defending principles against a tsunami source:
TRANSCRIPT
Defending Principles Against a Tsunami
SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov
Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The 4th District of Connecticut The Candidates The Campaign The Results
SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov
Defending Principles Against a Tsunami
Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The 4th District of Connecticut
Race/Ethnicity 76.7% White 11.3% Black 4.0% Asian 15.0% Hispanic
Occupation 71.8%White Collar 15.6% Blue Collar
Median Income $81.4k in district $65.5k in state
Partisanship Cook Political Report , Partisan Voting Index, D+5
‘04 Presidential Vote
Kerry +6%
SOURCE: www.nationalatlas.gov
Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Candidates: Incumbent Chris Shays
Occupation Financial services industry
Political Experience
Member, Connecticut House of Representatives, 1975-1987
First Elected
1987
Committees
Government Oversight Financial Services Homeland Security
Other Peace Corps, 1968-1970
SOURCE: shays.house.gov
Table 1. Congressional Vote Scores for Christopher Shays, 1993-2008
Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Candidates: Challenger Jim Himes
Occupation Vice President, Goldman Sachs
Vice President, Enterprise Foundation
Political Experience
Commissioner, Greenwich Housing Authority
Member, Greenwich Board of Estimate and Taxation
SOURCE: himes.house.gov
Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
Table 2. Campaign Fundraising by Shays and Challengers, 2000-2008
Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: The Polls
Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Hope and Straight Talk”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Leading Newspapers”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Restoring Faith in Our Future”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Results for Connecticut Families”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Dream House”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “No Waiting”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “21 Years”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Fundamentally Strong”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “21 Years in Washington”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Campaign: “Our Economy is Fundamentally Strong”
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Cases in Congressional Campaigns: Incumbents Playing Defense
The Results
SOURCE: electiondissection.blogspot.com
The Results
Table 3. Vote Swings in Connecticut’s 4th District, 2004-08
Table 4. Connecticut’s 4th District Split Ticket Voting, 2008