department of monitoring and model l ing air pollution, krakow, poland

32
Department of Monitoring and Modelling Air Pollution, Krakow, Poland INSTITUTE OF METEOROLOGY AND WATER MANAGEMENT TITLE : Comparison of selected weather types classifications, for air pollution data from different areas Jolanta Godłowska Anna Monika Tomaszewska Ioannina 9-10.05.2008 COST-733 WG4-Meeting

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COST-733 WG 4 -Meeting. INSTITUTE OF METEOROLOGY AND WATER MANAGEMENT. Department of Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution, Krakow, Poland. TITLE : Comparison of selected weather types classifications , for air pollution data from different areas. Jolanta Godłowska - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Department of Monitoring and Modelling Air Pollution, Krakow, Poland

INSTITUTE OF METEOROLOGYAND WATER MANAGEMENT

TITLE : Comparison of selected weather types classifications, for air pollution data from different areas

Jolanta GodłowskaAnna Monika Tomaszewska

Ioannina 9-10.05.2008

COST-733

WG4-Meeting

Page 2: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

My questions are:

• Are there similar results comparing different classifications: by different methods (EV, WSD, WSD_U) for different air pollutants (PM10, CO, NO2, SO2, ozone) for different sites (Poland, Slovakia, Germany, Belgium)

• What is the nature of EV, WSD, WSD_U parameters ? modification of WSD_U and WSD

• How results depend on domain ? comparing results for 7, 8 and 5 domains

• What kind of classifications is the best for forecasting situations

with high concentrations ?

WSD_U - Ustrnul weighted standard deviation index WSD_U - Ustrnul weighted standard deviation index

Page 3: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Comparison of selected weather types classifications for forecasting the days with high air pollution

Data:

SO2 PM10 NO2 CO

NDJF

daily mean concentrations - SO2, PM10, NO2

maximal daily 8-hour concentrations – CO

from:

• Poland

− Cracow 1994 -1999

− Upper Silesia 1999-2002

• Belgium

− Uccle (1996-2002) – only PM10

Page 4: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

NDFJNDFJ

Page 5: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Methods of classification evaluation Methods of classification evaluation :: the best:EV=1-(SSi/SSt) between 0 and 1 the highest k

WSD = (1/k)*∑ sdi depending on standard deviation the lowest k i=1

k

WSD_U = (∑ sdi*ni)/(∑ni) depending on standard deviation the lowest i=1 i=1

Relation between EV (left), WSD (center), WSD_U(right) and number of classes N for different air pollutants

Conclusions:Conclusions:

1.1. WSD and WSD and WSD_UWSD_U methods are methods are nnoot good for comparing results for different air pollutantst good for comparing results for different air pollutants

2. Normalisation of WSD and 2. Normalisation of WSD and WSD_UWSD_U parameters are necessary. parameters are necessary.

05

1015202530354045

0 20 40 60N

EV [%

]

SO2 PM10 NO2 CO

05

1015202530354045

0 20 40 60N

WSD

SO2 PM10 NO2 CO

0

5

10

15

2025

30

35

40

45

0 20 40 60N

WSD

_U

SO2 PM10 NO2 CO

Page 6: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

New methods of classification evaluation after normalisation:New methods of classification evaluation after normalisation: WSD and WSD_U normalised: nWSD = WSD/sd

nWSD_U = WSD_U/sd

sd - total standard deviation

Relation between EV (left), nWSD (middle), nWSD_U (right) and number of classes N for different air pollutants (Upper Silesia)

Conclusion:Conclusion: • For all methods and species better quality is observed for classificationFor all methods and species better quality is observed for classificationss

with number of classeswith number of classes larger than 1larger than 155• Probably classifications with number of classes larger then 1Probably classifications with number of classes larger then 155

are better for air pollution forecastingare better for air pollution forecasting• For NO2For NO2 it it is observed the is observed the worstworst evaluation evaluation

0

20

40

60

80

100

0 10 20 30 40 50N

EV

[%]

SO2 PM10 NO2 CO

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

0 10 20 30 40 50N

nWS

D

SO2 PM10 NO2 CO

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

0 10 20 30 40 50N

nWS

D_U

SO2 PM10 NO2 CO

Page 7: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Comparison of different methods of classification evaluationComparison of different methods of classification evaluation

Conclusion:Conclusion: EV and nEV and nWSD_UWSD_U are correlated the most are correlated the most

