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Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond Nicole M Fortin Vancouver School of Economics University of British Columbia

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Page 1: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Decomposition Methods:

The Case of Mean and Beyond

Nicole M Fortin

Vancouver School of Economics

University of British Columbia

Page 2: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Lecture on Decomposition Methods

Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics”

(joint with Thomas Lemieux and Sergio Firpo) in the recent Handbook of

Labor Economics (Volume 4A, 2011)

Uses the classic work of Oaxaca (1973) and Blinder (1973) for the mean

as its point of departure

Focuses on recent developments (last 15 years) on how to go beyond

the mean

Connection with the treatment effect literature

Procedures specific to the case of decompositions

Provides some examples to motivate the use of decomposition methods

Provides empirical illustrations and discusses applications

Suggests a “user guide” of best practices

Page 3: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Plan for the first part

Introduction

A few motivating examples

Oaxaca decompositions: a refresher

Issues involved when going “beyond the mean”

A formal theory of decompositions

Clarify the question being asked

Decompositions as counterfactual exercises

Formal connection with the treatment effect literature:

Identification: the central role of the ignorability (or

unconfoundedness) assumption

Estimators for the “aggregate” decomposition: propensity score

matching, reweighting, etc.

Page 4: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Introduction: motivating examples

1. Gender wage gap (Oaxaca-Blinder)

Construction of counterfactuals

2. Union wage gap

Link to the treatment effects literature

3. Understanding changes in wage inequality

The case for going beyond the mean

Page 5: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Gender Wage Gap

Oaxaca (1973) was the first study (along with Blinder, 1973) aimed

at understanding the sources of the large gender gap in wage.

Gender gap (difference between male and female average wages)

of 43 percent in the 1967 Survey of Economics Opportunity

Question: how much of the gender gap can be “explained” by male-

female differences in human capital (education and labor market

experience), occupational choices, etc?

The “unexplained” part of the gender gap is often interpreted as representing

labor market discrimination, though other interpretations(unobserved skills) are

possible too

Estimate OLS regressions of (log) wages on

covariates/characteristics/endowments

Use the estimates to construct a counterfactual wage such as

“what would be the average wage of women if they had the same

characteristics as men?”

Glass ceiling effects give a case for of going beyond the case

Page 6: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

•If the proportion of men across ranks was identical to women, the overall

counterfactual average male salary would be: 31/100×152493.4 +

43.9/100×121483.4 + 25.1/100×106805.6 =127426.43, and the overall ratio would

be 120623.1/127426.43 (*100)= 94.66%.

• If the proportion of women across rank was identical to men, the overall

counterfactual average female salary would be: 51.8/100×146047.5 +

30.7/100×114594.9 + 17.6/100×99708.87 =128259.3, and the overall ratio would be

134955.3/128259.3(*100)=95.03%.

•Either way, more than 50% of the gap is accounted for by the gender differences in

the proportion of faculty members across rank.

Table 1. Average Professorial Salaries at UBC in 2010

Gender Rank Numbers % of All

% of women

Average Salary

Female/ Male Ratio

Men All 968 100.0 134955.3 0.89

Women All 419 100.0 30.2 120623.1

Men Full 501 51.8 152493.4 0.96

Women Full 130 31.0 20.6 146047.5

Men Associate 297 30.7 121483.4 0.94

Women Associate 184 43.9 38.3 114594.9

Men Assistant 170 17.6 106805.6 0.93

Women Assistant 105 25.1 38.2 99708.87

Page 7: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Union Wage Gap

Workers covered by collective bargaining agreement (minority of

workers in Canada, the U.S. or U.K.), or “union workers”, earn more

on average than other workers.

One can do a Oaxaca-type decomposition to separate the “true”

union effect from differences in characteristics between union and

nonunion workers. The “unexplained” part of the decomposition is

now the union effect.

Unlike the case of the gender wage gap, we can think of the union

effect as a treatment effect since union status is manipulable (can

in principle be switched on and off for a given worker)

Useful since tools and results from the treatment effect literature can

be used in the context of this decomposition.

Results from the treatment effect can also be used in cases where

the group indicator is not manipulable (e.g. men vs. women)

Classic example of variance decomposition!

