current employment statistics highlights november 2019 · over - the - month change, january 2016...
TRANSCRIPT
November 2019
Release Date: December 6, 2019
Prepared by Analysts of the National Estimates Branch Current Employment Statistics Survey
U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
202-691-6555 Email CES
Contents
Summary
Mining & Logging
Construction
Manufacturing
Wholesale Trade
Retail Trade
Transportation, Warehousing, & Utilities
Information
Financial Activities
Professional & Business Services
Private Education & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Other Services
Government
Current Employment Statistics Highlights
Detailed Industry Employment Analysis
Current Employment Statistics
Highlights
Current Employment Statistics Summary, November 2019
CES Highlights
Release Date: December 6, 2019
In social assistance, employment continued
to trend up in individual and family services
(+11,000).
+54,000 Manufacturing
Manufacturing employment rose by 54,000
in November, offsetting a loss of 43,000 in the
prior month. Workers in motor vehicle and
parts manufacturing were on strike in October
Nonfarm employment increased by
266,000 in November. Employment continued
to trend up in health care and in professional
and technical services. The return to work by
employees who had been on strike in
manufacturing also contributed to the
November strength.
The employment change for October
revised up from +128,000 to +156,000, and
the change for September revised up from
+180,000 to +193,000. On net, employment
over these months is 41,000 higher than
previously reported.
Average hourly earnings of all employees
on private-sector payrolls rose by 7 cents or
0.2 percent in November. Over the year,
hourly earnings have increased by 3.1 percent.
Average weekly hours were unchanged at 34.4
hours.
+74,000 Education and Health Services
Employment in health care rose by 45,000
in November. Within ambulatory care, above-
average job gains in offices of physicians
(+16,000), dentists (+6,000), and home health
care (+9,000) followed little change in
October. Hospitals added 10,000 jobs in
November.
90
232234
211
15
282
336
135
270
128
170
215
252
141
127
213
128
229
204
187
18
260
220
174171
330
182
196
270262
178
282
108
277
196
227
312
56
153
216
62
178166
219
193
156
266
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19
Over-the-month change Annual average
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics, December 06, 2019.Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
Over-the-month change, January 2016–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Employment in total nonfarm
Summary Mining & Logging
Construction Manufacturing Trade:
Wholesale Retail
Transp., Warehousing
& Utilities Information
Financial Activities
Professional & Business
Services
Private Education & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Other Services
Government
CES Highlights
Release Date: December 6, 2019
then returned to work in November, leaving
employment in the industry little changed
over the 2-month span (-2,000).
+45,000 Leisure and Hospitality
Employment continued to trend up in
leisure and hospitality (+45,000). Over the
past 4 months, the industry has added 219,000
jobs. Food services and drinking places
accounted for much of the trend over this
period (+149,000).
+38,000 Professional and Business Services
Professional and technical services added
31,000 jobs in November. Over the year, this
industry has added 278,000 jobs.
+16,000 Transportation and Warehousing
In November, employment rose in
warehousing and storage (+8,000) and in
couriers and messengers (+5,000).
+13,000 Financial Activities
Employment continued to trend up in
financial activities in November. The industry
has added 116,000 jobs over the year.
+2,000 Retail Trade
Employment changed little in retail trade in
November. Job gains in general merchandise
stores (+22,000) and motor vehicle and parts
dealers (+8,000) were partly offset by a loss of
18,000 in clothing and accessories stores.
-7,000 Mining and Logging
Mining employment fell by 7,000 in
November. Support activities accounted for
6,000 of the loss, while a small strike pulled
employment lower in metal mining (-1,000).
12
9
45
74
38
13
13
1
16
2
-4
54
1
-7
-40 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100
Government
Other services
Leisure and hospitality
Education and health services*
Professional and business services
Financial activities
Information
Utilities
Transportation and warehousing
Retail trade
Wholesale trade
Manufacturing*
Construction
Mining and logging*
Employment in total nonfarm
November 2019 Prior 12-month average
Over-the-month change, November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Total nonfarm:266*
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, December 06, 2019.