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0

nWSD

nWS

D_U

SO2 PM10 NO2 CO

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

EV

nWS

D

SO2 PM10 NO2 CO

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1

EV

nWS

D_U

SO2 PM10 NO2 CO

Page 8: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

CompariComparison ofson of different different methods of classification evaluationmethods of classification evaluation(EV, nWSD, nWSD_U) (EV, nWSD, nWSD_U) forfor SO2, PM10, NO2, CO SO2, PM10, NO2, CO

Upper SilesiaUpper Silesia

SO2

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

CE

CE

SLP

C10

ES

LPC

30E

Z50

0C10

EZ

500C

30G

WT

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LUN

DLW

T2

NN

WP

27P

CA

CA

PC

AX

TR

KP

CA

XT

RP

ET

ISC

OS

AN

DR

AS

AN

DR

AT

PC

AV

TP

CA

07W

LKC

733

HB

GW

LO

GW

LP

EC

ZE

LYP

ER

RE

TS

CH

UE

EZ

AM

GU

ST

RT

C21

TC

11

0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%

nWSD nWSD_U EV PM10

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

CE

CE

SLP

C10

ES

LPC

30E

Z50

0C10

EZ

500C

30G

WT

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LUN

DLW

T2

NN

WP

27P

CA

CA

PC

AX

TR

KP

CA

XT

RP

ET

ISC

OS

AN

DR

AS

AN

DR

AT

PC

AV

TP

CA

07W

LKC

733

HB

GW

LO

GW

LP

EC

ZE

LYP

ER

RE

TS

CH

UE

EZ

AM

GU

ST

RT

C21

TC

11

0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%

nWSD nWSD_U EV

NO2

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

CE

CE

SLP

C10

ES

LPC

30E

Z50

0C10

EZ

500C

30G

WT

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LUN

DLW

T2

NN

WP

27P

CA

CA

PC

AX

TR

KP

CA

XT

RP

ET

ISC

OS

AN

DR

AS

AN

DR

AT

PC

AV

TP

CA

07W

LKC

733

HB

GW

LO

GW

LP

EC

ZE

LYP

ER

RE

TS

CH

UE

EZ

AM

GU

ST

RT

C21

TC

11

0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%

nWSD nWSD_U EV CO

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

CE

CE

SL

PC

10

ES

LP

C3

0E

Z5

00

C1

0E

Z5

00

C3

0G

WT

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LU

ND

LW

T2

NN

WP

27

PC

AC

AP

CA

XT

RK

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

ST

PC

AV

TP

CA

07

WL

KC

73

3H

BG

WL

OG

WL

PE

CZ

EL

YP

ER

RE

TS

CH

UE

EP

ZA

MG

US

TR

TC

21

TC

11

0%5%10%15%20%25%30%35%

nWSD nWSD_U EV

Page 9: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Comparison of classification Comparison of classification ESLPC30 withESLPC30 with LWT2 LWT2 forfor SO2 SO2

Upper SilesiaUpper Silesia

"E S LP C30"; Oc ze kiwan e ś redn ie b rze gowe

B ie żąc y e fekt: F(2 4 , 391 )=3 .18 94 , p=.00000

Dekom pozyc ja e fektywn yc h h ip o tez

P io nowe s łupki o znac za ją 0 .9 5 p rzed zia ły u fnoś c i

1 3 5 7 9 12 14 16 19 21 25 27 30

E S L P C30

0

50

100

150

200

sZ

AB

RZ

E1

"LW T 2"; Oc zekiw ane ś red n ie b rzegow e

B ieżąc y e fekt: F(25 , 390 )=5 .1469 , p=.0000 0

Dekom po zyc ja e fektywnyc h h ipo tez

P ionow e s łupki oznac za ją 0 .95 p rzedzia ły u fnoś c i

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25

LW T 2

0

50

100

150

200

sZ

AB

RZ

E1

Page 10: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

CompariComparison ofson of different different methods of classification evaluationmethods of classification evaluation(EV, nWSD, nWSD_U) (EV, nWSD, nWSD_U) forfor SO2, PM10, NO2, CO SO2, PM10, NO2, CO