Page 8: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Source: Fortin and Lemieux (1997)

Page 9: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Changes in Wage Inequality

Wage/earnings inequality has increased in many countries over the

last 30 years; in the 1990s we saw a polarization of earnings

Decomposition methods have been used to look for explanations for

these changes, such as:

Decline in unions and in the minimum wage

Increase in the rate of return to education

Technological change, international competition, etc.

We need to go “beyond the mean” which is more difficult than

performing a standard Oaxaca decomposition for the mean.

Active area of research over the last 20 years. A number of

procedures are now available, a few examples:

Juhn, Murphy, and Pierce (1993): Imputation method

DiNardo, Fortin, and Lemieux (1996): Reweighting method

Machado and Mata (2005): Quantile regression-based method

Page 10: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

-.2

-.1

0.1

.2

Log

Wag

e D

iffe

ren

tial

0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1Quantile

Observed 1988/90-1976/78

Smoothed

Observed 2000/02-1988/90

Smoothed

Figure 1. Changes in Real ($1979) Log Male Wages by Percentiles –

MORG-CPS

Page 11: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Refresher on Oaxaca decomposition We want to decompose the difference in the mean of an

outcome variable Y between two groups A and B

Groups could also be periods, regions, etc.

Postulate linear model for Y, with conditionally independent

errors (E(υ|X)=0):

The estimated gap

Can be decomposed as

Page 12: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Technical note (algebra)

To get the Oaxaca decomposition start with (in simplified notation,

where subscripted letters stand for means: YA=∑A 1/NA Yi )

ΔO=YB-YA

Now use the regression models to get:

ΔO= XBβB - XAβA

and then add and subtract XBβA :

ΔO = (XBβB - XBβA) + (XBβA - XAβA)

This yields

ΔO = XB(βB - βA) + (XB - XA) βA

= ΔS + ΔX

Page 13: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Some terminology

The lecture focuses on wage decompositions

The “explained” part of the decomposition will be called the

composition effect since it reflects differences in the distribution of

the X’s between the two groups

The “unexplained” part of the decomposition will be called the wage

structure effect as it reflects differences in the β’s, i.e. in the way

the X’s are “priced” (or valued) in the labor market.

Studies sometimes refer to “price” (β’s) and “quantity” (X’s) effects

instead.

In the “aggregate” decomposition, we only divide Δ into its two components ΔS (wage structure effect) and ΔX (composition effect).

In the “detailed” decomposition we also look at the contribution of each individual covariate (or corresponding β)

Page 14: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

A few remarks We focus on this particular decomposition, but we could also change

the reference wage structure

Or add an interaction term:

Does not affect the substance of the argument in most cases.

The “intercept” component of ΔS, βB0- βA0, is the wage structure effect for the base group. Unless the other β’s are the same in group A and B, βB0- βA0 will arbitrarily depend on the base group chosen.

Well known problem, e.g. Oaxaca and Ransom (1999).

Page 16: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Here is an example of how this works for a standard male-female

decomposition (Table 3 in our Handbook chapter from O’Neill

and O’Neill (2006) using data from the NLSY79 in 2000)

*** Table 3, Column 1;

oaxaca lropc00 age00 msa ctrlcity north_central south00 west

hispanic black sch_10 diploma_hs ged_hs smcol bachelor_col

master_col doctor_col afqtp89 famrspb wkswk_18

yrsmil78_00 pcntpt_22 manuf eduheal othind,

by(female) weight(1)

/*weight(1) uses the group 1 coefficients as the reference

coefficients, and weight(0) uses the group 2 coefficients */

detail(groupdem:age00 msa ctrlcity north_central south00

west hispanic black,

groupaf:afqtp89,

grouped:sch_10 diploma_hs ged_hs smcol bachelor_col

master_col doctor_col ,

groupfam:famrspb,

groupex:wkswk_18 yrsmil78_00 pcntpt_22 ,

groupind: manuf eduheal othind) ;

Here the base group is white, sch10-12, primary sector,

Page 17: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition Number of obs = 5309

