desertification : a threat to both shores of the mediterranean · 2009-11-17 · desertification :...

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DESERTIFICATION : A THREAT TO BOTH SHORES OF THE MEDITERRANEAN Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific Research Democratic and Popular Republic of Algeria Center of Scientific and Technical Research on Arid Regions Omar El BERNAOUI 26-27 October Murcia, SPAIN

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Page 1: DESERTIFICATION : A THREAT TO BOTH SHORES OF THE MEDITERRANEAN · 2009-11-17 · DESERTIFICATION : A THREAT TO BOTH SHORES OF THE MEDITERRANEAN Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific

DESERTIFICATION : A THREAT TO BOTH SHORES OF THE MEDITERRANEAN

Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific Research Democratic and Popular Republic of Algeria

Center of Scientific and Technical Research on Arid Regions Omar El BERNAOUI

26-27 October Murcia, SPAIN

Page 2: DESERTIFICATION : A THREAT TO BOTH SHORES OF THE MEDITERRANEAN · 2009-11-17 · DESERTIFICATION : A THREAT TO BOTH SHORES OF THE MEDITERRANEAN Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific

1- Desertification Process :

The The desertificationdesertification processprocessinvolvesinvolves twotwo sets of sets of factorsfactors ::

GreenhouseGreenhouse

gasesgases

AridityAridity / / ClimaticClimatic

DroughtDrought

VulnerabilityVulnerability

of the of the

spontaneousspontaneous

vegetablevegetable

covercover

Fragile Fragile soilssoils

ClearingClearing

PloughingPloughing

The irrigation The irrigation

of of saltsalt waterwater

pollutiopollution

OverexploitatioOverexploitatio

nn

OvergrazingOvergrazing

FireFire

AnthropogenicAnthropogenic

ActivitiesActivities

PollutionPollution

DesertificationDesertification

Accelerator

0

AmplificationAmplification

ETP

1-Predisposing factors•Aridity•Drought•Poor soils/fragile soils•A fragile vegetable cover

2- Aggravating factors•Ploughing• Clearing•Overgrazing•The irrigation of saltwater• pollutions

Figure -1- Desertification Process

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The first stage of the The first stage of the desertificationdesertificationisis the the declinedeclineof the of the swardswardin in termstermsofof ::

Figure Figure --22-- Steppe (a) in Steppe (a) in declinedecline(b(b)&(c)

••DensityDensity••RecoveringRecovering••And And biodiversitybiodiversity

(c)

(b)(a)

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This This meansmeansthe the degradationdegradationof the of the soilsoil•• The more plant The more plant covercover declinesdeclines, the more , the more desertificationdesertification acceleratesacceleratesand and hencehencestripping of the stripping of the soilsoil underunder the the effecteffect of of hydroushydrous and and windwind erosionerosion. . ••DependingDependingon the on the degreedegreeof of degradationdegradation ,the ,the situation situation cancan bebe reversiblereversible or not.or not.

2- The Impact Zones-- TheThe desertificationdesertification affects all continents, affects all continents,

withwith nearlynearly the the thirdthird of the of the emergedemergedlands lands are are threatenedthreatened..

Figure 3 : the vulnerable territories to desertification(source : F.A.O)

-The The mostmost vulnerablevulnerable zones are in the zones are in the aridaridand and semiaridsemiarid areas and areas and particularlyparticularly atat the the circumferencecircumferenceof the of the naturalnatural desertdesert.

Figure 4 : Vulnerable terretories to desertification in Southern Europe(F.A.O).

-- DesertificationDesertification threatensthreatensmanymany parts of parts of the the MediterraneanMediterranean bassinbassin--The South of Europe The South of Europe isis not not sparedspared. and in particular the Iberian Peninsula

This This isis due todue to : : The The geographicalgeographicalposition of position of thesethesecountries and countries and climateclimate ,,

But But alsoalso to the to the demographicdemographicpressures and pressures and economiceconomicactivitiesactivities....