Upper SilesiaUpper Silesia

EV

0

10

20

30

40

CE

CE

SLP

C10

ES

LPC

30E

Z50

0C10

EZ

500C

30G

WT

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LUN

DLW

T2

NN

WP

27P

CA

CA

PC

AX

TR

KP

CA

XT

RP

ET

ISC

OS

AN

DR

AS

AN

DR

AT

PC

AV

TP

CA

07W

LKC

733

HB

GW

LO

GW

LP

EC

ZE

LYP

ER

RE

TS

CH

UE

EZ

AM

GU

ST

RT

C21

TC

11

SO2 Zabrze PM10 Zabrze NO2 Zabrze

CO KatowiceR NO2 KatowiceR

nWSD

0.4

0.6

0.8

1.0

CE

CE

SLP

C10

ES

LPC

30E

Z50

0C10

EZ

500C

30G

WT

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LUN

DLW

T2

NN

WP

27P

CA

CA

PC

AX

TR

KP

CA

XT

RP

ET

ISC

OS

AN

DR

AS

AN

DR

AT

PC

AV

TP

CA

07W

LKC

733

HB

GW

LO

GW

LP

EC

ZE

LYP

ER

RE

TS

CH

UE

EZ

AM

GU

ST

RT

C21

TC

11

SO2 Zabrze PM10 Zabrze NO2 Zabrze

CO KatowiceR NO2 KatowiceR

nWSD_U

0.7

0.8

0.9

1.0

CE

CE

SLP

C10

ES

LPC

30E

Z50

0C10

EZ

500C

30G

WT

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LUN

DLW

T2

NN

WP

27P

CA

CA

PC

AX

TR

KP

CA

XT

RP

ET

ISC

OS

AN

DR

AS

AN

DR

AT

PC

AV

TP

CA

07W

LKC

733

HB

GW

LO

GW

LP

EC

ZE

LYP

ER

RE

TS

CH

UE

EZ

AM

GU

ST

RT

C21

TC

11

SO2 Zabrze PM10 Zabrze NO2 Zabrze

CO KatowiceR NO2 KatowiceR

Page 11: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Comparison of EV evaluationComparison of EV evaluationfor different pollutants at different placesfor different pollutants at different places

SO2, PM10, NO2, COSO2, PM10, NO2, CO Upper Silesia, Cracow, BrusselsUpper Silesia, Cracow, Brussels

SO2

0

10

20

30

40

CE

CE

SLP

C10

ES

LPC

30E

Z50

0C10

EZ

500C

30G

WT

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LUN

DLW

T2

NN

WP

27P

CA

CA

PC

AX

TR

KP

CA

XT

RP

ET

ISC

OS

AN

DR

AS

AN

DR

AT

PC

AV

TP

CA

07W

LKC

733

HB

GW

LO

GW

LP

EC

ZE

LYP

ER

RE

TS

CH

UE

EZ

AM

GU

ST

RT

C21

TC

11

Zabrze Kraków 2 Kraków 5

Kraków 6 Kraków 4

PM10

0

10

20

30

40

CE

CE

SLP

C10

ES

LPC

30E

Z50

0C10

EZ

500C

30G

WT

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LUN

DLW

T2

NN

WP

27P

CA

CA

PC

AX

TR

KP

CA

XT

RP

ET

ISC

OS

AN

DR

AS

AN

DR

AT

PC

AV

TP

CA

07W

LKC

733

HB

GW

LO

GW

LP

EC

ZE

LYP

ER

RE

TS

CH

UE

EZ

AM

GU

ST

RT

C21

TC

11

Zabrze Kraków 2 Kraków 5

Kraków 6 Uccle Kraków 4

NO2

0

10

20

30

40

CE

CE

SLP

C10

ES

LPC

30E

Z50

0C10

EZ

500C

30G

WT

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LUN

DLW

T2

NN

WP

27P

CA

CA

PC

AX

TR

KP

CA

XT

RP

ET

ISC

OS

AN

DR

AS

AN

DR

AT

PC

AV

TP

CA

07W

LKC

733

HB

GW

LO

GW

LP

EC

ZE

LYP

ER

RE

TS

CH

UE

EZ

AM

GU

ST

RT

C21

TC

11

Zabrze Kraków 2 Kraków 5

Kraków 6 KatowiceR Kraków 4

CO

0

10

20

30

40

CE

CE

SLP

C10

ES

LPC

30E

Z50

0C10

EZ

500C

30G

WT

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LUN

DLW

T2

NN

WP

27P

CA

CA

PC

AX

TR

KP

CA

XT

RP

ET

ISC

OS

AN

DR

AS

AN

DR

AT

PC

AV

TP

CA

07W

LKC

733

HB

GW

LO

GW

LP

EC

ZE

LYP

ER

RE

TS

CH

UE

EZ

AM

GU

ST

RT

C21

TC

11

Katowice R Kraków 5 Kraków 6

Page 12: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Comparison of different methods of classification evaluationComparison of different methods of classification evaluationEV vs Index of Performance R2EV vs Index of Performance R2

