data mining mine mining: principles of ational risk … · 2007-02-26 · workshop proceedings:...

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___________________________________________________________________________________ Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data 41 DATA MINING AND MINE MINING: PRINCIPLES AND LIMITATIONS OF NATIONAL RISK MAPPING FOR EXOTIC INSECTS AND DISEASES Bill Smith USDA Forest Service Forest Health Protection ‘Risk’ is defined as the likelihood of an undesirable event and ‘hazard’ as the undesired effect should the event occur. Both ‘risk’ and ‘hazard’ are discussed in terms of the Sudden Oak Death occurrence that appeared nationwide in recent years. A simple conceptual model was developed based on knowledge of host, climate, and pathways from the key introduction points. It was followed up with both surveys and evaluation of FIA data plots. The Data Quality Act is mentioned as an additional incentive to document well how we construct any risk map.

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Page 1: DATA MINING MINE MINING: PRINCIPLES OF ATIONAL RISK … · 2007-02-26 · Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data 41 DATA MINING AND MINE MINING:

___________________________________________________________________________________

Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data

41

DATA MINING AND MINE MINING: PRINCIPLES AND LIMITATIONS

OF NATIONAL RISK MAPPING FOR EXOTIC INSECTS AND DISEASES

Bill Smith

USDA Forest ServiceForest Health Protection

‘Risk’ is defined as the likelihood of an undesirable event and ‘hazard’ as the undesired effectshould the event occur. Both ‘risk’ and ‘hazard’ are discussed in terms of the Sudden OakDeath occurrence that appeared nationwide in recent years. A simple conceptual model wasdeveloped based on knowledge of host, climate, and pathways from the key introductionpoints. It was followed up with both surveys and evaluation of FIA data plots. The DataQuality Act is mentioned as an additional incentive to document well how we construct anyrisk map.

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Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data

W.D. Smith __________________________________________________________________________________

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Page 3: DATA MINING MINE MINING: PRINCIPLES OF ATIONAL RISK … · 2007-02-26 · Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data 41 DATA MINING AND MINE MINING:

___________________ Data Minng and Mind Mining: Principles and Limitations of National Risk Mapping

Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data

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Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data

W.D. Smith __________________________________________________________________________________

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___________________ Data Minng and Mind Mining: Principles and Limitations of National Risk Mapping

Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data

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Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data

W.D. Smith __________________________________________________________________________________

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___________________ Data Minng and Mind Mining: Principles and Limitations of National Risk Mapping

Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data

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Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data

W.D. Smith __________________________________________________________________________________

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___________________ Data Minng and Mind Mining: Principles and Limitations of National Risk Mapping

Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data

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Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data

W.D. Smith __________________________________________________________________________________

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___________________ Data Minng and Mind Mining: Principles and Limitations of National Risk Mapping

Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data

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Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data

W.D. Smith __________________________________________________________________________________

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___________________ Data Minng and Mind Mining: Principles and Limitations of National Risk Mapping

Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data

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Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data

W.D. Smith __________________________________________________________________________________

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___________________ Data Minng and Mind Mining: Principles and Limitations of National Risk Mapping

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Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data

W.D. Smith __________________________________________________________________________________

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___________________ Data Minng and Mind Mining: Principles and Limitations of National Risk Mapping

Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data

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Workshop Proceedings: Quantitative Techniques for Deriving National Scale Data

W.D. Smith __________________________________________________________________________________

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