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Diagnostic Analytics Tools to Identify Opportunities PASC Education Day, May 15 th , 2014

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Page 1: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Diagnostic Analytics Tools to Identify Opportunities

PASC Education Day, May 15th, 2014

Page 2: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Presentation Overview

Introduction to VISAGE

Production Trends in the WCSB

What challenges do Petroleum Producers face?

Why analytics are so important to cash flow

How to structure your Diagnostic Workflows

Quantify your analysis with “Diagnostic Measures”

Applying your Diagnostic Workflows to

Production Performance

Financial Performance

Performance to Plan/Forecast

Page 3: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Introduction to VISAGE

VISAGE was founded 9 years ago

Niche Oil& Gas BI Solution focused on Interactive

Visual Analytics

We connect to any data source (proprietary or vendor data

… e.g. public data, frac data etc.)

Our clients are E&P from start up to >150,000 BOE/day

Reserves Evaluation firms

Banks, Research Groups

We’re in the business of making sense of data

Page 4: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Production Trends in the WCSB

Page 5: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Production Trends in the WCSB

Page 6: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Production Trends in the WCSB

Page 7: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Production Trends in the WCSB

McMurray

Page 8: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Production Trends in the WCSB

Page 9: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Production Trends in the WCSB

Page 10: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Oil Price Fluctuations (Last 10 years)

Page 11: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Oil Price Fluctuations (Last year)

Page 12: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Gas Price Fluctuations (Last 10 years)

Page 13: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Gas Price Fluctuations (Last year)

Page 14: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

What challenges do Petroleum Producers face?

Low Gas price, Oil price fluctuations

Wells are more expensive to drill

Well Count per Engineer is higher

Strive for growth with less resources

Predictable cash flow

Too many spreadsheets

Page 15: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

How can they face these challenges?

You can’t look at everything every day, but

you can quickly identify the greatest

opportunities by using tools like visual

analytics.

Page 16: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow

Production Performance (daily surveillance)

reduce downtime impacts on production

identify, prioritize and act quickly

Financial Performance (monthly surveillance)

understand & minimize Operating Expenses

ensure Net Operating Income is optimized

Performance to Plan (constant surveillance)

minimize reserve write-downs early

ensure cash flow is available to support upcoming activities

Page 17: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

How to Structure Your Diagnostic Workflows

1) Identify & Prioritize Categorize to help you understand the opportunities

Focus on the opportunities with the biggest impact

2) Inform & Assess What is the cause? …. Can I do anything about this?

3) Investigate Support any decision/actions with the necessary detail

Page 18: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Quantify your analysis with “Diagnostic Measures”

Example: Production & Downtime Hours

without “Diagnostic Measures” there is limited insight

Page 19: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Quantify your analysis with “Diagnostic Measures”

Example: Lost Production = Diagnostic Measure

The production impact of downtime is now “quantified”

Lost

Production

Production

Page 20: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Example 1: Production Performance

“Diagnostic Measure” used in selection criteria

Page 21: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Example 1: Production Performance

Categorize to help you understand, identify & prioritize

Page 22: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Example 1: Production Performance

Identify & prioritize

Page 23: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Example 1: Production Performance

Inform and Assess

Page 24: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Example 1: Production Performance

Investigate

Page 25: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Example 2: Financial Performance

Categorization would help

Page 26: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Example 2: Financial Performance

Identify & prioritize

Page 27: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Example 2: Financial Performance

Inform and Assess

Page 28: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Example 2: Financial Performance

Investigate

Page 29: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Example 3: Performance to Plan

Identify & prioritize

Page 30: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Example 3: Performance to Plan

Inform and Assess

Page 31: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Example 3: Performance to Plan

Investigate

Page 32: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Other Examples …

Page 33: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Royalty as a % of Revenue

Page 34: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Variations in Realized Oil Price

Page 35: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Other Examples

- Shrinkage

- Liquid yield

- Sales Estimation accuracy

- AFE to Actual

- Gas Processing Fees

- No Revenue but has Opex

- Well Servicing vs Netback

- Transportation

…suggestions anyone?

Page 36: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Presentation Summary

Introduction to VISAGE

Production Trends in the WCSB

What challenges do Petroleum Producers face?

Why analytics are so important to cash flow

How to structure your diagnostic workflows

Quantify your analysis with “Diagnostic Measures”

Applying your diagnostic workflows to

Production Performance

Financial Performance

Performance to Plan/Forecast

Other examples

Page 37: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

Thank you!

- PASC for inviting me

- IHS (for the Information Hub access)

- GLJ (for access to their price data)

Page 38: Diagnostic Analytics - verdazo.com · Analytics Are Important to Cash Flow Production Performance (daily surveillance) reduce downtime impacts on production identify, prioritize and

My contact information

[email protected]