50237,715.6427845.328452278100,956

    282279,281282.452428270.7870.78239,506.6927945.702435279101,788

    283316,986283.331628371.0971.09241,432.4928046.077508280102,624

    28460,568284.284228471.1571.15242,492.0328146.454414281103,463

    285190,604285.25728571.3471.34243,997.7428246.83347282104,308

    286201,806286.268628671.5571.55245,546.4728347.213082283105,153

    287217,355287.460228771.7671.76247,153.5928447.593793284106,001

    288248,177288.363628872.0172.01248,872.4628547.976327285106,853

    28983,862289.336528972.1072.10250,027.4328648.359661286107,707

    290333,640290.157929072.4372.43252,053.6428748.743851287108,562

    291267,361291.309529172.7072.70253,856.4228849.1291288109,420

    292131,660292.364329272.8372.83255,190.1128949.515273289110,280

    293234,132293.173129373.0673.06256,887.2629049.902837290111,144

    294163,389294.246429473.2373.23258,340.4529150.291186291112,009

    295210,111295.177129573.4473.44259,962.9529250.681202292112,877

    296195,758296.398629673.6373.63261,539.5129351.072497293113,749

    297123,655297.423829773.7673.76262,863.8029451.464688294114,622

    298115,139298.382329873.8773.87264,160.6029551.858181295115,499

    299112,877299.333329973.9873.98265,452.0429652.252556296116,377

    29752.64808297117,258

    29853.044438298118,141

    29953.441601299119,025

    30053.83943300119,911

    Renda ZeroPobres

    1145,7608%860,21311%14,178,5008%

    2517,56030%5,455,01668%47,132,31927%

    3698,55241%1,110,44914%74,592,22542%

    4206,78112%365,0125%26,678,00415%

    5148,4549%256,3433%13,228,1578%

    1,717,1078,047,033175,809,205

    IndicadorRenda ZeroDemais pobresNo pobres

    Porcentagem morando no Norte ou NE39%78%35%

    Tamanho mdio de famlia3.15.54.0

    Anos de estudo do chefe6.23.36.8

    Telefone Celular69%48%82%

    Telefone Fixo25%5%43%

    Microcomputador18%2%37%

    Maquina de Lavar28%6%45%

    1918,5232.7130370.0801460.1744940.168671

    2784,07410.305860.3004050.3444570.413124

    Cluster

    Com perfil depobreSem perfil de pobre

    Nmero918,523784,074

    Tamanho mdio de famlia3.182.94

    Anos de estudo do chefe2.7110.311918,5230.5547213.17527932.3775

    Telefone Celular55%84%2784,0740.8379232.94122126.5565

    Telefone Fixo17%34%

    Microcomputador8%30%

    Maquina de Lavar17%41%

    12

    918,523784,074

    UFNo de pobresTaxa de pobrezaCusto de Erradicao

    Rondnia70,7694.7%118.8911150506178.9947511150506178.99475

    Acre65,7369.4%110.4412697,386158.357812697,386158.3578

    Amazonas211,9736.2%356.12133411106104.3991133411106104.3991

    Roraima24,2135.7%40.6814426,51095.3737114426,51095.37371

    Par520,0277.2%873.65157193330121.4521157193330121.4521

    Amap33,9075.3%56.9616639,96289.0111616639,96289.01116

    Tocantins79,3486.1%133.30171311118101.6712171311118101.6712

    Maranho885,76313.8%1,488.08216412580232.0569216412580232.0569

    Piau331,38110.6%556.72223136974177.4709223136974177.4709

    Cear950,04911.2%1,596.08238455326188.7659238455326188.7659

    Rio Grande do Norte240,7247.6%404.42243183717127.0265243183717127.0265

    Paraba399,02210.5%670.36253812121175.8493253812121175.8493

    Pernambuco990,86711.6%1,664.65268524023195.2894268524023195.2894

    Alagoas487,57615.3%819.13273183631257.2935273183631257.2935

    Sergipe194,1229.5%326.12282039123159.9339282039123159.9339

    Bahia1,497,49910.4%2,515.81291.44E+07174.7089291.44E+07174.7089

    Minas Gerais596,3893.0%1,001.94311.96E+0751.11927311.96E+0751.11927

    Esprito Santo113,5163.3%190.7032345336955.2224632345336955.22246

    Rio de Janeiro322,9742.2%542.60331.47E+0736.91164331.47E+0736.91164

    So Paulo775,0882.0%1,302.14353.86E+0733.73428353.86E+0733.73428

    Paran253,2662.4%425.49411.06E+0740.14041411.06E+0740.14041

    Santa Catarina84,7791.4%142.4342600542423.7161242600542423.71612

    Rio Grande do Sul235,0152.2%394.82431.07E+0736.89945431.07E+0736.89945

    Mato Grosso do Sul48,7012.0%81.8250239754334.1263450239754334.12634

    Mato Grosso123,2784.1%207.1151301892868.6028451301892868.60284

    Gois183,4453.2%308.1952579295153.2007452579295153.20074

    Distrito Federal49,3722.0%82.9453242353234.2241353242353234.22413

    Brasil9,768,7995.3%16,411.59185623715

    14.910.47%

    16.410.52%

    1995.011.4411995.010.521

    1995.021.011.01011995.02-0.210.9979

    1995.031.621.026463621995.031.421.01207018

    1995.042.491.05202256411995.042.061.0329188257

    1995.052.11.0741150381995.050.61.0391163387

    1995.062.181.09753074581995.06-0.521.0337129337

    19950.39297876680.52708826220.37611598070.392978766826.35199526.32957726.32811995.072.461.12453000221.13026510521995.070.91.0430163501

    19960.44173376450.59248158420.42277889320.441733764529.62199629.59616229.59451.12411995.081.021.13600020821.14264580941995.080.571.0489615433AnoAlimentoCheioAnoAlimentoCheio

    19970.46088690420.61817100050.44111016840.460886904230.91199730.87942330.87771995.091.171.14929141061.15733645051995.090.111.0501154011.053055724119951.05305572410.569258582199528.4626.33199528.4626.33

    19980.4750417730.63715641590.45465764930.47504177331.86199831.82779931.82601995.101.41.16538149041995.100.561.055996047219961.11076546690.6004551897199630.0229.59199630.0229.59

    19990.50561166140.67815870590.48391577860.505611661433.91199933.87598133.87411995.111.511.18297875091995.111.161.068245601419971.10453609810.597087731199729.8530.88199729.8530.88

    2000-20001995.121.651.20249790031995.120.981.078714408319981.15546505490.6246187962199831.2331.83199831.2331.83

    20010.58056873230.77869592470.55565642880.580568732338.93200138.89810538.89601996.011.461.22005436961996.011.531.095218738719991.19839110890.6478236694199932.3933.87199932.3933.87