Data are preliminary.
* denotes significance
Current Employment Statistics Summary, November 2019
Summary Mining & Logging
Construction Manufacturing Trade:
Wholesale Retail
Transp., Warehousing
& Utilities Information
Financial Activities
Professional & Business
Services
Private Education & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Other Services
Government
Mining employment declined by 7,000 in
November. Since reaching a peak in May,
mining employment has declined by 19,000.
These losses can be attributed to support
activities for mining, which has lost 24,000
jobs since May.
In November, the contraction in mining
employment reflected a decline in the
number of active domestic rotary oil rigs.
-15
-21 -2
0-1
2-1
2 -10
-4 -4-1
-34
03
5 59
54
36
21
40
7 79 9
58
08
4
6-3
45
-21
1 1-2
-5-7
1 1-7
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19
Employment in miningOver-the-month change, January 2016–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, December 06, 2019.
Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
Mining and Logging
Summary Mining & Logging
Construction Manufacturing Trade:
Wholesale Retail
Transp., Warehousing
& Utilities Information
Financial Activities
Professional & Business
Services
Private Education & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Other Services
Government
CES Highlights
Release Date: December 6, 2019
Construction employment was essentially
flat in November (+1,000). So far in 2019,
construction has added an average of 12,000
jobs per month, compared to gains
averaging 26,000 per month in 2018.
The flatness in construction employment
in November follows declines in construction
spending and new home sales in October.
-210
37
22
-810
32
134
27
22
832 33
14 17
827
230
1622
34
33
33
73
229
37
17 19
34
17
25
516
56
-23
15
34
119
-37 9
14
1
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19
Employment in constructionOver-the-month change, January 2016–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, December 06, 2019.
Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
Construction
Summary Mining & Logging
Construction Manufacturing Trade:
Wholesale Retail
Transp., Warehousing
& Utilities Information
Financial Activities
Professional & Business
Services
Private Education & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Other Services
Government
CES Highlights
Release Date: December 6, 2019
Manufacturing employment increased by 54,000 in November, largely
reflecting a return from a strike in transportation equipment. Over the
year, manufacturing has added 76,000 jobs, evenly split between durable
goods and nondurable goods.
Employment in motor vehicles and parts increased by 41,000 in
November, as workers returned from a strike in October. Over the most
recent 12 months, employment in the industry has shown little net
change (-13,000).
22-1
5-2
57
-18
2017
-23
-3 -30
14 1318
9 82
15-3
428
2030 28
1631
20 22 2132
208
18
29 2720
178
-33 2
104 2 2
-43
54
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19
Employment in manufacturingOver-the-month change, January 2016–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, December 06, 2019.
Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
5 3-1
8-2
220
-12
-32 1 3 3
-53 25
2-1
825
1 16 4 28
4-1
-66
-22 3
7-2
1-1
2-7
-32
-2 -2 -31
-43
41
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19
Employment in motor vehicles and partsOver-the-month change, January 2016–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, December 06, 2019.
Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
Manufacturing
CES Highlights
Release Date: December 6, 2019
Summary Mining & Logging
Construction Manufacturing Trade:
Wholesale Retail
Transp., Warehousing
& Utilities Information
Financial Activities
Professional & Business
Services
Private Education & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Other Services
Government
In November, the 1-month diffusion index rose 18.4 points to 54.6, its
highest reading since June 2019. A value above 50 indicates more
manufacturing industries are adding jobs than are losing them.
Average weekly hours of all employees in manufacturing rose 0.1 hour
to 40.5 hours in November but have declined 0.5 hour since reaching a
peak in August 2018. The average workweek of production employees
was unchanged, at 41.4 hours, and has declined 1 hour since reaching a
peak in April 2018.
38.0
38.5
39.0
39.5
40.0
40.5
41.0
41.5
42.0
42.5
Jan-07 Jan-09 Jan-11 Jan-13 Jan-15 Jan-17 Jan-19
Average weekly hours, manufacturing
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, December 06, 2019.
