[day 2] center presentation: icarda
DESCRIPTION
Presented by W. Göbel at the CGIAR-CSI Annual Meeting 2009: Mapping Our Future. March 31 - April 4, 2009, ILRI Campus, Nairobi, KenyaTRANSCRIPT
Update on Geospatial Activities at ICARDA
E. De Pauw and W. Gö bel
CGIAR-CSI Meeting, ILRI, Nairobi
31 March-4 April 2009
Overview
Completed projects
Sunset projects
Continuing projects/activities
New projects
Publications
Interests for collaboration with extended CSI COP
Completed project 1:
Ecogeographical/botanical survey
Area covered: Jebel Wastani and Jebel Zawia in Idleb province,
NW Syria
Outcomes: Areas identified unsuitable for rock removal
(based on biophysical and cultural criteria) Area identified for biodiversity conservation Guidelines for developing a management plan for
the proposed conservation area
Follow-up 2009: Soil survey to experiment with Bayesian mapping
methods
Completed project 2:
Climate change maps Egypt / Tajikistan
In support of the Expert Consultation on Climate Change held by WFP in Cairo, 3-4 November 2008
High-resolution (1 km) change maps based on the calibration method for downscaling of average output of 21 GCM models, scenario A1B, time frame 2080-2099
Example of simple downscaling:
Importance of upstream-downstream relationships
Nile Basin:
Sunset project 1:
CACILM
Central Asia Sustainable Land Management Research Project
Multidisciplinary Role of GIS component: assist with defining recommendation domains
for technological options tested at CACILM benchmark sites through
Characterization of benchmark sites Mapping similarity in climate, land use,
topography and soils
New soil map for Central Asia through compilation of national maps
Sunset project 2:
Agroecological Zoning Egypt
In association with the Agricultural Research Council (ARC) of Egypt
Integrating climate, land use and soil information to identify areas with similar irrigation management needs
Sunset project 3:
Turkey Land Suitability Mapping
Ongoing country-level assessment of agroecological zones and land suitability for 20 crops
Finalized agroclimatic and agroecological zoning of Turkey
Completing now land suitability component Outcome for use in other projects:
Models for score-based qualitative crop suitability assessments
Advantages: more robust, flexible, cheaper and easier to use in large-area suitability assessments with limited datasets
Disadvantage: no direct link to yield expectation
Sunset project 4:
Sudan (Resource) Poverty Mapping
Components Mapping agricultural potential regions of Sudan
Characterizing the natural resources constraints and potential and the production systems of the agricultural potential regions
Characterizing natural resource potential and poverty by state in Sudan
Household surveys in selected regions for validation
Adaptation of a methodology developed in Syria
Problems for completing the study: New census data not yet released by Sudan government
Without population density data not possible to spatialize the per-capita income from agriculture
Use of remote sensing: above-ground biomass assessment using MODIS imagery
SUDAN Above-ground biomass
Northern Darfur
Western Darfur
Southern Darfur
Continuing projects/activities
In the context of climate change research Enabling current agroclimatic analyses for future
climate
Trend analysis and drought mapping in the non-tropical drylands; mapping of interannual climatic variability Based on analysis of CRU and GPCC data sets
Update of the ICARDA Agroclimate Tool Better weather generator, better spatialization
methods -> truly site-specific recommendations and crop monitoring
Central Asia
Central Asia
New project 1:
Water harvesting in Libya
Agroecological zoning of Libya
Mapping and characterization of agricultural regions
Spatial analysis of potential for specific water harvesting techniques based on improved Syria methodology
at higher resolution (1:50,000 scale in agricultural regions of Libya)
Better data availability Libya (especially soils)
Improvements in assessment of runoff/run-on relationships and for macro-catchment systems
New project 2:
Climate change impact assessments in Central Asia
Funded by Asian Development Bank
GIS component involves mapping for selected ‘futures’(models, time frames and emission scenarios):
basic climate surfaces with medium-resolution for selected futures
drought risk (probabilities of not exceeding critical precipitation levels) for climates of the selected futures
shifts in suitability for land use systems (specific crops, rangelands), using land suitability models
projected shifts of agro-ecosystems (agroecological zones, agricultural regions, land use systems)
recommendation domains for CACILM technologies most relevant for CC
Partner: IFPRI
New project 3:
Mapping wheat growing areas
Component of ‘Durable Resistance to Rust in Wheat’: Funded by B&MGF
Objective 3 ‘Tracking Wheat Rust Pathogens’ maps of wheat growing areas GISU role: 1-km resolution mapping of
wheat growing areas in West and South Asia
2009: Syria covered
Methodology for outscaling to rest of West and South Asia
Publications 1:Country-level assessment of land suitability for water harvesting
Publications 2:Country-level assessment of land suitability for supplemental irrigation
Publications 3: Agroecological zoning and similarity mapping Karkhe River Basin, Iran - Ecogeographical and botanical survey
Publications 4: Ecogeographical and botanical survey in Idleb Province, NW Syria
GIS in ICARDA
GIS is now ‘mainstreamed’ in ICARDA
Work with all research programs in several projects
Consensus about staff time recovery (no more free lunches)
Center-wide initiatives of interest
Probabilistic methods of soil property and crop distribution mapping
Climate change impact assessments from biophysical and socioeconomic perspectives