diis ∙ danish institute for international studies unintended impact on the strategy major thomas...

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DIIS ∙ DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES Unintended impact on the strategy Major Thomas Galasz Nielsen

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Page 1: DIIS ∙ DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES Unintended impact on the strategy Major Thomas Galasz Nielsen

DIIS ∙ DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES

Unintended impact on the strategy

Major Thomas Galasz Nielsen

Page 2: DIIS ∙ DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES Unintended impact on the strategy Major Thomas Galasz Nielsen

DIIS ∙ DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES

Tactification of the strategy

Strategy making– NATO in Afghanistan– Strategy failures

Time as a key variable How to handle tactical

successes in the strategy

Tactification…!

Page 3: DIIS ∙ DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES Unintended impact on the strategy Major Thomas Galasz Nielsen

DIIS ∙ DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES

ISAF

War on Terror by USA– ISAF– NATO

Several shifts in strategy

Clear end state in 2011 Counterinsurgency as

warfare

Page 4: DIIS ∙ DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES Unintended impact on the strategy Major Thomas Galasz Nielsen

DIIS ∙ DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES

The ISAF Strategy

Tactical successes as benchmarks

Linear thinking

Predictability Probability Short/long term

Page 5: DIIS ∙ DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES Unintended impact on the strategy Major Thomas Galasz Nielsen

DIIS ∙ DANISH INSTITUTE FOR INTERNATIONAL STUDIES

What to be done

Clear end state Obtainable

objectives Clear intent

Focus on time not predictability

Trust in the strategy Reduce alterations