democracy & dictatorship in pakistan
TRANSCRIPT
DEMOCRACY &
DICTATORSHIP
Review Of Economy Under
INTRODUCTION
It has been 65 years since the creation of Pakistan and in this huge time span Pakistan has seen three military dictatorships and four democratic governments eras but still the debate of which is best for Pakistan’s Economy
Democracy or Dictatorship
Evaluate Economic Performance From 1977-2007
Four Economic Indicators GDP ( Gross Domestic Product) Inflation Electrical Producation Employment
DICTATOR ZIA- UL-HAQ’S ERA
This period starting from 1977-1988 is regarded as the second dictatorship
era in the history of Pakistan as the first one was Ayub Khan’s era, it is also called the era of Islamization
GDP IN ZIA-UL-HAQ ERA
1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 19880.00
5,000,000,000.00
10,000,000,000.00
15,000,000,000.00
20,000,000,000.00
25,000,000,000.00
30,000,000,000.00
35,000,000,000.00
40,000,000,000.00
45,000,000,000.00 GDP
During the ten years of Zia-Ul-Haq’s rule the GDP of Pakistan increased by 154%
INFLATION IN ZIA-UL-HAQ ERA
1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 19880
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Inflation
Inflation
Average inflation rate/year was 7%
ELECTRIC PRODUCTION
1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 19880.00
5,000,000,000.00
10,000,000,000.00
15,000,000,000.00
20,000,000,000.00
25,000,000,000.00
30,000,000,000.00
35,000,000,000.00
Electricity production (kWh)
Electricity production (kWh)
Electricity Production during Zia-Ul-Haq’s Era increased by 200% in the ten years
UNEMPLOYMENT
1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 19880
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
4.5
Unemployment
Unemployment
The unemployment rate also decreased by 27%
THIRD DEMOCRATIC ERA
This decade is regarded as the third democratic era in this period of approximately eleven years from 1988-1999. Pakistan’s political history experienced two democratic government twice i.e Late Mohtarma Benazir Bhutto and Nawaz Sharif ruled Pakistan alternatively each being elected twice with heavy mandate of the people.
FIRST DEMOCRATIC RULE 1988-1990 (PPP)
1989 199033000000000
33500000000
34000000000
34500000000
35000000000
35500000000
36000000000
36500000000
37000000000
37500000000
38000000000
Electricity production (kWh)
Electricity production (kWh)
1989 199039900000000
39950000000
40000000000
40050000000
40100000000
40150000000
40200000000
GDP (current US$)
GDP (current US$)
GDP Decreased by 2 % Electricity Only by 8%
1989 19907.2
7.4
7.6
7.8
8
8.2
8.4
8.6
8.8
9
9.2
Inflation
Inflation
1989 19900
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
Unemployment
Inflation Increased by 15% Unemployment Decreased by 18%
SECOND DEMOCRATIC RULE 1990-93(PML)
1991 1992 199342000000000
43000000000
44000000000
45000000000
46000000000
47000000000
48000000000
49000000000
50000000000
51000000000
52000000000
GDP (current US$)
GDP (current US$)
1991 1992 19930
10000000000
20000000000
30000000000
40000000000
50000000000
60000000000
Electricity production (kWh)
Electricity production (kWh)
GDP of Pakistan increased by 18.3% Electricity production increased by 23%
1991 1992 19930
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
Inflation
Inflation
1991 1992 19930
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Unemployment
Inflation decreased by 15.2% Average unemployment rate was 5.1%.
3RD DICTATOR ERA
2001-2007 After government Nawaz Sharif , General
Musharaf took the control of the government and legitimized his rule due to elections held in 2002 brought PML(Q) into the government who proved to be loyal supporters of President Musharaf and he ruled Pakistan for more than 8 years.
GDP IN MUSHARAF ERA
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 20080
20000000000
40000000000
60000000000
80000000000
100000000000
120000000000
140000000000
160000000000
180000000000
GDP (current US$)
GDP (current US$)
Massive increase in the GDP of Pakistan by 120%
ELECTRIC PRODUCTION
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 20080
20000000000
40000000000
60000000000
80000000000
100000000000
120000000000
Electricity production (kWh)
Electricity production (kWh)
Period of eight years it only increased by 30%.
INFLATION IN MUSHARAF ERA
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 20080
5
10
15
20
25
Inflation
Inflation
Inflation was increased to 20% Average inflation rate per year during his rule was 7%
UNEMPLOYMENT IN DICTATOR’S ERA
2000 2002 2004 2006 2007 20080
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Unemployment
Unemployment
Well controlled and in in rule the unemployment decreased by the 1%
COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF GDP
Zia UI Haq PPP PML(N) Musharaf0
20000000000
40000000000
60000000000
80000000000
100000000000
120000000000
GDP (current US$)
GDP (current US$)
COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF ELECTRIC PRODUCTION
Zia UI Haq PPP PML(N) Musharaf0
10000000000
20000000000
30000000000
40000000000
50000000000
60000000000
70000000000
80000000000
90000000000
Electricity production (kWh)
Electricity production (kWh)
COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF INFLATION RATE
Zia UI Haq PPP PML(N) Musharaf0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Inflation
Inflation
COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
Zia UI Haq PPP PML(N) Musharaf0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Unemployment
Unemployment
CONCLUSION If we consider GDP as the factor for evaluation of governments then
DICTATORSHIP proves a better option. The second economic indicator used in this report is Electricity
production which also indicates the highest growth rates in the terms of electricity production was under the government of Musharaf and Zia-Ul-Haq therefore this factor also supports DICTATORSHIP.
Our third economic indicator in in this report is inflation and it also indicates that the inflation rates were low and controlled under the governments of Musharaf and Zia as compared to government of PPP and PML(N) therefore this factor also supports DICTATORSHIP as a better form of government.
Unemployment is the fourth economic factor which we have used to evaluate governments in the past thirty years and this also shows that the unemployment was LEAST during the rule of Zia-Ul-Haq while Musharaf had the HIGHEST unemployment rates So there is little edge for DEMOCRACY for maintaining unemployment rate.
