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Developers Have Little Interest in Apps for Nokia/Microsoft Platform
321 Pacific Ave., San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com
INITIAL REPORT
September 22, 2011 Companies: AAPL, DELL, GOOG, HEL:NOK1V/NOK, HPQ, MMI, MSFT, S, T, TSE:RIM/RIMM, VZ
1
Reverdy Johnson, [email protected], 415.364.3782
Summary of Findings
Eleven of 14 developer sources were not interested in creating apps
for Nokia Corp.‘s (HEL:NOK1V/NOK) smartphones using Microsoft
Corp.‘s (MSFT) Windows 7 Operating System. Sources said the new
platform carries too much risk and that they have plenty of
development demand from stalwarts Apple Inc. (AAPL) for iOS and
Google Inc. (GOOG) for Android.
Microsoft‘s efforts to use money as a lure will not sway enough
developers, who want to be sure the OS and the phones will succeed
before they devote time to app development. The development
community‘s lack of overall enthusiasm will result in unmet demand
from consumers, who now expect access to tens of thousands of
apps for their smartphones.
Five developers said the new platform could resonate in the
enterprise community and threaten Research In Motion Ltd.
(TSE:RIM/RIMM). Still, no source had yet been asked to create a
business-to-business or productivity app, nor did any express an
interest in doing so proactively. Game developers also have no
interest in this new platform. Two sources said the market is ripe for
a Windows tablet.
Mobile industry specialists believe Deutsche Telekom AG‘s (DTE) T-
Mobile is the most logical carrier to have interest in the new phones,
but one source also said AT&T Inc. (T) may support the platform to
distance itself from Sprint Nextel Corp. (S) and Verizon
Communications Inc. (VZ).
Sources had mainly positive comments about the Windows 7 Mobile
OS; several even said they liked it better than Android. One source
reported hearing buzz about Microsoft‘s upcoming Mango OS and
that developers are excited to build apps for Nokia Windows phones,
especially as an alternative to Android for which only free apps have
thrived.
NOK/MSFT
Platform Apps
Will Attract
Developers
Developers Will
Leave iOS,
Android for
NOK/MSFT
Platform
Phone Volumes
for NOK/MSFT
Platform Will
Be High
App Developers
Industry
Specialists
Research Question:
Will developers build apps for the Nokia/Microsoft platform?
Silo Summaries
1) APP DEVELOPERS 11 of 14 sources are not interested in
developing apps for the Nokia/Microsoft
platform. Apps for Apple‘s iOS and Google‘s
Android are in such demand that developers do
not have time to devote to a third platform,
especially one that carries as much risk as
Microsoft‘s. Microsoft is offering payment,
waving fees and giving phones to developers,
but that is still not expected to sway enough
developers. They want to see whether the new
platform and partnership will work before
devoting time and energy to it, especially if
doing so takes time away from iOS and
Android. Microsoft‘s OS has the potential to
establish itself in the enterprise world and
become a threat to RIM, but is not expected to
hurt iPhones or Android phones. Sources who
create business and productivity apps have not
seen any interest from their clients in
developing an app for the new platform, and
those developing gaming apps have no interest
in Windows. Two sources believe the market is
ripe for a Windows tablet because of its
potential in the business world.
2) INDUSTRY SPECIALISTS Two of four sources said developers will not
rush to work on apps for the Microsoft/Nokia
platform, especially in the United States where
it has such small market share. More likely,
Microsoft will develop apps in-house and
become an enterprise device that serves as a
nail in the coffin for RIM. One source has heard
enthusiasm from developers eager to leave
Android because the platform‘s most popular
apps are free. T-Mobile is the most likely carrier
to initially support the new partnership because
of its lack of iPhone, but one source believes
AT&T could make a play for it as a differentiator
from Verizon and Sprint now that those carriers
have the iPhone. Sources expect Microsoft to
use its wealth to attract developers and
carriers.
Nokia/Microsoft Platform: App Developers
321 Pacific Ave., San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com
2
Background
The current leaders in the cell phone apps wars are Google‘s Android and Apple‘s iOS. Developers create apps for these
operating systems, knowing they will garner attention because both companies have so much momentum. In order for the
Nokia/Microsoft partnership to create a viable, competitive third platform, the two companies will need to offer tens of
thousands of available apps. Right now, Microsoft has a war chest that would allow it to pay app developers, but developers
need assurance that their efforts will be met with sufficient user interest. Carriers have to commit as well, and phone volumes
must be sufficient.
CURRENT RESEARCH This report aims to determine the popularity of the Nokia/Microsoft platform and the prospects for developers to build
applications for this new venture. Blueshift employed its pattern mining approach to interview sources in three independent
silos:
1) App developers (14)
2) Industry specialists (4)
3) Secondary sources (4)
Blueshift interviewed 18 primary sources, including 10 repeat sources, and included four of the most relevant secondary
sources focused on Nokia and Windows phones losing share in Europe, Windows 7 making inroads with independent app
developers, and information and reviews of the Microsoft‘s upcoming Mango OS.
Silos
1) APP DEVELOPERS Eleven of 14 sources are not interested in developing apps for the Nokia/Microsoft platform. Apps for Apple‘s iOS and
Google‘s Android are in such demand that developers do not have time to devote to a third platform, especially one that
carries as much risk as Microsoft‘s. Microsoft is offering payment, waving fees and giving phones to developers, but that is
still not expected to sway enough developers. They want to see whether the new platform and partnership will work before
devoting time and energy to it, especially if doing so takes time away from iOS and Android. Microsoft‘s OS has the potential
to establish itself in the enterprise world and become a threat to RIM, but is not expected to hurt iPhones or Android phones.
Sources who create business and productivity apps have not seen any interest from their clients in developing an app for the
new platform, and those developing gaming apps have no interest in Windows. Two sources believe the market is ripe for a
Windows tablet because of its potential in the business world.
Mobile app developer for a travel site; also has several apps in the Apple App
Store from his previous freelance work
This source does not believe developers will be enticed to build apps for the
Nokia/Microsoft platform as it represents too much of a gamble, especially
when iOS and Android platforms are much more of a sure thing. Enthusiasm for
the new platform is nonexistent, especially when compared with Android‘s
arrival two years ago. Three is a crowd, making the Nokia/Microsoft platform the
odd man out.
―My hunch is developers won‘t build apps for the Nokia/Microsoft
platform. Learning a new stack and new developer tools is hard, as is
learning new UI [user interface] paradigms. Doing good work on a new
platform just takes real effort. Right now, iOS and Android are more
than enough to keep busy in the short term while having fairly certain
long-term potential.‖
―Getting into a new platform means being comfortable with adoption,
swallowing comparatively small market share and gambling on the
My hunch is developers won‘t
build apps for the
Nokia/Microsoft platform. …
Doing good work on a new
platform just takes real effort.
Right now, iOS and Android are
more than enough to keep busy
in the short term while having
fairly certain long-term
potential.
Mobile App Developer for a Travel Site
Nokia/Microsoft Platform: App Developers
321 Pacific Ave., San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com
3
future. For me, neither Microsoft nor Nokia has established any credibility in modern mobile development—not
enough to make that gamble worthwhile.‖
―I‘m at a company where we‘re working on iOS and Android consumer products in parallel, and the thought of
adding another platform of such shaky credibility just seems a waste with so many bigger and current
opportunities already waiting.‖
―There‘s none of the gathering steam that presaged Android‘s ascendance, and it‘s not like the economics here
even suggest that‘s possible. Who‘s going to pay to license an OS when there‘s a perfectly mature—if kind of
ugly—option they can have for free?‖
―I‘ve yet to meet anyone here in San Francisco—early adopter land—who even has a Windows 7 phone.‖
Head of business development for the U.S. subsidiary of a Pacific Rim-based game company oriented toward migrating
existing content to mobile platforms; has co-developed three game products for mobile; repeat source
The source is not actively developing products for Windows 7 Mobile for a few reasons. Window‘s OS has limited market
share in North America and appears to be in a state of flux. Also, most of the Nokia handsets that are popular in Asia still
run on Nokia‘s Symbian OS.
―We were pursuing Symbian ports of our existing apps when Nokia
announced that it was abandoning that operating system. We might
still redevelop for Symbian simply because the native user base there
is still relatively large—especially in Asia, where our parent company
operates—and will be around for at least a few years.‖
―I think Windows Mobile 7 has fallen to 2% of the U.S. market. We are
happy to develop for iOS and Android, but spending the resources to
develop for Mobile 7 at this point is like developing for Palm. It‘s not
wasted effort, but the difficulty and expense of porting code to the
Windows environment is definitely not trivial and not really worth the
return on investment.‖
―Windows is not a game-heavy system, at least when it comes to
mobile. It‘s more on the BlackBerry side of the spectrum. We work with
games, which means iPhone and increasingly the Androids.‖
―Another problem is that Microsoft keeps revamping the entire model.
They are talking about abandoning the app store approach to focus on
integrated software, effectively bundling everything into the OS. That
may work for them but until it happens, it is hard to develop for. We just
don‘t know whether all that effort will be wasted in the post–app store world, or how the new version of the OS
will work, or anything really. And in this environment, that doesn‘t inspire us to spend the resources.‖
President of a Swedish iPhone and Mac software development firm; repeat source
Only the staunchest Microsoft supporters in the development community are likely to develop apps for a Microsoft/Nokia
platform. Windows 7 Mobile offers very little innovation as an OS and has not been connected to any interesting
hardware. A more natural partnership for Microsoft would be with RIM because both companies have a strong presence
with businesses.
