deborah weinswig [email protected] new … global retail... · !4 august 14, 2015...

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1 August 14, 2015 DEBORAH WEINSWIG, EXECUTIVE DIRECTOR–HEAD OF GLOBAL RETAIL & TECHNOLOGY [email protected] US: 917.655.6790 HK: 852.6119.1779 CHN: 86.186.1420.3016 Copyright © 2015 The Fung Group. All rights reserved. Weekly Insights DEBORAH WEINSWIG Executive Director, Head of Global Retail & Technology Fung Business Intelligence Centre [email protected] New York: 646.839.7017 August 14, 2015 Macy’s announced a joint venture with Fung Retailing Limited to explore retailing in China starting in late 2015 Alibaba is paying US$4.6 billion for a 19.99% stake in Suning, a major Chinese electronics retailer with 1,600 stores in 289 cities Costco plans to open its first store in France, the first of up to 15 stores planned over the next 10 years Havaianas, the Brazilian footwear maker, is entering into a new strategic alliance with several Disney properties, and the two companies are collaborating on the design of cobranded flipflops

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  1

August 14, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CHN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

                                             

 

 

 

 

   

 

Weekly Insights D E B O R A H W E I N S W I G

E x e c u t i v e D i r e c t o r , H e a d o f G l o b a l R e t a i l & T e c h n o l o g y F u n g B u s i n e s s I n t e l l i g e n c e C e n t r e

d e b o r a h w e i n s w i g @ f u n g 1 9 3 7 . c o m N e w Y o r k : 6 4 6 . 8 3 9 . 7 0 1 7

August 14, 2015

Macy’s  announced  a  joint  venture  with  Fung  Retailing  Limited  to  explore  retailing  in  China  starting  in  late  2015  

Alibaba  is  paying  US$4.6  billion  for  a  19.99%  stake  in  Suning,  a  major  Chinese  electronics  retailer  with  1,600  stores  in  289  cities  

Costco  plans  to  open  its  first  store  in  France,  the  first  of  up  to  15  stores  planned  over  the  next  10  years  

Havaianas,  the  Brazilian  footwear  maker,  is  entering  into  a  new  strategic  alliance  with  several  Disney  properties,  and  the  two  companies  are  collaborating  on  the  design  of  cobranded  flip-­‐flops  

       

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August 14, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CHN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

FROM  THE  DESK  OF  DEBORAH  WEINSWIG  

The   robots  are   coming!  Not   to   conquer   the  earth,  but  to  sweep  your  floor,  greet  you  when  you  enter  a  store  and   possibly,   to   manufacture   the   clothes   that   you  wear.  And  actually,   robots  have  already  been  here   for  many   years   in   automobile   and   other   types   of  manufacturing  and  are  now  being  used  to  move  goods  in  warehouses.  Robotics   has   brought   great   benefits   to   the   electronics  and  automotive  industries  in  terms  of  improving  quality  and   reducing   labor   costs,   and   they   could   offer   similar  benefits   to   retailers.  While   retailing   is   currently   not   a  heavy  user  of  robots,  but  that  could  soon  change,  with  Amazon  leading  the  way.  In  advance  of  the  2014  holiday  rush,  Amazon  deployed  more  than  15,000  Kiva  robots  in  10  fulfillment  centers,  a  move  that  it  estimated  could  cut  operating  costs  by  20%.  Kiva  robots  zip  along  the  floor  of  a  warehouse,  pick  up  items  from  shelves  and  pallets,  and  transfer  them  to  cartons  and  totes.  In  addition  to  these  robots,  Amazon  uses  Robo-­‐Stow,   a   robotic   arm   it   developed,   which   along   with   machine-­‐vision   systems,   can   unload   and   register   a  trailer   full   of  goods   in  half  an  hour   (this  previously   took  hours).  Amazon  has  publicly  announced   that   it   is  also  testing  another  kind  of  robot—flying  drones—for  aerial  package  delivery.  Walmart  uses  an  undisclosed  number  of  robots  in  its  US  distribution  centers  to  pick,  pack  and  sort  items  for  its  e-­‐commerce   business.   Its   robots   tape   packages   for   shipping   and   stamp   shipping   labels   on   packages.   With   an  algorithm  developed  at   its   Silicon  Valley-­‐located  Walmart   Labs,   the   company  has  been  able   to   locate  and   sort  items  much  more  efficiently,  reducing  delivery  time  by  15%.  

In  addition  to   these  giants,  several  other  companies  are  developing  robotics   technology   for  use   in  warehouses,  and   continuous   price   and   performance   improvements   in   robotics   are   reaching   an   inflection   point,   spurring  adoption  by  many  other   industries.  One  startup,  Symbotic   (formerly  known  as  CasePick  Systems),   is  developing  warehouse  robots  that  can  optimize  fulfillment,  transportation  and  logistics.  Another  company,  UK-­‐based  Ocado,  is  developing  autonomous  robots  for  use  in  automated  grocery  distribution  centers.    Some   retailers   and   companies   are   using   robots   in   their   stores   today.   Japanese   retailer  Mitsukoshi   installed   a  robotic  greeter  made  by  Toshiba  in  its  Tokyo  stores,  and  Bank  of  Tokyo-­‐Mitsubishi  UFJ  is  testing  Nao,  a  customer  service   robot   that   can   answer   questions   in   19   languages.   Home-­‐improvement   chain   operator   Lowe’s   is   using  Silicon  Valley-­‐designed  robots  to  greet  customers  and  guide  them  to  the  merchandise  they  seek.  

