delhi electricity tariff economics

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  • 8/12/2019 Delhi Electricity Tariff Economics

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    What Determines Electricity Tariff

  • 8/12/2019 Delhi Electricity Tariff Economics

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    What determines tariff

    Contents

    Bulk Power cost

    Distribution cost

    Tariff Comparisons Across

    Geographies

    Summing Up

    Slide 2

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    Electricity: Value chain (G T D)

    Fixed Cost Fuel Cost G+T+D COSTS GO INTO

    G

    Transmission Cost

    Charges Losses

    BUILDING

    TARIFF

    Distribution Cost

    AS SEEN BY END D

    O&M Cost Financing Cost Losses

    Slide 3

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    What determines Tariff (80:10:10)

    Three main com onents

    Power Purchase (80% of total cost) Generation cost Transmission cost

    O&M Cost includes Repairs & Maintenance cost

    O&Mcost

    cost

    Employees cost Administrative cost

    Financial Cost includes

    PowerPurchase

    Cost(G+T)

    eprec a on Interest TaxDDG T G+T+D

    Slide 4

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    o upp es u ower o e

    100% power is sourced from Govt plants

    All are under long term PPA

    Rates are CERC/ DERC approved

    Fuel cost increase in Generation is fullass throu h to Discoms

    Discoms have absolutel No control over Bulk Power Cost

    Slide 5

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    Bulk Power Cost (G+T): Sharp Increase in recent years

    5.38

    5.71

    Generation ComponentTransmission Component

    Cost in Rs / Unit

    3.43

    .

    300%

    1.39

    1.74 1.942.09

    2.41.

    .

    Slide 6

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    Generation Cost: Significant Increase

    ,

    Imported coal is 4 times more costly Blending up to 30-40% by NTPC plants

    Higher transport cost

    Coal sourced from longer distance

    Consistent Increase in transportation cost

    Higher fixed cost from new plants

    More than 60% power from new plants

    New plants fixed cost: Rs. 3 per unit

    Old plants fixed cost: Rs. 0.6 per unit

    Slide 7

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    Delhi Electricity Tariff Hikes in last 10 years

    17%21%

    20%RST 65% Increase

    Rs / Unit

    65% of Tariff hike has effectedin last 10 yearsNo Hike

    Majority of the hike : 45% hashappened in last 2 years

    Almost zero tariff hikeappene or years

    Mere 17% tariff hike in firstcontrol period

    Inadequate tariff led to huge un-recovered cost of Rs. 20,000 Cr

    Slide 8

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    ver ncreas ng revenue gap

    ~Rs 14 800 Cr Re ulator Assets for BSES Discoms alone

    Partic ulars (Rs crs) BYPL BRPL BSES NDPL Total

    Upto FY 09 -26 612 586 351 937

    FY 10 533 1,068 1,601 751 2,352

    FY 11 1,121 1,546 2,667 964 3,631

    FY 12 2,216 4,233 6,449 1,783 8,232

    FY 13 *E 1,690 1,779 3,469 885 4,354

    Total Gap 5,534 9,238 14,772 4,734 19,506

    Slide

    Absence of cost reflective tariff led to huge unrecovered cost, Rs.~ 20,000 Crs

    9

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    oss e uc on a

    Huge Savings to Government

    Rs.37 500 Cr till date

    AT&C loss reduction : 57% to 17%

    Commercial loss r eduction : 45% to 5%

    Rs.7,500 Cr/yr, 25% of Delhi budget

    More money available for Schools, Metro & Buses etc

    Hospitals & Infrastructure etc

    Reduced subsid out o* Provisional, yet for true up

    Slide

    ,

    10

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    Operating Cost: Drastic Reduction

    NDMC : 1.13

    Kerala : 1.00 Bihar : 0.88 Punjab SEB : 0.86

    CPI increased by 120% in past 10 yrs

    Des ite inflation O eratin cost reduced b 45% (TPDDL) : . BSES : 0.55

    76 to 55 paise/unit , huge operational efficiency

    Cost reduction is despite providing world class

    customer services

    Slide

    n re ene o opera ona e c ency passe on o cus omers y ower ar

    11

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    Recapitulating how Discoms have fared

    Slide 12

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    c ency mprovement: ene t ng ovt. ustomers

    300% hike in ower cost should have

    resulted in 300% retail tariff h ike

    As it constitutes 80% of total cost

    World record AT&C loss r eduction

    Reduction in Operating expense

    .