―[Microsoft and Nokia] are really fighting an uphill battle. Most app developers will see little incentive to build
apps for a Windows phone at this point. The partnership between Nokia and Microsoft really feels like an act of
desperation, especially from Nokia‘s side. They‘ve spent so much money on R&D for their various operating
systems, which are all now headed to the dustbin.‖
―Nokia‘s OS strategy had serious flaws, and their product roadmap looked like a Jackson Pollock splatter
painting. It‘s hard to see how partnering with a company whose software is clearly losing the race will help
matters.‖
―The one area where Microsoft has shown some innovation in this race is the Windows phone UI [user
interface], which has some interesting features. But, really, it‘s all relative. Windows Mobile has been so terrible
for so long—basically looking like normal Windows after being put through a trash compactor—that even if they
had come up with something nearly identical to iOS, it would have seemed like an innovation.‖
―Windows Mobile really has very little going for it. It‘s tied to a few phones that are hardware-wise similar to
iPhone or any number of Android phones, so who really cares? At this point, it‘s really down to the hardcore
We are happy to develop for
iOS and Android, but spending
the resources to develop for
Mobile 7 at this point is like
developing for Palm. It‘s not
wasted effort, but the difficulty
and expense of porting code to
the Windows environment is
definitely not trivial and not
really worth the return on
investment.
Head of Business Development
Game Company
Nokia/Microsoft Platform: App Developers
321 Pacific Ave., San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com
4
Microsoft fan boys. Among their number are, of course, many .NET and Silverlight developers who want to go
mobile but cling slavishly to the languages and tools they‘re used to.‖
―So these guys with probably the least technical competence—any good programmer is competent in several
programming languages and environments, and usually enjoys learning new ones—and most questionable taste
are probably producing many of the first apps.‖
―If Microsoft were serious about mobile, they would try to partner with RIM in a meaningful way. Business
already loves both companies, and RIM‘s products work great with Exchange. If they really got together on the
technology, they could do so much more‖
CTO for a content management and community start-up; has developed several productivity/workflow tools for Web and
mobile environments and is a fairly recent Apple convert; repeat source
Windows Mobile 7 is not this source‘s market. She is eager to develop for
iPhone and Android, but said the Windows platform is not critical to her
demographic of students and young educators.
―Our users don‘t use Windows phones. They love Motorola [Mobility
Holdings Inc./MMI] phones and they are in love with the iPhone, as am
I after all this time resisting. Because of that, Windows hasn‘t been a
priority for me.‖
―We are just a start-up and a little on the shoestring side when it comes
to budgeting. Getting placement in the Apple store is crucial for us.
Having a presence in the Android market is pretty mandatory.
Developing for Windows? Not so much.‖
―We work with kids and their teachers. That‘s why we don‘t develop for
BlackBerry, by the way. Our audience just doesn‘t use Windows
phones. Microsoft is probably lucky at this point if they use Windows at
all.‖
Software engineer and author of a book on usability and design
Developer interest in any platform outside of iOS and Android is minimal. This source expects Microsoft to pay developers
to build apps but does not believe that will make much difference. Windows 7 Mobile is a terrific OS, but this source
doubts the Nokia/Microsoft partnership will significantly affect the smartphone market, though it has a chance to sway
some Android users.
―Even the most obscure hardware platforms get some developer support. There are people writing games for the
OpenPandora, after all. But will Windows Phone 7 get support that is anywhere close to what the iPhone gets?
No. What I‘m hearing is that developers support iOS first, Android second, and a Web version third. There is
currently no interest in any of the other platforms. In fact, [Hewlett-Packard Co.‘s/HPQ] sudden abandonment of
its WebOS hardware development will make developers more reluctant to support minor players like WP7
[Windows Phone 7] or [Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd.‘s/SEO:005930] Bada.‖
―Microsoft will pay developers to create WP7 apps. I think they already do that. But I don‘t think it‘s a useful
strategy, because if you want to get the app-using phone audience, you
need the niche apps, and there are too many of them to get them by
paying. People can do without Angry Birds, but if they regularly use their
local bus and need a schedule on their phone, they will only buy a
phone that offers this app. If a doctor uses an app for differential
diagnosis on your phone, she won‘t buy one that doesn‘t offer this
app.‖
―You really can‘t pay yourself into an army of developers that support
your platform. You need to get one based on your platform‘s merits, not
based on the depth of your pockets. If there‘s no market for apps on a
platform, paying to get apps there won‘t do you any good.‖
―If Nokia were to sell a lot of WP7 phones, the situation would change
rapidly, of course. There are a lot of developers who have years of
experience with Microsoft‘s programming languages, APIs [application
programming interfaces], and IDEs [integrated design environments].
We are just a start-up and a
little on the shoestring side
when it comes to budgeting.
Getting placement in the Apple
store is crucial for us. Having a
presence in the Android market
is pretty mandatory. Developing
for Windows? Not so much.
CTO, Content Management &
Community Start-up
You really can‘t pay yourself
into an army of developers that
support your platform. You
need to get one based on your
platform‘s merits, not based on
the depth of your pockets. If
there‘s no market for apps on a
platform, paying to get apps
there won‘t do you any good.
Software Engineer & Author
Nokia/Microsoft Platform: App Developers
321 Pacific Ave., San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com
5
Developer support for WP7 could ramp up very quickly once developers see a market for their products. There‘s
no need to learn a somewhat obscure and outdated language like Objective-C [to develop for Windows].‖
―If companies suddenly decide to invest in WP7 apps, they will have access to a huge number of developers who
have the necessary skills.‖
―From a user experience perspective, WP7 is clearly the best mobile OS available, next to iOS. The visual design
makes the iPhone look garish and overdone, and it makes Android look like Windows 3.11. WP7 is beautiful,
feels fast and responsive, and the UX [user experience] makes complete sense for a mobile device. It‘s just a joy
to use.‖
―[the Nokia/Microsoft partnership] won‘t have a noticeable impact on iPhone sales, at least in the short term.
Most iPhone owners bought an iPhone because they want an iPhone specifically. Compare this to Android
owners: Many of them don‘t want an Android phone specifically and may not even know that their phone runs on
Android. In fact, they may have an Android phone with a custom, vendor-specific user interface that makes it
look and behave very differently from the standard Android version. These people wanted a smartphone, and
the salesperson sold them an Android phone.‖
―If Nokia were to incentivize salespeople to prefer selling Nokia‘s WP7 phones over Android phones, this could
have a huge impact on the market. It wouldn‘t have a big impact on iPhone sales, because most iPhone buyers
would insist on buying an iPhone despite what the salesperson recommended. In addition to the fact that
iPhone owners specifically want an iPhone, there‘s also some lock-in due to apps.‖
―Most users have only very few apps that they truly rely on. Unfortunately, every user has a different set of apps,
so hardware platforms still need thousands of different, specific apps in order to cover a reasonably large
segment of all potential users.‖
―I‘m guessing most people who buy Android phones don‘t buy them for the massive ecosystem of apps. The
Android Market is a mess, and as far as I know, most apps, especially for-pay apps, don‘t sell particularly well on
Android. So there‘s definitely a constituency that will buy a phone despite a lack of applications.‖
―As a first step, WP7 needs to reach these people and then build its audience from that. Is it possible? Yes. Will
it happen? There‘s a chance, but I‘m not overly optimistic, at least not in the short term. It really depends on how
much Microsoft is willing to invest and how well Nokia can still execute.‖
―Any [app] that people use on iPhones could succeed on a Nokia/Windows phone—apps that make sense on a
mobile system, like timetables for local public transport; distance trackers for runners; apps from social
networks, especially those with location support; GPS apps, language translators; photo sharing apps; task list
apps; vertical apps for doctors, lawyers, and similar markets; novelty apps; and, most of all, games.‖
Developer for a large social gaming company; has been part of three significant product launches and is working on
several additional projects for mobile and tablets; repeat source
The source was unaware of much native development for Windows 7 Mobile, at least in the gaming space. He
characterizes the process of porting existing content to Windows devices as fairly onerous for professional software
companies. Even for amateur developers, he sees little real ROI in building apps
in the Mobile 7 environment.
―I don‘t know of anyone actively working on Windows phones as an
active advocate of the operating system. People who crank out an app
now and then, for fun, hate Microsoft. It runs counter to the whole do-it-
yourself ethos of amateur app building. And the professionals have
their hands full with iPhone and Android platforms. I suspect there are
people out there who Windows is paying, but that‘s another story.‖
―We‘ve been slow to port our games to Windows Mobile, simply
because there hasn‘t been a real clamoring for it. Most of our Windows
audience comes to us from the Web environment and of course our
code is native to Internet Explorer as far as that goes, so for our
Windows users these ‗apps‘ work fine. Most of our Windows audience
does not have Windows phones. They have Apple phones or Android
phones.‖
―We ported one of our games to Windows Mobile simply because [the
game] was so successful that there was no sense in abandoning any
part of that huge audience. And we already had the code, so the cost of
I don‘t know of anyone actively
working on Windows phones as
an active advocate of the
operating system. People who
crank out an app now and
then, for fun, hate Microsoft. It
runs counter to the whole do-it-
yourself ethos of amateur app
building. And the professionals
have their hands full with
iPhone and Android platforms.