Garment  manufacturing,   though   remains   a   very   labor-­‐intensive   process,   and   even   in   this   age   of   automation,  human   labor   is   necessary   at   every   stage   of   production.   Though   most   manufacturing   is   currently   performed  overseas   due   to   lower   labor   and   other   costs,   there   are   several   potential   benefits   to   domestic  manufacturing,  including   quality   control,   quick   turnaround,   and   lower   shipping   costs,   among   others.   Over   time,   continued  technological   development   should   reduce   the   cost   of   robotic   technology   to   overcome   high   initial   capital  investment,  which  could  lead  to  the  return  of  some  production  to  domestic  locations.  Robotics  companies  are  working  to  address  these  challenges  of  garment-­‐making  by  developing  fully  automated  sewing  machines  that  have  the  potential  to  reduce  direct  labor  costs.  While  some  parts  of  apparel  manufacturing  have  already  been  automated,  garment  cutting  and  sewing  still  require  human  labor.  One  tech  startup,  SoftWear  Automation,  has  developed  an  automated  sewing  machine  that  it  hopes  will  revolutionize  the  garment  industry.  Its   SAM-­‐1000   sewing   machine   is   designed   to   function   completely   without   a   human   operator,   potentially  transforming  the  entire  garment-­‐manufacturing  industry.  We  at  FBIC  Global  Retail  &  Technology  are  looking  forward  to  the  robot  invasion!  

   

       

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August 14, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CHN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

 

 

             

 

             

 Figure  1.  US  Monthly  Retail  Sales  ex  Auto:  YoY  %  Change                                          Source:  US  Census  Bureau/Haver  Analytics    

• US  retail  sales  posted  solid  results  in  July,  rising  0.6%  month  over  month  (adjusted).  The  results  met  economists’  expectations.  

• Also,  total  retail  sales  numbers  for  June  were  revised  up,  to  0.0%  from  -­‐0.3%.  

• Eleven  out  of  13  major  categories  posted  sales  gains.  Consumers  spent  more  money  eating  out,  buying   new   cars   and   improving   their   homes.   However,   sales   at   department   stores   and  electronics  stores  continue  to  decline.  

• The   results   were   in   line  with   economists’   optimism   for   the   second   half   of   2015.   A   strong   job  market,  solid   income  growth  and  rising  home  values  are   likely  to   lead  to  steady  retail  spending  gains  over  the  next  few  months.  The  latest  jobless  claims  total  for  the  week  ended  August  8  was  274,000,  close  to  a  four-­‐decade  low.  

FBIC  HAPPENINGS  &  WEINSWIG’S  WATCH  ING  

CHART  OF  THE  WEEK  

 

STAT  OF  THE  WEEK  

 

 

• FBIC  New  York  Team  went  to  L2  Department  Stores  Briefing  this  week.  

The   Yuan,   or   the   renminbi   has   weakened   3%   since   this   Tuesday.   On  Tuesday,   the   People’s   Bank   of   China   devalued   the   currency   by   2%     in  hope  to  help  China’s  sluggish  exports  and  make  the  exchange  rate  more  market   driven.   As   of   market   close   on   August   13,   the   Yuan/USD  exchange  rate  was  at  6.4,  after  two  days  of  sharp  drop.  

3%  Source:  Wall  Street  Journal    

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August 14, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CHN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

US  RETAIL  EARNINGS

Company    

Revenues  ($  Mil.)   Change  Gross  Margin  

(%)   Change  Net  Income  ($  Mil.)   Change   Store  Fleet  EOP  

Period   2015   2014   (%)   2015   2014   (BP)   2015   2014   (%)   2015   2014  

Overstock.com   2Q  ended  June  30   388   333   16.7     19.0   18.8   16   1.7   1.9   (10.5)   N/A   N/A  

Iconix  Brand  Group 2Q  ended  June  30   98   119   (17.2)   49.4   44.3   508   19   39   (50.1)   N/A   N/A  

Fossil  Group   2Q  ended  July  4   740   774   (4.4)   55.3   57.5   (212)   54.6   52.5   4.0   608   558  

Macy’s   2Q  ended  August  1   6,104   6,267   (2.6)   40.9   41.4   (55)   217   292   (25.7)   885   840  Source:  Company  reports  

US  RETAIL  HEADLINES  Jet.com  Runs  into  Turbulence  with  Major  Retailers  (August  6)  The  Wall  Street  Journal  

• By   using   links   to   third-­‐party   retail   vendors,   Jet   Anywhere   allows   subscribers   to   enjoy  discounts   outside   the   Jet.com   website.   But   some   retailers   have   complained   that   Jet.com  placed  links  to  their  sites  without  consulting  them  or  getting  their  permission,  and  that  some  of  these  links  promised  consumers  cash  back  for  making  purchases.  