    20020.63817030620.85595484050.61078630930.638170306242.80200242.75741142.75501996.020.711.22871675561996.020.11.096313957520001.3021667070.70392245742000--200137.6838.90

    257.279120030.745565391910.71357305360.745565391950.00200349.95288149.9501345.07921996.030.291.23228003421996.030.031.096642851720011.39394872280.7535377807200137.6838.90200241.7242.76

    20040.78909168211.05838024490.75523162320.789091682152.92200452.86914352.86621996.040.931.24374023851.13623925911996.040.671.103990358820021.54349238890.8343777718200241.7242.76200350.0049.95

    20050.83019089911.1135051440.79456726580.830190899155.68200555.62279055.61971996.051.281.25966011361.12406024981996.050.831.11315347871.054802173820031.84987237331200350.0049.95200451.7152.87

    345.836420060.85333384641.14454594550.81671714530.853333846457.23200657.17336857.1702405.276817.4%1996.061.331.27641359311996.060.781.121836075920041.91308970121.0341738861200451.7152.87200551.9455.62

    20070.89470387551.2000340750.85631197930.894703875560.00200759.94516059.94181996.071.21.29173055621.29495988261996.070.41.126323420220051.92157016061.0387582345200551.9455.62200652.0357.17

    20080.95867257251.28583298380.91753576870.958672572564.29200864.23106264.22751996.080.51.2981892091.29831902791996.08-0.71.118439156220061.92505406471.0406415559200652.0357.17200757.2559.94

    467.1397200911.34126397340.9570898292167.06200967.00000066.9963467.139715.3%1996.090.021.29844884681.30091589971996.09-0.821.10926795521.110765466920072.1180436741.1449674607200757.2559.94200865.5964.23

    20101.04483400571.40139821170.0770.00000.01996.100.381.30338295251996.100.271.112262978620082.42662119451.3117776282200865.5964.23200967.0267.00

    1996.110.341.30781445451996.11-0.321.108703737120092.47951091731.3403686401200967.0267.00201071.4370.00

    1996.120.331.31213024221996.12-0.571.102384125820102.64280631151.4286425105201071.4370.00