Developer
Large Social Gaming Company
Nokia/Microsoft Platform: App Developers
321 Pacific Ave., San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com
6
translating was a lot lower than it would have been to develop a new
app from scratch to live primarily in that environment.‖
―The Windows faithful have already transferred their loyalty to Android
as far as mobile goes. Android is the non-Apple, generic, somewhat
more buttoned-down alternative, which is to say it‘s in the same
ecological niche as Windows on the desktop. Instead of ‗I‘m a Mac, I‘m
a PC,‘ the mentality is ‗I‘m an iPhone, I‘m a Droid.‘‖
―Amateurs code for personal satisfaction or to get noticed. Some are
trying to get rich, but that quickly becomes secondary even for the
successful independent coders. Nobody will code on Windows for
personal satisfaction, and almost nobody thinks they‘ll get noticed if
they build a spectacular free Windows Mobile app. The exceptions are
those who actually want to get hired by Microsoft. There aren‘t many
people like that, at least in the gaming world.‖
―One thing Microsoft has going for it is a vast body of content already
on MSN.com. They have a lot of very simple but very engrossing games
there that run on APIs so they‘re already more or less native to a Windows Mobile environment, and they can be
easily ported over. And they have a built-in audience. It‘s not new development, but it‘s a way for them to
leverage their existing code base and get around the problem of motivating developers to create new apps.‖
―Nokia might well have a future in nonentertainment, serious productivity apps. They could become the new
BlackBerry if they can get the corporate accounts that BlackBerry had. Right now, corporate is Apple‘s to lose,
especially in the tablet format.‖
―I don‘t know about carrier demand for one operating system or another. I‘d look for someone who for whatever
reason has been squeezed out of both the iPhone and Android. The iPhone relationships are still a little
exclusive, but Android is everywhere by design. Nobody got squeezed out of the Android, so why would that
hypothetical carrier be hungry for Windows as a third option? Any motivation as far as that goes will have to
come from Microsoft or Nokia incentives, and even then, these phones won‘t be actively sold by the carriers or, I
suspect, actively bought by anybody.‖
Business development executive for a developer of custom mobile apps
Clients have not been interested in Microsoft‘s OS, and this source does not expect that to change with the Nokia
partnership. Paying developers is not likely to be a long-term solution. Microsoft‘s best bet for building momentum for
Windows phones is to develop its own features that attract a large user base, such as a connection to Xbox.
―We have the skills to develop for Windows Phone 7, but we don‘t
really do any development just for the sake of development. It‘s driven
by what customers want.‖
―We have one developer who is just a really amazing Windows guy from
the desktop side. He took a two-month sabbatical to write three
Windows 7 Mobile apps. He was real passionate about it and thought
he could be an early player there, but there wasn‘t much uptake.‖
―In the U.S., you just really have that dominance with Android and iOS.
Even with the third player now, BlackBerry, it‘s so hard to get our
clients interested. To have a fourth, I think is going to be a real
challenge.‖
―You probably need some progress on both ends [app development
and consumer sales] to get to a tipping point where it becomes a viable
ecosystem. I think that‘ll be difficult to do.‖
―I don‘t think [paying developers] will work. It‘s just a temporary stimulus. People will take the cash and make a
few apps, but at the end of the day, if they‘re not exposed to a wide user base and people don‘t adopt them,
then it‘s just going to a flounder.‖
―The best thing [Nokia and Microsoft] can do is find some real solution and engineer it. They have a pretty
extensive install base in the enterprise market, so if they could create some application that appeals to those
people, or something that really appeals to people on the consumer side, maybe a tie-in with Xbox, some killer
feature, that could help.‖
Nokia might well have a future
in nonentertainment, serious
productivity apps. They could
become the new BlackBerry if
they can get the corporate
accounts that BlackBerry had.
Right now, corporate is Apple‘s
to lose, especially in the tablet
format.
Developer
Large Social Gaming Company
We have the skills to develop
for Windows Phone 7, but we
don‘t really do any
development just for the sake
of development. It‘s driven by
what customers want.
Business Development Executive
Mobile App Developer
Nokia/Microsoft Platform: App Developers
321 Pacific Ave., San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com
7
―Not all features are created equal. If it‘s some suite of apps that plugs
into Xbox, which has a big fan base, I could see that doing well.‖
―I wouldn‘t be surprised if one or two of the carriers put out a
[Nokia/Microsoft] device just to test the waters, but I don‘t see it
taking off.‖
―I actually like [Windows 7 Mobile]. I really like the UI [user interface]. I
think Microsoft has a tendency to make some pretty nice UIs that are
underappreciated.‖
―I feel like [Windows 7 Mobile] is a more holistic approach than
Android. They really thought of what the user is going to go to the
phone to use, the way they‘ve integrated Facebook contacts into the
tiles and into the address book, for example. Whereas with Android,
some of the tablets are rather desolate. You have to thumb through all
these pages and figure out which tools are there, and it‘s often a
different experience from one manufacturer to the next. Two different
Android devices can have a very different experience.‖
Principal in a national B2B software development firm; primarily has developed intranet blogging and workflow apps for a
wide range of medical, corporate and nonprofit entities; projects are big and often require extensive coordination among
several programmers
The source has little interest in working with Windows 7 Mobile. He suspects the OS‘s niche market will keep most third-
party developers out of the space. However, Microsoft may simply step in to fill the gap. He is not optimistic about
Windows phones getting much active support from carriers.
―It‘s not something I have time for. They keep me very busy on Android and especially iPhone or iPad apps. I‘m
not an Apple snob, but this environment is the opposite of the desktop world 10 years ago, when the Windows
platform ruled the desktop and the Apple applications were an afterthought. Here, Windows is not even an
afterthought.
―I‘m sure there‘s a small and very vocal audience for these phones, much like the vocal Apple audience on
desktop 10 years ago. But I know none of the big phone companies around here have any time for the Windows
phones and Nokia is kind of a ghetto brand. There aren‘t any Nokia fans. Microsoft will probably just port
desktop apps to serve the diehard Windows fans who insist on a Windows phone. Why not? They have the code
already, and it‘s probably what their people want.‖
―Nobody around here is proud of their Windows phone. The carriers
don‘t go out of their way to sell them unless you‘ve already turned
down Android and the iPhone, or they don‘t have an iPhone to sell. If
you say you want it for business, they might offer the Windows phone
instead of a BlackBerry, but they‘ll probably just go back to the
Android. Around here, if you‘re not sporting a Droid or an iPhone,
you‘re probably happy with a Blur, one of the lower-power Motorola
phones. You‘re not going to ask for something in the middle.‖
―You might see some people shift from buying desktops to buying
Windows phones. I know, that‘s a little utopian, but the fact is, most
people chained to a desk don‘t use anywhere near all the computing
power they have. They really just need a way to check e-mail, update
the Twitter account, type a report, handle POS or patient care.
Windows phones are cheaper and a lot more mobile.‖
―I don‘t know why there‘s no Windows tablet push. It seems to me they
could sell tablets instead of desktops and make everyone happy. The
workers get a machine they can take home and work on weekends.
The company gets a small price break and a lot more productivity.
Carriers don‘t care. The manufacturers get a price point more like the
desktop. Even a high-end Windows phone costs maybe $100.‖
I don‘t think [paying
developers] will work. It‘s just a
temporary stimulus. People will
take the cash and make a few
apps, but at the end of the day,
if they‘re not exposed to a wide
user base and people don‘t
adopt them, then it‘s just going
to a flounder.
Business Development Executive
Mobile App Developer
I don‘t know why there‘s no
Windows tablet push. It seems
to me they could sell tablets
instead of desktops and make
everyone happy. The workers
get a machine they can take
home and work on weekends.
The company gets a small price
break and a lot more
productivity.
Principal
B2B Software Development Firm
Nokia/Microsoft Platform: App Developers
321 Pacific Ave., San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com
8
Independent contractor with experience building mobile apps for government and commercial clients; his portfolio is
heavy in scheduling, content management and other productivity apps
The source would be happy to develop for Windows 7 Mobile if any of his clients were eager to pay him to do so. However,
most of his commercial partners are looking to develop in-house code that works on the Android platform. He does not
expect Windows devices to become popular in the phone market, but he would be interested in a table device.
―So far nobody is asking me to develop anything for a Windows Mobile environment, but that might just be
because people I work with tend to be driven by their employees‘ mobile choices and none of their key staff are
buying Windows phones. They‘re buying a mix of Androids and iPhones, and my clients would rather develop for
Android.‖
―We‘re really too busy with Android in particular to worry about what‘s going into the other app stores. Granted
we‘re not an app store shop—we build custom apps for organizations to use in-house, not to sell in the mass
market—but I hear the same thing from other developers.‖
―If someone wanted me to build something for Windows, especially a
tablet, I‘d do so. It would mean retooling my tool set because we do so
much of our work on Ruby, which is primarily an Apple OS programming
environment that goes toward iPhone and iPad apps. Actually, I don‘t
know who I‘d talk to to do any native Windows Mobile development.