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3- Common climatic criteria in the Mediterranean��Short Short winterswinters••A A rainyrainy seasonseasonbetweenbetweenOctoberOctober and April(350 and April(350 àà 750 mm/750 mm/yearyear))••irregularityirregularity of of rainfallrainfall in time and in time and spacespace��Hot and dry Hot and dry markedmarked by by severalseveraldroughts can lasts several months droughts can lasts several months --04 04 monthsmonths in Tunis and in Tunis and AlgiersAlgiers;;--07 07 MonthsMonths in Alexandriain Alexandria ;;--02 02 monthsmonths in Barcelona;in Barcelona;--03 03 monthsmonths in Istanbul .in Istanbul .��The The DroughtsDroughts sometimessometimesmultiannualmultiannual cancan cause:cause:••The The dryingdrying up of up of riversrivers;;••The The reductionreduction of agricultural production;of agricultural production;••Forest Forest firesfires ..ExEx 1: 1: AlgAlgeeriaria (Aur(Aur èès) (1990s) (1990--1994), Ex2: French (19891994), Ex2: French (1989--1992)1992) Of this climate a geography of water is

declined :Of a total of 842 km3 of Of a total of 842 km3 of averageaverageflow flow theorytheoryfor for MediterraneanMediterraneancountriescountries ::--6.3% return to the Maghreb;6.3% return to the Maghreb;--11.9% return to 11.9% return to NearNearEastetEastetand the and the MashreqMashreq;;--81.6% to the countries of the 81.6% to the countries of the NorthNorth shore.shore.The The resourcesresourcesof the Maghreb and Middle East of the Maghreb and Middle East representrepresentonlyonly a quarter of the a quarter of the NorthNorth Shore.Shore.ContrastsContrastsalsoalsoexistexistbetweenbetweencountries of the countries of the samesameShore. Shore. For For exampleexample: case of : case of somesomecountries in the countries in the South ShoreSouth Shore

RenewableFreshwater

TotalResourceskm3

Population 1997 in thousands

TotalResourcesm3/hab.

Population 2025 in thousands

TotalResources in 2025m3/hab.

Algeria 19 29 800 637 45 000 422Egypt 58 64 800 895 86 000 674Jordan 1.1 4 400 250 9 000 122Lebanon 3.9 3 900 1 000 6 000 650Libyae 0.7 5 600 125 14 000 50Morocco 30 28 200 1 063 41 000 731Tunisia 4.35 9 300 468 13 000 334

(Extract from Mutin 2006)

Table 05 –availability of freshwater in 1997 and pressures in 2025

Note Note thatthat somesomecountries are countries are alreadyalready belowbelow the the thresholdthreshold of a of a shortageshortageof 1000 mof 1000 m33//inhabinhab//yearyear

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Water scarcityconcernsalsocountries of the northernshore like Spain and Malta alreadyforcedto requieredatnon conventionel waters.

- The correlation between the water resource and the socio-economic factors shows :

Figure 06 : Map of the geography of water problems prevailing in the world

•A chronic shortage of climaticorigin amplified by the demographic pressure for the south.

• Cyclical shortages caused by drought in the North especiallyfor countries like Spain, Italy

and Turkey ,

Here,the question of water arises especially in terms of quality because of pollution.

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In In thisthis climateclimate willwill shapeshapethe biomesthe biomesA A MediterraneanMediterranean forestforest withwith ::••A A treetreelayer (layer (oaksoaks, pines and , pines and cedarscedars))••A A shrubbyshrubbylayer(layer(PistaciaPistacia, , JuniperJuniperand and KermesKermesoakoak))

A A MediterraneanMediterranean forestforest in in declinedecline for for severalseveral reasonsreasons••Clearing,Clearing,••OvergrazingOvergrazing,,••FireFire,,••UrbanizationUrbanization((mainlymainly coastalcoastal),),••Pollution.Pollution.