• Dozens  of   the  nation’s   largest   retailers,   including  Macy’s,  Amazon,  Home  Depot,  Walmart,  Gap,   Walgreens   and   L’Oréal,   requested   that   their   brands   be   removed.   CEO   Marc   Lore  believes   Jet   Anywhere   encourages   other   retailers   to   sell   products   directly   through   Jet   by  showing  them  that  the  site  can  bring  them  traffic.  Since  launch,  Jet  Anywhere  has  accounted  for  15%  gross  value  of  merchandise  purchased.  

 Macy’s  Looks  to  Expand  Despite  Another  Tough  Quarter  (August  12)  RetailingToday.com  

• Macy’s  reported  disappointing  financial  results  for  the  second  quarter.  The  company’s  same-­‐store  sales  declined  by  2.1%,  and  profit  fell  to  $217  million  from  $292  million  a  year  earlier.  Total  sales  fell  2.6%,  to  $6.1  billion,  missing  analysts’  estimates  of  $6.23  billion.  CEO  Terry  J.  Lundgren   reported   that   a   strong   US   dollar   significantly   lowered   international   tourist  spending.  

• Macy’s   is   accelerating   its   fast-­‐growing   online   business   through   integrated   omnichannel  buying  and  planning  of  merchandise.  The  company  will  begin  e-­‐commerce  selling  in  China  in  the   fall   through   a   joint   venture   with   Fung   Retailing   Limited   that   will   be   65%   owned   by  Macy’s  and  35%  owned  by  Fung  Retailing.  Macy’s  has  expanded  same-­‐day  delivery  markets  and   integrated   six   Macy’s   Backstage   off-­‐price   stores   in   New   York   City.   Also,   Macy’s   and  Tishman   Speyer   announced   their   plan   for   a   major   development   in   Brooklyn.   Macy’s   will  receive  $170  million   in  cash   from  Tishman  Speyer   for   its  Brooklyn  real  estate  assets,  along  with  an  additional  $100  million  over  the  next  three  years.  

Target  Launches  Deal  with  ALDO  (August  11)  Footwear  News  

• Target  is  teaming  up  with  Canadian  footwear  chain  ALDO  on  a  new  product  line  of  shoes  and  accessories,   according   to   Footwear   News.   Target   hopes   to   reach   the   young,   millennial,  contemporary  and  fashion-­‐forward  consumer.  Retail  prices  will  range  from  $35  to  $49  for  a  pair  of  shoes.  

• The   ALDO   brand,   called   A+,   is   expected   to   launch   at   all   Target   stores   this   month.   Target  already  partners  with   Stride  Rite   and   Steve  Madden,   and   it   plans   to   continue   its   focus  on  shoe  partnerships.   “Target   is   exploring   additional   exclusive  partnership   and   shoe   launches  for  the  future,”  said  Stacia  Anderson,  SVP  of  apparel  and  accessories  for  Target.  

       

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August 14, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CHN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

Gap  Continues  to  Struggle  (August  3)  The  Wall  Street  Journal  

• In  July,  sales  at  the  company’s  namesake  stores  fell  7%,  compared  with  a  2%  decrease  a  year  earlier.   Same-­‐store   sales   at   Gap’s   Banana   Republic   fell   10%,   compared  with   6%   growth   a  year  earlier.  

• CEO  Arthur  Peck  announced  that  Gap  plans  to  close  roughly  a  quarter  of  its  namesake  stores  in  North  America,  the  second  major  round  of  cuts  in  four  years.  With  consumers  doing  more  and  more  shopping  online,  Gap  has  an  issue  with  its  large  numbers  of  stores  across  the  US.  

Sephora’s  Subscription  Box  (August  7)  Women’s  Wear  Daily  

• Sephora  is  expected  to  introduce  its  subscription  box,  called  Play!,  in  September.  The  $10-­‐a-­‐month   subscription   will   first   be   available   to   consumers   in   Boston   and   Cincinnati.   The  crowded   $20–$25  market   does   not   scare   Sephora,  which  will   use   its   corporate   siblings   at  LVMH   to   help   fill   its   boxes   with   renowned   brands.   Sephora’s   vendors   have   responded  positively  to  this  initiative.  

• SVP   of   Marketing   and   Brand   Deborah   Yeh   said   that   the   extensive   research   available   on  products  from  both  the  online  and  brick-­‐and-­‐mortar  channels  will  facilitate  product  choice.  According   to  NPD  Group,   90%   of   people  who   receive   subscription   boxes   end   up   buying   a  product.  