    1997.010.811.32275849721997.010.831.111533914

    1997.020.451.32871091041997.020.691.1192034981

    1997.030.681.33774614461997.031.341.1342008249

    1997.040.61.34577262151997.040.111.1354484458

    1997.050.111.34725297131997.05-0.951.12466168560.9943918235

    1997.060.351.35196835671997.06-0.481.1192633095

    1997.070.181.35440189981997.07-0.571.1128835086

    1997.08-0.031.35399557921997.08-0.711.1049820357

    1997.090.11.35534957481997.09-0.211.10266157351.1045360981

    1997.100.291.35928008861997.100.341.1064106228

    1997.110.151.36131900871997.110.191.108512803

    1997.120.571.3690785271997.120.781.1171592029

    1998.010.851.38071569451998.011.611.135145466

    1998.020.541.38817155931998.020.761.1437725716

    1998.030.491.39497359991998.031.011.1553246745

    1998.040.451.40125098111998.040.981.1666468563

    1998.050.721.41133998821998.052.111.191263105

    1998.060.151.41345699821998.060.311.1949560206

    1998.07-0.281.40949931861998.07-1.181.1808555396

    1998.08-0.491.40259277191998.08-1.441.1638512198

    1998.09-0.311.39824473431998.09-0.791.15465679521.1554650549

    1998.100.111.39978280351998.100.141.1562733147

    1998.11-0.181.39726319451998.11-0.631.1489887928

    1998.120.421.40313169991998.120.241.1517463659

    1999.010.651.41225205591999.010.91.1621120832

    1999.021.291.43047010751999.022.921.196045756

    1999.031.281.44878012481999.032.021.2202058803

    1999.040.471.45558939141999.04-0.481.2143488921

    1999.050.051.45631718611999.05-1.111.2008696194

    1999.060.071.45733660811999.06-1.361.1845377926

    1999.070.741.4681208991999.07-0.411.1796811876

    1999.080.551.4761955641999.080.061.1803889963

    1999.090.391.48195272671999.090.51.18629094131.1983911089

    1999.100.961.49617947291999.102.041.2104912765

    1999.110.941.51024355991999.111.671.2307064808

    1999.120.741.52141936231999.121.571.2500285726

    2000.010.611.53070002042000.010.91.2612788297

    2000.020.051.53146537042000.02-0.461.2554769471

    2000.030.131.53345627542000.03-0.581.2481951808

    2000.040.091.5348363862000.04-0.491.2420790244

    2000.05-0.051.53406896782000.05-0.791.2322666001

    2000.060.31.53867117472000.060.181.23448468

    2000.071.391.5600587042000.072.091.2602854098

    2000.081.211.57893541442000.082.331.2896500599

    2000.090.431.58572483662000.090.911.30138587541.302166707

    2000.100.161.58826199642000.100.121.3029475385

    2000.110.291.59286795622000.11-0.161.3008628224

    2000.120.551.60162872992000.12-0.421.2953991986

    2001.010.771.61396127112001.010.891.3069282514

    2001.020.491.62186968142001.020.131.3086272582

    2001.030.481.62965465582001.031.171.3239381971

    2001.040.841.6433437552001.042.071.3513437178

    2001.050.571.65271081442001.050.621.3597220488

    2001.060.61.66262707922001.060.021.3599939932

    2001.071.111.68108223982001.070.691.3693779518

    2001.080.791.69436278952001.080.961.3825239801

    2001.090.441.70181798582001.090.231.38570378531.3939487228

    2001.100.941.71781507492001.101.191.4021936603

    2001.111.291.73997488932001.111.441.422385249

    2001.120.741.75285070352001.120.651.4316307531

    2002.011.071.7716062062002.010.891.4443722668

    2002.020.311.77709818532002.020.091.4456722019

    2002.030.621.7881161942002.030.411.4515994579

    2002.040.681.80027538412002.04-0.391.44593822

    2002.050.091.8018956322002.05-0.741.4352382772

    2002.060.611.81288719532002.060.131.437104087

    2002.071.151.83373539812002.071.181.4540619152

    2002.080.861.84950552252002.082.261.4869237145

    2002.090.831.86485641842002.092.221.51993342091.5434923889

    2002.101.571.89413466412002.103.11.567051357

    2002.113.391.95834582922002.116.481.6685962849

    2002.122.72.01122116662002.124.251.739511627

    2003.012.472.06089832942003.012.441.7819557107

    2003.021.462.0909874452003.021.291.8049429394

    2003.031.372.1196339732003.031.611.8340025207

    2003.041.382.14888492192003.041.151.8550935497

    2003.050.992.17015888262003.050.611.8664096203

    2003.06-0.062.16885678732003.06-0.511.8568909313

    2003.070.042.169724332003.07-0.911.8399932238

    2003.080.182.17362983382003.08-0.481.8311612563

    2003.090.822.19145359842003.090.791.84562743031.8498723733

    2003.100.392.20000026742003.100.461.8541173164

    2003.110.372.20814026842003.110.241.858567198

    2003.120.542.22006422592003.120.31.8641428996

    2004.010.832.2384907592004.010.971.8822250857

    2004.020.392.24722087292004.020.251.8869306484

    2004.030.572.26003003192004.030.511.8965539947

    2004.040.412.2692961552004.04-0.41.8889677788

    2004.050.42.27837333962004.050.021.8893455723

    2004.060.52.28976520632004.060.481.8984144311

    2004.070.732.30648049242004.070.531.9084760275

    2004.080.52.31801289482004.080.761.9229804454

    2004.090.172.32195351672004.09-0.231.91855759031.9130897012

    2004.100.172.32590083772004.10-0.571.9076218121

    2004.110.442.33613480142004.11-0.091.9059049524

    2004.120.862.35622556072004.120.681.9188651061

    2005.010.572.36965604642005.010.751.9332565944

    2005.020.442.3800825332005.020.431.9415695978

    2005.030.732.39745713552005.030.231.9460352078

    2005.040.912.41927399542005.040.691.9594628508

    2005.050.72.43620891342005.050.71.9731790907

    2005.06-0.112.43352908362005.06-0.821.9569990222

    2005.070.032.43425914232005.07-0.651.9442785285

    2005.0802.43425914232005.08-0.861.9275577332

    2005.090.152.4379105312005.09-0.451.91888372341.9215701606

    2005.100.582.45205041212005.100.281.9242565978

    2005.110.542.46529148432005.110.811.9398430763

    2005.120.42.47515265032005.120.351.946632527

    2006.010.382.48455823032006.010.071.9479951698

    2006.020.232.49027271432006.02-0.21.9440991795

    2006.030.272.49699645062006.03-0.121.9417662604

    2006.040.122.49999284632006.04-0.341.9351642552

    2006.050.132.5032428372006.05-0.121.9328420581

    2006.06-0.072.5014905672006.06-0.571.9218248583

    2006.070.112.50424220672006.07-0.21.9179812086

    2006.08-0.022.50374135822006.08-0.271.9128026593

    2006.090.162.50774734442006.090.091.91452418171.9250540647

    2006.100.432.5185306582006.101.11.9355839477

    2006.110.422.52910848672006.111.141.9576496047

    2006.120.622.54478895942006.120.371.9648929083

    2007.010.492.55725842532007.010.81.9806120515

    2007.020.422.56799891072007.020.791.9962588868

    2007.030.442.57929810592007.031.12.0182177345

    2007.040.262.58600428092007.040.092.0200341305

    2007.050.262.59272789212007.050.072.0214481544

    2007.060.312.60076534852007.060.932.0402476222

    2007.070.322.60908779762007.071.362.0679949899

    2007.080.592.62448141572007.081.522.0994285137

    2007.090.252.63104261922007.090.612.11223502762.118043674

    2007.100.32.6389357472007.100.552.1238523203

    2007.110.432.65028317082007.110.92.1429669912

    2007.120.972.67599091752007.122.612.1988984296

    2008.010.692.69445525482008.011.672.2356200334

    2008.020.482.70738864012008.020.892.2555170517

    2008.030.512.72119632212008.030.982.2776211188

    2008.040.642.73861197862008.041.292.3070024312

    2008.050.962.76490265362008.052.192.3575257845

    2008.060.912.79006326772008.062.382.4136348982

    2008.070.582.80624563472008.071.092.4399435186

    2008.080.212.81213875052008.08-0.422.4296957558

    2008.090.152.81635695862008.09-0.462.41851915532.4266211945

    2008.100.52.83043874342008.100.672.4347232336

    2008.110.382.84119441072008.110.52.4468968498

    2008.120.292.84943387452008.120.122.449833126

    2009.010.642.86767025132009.010.532.4628172416

    2009.020.312.8765600292009.020.12.4652800588

    2009.030.22.88231314912009.030.12.4677453389

    2009.040.552.89816587142009.040.012.4679921134

    2009.050.62.91555486662009.050.472.4795916764

    2009.060.422.92780019712.93116716732009.060.72.4969488181

    2009.070.232.93453413752.93570795122009.07-0.172.4927040051

    2009.080.082.93688176482.93923127032009.08-0.212.4874693267

    2009.090.162.94158077572009.09-0.32.48000691872.4795109173

    2009.100.242.94864056952009.10-0.042.4790149159

    2009.110.372.95955053962009.110.522.4919057935

    2009.120.242.96665346092009.120.132.495145271

    2010.010.882.99276001142010.011.132.5233404126

    2010.020.73.01370933152010.021.092.5508448231

    2010.030.713.03510666771.04363654222010.031.682.5936990161

    2010.040.733.05726294642010.041.722.6383106392

    2010.050.433.07040917712010.050.342.6472808954

    2010.06-0.113.0670317273.06595826592010.06-1.052.619484446

    2010.07-0.073.06488480483.06381209512010.07-0.922.5953851891

    2010.08-0.073.06273938543.07100878172010.08-0.482.5829273402

    2010.090.543.07927817812010.091.22.61392246832.6428063115

    2010.100.923.10760753732010.102.212.6716901548

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    00

    Alimento

    Cheio

    PIB3143014

    Baseline sem bolsaBaseline com bolsaR$68 p crianas ja recebendoR$68 todos j recebendoR$68 p todos ext. pobres

    108.78941842.9200245.5338267.93926108.86383516.7690519.8708567.845422642627191

    29.2260531.0291863.8881464.7074776.6088729.32774531.0888254.4501367.2304576.4330453688796110

    IndicadorBaseline sem bolsaBaseline com bolsaR$68 p crianas ja recebendoR$68 p crianas ext. pobresR$68 p todos ext. pobres327.453445.4235877.4973478.3553193.87092327.5213445.4859469.3388778.6560193.3371747.2%68.3%113.9%

    Nmero de pobres:11,482,2858,238,3282,943,7282,811,06820,663440.6360958.0061589.7207490.68154104.2216440.7124858.0623880.6615291.32741103.490628.6%41.6%62.6%

    Porcentagem de pobres:6.194.441.591.510.01551.9446168.5769798.98261100.1988113.6768551.9891268.6271490.9364299.95667112.6322

    Hiato mdio em % da linha:50.7242.126.0324.046.65662.5387677.79005106.8534108.5115119.4273662.5855377.831698.65325108.3523118.4457