Poland Cracow domena 7 Belgium dom 4

Prokocim Aleje UccleEV R2 EV R2 EV R2

CEC 0.11 0.37 0.13 0.38 0.26 0.23ESLPC10 0.10 0.34 0.09 0.29 0.17ESLPC30 0.15 0.36 0.14 0.34EZ500C10 0.03 0.13 0.03 0.17 0.13 0.09EZ500C30 0.25 0.26 0.18GWT 0.17 0.40 0.21 0.45 0.26 0.18LITADVE 0.13 0.35 0.18 0.43 0.08LITTC 0.49 0.24 0.51 0.28 0.15LUND 0.14 0.33 0.19 0.41 0.11 0.15LWT2 0.19 0.45 0.24 0.50 0.31 0.11NNW 0.07 0.29 0.11 0.37 0.17 0.21P27 0.14 0.36 0.15 0.40 0.28 0.23PCACA 0.05 0.21 0.08 0.28 0.25 0.27PCAXTRKM 0.16 0.37 0.16 0.40 0.15 0.12PCAXTR 0.11 0.34 0.13 0.37 0.14 0.17PETISCO 0.13 0.35 0.16 0.41 0.26 0.11SANDRA 0.19 0.48 0.21 0.47 0.33 0.19SANDRAS 0.21 0.47 0.19 0.43 0.38 0.29TPCAV 0.11 0.33 0.12 0.36 0.10 0.15TPCA07 0.06 0.24 0.07 0.29 0.08 0.14WLKC733 0.36 0.19 0.42HBGWL 0.21 0.45 0.21 0.45 0.41OGWL 0.17 0.45 0.19 0.45 0.43 0.21PECZELY 0.18 0.44 0.19 0.45 0.11 0.20PERRET 0.12 0.36 0.15 0.42 0.37 0.11SCHUEEPP 0.19 0.45 0.22 0.44 0.12ZAMG 0.22 0.44 0.24 0.48 0.33

Cracow Prokocim

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

CE

C

ES

LP

C1

0

ES

LP

C3

0

EZ

50

0C

10

EZ

50

0C

30

GW

T

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LU

ND

LW

T2

NN

W

P2

7

PC

AC

A

PC

AX

TR

KM

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

S

TP

CA

V

TP

CA

07

WL

KC

73

3

HB

GW

L

OG

WL

PE

CZ

EL

Y

PE

RR

ET

SC

HU

EE

PP

ZA

MG

EV R2

Cracow Aleje

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

CE

C

ES

LP

C1

0

ES

LP

C3

0

EZ

50

0C

10

EZ

50

0C

30

GW

T

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LU

ND

LW

T2

NN

W

P2

7

PC

AC

A

PC

AX

TR

KM

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

S

TP

CA

V

TP

CA

07

WL

KC

73

3

HB

GW

L

OG

WL

PE

CZ

EL

Y

PE

RR

ET

SC

HU

EE

PP

ZA

MG

EV R2

Uccle

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

CE

C

ES

LP

C1

0

ES

LP

C3

0

EZ

50

0C

10

EZ

50

0C

30

GW

T

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LU

ND

LW

T2

NN

W

P2

7

PC

AC

A

PC

AX

TR

KM

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

S

TP

CA

V

TP

CA

07

WL

KC

73

3

HB

GW

L

OG

WL

PE

CZ

EL

Y

PE

RR

ET

SC

HU

EE

PP

ZA

MG

EV R2

Page 13: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Comparison of different methods Comparison of different methods of classification evaluationof classification evaluation

EV vs Index of Performance R2EV vs Index of Performance R2

O G W L; P refered by E V

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27 29

O G W L

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Ucc

le

P E CZE LY ; P refered by R2

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

P E CZE LY

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Ucc

le

ZA M G ; P refered by E V

1 4 7 10 13 16 20 25 30 33 36 40

ZA M G

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Ucc

le

Page 14: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Comparison of different methods of classification evaluationComparison of different methods of classification evaluationEV vs Index of Performance R2EV vs Index of Performance R2