ASIA  HEADLINES  Alibaba  Tames  a  Growing  Rival  with  $4.6  Billion  Investment  in  Suning  (August  10)  Tech  in  Asia  

• Alibaba   announced   it   is   paying   ¥28.3   billion   (US$4.63   billion)   to   take   a   19.99%   stake   in  Suning,  a  major  Chinese  electronics  retailer  that  has  1,600  physical  stores  in  289  cities  across  China.  

• The   Alibaba-­‐Suning   deal   is   about   both   online   and   offline   partnerships.   Suning  will   have   a  storefront   on   Alibaba’s   Tmall   marketplace   and   will   open   up   its   vast   logistics   network   to  Alibaba’s  Cainiao  logistics  platform.  

• Alibaba  merchants  on  Taobao  and  Tmall  can  ship  their  items  faster  to  buyers  using  Suning’s  57   regional   distribution   centers,   353   city   forwarding   centers   and   1,700   last-­‐mile   delivery  stations  across  China.  

Hong  Kong’s  Soundbrenner  Is  Raising  US$500,000  for  Its  Musician  Wearable  (August  10)  e27.co  

• Soundbrenner   is  a  metronome  that   looks   like  a  smartwatch  that   is  designed  for  musicians.  The  wearable  device  can  be  strapped  onto  the  wearer’s  wrist,  arm  or  ankle,  and  pulses  the  rhythm  of  music  through  haptic  feedback.  

• A  unique  beats-­‐per-­‐minute  tap  feature  enables  musicians  to  tap  the  face  of  the  device  to  set  the   desired   tempo.   They   can   then   turn   the   wheel   of   the   device   to   increase   or   decrease  tempo.  

Amazon  India  Launches  Beauty  Store  (August  7)  Inside  Retail  Asia  

• Amazon  India  launched  a  beauty  store  that  will  offer  beauty  products  from  17  luxury  brands  covering  hair,  skin  and  body  treatments  for  both  men  and  women.  

• The   brands   include   L’Occitane,   Crabtree   &   Evelyn,   Kama   Ayurveda,   Forest   Essentials,  Davidoff,  Calvin  Klein,  Dermalogica,  Ren,  Temple  Spa,   Leighton  Denny,   Jo  Hansford,   Shaze,  Dr.  Lipp,  Eve  Snow,  Pangea  Organics  and  The  Camel  Soap  Factory.  

   

       

  6

August 14, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CHN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

 

Alibaba  Counterfeit  Guide  Launched  in  English,  Boosting  Fight  Against  Fakes  (August  7)  Inside  Retail  Asia  

• Alibaba   has   launched   an   English-­‐language   version   of   its   online   system   for   reporting  intellectual  property  infringement  that  occurs  on  its  Taobao  and  Tmall  marketplaces.  

• The   system,   called   TaoProtect,   is   designed   to   make   it   easier   for   companies   to   report  merchants   who   are   selling   counterfeit   products   on   Taobao   and   Tmall,   facilitating   the  efficient  removal  of  counterfeits.  

• The   English   version   of   TaoProtect   aims   to   make   the   system   more   accessible   to   Western  companies.  

Indian  Health  Search  Portal  Practo  Lands  US$90  Million,  Led  by  Tencent,  for  Global  Expansion  (August  6)  TechCrunch  

• Chinese  Internet  giant  Tencent  led  a  US$90  million  series  C  funding  round  for  medical  search  startup   Practo.   The   startup   raised   $30   million   in   February.   Google   Capital,   Yuri   Milner,  Sofina,   Altimeter,   and   existing   investors   Sequoia   Capital   and   Matrix   Capital   Markets   also  took  part  in  the  new  round.  

• Bangalore-­‐based   Practo   has   a   two-­‐sided   business   model.   One   side   is   a   marketplace   that  connects   patients   with   doctors   and   medical   organizations,   while   the   other   side   offers  practice  management  software,  called  Practo  Ray,  to  build  relationships  with  the  latter.  

• The  company  claims  to  have  200,000  doctors,  8,000  hospitals  and  5,000  diagnostic  centers  across  35  cities   in   India  on   its  platform.   It  has  expanded   into  Singapore  and  Manila,  and   it  aims  to   further  expand   into  10   international  markets  across  Southeast  Asia,  Latin  America,  the  Middle  East  and  Eastern  Europe  by  March  of  next  year.  

Huawei  Becomes  Leading  Tablet  Brand  in  Finland  (August  5)  Want  China  Times  

• Huawei  said  that  its  tablets  have  enjoyed  the  biggest  market  share  in  Finland  in  the  past  few  weeks.  In  the  second  quarter  of  this  year,  about  30,000  Huawei  tablets  were  sold  in  Finland,  surpassing  the  numbers  sold  by  rivals  Samsung  and  Apple.  

• While  Huawei’s  share  in  the  Finnish  tablet  market  has  reached  a  peak  of  about  35%,  Apple  has  reached  the  highest  sales  value,  followed  by  Samsung  and  Huawei.  