Everyone around here works with the major mobile platforms. There‘s
one old guy who did something for Microsoft years ago, but that‘s about
it.‖
―I don‘t know if there‘s going to be any buy-in at all on the new
Windows phones. I only see them as a novelty, part of the collection of
a fellow tech who has to have one of everything. But the tablets could
get some traction if they‘re sold as real Windows-compliant devices in a
real iPad form factor. Basically, that‘s a lighter laptop.‖
―The tablet is critical for Microsoft because it moves their stranglehold over the workplace into a form of the
mobile environment. It makes the workplace relevant to a mobile world. It might not ever be an iPhone or an
iPad killer, but it would do something more important for Microsoft, which is keep the workplace running on
some version of Office. And, of course, commercial IT would love it because it lets them get more leverage on
their deep investment in a Microsoft operating environment.‖
―I don‘t know why they bungled the Dell [Inc./DELL] tablets so badly. There was supposed to be a 10-inch Dell
Windows tablet six months ago, but as far as I can tell it turned back into a 3-inch phone without much fanfare.
There is a Dell Windows tablet but it‘s the old 5-inch format, really an ungainly smartphone.‖
Veteran software designer turned startup game developer; expects the flagship game to be available on mobile, tablet
and Web platforms by mid-2012; repeat source
The source has no real interest in developing for Windows 7 Mobile given its business-only aura. He said most mass-
market game apps are platform-agnostic.
―We‘re not developing actively for Windows phones because even if we knew someone with one of those
phones, they‘d probably be interested more in business than in our dungeon crawling content. It‘s true that
people play a lot of World of Warcraft on Windows desktops, but they don‘t play it much on BlackBerries. That‘s
what I‘m talking about.‖
―If someone wanted to play our game, they could just point Skyfire [Labs Inc.] or even [Citadel Development
Corp.‘s] PocketExplorer to our site, and that would be that. Same as they‘d do it at the office. No native code
required.‖
Project manager for an iPhone app development firm
This source said her firm has no interest in building apps for Windows mobile.
―We don‘t plan on developing for the Nokia/Microsoft platform for the foreseeable future. We have more
work/clients than we know what to do with who have iOS needs.‖
New Zealand-based software developer who has several iPhone apps to his credit
Development for the Nokia/Microsoft platform is already underway, especially at larger firms that have the resources to
take on the risk. Small developers familiar with the device and its software will create apps for the OS in hopes of being
We‘re really too busy with
Android in particular to worry
about what‘s going into the
other app stores. … I hear the
same thing from other
developers.
Independent Contractor &
Mobile App Developer
Nokia/Microsoft Platform: App Developers
321 Pacific Ave., San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com
9
early to a growing trend, though independent developers are likely to stick with the platform they know best. The key to
attracting more developers will be the success of the phone once it is released.
―Developers are already building apps for the Windows Phone platform, and I‘m sure they are hoping for a boost
in device numbers when the Nokia device goes on sale.‖
―Big development houses will probably, or have already, port to the
Windows Phone platform as they have the resources available to
gamble on it. Below that, I expect that the smaller developers will be
enthusiasts who have the device and want to develop software for it.
Perhaps a little bit like the iPhone before everyone saw how much
money there was in it—although that revelation came rather quickly.‖
―As the development environments are quite different, I expect that for
independent developers, they‘ll stick with one platform. But there
should be enough independent developers already developing with MS
technology to build a strong market.‖
―If they manage to sell a whole lot of devices, then it would start to
attract a wider field of developers. At the moment, with the current size
of the ecosystem, it seems that it‘s more for love than money, which
they need to move past to make a professional ecosystem.‖
―I hope that it is a success and they do build impressive numbers. The
smartphone market as a whole is much improved with competition. I
have been disappointed with Android where it seems to suffer from the same problems as the earlier phone
software markets—dependence on carriers messing around with the OS. The Windows brand seems to have
suffered so much in recent years that I‘m not sure a phone so branded will thrive.‖
CEO of an independent iPhone and Android app development firm
Microsoft is wooing some developers by paying them, waiving fees and giving them hardware to get them to build apps
for its OS. This source has not been approached by Microsoft, so he has no plans to develop his apps for Windows Mobile
until he sees a good phone and a robust app store in place.
―I know Microsoft is actually paying Android and iPhone app developers, giving them grant money to build their
apps to Microsoft.‖
―It‘s desperation, but it‘s a good thing for developers. They‘re getting paid to put their apps in their store and
make money. They‘re waiving developer fees, which are about $100 a year, and they‘re sending them tablets
and all these goodies. I didn‘t get approached by Microsoft, but I know someone who did and he was
overwhelmed that this was coming from Microsoft, which has had a bad name all these years [among
developers], that they were doing something for developers.‖
―If they approached me and said they‘re going to waive the developer fee, then sure, I‘d do it. But to pay $100 a
year for something that I don‘t know what‘s going to happen with it, I‘m not going to take that chance. With the
[Apple] App Store, I‘m making my money back.‖
―I‘m going to wait and see before developing for a Nokia Windows
phone. I think there are only about 4,000 apps in the Microsoft app
store, maybe even less. It‘s more competitive in the Android and
iPhone stores than in the Microsoft store.‖
―I‘d rather deal with Apple and all their nonsense than put my app in a
store that I know is going to fail.‖
―I think Nokia‘s got to step up first. They need to prove themselves,
that they can build a phone that developers can build apps for. I could
build the greatest app in the world, but if the phone is horrible, who is
even going to pick it up to play a game?‖
―I just want to see what they‘re going to come out with.‖
―[The Nokia/Microsoft partnership] could be huge, but they have to
position themselves right to do it. I know Microsoft bought Skype, so if
they did a Skype Nokia phone, that could be really good. But I‘ve seen
a lot of companies partner with each other and fail miserably. They
have to get their ideas sorted out before they launch something to try
Big development houses will
probably, or have already, port
to the Windows Phone platform
as they have the resources
available to gamble on it. Below
that, I expect that the smaller
developers will be enthusiasts
who have the device and want
to develop software for it.
Software Developer
New Zealand
If they approached me and said
they‘re going to waive the
developer fee, then sure, I‘d do
it. But to pay $100 a year for
something that I don‘t know
what‘s going to happen with it,
I‘m not going to take that
chance. With the [Apple] App
Store, I‘m making my money
back.
CEO, iPhone & Android App
Development Firm
Nokia/Microsoft Platform: App Developers
321 Pacific Ave., San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com
10
to compete with the HTC [Corp./TPE:2498] Incredible 2 or the Motorola Droid X.‖
―I like [Windows 7 Mobile]. It‘s smart. It‘s user-friendly. The only thing I don‘t like is that clicking a menu item is
slow when jumping to the next menu. I don‘t need a window to do a graphic flip to go to my address book. With
the iPhone, you click the icon and you‘re there. With the Windows 7 phone, you click it, it spins, it does some
crazy things, and then it shows you.‖
―[Android and Windows 7] are both fairly new. They both have their clunkiness. It depends on what bothers you
as a user.‖
―I really think the biggest niche is games, no matter what app market you‘re talking about. Second is
entertainment like Netflix [Inc./NFLX], Vimeo [LLC] or [Google‘s] YouTube.‖
CEO of a leading maker of location-based mobile apps; repeat source
The Nokia partnership is a major positive for Microsoft. The source‘s firm, which had no plans to develop apps for
Windows 7 Mobile, now will consider doing so. Nokia Windows phones are likely to have their biggest effect on the
enterprise side and represent a fatal blow to BlackBerry.
―We had no plans to build for the old Nokia OS [operating system] but
did consider the Microsoft OS. However, since we didn‘t think there
would be much of a Microsoft phones base, it also felt like something
we wouldn‘t end up doing. Now we are considering it strongly.‖
―Nokia definitely gives us more hope for the overall [Windows]
platform, and honestly, so does Microsoft‘s perceived commitment to
the overall concepts in Windows 8. But at this point, it is all very much
wait and see. I am hopeful for the platform though.‖
―The [Nokia/Microsoft] deal changes my feeling about the market
overall, but it‘s hard to say how big an impact it will actually have. It
could be huge, but I anticipate the big push for it will be mostly through
the enterprise rather than on the consumer end. In the consumer
space, I think it will impact Android more than iPhone.‖
―While I think it‘s hard to say how big an impact it will have on iOS and
Android, it definitely is a nail in the coffin for BlackBerry.‖
―Without the [Nokia] deal, Microsoft looked like they were going to
have a tough road ahead. It‘s strange to say it lends legitimacy to Microsoft, but it does. Going at it alone like
they were, it was not looking good for them or for Nokia, but together I feel like they have a chance. It‘s still
going to be very, very tough, but the [partnership] is a good thing.‖
―I think [Windows 7 Mobile] is good. I am glad that it is not another me-too style operating system. It does feel
innovative in a lot of ways.‖
―I actually hoped Microsoft would get into the hardware business if they didn‘t get a partnership like this. Their
hardware has always been very good. It‘s always been mostly peripherals, but it has always been very good.‖
2) INDUSTRY SPECIALISTS Two of four sources said developers will not rush to work on apps for the Microsoft/Nokia platform, especially in the United
States where it has such small market share. More likely, Microsoft will develop apps in-house and become an enterprise
device that serves as a nail in the coffin for RIM. One source has heard enthusiasm from developers eager to leave Android
because the platform‘s most popular apps are free. T-Mobile is the most likely carrier to initially support the new partnership
because of its lack of iPhone, but one source believes AT&T could make a play for it as a differentiator from Verizon and
Sprint now that those carriers have the iPhone. Sources expect Microsoft to use its wealth to attract developers and carriers.
