december 2012 portland oregon real estate statistics rmls market action report

7
A Publication of RMLS , The Source for Real Estate Statistics in Your Community © Copyright RMLS™ 2012. All Rights Reserved. Residential Review: Metro Portland, Oregon December 2012 Reporting Period December Highlights The Portland real estate market ended a remarkable year with mixed results in December. Closed sales at 1,760 were higher than the previous December’s 1,612 by 9.2%, while pending sales were 4.1% under the 1,443 accepted offers in the same month of the prior year. New listings dried up, with only 1,286 entered, 24.4% under the 1,700 published in December 2011. The active inventory dropped to a new low of 6,352 homes on the market, resulting in the lowest inventory in months this year at 3.6. Both the median and average sale prices showed double digit improvement, with the median rising 14.5% December to December, and the average rising 11.3%. 2012 Summary There were 32,300 new listings, 24,010 accepted oers, and 23,438 closed sales in 2012. Compared to the same period last year, new listings are down by 5.2% from the 2011 listing count of 34,084. Pending sales are up 16.2% from 20,670 last year. Closed sales are up 19.1% from 19,682. Prices are higher. The average sale price in 2012 was $275,000, 4.4% higher than the average price of $263,300 in 2011, while the 2012 median sale price of $235,000 was 6.3% higher than the 2011 median of $221,000. Total market time dropped 21.5% from 143 days last year to 112 days in 2012. The average price increase and the improved number of sales has resulted in a healthy increase in the total dollar volume of sales, which rose to $6.45 billion in 2012 from $5.2 billion in 2011 and $5.3 billion in 2010. New Listings Pending Sales Closed Sales Average Sale Price Median Sale Price Total Market Time December 1,286 1,384 1,760 290,200 247,900 111 November 1,675 1,730 1,733 279,400 241,000 101 Year-to-date 32,300 24,010 23,438 275,000 235,000 112 December 1,700 1,443 1,612 260,800 216,600 142 Year-to-date 34,084 20,670 19,682 263,300 221,000 143 December -24.4% -4.1% 9.2% 11.3% 14.5% -21.4% Prev Mo 2012 -23.2% -20.0% 1.6% 3.9% 2.9% 9.9% Year-to-date -5.2% 16.2% 19.1% 4.4% 6.3% -21.5% 2012 2011 Change Portland Metro Residential Highlights *Inventory in Months is calculated by dividing the Active Listings at the end of the month in question by the number of closed sales for that month. This includes proposed and under construction homes. Inventory in Months* 2010 2011 2012 January 12.6 11.3 7.0 February 12.9 10.9 6.5 March 7.8 7.1 5.0 April 7.3 7.2 4.7 May 7.0 6.8 4.2 June 7.3 6.0 3.9 July 10.8 7.0 4.6 August 11.0 6.2 3.9 September 10.5 6.7 4.6 October 10.7 6.8 3.8 November 10.2 6.2 4.2 December 7.9 5.3 3.6 Percent Change of 12-Month Sale Price Compared With The Previous 12 Months Average Sale Price % Change: +4.4% ($275,000 v. $263,300) Median Sale Price % Change: +6.3% ($235,000 v. $221,000) For further explanation of this measure, see the second footnote on page 2.

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December 2012 Portland Oregon Real Estate Statistics RMLS Market Action Report. Residential real estate trends show 3.6 months inventory in the slowest part of the year. New listings are down and buyers are having difficult time finding good homes.

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Page 1: December 2012 Portland Oregon Real Estate Statistics RMLS Market Action Report

A Publication of RMLS™, The Source for Real Estate Statistics in Your Community

© Copyright RMLS™ 2012. All Rights Reserved.

Residential Review: Metro Portland, Oregon December 2012 Reporting Period

December HighlightsThe Portland real estate market

ended a remarkable year with mixed results in December. Closed sales at 1,760 were higher than the previous December’s 1,612 by 9.2%, while pending sales were 4.1% under the 1,443 accepted offers in the same month of the prior year. New listings dried up, with only 1,286 entered, 24.4% under the 1,700 published in December 2011. The active inventory dropped to a new low of 6,352 homes on the market, resulting in the lowest inventory in months this year at 3.6.

