day 1: setting the stage - fdra · 2019-10-30 · (2016-2020) $38 million in port authority funds...
TRANSCRIPT
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Welcome Address & Update on Port Operations During the Age of TariffsDr. Noel Hacegaba, Deputy Executive Director, Port of Long Beach
Day 1: Setting the Stage
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POLB: Port Efficiency & ProductivityInnovation, Digitization and Collaboration
2019 FTDC | October 28, 2019Dr. Noel Hacegaba, Deputy Executive Director
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PORT OF LONG BEACH
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WORLD’S 9TH BUSIEST PORT COMPLEX
PORT OF LONG BEACHPORT OF LOS ANGELES
*BASED ON 2018 CONTAINER CARGO VOLUMES
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MAJOR ECONOMIC ENGINE$200 BILLION IN TRADE, MILLIONS OF JOBS
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THE GREEN PORT
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POLB Strategic PlanGoal #1: Strengthen the Port’s competitive position through secure and efficient movement of cargo while providing outstanding customer service
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OPERATIONAL EXCELLENCE
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Cargo Owner Ocean CarrierTerminal Operator Port Authority
LaborRailroadMotor Carrier
Complexity in the Supply Chain
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Independent Carriers
2M+H+ZAlliance
THE Alliance
OCEAN Alliance
Ocean Carrier Alliances
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Port’s Role in Optimizing Operations-Facilitating communication and collaboration-Enabling innovation and information-sharing-Enhancing velocity and reliability-Creating value for the end-user
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TITLE HERE
Secondary Headline Here
• Bullets here
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• Truck Appointments
• Terminal operators: missed appointments
• Cargo owners (trucking companies): appointment availability
• Ocean carriers: repositioning of empties
• Chassis Availability
• Dislocation
• Repositioning
Challenges
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Source: PMSA
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San Pedro Bay Chassis Provision
• “Pool of Pools” model commenced operation in March 2015
• 3 participating IEPs: DCLI, FLEXI-VAN and TRAC
• 67,500 “interoperable” chassis as of Q1 2019
• 18 Start/Stop locations: MTOs, R/Rs and PCMC
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TECHNOLOGY
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Technology and process improvements to strengthen port competitiveness
• Reduce friction• Standardization and interoperability• Data exchange, information visibility and
predictability
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Digitization in Port Operations
• Transactional Products: How fast can we move containers through the gate?
• Visibility Products: Where is my box and when can I get it?
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• Appointment Systems• Advanced Gate Systems• Asset Tracking
Transactional Products
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• GE Port Optimizer• Maersk TradeLens• Predictive Availability
Visibility Products
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Application Programming Interfaces
• Automatic creation of appointments as soon as containers become available,
• Automatic cancellation of appointments that cannot be kept allowing for that time slot to be made available to other truckers
• Automatic grouping of appointments to facilitate dual transactions.
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THANK YOU
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POLB.com/subscribe@PortofLongBeach @PortofLongBeach@PortofLB
Dr. Noel HacegabaDeputy Executive Director
[email protected](562) 283-7071
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Keynote: The Global Supply Chain, Yesterday, Today, and TomorrowSam Ruda, Director, Port Authority of New York & New Jersey
Setting the Stage
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FDRAThe Global Supply Chain
October 28, 2019
Long Beach, California
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Discussion Topics for PANY&NJ
§ Brief Updates from PANY&NJ
§ Bayonne Bridge Project: Status and Impacts
§ Late Gate, Weekend Hours: Pros and Cons
§ Demurrage: Impacts on Terminal Operations
§ Tariffs: Impacts on Port Activity
Capital of Commerce32
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Largest East Coast port. 2nd largest in the U.S.
3 Capital of Commerce
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44 million consumers within a 4-hour drive
Capital of Commerce4
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Container throughput (in thousand units)
0.00
100.00
200.00
300.00
400.00
500.00
600.00
700.00
0.00
1,000.00
2,000.00
3,000.00
4,000.00
5,000.00
6,000.00
7,000.00
8,000.00
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
TEU Rail Lifts
Capital of Commerce13
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1.5 million annual rail lift capacity
9 Capital of Commerce
• Four on-dock ExpressRail facilities serving all six marine terminals.