    Coeficiente de Gini dos pobres:0.39930.29640.14160.11540.0358771.9574586.68256114.1856115.3849126.1436772.0093586.7253105.7835116.2587124.8207

    Indicador GE2 dos pobres:0.24370.13670.03840.02210.0029879.522694.53407119.9136121.8201131.7823879.5543194.57048113.7604120.4776130.6207

    Indicador de pobreza FGT:0.02320.01190.00170.00130988.44771100.5907125.4557126.9998136.169988.49483100.6164118.5128126.9772135.7196

    Gini populacional0.542140.534210.524410.523870.519511094.37781107.5162131.1525132.7721141.60481094.41225107.5596124.7341132.9606141.4494

    Populao total considerada:18557334518557334518557334518557334518557334511100.1003115.2144135.2035136.5717145.402411100.1111115.2356130.6343138.5064145.3552

    Valor da linha de pobreza:676767676712108.8387119.0886140.2284141.6386149.211712108.8981119.1188135.577143.9681149.3196

    13116.1087125.559144.9701146.0679152.999313116.1185125.5891141.4028148.0897153.272

    14118.2544132.0685148.7126149.4276155.362414118.2793132.102146.3123152.2537155.9302

    15125.223138.9791152.1237153.1258159.696915125.2622139.0113150.2489155.3952160.3117

    16132.6814145.4083155.1387155.5755162.550216132.7193145.448154.3534159.8782163.2039

    48.5247150.674016817140.0773151.1758159.4061160.5872167.088117140.1169151.2006157.5074163.4957167.4169

    20.6840720.6840720.6840718148.7103155.0369164.9676165.8336170.122118148.7391155.044163.1009167.6614170.5218

    22355822223558222235582219153.947159.7938168.3944169.0561175.525319153.9728159.8271167.5632172.4942176.0217

    20156.0149166.1406173.7946174.4258180.591420156.041166.1721172.9532177.8056181.1557

    21162.7928172.990921162.8266173.0221

    22169.4462179.415622169.484179.4559

    23176.9289186.213723176.9573186.2465

    24184.8108193.385424184.8494193.4231

    Simulao25192.0643199.699225192.1118199.7123

    R$68 p crianas ja recebendoR$68 p crianas ext. pobresR$68 p todos ext. pobres26199.69204.358426199.7074204.4032

    Custo total (R$ bilhes)7.58.012.727203.135212.943127203.1741212.9832

    Custo/PIB0.24%0.26%0.40%28212.9358220.29628212.9766220.3385

    D pobres5,294,6005,427,2608,217,66529221.2163227.805129221.2588227.8426

    R$/pobre elevado1,410.651,482.401,544.6530229.1118232.530229.1494232.5

    D Gini (x100)1.01.01.531232.5233.444431232.5233.4632

    32233.3924239.759832233.4113239.7931

    33239.9172247.465333239.9533247.4993

    34248.3738252.686234248.4062252.719

    35253.7267261.055435253.772261.1011

    36263.2632267.727136263.3038267.7568

    37269.9436275.606537269.9874275.6432

    38278.6895283.210138278.7297283.2545

    (3,971,829)(5,986,618)(8,202,196)39287.3806292.071539287.4301292.1151

    40297.0262299.646540297.0707299.6627

    IndicadorBaseline sem bolsaBaseline com bolsaR$68 p Incond e cond j recebendoR$68 todos ext pobres j recebendoR$68 p todos ext. pobres41300.9524305.024341300.9775305.0743

    3)Nmero pobres11,472,9648,229,0074,257,1782,242,38926,81142308.9305310.714942308.9555310.7334

    4)Porcentagem6.184.432.291.210.0143313.581318.239843313.6225318.2823

    5)Hiato mdio (% linha)50.6842.0641.1358.8914.4444322.6029325.954344322.641325.9932

    6)Gini dos pobres0.3990.2960.3250.5220.08045330.7292333.405245330.769333.4427

    7)GE2 dos pobres0.2430.1360.1780.4410.01046338.2348342.802146338.293342.8587

    8)Indicador FGT20.0230.0120.0070.0060.00047348.7772350.679447348.8064350.7108

    Gini0.5420.5340.5260.5230.51948355.8462358.91248355.8983358.9581

    1)Populao total considerada:18557334518557334518557334518557334518557334549366.1214369.253349366.1818369.3041

    2)Valor da linha de pobreza:676767676750375.5596377.58750375.5988377.6244

    51384.8279387.226351384.8762387.2796

    -1.4%-2.1%-2.9%52396.7315398.208152396.7813398.244

    53401.7862403.485653401.8248403.5385

    54413.9949415.952854414.0591416.0147

    55425.082426.781155425.1442426.8373

    39.208252.364676881656435.9361437.391756435.9894437.4535

    17.3265317.3265317.3265357448.6579449.950557448.7117450.0076

    23037620230376202303762058460.8029462.015858460.863462.0675

    5946546559465465

    60465.2275465.477460465.2358465.4872

    61473.4254475.221961473.4914475.2982

    62486.6093487.941362486.6756488.0037

    63498.7127499.273663498.7488499.2981

    Simulao64503.7666505.278764503.8243505.348

    R$68 p Incond e cond j recebendoR$68 todos ext pobres j recebendoR$68 p todos ext. pobres65519.56520.876465519.6396520.9547

    Custo adicional (R$ bilhes)6.059.6914.0166534.1453535.220566534.2227535.2963

    Custo/PIB0.19%0.31%0.45%67549.8372550.879267549.9235550.9578

    D pobres3,971,8295,986,6188,202,19668566.4531567.324568566.5397567.4128

    R$/pobre elevado1,523.031,618.001,707.9369582.8336583.84569582.9218583.9424

    D Gini (x100)0.81.11.570599.178599.695370599.2257599.7465

    71614.3977615.580871614.5181615.6838

    72626.6356629.949672626.6464629.9824

    73638.2384639.085173638.2397639.0818

    74657.9999658.455574657.9999658.4548

    75674.9606675.645675674.9569675.6475

    76697.1361697.490676697.1343697.4909

    77717.5496718.409877717.5546718.4117

    78741.7546742.124978741.7568742.1297

    79760.901761.497879760.9012761.5076

    06780792.6365793.07280792.6356793.0747

    106781821.2061821.800481821.2034821.7899

    82853.8973854.335982853.8939854.3306

    83889.037889.598983889.0339889.6005

    84925.9837926.7584925.9773926.7532

    85965.9968966.573185965.9905966.5774

    861002.0131002.512861002.0111002.512

    871051.251051.912871051.2481051.905

    881115.2921116.013881115.31115.996

    891179.9631180.333891179.9661180.33

    901251.9061252.528901251.9211252.534

    911336.3231336.838911336.3371336.844

    921440.3281441.046921440.3391441.063

    931545.8551546.861931545.8631546.88

    941693.9611694.437941693.9611694.447

    951888.4081889.429951888.3851889.44

    962104.9162105.896962104.8962105.919

    972441.3372442.444972441.3392442.468

    982968.4742969.914982968.612969.941

    993831.2333833.107993831.333833.152

    1007541.5837544.4541007541.2257544.581

    000000

    000000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    Observado sem PBF

    Observado com PBF

    Simula1

    Simula2

    Simula3

    0%

    1,1%

    2,3%

    '