Romania domain 10 TSP

Baia Mare Ploiesti Rescita EV R2 EV R2 EV R2

CEC 0.31 0.14 0.34 0.17 0.35ESLPC10 0.19 0.24 0.21ESLPC30 0.20 0.29 0.20EZ500C10 0.18 0.15EZ500C30 0.20 0.24 0.26 0.30GWT 0.26 0.18 0.42 0.36LITADVE 0.15 0.13 0.35 0.12 0.33LITTC 0.41 0.45 0.45LUND 0.20 0.31 0.25LWT2 0.38 0.41 0.38NNW 0.21 0.19 0.34P27 0.41 0.38 0.43PCACA 0.13 0.31 0.15 0.16PCAXTRKM 0.19 0.29 0.17PCAXTR 0.18 0.16 0.29 0.18PETISCO 0.41 0.46 0.44SANDRA 0.31 0.20 0.07SANDRAS 0.21 0.44 0.21 0.48 0.23 0.46TPCAV 0.12 0.32 0.21 0.44 0.11 0.34TPCA07 0.11 0.31 0.12 0.34 0.26WLKC733 0.35 0.50 0.46 0.30 0.43HBGWL 0.25 0.52 0.35 0.60 0.34 0.55OGWL 0.25 0.48 0.38 0.57 0.26 0.48PECZELY 0.33 0.22 0.25PERRET 0.47 0.37 0.56 0.45SCHUEEPP 0.50 0.49 0.47ZAMG 0.38 0.28 0.47 0.40

Baia Mare

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

CE

C

ES

LP

C1

0

ES

LP

C3

0

EZ

50

0C

10

EZ

50

0C

30

GW

T

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LU

ND

LW

T2

NN

W

P2

7

PC

AC

A

PC

AX

TR

KM

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

S

TP

CA

V

TP

CA

07

WL

KC

73

3

HB

GW

L

OG

WL

PE

CZ

EL

Y

PE

RR

ET

SC

HU

EE

PP

ZA

MG

EV R2

Ploiesti

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

CE

C

ES

LP

C1

0

ES

LP

C3

0

EZ

50

0C

10

EZ

50

0C

30

GW

T

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LU

ND

LW

T2

NN

W

P2

7

PC

AC

A

PC

AX

TR

KM

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

S

TP

CA

V

TP

CA

07

WL

KC

73

3

HB

GW

L

OG

WL

PE

CZ

EL

Y

PE

RR

ET

SC

HU

EE

PP

ZA

MG

EV R2

Resita

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

0.6

CE

C

ES

LP

C1

0

ES

LP

C3

0

EZ

50

0C

10

EZ

50

0C

30

GW

T

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LU

ND

LW

T2

NN

W

P2

7

PC

AC

A

PC

AX

TR

KM

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

S

TP

CA

V

TP

CA

07

WL

KC

73

3

HB

GW

L

OG

WL

PE

CZ

EL

Y

PE

RR

ET

SC

HU

EE

PP

ZA

MG

EV R2

Page 15: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Comparison of different methods of classification evaluationComparison of different methods of classification evaluationEV vs Index of Performance R2EV vs Index of Performance R2

S CHUE E P P ; P refered by R2

1 4 7 10 16 19 22 25 29 33 37

S CHUE E P P

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Bai

aMar

e

"W LK C733"; P refered by E V

2 4 6 10 14 19 22 24 28 30 32 34 36 38 40

W LK C733

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

200

Bai

aMar

e

Page 16: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Data:

OZONE

AMJJA

8-hour concentration of ozone (for 17 UTC) from:

•Poland 1997-2002

− central and east monitoring stations:

Warszawa IOŚ (urban) and Diabla Góra, Jarczew, Belsk, Zbereże (rural)

− south monitoring stations:

Zabrze and Katowice (urban), Kuźnia Nieborowska (rural),

Kędzierzyn (suburban, industrial),

•German 1997-2002

− central and east monitoring stations:

Hoyeswerda (urban), Goerlitz (urban, traffic), Mittelndorf (rural)

•Slovakia 1997-1998, 2000

− east monitoring station:

Humenne (urban)

•Belgium 1990-2002

− monitoring stations:

Moerkerke and Vezin (rural)

Comparison of selected weather types classifications for forecasting the days with high air pollution

Page 17: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Ozone AMJJAOzone AMJJA

Page 18: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Comparison (EV) of different classifications for ozone Comparison (EV) of different classifications for ozone domain 7domain 7