1: female = 0

2: female = 1

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

lropc00 | Coef. Std. Err. z P>|z| [95% Conf. Interval]

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

Differential |

Prediction_1 | 2.762557 .0106598 259.16 0.000 2.741664 2.78345

Prediction_2 | 2.529257 .0100367 252.00 0.000 2.509585 2.548928

Difference | .2333003 .0146413 15.93 0.000 .2046039 .2619967

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

Explained |

groupdem | .0115371 .0032919 3.50 0.000 .0050851 .0179891

grouped | -.0124049 .0055175 -2.25 0.025 -.023219 -.0015907

groupaf | .0108035 .0034414 3.14 0.002 .0040584 .0175486

groupfam | .0328186 .0106373 3.09 0.002 .0119698 .0536674

groupex | .137095 .0112599 12.18 0.000 .1150259 .159164

groupind | .0174583 .0061707 2.83 0.005 .005364 .0295526

Total | .1973076 .0180079 10.96 0.000 .1620128 .2326024

-------------+----------------------------------------------------------------

Unexplained |

groupdem | -.0978872 .2338861 -0.42 0.676 -.5562956 .3605212

grouped | .0454348 .0344576 1.32 0.187 -.0221009 .1129705

groupaf | .0026284 .023485 0.11 0.911 -.0434014 .0486582

groupfam | .0025869 .0174562 0.15 0.882 -.0316266 .0368005

groupex | .0475104 .0616535 0.77 0.441 -.0733281 .168349

groupind | -.0920156 .03294 -2.79 0.005 -.1565769 -.0274543

_cons | .1277349 .2127739 0.60 0.548 -.2892944 .5447641

Total | .0359927 .0185897 1.94 0.053 -.0004425 .0724279

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Page 18: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint
Page 19: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Problems when going beyond the mean

The case of the mean is simple because we can use the law of

conditional expectations, and then plug-in sample estimates

Page 20: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

In non-linear models, things are also

more complicated

Page 21: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Problems when going beyond the mean

Things get more complicated in cases such as the variance

Using the analysis of variance formula, we can write the

unconditional variance as

So that the decomposition, where ,

has to include interactions terms between the covariates,

And could become even more complicated for more general

distributional statistics such as quantiles, the Gini coefficient, etc.

Page 22: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Back to identification: what can we

estimate using decompositions? Computing a Oaxaca decomposition is easy enough

Run OLS and compute mean values of X for each of the two groups

In Stata, “oaxaca.ado” does that automatically and also yields standard

errors that reflect the fact both the β’s and the mean values of the X’s

are being estimated.

But practitioners often wonder what we are really estimating for the

following reasons (to list a few):

What if some the X variables (e.g. years of education) are endogenous?

What if there is some selection between (e.g. choice of being unionized or not) or

within (participation rates for men and women) the two groups under

consideration?

What about general equilibrium effects? For example if we increase the level of

human capital (say experience) of women to the level of men, this may depress

the return to experience and invalidate the decomposition

Key question: Can we construct a valid counterfactual?

Page 23: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Recall that decompositions are based on

counterfactuals Recall that we can write:

ΔO=YB-YA=(YB-YC) + (YC-YA),

where YC is the counterfactual wage members of group B (say

women) would earn if they were paid like men (group A). Under the

linearity assumption (of the regression model), we get:

YA= XAβA, YB= XBβB, and YC= XBβA.

We then obtain the Oaxaca decomposition as follows:

ΔO = (XBβB - XBβA) + (XBβA - XAβA)

= XB(βB - βA) + βA(XB - XA)

= ΔS + ΔX

So with an estimate of the counterfactual YC one can compute the

decomposition. This is a general point that holds for all

decompositions, and not only for the mean

Page 24: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Counterfactual and treatment effects Generally speaking, one can think of treatment effects as the

difference between how people are actually paid, and how they

would be paid under a different “treatment”.

Take the case of unions.

YA : Average wage of non-union workers

YB : Average wage of union workers

YC : Counterfactual wage union members would earn if the were not

unionized

ΔS = YB-YC = “union effect” on union workers is an average treatment

effect on the treated (ATET)

This means that the identification/estimation issue involved in the

case of decomposition/counterfactual are the same as in the case of

treatment effects.

