deciphering the cib banyuls 09/10/2012 resolving the cib: ii) statistical properties of sources...

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Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT OF VIEW Matthieu Béthermin CEA Saclay

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Page 1: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

Deciphering the CIB

Banyuls

09/10/2012

RESOLVING THE CIB:II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT OF

VIEW

Matthieu BétherminCEA Saclay

Page 2: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

WHAT MAKES THE CIB?

Origins of the infrared output of the galaxies (e.g. star formation vs accretion, which star formation mode?)---> physics of galaxies

Global evolution of the statistical properties of the infrared galaxies---> cosmology

Page 3: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

SUMMARY

Observational point of view

Modeling point of view

Properties of resolved sources

Origin of the CIB SED

What information can you extract from the number counts

Principle of backward evolution models

Properties of the sources responsible for CIB as predicted by empirical models

Page 4: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

OBSERVATIONAL POINT OF VIEW

Page 5: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

REDSHIFT DISTRIBUTION OF RESOLVED SOURCES

Redshift distribution of resolved 24 microns sources in COSMOS (Le Floc’h+09)

Page 6: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

REDSHIFT DISTRIBUTION OF RESOLVED SOURCES

Redshift distrbution of the sources detected by PACS at 100 (top) and 160 (bottom) microns (Berta+11)

Redshift distrbution of the sources detected by SPIRE at 250 (blue), 350 (green) and 500 (red) microns (Béthermin+12b)

Page 7: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

BUILD-UP OF THE CIB AT 24 MICRONS

Contribution of the various redshift to the 24 microns counts (Le Floc’h+09)

CIB build-up as a function of redshift at 24 microns(Le Floc’h+09)

Page 8: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

REDSHIFT DISTRIBUTION OF THE CIB (LOWER LIMITS)

Left: redshift distribution of the CIB from 24 microns and lower limits from Spitzer stacking and PACS (Jauzac+11). Right: lower limits from SPIRE stacking (Béthermin+12b).

Page 9: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

COUNTS PER Z SLICE BY STACKING AND CIB BUILD-UP IN THE SUB-MM DOMAIN

Resolved SPIRE number counts (Béthermin+12b)

Page 10: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

COUNTING SOURCES BELOW THE CONFUSION LIMIT BY STACKING ANALYSIS

Measured color per S24 and z slices. The scatter is estimated with a bootstrap

method:

From the mean color and scatter (assumed to be log-normal), we convert the 24 microns flux into SPIRE flux. Several realizations are used to estimate the uncertainties.

Correction of completeness taking into account the flux cut at 24 microns.

Incompleteness due to the 24 microns flux cut cut for different scatter (Béthermin+12b).

Page 11: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

COUNTS PER Z SLICE BY STACKING AND CIB BUILD-UP IN THE SUB-MM DOMAIN

Number counts built by stacking (Béthermin+12b)

Cumulative contribution to the CIB as a function of the flux cut (Béthermin+12b)

Page 12: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

COUNTS PER Z SLICE BY STACKING AND CIB BUILD-UP IN THE SUB-MM DOMAIN

Number counts per redshift slice built by stacking (Béthermin+12b)

CIB build-up from counts per redshift slice(Béthermin+12b)

Page 13: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

SPECTRAL ENERGY DISTRIBUTION OF THE CIB

Empirical spectral energy distribution of the CIB (Béthermin+12b)

Page 14: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

MODELING POINT OF VIEW

Page 15: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

WHAT CAN WE LEARN FROM NUMBER COUNTS?The case of the bright-end where Euclidian approximation is valid

The volume where you can detectA source with a luminosity densityLnu is

The number of sources per luminosity density bin and brighter than a flux cut Snu is thus:

So, the total number of sources brighter tha Snu in the sky is

If you prefer differential number counts, just compute the derivative:

Page 16: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

WHAT CAN WE LEARN FROM NUMBER COUNTS?