    4,4%

    6,2%

    Baseline sem bolsa

    Baseline com bolsa

    R$68 p crianas ja recebendo

    R$68 todos j recebendo

    R$68 p todos ext. pobres

    Centsimo

    Renda Mdia

    PIB3143014

    18,416,3549,466,126170,3101,902,7364,193,5333,818,571

    ObservadoSimula1Simula2Simula3Simula4

    rdpcObservadoSimula1Simula2Simula3Simula4No cadastro0175,809,205185,506,374183,670,221181,154,434181,638,505

    17.80497871.9151555.5911842.4632647.09863Na Pnad01Total18682052186150141295934254593052181070

    228.7073990.2623177.2816662.8792964.4512501666861128,339,019175,809,2054.71%0.1%0.8%1.9%1.7%1070

    34298.8987787.946574.6618876.12441166,9718,913,0959,764,140Gini0.53910.523550.527320.531120.53099

    455105.923196.9110185.5711686.15826Total166,619,94617,252,114185,573,345Hiato mdio32.11469.38317117.2555118.6877127.62324

    566.15957113.4574103.563594.1930593.63419Hiato total3.34584752590.02096012740.29257593780.76816781291.0117335394

    675.78659118.0581110.1822100.7813101.6636

    784.44378122.9252115.5411107.3321106.9799Centsimo 17.80497871.9151555.5911842.4632647.09863

    892.76611128.0817119.2542113.4399113.81441Centsimo 228.7073990.2623177.2816662.8792964.45125

    999.3374132.9677123.8805117.5844117.24052Centsimo 34298.8987787.946574.6618876.12441

    10105.5489137.5804128.168122.3703122.80763Centsimo 455105.923196.9110185.5711686.15826

    11110.35835139.9768130.2521125.385126.0434Centsimo 566.15957113.4574103.563594.1930593.63419

    12116.38521144.3294134.6777129.8856131.35375Centsimo 675.78659118.0581110.1822100.7813101.6636

    13121.35248148.6262139.1865134.445135.73386Centsimo 784.44378122.9252115.5411107.3321106.9799

    14127.58982151.8991143.3964139.0775140.51767Centsimo 892.76611128.0817119.2542113.4399113.8144

    15134.4089155.0016147.7195143.7077145.23728Centsimo 999.3374132.9677123.8805117.5844117.2405

    16141.17624158.2789150.9547149.0531149.62189Centsimo 10105.5489137.5804128.168122.3703122.8076

    17147.62806162.3905154.5445152.6836153.324610

    18152.85076166.4546156.4371155.2197155.6972Populao total considerada:185573345185573345185573345185573345185573345

    19155.89019170.2874160.8864159.8547160.6295Valor da linha de pobreza:6767676767

    20162.04106174.5899165.3467165.1454165.6104Nmero de pobres:8682052186150141295934254593052181

    21168.27923179.0064169.4714170.6835171.377Porcentagem de pobres:4.680.10.761.851.64

    22175.11636184.505174.2679176.5522176.8975Hiato mdio em % da linha:43.2314.223.0423.2934.61

    23181.89563188.2679178.8278183.0405183.1286Coeficiente de Gini dos pobres:0.30260.08450.12490.12590.2505

    24188.40797193.9184184.4567189.016189.0135Indicador GE2 dos pobres:0.14130.01320.02550.02540.1073

    25196.12235199.3899189.6435196.3728196.4626Indicador de pobreza FGT:0.01300.00060.00160.0035

    26200.4133202.4571196.045200.4672200.4948

    27207.44559209.8513200.1144207.567207.59833017613867.9984

    28215.29092216.6434205.4045215.3475215.33496980369808

    29222.8795223.587213.0144222.8916222.8941

    30230.25577230.509219.8756230.2588230.2625SimulaoCusto totalCusto/PIBSaidos da pobrezaR$/PobreD Gini (x100)

    31232.5002232.5089227.101232.5002232.5002Sim1 (R$70 para todos)14.9060.47%8,495,9021,754.471.6

    32235.18448235.2992232.4182235.1854235.1841Sim2 (R$70 para crianas + R$70 benefcio fixo)11.7070.37%7,269,0931,610.451.2

    33242.04198242.144232.891242.0421242.0422Sim3 (R$35 para todos)7.4530.24%5,256,5931,417.820.8

    34249.3246249.3763238.2789249.325249.3252Sim4 (R$70 para crianas)8.1480.26%5,629,8711,447.260.8

    35255.43871255.4694245.3271255.4407255.441

    36263.75081263.7542250.9774263.7516263.7526

    37270.02883270.0311257.9521270.0286270.03SimulaoCusto totalCusto/PIBSaidos da pobrezaR$/PobreD Gini (x100)0.0036983088

    38277.97883277.9787265.4022277.9784277.9799Sim1 (R$70 para todos)14.9060.47%8,495,9021,754.471.6650,196.74

    39286.19678286.1959272.1903286.1959286.1973Sim2 (R$70 para crianas + R$70 benefcio fixo)11.7070.37%7,269,0931,610.451.2

    40295.31823295.3197279.7584295.3184295.32Sim3 (R$35 para todos)7.4530.24%5,256,5931,417.820.8

    41300.41926300.4194287.9117300.4193300.4194Sim4 (R$70 para crianas)8.1480.26%5,629,8711,447.260.8

    42307.95269307.9529296.9183307.953307.9528

    43312.56668312.5676301.1467312.5675312.56737,897,978784,074

    44321.05269321.0537308.8102321.0529321.05284.49%

    45328.6296328.6302313.4633328.6301328.6301

    46335.81778335.8174322.1226335.8191335.81840.140.198

    47346.22392346.2237329.7146346.2246346.22370.1770.215

    48352.83778352.8383336.6821352.838352.83740.0370.017

    49362.36985362.3702346.9531362.3702362.37050.23343848580.0823244552

    50372.21743372.2181353.2976372.2172372.2189

    51380.45051380.4507362.8742380.4495380.4496

    52391.01742391.0157372.7178391.0166391.0151

    53399.92248399.9222381.3707399.9224399.9223

    54407.4212407.4203392.2038407.42407.4199

    55419.85682419.8562400.1183419.8567419.8573

    56430.08047430.0796409.5123430.0808430.08

    57442.20859442.2096421.4369442.211442.2069

    58453.39773453.3973432.1454453.3951453.3961

    59464.38625464.3857444.8448464.3842464.3854Simulao

    60465465456.00994654651: 70 para todos2: 70 para crianas + 70 benefcio fixo3: 35 para todos4: 70 para crianas