Upper Silesia, Poland

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

CE

C

ES

LPC

10

ES

LPC

30

EZ

500C

10

EZ

500C

30

GW

T

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LUN

D

LWT

2

NN

W

P27

PC

AC

A

PC

AX

TR

KM

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

S

TP

CA

V

TP

CA

07

WLK

C73

3

HB

GW

L

OG

WL

PE

CZ

ELY

PE

RR

ET

SC

HU

EE

PP

US

TR

TC

21

TC

11

ZA

MG

Kędzierzyn

Kuźnia

Zabrze

Katowice Zał

Katowice R

Germany

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

CE

C

ES

LPC

10

ES

LPC

30

EZ5

00C

10

EZ5

00C

30

GW

T

LITA

DV

E

LITT

C

LUN

D

LWT2

NN

W

P27

PC

AC

A

PC

AX

TRK

M

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

S

TPC

AV

TPC

A07

WLK

C73

3

HB

GW

L

OG

WL

PE

CZE

LY

PE

RR

ET

SC

HU

EE

PP

US

TR

TC21

TC11

ZAM

G

Hoyeswerda

Mittelndorf

Goerlitz

Belgie and Slovakia

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

CE

C

ES

LPC

10

ES

LPC

30

EZ5

00C

10

EZ5

00C

30

GW

T

LITA

DV

E

LITT

C

LUN

D

LWT2

NN

W

P27

PC

AC

A

PC

AX

TRK

M

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

S

TPC

AV

TPC

A07

WLK

C73

3

HB

GW

L

OG

WL

PE

CZE

LY

PE

RR

ET

SC

HU

EE

PP

US

TR

TC21

TC11

ZAM

G

Moerkerke

Vezin

Humenne

Central and East Poland

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

CE

C

ES

LPC

10

ES

LPC

30

EZ5

00C

10

EZ5

00C

30

GW

T

LITA

DV

E

LITT

C

LUN

D

LWT2

NN

W

P27

PC

AC

A

PC

AX

TRK

M

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

S

TPC

AV

TPC

A07

WLK

C73

3

HB

GW

L

OG

WL

PE

CZE

LY

PE

RR

ET

SC

HU

EE

PP

US

TR

TC21

TC11

ZAM

G

DG

Jarczew

Warszawa

Belsk

LWT2LWT2 LWT2LWT2

Page 19: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Mean ozonMean ozonee concentrations for concentrations for different types of LWT2different types of LWT2

domain 7domain 7 GermanyGermany

PolandPoland

BelgiumBelgium

1 3 5 7 9 1 1 1 3 1 5 1 7 1 9 2 1 2 3 2 5

LW T2

0

1 0

2 0

3 0

4 0

5 0

6 0

7 0

8 0

9 0

1 0 0

1 1 0

1 2 0

1 3 0

1 4 0

35r Belgium

1 3 5 7 9 1 1 1 3 1 5 1 7 1 9 2 1 2 3 2 5

LW T2

0

1 0

2 0

3 0

4 0

5 0

6 0

7 0

8 0

9 0

1 0 0

1 1 0

1 2 0

1 3 0

1 4 0

Gorlitz

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25

LW T2

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

Kat

owic

e Z

Page 20: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

LWT2 ERA40 CompositesLWT2 ERA40 CompositesType 4Type 4High ozone High ozone concentrationsconcentrationsin Germanyin Germany

Type 5Type 5

High ozone High ozone concentrationsconcentrationsin Polandin Poland

Type 3Type 3

The highest ozone The highest ozone concentrationsconcentrationsin Belgiumin Belgium

Page 21: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Mean ozonMean ozonee concentrations concentrationsfor different types of LWT2for different types of LWT2

domain 7domain 7 GermanyGermany

1 3 5 7 9 1 1 1 3 1 5 1 7 1 9 2 1 2 3 2 5

LW T2

0

1 0

2 0

3 0

4 0

5 0

6 0

7 0

8 0

9 0

1 0 0

1 1 0

1 2 0

1 3 0

1 4 0

35r Belgium

BelgiumBelgium

PolandPoland

1 3 5 7 9 1 1 1 3 1 5 1 7 1 9 2 1 2 3 2 5

LW T2

0

1 0

2 0

3 0

4 0

5 0

6 0

7 0

8 0

9 0

1 0 0

1 1 0

1 2 0

1 3 0

1 4 0

Gorlitz

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25

LW T2

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140

Kat

owic

e Z

Page 22: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Type 22Type 22

High ozone High ozone concentrationsconcentrationsin Poland and Germany, in Poland and Germany, Low ozone Low ozone concentrationsconcentrations in Belgium in Belgium

Type 13Type 13

The highest ozone The highest ozone concentrationsconcentrations in in Germany Germany High ozone High ozone concentrationsconcentrations in Poland in Poland Mean ozon Mean ozon concentrationsconcentrations in Belgium in Belgium

LWT2 ERA40 CompositesLWT2 ERA40 Composites

Page 23: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Comparison (EV)of different classifications for ozone Comparison (EV)of different classifications for ozone domain 7domain 7