• ExpressRail Elizabeth, Newark, Staten Island and Port Jersey.
• ExpressRail Port Jersey at GCT Bayonne completed in 2019.
• Connection to three Class I railroads, CSX, Norfolk Southern, and CN (Eastern Canada)
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Phased Rail Network improvement
4
ExpressRail Elizabeth Southbound Connector
Improved AKLB Operating Rules
Additional Raff Staging Tracks
2018 Staging and Fluidity Study Preliminary Recommendations
Capital of Commerce25
PHASE 1(2004-2008)
$25 million in Port Authority Funds$39.1 million in Conrail Funds
• Strategic double-tracking and interlocking improvements.• Improved connections to mainline networks.
PHASE 2(2016-2020)
$38 million in Port Authority Funds$21 million in Conrail Funds
• Capacity and staging improvements to support Greenville Yard ICTF.• Waverly Loop (2) approximately 10,000’ track lengths, additional
entrance/exit into Port Newark and additional staging, 2020 completion.
• Raff tracks (2) 5200 feet of staging tracks, 2019 completion.
PHASE 3(2020-Beyond)
ExpressRail Elizabeth Southbound Connector “Wye.”Additional staging tracks at Raff Yard.
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1 billion square feet of warehousing and distribution space
10 Capital of Commerce
• 1 billon square feet of warehousing and distribution space within 50 miles of the port.
• High concentration of warehouse and distribution centers near the port and located on key freight routes.
• Significant growth in E-Commerce and Perishables/Food & Beverage
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215-foot Bayonne Bridge Impacts
• Mix of vessel types calling Port is evolving
• Increased access by ultra large container vessels between 10,000-18,000 TEU
• Not seeing Port consolidation (yet) on East Coast
• Commenced “New Start” Study with Army Corps
20 Capital of Commerce
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Vessel calls by class
Capital of Commerce14
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
2016 2017 2018
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Late Gates/Weekend Gates: Pros & Cons
§ Weekend gates and late gates happening today, but terminal specific
§ Generally in response to “events” including holidays and response to weather
§ Not a Collective Bargaining issue
§ Efficient means to add capacity
§ Response to strong intermodal growth
§ There is a cost
§ Also requires coordination with CBP
Capital of Commerce41
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Tariff Impacts YTD
§ Top Line impacts have been limited (thus far)
§ Some shifts in seasonality attributable to “go live” dates for tariffs
§ Share declines from China, but this pre-dates the start of tariffs
§ Too early to tell on Europe tariffs that were effective 10/18/19
§ Cargo mix for exports has moderately changed but not declined in the aggregate
§ Strong interest in FTZ Applications
Capital of Commerce42
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Foreign Trade Zone No.49
• Port of NY and NJ is located in Foreign Trade Zone No.49.
• Zone users total 81, including:
• Warehouses/distribution centers.
• Processing and assembly/manufacturing.
• Crude oil importing and refining.
41 Capital of Commerce
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[email protected] us at:
www.portnynj.com @portnynj
The Port is a facility of The Port Authority of NY & NJ
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Keynote: Brimstone or Hellfire? How lowering sulphur will impact the future of sustainable shippingTakashi Masuda, SVP Marketing and Commercial, Ocean Network Express (ONE)
Setting the Stage
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Copyright © Ocean Network Express Pte. Ltd. All Rights Reserved
Footwear Trade Distribution and Customs Conference 2019
Takashi Masuda
Oct 28 2019
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Copyright © Ocean Network Express Pte. Ltd. All Rights Reserved47
Surveys 1-3
Survey One: What is ONE�シs m ark et s hare in te rm s o f F le et S cale S iz e?
Survey Two :How much fuel is being consumed by the Global container ship fleet annually?
Survey Three:How big is the financial impact of IMO2020 to the container shipping annually?