Both the median and average sale prices showed double digit improvement, with the median rising 14.5% December to December, and the average rising 11.3%. 2012 Summary

There were 32,300 new listings, 24,010 accepted off ers, and 23,438

closed sales in 2012. Compared to the same period last year, new listings are down by 5.2% from the 2011 listing count of 34,084. Pending sales are up 16.2% from 20,670 last year. Closed sales are up 19.1% from 19,682.

Prices are higher. The average sale price in 2012 was $275,000, 4.4% higher than the average price of $263,300 in 2011, while the 2012 median sale price of $235,000 was 6.3% higher than the 2011 median of $221,000.

Total market time dropped 21.5% from 143 days last year to 112 days in 2012.

The average price increase and the improved number of sales has resulted in a healthy increase in the total dollar volume of sales, which rose to $6.45 billion in 2012 from $5.2 billion in 2011 and $5.3 billion in 2010.

New Listings

Pending Sales

ClosedSales

AverageSale Price

MedianSale Price

Total Market

Time

December 1,286 1,384 1,760 290,200 247,900 111

November 1,675 1,730 1,733 279,400 241,000 101

Year-to-date 32,300 24,010 23,438 275,000 235,000 112

December 1,700 1,443 1,612 260,800 216,600 142

Year-to-date 34,084 20,670 19,682 263,300 221,000 143

December -24.4% -4.1% 9.2% 11.3% 14.5% -21.4%

Prev Mo 2012 -23.2% -20.0% 1.6% 3.9% 2.9% 9.9%

Year-to-date -5.2% 16.2% 19.1% 4.4% 6.3% -21.5%

2012

2011

Chan

ge

Portland Metro Residential Highlights

*Inventory in Months is calculated by dividing the Active Listings at the end of the month in question by the number of closed sales for that month. This includes proposed and under construction homes.

Inventory in Months*2010 2011 2012

January 12.6 11.3 7.0February 12.9 10.9 6.5March 7.8 7.1 5.0April 7.3 7.2 4.7May 7.0 6.8 4.2June 7.3 6.0 3.9July 10.8 7.0 4.6August 11.0 6.2 3.9September 10.5 6.7 4.6October 10.7 6.8 3.8November 10.2 6.2 4.2December 7.9 5.3 3.6

Percent Change of 12-Month Sale Price Compared With The Previous 12 Months

Average Sale Price % Change: +4.4% ($275,000 v. $263,300)Median Sale Price % Change: +6.3% ($235,000 v. $221,000)

For further explanation of this measure, see the second footnote on page 2.

Page 2: December 2012 Portland Oregon Real Estate Statistics RMLS Market Action Report

2© Copyright RMLS™ 2012. All Rights Reserved.

AREA REPORT • 12/2012Portland Metropolitan Area, Oregon

1 Percent change in number of pending sales this year compared to last year. The Current Month section compares December 2012 with December 2011. The Year-To-Date section compares 2012 year-to-date statistics through December with 2011 year-to-date statistics through December.

2 % Change is based on a comparison of the rolling average sale price for the last 12 months (1/1/12-12/31/12) with 12 months before 1/1/11-12/31/11).3 Total Market Time is the number of days from when a property is listed to when an offer is accepted on that same property. If a property is re-listed within 31

days, Total Market Time continues to accrue; however, it does not include the time that it was off the market.