This is very useful since we can then use results from the treatment

effect literature.

Page 25: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

The wage structure effect (ΔS) can be

interpreted as a treatment effect

The conditional independence assumption (E(ε|X)=0) usually invoked in Oaxaca decompositions can be replaced by the weaker ignorability assumption (Dg ╨ ε|X) to compute the aggregate decomposition

For example, ability (ε) can be correlated with education (X) as long as the correlation is the same in groups A and B.

This is the standard assumption used in “selection on observables” models where matching methods are typically used to estimate the treatment effect.

Main result: If we have YG=mG(X, ε) and ignorability, then:

ΔS solely reflects changes in the m(.) functions (ATET)

ΔX solely reflects changes in the distribution of X and ε (ignorability key for this last result).

Page 26: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

The wage structure effect (ΔS) can be

interpreted as a treatment effect A number of estimators for ATET= ΔS have been proposed in the

treatment effect literature

Inverse probability weighting (IPW), matching, etc.

Formal results exist, e.g. IPW is efficient for

ATET (Hirano, Imbens, and Ridder, 2003)

Quantile treatment effects (Firpo, 2007)

This has been widely used in the decomposition literature since

DiNardo, Fortin, and Lemieux (1996).

Page 27: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Formal derivation of the identification

result (Handbook chapter)

Page 28: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Formal derivation (2)

Page 29: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Formal derivation (3)

Page 30: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Some intuition about Proposition 1

The wage setting model we use, Yg =mg (X,ε) is very general

Includes the linear model yg = xβg + ε as a special case

There are three reasons why wages can be different between

groups g=A and g=B:

Differences in the wage setting equations ma (.) and mb (.)

Differences in the distribution of X for the two groups

Differences in the distribution of ε for the two groups

The ignorability assumption states that the distribution of ε given X is

the same for the two groups, though this does not mean that

E(ε|X)=0.

So once we control for differences between the X’s in the two

groups, we also implicitly control for differences in the ε’s.

Only source of difference left is, thus, differences in the wage

structures ma (.) and mb (.).

Page 31: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

A few caveats discussed in the chapter

This general result (Proposition 1) only works for the aggregate

decomposition. More assumptions have to be imposed to get at the

detailed decomposition.

We are implicitly ruling out general equilibrium effects under

assumption (simple counterfactual treatment).

For instance, in the absence of unions, wages in the nonunion

sector may change as firms are no longer confronted with the threat

of unionization

The wage structure observed among nonunion workers, ma (.), is no

longer a valid counterfactual for union workers.

This is closely related to the difference between union wage gap (no

general equilibrium effects) and union wage gain (possible general

equilibrium effects) discussed by H. Gregg Lewis decades ago

Page 32: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Plan for the second part: Going beyond the mean

Examples of distributional questions

Quantile regressions: analogy with standard regressions

doesn’t work

Constructing counterfactual distributions

Aggregate decomposition: reweighting procedure

Detailed decomposition:

Conditional reweighting

Quantile regression based decomposition (Machado-Mata)

Distributional regressions (Chernozhukov et al.)

RIF-regression (Firpo, Fortin, and Lemieux)

Empirical application and implementation in Stata

Page 33: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Example of distributional questions

Glass ceiling: Is the gender gap larger in the upper part of the

distribution (e.g. Albrecht and Vroman, 2004)?

What explains the growth in earnings inequality in the United States

(large literature) and other countries?

Changes over time in the world distribution of income (twin peaks,

etc.)

Changes or differences in the distribution of firm size.