Editor of a Web site dedicated to smartphone news and reviews; repeat source
The Windows OS will help Nokia maintain its dominant position in Europe and will attract European developers. However,
this source does not give the Nokia/Microsoft partnership much chance of winning over consumers or developers in the
United States. He expects carriers to show more interest in Nokia‘s Windows phones than they have in previous Nokia
products, but phones running Android and iOS will remain foremost in consumers‘ minds. Microsoft‘s OS eventually could
get a boost once Windows 8 is released for PCs and consumers become comfortable with it.
We had no plans to build for
the old Nokia OS [operating
system] but did consider the
Microsoft OS. However, since
we didn‘t think there would be
much of a Microsoft phones
base, it also felt like something
we wouldn‘t end up doing. Now
we are considering it strongly.
CEO, Leading Maker of Location-based
Mobile Apps
Nokia/Microsoft Platform: App Developers
321 Pacific Ave., San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com
11
―It‘s been a chicken-and-egg situation. The U.S. carriers have had little interest in Nokia because consumers had
little interest, and consumers have had little interest because the carriers had little interest in Nokia.‖
―Carriers will have more interest [in Nokia Windows phones], at least at the beginning. I‘m sure the very first
Nokia Windows phone will be picked up by at least one or possibly more U.S. carriers simply because Microsoft
will convince them, whatever it takes. It‘s going to show up. Nokia never had any pull in the U.S., but Microsoft
does.‖
―I still don‘t think consumers will buy [Nokia Windows phones], just as
they haven‘t bought HTC or Samsung Windows phones. Those are fine
devices, but when people go into the store looking for something, what
they want is what they‘ve heard of before and what their friends are
using.‖
―It‘s not that the Windows phone is bad, but consumers have focused
on Android and the iOS. For example, [HP‘s] WebOS is an awesome
operating system, at least as good as Android and iPhone, but it didn‘t
have a chance. BlackBerry is failing for multiple reasons, but one is
that it‘s not one of the big two. When you‘re getting into a two-year
contract, you want to be safe, and buying a phone running an operating
system that nobody you know runs isn‘t safe. For anyone to break in,
even somebody with deep pockets like Microsoft, is tough.‖
―Americans have stayed away from Nokia phones for decades now.
Nobody in America has cared that Nokia has been the biggest phone
maker for a decade. We‘ve bought our Androids, iPhones and
BlackBerries.‖
―Nokia is big in Europe but has less than 1% of the U.S. market. And Windows Phone has only a tiny developer
community. My sense is they might get a decent amount of traffic in Europe, but I don‘t think it‘s ever going to
take off in the U.S.‖
―If you‘re a developer in the U.S. and you have any sense, you‘re developing for Android and iPhone.‖
―Nokia has such a dominant role in Europe. Our European correspondent swears up and down that there‘s a lot
of interest there in the new Nokia phones running Windows.‖
―I can‘t believe that a significant number of people in Europe who have never bought anything other than a
Nokia phone are going to suddenly go get a Samsung phone just because Nokia is running Windows. So if you‘re
a developer in Europe and everybody is using these phones, you‘d be silly not to say, ‗Hey, it‘s time we write
some apps [for Windows 7 Mobile].‘ If you wanted to make a splash in Europe, developing a Windows app might
not be a bad idea.‖
―I think Microsoft is perfectly open to the idea of compensating developers and I think they‘re already doing it. …
They‘re more than happy to send you a Windows phone to use for development.‖
―It hasn‘t gotten them anywhere so far. The competition is just so fierce. But the Nokia partnership really is a
shake up. They‘re so dominant in Europe. They have the lion‘s share [of the European phone market] by a wide
margin. That [market share] will move over [to the Nokia Windows phones].‖
―[Nokia‘s] Symbian has had serious problems, and I‘m sure there are
some [Nokia users] who have gone over to iPhone and Android. That‘s
less likely to happen with Windows. Any growth that iOS and Android
are having in Europe is going to slow significantly [because of the
Nokia/Microsoft partnership].‖
―The Nokia Windows phones are going to be essentially what we‘ve had
before [from Nokia], but they‘ll be running Windows. They‘re promising
that they‘re going to customize it to differentiate themselves, but we
have no idea what that means yet. You have to be careful with that
though because too much tweaking of the operating system to make it
your own can delay OS upgrades, and those are very important to people. If Microsoft releases a new version
and you can‘t get it out to your phones for six months, people get mad.‖
―Nokia‘s old operating system was consistent with everything they‘d done before. If you were familiar with it, it
was easy to use. But if you weren‘t, it was like trying to program your VCR. You had to walk through a billion
menus to try to get anywhere.‖
I still don‘t think consumers will
buy [Nokia Windows phones],
just as they haven‘t bought HTC
or Samsung Windows phones.
Those are fine devices, but
when people go into the store
looking for something, what
they want is what they‘ve heard
of before and what their friends
are using.
Editor, Smartphone News Web site
If you‘re a developer in the U.S.
and you have any sense, you‘re
developing for Android and
iPhone.
Editor, Smartphone News Web site
Nokia/Microsoft Platform: App Developers
321 Pacific Ave., San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com
12
―Windows Phone 7 is decent. It‘s not my favorite, but I like it. It‘s easy to use. It‘s not very customizable, but the
design is intuitive and quick to use. It is probably easier to use [than Android] right out of the box, but not nearly
as customizable. Android is a decent operating system, but if you like to tinker with your phone, it‘s probably the
best available.‖
―It helps that Windows 8 is going to use pretty much the same thing for the touch version. Long term, the
Windows 8 tie-in [could be a positive]. Right now, when you pick up a Windows 7 phone, it looks like nothing you
have ever seen before. Sometime in 2012, when Windows 8 comes out and people start getting used to that
interface, then when they pick up a Windows phone, they‘ll say, ‗This looks just like my PC. I know how to use
this.‘ That‘s going to be a big jump for Microsoft. If you‘re looking two years down the line, you might get some
synergy from Windows 8.‖
Prominent consumer electronics journalist who has tracked mobile phone developments since the industry‘s beginning;
repeat source
Development for Windows 7 Mobile will be centralized as Microsoft focuses more of its in-house resources on building
apps. The app store model is irrelevant to Microsoft‘s plans for the platform. If Nokia could have motivated developers to
create products for Symbian, it would have done so, so the Microsoft relationship represents a lateral approach. T-Mobile
is an obvious partner for Nokia and Microsoft to cultivate, but AT&T also may be interested.
―I don‘t see or envision much third-party development for Windows Mobile, but I don‘t know if that‘s an issue.
Nokia tried to go the app store route with Symbian, and it didn‘t work. If anything, Symbian at the end was more
open than Android in some ways. The open approach failed. This may be a new approach.‖
―What kind of uptake can these phones get? I think it will initially be slow, but faster than the trade press thinks.
Microsoft will carry the charge here and promote these devices as a replacement to the BlackBerry. As
BlackBerry accounts expire or switch, they‘ll get some traction. I doubt it will ever be huge—maybe where
BlackBerry share is now—but that‘s still better than where Nokia or Microsoft are now in U.S. mobile.‖
―Right now everyone on the carrier side but T-Mobile has the iPhone and is overjoyed to push the iPhone. AT&T
may be willing to contemplate a relationship with Microsoft to keep its differentiation now that Verizon and
Sprint both have the iPhone. In fact, AT&T has such a bad reputation among early iPhone adopters that it can
build a new profile for itself as a top Windows phone carrier. I haven‘t heard any rumblings about this, but it‘s
possible.‖
―T-Mobile would have been the logical partner for Windows as a simple
odd-man-out scenario, but its looming merger with AT&T has stalled
progress there. If the merger falls apart, look to one or the other—or
both—to start talking fast to Nokia to get those phones.‖
―This is also AT&T‘s chance to divorce itself from RIM and the
BlackBerry. A true Windows mobile device would, frankly, make
BlackBerry completely obsolete. You would have real Outlook, real
document systems, real spreadsheets, everything you have on the
office desktop. Corporate IT departments would only need to support
flavors of Windows. If these phones succeed at all, it will be by
cannibalizing the market RIM still has.‖
―The app store is frankly beside the point as far as Microsoft is
concerned. They don‘t see themselves as a platform play. They see
themselves as the content creator or, at worst, the content aggregator.
They won‘t make their money collecting a toll on a universe of 10,000
or 10 million third-party creators the way Apple and Google do. They‘ll
make their money selling Microsoft code and code from close allies to
a captive audience.‖
―The looming update of Mobile 7 will incorporate a standard suite of ‗apps‘ into the core operating system. It‘s
not the ‗a la carte‘ app store model at all. It‘s the systems integration approach that worked for them way back
when with Office. In fact, it will probably leverage the existing Office user base. Office for mobile is something of
a Holy Grail for corporate users.‖
―Corporate IT doesn‘t want to deal with an app store. Corporate IT wants standardized devices that can be
backed up, wiped down and replaced when they get lost or break. That makes a standardized Windows Mobile
environment appealing.‖
The app store is frankly beside
the point as far as Microsoft is
concerned. They don‘t see
themselves as a platform play.
They see themselves as the
content creator or, at worst, the
content aggregator. … They‘ll
make their money selling
Microsoft code and code from
close allies to a captive
audience.
