decarbonising heat: networks, pumps or pipes? robert sansom, imperial college

12
1 Decarbonising heat: networks, pumps or pipes? Robert Sansom – Imperial College UK energy system in transition: Technology, infrastructure & investment Edinburgh - 1 st April 2014

Upload: uk-energy-research-centre-ukerc

Post on 29-May-2015

222 views

Category:

Science


0 download

DESCRIPTION

By Robert Sansom, Imperial College Presented at 'UK Energy System in Transition: Technology, Infrastructure and Investment'; an event organised by the UK Energy Research Centre, ClimateXChange and the Edinburgh Centre for Carbon Innovation, on Tuesday 1 April 2014, 14.00-17.00, in Edinburgh, United Kingdom.

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Decarbonising heat: networks, pumps or pipes? Robert Sansom, Imperial College

1

Click to add title

Decarbonising heat: networks, pumps

or pipes?

Robert Sansom – Imperial College

UK energy system in transition:

Technology, infrastructure & investment

Edinburgh - 1st April 2014

Page 2: Decarbonising heat: networks, pumps or pipes? Robert Sansom, Imperial College

2

Click to add title Towards decarbonising heat Maximising the opportunities for Scotland

Four key challenges:

• Decarbonising heat

• Diversifying sources of heat

• Reducing pressure on household energy bills

• Seizing the economic opportunities

Page 3: Decarbonising heat: networks, pumps or pipes? Robert Sansom, Imperial College

3

Click to add title Decarbonising heat Total final energy consumption in Scotland 2011

Source: DECC. (2013). Total final energy consumption statistics (Sub-national): 2011.

Heat

Electricity

Transport

Heat accounts for 47% of total CO2 emissions.

Page 4: Decarbonising heat: networks, pumps or pipes? Robert Sansom, Imperial College

4

Click to add title Sources of domestic heat

Source: Scottish condition survey using 2012 data.

Heat

Electricity

Transport

Page 5: Decarbonising heat: networks, pumps or pipes? Robert Sansom, Imperial College

5

Click to add title Half hourly heat demand

Heat

Page 6: Decarbonising heat: networks, pumps or pipes? Robert Sansom, Imperial College

6

Click to add title Impact of temperature on UK gas demand

Heat is very temperature sensitive

Page 7: Decarbonising heat: networks, pumps or pipes? Robert Sansom, Imperial College

7

Click to add title UK daily temperature annual duration curves

Page 8: Decarbonising heat: networks, pumps or pipes? Robert Sansom, Imperial College

8

Click to add title Future heat demand High Government Intervention and Uptake scenario

• Very aggressive energy efficiency improvements

• Significant electrification (>50%) of heat using heat pumps

• Modest development of district heating

• No storage heating

TWh

Domestic

Page 9: Decarbonising heat: networks, pumps or pipes? Robert Sansom, Imperial College

9

Click to add title Impact on Scottish electricity infrastructure

Page 10: Decarbonising heat: networks, pumps or pipes? Robert Sansom, Imperial College

10

Click to add title Comparison of low carbon heat technologies

0

1

2

3

4

5

Running cost

Deployment

Performance

Optionality

Investment cost

Flexibility

Network impact

Heat output

Heat pumps District heating Electric storage heaters

5 = Good 1 = Poor

Page 11: Decarbonising heat: networks, pumps or pipes? Robert Sansom, Imperial College

11

Click to add title Summary and conclusions

• Decarbonising heat is essential to meet Scotland’s 2050 CO2target.

• A transformation of Scotland’s heat sector is required.

• There is considerable uncertainty in terms of costs, performance and

deployment of heat technologies.

• A “whole systems” approach is essential.

• Heat storage provides substantial opportunities to support intermittent and

inflexible generation.

• Consumer engagement is crucial to deliver:

reductions in heat demand.

selection of heating technology.

Page 12: Decarbonising heat: networks, pumps or pipes? Robert Sansom, Imperial College

12

Click to add title

Thank you

…any questions [email protected]