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Copyright © Ocean Network Express Pte. Ltd. All Rights Reserved
Survey One Choices
48
1. 17.9%
2. 12.2%
3. 6.7%
4. 2.8%
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Copyright © Ocean Network Express Pte. Ltd. All Rights Reserved
Survey Two Choices
49
1. 70 million metric tons
2. 2 million metric tons
3. 275 million metric tons
4. 45 million metric tons Disclaimer: All figures guesstimates based on various published data
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Copyright © Ocean Network Express Pte. Ltd. All Rights Reserved
Survey Three Choices
50
1. usd14 billion
2. usd21 billion
3. usd100 billion
4. Usd1.3 billion
Disclaimer: All figures guesstimates based on various published data
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Copyright © Ocean Network Express Pte. Ltd. All Rights Reserved
" Introduction ONE
" IMO 2020 Recap
" IMO2020 PreparationsOperationsInvestments
" Summary : ONE Approach
" Q & A
51
Agenda
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Copyright © Ocean Network Express Pte. Ltd. All Rights Reserved
Operating Company Profile
52
Company Profile• Tradename
OCEAN NETWORK EXPRESS PTE. LTD.• CEO
Jeremy Nixon • Global Head Quarters • Republic of Singapore• 5 Regional Head Quarters
North America (Richmond , VA)South America (Sao Paolo, Brazil)Europe (London , UK)East Asia (Hong Kong)South East Asia (Singapore)
• Date of Establishment*July 7th, 2017
**Date of Establishment* in this section refers to the date MOL and “K” Line add their investment to the new company. Company registration was done earlier on March 27, 2017, with NYK as the initial investor based on the terms of the business integration agreement.
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Copyright © Ocean Network Express Pte. Ltd. All Rights Reserved
Global Network – www.one-line.com
53
Europe
Asia(including
Middle East)
NorthAmerica
AfricaSouth
AmericaOceania
Asia North America- 18 Weekly Services
Asia Europe- 11 Weekly Services
Africa- 9 Weekly Services
Latin America- 11 Weekly ServicesOceania
- 10 Weekly Services
Europe North America- 7 Weekly Services
Intra Europe- 1 Weekly Service
Intra Asia58 Weekly Services
Survey One: What is ONE’s Fleet Scale market share when measured in TEUs ?
ONE Global Operations 210 container ships, 1.5 million teus125 weekly services
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Copyright © Ocean Network Express Pte. Ltd. All Rights Reserved
Survey One Choices
54
1. 17.9%
2. 12.2%
3. 6.7%
4. 2.8%
Disclaimer: All figures guesstimates based on various published data
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Survey One Answers
55
1. 17.9% Maersk
2. 12.2% Cosco Group
3. 6.7% ONE
4. 2.8% Yang Ming Disclaimer: All figures guesstimates based on various published data
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Top 30 Carriers As of 1 January 2019
Source: Alphaliner Monthly Monitor January 2019
ONE Fleet Scale (6.7% )
56
ONE ranks #6 of top 30 carriersMarket Share: 6.7%Operating fleet: 216 ContainershipsOperating Capacity: 1.51 Million teus
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" IMO 2020 Recap
57
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Recap :The International Maritime Organization (IMO) will regulate Ocean Carriers to limit the sulphur content of emissions from fuel oil in open waters to be less than 0.5% starting Jan 1, 2020. It is 3.5% in open waters and 0.1% in Emission Control Areas (ECA zones) today.
Methods available :1. Change fuel from High Sulphur Fuel Oil to Low-Sulphur
Fuel Oil or Low Sulphur Gas Oil 2. Install Exhaust Gas Cleaning Systems( Scrubbers)3. Use new alternative fuel Engines that comply such as
LNG(Liquefied Natural Gas), Methanol etc.
MARPOL 2020 Global Sulphur Limit
58
Click for PDF brochure
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Enforcement/Penalties for non compliance:
Ø Policies and penalties set by each Port State
Ø No set global penalties.
Ø Industry hope is focus will be on enforcement of compliance without disruption to services. IE minimize disruption to vessel operations while
controlling emission levels.