Act

ive

List

ings

New

Lis

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Expi

red/

Can

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stin

gs

Pend

ing

Sale

s 20

12

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Sale

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12 v

. 201

11

Clo

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Sale

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Tota

l Mar

ket T

ime

3

New

Lis

tings

Pend

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Sale

s 20

12

Pend

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Sale

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12 v

. 201

1

Clo

sed

Sale

s

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Med

ian

Sale

Pric

e

Avg

. Sal

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ice

% C

hang

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Clo

sed

Sale

s

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rage

Sal

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Clo

sed

Sale

s

Ave

rage

Sal

e Pr

ice

Clo

sed

Sale

s

Ave

rage

Sal

e Pr

ice

141

N Portland 231 63 66 59 5.4% 66 240,900 43 1,406 1,063 24.9% 1,035 229,900 220,000 3.4% 10 402,800 49 143,300 35 411,600

142

NE Portland 393 116 106 139 -1.4% 169 287,900 74 3,076 2,416 17.3% 2,378 288,000 250,000 8.0% 29 447,100 32 213,400 81 371,000

143

SE Portland 537 156 144 170 -10.1% 214 231,100 109 3,906 3,048 17.0% 2,973 230,800 196,000 7.4% 48 332,400 65 126,100 120 338,900

144 Gresham/

Troutdale 460 72 85 82 -17.2% 97 185,000 118 2,017 1,428 5.8% 1,395 194,800 180,000 -0.4% 11 265,300 129 202,900 42 211,500

145 Milwaukie/

Clackamas 605 129 123 131 3.1% 142 261,400 114 2,812 1,928 20.7% 1,844 249,400 230,000 4.0% 13 523,500 121 165,300 8 257,100

146 Oregon City/

Canby 444 84 87 61 -18.7% 105 263,700 115 1,698 1,171 9.1% 1,150 239,000 225,700 2.3% - - 102 139,700 16 350,900

147 Lake Oswego/

West Linn 445 68 88 81 -3.6% 108 512,100 157 2,085 1,389 19.1% 1,364 434,800 375,000 1.5% 1 1,850,000 40 234,700 8 549,600

148

W Portland 670 133 174 132 -6.4% 164 452,900 110 3,636 2,607 11.0% 2,560 412,300 347,300 7.2% 11 343,400 82 206,200 40 508,500

149

NW Wash Co. 239 51 57 65 4.8% 79 375,400 75 1,537 1,254 25.1% 1,206 356,200 340,000 -0.4% 3 192,000 37 212,200 4 319,300

150 Beaverton/

Aloha 393 92 84 102 -26.1% 152 227,700 92 2,557 2,122 9.8% 2,111 219,500 200,000 3.1% 9 223,500 30 201,700 41 349,700

151 Tigard/

Wilsonville 528 118 95 146 30.4% 192 300,800 126 2,768 2,147 21.2% 2,098 285,400 260,000 2.8% 7 602,100 45 329,300 18 310,300

152 Hillsboro/

Forest Grove 427 97 61 115 1.8% 136 222,400 109 2,087 1,754 22.1% 1,698 216,500 199,300 4.9% 22 230,200 48 433,000 38 218,700

153

Mt. Hood 102 8 22 5 -50.0% 14 257,700 110 242 141 28.2% 137 200,400 172,000 4.4% 1 459,500 12 88,800 - -

155

Columbia Co. 299 34 54 30 -11.8% 38 168,400 130 846 534 6.8% 510 164,000 156,900 2.6% 7 143,200 36 104,500 3 101,800

156

Yamhill Co. 579 65 74 66 6.5% 84 264,400 207 1,627 1,008 16.3% 979 214,800 180,000 8.3% 8 354,500 66 217,400 16 187,000

Year-To-Date

COMMERCIAL LAND MULTIFAMILYRESIDENTIAL

Year-To-Date Year-To-DateCurrent Month Year-To-Date

Page 3: December 2012 Portland Oregon Real Estate Statistics RMLS Market Action Report

3© Copyright RMLS™ 2012. All Rights Reserved.

NEW LISTINGS PORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the

new residential listings

over the past three

calendar years in the

greater Portland, Oregon

metropolitan area.

TOTAL ACTIVE LISTINGS

PORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the

total active listings over

the past three calendar

years in the greater

Portland, Oregon

metropolitan area.