    Kept requirement of tariff hike to 90%

    Mere 65% (untimely) hike led to

    Power cos t(% hik e) Retail tarif f (% hike) Savings(%) n-recovere cos s. , r

    Slide 13

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    0.55

    oss e uc on ea ng o ower ar

    Pre privatization Loss 57%

    13.857.58 Consumer Retail tariff - Rs.6.55

    5.71

    Power AT&C Distr'bn Total

    Required Tariff - Rs.7.40

    With out privatization required tariffCost Loss Cost Cost

    0.55

    1.13

    Post privatization Loss 17% would have been - Rs.13.85

    An Increase of 110% from current level

    7.405.71

    Slide

    Power Cost

    AT&C Loss

    Distr'bnCost

    TotalCost

    ,Per Unit values for FY 13

    14

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    Commodities / Services

    With Neighbouring Towns / Metros

    Slide 15

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    Power Tariff Vs Essential Commodities/Services

    Slide 16

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    ow essent a commo t es pr ces ave move

    Commodity Unit FY 03 FY 13 % Increase

    Dal Arhar Rs./Quintal 2,197 6,734 206%

    Sugar Rs./Quintal 1,417 3,398 140%

    . , ,

    Meat Rs./Quintal 8,200 23,760 190%

    Eggs '00 Nos. 127 319 151%

    Source: Delhi Govts statistical handbook, based on price index of Delhi

    Ghee (Desi) Rs./15 Kg 1,930 4,439 130%Note: FY 13 figures are arrived at by 8% increase in FY 12

    Slide

    Prices of Essential Commodities have Increased by avg. 170%

    17

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    ow erv ces pr ces ave move

    DTC DJB DMRC

    Since ince tionLast 10 earsincreased by 100%gone up by 150 %

    gone up by 200 %

    Slide 18

    .

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    ow ue pr ces ave move

    Slide 19

    r ces o ue ave ncrease y avg.

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    ow ropert es pr ces ave move

    CLASS A B C D

    2007 43 34 27 22

    2012 645 205 133 106

    Growth (%) 1400 500 388 388Rate in 000 /sqmtr

    Prices of Properties increased massively by 670%

    Slide 20

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    Power Tariff Vs Neighbours / Other Metros

    Slide 21

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    power ar compare o o er e g our ng owns

    than its neighboring towns Delhi has better power quality

    7.7 7.9 8.2 8.17.1

    24X7 supply Reliability Index @ 99.98% Stable voltage

    ower cos n o er owns s an what is in Delhi,

    To compare same quality of 24x7 power

    Note: *08 hrs Load shedding/day impact is taken for NCR towns Alternate power during shed hours taken at Rs 16/unit All calculations are for 200 units of monthly residential consumption

    DELHI customer a s substantiall lower 1/3 rd com ared to other towns

    Slide 22

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    power ar compare o er e ro es

    Note: Tariff comparison for Domestic usage @ 200 units per month

    Slide 23

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    Recent Tariff Revision Trend Across Country

    Slide 24

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    ow as power ar ncrease coun ry w e

    All states hiked tariff last year

    Top 3 states in hike:

    Tam na u 37%

    Kerala 30%

    WB (CESC) 24%

    Average hike of 16%

    A welcome change which has to

    continue

    Tariff hike has contributed towards restoration of Health of Discoms

    Slide 25

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    Summing up

    Slide 26

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    umm ng up: conom cs o e ec r c y ar

    80% of total cos t is Power cos tIncreased Uncontrollable cost

    Retail tariff should have gone upby

    y

    300% As 300% escalation in

    power cost

    Savings due to Huge efficiencygains

    210%40% reduction in AT&C loss

    & Operating cost

    Reduced tariff hike required dueto huge efficiency gains

    Tariff hike effected

    90%

    65%

    Entire gains passed on toCustomers & Govt .

    Untimel & Inade uate hike

    Un recovered Gap in Tariff hike 25%

    Leading to huge underrecovery of Rs. 20,000 Crs.

    Slide 27

    Over last 10 yrs period

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    umm ng up: r ce ncrease across e oar

    670%

    Compared to very Bulk Power Cost 300%

    of other itemsDearness

    Allowance250%

    Delhi Power Tariff

    has gone up by mere Essential Comm 170%

    65%Services 150%

    Slide 28

    Index

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    esp e pec acu ar urnaroun ,

    in absence of Ade uate Tariff

    Discoms are facing Financial Crisis

    Slide 29

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    Thank You

    Slide 30