MARPOL 2020 Global Sulphur Limit
59
Click for PDF brochure
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" IMO2020 PreparationsOperationsInvestments
60
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Operational Preparations : Burning a different fuel
ØLSGO FlushingFlush dead oil by LSGO for all tanks. LSGO amount is based on the calculation.Dead oil : Un pumpable oil
ØSequential DilutionDilute the dead oil by LSGO or ULSFO for multiple tanks. Calculate the sulphur content based on the volume of oil.
ØManual CleaningPhysical cleaning of fuel oil storage tank.
ØMaximize use of HSFO , pump LSFO for useNo preparation required .
Fuel Oil Storage Tank
LSGO
Dead Oil
Tank preparation method determined by the Owner of the vessel (Various)
Step 1: Fuel Switch Tank Preparation
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• Plan for all 200+ ONE vessels
• Fuel availability varies by port
• No HSFO on board by March 2020
Operational Preparations : Burning a different fuel
Step 2: Preparing a Operational Schedule Operational Schedule determined by the Charterer (ONE)
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S traight R un• ULS GO( S : 0 . 1 % )• V LS GO( S : 0 . 5 % )
S traight R un• V LS FO( S : 0 . 5 % )
B lending ( GO + HS FO)• V LS FO( S : 0 . 5 % )
B lending( GO + LCO + HS FO)
• V LS FO( S : 0 . 5 % )
RefineryTraders /
Independents
Floating storages
Onshore tankages
S traight R un HS FO• ( S : 3 . 5 % )
B lends
RESIDUALS
Operational Preparations : Burning a different fuel Step 3: Procurement of LSFO Various sources
DISTILLATES
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• 87% of ONE�シs 1 ,5 00KT d em and: c overe d
Step 3: VSLFO(0.5%) Procurement �2019/4Q to 2020/1Q
USEC
BR
China
ARA/LEH
S’PORE
PA
JEAAIM
Pending
FER
Depend on Avails
100%
100%
PUS70%
CHINA
USEC98%
Note: KT (1,000 MT)
S’PORE
97%
HK100%
TH85%
TH
98%
ARA/LEH
84% PUS
USWC/PNW
79%PA
Operational Preparations : Burning a different fuel
Survey Two :How much fuel is being burned by the Container Ship Fleet annually?
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Survey Two Choices
65
1. 70 million metric tons
2. 2 million metric tons
3. 275 million metric tons
4. 45 million metric tons Disclaimer: All figures guesstimates based on various published data
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Survey Two Answers
66
1. 70 million metric tons @
2. 2 million metric tons LA/LBC
3. 275 million metric tons All ship types
4. 45 million metric tons Singapore
Disclaimer: All figures guesstimates based on some published data
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Investment Solutions:
67
Illustration extracted from Class NK Guidelines for Exhaust Gas Cleaning Systems v3.
Option 1: Exhaust Gas Cleaning Systems (Scrubbers)
Economics based on price spread of fuel oil used.For emissions control (Nox) not a long term solution
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• Alpha Liner estimates including new builds shown above• ONE will equip some vessels scrubbers using dry dock opportunities.• Not a lot of vessels intending to using alternative fuel solutions at this moment.*subject to change.
Investment solutions: Landscape
Survey Three:What is the potential cost impact of IMO2020 to the container shipping industry?
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Survey Three Choices
69
1. usd14 billion
2. usd21 billion
3. usd100 billion
4. usd1.3 billion Disclaimer: All figures guesstimates based on various published data
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Survey Three Answers
70
1. usd14 billion usd200/mt fuel differential
2. usd21 billion scrubber to existing vessels
3. usd100 billion engine conversion to LNG fuel
4. usd1.3 billion cost of SingaporeLNG terminal (4 mts/yr)
Disclaimer: Figures single transactional estimates based on various data
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" Summary : ONE Approach
71
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Summary ONE MARPOL 2020 Global Sulphur Limit
72
• ONE to be fully compliant
• ONE main solution to be switch of fuel
• Minimal disruptions to ONE vessel operations due to fuel switch
• ONE will continue to study alternative longer term solutions
• ONE will need to recover the incremental cost of compliance
*subject to change.