A popular way to address these issues has been to look log wage

differentials at different percentiles

Page 34: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

0.1

.2.3

.4

Dif

fere

nti

al i

n L

og T

ota

l C

om

pen

sati

on

0 .2 .4 .6 .8 1Quantile

Raw Gap

Mean Gap

Gender glass ceiling effect in executive

compensation (ExecuComp data)

Page 35: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

The analogy with quantile regressions

does not work Tempting to run quantile regressions (say for the median) and

perform a decomposition as in the case of the mean (Oaxaca)

Does not work because there are two interpretations to β for the mean

Conditional mean: E(Y|X) = Xβ

Uncond. mean (LIE): E(Y) = EX(E(Y|X)) = EX(X)β

But the LIE does not work for quantiles

Conditional quantile: Qτ(Y|X) = Xβτ

Uncond. quantile: Qτ ≠ EX(Qτ(Y|X)) = EX(X)βτ

Only the first interpretation works for βτ, which is not useful for decomposing unconditional quantiles (unless one estimates quantiles regressions for all quantiles as in Machado-Mata)

Page 36: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Constructing counterfactual distributions

We can construct the counterfactual distribution as follows:

Or in simpler notation:

The idea is to integrate group A’s conditional distribution of Y given

X over group B’s distribution of X

Page 37: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Constructing counterfactual distributions

There are two general ways of estimating the counterfactual

distribution

First approach is to start with group B and replace the conditional

distribution FYB|XB(y|X) with FYA|XA

(y|X)

This requires estimating the whole conditional distribution.

Machado and Mata (2005) do so by estimating quantile

regressions for all quantiles, and inverting back

Second approach is the opposite. Start with group A but replace the

distribution of X for group A (FXA(X)) by the distribution of X for group

B (FXB(X)).

This is simpler since this only depends on X, while the conditional

distribution depends on both X and Y.

Even better, all we need to do is to compute a reweighting factor

Page 38: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Constructing counterfactual distributions

This is the approach suggested by DiNardo, Fortin and Lemieux

(1996)

The reweighting factor can be estimated using a simple logit (or

probit) model since after some manipulations we get

To estimate Prob(DB=1|X), pool the two groups and estimate a logit

for the probability of belonging to group B as a function of X

Page 39: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

•The reweighting procedure is identical the weights substitution done earlier

•The average wage of women can be written as

31/100×146047.5 + 43.9/100×114594.9 + 25.1/100×99708.87 =120623.1

The reweighting formula would be:

31*(51.8/31)/100×146047.5 + 43.9*(30.7/43.9)/100×114594.9 +

25.1*(17.6/25.1)/100×99708.87 =128259.3

which gives use overall counterfactual average female salary, if the proportion of

women across rank was identical to men:

51.8/100×146047.5 + 30.7/100×114594.9 + 17.6/100×99708.87 =128259.3

Table 1. Average Professorial Salaries at UBC in 2010

Gender Rank Numbers % of All

% of women

Average Salary

Female/ Male Ratio

Men All 968 100.0 134955.3 0.89

Women All 419 100.0 30.2 120623.1

Men Full 501 51.8 152493.4 0.96

Women Full 130 31.0 20.6 146047.5

Men Associate 297 30.7 121483.4 0.94

Women Associate 184 43.9 38.3 114594.9

Men Assistant 170 17.6 106805.6 0.93

Women Assistant 105 25.1 38.2 99708.87

Page 40: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Reweighting in DFL for change in unionization rate

where group A is 1988 and group B is 1979

Page 41: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Reweighting in DFL for all X’s:

Page 42: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Reweighting procedure

Page 43: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Reweighting procedure:

a few lines of code *include a lot of non-linear interactions;

local edvar "sch_10 diploma_hs ged_hs smcol bachelor_col master_col

doctor_col";

foreach kv of local edvar {;

gen `kv'afqt=`kv‘*afqtp89; gen `kv'exp=`kv'*wkswk_18;

}; gen expafqt=afqtp89*wkswk_18; gen expsq=wkswk_18^2;

gen yrsmilsq=yrsmil78_00^2;

***probit for male;

probit male age00 msa ctrlcity north_central south00 west hispanic black

schl00 sch_10* diploma_hs* ged_hs* smcol* bachelor_col* master_col*

doctor_col* afqtp89 expafqt wkswk_18 expsq yrsmil78_00 yrsmilsq

pcntpt_22 manuf eduheal othind if female==0 | female==1 ;

predict pmale, p;

*/ top code weights if necessary */

summ pmale if male~=1, detail;

replace pmale=0.99 if pmale>0.99 & male~=1;

gen phix=(pmale)/(1-pmale)*((1-pbar)/pbar) if female==2;

Page 44: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Reweighting procedure

Very easy to use regardless of the distribution statistics being

considered (variance, Gini coefficient, inter-quartile range, etc.)