The case of the bright-end (Euclidian part)

Euclidian level of the bright counts as a function of wavelength/frequency (Planck collaboration 2012)

Page 17: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

WHAT CAN WE LEARN FROM NUMBER COUNTS?

Counts at 160 and 500 microns for various evolutions

Number counts at 160 et 500 microns in various cases

ΛCDM, without evolution, realistic spectraΛCDM, with evolution, flat spectrum Evolution of luminosity in (1+z)^2.5

Evolution of luminosity in (1+z)^3.5

Complex evolution in luminosity and density

Euclidian without evolution

Page 18: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

MODELING THE EVOLUTION OF INFRARED GALAXIES

Start from our local knowledge on the IR galaxies (Luminosity Function, SEDs...)

Use an evolution of the luminosity function to reproduce the observations (and sometimes an evolution of the luminosity-temperature relation with z)

Reproduce nicely the observations. BUT, give not physical

interpretation.

Based on halo model evolving from primordial fluctuations

Use semi-analytical recipes to describe how the galaxies formed in the dark halos.

Need Top-Heavy IMF to reproduce the sub-mm observations.

Give a physical interpretation of the galaxy evolution.

2 approaches:

Backwards evolution: Semi-analytical:

Page 19: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

PRINCIPLE OF THE BACKWARD EVOLUTION MODELS

Evolution of the luminosity function used by the model of Franceschini+10

Type I AGNType II AGNStarburstsSpiral

Page 20: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

PRINCIPLE OF THE BACKWARD EVOLUTION MODELS

SED templates used in the model of Franceschini+10

Type I AGNType II AGNStarburstsSpiral

Page 21: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

MANY PRE-HERSCHEL EMPIRICAL MODELS

Model name Number of populations

Presence of AGN

Strongly lensed galaxies

Scatter in L-T relation Fitting method

Lagache et al. (2003,2004) 2 No No No Tuned

manually

Negrello et al. (2007) 3 No Yes No Tuned

manually

Le Borgne et al. (2009) 1 No No No

Non-parametric inversion of the counts

Valiante et al. (2009)

Large library based on observed SEDs

Yes No Yes Tuned manually

Franceschini et al. (2010) 4 Yes No No Tuned

manually

Page 22: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

… WHICH FAIL TO REPODUCE THE SOME NEW OBSERVATIONS

Number counts at 500 microns (Oliver et al. 2010)

=> No model reproduce the counts at both Herschel wavelengths.

Page 23: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

A NEW GENERATION OF MCMC MODELS (BETHERMIN+11, MARSDEN+11)

Building a «as simple as possible» model which reproduce the new infrared observations → no AGN (low contribution), simple parametrization of IR galaxy evolution.

MCMC minimisation to obtain the better parameters (for a given parametrization) and study the degeneracies.

Page 24: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

THE LUMINOSITY FUNCTION

Infrared bolometric infrared luminosity function used by the model (Béthermin+11).

The transition between normal and starburst templates is driven by

We use the following parametrization of the IR LF:

Page 25: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

EVOLUTION OF THE LUMINOSITY FUNCTION

Evolution in density and in luminosity in:

rL and rphi can change at 2 specific redshift zbreak1 (free parameter) and zbreak2 (fixed at z=2).

We use the Lagache+04 templates to compute the flux observed by the different instruements.

Evolution in density

Evolution in luminosity

Page 26: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

THE LAGACHE ET AL. INFRARED GALAXY TEMPLATES

2 populations: normal and starbursts.

The normal templates do not evolve with LIR.

The starburst tempapltes evolves with LIR.

Spectral energy distribution of starburst galaxy templates for different infrared luminosity.

Page 27: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

INGREDIENT OF THE MODEL

Cosmological context SED libraries Local luminosity function (LF) Evolution of the LF Observables to fit

13 free parameters

Page 28: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

MCMC FIT OF THE OBSERVED COUNTS AND LFS

Extragalactic number counts at 250, 350 and 500 microns (Béthermin+11)

Chi2 = 177 for 113 degrees of freedom

We fit number counts at 24, 70, 160, 250, 350, 500 and 1100 microns +LFs+FIRAS CIB

This fit is performed with a MCMC algorithm.