Samsung  Glamor  Days  over  as  It  Fights  to  Save  Mobile  Market  Share  (August  4)  Jakarta  Globe  

• Samsung  Electronics  has  basked  in  the  success  of   its  Galaxy  smartphone,  making  billions  of  dollars  competing  with  Apple  in  the  premium  mobile  market.  

• Recently,  though,   it  has  been  forced  to  slash  prices  and  accept   lower  margins  at   its  mobile  division  in  order  to  stave  off  competition  from  rivals  that  include  Huawei  and  Xiaomi  in  the  mid-­‐to-­‐low  end  of  the  market.  

• Samsung  is  stuck  with  the  same  Android  operating  system  used  by  its  low-­‐cost  competitors,  which  are  producing  increasingly  capable  phones  of  their  own.  

   

       

  7

August 14, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CHN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

EUROPEAN  RETAIL  EARNINGS

Company    

Revenues  ($  Mil.)   Change  Change  in  Reporting  

Currency  Gross  Margin  

(%)   Change  Net  Income  ($  Mil.)   Change  YoY   Store  Fleet  EOP  

Period   2015   2014   (%)   (%)   2015   2014   (BP)   2015   2014   (%)   2015   2014  

New  Look  Group   1Q  to  Jun.  27,  2015  

                                     565    

                         596    

                                 (5.1)                        4.3      N/A      N/A      N/A      N/A      N/A      N/A      N/A      N/A    

Adidas  Group   1H  to  Jun.  30,  2015                              

8,922                      

9,432                                    

(5.4)                        16.1     48.8     49.2              

(42.7)   413.2     481.2                      (14.1)                    

2,846                        

2,913    

Metro  Group 3Q  to  Jun.  30,  2015   15,452     19,433     (20.5)                      (1.4)   19.5     19.0     50.2     107.3     (113.8)    N/A     2,074     2,075    

Pandora   1H  to  Jun.  30,  2015                                  

1,070                            

943                                    

13.4                        39.1     71.3     69.9              

142.9     193.7     250.9                  (22.8)                    

9,562    

             10,046    

Zalando   1H  to  Jun.  30,  2015   1,537     1,436     7.1                        31.5     46.8     42.2     459.5     52.8     0.3        19,163.3      N/A      N/A    Source:  Company  reports  

EUROPEAN  RETAIL  HEADLINES  Eurozone  Retail  Sales  Volume  Fell  in  June  (August  5)  MarketWatch.com  

• Adjusted   retail   sales   volume   dropped   0.6%   in   June   from  May,   but  was   up   1.2%   from   the  same   time   last   year   in   the  19   countries   that  use   the  euro,   according   to  Eurostat,   the  EU’s  statistics   agency.   That   was   the   largest   drop   in   month-­‐over-­‐month   sales   since   September  2014.  

• Month-­‐over-­‐month  retail  trade  volume  in  Germany  fell  2.3%  in  May,  according  to  Eurostat;  it  was  hoped  that  the  positive  effects  of  economic  recovery   in  the  region  would   improve  the  state   of   the   eurozone,   as   German   purchases   from   the   weaker   areas   of   the   eurozone  increased.  Consumer  prices  in  the  eurozone  hardly  increased  from  July  2014  levels.  

36%  Year-­‐to-­‐Date  Gain  in  Inditex  Shares  Makes  Company’s  Value  Cross  $100  Billion  (August  5)  Bloomberg.com  

• As   the  year-­‐to-­‐date  gain   in   Inditex’s   shares   surged  36%  on  August  5,  2015,   the   company’s  valuation   crossed   €100   billion   (US$109   billion),   making   it   one   of   only   80   companies  worldwide   to   have   that   sort   of  market   value.   Inditex   is   the   only   Spanish   company   in   the  world  to  have  this  high  a  valuation,  surpassing  Banco  Santander  and  Telefónica.  

• Amancio   Ortega,   the   owner   of   Inditex,   benefited   the   most   from   the   stock   surge,   as   he  moved   ahead   of   Warren   Buffett   to   become   the   second-­‐richest   person   in   the   world,  according  to  the  Bloomberg  Billionaires  Index.  Ortega  has  a  seat  on  Inditex’s  board,  and  he  established  the  company  in  1975.  Inditex  owns  leading  brands  such  as  Zara,  Massimo  Dutti,  Bershka  and  Pull  &  Bear,  and  has  6,700  stores  in  90  countries.  

Adidas  2Q  Net  Profit  Increased  by  1.4%  (August  6)  WSJ.com  

• Second-­‐quarter   net   profit   at   Adidas   increased   by   1.4%,   to   €146   million   (US$161   million),  from   €144  million   (US$159  million)   a   year   ago.   The   growth  was   driven   by   strong   sales   in  China  and  Western  Europe,  and  good  performance  from  its  Adidas  and  Reebok  brands.  Sales  rose  5%,  to  €3.9  billion  (US$4.3  billion),  compared  to  the  same  time  last  year,  when  the  FIFA  World  Cup  contributed  to  the  company’s  revenue.  