Just compute the statistic for group A, group B, and group A

reweighted to have the distribution of X of group B.

Example: in the case of the Gini coefficient, this yields estimates of

GiniA, GiniB, and GiniAC

We can then estimate the composition effect as:

ΔX = GiniAC - GiniA

And the wage structure effect as

ΔS = GiniB – GiniAC

Standard errors can be computed using a bootstrap procedure

(bootstrap the whole procedure starting with the logit or probit)

Page 45: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Going beyond the mean is a “solved”

problem for the aggregate decomposition Can directly apply non-parametric methods (reweighting, matching,

etc.) from the treatment effect literature.

Ignorability is crucial, but mG(X, ε) does not need to be linear

Inference by bootstrap or analytical standard errors in the case of reweighting (“generated regressor” correction required)

Reweighting very easy to use with large and well behaved (no support problem) data sets.

Occasionally top-coding weight may be needed

Good idea to check the fit!

Page 46: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Densities of male, female wages and female

reweighted as male (NLSY79)

In this small sample, reweighting is not so successful!

Page 47: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Going beyond the mean is more difficult

for the detailed decomposition Until recently, there were only a few partial (and not always fully

satisfactory) ways of performing a detailed decomposition for general distributional measures (quantiles in particular):

DFL conditional reweighting for the components of ΔX linked to dummy covariates (e.g. unions)

Machado-Mata quantile regressions for components of ΔS.

Sequential DFL-type reweighting (Altonji, Bharadwaj, and Lange, 2008) and adding one covariate at a time. Sensitive to order used as in a simple regression.

Can use Gelbach (2009) last-in type of approach, but may not add up.

A more promising approach is to estimate for proportions, and invert back to quantiles.

RIF-regressions of Firpo, Fortin and Lemieux (2009) is one easier possible way of doing so

Page 48: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Decomposing proportions is easier than

decomposing quantiles Easy to do a decomposition by running LP models for the

probability of earning less (or more) than say $17/hrs, and compute a Oaxaca counterfactual on the proportions:

We may find 50% of men earn more than $17/hrs, while only 35% of women do, but if women “were paid as men”, perhaps 45% of women would earn more than $17/hrs

By contrast, much less obvious how to decompose the difference between the 50th quantile for men ($17/hrs) and women (say $14/hrs)

But the function linking proportions and quantiles is the cumulative distribution.

Counterfactual proportions → Counterfactual cumulative → Counterfactual quantiles

Can be illustrated graphically

Page 49: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Figure 1: Relationship Between Proportions and Quantiles

0

1

0 4

Y (quantiles)

Pro

po

rtio

n (

cu

mu

l. p

rob

. (F

(Y))

Men (A)

Women (B)

Q.5

.5

.1

Q.9Q.1

.9

Counterfactual

proportions computed

using LP model

Page 50: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Figure 3: Inverting Globally

0

1

0 4

Y (quantiles)

Pro

po

rtio

n (

cu

mu

l. P

rob

. (F

(Y))

Men (A)

Women (B)

Q.5

.5

.1

Q.9Q.1

.9

Counterfactual

proportions computed

using LP model

Page 51: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Figure 2: RIF Regressions: Inverting Locally

0

1

0 4

Y (quantiles)

Pro

po

rtio

n (

cu

mu

l. p

rob

. (F

(Y))

Q.5

.5

Counterfactual

quantile (median)

.1

Q.9Q.1

.9

Counterfactual

proportion

Slope of the

cumulative

(density)

Page 52: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Decomposing proportions is easier than

decomposing quantiles Firpo, Fortin, and Lemieux (2009)

Estimate Recentered Influence Function (RIF) regressions

For the τ-th quantile of the distribution, qτ , we have :

RIF(y;)= qτ + IF(Y; qτ) = qτ + I [τ –1(Y≤ qτ) ]/f(qτ)

Run LP models (or logit/probit) for being below a given quantiles, and divide by density (slope of cumulative) to locally invert.