Upper Silesia, Poland

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

CE

C

ES

LPC

10

ES

LPC

30

EZ

500C

10

EZ

500C

30

GW

T

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LUN

D

LWT

2

NN

W

P27

PC

AC

A

PC

AX

TR

KM

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

S

TP

CA

V

TP

CA

07

WLK

C73

3

HB

GW

L

OG

WL

PE

CZ

ELY

PE

RR

ET

SC

HU

EE

PP

US

TR

TC

21

TC

11

ZA

MG

Kędzierzyn

Kuźnia

Zabrze

Katowice Zał

Katowice R

Germany

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

CE

C

ES

LPC

10

ES

LPC

30

EZ5

00C

10

EZ5

00C

30

GW

T

LITA

DV

E

LITT

C

LUN

D

LWT2

NN

W

P27

PC

AC

A

PC

AX

TRK

M

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

S

TPC

AV

TPC

A07

WLK

C73

3

HB

GW

L

OG

WL

PE

CZE

LY

PE

RR

ET

SC

HU

EE

PP

US

TR

TC21

TC11

ZAM

G

Hoyeswerda

Mittelndorf

Goerlitz

Belgie and Slovakia

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

CE

C

ES

LPC

10

ES

LPC

30

EZ5

00C

10

EZ5

00C

30

GW

T

LITA

DV

E

LITT

C

LUN

D

LWT2

NN

W

P27

PC

AC

A

PC

AX

TRK

M

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

S

TPC

AV

TPC

A07

WLK

C73

3

HB

GW

L

OG

WL

PE

CZE

LY

PE

RR

ET

SC

HU

EE

PP

US

TR

TC21

TC11

ZAM

G

Moerkerke

Vezin

Humenne

Central and East Poland

0.0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0.5

CE

C

ES

LPC

10

ES

LPC

30

EZ5

00C

10

EZ5

00C

30

GW

T

LITA

DV

E

LITT

C

LUN

D

LWT2

NN

W

P27

PC

AC

A

PC

AX

TRK

M

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

S

TPC

AV

TPC

A07

WLK

C73

3

HB

GW

L

OG

WL

PE

CZE

LY

PE

RR

ET

SC

HU

EE

PP

US

TR

TC21

TC11

ZAM

G

DG

Jarczew

Warszawa

Belsk

LITtcLITtcLITtcLITtc

Page 24: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

1 3 5 7 9 1 1 1 3 1 5 1 7 1 9 2 1 2 3 2 5 2 7

LITTC

0

1 0

2 0

3 0

4 0

5 0

6 0

7 0

8 0

9 0

1 0 0

1 1 0

1 2 0

1 3 0

1 4 0

KatZ

1 3 5 7 9 1 1 1 3 1 5 1 7 1 9 2 1 2 3 2 5 2 7

LITTC

0

1 0

2 0

3 0

4 0

5 0

6 0

7 0

8 0

9 0

1 0 0

1 1 0

1 2 0

1 3 0

1 4 0

35r Belgium

Mean ozonMean ozonee concentrations concentrations for different types of for different types of LITtcLITtc

domain 7domain 7

1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 19 21 23 25 27

LITTC

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

110

120

130

140G

orlit

zGermanyGermany

BelgiumBelgium

PolandPoland

Page 25: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

type 12type 12

The highest values of ozone in The highest values of ozone in Germany, Poland and BelgiumGermany, Poland and Belgium

The high values of ozone in Poland, middle in The high values of ozone in Poland, middle in Germany, and low in BelgiumGermany, and low in Belgium

type 13type 13

Page 26: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Comparison of (EV) different classifications for ozone Comparison of (EV) different classifications for ozone domain 5,7,8domain 5,7,8

Diabla Góra, PolandDiabla Góra, Poland

AMJJA

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

CE

C

ES

LPC

10

ES

LPC

30

EZ

500C

10

EZ

500C

30

GW

T

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LUN

D

LWT

2

NN

W

P27

PC

AC

A

PC

AX

TR

KM

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

S

TP

CA

V

TP

CA

07

WLK

C73

3

domain 5

domain 8

domain 7

JJA

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

CE

C

ES

LP

C1

0

ES

LP

C3

0

EZ

50

0C

10

EZ

50

0C

30

GW

T

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LU

ND

LW

T2

NN

W

P2

7

PC

AC

A

PC

AX

TR

KM

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

S

TP

CA

V

TP

CA

07

WL

KC

73

3

domain 5

domain 8

domain 7

Page 27: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Comparison (EV) of Comparison (EV) of different classifications for ozone different classifications for ozone

domain 5,7,8domain 5,7,8Diabla Góra, PolandDiabla Góra, Poland

EV

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0 0.1 0.2 0.3

domain 8

do

me

in 7

AMJJA

JJA

EV

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0 0.1 0.2 0.3

domain 5

dom

ain

7

AMJJA

JJA

domain 7

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0 0.1 0.2 0.3JJA

AM

JJA

Page 28: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Comparison of(EV) different classifications for ozone Comparison of(EV) different classifications for ozone domain 5,7,8domain 5,7,8