    61467.40997467.4103465467.4104467.4093

    62479.47176479.472465479.4723479.4713Custo total14.90611.7077.4538.148

    63492.74966492.7498470.1804492.7497492.7495Custo/PIB0.47%0.37%0.24%0.26%

    64500.01698500.017483.4364500.017500.017D pobreza8,495,9027,269,0935,256,5935,629,871

    65510.6118510.6118496.5827510.6118510.6126R$/Pobre1,7541,6101,4181,447

    66526.08035526.0806501.9357526.0787526.0804D Gini (x100)1.61.20.80.8

    67540.37491540.374516.9578540.3701540.3731

    68555.85112555.8524532.1623555.85555.8528

    69572.76981572.7723548.3956572.7699572.7704

    70590.70743590.7091565.3782590.7062590.7051

    71603.00178603.0028582.8758603.0022603.0003

    72621.59497621.5969599.5712621.5958621.5944IndicadorSimulao

    73639.02781639.0289616.2863639.0271639.03PobMonObservado1: 70 para todos2: 70 para crianas + 70 benefcio fixo3: 35 para todos4: 70 para crianas

    74658.45556658.4558633.9523658.4558658.4568Nmero de pobres8,682,052186,1501,412,9593,425,4593,052,181

    75675.64692675.645655.4062675.6494675.6475Porcentagem de pobres4.680.10.761.851.64

    76697.49074697.489673.7601697.4918697.491Hiato mdio em % da linha43.2314.223.0423.2934.61

    77718.41389718.4109696.7607718.4107718.4143Coeficiente de Gini dos pobres0.30260.08450.12490.12590.2505

    78742.12835742.1275718.7191742.1286742.1296Indicador GE2 dos pobres0.14130.01320.02550.02540.1073

    79761.50312761.502743.6084761.5016761.504Indicador de pobreza FGT0.0130.0000.0010.0020.004