Page 29: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

RÉSULTAT: AJUSTEMENT DES COMPTAGES

Comptages extragalactique à 24, 160, 350, et 1100 microns (adapté de Béthermin et al. 2011)

χ2 = 177 pour 113 degrés de liberté

Confidence region of the various parameters of the model(Béthermin+11)

Evolution in density and luminosity at intermediate redshift

α

α

σ

σ

L*

L*

Φ*

Φ*

rL,lz

rΦ,lz

rL,lz

rL,lz

rL,mz

rL,hz

rL,hz

rL,mz

rΦ,mz

rΦ,hz

rΦ,hz

rΦ,mz

rΦ,lz

zb,1

zb,1

Lpop

σpop

σpopLpop

Ajustement des comptages à 24, 70, 160, 250, 350, 500, et 1100 microns + qq LFs+ CIB FIRAS

Ajustement réalisé par méthode MCMC.

1, 2 et 3 sigma

rΦ,lz

rΦ,mz

rL,mz

4 5 6

-5

-6

-7

-8

Page 30: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

EVOLUTION OF THE CHARACTERISTIC LUMINOSITY AND DENSITY

Evolution of the characteristic densities and luminosities (Béthermin+11)

Page 31: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

EVOLUTION OF THE STAR FORMATION RATE

Evolution of the infrared luminosity density (and the star formation rate) and contribution of the different luminoisty classes (Béthermin+11)

Strong increase of the infrared output from z=0 to z=1.

z<0.5: dominated by normal galaxies.

0.5<z<1.5: dominated by LIRGs

z>1.5: dominated by ULIRG.

Page 32: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

COMPARISON WITH MARSDEN+11 MODEL

Evolution in density and luminosity of the IR LF (Marsden+11)

Evolution of the star formation rate density as a function of redshift (Marsden+11)

Page 33: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

LINKS BETWEEN NUMBER COUNTS, CIB INTENSITY AND SMALL SCALE FLUCTUATIONS

The intensity of the background can be computed with:

The level of the Poisson fluctuation (in Jy^2/sr or an equivalent unit) can computed from:

The Poisson level of the cross-power-spectrum between a band A and B is:

Page 34: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

LINKS BETWEEN NUMBER COUNTS, CIB INTENSITY AND SMALL SCALE FLUCTUATIONS

The intensity of the background can be computed with:

The level of the Poisson fluctuation (in Jy^2/sr or an equivalent unit) can computed from:

The Poisson level of the cross-power-spectrum between a band A and B is:

Page 35: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

ORIGINS OF THE CIB

SED of the CIB and contribution per redshift slice (up) and luminosity slice (down) (Béthermin+11)

Page 36: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

POISSON LEVEL OF THE FLUCTUATIONS: OBSERVATIONS VERSUS MODELS

Level of Poisson fluctuations of the CIB as a function of the flux cut (Viero+12)

Page 37: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

COMPUTE EMISSIVITIES FOR MODELS OF CIB ANISOTROPIES

Emissivity of IR galaxies as a function of redshift at various wavelength predicted from Béthermin+11 model (Pénin+12a)

Page 38: Deciphering the CIB Banyuls 09/10/2012 RESOLVING THE CIB: II) STATISTICAL PROPERTIES OF SOURCES RESPONSIBLE FOR CIB FROM OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELING POINT

CONCLUSION

• There are more and more constraints on the redshift distribution of the source responsible for the CIB. These constraints come from resolved sources below 160 microns and stacking at larger wavelength.

• The number counts also provide strong constraints on the evolution of the IR galaxies. The various possible evolution can be explore through MCMC analyses.

• The results shows that high redshift CIB is dominated by ULIRGs. The mean redshift of the CIB increase with wavelength.