Prominent Consumer Electronics
Journalist
Nokia/Microsoft Platform: App Developers
321 Pacific Ave., San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com
13
Longtime observer of the mobile industry; repeat source
Microsoft will do what it takes to get its phones into the mobile mainstream. This source suspects the solution will boil
down to throwing money at carriers and developers.
―Microsoft will do whatever it takes to get these phones out there. At this point, it‘s more than a matter of
corporate pride. It‘s a question of corporate ego. There‘s too much at stake here, and the company is too
wealthy to let these phones fail.‖
―Microsoft was in the process of learning how the mobile world works, and then Android changed everything.
Now they‘re about where they were 18 months ago: ramping up for a run at the mobile world with a retooled
product and a more tactically focused plan.‖
―Nokia is really just along for the ride here. They‘re a huge company, but their core business remains the lower-
end voice and music phones that sell well in Europe and Asia. They were never a big player in the smartphones,
so whatever they do here with Microsoft is a bonus. If it succeeds, they succeed. If it fails, they‘ll still have the
old phones.‖
―On the carrier side, T-Mobile wants money, especially if the deal with AT&T falls through. They‘re a natural to
entertain big subsidies from Microsoft to make these phones a viable fourth option behind Apple, Android and
BlackBerry. The other carriers may follow suit, but this is a natural place to start.‖
―Nobody talks about the other manufacturers with Microsoft phones, which is to say Dell, HTC and so on. Dell‘s
phones were not successful because they had no carrier support. HTC was at least on the carrier platforms.‖
Editor of a technology blog focused on mobile computing; repeat source
The developer community has shown plenty of enthusiasm to build apps for Nokia Windows phones, especially as an
alternative to Android for which only free apps have thrived. This source expects Microsoft‘s upcoming Mango OS to be
excellent and, combined with Nokia‘s top-notch hardware, will make for some innovative new phones. He believes
carriers will be eager to carry Nokia‘s Windows-based lineup of phones but noted the difficulty for any new phone to
pierce the dominance of the iPhone and Android-based devices.
―I‘m hearing a very good amount of enthusiasm from developers to develop apps for the Windows Mobile OS, for
a couple reasons. There is a drastic decline in revenue for developers working with Android. A recent report
indicated that iOS app purchases are frequently those that cost money,
while Android app purchases are more often those which are free. The
report even cites an astonishing 8–1 paid app advantage for iOS to
Android. This is causing developers to either jump ship now or at least
look for the exit signs while they look into other options.‖
―I guess it‘s possible that Microsoft could pay developers initially, but
not likely. Though they‘re one of the few corporations that could easily
afford to burn such marketing cash, the only way for a new OS to
survive within the fragmented digital ecosystem of today is to be not
only truly different but exciting as well. Without enough of an OS buzz
to drive sales of hardware, you won‘t succeed anyway.‖
―Any corporation with huge financial resources and the clear desire to
stick it out during the growing pains will have the trust of people to
know the apps will come in time. This in turn helps ease developers‘
fears of any lack of market adoption. As the symbiotic relationship
between consumer trust and developer lack of fear continues to
strengthen, the perception of success builds steam and the proverbial
dominoes fall faster and faster.‖
―It is no small fact that the Windows Mobile OS is late to the
smartphone party, and with the iOS and Android platforms having solidified such dedicated bases already over
the past few years, it‘s close to impossible to crack into that market share. In short, people are so entrenched in
their platforms already with many apps paid for—and not transportable to a new OS—that it‘s tantamount to
asking consumers to take a significant financial loss to make the switch to something completely new. The only
way they will is if they see the payoff worth the initial loss.‖
I‘m hearing a very good amount
of enthusiasm from developers
to develop apps for the
Windows Mobile OS. … There is
a drastic decline in revenue for
developers working with
Android. … This is causing
developers to either jump ship
now or at least look for the exit
signs while they look into other
options.
Editor, Technology Blog
Nokia/Microsoft Platform: App Developers
321 Pacific Ave., San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com
14
―I find the current build [of Windows mobile] to be nothing short of an unfinished beta OS. Battery life on
numerous devices was the worst of any device I have ever tested, data is constantly eaten up in the background
without initiating any apps or tasks, and there … was no one feature I could say ‗wow‘ to.‖
―But the soon-to-be Mango build of the Windows Mobile OS is rumored to be everything that the current build is
not—fun, intuitive, better battery life, and with some of those ‗wow‘ features it was lacking before. Time will tell,
but the word of mouth from developers I speak to is that the Mango Windows Mobile OS will be a player in the
market.‖
―I expect full commitment from carriers once Mango is released on
Nokia hardware. I am eagerly looking forward to the final release. For
too long now, I‘ve tested just another variant of the same exact thing
over and over and over. This is something new. This is something
unique. This breathes some much-needed new life into the vanilla
mobile arena we seemed to be seeing crystallize for too long.‖
―While Nokia clearly needs Microsoft far more than the other way
around, these two companies joining forces will send the message of
‗trust us.‘ If consumers were hesitant to adopt the Windows Mobile OS
before, they won‘t be now.‖
―Anyone who knows anything about mobile hardware will tell you that Nokia‘s reputation of near-perfection in
manufacturing mobile phones holds water. However, their attempt at developing their own mobile OS was a
failure at the end of the day. The hardware used for initial Windows Mobile devices was nothing to write home
about. These two pieces of information makes this a marriage of complete convenience. Microsoft alleviates its
only real concern with regard to its end goal of penetrating the market with Windows Mobile OS, while Nokia
stems its bleeding in the sales department and alleviates its headache of having to keep up a failing mobile OS
in order to stay relevant in the global market.‖
―Aside from predicting consumer demand, carriers also want to be the first with something revolutionary. When
Verizon shot themselves in the foot declining to release the first iPhone, they found themselves scrambling to
come up with a backup plan after witnessing its unprecedented success on their chief competitor‘s network.
They turned to a new upstart called Android, and marketed the heck out of it. To their credit, they were smart in
realizing they needed a mobile OS to drive smartphone sales, and not targeted manufacturers. I believe that the
carriers then realized a good mobile OS is more important than the hardware it runs on, and that something
other than iOS can still be wildly successful.‖
―At the end of the day, carriers don‘t want to miss out on the next potential big thing. Verizon got very lucky with
Android after a monumentally bad business decision. Nobody wants to take a similar risk again in turning down
a potentially successful mobile OS, especially considering that after Windows Mobile OS, there‘s nothing else out
there waiting in the mobile wings. I believe carriers will adopt it eagerly and universally.‖
Secondary Sources
Four secondary sources focused on Nokia and Windows phones losing share in Europe, Windows 7 Mobile making inroads
with independent app developers, and information and reviews of Microsoft‘s new Mango OS.
Sept. 15 PopHerald.com article
Data shows that Nokia phones and Windows phones are failing in Europe, giving pause to the expectation that the Nokia
Windows phone will experience success in this region once it is released.
http://popherald.com/news/nokia-windows-phone-failing-ahead-of-the-iphone-5-release-date/11077
―New data posted by comScore is suggesting that Windows Phone, and Microsoft‘s new smartphone partner
Nokia is failing in Europe.‖
―Nokia‘s bailiwick, Europe, is not into Symbian anymore according to the data provided by comScore.
Surprisingly, Nokia‘s future platform, Windows Phone, is also not the future of the region based on the data.‖
―The data shows that Nokia‘s very own Symbian received a double-digit drop YOY from 53.9% last year to 37.8%
in July of this year. Meanwhile, Apple‘s iOS operating system powering the iPhones received the 1.2% market
share, while Google‘s insanely popular operating system Android stole the 16.2% from Nokia‘s Symbian and
I expect full commitment from
carriers once Mango is
released on Nokia hardware. …
This is something unique.
Editor, Technology Blog
Nokia/Microsoft Platform: App Developers
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15
Microsoft‘s Windows Phone. The new mobile operating system of Microsoft suffered a 4.8% slide down to 6.7%
only.‖
―The Android operating system, being used by smartphone manufacturers like Samsung Mobile, Motorola
Mobility and HTC, are gaining like crazy not only in Europe but also in other parts of the world including the
United States. In fact, the new smartphone from Samsung, the Galaxy S II, is expected to arrive in USA this
month. The device is the biggest selling smartphone of the South Korea-based company with 5 million units sold
in less than three months.‖
―Apparently, Nokia already inked partnership with Microsoft, allowing
Microsoft to get Nokia ‗exclusively.‘ According to Nokia‘s CEO Stephen
Elop, his company‘s decision to not adopting the Android route is for
his company to gain its own ‗identity‘ in the market that is currently
flooded by Android and iPhones.‖
―In his interview with a Chinese network, Elop claims the Windows
Phone and Nokia alliance will focus on people, which is a new
approach that will challenge other platforms that focus on
‗applications.‘ The upcoming Windows Phone of Nokia will try to
convince the current Symbian/Nokia users to migrate to Windows
Phone, aside from convincing the users of other platforms to go ‗Nokia
and Windows.‘‖
―According to Elop, Nokia phones with Windows Phone operating
system will arrive gradually in markets, including Asia and Europe. Can
these devices regain the market share ‗snatched‘ by Google Android
and Apple iOS? So apparently, Nokia will face a series of Android flooding this year and early next year courtesy
of Samsung, HTC and other smartphone manufacturers that will try to tap the popularity of Android. Samsung
will launch the Galaxy Note later this year or early next year.‖
―The new Galaxy Note is a ‗tabphone‘ or the device that ‗will bridge the gap between smartphone and tablet.‘
HTC on the other hand will launch two devices with the Beats Audio branding running alongside the Android
operating system. The HTC Runnymede and the new HTC Sensation XE.‖
―Aside from the two Android devices, HTC and Samsung are also playing the Windows Phone card with new
devices announced like the Samsung Focus S, Focus Flash, the new HTC Titan and the HTC Radar. Can Nokia
even outsell these devices?‖
―Lastly, Nokia is also expected to face a big wall from Cupertino, the rumored new iPhone—or the iPhone 5. No
words yet about the specs and the exact release date of the iPhone 5 but reports from Wall Street Journal,
Bloomberg, etc, have confirmed that the iPhone 5 will sport an 8-megapixel primary camera, new iOS 5
operating system that features better notification, iCloud and other new features, and dual-core processor
clocked at unknown speed.‖
Sept. 5 PCWorld article
Windows Phone 7 is winning over some independent app developers because of the platform carries less competition
from developers dedicated to Android and iOS. Some independent developers also will draw on their experience in
working with Microsoft‘s tools.
