current situation of urbanization in japan
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June 4, 2013. Current Situation of Urbanization in Japan. Masateru HINO ( Tohoku Univ.). 1. Basic information on Urbanization of Japan. 1) Population : 128 million people (2010). 2) Area: 3780,000 square kilometers. 3) Percentage of population of densely inhabited district ( DID) : - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Current Situation of Urbanization in Japan
June 4, 2013
Masateru HINO( Tohoku Univ.)
1. Basic information on Urbanization of Japan
1) Population: 128 million people (2010)
2) Area: 3780,000 square kilometers
3) Percentage of population of densely inhabited district( DID): 67% in 2010 Percentage of population of cities: 91% in 2010
4) Population growth of national population during from 2000 to 2010: 0.9%
5) Population growth of DID’s population: 4.0%
1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 17 190
1,000,000
2,000,000
3,000,000
4,000,000
5,000,000
6,000,000
7,000,000
8,000,000
9,000,000Tokyo
Yokohama
OsakaNagoya
Sapporo
Figure 2 Rank-size distribution of major cities in 2005
( Source: Japanese Population Census of 2005)
2.1 Background of current situation of Japanese
urbanization: Demographic changes
( Source: Office for policies on cohesive society, Cabinet Office, Government of Japan)
1950 ‘60 ‘70 ‘80 ‘90 2000 ‘10 ‘20 ‘30 ‘40 ‘50 ‘60
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
0
(Million) (%)50
40
30
20
10
~ 19 20 ~ 64 65 ~
Actual population Estimated population
Ratio of population by 65 years old or more
Figure 3 Change of population and age composition in Japan
1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 20101.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
4.0
Figure 4 Changes in total fertility rate of Japan( Source: “Vital Statistics” Statistics and Information Department, Minister's Secretariat, MHLW )
2.2 Multinationalization of Japanese firms : Excess of investment overseas
2001 2005 201020
25
30
35(%)
Figure 5 Transition in foreign productionratio of Japanese manufactures
(Source: Japan Bank for International Cooperation,Research report, 2012)
3. From expansion to compactness: The case of Tokyo Metropolitan Areas
Shinjyuku, 2009( Source: http://upload.wikimedia.org/)
Marunouchi( Source: http://image.search.yahoo.co.jp/)
1) Stopping the expansion of commuting area of Tokyo central area : Area with 10 or more percent of commuter ratio is limited to the sphere of a radius of 60 km.
1985 2005
Percentage of commuter for Tokyo 23 wards(Source: Japanese Population Census)
東京圏における老年人口比率(2005年)
2) Spatial pattern of aging in Tokyo Metropolitan Area: Rapid proceeding in the suburb residential area
Percentage of people by 65 years old or more
1990 2005
(Source: Japanese Population Census)
Housing in Suburb Housing in Inner Area3) Housing Types
40
30
20
10
0
-10
(%)
0~10km 10~30km 30~50km第6図 東京50km圏における距離帯別人口増加率
(出所:江崎(2006))Population growth rate by distance belt in the sphere of radius of 50 km from Tokyo
(source: Ezaki(2006))
4) Rehabitation in the inner area
4
3
2
1
01990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
(万戸) (%)
第9図 都心部における分譲マンションによる 住宅供給戸数の推移
(出所:江崎(2006)による。)
5) Rapid growth of supplying of houses by condominium in the inner area
Number of houses supplied
(10,000)
Share of the inner area
Transition of number of houses newly supplied by condominium in Tokyo Metropolitan Area
( Source: Ezaki(2006))
Sendai
4. Forwarding to a compact city: The case of Sendai City, the regional central city of Tohoku Region
1) Landscape of CBD of Sendai City
2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035800
900
1,000
1, 100
1,200
1, 300
1,400
1, 500
1,600(千人)
仙台都市圏
仙台都市圏の将来人口(出所:仙台市)
仙台市
Sendai Metropolitan Area
Sendai City
((Thousand)
Anticipated population change in Sendai
2) Trend of future population in Sendai
人口増減率
5%<=,<10%2.5%<=,<5%
10%<=
0%<=,<2.5%-2.5%<=,<0%
<-5%-5%<=,<-2.5%
第10図 仙台市の人口増減の空間パターン(1995-2005年)
0 5 10
仙台駅都心商業地
km
3) Population changes by small areal unit in Sendai from 1995 to 2005
Population growth
StationCommercial Center
Spatial pattern of population change by 1 km mesh in Sendai
( Source: Japanese Population Census)
0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000
200,000
1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006
Sapporo
Sendai
Hiroshima
Fukuoka
( Person)
4) Shrinking in agglomeration of branch offices in regional central cities
Changes in employees working at branch offices in four regional central cities (Source: Japanese Eetablishment Census)
5) Office buildings looking for tenants in Sendai’ CBD
199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820090
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
Sapporo
Sendai
Hiroshima
Fukuoka
( %)
6) Increase of vacant rooms at office buildings in CBD of four regional central cities
Changes in vacancy factor of office buildings in four regional central cities
( Source: CB Richard Ellis : Japan Office Market View)
Intensive land use plan based on rail-way centered transportation network
( Source: Sendai Municipality, 2008)
7) Spatial strategy in the master plan of Sendai City
Types of linkages between citiesTypes of linkages between cities(source :Hino(2009))
5. Urban network for the sustainable vitality
Tohoku University Campus
Katahira Campus
Faculty of Science ( Aobayama Campus)
Kawauchi Campus
Botanic Garden