DEMOGRAPHIC SURVEY OF JUMILLA OVER THE LAST

CENTURY

By 1st Bachillerato students

Infanta Elena Secondary School

Jumilla

ANALYSIS OF THE PROBLEM

Jumilla has undergone 3 demographic stages during the 20th Century. First period 1900-1920 Moderate demographic increase Second period 1920-1995 Stagnation period Third period 1995- 2005 Demographic increase

ANALYSIS OF THE PROBLEM

Demographic changes in Jumilla (Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadisitca)

1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2011

16466 20303 21165 21590 20492 22250 25596

o Jumilla suffered no demographic increase over 80 years aproximately.

o Possible reasons for this stagnation:EpidemicWars and strugglesEconomic Crisis leading to migratory

movements.Birth and mortality problems.

OBJECTIVES Study of the changes in population over the 20th Century Hypothesis testing:

Demographic stagnation is mainly due to the high immigration of the population of Jumilla to industrialized areas compensated by a high birth increase.

Neighbouring towns with similar economy will have suffered the same emigration movements.

Neighbouring towns with industrial economy will show a growth.

Find out relations between migratory movements and historic and economic events.

Compare demographic changes in Jumilla to the rest of Spain.

THEORETICAL BASIS

BIRTH AND MORTALITY “The birth rate is typically the rate of births in a population

over time.” (Wikipedia 17th-4-2013) “ Mortality rate is a measure of the number of deaths (in

general, or due to a specific cause) in a population “ (Wikipedia 17th-4-2013)

THEORETICAL BASIS

MIGRATION “Human migration is the movement of people from one area

to another, sometimes over long distances or in large groups. Immigration is the movement of people into a country or

region, where they are not native, in order to settle. Emigration is the act of leaving one's country or region to

settle in a different one for long.” (Wikipedia 18th-4-2013)

THEORETICAL BASIS

THE GROWTH OF THE POPULATION WILL BE:

Populations

Births

Emigration

Deaths

Inmigratión

METHODOLOGY Data complilation such as birth and mortality figures getting

information from different sources: National Statistics Institute Census of Local Entity Murcia Region Data Centre.

Historic migratory movement analysis Historic event analysis susch as wars, epidemic, economic

crisis affecting demographic changes.

RESULTS

Demographic changes in Jumilla during the period 1900-2000

RESULTS

Demographic changes in Jumilla during the period 1996-2004

RESULTS

Year Birth Deaths Natural Increase

1975 350 168 182

1980 370 174 196

1985 311 186 125

1990 267 182 85

1995 223 163 60

2000 266 210 56

2005 315 245 70

RESULTS

Emigration from Murcia to other Spanish provinces

RESULTS Comparison of Jumilla to Northwest municipalities

1900

1910

1920

1930

1940

1950

1960

1970

1981

19910

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30012 Bullas

30013 Calasparra

30015 Caravaca de la Cruz

30017 Cehegín

30022 Jumilla

30028 Moratalla

Municipalities with a similar development pattern to Jumilla. Rural economy.

RESULTS

1900

1910

1920

1930

1940

1950

1960

1970

1981

1991

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

30005 Alcantarilla

30022 Jumilla

30025 Lorquí

30027 Molina de Segura

30901 Santomera

30038 Torres de Cotillas (Las)

Comparison of Jumilla to the municipalities near Murcia

Municipalities with a different development pattern to Jumilla. Urban and inductrial economy..

RESULTS Comparison of Jumilla to the neighbouring municipalities.

1900

1910

1920

1930

1940

1950

1960

1970

1981

1991

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

30001 Abanilla

30002 Abarán

30019 Cieza

30020 Fortuna

30022 Jumilla

30043 Yecla

Municipalities with a similar development pattern to Jumilla. Rural economy and small industry.

RESULTS

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

30022 Jumilla

30026 Mazarrón

30033 Puerto Lum-breras

30035 San Javier

30036 San Pedro del Pinatar

30041 Unión (La)

AÑOS

PO

BLA

CIÓ

N Comparison of Jumilla to the mining municipalities in the

coast of Cartagena.

Municipalities with a different development pattern to Jumilla. Mining economy suffering from crisis since 1950.

ANALYSIS OF RESULTS Jumilla shows a demographic balance from 1920 to 1990 Growth is positive. Migration is negative. Demographic balance is the result of:

Migration (<0) + natural increase (>0) = 0

Comparison of areas: Northwest: Demographic evolution similar to Jumilla , even in many

decreasing municipalities. Area round Murcia. Demgraphic increase since the policy of economic

development (1960) Mining areas. Demographic decrease since the stop of mining. Area round Jumilla. Different demographic growth following the

municipality development pattern.

ANALYSIS OF RESULTS

Emigration movements: At first, People moved mainly to Barcelona, and later they moved to

Vinalopó Valley and Valencia, From 1910 to 1920 ( Jumilla, from 17.513 to 20.340 inhabitants). It is

a period of economic wealth, as the continuation of the period started during the previous century due to wine expansion; this causes a immigration movement.

Civil War consequences were not important for these municipalities being far from the struggles.

Since 2000, demographic growth is recovered due to immigration. The growth is caused by a new expanding economic period.

CONCLUSIONS

1.Jumilla maintains its population figures during the 20th Century

due to a high emigration rate combined with natural growth.

2.The development pattern is the cause of this stagnation.

3 Similar municipalities following the same pattern have the same

demographic figures.

4.Immigration is the main cause of growth over the last years.

BIBLIOGRAPHY Webs and sources:

www. ine.es (Instituto nacional de Estadística) Atlas regional de la Región de Murcia www.Wikipedia.es Jumilla en cifras 2008 ( Consejería de Economía y Hacienda de la

Región de Murcia) www.Jumilla.org