• The  TaylorMade-­‐Adidas  Golf  unit,  however,  suffered  bad  performance,  with  sales  down  26%  in  the  quarter;  the  company  stated  that  it  is  in  touch  with  Guggenheim  Partners’  investment  bank  to  help  it  restructure  the  unit  and  sell  the  least  lucrative  parts  of  it.  

• Adidas   also   announced   it   plans   to   acquire   Runtastic,   an   Austrian   developer   and  manufacturer   of   fitness   and   health   applications   and   hardware,   for   €220   million   (US$243  million).  

       

  8

August 14, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CHN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

Aldi  to  Expand  UK  Operations  by  Opening  130  New  Stores  and  Hiring  8,000  (August  6)  News.Sky.com  

• German  discount  supermarket  Aldi  has  announced  that   it   intends  to   increase  operations   in  the  UK  by  opening  130  new  stores  and  hiring  8,000  staff  as  part  of  a  £600  million  (US$935  million)  expansion.  The  company  aims   to   increase   the  number  of   its  UK  staff   to  35,000  by  2022.  

• Aldi  entered  the  UK   in  1990  and  surpassed  Waitrose  this  April,  with  5.3%  market  share,  to  become  the  UK’s  sixth-­‐largest  supermarket.   It  has  also   launched   its  campaign  as  an  official  partner  of  Team  GB  for  the  2016  Olympics,  and  has  recruited  six  Team  GB  athletes  as  part  of  the  partnership.  

 Amazon  Agrees  to  10-­‐Year  Lease  on  Former  Tesco  Warehouse    (August  10)  Retail-­‐Week.com  

• Amazon  has  agreed  to  a  10-­‐year  lease  on  a  warehouse  in  Surrey,  UK,  that  was  formerly  used  by  Tesco.  The  facility  is  equipped  with  grocery  storage  and  handling  facilities,  but  has  been  unused  since  Tesco  vacated  it  at  the  end  of  2014.  Clegg  Food  Projects—a  solutions  provider  for  food  processing  and  distribution—has  been  appointed  to  renovate  the  property.  

• Amazon   has   acquired   a   second   warehouse   in   Leicestershire,   and   though   it   was   not  previously  used  for  food  distribution,  it  reportedly  has  the  necessary  planning  permissions  to  distribute  groceries.  Previous  reports  had  speculated  that  Amazon  would  launch  its  grocery  distribution  service,  Amazon  Fresh,  in  London.  These  leases,  however,  hint  at  a  wider  launch  across  the  UK.  

Metro  Group  Posts  Profit  of  €115  Million  (US$180  Million)  in  3Q  of  Its  Fiscal  Year    (August  10)  RetailDetail.eu  

• German  company  Metro  Group  has  posted  a  profit  of  €115  million  (US$180  million)  at  the  end   of   the   third   quarter   of   its   fiscal   year,  which   is   a   considerable   improvement   from   last  year’s   loss  of  €63  million  (US$98  million).  The  group’s  turnover,  however,   fell  1.4%,  to  €14  billion   (US$22   billion),   with   turnover   from   Metro   Cash   &   Carry   dropping   1.3%,   to   €7.45  billion  (US$11.6  billion),  with  just  0.1%  growth  in  comps,  mainly  because  of  a  weak  ruble.  

• Media-­‐Saturn   Group’s   turnover   rose   1.2%,   to   €4.62   billion   (US$7.19   billion),   with   a   mere  0.2%  increase  in  comps;  the  turnover  at  Real,  the  department  store  chain,  fell  8%,  to  €1.88  billion  (US$2.07  billion),  because  of  mediocre  performance  from  its  Eastern  European  stores,  where  comps  dropped  0.6%.  

Costco  to  Open  First  Store  in  France  (August  11)  RetailDetail.eu  

• After  several  years  of  negotiations,  Costco  will  finally  open  its  first  store  in  France,  in  spring  2016.  The  American  membership-­‐only  retailer  is  expected  to  trigger  a  price  war  according  to  reports,  and  several   large  French  retailers  have  banded  together  since  last  year   in  order  to  receive  better  bargains  from  suppliers.  

• Costco   intends   to   open   up   to   15   stores   in   France   over   the   next   10   years.   Costco’s  competitors  had  protested  its  entry  in  France  over  recent  years,  and  the  French  government  had  delayed  its  plans  to  enter  the  country.  The  American  giant  finally  received  permission  to  construct  its  first  store  in  the  suburbs  of  Paris  in  May  2014.  

European  Metasearch  Engine  StyleLounge  Raises  €2.3  Million  (US$3.6  Million)    (August  11)  TechCrunch.com    

• StyleLounge,   a   European   metasearch   engine   for   fashion   and   lifestyle   products,   has  reportedly  raised  €2.3  million  (US$3.6  million),  which  it  intends  to  use  for  further  expansion  in   Europe.   The  Germany-­‐based   startup   recently   entered   France   and   the  Netherlands,   and  plans  to  launch  in  five  more  European  countries  by  the  end  of  the  year.  