    80793.07804793.0735766.3209793.0711793.0743

    81821.80021821.7977799.246821.8002821.794

    82854.33458854.3323830.7509854.3351854.3352

    83889.60052889.6005867.29889.5989889.6014

    84926.75513926.7571907.3035926.7538926.7584

    85966.58292966.5793945.5948966.5872966.5877

    861002.51611002.512991.05381002.5141002.512168.8401348.9031135.5032320.94167

    871051.91911051.9121029.1091051.9061051.911283.412572.2916356.7175256.25087

    881116.02251116.011097.3041116.0081116.016395.6586583.1605169.8284472.38995

    891180.33451180.3371167.5251180.3311180.3284102.501192.9305881.2426183.4232

    901252.51741252.5221239.9141252.5231252.5235109.9338100.468790.3522491.88455

    911336.83751336.8351327.2141336.841336.8486116.1953106.849898.0802899.44016

    921441.06221441.0571433.6371441.061441.0697120.5769113.305103.9923105.7342

    931546.89211546.8821544.8391546.8641546.8938125.7854117.212110.6799112.1342

    941694.46031694.4661698.6791694.4191694.4539130.7953121.5006115.8083116.7418

    951889.45611889.4571905.251889.4311889.44910135.4779126.0275120.0673121.1176

    962105.93882105.9182132.9692105.9312105.95711139.9768130.2521125.385126.043

    972442.47692442.4632482.1652442.4722442.48312144.3294134.6777129.8856131.3537

    982969.97542969.9113026.2342969.9362969.88613148.6262139.1865134.445135.7338

    993833.25353832.9023919.2693833.1423833.09414151.8991143.3964139.0775140.5176

    1007544.80087543.7327736.1917544.5687544.55515155.0016147.7195143.7077145.2372

    16158.2789150.9547149.0531149.6218

    17162.3905154.5445152.6836153.3246

    18166.4546156.4371155.2197155.6972

    19170.2874160.8864159.8547160.6295

    20174.5899165.3467165.1454165.6104

    21179.0064169.4714170.6835171.377

    22184.505174.2679176.5522176.8975

    23188.2679178.8278183.0405183.1286

    24193.9184184.4567189.016189.0135

    25199.3899189.6435196.3728196.4626

    26202.4571196.045200.4672200.4948

    27209.8513200.1144207.567207.5983

    28216.6434205.4045215.3475215.3349

    29223.587213.0144222.8916222.8941

    30230.509219.8756230.2588230.2625

    31232.5089227.101232.5002232.5002

    32235.2992232.4182235.1854235.1841

    33242.144232.891242.0421242.0422

    34249.3763238.2789249.325249.3252

    35255.4694245.3271255.4407255.441

    36263.7542250.9774263.7516263.7526

    37270.0311257.9521270.0286270.03

    38277.9787265.4022277.9784277.9799

    39286.1959272.1903286.1959286.1973

    40295.3197279.7584295.3184295.32

    41300.4194287.9117300.4193300.4194

    42307.9529296.9183307.953307.9528

    43312.5676301.1467312.5675312.5673

    44321.0537308.8102321.0529321.0528

    45328.6302313.4633328.6301328.6301

    46335.8174322.1226335.8191335.8184

    47346.2237329.7146346.2246346.2237

    48352.8383336.6821352.838352.8374

    49362.3702346.9531362.3702362.3705

    50372.2181353.2976372.2172372.2189

    51380.4507362.8742380.4495380.4496

    52391.0157372.7178391.0166391.0151

    53399.9222381.3707399.9224399.9223

    54407.4203392.2038407.42407.4199

    55419.8562400.1183419.8567419.8573

    56430.0796409.5123430.0808430.08

    57442.2096421.4369442.211442.2069

    58453.3973432.1454453.3951453.3961

    59464.3857444.8448464.3842464.3854

    60465456.0099465465

    61467.4103465467.4104467.4093

    62479.472465479.4723479.4713

    63492.7498470.1804492.7497492.7495

    64500.017483.4364500.017500.017

    65510.6118496.5827510.6118510.6126

    66526.0806501.9357526.0787526.0804

    67540.374516.9578540.3701540.3731

    68555.8524532.1623555.85555.8528

    69572.7723548.3956572.7699572.7704

    70590.7091565.3782590.7062590.7051

    71603.0028582.8758603.0022603.0003

    72621.5969599.5712621.5958621.5944

    73639.0289616.2863639.0271639.03

    74658.4558633.9523658.4558658.4568

    75675.645655.4062675.6494675.6475

    76697.489673.7601697.4918697.491

    77718.4109696.7607718.4107718.4143

    78742.1275718.7191742.1286742.1296

    79761.502743.6084761.5016761.504

    80793.0735766.3209793.0711793.0743

    81821.7977799.246821.8002821.794

    82854.3323830.7509854.3351854.3352

    83889.6005867.29889.5989889.6014

    84926.7571907.3035926.7538926.7584

    85966.5793945.5948966.5872966.5877

    861002.512991.05381002.5141002.512

    871051.9121029.1091051.9061051.911

    881116.011097.3041116.0081116.016

    891180.3371167.5251180.3311180.328

    901252.5221239.9141252.5231252.523

    911336.8351327.2141336.841336.848

    921441.0571433.6371441.061441.069

    931546.8821544.8391546.8641546.893

    941694.4661698.6791694.4191694.453

    951889.4571905.251889.4311889.449

    962105.9182132.9692105.9312105.957

    972442.4632482.1652442.4722442.483

    982969.9113026.2342969.9362969.886

    993832.9023919.2693833.1423833.094

    1007543.7327736.1917544.5687544.555

    000000

    000000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    00000

    Simula1

    Simula4

    Simula3

    Simula2

    Observado

    0,1%

    0,8%

    1,9%

    1,6%

    4,7%

    Observado

    Simula1

    Simula2

    Simula3

    Simula4

    Centsimo

    Renda Mdia

    68

    LinhasValor

    Bolsa Famlia 100 jan 20042550255.00255.00

    Bolsa Famlia 50 jan 200425564.18255.082605255.082605

    1/2 SM jan 2011255.0064.18082605082605

    1/4 SM jan 2011127.5

    Bolsa Famlia127.50.0127.50127.50

    Bolsa Famlia127.525.12127.515089127.538285

    025.120.0150890.038285

    140014001400

    14028.721401920614048256

    028.72019206048256

    700700700

    709.8703538708434

    09.80353808434

    670670

    673538677680

    0353807680

    1.7182410000

    1.7239870000

    1.7342790000

    1.749117

    1.78808

    1.807553

    1.851047

    1.900143

    1.925838

    1.979753

    2.032995

    2.122095

    2.252395

    2.311784

    2.405209

    2.440951

    2.546816

    2.596889

    2.806104

    2.858163

    2.932546

    3.08588

    3.304063

    3.383292

    3.62921

    3.67843

    3.958386

    4.0281

    4.115596

    4.35194

    4.456454

    4.569612

    4.680011

    4.883483

    4.994261

    5.092775

    5.311099

    5.385888

    5.526844

    5.597597

    5.675507

    5.825825

    5.987369

    6.126782

    6.264007

    6.296211

    6.714359

    6.784277

    6.918264

    7.089337

    7.208814

    7.358488

    7.564525

    7.675217

    7.833053

    7.9026

    8.205475

    8.287342

    8.538915

    8.657408

    8.782345

    8.974945

    9.466126

    9.552777

    9.691498

    9.76414

    10.040739

    10.158865

    10.356143

    10.513227

    10.666063

    11.017892

    11.221042

    11.524323

    11.719379

    11.815367

    12.194282

    12.293789

    12.432402

    12.783945

    12.908477

    13.17632

    13.315291

    13.545168

    13.747352

    13.862094

    14.212967

    14.355391

    14.510239

    15.120317

    15.322629

    15.490229

    15.728243

    15.970804

    16.14499

    16.425897

    17.418361

    17.560491

    17.720346

    17.96769

    18.174833

    18.457019

    18.839051

    19.002686

    19.220962

    19.326502

    19.637679

    19.742392

    19.961208

    20.191339

    20.352823

    20.645676

    21.977787

    22.199139

    22.377297

    22.752948

    23.226333

    23.395614

    23.645479

    23.86016

    23.986194

    24.565832

    24.869787

    25.12182

    25.463703

    25.601916

    25.95276

    26.130478

    26.396849

    26.95867

    27.05385

    27.295994

    27.528247

    27.835868

    28.0401

    28.243059

    28.724089

    29.076435

    29.276459

    29.458208

    29.922287

    30.176565

    30.478052

    30.643469

    30.813534

    30.999496

    32.012382

    32.147077

    32.369476

    32.686941

    32.832688

    34.638538

    34.825521

    35.023155

    35.198902

    35.314557

    35.954416

    36.170999

    36.487971

    36.748988

    36.896383

    37.141665

    37.924093

    38.056254

    38.244402

    38.403398

    38.749073

    38.96813

    39.154785

    39.41423

    39.573253

    40.290844

    40.493977

    40.720574

    41.045625

    41.133797

    41.550705

    41.754564

    41.9479

    42.271175

    42.392866