In addition to the In addition to the effecteffect of of droughtdrought ..

Figure 07 : vegetation Map of the Mediterranean basin

Figure 08 : Carte de la cédraie en Maroc et en Algérie

EvenEven on the on the northnorth shore, the shore, the forestsforestssuffersuffer diebackdieback attributedattributed initiallyinitially to to pollution: pollution: ::

••AcidAcid RainRain••PollutedPolluted seaseasprayspray

CurrentlyCurrently , , itit isis confirmedconfirmed thatthat the the advancedadvanceddeclinedeclineof the of the MediterraneanMediterranean forestsforestsisis alsoalsodue to due to droughtdrought ..

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DegradationDegradation of the of the MediterraneanMediterranean forestsforests

GivesGivesriserise to plant formations more to plant formations more vulnerablevulnerable to to desertificationdesertification

••The Maquis and the garrigue = MatorralThe Maquis and the garrigue = Matorral

steppe steppe

FurtherFurther degradationdegradation

For example : The steppe/Algeria/20Millions d’ha

••WhereWhere the the canopycanopy isis discontinuousdiscontinuousand and lowlow representedrepresentedby by : : ••EspartoEsparto••SpartaSparta

••ArtemisiaArtemisia••wherewhere therethere has been an has been an accelerationaccelerationof of desertificationdesertification processesprocessesand and especiallyespeciallyto the to the westwestwhichwhich combines the dual action of combines the dual action of droughtdrought and and overgrazingovergrazing in the last in the last twentytwenty yearsyears..

The The declinedeclineof the of the climaticclimatic taxa and the taxa and the appearanceappearanceof the steppe of the steppe degradationdegradation ..

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FACTORS OF DECLINE OF THE FACTORS OF DECLINE OF THE

MEDITERRANEAN MEDITERRANEAN

FORESTFOREST

Abiotic Factors

Drought and cold ,

Biotic Factors

Diseases, destuctive, Pests ,..

vulnerability

Pollution NO2, SO2, O3

Acid Rain ,……

Anthropic Activities

Toxicityand/or

deprives

Vulnerability of

abiotic stress

Fires, Urbanization

Clearing, overgrazing

Page 10: DESERTIFICATION : A THREAT TO BOTH SHORES OF THE MEDITERRANEAN · 2009-11-17 · DESERTIFICATION : A THREAT TO BOTH SHORES OF THE MEDITERRANEAN Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific

Desertification and Other HazardsExampl 1 : A risk can hide another •The sand dune is a terrible risk that occurs when the soil is desertified.

•Currently, it threatens many human settlements in arid regions.

Exampl 2 : A risk can amplify another Global warming accelerates desertification

Figure 10: Correlation / desertification / climate change

Phenomenon of theDesertification/ Sand dune

Increased the

global warming

Stongerirregularity

Stress for the canopy

vulnerability to the hazards of degradation, erosion, leaching, salinization

gradualimpoverishmentof the soil

decrease in thebiological elevation

+ loss of density and diversity

Page 11: DESERTIFICATION : A THREAT TO BOTH SHORES OF THE MEDITERRANEAN · 2009-11-17 · DESERTIFICATION : A THREAT TO BOTH SHORES OF THE MEDITERRANEAN Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific

Climate projections on Algeria 1990-2025

--ComparisonComparison of the of the climateclimate seriesseries19301930--19601960

--UsingUsing the English model the English model withwith highhigh resolutionresolution (UKHI) indiquent(UKHI) indiquent

--A A riserise of the of the averageaveragetemperaturetemperature (0.8 (0.8 àà 1.11.1°°C)C)

-A decrease in the annual average rainfall (10 à 20%)

IncreasinglyIncreasingly aridityaridity

ConsequencesConsequences

••isohyetsisohyetsmovingmoving northnorth (100km)(100km)

••A A reductionreduction of water of water resourcesresources

••A change in the agricultural A change in the agricultural calendarcalendar••DecreasedDecreasedproduction of agricultural of the production of agricultural of the irrigatedirrigated cropscropsand and mainlymainly dry dry cropscrops••A A worseningworseningof of soilsoil erosionerosion••regressionregressionof of biologicalbiological recoveryrecovery and and biodiversitybiodiversity due to due to droughtsdroughts and and heatheat waveswaves..