http://www.pcworld.com/article/239404/why_is_windows_phone_7_winning_over_some_indie_app_developers.html#t
k.mod_rel
―While many app developers have merely reworked their Android or iOS apps to function on Windows Phone 7, a
handful of independent app makers are developing exclusively in Microsoft‘s mobile operating system. Why are
these bootstrapping coders throwing all of their (spare) time behind the insurgent OS, and not Android or iOS?‖
―For some, it‘s because there‘s less competition on WP7, or because they‘re most familiar with Microsoft‘s tools,
or because they simply don‘t care for the way iOS and Android operate. Microsoft is fighting to exploit those
beliefs and recruit the developers who hold them; the company‘s success or failure at doing so may mean the
success or failure of the Windows Phone 7 platform.‖
―With just over 30,000 apps available for WP7, and only 2 percent of the United States smartphone market,
Microsoft is a very small fish in a very competitive pond. But it is growing: According to Microsoft‘s stats,
Windows Phone 7 gained some 5000 apps in the past two months. Sure, that‘s nothing next to the half-million
New data posted by comScore
is suggesting that Windows
Phone, and Microsoft‘s new
smartphone partner Nokia is
failing in Europe. …
Surprisingly, Nokia‘s future
platform, Windows Phone, is
also not the future of the region
based on the data.
PopHerald.com Article
Nokia/Microsoft Platform: App Developers
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16
apps on iOS, and the 200,000 you can find on Android, but WP7‘s growing apps store shows that some
developers think the platform is worth the time and effort.‖
―At the moment, Microsoft is still trying to get its little app garden to flower. When Windows Phone 7 hit the
market early last year, reports said that Microsoft was offering free equipment, revenue guarantees, and even
cash incentives to developers to make apps for the WP7 platform, something that Apple and Google have never
had to do for iOS and Android.‖
―Microsoft representatives won‘t comment on whether the company still pays developers to make apps, but
Microsoft isn‘t shy about the fact that it is attempting to lure developers, employing ‗more than 1000 ‗Microsoft
Evangelists‘ around the world,‘ according to Matt Bencke, general manager of Windows Phone apps for
Microsoft. These globe-trotting Evangelists seek out developers at iOS and Android developer conferences or at
grad schools, or they host hackathons in an effort to ‗convert‘ programmers to the WP7 platform.‖
―‗The hard reality of our competitive life is, we have to go where the developers are,‘ Bencke says. ‗We realize
we‘re in a bit of an arms race, and the number of apps we have matters.‘‖
―The Evangelist method has seen some success. It‘s responsible for Thumba, a photo-editing app that rivals
most of the image-editing apps on iOS, and pretty much every photo-editing app on Android.‖
―The developers, Pieter Voloshyn and his partners Luiz Thadeau and Jhun Iti, were working on a prototype photo
editor using Microsoft‘s Silverlight at The Methodist University of São Paulo in Brazil a few years back. Voloshyn
says that a Microsoft Evangelist based in Brazil heard about their project and reached out to him and his
partners, supplying the three with a Windows Phone 7 device and allowing them to submit the app before the
app store opened in 2010.‖
―Although Voloshyn says the team hasn‘t made any money from Microsoft for developing the app, they have
made a considerable sum selling the app itself, which costs $0.99. WP7 developers usually keep 70 percent of
their earnings from the app store. Voloshyn notes that even though he couldn‘t live off what he makes from his
app, its earnings did help him pay for his recent wedding and honeymoon.‖
―Voloshyn isn‘t starry-eyed about Microsoft‘s position in the smartphone game, but being recruited by Microsoft
was a positive experience for him. ‗I think the [platform] leadership will be shared among the three [Android,
iOS, and Windows Phone 7]. Microsoft came late in the game but came well, and I see a lot of gas for WP7 to
compete,‘ he says.‖
―That said, when asked what kind of phone he owns, Voloshyn admitted that he still uses a feature phone: ‗I‘d
love to have a WP7, but the price here in Brazil, when it comes, is charged with so many taxes that it
discourages me. But I still have a hope of getting it with a fair price.‘‖
―Astoundingly, even among developers, Microsoft needs to fight to make owning a Windows Phone 7 handset--
and using it for everything in day-to-day life--a priority.‖
―Calum McLellan‘s story is a bit different. A New Zealander living in Germany, he works at a German software
company, programming a data-management system. He wanted to try creating mobile apps, and he figured he‘d
have enough spare time to do a little coding in the evenings after he put his son to bed.‖
―‗I was considering starting with Android last year, but then WP7 came
out,‘ McLellan says. ‗I have a lot of experience with Windows
Presentation Foundation, Windows Communication Foundation, and
Silverlight. I was also turned off by Android due to the number of apps
available, the poor average quality of the apps, and the lack of
developer support. I didn‘t want to work with Apple because it‘s very
difficult for someone without a Mac. And, in my opinion, these are the
only three mobile platforms really worth considering at the moment.‘‖
―Despite clocking over 45 hours a week at his full-time job, McLellan
created the app Feed Me, a mobile RSS feed reader, and released it in
early 2011. He said he spends about 10 hours a week keeping up the
app, and about 30 to 40 hours a week right before he releases an
update. He plans on issuing one more update before releasing a
Mango version this fall.‖
―But has he made any money? ‗Not right now. I sort of hope that in a couple of years I can get a chunk of
money,‘ he says. The ads that run in his free app have earned him a little cash, but require a U.S. bank account
for him to withdraw the revenue (until the ad-placement service expands to Europe, which he hears will happen
But has he made any money?
‗Not right now. I sort of hope
that in a couple of years I can
get a chunk of money. …
Windows Phone doesn‘t quite
have enough market share at
the moment,‘ McLellan admits.
PCWorld Article
Nokia/Microsoft Platform: App Developers
321 Pacific Ave., San Francisco, CA 94111 | www.blueshiftideas.com
17
in a couple months). Regardless, the earnings are modest: ‗Windows Phone doesn‘t quite have enough market
share at the moment,‘ McLellan admits.‖
―He still thinks Windows Phone 7 is a better platform, because it‘s an enclosed consumer phone like the iPhone,
rather than an open-source mess of possible tweaks and adjustments. ‗I spent quite a while with Android last
year, looking at the two OSs. With Android, I just couldn‘t stop messing with it, and that drove me nuts. Windows
Phone saves me a lot of time.‘‖
―Still, the slow profits are a concern not just for app developers but also for Microsoft, who clearly wants to see
app makers win big. Microsoft‘s Bencke says the company has been predicting a gold rush for developers. But
where is that rush? ‗It‘s 1847 for us, and the ‗49ers haven‘t arrived in droves,‘ he says, laughing. ‗We‘re seeing
lots of positive signs, and we do have developers who are making great money. It‘s early in the gold rush.‘‖
―While McLellan is a somewhat ‗platform agnostic‘ developer who actively chose between Windows Phone 7 and
Android, Geert van der Cruijsen became a WP7 developer because he was already working a lot with Windows
software creation tools. van der Cruijsen is Dutch and works as a consultant at Avanade, a company that builds
software using Microsoft technologies.‖
―His company had a contest to see who could build the best WP7 app, and he came in second with his app
Social Lookout, which allows the user to follow tags and trends--rather than individual people--on social
networks. He tied up some of the app‘s loose ends after the contest, and submitted it to the Windows Phone 7
app store. Since then, he has worked on a few more WP7 app ideas outside of work, including his recent app
PinPin ATM Locator.‖
―Even so, van der Cruijsen is pragmatic about Windows Phone‘s potential. ‗I don‘t see WP7 catching up to
Android anytime soon. I think Windows Phone 7 has more potential than iOS, except for the coolness factor that
Apple has for some reason.‘ His app development remains a hobby and hasn‘t made him any money, although
he‘s working on paid and ad-supported apps for the future.‖
―Like McLellan, van der Cruijsen expresses displeasure with how easily average users can get lost in the
überfunctionality of the Android platform. ‗Android is really open, so it has more potential, but it is also a danger
because it can get to hard to use for nontechnical people,‘ he says. Android is now the leading OS for
smartphones, but developers like McLellan and van der Cruijsen prefer to give customers apps that they won‘t
have to ‗fiddle with,‘ subscribing to the idea that there‘s potential in constraint.‖
―And van der Cruijsen thinks Mango is round two for the fighting OS: ‗Windows‘ Metro UI is really adding
something, and I like that lots of things are integrated in the OS that you use a lot, like Facebook and Twitter.‘‖
―Fortunately, the passion for good apps is out there among Windows Phone 7 developers, even as Microsoft
continues to struggle in making its phone a ubiquitous device. And Microsoft‘s Bencke seems to have his heart
in the right place when it comes to working with the grassroots: ―The developers absolutely deserve to make
money. The investment is pretty reasonable, whether you‘re a rookie or an experienced developer; we go out of
our way to help you out.‖
Sept. 14 CNET article
Microsoft is pushing developers to submit their apps for the new Mango OS as soon as possible given that the update will
be distributed to existing customers this fall. AT&T announced it will introduce new phones from Samsung and HTC on
the new Mango OS in the fourth quarter.