ACTIVE RESIDENTIAL

LISTINGSPORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the active

residential listings over the

past three calendar years in

the greater Portland,

Oregon metropolitan area.JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC

2010 12,449 13,101 14,042 14,182 14,372 14,752 15,271 15,200 14,714 13,805 13,103 11,6112011 11,697 11,746 11,458 11,621 11,825 11,817 11,970 11,276 10,666 10,012 9,451 8,6122012 8,514 8,256 8,391 8,523 8,742 8,799 9,041 9,014 8,689 7,981 7,216 6,352

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

Active Residential Listings

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC2010 15,724 16,496 17,491 17,699 17,832 18,180 18,750 18,710 18,174 17,205 16,533 14,5862011 14,815 14,869 14,544 14,736 14,973 14,921 15,000 14,269 13,579 12,852 12,283 11,1672012 11,175 10,939 10,957 11,146 11,465 11,448 11,709 11,629 11,263 10,542 9,659 8,374

5,000

7,500

10,000

12,500

15,000

17,500

20,000

Total Active Listings

0

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

New Listings

2010 2011 2012

Page 4: December 2012 Portland Oregon Real Estate Statistics RMLS Market Action Report

© Copyright RMLS™ 2012. All Rights Reserved.4

This graph represents

monthly accepted off ers

in the Portland, Oregon

metropolitan area over

the past three calendar

years.

PENDING LISTINGS PORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the

closed sales over the past

fi ve calendar years in the

greater Portland, Oregon

metropolitan area.

CLOSED SALES PORTLAND, OR

This graph shows the

average market time for

sales in the Portland,

Oregon metropolitan area

over the past three calendar

years.

DAYS ON MARKETPORTLAND, OR

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

Pending Sales

2010 2011 2012

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Closed Sales

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

020406080

100120140160180200

Average Total Market Time

2010 TMT 2011 TMT 2012 TMT

Page 5: December 2012 Portland Oregon Real Estate Statistics RMLS Market Action Report

© Copyright RMLS™ 2012. All Rights Reserved.5

This graph represents the average and median sale price for all homes sold in

the Portland, Oregon metropolitan area.SALE PRICE PORTLAND, OR

$175,000

$195,000

$215,000

$235,000

$255,000

$275,000

$295,000

$315,000

$335,000

$355,000

$375,000

Dec

-03

Mar

-04

Jun-

04Se

p-04

Dec

-04

Mar

-05

Jun-

05Se

p-05

Dec

-05

Mar

-06

Jun-

06Se

p-06

Dec

-06

Mar

-07

Jun-

07Se

p-07

Dec

-07

Mar

-08

Jun-

08Se

p-08

Dec

-08

Mar

-09

Jun-

09Se

p-09

Dec

-09

Mar

-10

Jun-

10Se

p-10

Dec

-10

Mar

-11

Jun-

11Se

p-11

Dec

-11

Mar

-12

Jun-

12Se

p-12

Dec

-12

Average and Median Sale Price

Average Sale Price Median Sale Price

100000

120000

140000

160000

180000

200000

220000

240000

260000

DEC JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUNE JULY AUG SEPT OCT NOV DEC

Median Sale Price: Portland, OR & Clark Co., WA

Clark County Metro Portland, OR

This graph shows the

median sale price over

the past 12 months in

the greater Portland,

Oregon, metropolitan

area and Clark

County.

