david timoney, dublin cycling campaign. sbir challengue march 23rd
TRANSCRIPT
Barriers to increasing cycling in Dublin
The context•City population growing.
•Traffic congestion increasing.
•Health & CO2 challenges.
•Shift needed from cars to cycling/walking/public transport.
Current situation
42,000 extra daily commuters expected in Dublin city by 2023.
The target for cycling is for a threefold increase.
48%
33%
10%
5%
3%
55%
20%
10%
15%
0%
Public transport
Car
Walking
Cycling
Other
0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%
Dublin city mode share 2014 actuals & 2023 target
2023 2014
Source: Dublin City Transport Study 2015
Avg of 1.2 persons per car
For cycling: an increase to 35k from the current figure of 10k (+25k).
The main reduction is from cars, (-17k).
35,861
-17,235
3,756
24,852
-5,234
-20,000
-10,000
-
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
Public transport Car Walking Cycling Other
Dublin city change in mode by category to reach 2023 target
3%3% 2%
4%
6%
9%
11%
14%
15%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
1996 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 2026 2031 2034
Cycling mode share Dublin City: actuals & forecast
Cycling mode share Dublin: actuals & forecast
Current cycling mode share is 5.4%. At current rates, 2034 before 15% reached.
6
Source: Dublin City Transport Study 2015
2014 mode
share: 5.4%
The Barriers
Perception of danger, bad weather
Danger:
Safety: a problem of danger
Subjective safety: a problem of fear
Weather:
Dublin has similar rainfall to Amsterdam and less than Freiburg
Strong link between bike theft & bike use
26%
16%
40%
26%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
UK Dublin
Impact of Bike Theft on bike use: UK & Dublin
Stop cycling Cycle less
3,200
5,200
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
Dublin
Impact of Bike Theft on Cycling in Dublin
Stop cycling Cycle less
With 20,000 estimated thefts per year in Dublin, we could be losing over 3,000 cyclists each year
Bike parking - bad practice Apartment blocks, terraced houses & public streets
Best practice: Accessibility, Security & Safety
• Metal cage, covered.
• Close to apt entrance (accessibility)
• Sheffield hoops
• Well lit & no personal security issues
• Above ground with natural surveillance
• CCTV
42
32
2623
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
2013 2014 2015 2016
Sustainable Transport Funding Greater Dublin Area: 2013-2016 (M€)
Funding & staffing don’t support targets Transport budget €1.7bn. National target of 10% of
journeys by bike by 2020 (currently 2.2%).
1.4% of
transport
budget
Opportunities
53% of car journeys in Dublin are less than 6km.How can we convert these to cycling?
National Travel Survey 2014
13%
37%
53%
62%
100%
-10%
10%
30%
50%
70%
90%
110%
<2km <4km <6km <8km All
Distribution of journey distance by car for Dublin
Dublin cumulative %
Opportunities• Cycling gender split: 70% men, 30% women.
• 200k living in apartment blocks…if we could fix bike parking..
• <2% of secondary school pupils cycle to school (Denmark 40%).
• Parking in cycling lanes – enforcement.
• Are people aware of the time & cost savings of cycling?
• Build case studies to prove the investment case for cycling.
• Cost to city of adding 5/10/15 mins to commuting times?