Jarczew, PolandJarczew, Poland

AMJJA

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

CE

C

ES

LPC

10

ES

LPC

30

EZ

500C

10

EZ

500C

30

GW

T

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LUN

D

LWT

2

NN

W

P27

PC

AC

A

PC

AX

TR

KM

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

S

TP

CA

V

TP

CA

07

WLK

C73

3

domain 5

domain 8

domain 7

JJA

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

CE

C

ES

LP

C1

0

ES

LP

C3

0

EZ

50

0C

10

EZ

50

0C

30

GW

T

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LU

ND

LW

T2

NN

W

P2

7

PC

AC

A

PC

AX

TR

KM

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

S

TP

CA

V

TP

CA

07

WL

KC

73

3

domain 5

domain 8

domain 7

Page 29: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Comparison (EV) ofComparison (EV) ofdifferent classifications for ozone different classifications for ozone

domain 5,7,8domain 5,7,8JarczewJarczew, Poland, Poland

domain 7

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4

JJA

AM

JJA

EV

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0 0.1 0.2 0.3

domain 8

do

me

in 7

AMJJA

JJA

EV

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

0 0.1 0.2 0.3

domain 5

dom

ain

7

AMJJA

JJA

Page 30: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Comparison of (EV) different classifications for ozone Comparison of (EV) different classifications for ozone domain 7,8domain 7,8

Humenne - SlovakiaHumenne - Slovakia

AMJJA

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0.4

CE

C

ES

LPC

10

ES

LPC

30

EZ

500C

10

EZ

500C

30

GW

T

LIT

AD

VE

LIT

TC

LUN

D

LWT

2

NN

W

P27

PC

AC

A

PC

AX

TR

KM

PC

AX

TR

PE

TIS

CO

SA

ND

RA

SA

ND

RA

S

TP

CA

V

TP

CA

07

WLK

C73

3

domain 8

domain 7

EV

0

0.1

0.2

0.3

0 0.1 0.2 0.3

domain 8

do

me

in 7

AMJJA

Page 31: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Conclusions:

1.1. Evaluation of classifications:Evaluation of classifications:• WSD and WSD_U parameters are not good for comparing results for different air WSD and WSD_U parameters are not good for comparing results for different air

pollutants.pollutants.• Normalisation of WSD and WSD_UNormalisation of WSD and WSD_U parameters is necessary. parameters is necessary. • By comparing EV, nWSD and nWSD_U with variability of PM10 and SO2 for By comparing EV, nWSD and nWSD_U with variability of PM10 and SO2 for

classification ESLPC30 it is found that nWSD is not good parameter for evaluation classification ESLPC30 it is found that nWSD is not good parameter for evaluation classification.classification.

• By comparing EV and R2 for DJF (Poland, Belgium - PM10, Romania - TSP) is By comparing EV and R2 for DJF (Poland, Belgium - PM10, Romania - TSP) is observed the similar behavior for both parameters. It seems that parameter EV is observed the similar behavior for both parameters. It seems that parameter EV is sometimes better.sometimes better.

2.2. The best classifications for winter urban air pollution are:The best classifications for winter urban air pollution are:• Classifications with number of classes greater than 15• Objective classifications: LWT2, LITTC, Sandra, Sandras, • Manual classifications: HBGWL, OGWL and Polish Tc21 classification prepared by

Niedźwiedź

3.3. The best classifications for summer ozone concentrationsThe best classifications for summer ozone concentrations are :are :• objective classifications: CEC, GWT, LITTc, LWT2, Petisco for all areas (Poland,

Slovakia, Germany, Belgium)• objective WLKC733 classifications for Polish stations• objective Sandras classification for Belgian stations• manual Polish Tc21 and Tc11 classifications prepared by Niedźwiedź for Slovak,

German and south or central Polish stations• manual ZAMG classification for German and south or central Polish stations• manual HBGWL, OGWL and Perret for Belgian stations

4.4. There are not considerable differences between classifications evaluations There are not considerable differences between classifications evaluations prepared on the basis of calculations made for different domains prepared on the basis of calculations made for different domains

(when sites of stations are at the border areas in different domains(when sites of stations are at the border areas in different domains).).

Page 32: Department of  Monitoring and Model l ing Air Pollution,  Krakow, Poland

Thank you for your attention

KONTAKT:Tel: 12 6398119E-mail: [email protected] [email protected]

IMGW01-673 Warszawa, ul.: Podleśna 61tel.: (022) 56 94 000fax: (022) 00 00 000kom.: 0 503 000 [email protected]