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Developing Strategies to Manage Mountain Bike Culture and Demand National Outdoor Recreation Conference May 7, 2019 Debbie Caffin: Trails Program Leader, USDA Forest Service Southern Region Margaret Bailey: CHM Government Services

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  • Developing Strategies to Manage Mountain Bike Culture and Demand

    National Outdoor Recreation ConferenceMay 7, 2019Debbie Caffin: Trails Program Leader, USDA Forest Service Southern RegionMargaret Bailey: CHM Government Services

  • Vision Drives Strategy

  • Tools Are Developed

  • Outcomes Are

    Measured

  • Need to Understand

    Mt. Biking Industry

    User Preferences

    Supply and Demand Dynamics

  • Analysis Framework

  • Demand

  • Demand

    38,457 38,940 38,11440,140 39,320 40,349 39,232

    40,888 39,72538,280 38,365

    6,751 6,892 7,592 7,142 7,161 6,816 7,7148,542 8,044 8,316 8,615

    1,655 1,887 1,904 1,811 2,369 1,547 2,1752,168 2,350 2,690 3,104

    03,0006,0009,000

    12,00015,00018,00021,00024,00027,00030,00033,00036,00039,00042,00045,000

    2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

    Total Biking Industry Participation (Thousands)

    Bicycling (Road/Paved Surface) Mountain biking (Mountain/Non Paved Surface BMX Biking

    5 year 10 year2006-2011 2011 to 2016

    Adventure Racing 2.9% 3.5%Backpacking Overnight - More Than 1/4 Mile From Vehicle/Home 0.07% 3.7%Hiking (Day) 4.2% 6.5%Trail Running 9.0% 15.2%

    Bicycling (Road/Paved Surface 0.96% -1.0%Mountain Biking (Mountain/Non Paved) 0.19% 4.1%BMX Biking -1.34% 11.6%

    Activity

    Compound Annual Growth Rate

  • Demand

  • Total Mt. Bike Supply

    # of Total Mtn Bike

    Trails %

    Total Trail Mtn Bike Mileage %

    USFS # of Trails for

    Mtn Bikes

    USFS Trail Mtn Bike Mileage

    USFS % of Total Trail Inventory

    USFS % of Total Trail Mileage

    # of Trails Minus Forest Service

    # of Trail Miles Minus

    Forest Service

    Virginia 745 32% 1,942 33% 316 1276 42% 66% 429 666 North Carolina 579 25% 1,315 22% 142 365 25% 28% 437 950 South Carolina 160 7% 552 9% N/A N/A N/A N/ATennessee 440 19% 899 15% 85 269 19% 30% 355 630 Georgia 379 16% 1,148 20% 246 219 65% 19% 133 929 Total 2,303 100% 5,856 100% 789 2,129 34% 36% 1,354 3,175

  • Supply Characteristics

    40% 40%

    20% 20%

    30%

    0%

    5%

    10%

    15%

    20%

    25%

    30%

    35%

    40%

    45%

    VA NC SC TN GA

    Perc

    ent o

    f Tra

    ils o

    wne

    d by

    NF

    Percent of Top Ten Trail Systems that are Owned by NF

  • Supply: # of Mt. Bike Trails by Location

  • Supply: Density and Trail Lengths

  • Demand: Distribution

  • Supply and Demand

  • 120 Minute Drive Time from Population Centers to National Forests

  • Capacity Competency CIP O&MStrategic

    Plan NEPA Design Build For ProfitNon Profit - University/FoundationsCountyState Federal (USFS/BLM)

    Internal Internal Time Time Standards Standards

    External External Systems Systems External External

    Standards VolunteersExternal

    Highly LikelySomewhat LikelyUnlikely

    People Fiscal Processes

    Owner

    Resource Inputs Needed for Supply Additions/Improvements

    Volunteers

    FoundationsIMBA/SORBA

    User Receation Fees

    Resources Needed and Available to Support InputsFederal: RTP/TAP/TIGER

    Federal: Annual Appropriations: Trails and Recreation & Natural Federal: Appalachian Regional

    Commission Power Grants

    County& State: Budgets as well as Hotel&Restaurant Taxes

    Private Equity/Debt

  • Next Steps

    • Brief Forest Supervisors (Decision Makers)

    • One on One Calls with District Rangers (Public Interface)

    • Share with Partners (Southern Off Road Bicycle Association)

  • Lessons Learned

    • Good Data Makes a Difference

    • Value of Comprehensive Independent Review

    • All Lands Approach, Better Decisions

    • Collaborate Around Results with Providers

    • Remember Role of Resource Managers

  • Deb CaffinTrails Program Lead, USFS Southern [email protected]

    Margaret BaileySr. Vice PresidentCHM Government [email protected]

    mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]

    Slide Number 1Vision Drives StrategySlide Number 3Tools Are DevelopedOutcomes Are MeasuredSlide Number 6Need to UnderstandAnalysis FrameworkDemandDemandDemandTotal Mt. Bike SupplySupply Characteristics�Supply: # of Mt. Bike Trails by Location�Supply: Density and Trail Lengths Demand: Distribution Supply and DemandSlide Number 18Slide Number 19Next StepsLessons LearnedSlide Number 22Deb Caffin�Trails Program Lead, USFS Southern Region�[email protected]�404.347.4033��Margaret Bailey�Sr. Vice President�CHM Government Services�[email protected]�978.232.3608��