MEDIAN SALE PRICE

PORTLAND, OR

Page 6: December 2012 Portland Oregon Real Estate Statistics RMLS Market Action Report

$ 203,900

Yamhill County

$ 241,400N Portland

$ 241,000 NEPortland

$ 187,000 SEPortland

$ 179,900GreshamTroutdale

SandyCorbettFairview $ 266,500

Mt. Hood:Zigzag

WelchesRhododendron

WemmeBrightwood

Government Camp

$ 249,700Milwaukie/Gladstone/Boring/ClackamasEstacada

$ 245,000

Oregon City

Canby

Molalla

Beavercreek

$ 452,500

Lake Oswego

West Linn

$ 375,000 West Portland

$ 350,000

North Washington County

Sauvie Island

$ 207,900

Beaverton

Aloha

$ 281,000

Tigard/Tualatin

Sherwood

Wilsonville

$ 212,000

Hillsboro

Forest Grove

$ 157,500

Columbia County

$179,000 Heights

$175,000Cent. Vancouver

$193,800Cascade Park

$176,5005 Corners

Orch.

$199,500HazelDell

Minnehaha

$221,300Felida

$279,800Salmon Creek

$306,700Camas/Washougal

$266,500

Brush Prairie

Hockinson

$309,000

Ridgefield/La Center

$250,000

Battle Ground

$135,000

N/NE Clark County$170,000

Woodland

MEDIAN SALE PRICEDecember 2012

PORTLANDMETRO

6© Copyright RMLS™ 2012. All Rights Reserved.

SW WASHINGTON

Page 7: December 2012 Portland Oregon Real Estate Statistics RMLS Market Action Report

MULTIPLE LISTING SERVICE

The statistics presented in Market Action are compiled monthly based on fi gures generated by RMLS™.

Market Action Reports are compiled for the following areas: Portland metropolitan area, Southwest Washington, Mid-Columbia, Columbia Basin, Baker County, Coos County, Curry County, Douglas County, Grant County, Lane County, North Coastal Counties, Polk & Marion Counties, Union County, and Wallowa County.

RMLS™ was formed by area Boards and Associations of REALTORS® in 1991.

E-mail subscriptions are available for $45 per year by contacting RMLS™, (503) 236-7657. Reproduction of any portion of this copyrighted material is prohibited without prior approval of RMLS™.

Brian Carlson, Chairman of the BoardKurt von Wasmuth, President/CEOHeather Andrews, Editor

© Copyright RMLS™ 2012. All Rights Reserved.

Lane County: FlorencePO Box 414

Florence, OR 97439(541) 902-2560

Fax: (541) 902-1341

Curry CountyPO Box 6307

Brookings, OR 97415(541) 469-0219

Fax: (541) 469-9695

Lane County: Eugene2139 Centennial Plaza

Eugene, OR 97401(541) 686-2885

Fax: (541) 484-3854

Southwest Washington1514 Broadway, Suite 101

Vancouver, WA 98663(360) 696-0718

Fax: (360) 696-9342

Douglas County3510 NE EdenbowerRoseburg, OR 97470

(541) 673-3571Fax: (541) 673-6581

Corporate8338 NE Alderwood Rd, Suite 230

Portland, OR 97220(503) 236-7657

Fax: (503) 230-0689

Mid-ColumbiaPO Box 1088

Hood River, OR 97031(541) 436-2956

Fax: (541) 387-6657

Eastern OregonPO Box 751

Hermiston, OR 97838(541) 567-5186

Fax: (541) 289-7320

Coos County1946 Sherman Ave., Suite 101

North Bend, OR 97459(541) 751-1070

Fax: (541) 751-1083

Salem4035 12th Street Cutoff SE, Suite 110

Salem, OR 97302(503) 587-8810

Fax: (503) 585-3817

This graph represents the median sale price for all

condos sold in the last three calendar years in the

Portland, Oregon metropolitan area.

MEDIAN SALE PRICE CONDOS

PORTLAND, OR

$120,000

$145,000

$170,000

$195,000

$220,000

$245,000

Median Condo Sale Price

2010 2011 2012

0

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4

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14

16

'00

'01

'02

'03

'04

'05

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'07

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'10

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'12

$ B

illio

ns

Annual Sales Volume Report

Portland Metro Clark County Lane County

SALE VOLUMERESIDENTIAL

This graph shows annual residential sales volume for

Lane County, OR, Clark County, WA and Portland, OR.