    42.723649

    43.300881

    43.549526

    43.79915

    43.926308

    44.186338

    44.479954

    44.659418

    44.974509

    45.171184

    45.44046

    45.72643

    45.840963

    45.987637

    46.198042

    47.881148

    48.047805

    48.196934

    48.434485

    48.583288

    48.843563

    49.074437

    49.244435

    49.459205

    49.589772

    49.909256

    50.081

    50.421116

    50.718283

    50.835399

    51.047307

    51.610564

    51.734169

    51.929983

    52.05389

    52.424517

    52.669332

    52.851149

    53.036003

    53.172886

    53.751595

    53.990231

    54.149936

    54.372288

    54.514395

    54.849085

    54.973792

    57.557045

    58.332972

    58.442558

    58.662231

    58.840306

    59.103585

    59.459063

    59.529332

    60.031146

    60.377451

    60.571794

    60.803569

    60.961545

    61.177738

    61.405302

    61.549973

    61.696598

    61.79126

    63.088502

    63.190239

    63.378282

    63.684084

    63.782817

    64.183126

    64.373486

    64.595528

    64.764516

    64.834535

    65.274576

    65.436006

    65.676407

    65.884855

    66.026897

    66.226459

    67.267661

    67.392003

    67.535896

    67.629665

    67.929766

    68.09611

    68.271102

    68.495151

    68.606411

    69.155277

    69.317619

    69.462452

    69.72103

    69.974123

    70.384236

    70.496929

    70.77621

    71.093196

    71.153764

    71.344368

    71.546174

    71.763529

    72.011706

    72.095568

    72.429208

    72.696569

    72.828229

    73.062361

    73.22575

    73.435861

    73.631619

    73.755274

    73.870413

    73.98329

    1/4 SM = 127,5

    1/2 SM = 255

    BF pobreza = 140

    BF pob. extrema = 70

    64,2

    25,1

    28,7

    9,8

    Nmero de pobres

    1/4 SM

    1/2 SM

    BF pobreza extrema

    PF pobreza

    Linha da pobreza

    Pobres em milhes

    00000

    20.6150522880000

    41.2985018880000

    61.98932352

    82.68012288

    103.370944512

    124.165219584

    145.059005952

    166.304177664

    187.894520832

    209.588272896

    231.796664064

    254.533814784

    277.56602496

    301.116638208

    325.194496512

    350.502793728

    376.836204288

    404.38012032

    432.81422592

    462.049099008

    492.363807744

    523.243757568

    555.935445504

    589.973208576

    624.974592

    661.596263424

    699.664879872

    739.767308544

    783.039376896

    827.025997824

    874.016933376

    921.971177472

    970.949332224

    1022.060921856

    1075.170710784

    1129.529958912

    1185.171806976

    1242.826798848

    1302.156622848

    1363.009562112

    1426.195515648

    1490.498944512

    1555.981519872

    1622.851106304

    1690.554467328

    1759.993284864

    1830.843857664

    1903.691783424

    1978.431403776

    2053.898271744

    2133.848537856

    2214.813382656

    2297.10935808

    2381.6719104

    2467.5683328

    2555.07680256

    2644.85835264

    2736.52077312

    2830.02664704

    2924.5842048

    3022.45605888

    3121.55153664

    3222.78802176

    3326.14524672

    3431.26129152

    3538.17424128

    3648.53467392

    3762.86486784

    3878.68149504

    3995.63622144

    4115.21993472

    4236.52260096

    4359.90458112

    4485.37968384

    4612.49712384

    4744.18388736

    4877.7383808

    5014.31518464

    5154.37577472

    5295.93883392

    5441.42844672

    5588.49447168

    5737.03935744

    5888.91257088

    6043.37757696

    6200.3533056

    6359.33150976

    6520.70016768

    6684.75326976

    6850.86920448

    7020.15823104

    7191.6822528

    7365.05930496

    7545.77564928

    7729.05817344

    7914.37702656

    8101.86717696

    8292.25736448

    8485.54536192

    8680.90777344

    8889.05498112

    9099.01357056

    9310.99067136

    9526.0918656

    9743.46146304

    9963.86450688

    10187.92639488

    10415.3794176

    10645.20841728

    10876.73521152

    11111.18921472

    11347.7699712

    11586.3264768

    11828.03402496

    12071.63536128

    12318.20600064

    12577.12668672

    12842.56995072

    13110.54264576

    13381.1545728

    13659.1926528

    13939.10848512

    14221.7766912

    14507.32622592

    14794.63279872

    15088.84614144

    15385.6368

    15686.01169152

    15990.41380608

    16297.12129536

    16607.78562816

    16920.60989952

    17235.72685056

    17557.27662336

    17881.69191168

    18208.4190336

    18537.98071296

    18870.41236224

    19205.8794624

    19544.05773312

    19887.90623232

    20235.08773632

    20585.45257728

    20938.24439808

    21295.9496448

    21657.30415872

    22021.44

    22388.4580608

    22757.4939648

    23128.7058432

    23512.0849152

    23897.1856128

    24284.932224

    24676.2200832

    25069.6772352

    25484.368512

    25901.3426688

    26320.7667456

    26742.591744

    27165.960192

    27596.3042304

    28029.5414016

    28465.7563392

    28905.6439296

    29347.9168512

    29792.9180928

    30243.1421184

    30699.2726784

    31157.5435776

    31617.8278656

    32081.9496192

    32548.3542528

    33017.360256

    33489.3507072

    33963.8356224

    34446.4587264

    34931.3535744

    35418.8431104

    35909.891712

    36403.2009216

    36901.2473856

    37401.2938752

    37903.8838272

    38409.7165824

    38918.1618432

    39430.2441216

    39948.707328

    40470.0970752

    40994.7296256

    41521.5359232

    42051.15072

    42583.651968

    43118.9015808

    43657.7793024

    44199.3430272

    44744.0404224

    45291.5685888

    45841.2281856

    46392.576

    46946.235648

    47520.5236224

    48096.4329984

    48674.23104

    49254.7574016

    49837.5220992

    50423.217792

    51011.1384576

    51601.2974592

    52194.1046016

    52788.8182272

    53386.8459264

    53987.2656384

    54590.84352

    55198.5884928

    55808.2911744

    56420.3056896

    57036.5674752

    57656.829312

    58279.2604416

    58903.5201024

    59532.16512

    60162.57408

    60795.9518976

    61431.7373184

    62069.5071744

    62714.0499456

    63360.9513216

    64010.0531712

    64661.6673024

    65315.4084096

    65973.071616

    66632.1646848

    67307.5920384

    68005.1154432

    68706.213504

    69409.6991232

    70115.2560384

    70823.1581952

    71535.2964864

    72249.4570752

    72969.3460224

    73692.5512704

    74418.4959744

    75147.2068608

    75878.4389376

    76612.0897536

    77348.1860352

    78086.2489344

    78826.2160896

    79567.5552

    80324.2619904

    81082.1647872

    81842.0876544

    82605.3401856

    83370.5637888

    84140.419968

    84912.3051264

    85686.4575744

    86463.0933504

    87241.0186752

    88023.4473984

    88808.0097792

    89594.9018112

    90384.865152

    91176.8663808

    91970.9277696

    92771.799936

    93579.92832

    94389.8874624

    95201.2118784

    96015.9194112

    96832.2127104

    97650.7421184

    98471.9998464

    99294.9970176

    100124.4152064

    100955.5282944

    101788.463232

    102623.8258176

    103463.2708608

    104307.504384

    105152.9762304

    106000.8957696

    106852.8754944

    107706.6369792

    108562.3049472

    109420.33152

    110280.4160256

    111143.5985664

    112008.5294592

    112877.1730944

    113748.6653184

    114622.1531136

    115498.5407232

    116376.8927232

    117257.803776

    118140.5723136

    119025.1337472

    119911.178496

    R$ 82,6 bilhes

    R$ 15,1 bilhes

    R$ 19,2 bilhes

    R$ 3,5 bilhes

    1/2 SM = 255

    BF pob. Extrema = 70

    BF pobreza = 140

    1/4 SM = 127,5

    Linha de Pobreza

    Hiato em milhes

    1.7182410

    1.7239870

    1.7342790

    1.7491170

    1.788080

    1.8075530

    1.8510470

    1.9001430

    1.9258380

    1.9797530

    2.0329950

    2.1220950

    2.2523950

    2.3117840

    2.4052090

    2.4409510

    2.5468160

    2.5968890

    2.8061040

    2.8581630

    2.9325460

    3.085880

    3.3040630

    3.3832920

    3.629210

    3.678430

    3.9583860

    4