http://news.cnet.com/8301-30686_3-20106271-266/microsoft-to-app-developers-submit-mango-apps-to-marketplace-
now/
―Microsoft is encouraging application developers to get apps for its latest version of the Windows Phone
operating system into its Marketplace ASAP.‖
―Matt Bencke, general manager at Microsoft, reminded developers in the company‘s Windows Phone blog today
that AT&T has already announced its lineup of new phones [from HTC and Samsung] that will run the next
version of Windows Phone, dubbed Mango. And he encouraged them to get their apps in Microsoft‘s online
application store, hinting that the update will be available very soon.‖
―‗The time to get your Mango apps into Marketplace is now,‘ he said. ‗Existing customers will begin getting their
OS update this fall. At a minimum it‘s worth updating your existing app now so that when customers experience
Mango they benefit from ‗fast app switching‘ multitasking, which requires little more than a recompile of the
app. If you want to stand out from the crowd, get your apps updated to take advantage of other Mango features
like Live Tiles and App Connect.‘‖
Nokia/Microsoft Platform: App Developers
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18
―The company has been vague about when Windows Phone 7.5 will actually be released. But judging from the
number of executives pushing developers to get their apps in the store right away, a launch of the new software
is likely coming sooner rather than later.‖
―Microsoft‘s director of Windows Phone program management, Joe Belfiore, linked to Bencke‘s blog post in a
tweet today.‖
―‗Hey devs—we‘d love you to get your apps updated to V7.1 and in marketplace *quite soon*! Just rebuild to
enable MT.‘‘
―Brandon Watson, Microsoft‘s senior director of Windows Phone 7 development, also emphasized the
importance of getting Mango apps into the Marketplace as soon as possible in his tweet, which also linked to
Bencke‘s blog post.‖
―‗I keep getting asked about when to submit your Mango apps ... *cough* now *cough*‘‖
―Microsoft announced Mango in June. The upgrade includes more than 500 new features and is the biggest
update to the platform since it was announced last year. In August, the company began accepting Mango apps
to the Marketplace application store. At the time, it launched the final release candidate for the Windows Phone
Software Development Kit 7.1, which allows software developers to create and publish apps directly to the
Windows Phone Marketplace.‖
―With all the pieces for the Mango launch in place, it seems likely that Microsoft will be pushing out the new
update soon.‖
Aug. 30 PCWorld article
This article discussed the merits—and the limitations—of Microsoft‘s upcoming Mango OS.
http://www.pcworld.com/businesscenter/article/239137/windows_phone_mango_ripe_or_rotten.html
―As soon as September, we may see the first smartphones based on Microsoft‘s Windows Phone 7.5 ‗Mango‘
release, the OS update with what CEO Steve Ballmer says has more than 500 new features. The first version of
Windows Phone 7 had a compelling UI but fell far short of the iPhone and even Android devices in many areas
critical to business users. It was a flop in the market, but Microsoft asked everyone to give it a second chance.
‗Mango‘ is that second chance, and Microsoft sent the final ‗reboot‘ OS to smartphone makers a month ago.‖
―Does ‗Mango‘ address the many gaps in the first version of Windows Phone 7? It‘s hard to say, as working
versions of the OS are not yet available for people like me to test. And although Microsoft has been dribbling out
information for months on ‗Mango, there‘s little meaningful detail yet—especially on the core business
capabilities that the first version lacked. When I asked Microsoft for
what ‗Mango‘ added for business users, it was unable to tell me,
pointing me instead to a vapid blog entry that said nothing about
business. The improvements Microsoft has focused on publicly tend to
fall into two camps: social applications and information sharing.‖
―Chances are we won‘t know for sure about its use in business settings
until the first Windows Phone 7.5 smartphones are released. But
here‘s what to look for in the new OS, based on what was missing in
the original. In some cases, Microsoft has promised to fill these gaps,
so I note those potential fixes as well.‖
―It was a major shocker to me that Windows Phone 7 had no support
for corporate-class security, which was available in its predecessor,
Windows Mobile. In fact, Windows Mobile became widely used in
government agencies because of these capabilities. As a consequence,
few businesses could let users adopt Windows Phone 7 devices.‖
―Security Capabilities; What‘s missing:
o On-device encryption
o Complex passwords and enforcement
o Virtual private networks
o Support for static IP addresses‖
―Web and Internet Capabilities; What‘s missing:
o HTML5 support. The adoption of Internet Explorer 9 in ‗Mango‘ brings HTML5 support, though IE9
supports significantly fewer HTML5 features than any other mobile browser. Still, it‘s progress.
Does ‗Mango‘ address the
many gaps in the first version
of Windows Phone 7? It‘s hard
to say, as working versions of
the OS are not yet available for
people like me to test. And
although Microsoft has been
dribbling out information for
months on ‗Mango, there‘s
little meaningful detail yet—
especially on the core business
capabilities that the first
version lacked.
PCWorld Article
Nokia/Microsoft Platform: App Developers
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19
o Adobe Flash support. Yes, iOS and BlackBerry OS don‘t support this either, and Flash support on
Android and the now-defunct WebOS is limited, so this is not a big issue for me, but it is for some users.
o Bookmark folders in the browser.‖
―Windows Phone 7‘s user interface takes a tiled approach that really stands out from other mobile OSes, even
WebOS, whose card-based metaphor shares philosophical roots. But Windows Phone 7 fell short in basic core
OS capabilities, and it provided less-sophisticated email and business-oriented apps than Apple‘s iOS.
Furthermore, Microsoft‘s Office apps for Windows Phone 7 are, to put it mildly, primitive, especially when
compared to the Apple iWork, Dataviz Documents to Go, and Quickoffice apps available for iOS.‖
―Application and UI capabilities; What‘s missing:
o Multitasking. Microsoft says ‗Mango‘ will provide the ability to switch apps so that they continue to run
in background.
o Copy and paste. Microsoft also says it will add this capability to Windows Phone 7 ‗Mango.‘
o Device-wide search.
o App-specific location controls.
o Message threading. Microsoft has said it will add this capability to its mail client and have it work
across email accounts.
o Email folder automatic syncing.
o Email search by fields (such as From or Subject).‖
―Although the first version of Windows Phone 7 had many gaps that mattered greatly to business users, the
smartphone OS also includes several capabilities that show a more competitive side to the OS. Voice-based Web
searches (also available on Google‘s Android), an onscreen keyboard containing emoticons, opt-in auto-
correction, and the ability for the browser to represent itself to websites as a desktop browser (for better display)
are all examples of its strengths.‖
―In the social arena, Windows Phone 7 ‗Mango‘ promises some appealing capabilities, such as letting users
engage in one conversation across multiple social networking and instant-messaging tools.‖
―When ‗Mango‘ smartphones finally become available, we‘ll be able to see which omissions have been
addressed. If they have, Windows Phone 7 could become a competitor to the iPhone and Android among
business users. If not, it‘ll probably languish. After all, social networking by itself is not enough to attract users,
as Microsoft learned the hard way with its ill-fated Kin ‗social‘ phone.‖
Next Steps
Blueshift‘s follow-up report on the Nokia/Microsoft platform will assess sales of new Mango OS Windows phones, which will
arrive in advance of Nokia Windows phones. We also will monitor Microsoft‘s efforts to develop its apps market and to attract
new developers. We will check on the possibility of a Windows tablet, and we will determine the partnership‘s effects on RIM
in the enterprise space.
Additional research by Seth Agulnick and Scott Martin
The Author(s) of this research report certify that all of the views expressed in the report accurately reflect their personal views about any and all of the subject securities
and that no part of the Author(s) compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations or views in this report. The Author does not
own securities in any of the aforementioned companies.
OTA Financial Group LP has a membership interest in Blueshift Research LLC. OTA LLC, an SEC registered broker dealer subsidiary of OTA Financial Group LP, has both
market making and proprietary trading operations on several exchanges and alternative trading systems. The affiliated companies of the OTA Financial Group LP, including
OTA LLC, its principals, employees or clients may have an interest in the securities discussed herein, in securities of other issuers in other industries, may provide bids and
offers of the subject companies and may act as principal in connection with such transactions. Craig Gordon, the founder of Blueshift, has an investment in OTA Financial
Group LP.
© 2011 Blueshift Research LLC. All rights reserved. This transmission was produced for the exclusive use of Blueshift Research LLC, and may not be reproduced or relied
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