Dependent variable is dummy 1(Y<Qτ) divided by density → influence function for the quantile.

RIF approach works for other distributional measures (Gini, variance, etc.)

Chernozhukov, Fernandez-Val and Melly (CFVM) (2009)

Estimate “distributional regressions” (LP, logit or probit) for each value of Y (say at each percentile)

Invert back globally to recover counterfactual quantiles

Page 53: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Computing the RIF: a few lines of code

forvalues qt = 10(40)90 {; gen rif_`qt'=.; };

*get the quantile and the kernel density estimates

pctile eval1=lropc00 if female==1 , nq(100) ;

kdensity lropc00 if female==1, at(eval1) gen(evalf densf);

forvalues qt = 10(40)90 { ;

local qc = `qt'/100.0;

*compute qτ+[τ –1(Y≤ qτ) ]/f(qτ)

replace rif_`qt'=evalf[`qt']+`qc'/densf[`qt'] if

lropc00>=evalf[`qt'] & female==1;

replace rif_`qt'=evalf[`qt']-(1-`qc')/densf[`qt'] if

lropc00<evalf[`qt']& female==1;

};

Page 54: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Application to change in wage inequality

in the United States

Wage dispersion measured using “90-10” gap (difference between

90th and 10th percentile of log wage), Gini, etc…

Table 5: aggregate decomposition comparing DFL, CFVM, and RIF-

regressions

Table 6: detailed decomposition using RIF and FFL:DFL+RIF

Page 55: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Aggregate Decomposition

Page 56: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

FFL Methodology: RIF-regressions+ Reweighting

Because ν(F) = EX [E[RIF(y; ν) |X = x]] = E[X|T = t] γν , by analogy with the Oaxaca decomposition, we can write

ΔνO = E [X|T = 1](γν1- γ

ν0)+ (E [X|T = 1] -E [X|T = 0]) γν0

If we are concerned that the linearity assumption may not hold, we can use the reweighted sample

ΔνO,R = E [X|T = 1](γν1- γ

ν01) + (E [X|T =1]- E [X0|T = 1]) γν01

ΔνS,P Δ

νS,e

+ (E [X0|T = 1] -E [X|T = 0]) γν0 + E [X0|T = 1](γν01 - γ ν0)

ΔνX ,P Δ

νX,e

It is like running two Oaxaca-Blinder decompositions on RIF(y; ν) OB1) with sample 1 and sample 01 to get the pure wage structure

effect ΔνS,P ,

OB2) with sample 0 and sample 01 to get the pure composition effect Δν

X ,P.

Page 57: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

FFL Methodology: RIF-regressions+ Reweighting

The wage structure effect: ΔνS,R = E [X|T = 1](γν1- γ

ν01) + Δν

S,e

where γν01 are the period 1 coefficients estimated in sample 0 reweighted to look like period 1,

The reweighting error ΔνS,e =(E [X|T =1]- E [X0|T = 1]) γν01

goes to zero in a large sample, where E [X0|T = 1] is the mean of the reweighted sample. Nice way to check reweighting spec!

The composition effect: ΔνX ,R = (E [X0|T = 1] -E [X|T = 0]) γν0+ Δν

X,e

where γν01 are the period 1 coefficients estimated in sample 0 reweighted to look like period 1.

The specification error ΔνX,e =E [X0|T = 1](γν01 - γ ν0)

corresponds to the difference in the composition effects estimated by reweighting and RIF regressions, where E [X0|T = 1] is the mean of the reweighted sample.

Page 58: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Detailed Decomposition

Page 59: Decomposition Methods: The Case of Mean and Beyond · 2015. 5. 6. · Lecture on Decomposition Methods Relies heavily on the chapter “Decomposition Methods in Economics” (joint

Detailed Decomposition

Standard errors are obtained by bootstrapping the entire procedure,

typical of models involving quantiles, i.e. dependent variable is an

estimated variable

Example of bootstrapping procedures, as well as all programs and

data for Handbook chapter are downloadable at

http://faculty.arts.ubc.ca/nfortin/datahead.html

The “rifreg.ado” routine, that include RIF for variance and Gini, is

also available there