••An An accelerationaccelerationand expansion of and expansion of desertificationdesertification ..An An accelerationaccelerationand expansion of and expansion of

desertificationdesertification

Chain Chain reactionsreactions

Convention/Climate change

Convention/Convention/BiodiversityBiodiversityConvention/Convention/DesertificationDesertification

global Convention ?global Convention ?

Page 12: DESERTIFICATION : A THREAT TO BOTH SHORES OF THE MEDITERRANEAN · 2009-11-17 · DESERTIFICATION : A THREAT TO BOTH SHORES OF THE MEDITERRANEAN Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific

GOUDRIAAN, 1992, GOUDRIAAN, 1992,

What goes in the same sense that the projections for land cover change based on global warming (since the 1990s)

Page 13: DESERTIFICATION : A THREAT TO BOTH SHORES OF THE MEDITERRANEAN · 2009-11-17 · DESERTIFICATION : A THREAT TO BOTH SHORES OF THE MEDITERRANEAN Ministry of Higher Education and Scientific

If this scenario were to arise

1- Policy through :• Combined efforts to federate the actions of the threeconventions in the field of fight

against desertification;• Decision making in the public interest (against hunger, poverty ….);

.The fight against economic dependency ;

2- Executive through effective socio-economic and cultural management at different economic enterprises , educational and culturalInstitutions;

3- The citizen must be able to adapt to new social and environmental conditions imposed on him (save the environment and biodiversity, water conservation...).

Developing a strategy is needed at all levels from:• Policies; • The Executive;• Citizen.

��How How beingsbeingswillwill theythey reactreact to to adaptadapt ??��Will Will theythey have time to do have time to do itit ??��WhatWhat isis the future of agriculturethe future of agriculture ??��WhatWhat developmentdevelopmentstrategiesstrategiesto to considerconsider??

The questions The questions raisedraised are are ::

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Le Le HouHouéérourou, la d, la déésertification des rsertification des réégions arides, revue la gions arides, revue la Recherche nRecherche n°°99 avril 1979, volume 10 (p 33699 avril 1979, volume 10 (p 336--344)344)

SALAMANI M. et HIRCHE A.SALAMANI M. et HIRCHE A. ; l; l ’é’état de la dtat de la déésertification en sertification en AlgAlgéérie. Actes des journrie. Actes des journéées internationales sur la des internationales sur la déésertification et sertification et le dle dééveloppement durable , Biskra, Algveloppement durable , Biskra, Algéérie 2006.rie 2006.

Jean MARGAT, lJean MARGAT, l ’É’É conomie de lconomie de l’’ eau dans le Monde, ressources, eau dans le Monde, ressources, besoins, problbesoins, problèèmes (p 277mes (p 277--289) in, le grand livre de l289) in, le grand livre de l’’ eau, eau, ééd. la d. la manufacture et la citmanufacture et la citéé des sciences et de ldes sciences et de l’’ industrie 1990.industrie 1990.

MostefefaMostefefa--Kara, Kara, la menace climatiquela menace climatique, , éédition DAHLEB.dition DAHLEB.Options mOptions mééditerranditerran ééennes, sennes, séérie Brie B : : éétudes et recherches Numtudes et recherches Numééro ro 37,37,éédition CIHEAMdition CIHEAM

Christian Christian LefLeféévrevre, Jean, Jean--Luc Schneider, Luc Schneider, les risques naturels les risques naturels majeursmajeurs, collection g, collection gééosciences.osciences.

ReferencesReferences

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Thank you for your attention