• StyleLounge  works  with  more  than  100  partners  in  Germany,  which  provide  over  1.2  million  products;   the   engine   helps   users   find   and   compare   prices—including   discounts,   vouchers,  

       

  9

August 14, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CHN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

shipping  and  returns—for  clothing  and  lifestyle  products,  and  checks  their  availability  across  stores,  without  the  user  having  to  visit  each  retailer’s  website.  

LATAM  HEADLINES  Skechers  Expanding  in  Latin  America  (August  11)  FootwearNews.com  

• After  20  years  in  the  region,  Skechers  has  formed  a  new  Latin  American  subsidiary  and  plans  to  transition  21  of  its  stores  to  the  subsidiary  and  company-­‐owned  outlets.  

• The  new  subsidiary  will  manage  operations   in  more  than  30  countries,   including  Colombia,  Costa  Rica,  Panama  and  Peru.  

• Skechers  experienced  more  than  60%  growth   in   its   international  wholesale  business   in   the  second   quarter,   and   plans   to   deploy   its   strengths   in   marketing,   advertising,   capital   and  infrastructure  to  help  its  Latin  American  business  reach  its  potential.  

Havaianas  and  Disney  Announce  Strategic  Alliance  (August  10)  Company  press  release  

• Havaianas,  the  Brazilian  footwear  maker,  is  joining  a  new  strategic  alliance  with  Walt  Disney  World  Resort,  Disneyland  Resort  and  Disney  Vacation  Club.  

• The   footwear   maker   has   produced   Disney-­‐themed   flip-­‐flops   for   the   past   four   years,   and  products  will   soon   be   available   for   sale   at   22   retail   locations   across   the   above-­‐mentioned  properties   and   Disney’s   Blizzard   Beach   Water   Park,   Typhoon   Lagoon   and   California  Adventure.  

• Havaianas   is   also  working  with  Disney   to  develop   cobranded   flip-­‐flops   and  will   sponsor   all  runDisney  races  starting  in  November.  

Starbucks  Opens  First  Restaurant  in  Panama  (August  7)  EPRRetailNews.com  

• Starbucks  and  its  licensing  partner  in  Latin  America,  Premium  Restaurants  of  America  (PRA),  opened  the  first  Starbucks  in  Panama,  making  the  country  Starbucks’s  15th  market   in  Latin  America  and  its  67th  worldwide.  

• Starbucks  now  has  880  stores  in  Latin  America,  with  more  than  12,000  employees.  

• El   Salvador–based   PRA   has   opened   a   total   of   19   Starbucks   outlets,   including   eight   in   El  Salvador,  five  in  Costa  Rica,  five  in  Guatemala,  and  the  most  recent  addition  in  Panama.  

Procter  &  Gamble  Investing  to  Promote  Brands  in  Latin  America  (August  7)  WWD.com  

• Procter   &   Gamble   (P&G)   is   investing   for   growth   and   in   R&D   to   promote   its   haircare   and  deodorant  brands  in  Latin  America,  particularly  in  Mexico  and  Brazil.  

• P&G  recently  participated  in  the  Inexmoda  show,  using  more  than  2,300  products  across  its  brands  to  groom  400  models.  

• Leading  P&G  brands   in   Latin  America   include  Pantene,  Head  &  Shoulders,  Old  Spice,  Right  Guard  and  Escudo,  and  the  company  recently  launched  its  Aussie  brand  in  Brazil.  

Colombiamoda  to  Double  in  Size  by  2020  (August  5)  WWD.com  

• Colombiamoda,  the  fashion  and  sourcing  show  for  Colombian  fashion,  plans  to  double  in  size  by  2020  by  attracting  more  buyers  and  increasing  its  exhibition  space.  

• In   the   26th   annual   show,   revenue   from  potential   sourcing   contracts   increased   by   11%,   to  $341  million,  and  the  number  of  buyers  increased  by  20%,  to  13,271.  

• As   part   of   its   growth   plans,   show   owner   Inexmoda   plans   to   launch   a   fashion   trade   show  called  B  Capital  in  Bogotá  in  late  September,  the  week  after  Bogotá  Fashion  Week.  

       

  10

August 14, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CHN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

 

   

EARNINGS  CALENDAR    

      Sales  (Mil.)   EPS    

Company  

Earnings  Release  Period   Date  

Consensus  TY   LY  Actual  

Consensus  TY   LY  Actual   Currency  

JCPenney   2Q  16   Aug.  14   2,861.9   2,799.0   (0.50)   (0.58)   USD  

Convenience  Retail  Asia   1H  15   Aug.  14   N/A   2,238.6   N/A   (19.8)   HKD  

Estée  Lauder   4Q  15   Aug.  17   2,564.8   2,725.3   0.34   0.66   USD  

Home  Depot   2Q  16   Aug.  18   24,676.4   23,811.0   1.71   1.51   USD  

Walmart   2Q  16   Aug.  18   119,866.8   120,125.0   1.13   1.21   USD  

TJX  Companies   2Q  16   Aug.  18   7,253.0   6,917.2   0.76   0.75   USD  

Target   2Q  16   Aug.  19   17,399   17,406   1.11   0.77   USD  

Lowe’s   2Q  16   Aug.  20   17,328.7   16,599.0   1.25   1.04   USD  

L  Brands   2Q  16   Aug.  20   2,791.5   2,675.0   0.68   0.63   USD  

Sears   2Q  16   Aug.  20   5,718   8,014   (2.50)   (4.93)   USD  

Gap   2Q  16   Aug.  20   3,960.6   3,981.0   0.65   0.70   USD  

Li  &  Fung   1H  15   Aug.  20   8,750   8,709   N/A   0.01   USD  

American  Eagle  Outfitters   2Q  16   Aug.  20   769.1   710.6   0.14   0.03   USD  

Ross  Stores   2Q  16   Aug.  20   2,937.7   2,729.6   0.61   0.57   USD  

Trinity   1H  15   Aug.  20   1,082.0   1,259.6   N/A   0.05   HKD  

Ahold   2Q  15   Aug.  20   8,694.2   7,420.0   0.24   0.21   EUR  

ANN   2Q  16   Aug.  21   658.4   648.7   0.69   0.70   USD  

       

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August 14, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CHN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

EVENT  CALENDAR        

Event   Location   Date(s)   FBIC  Presentation  

Avon  Lee  International  Magic  Castle   Hong  Kong   August  14–16    

WWD  Fashion  Forum  Las  Vegas   Las  Vegas,  NV   August  16    

Magic   Las  Vegas,  NV   August  17–19    

FN  Platform   Las  Vegas,  NV   August  17–19    

NACDS  Total  Store  Expo   Denver,  CO   August  22–25   Deborah  Weinswig  

CIO  Retail  Summit   Scottsdale,  AZ   August  23–25    

An  IcOnic  Evening  with  Dan  Rose  &  Oren  Zeev   San  Francisco,  CA   August  25    

ICSC  Florida  Conference   Orlando,  FL  August  30–September  1    

AmCham  2015  China  Conference:  Managing  the  “New  Normal”   Hong  Kong   September  1    Dignity  U  Wear  15th  Anniversary:  Brooks  Brothers  Armed  Forces  Appreciation  Event   Jacksonville,  FL   September  2    

International  Retail  Design  Conference   Miami,  FL   September  3–5    

World  Retail  Congress   Rome,  Italy   September  8–10    Bank  of  America  Merrill  Lynch:  Gaming  and  Lodging  Conference   New  York,  NY   September  9    Goldman  Sachs  22nd  Annual  Global  Retailing  Conference   New  York,  NY   September  9–10  

Deborah  Weinswig,  John  Harmon,  Jing  Wang  

Connected  Health  Summit   San  Diego,  CA   September  9–10    InterDrone:  The  International  Drone  Conference   Las  Vegas,  NV   September  9–11    

NRF  Retail  Leaders  Dinner   Dallas,  TX   September  10    

MOBX  2015   Berlin,  Germany   September  11    

Demandware  Retail  Connect  Shanghai   Shanghai   September  15    

RetailWeek  Tech  &  EComm  Conference   London,  England   September  15–16    

The  Retail  Conference  2015   London,  England   September  16    

Under  Armour  Investor  Day   Baltimore,  MD   September  16    

Luxury  Retail  Summit:  Holiday  Focus  2015   New  York,  NY   September  16    Goldman  Sachs  24th  Annual  Communacopia  Conference   New  York,  NY   September  16    

WWD  Digital  Forum   New  York,  NY   September  16–17    Bank  of  America  Merrill  Lynch:  Global  Consumer  &  Retail  Conference   London,  England   September  16–18    

ICSC  Western  Conference  &  Deal  Making   San  Diego,  CA   September  16–18    

Fashion  4WRD   Boston,  MA   September  17    

   

       

  12

August 14, 2015

DEBORAH  WEINSWIG,  EXECUTIVE  DIRECTOR–HEAD  OF  GLOBAL  RETAIL  &  TECHNOLOGY  [email protected]    US:  917.655.6790    HK:  852.6119.1779    CHN:  86.186.1420.3016  Copyright  ©  2015  The  Fung  Group.  All  rights  reserved.  

   Deborah  Weinswig,  CPA  Executive  Director—Head  of  Global  Retail  &  Technology  Fung  Business  Intelligence  Centre  New  York:  917.655.6790  Hong  Kong:  +852  6119  1779  [email protected]    Filippo  Battaini  [email protected]    Sunny  Chan,  CFA  [email protected]    Marie  Driscoll,  CFA  [email protected]    John  Harmon,  CFA  [email protected]    Aragorn  Ho  [email protected]    John  Mercer  [email protected]    Kiril  Popov  [email protected]    Jing  Wang    [email protected]    Steven  Winnick  [email protected]