Shaded area represents recession as denoted by the National Bureau of Economic Research.
Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
January 2007–November 2019
Seasonally adjusted
Production employeesLevel: 41.4Change: 0.0
All employeesLevel: 40.5Change: 0.1
Manufacturing
CES Highlights
Release Date: December 6, 2019
Summary Mining & Logging
Construction Manufacturing Trade:
Wholesale Retail
Transp., Warehousing
& Utilities Information
Financial Activities
Professional & Business
Services
Private Education & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Other Services
Government
Employment in wholesale trade changed little
in November (-4,000). Over the year, wholesale
trade has added 64,000 jobs with durable goods
accounting for nearly three quarters of the gain.
5-4
37
-3-4
12
11
24
-25
4-1
6-5
61
-33
61
6-2
38
-13
68
14
19
2
711 1
38
13
08
5-1
52
510
-4
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19
Employment in wholesale tradeOver-the-month change, January 2016–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, December 06, 2019.
Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
Wholesale Trade
Summary Mining & Logging
Construction Manufacturing Trade:
Wholesale Retail
Transp., Warehousing
& Utilities Information
Financial Activities
Professional & Business
Services
Private Education & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Other Services
Government
CES Highlights
Release Date: December 6, 2019
Employment in retail trade changed
little in November (+2,000) and has
shown little net change so far in 2019
(-26,000).
Over the month, employment gains
occurred in general merchandise stores
(+22,000) and motor vehicle and parts
dealers (+8,000). These gains were
partially offset by a decline in clothing
and clothing accessories stores
(-18,000).
Recent retail-related economic
indicators are mixed. In October, Real
Personal Disposable Income decreased,
and the Consumer Confidence Index
declined in November. Conversely, Retail
Sales were up in October.
26
53
35
10
-624
15 18
15
4-1
724
46
-53
-26
-13
-27
-1-8
-31 2
15
-21
224
14
18
-34
26
-26
-10
33
-69
-14
-15
-15 -12
-12
-2 -112
22
2
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19
Employment in retail tradeOver-the-month change, January 2016–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, December 06, 2019.
Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
Retail Trade
Summary Mining & Logging
Construction Manufacturing Trade:
Wholesale Retail
Transp., Warehousing
& Utilities Information
Financial Activities
Professional & Business
Services
Private Education & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Other Services
Government
CES Highlights
Release Date: December 6, 2019
Employment in transportation and
warehousing edged up in November
(+16,000). Within transportation and
warehousing, couriers and messengers
(+5,000) and warehousing and storage
(+8,000) added jobs over the month.
So far this year, transportation and
warehousing has added 74,000 jobs.
Couriers and messengers (+34,000) and
warehousing and storage (+36,000)
account for nearly all of the jobs added
in the industry over this period.
8
5
2
1
-1
0
-2 0 2 4 6 8 10
Warehousing and storage*
Couriers and messengers*
Support activities for transportation
Transit and ground passenger transportation
Truck transportation
Air transportation
Employment in select transportation and warehousing industriesOver-the-month change, November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
November 2019 Prior 12-month average
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey December 6, 2019.
Data are preliminary.
* denotes significance
Transportationand warehousing:
+16
8
5
2
1
-1
0
-2 0 2 4 6 8 10
Warehousing and storage*
Couriers and messengers*
Support activities for transportation
Transit and ground passenger transportation
Truck transportation
Air transportation
Employment in select transportation and warehousing industriesOver-the-month change, November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
November 2019 Prior 12-month average
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey December 6, 2019.
Data are preliminary.
* denotes significance
Transportationand warehousing:
+16
Transportation and Warehousing
Summary Mining & Logging
Construction Manufacturing Trade:
Wholesale Retail
Transp., Warehousing
& Utilities Information
Financial Activities
Professional & Business
Services
Private Education & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Other Services
Government
CES Highlights
Release Date: December 6, 2019
Employment in utilities was flat in
November (+1,000) and has changed
little so far in 2019 (-4,000).
542
544
546
548
550
552
554
556
558
560
562
564
566
568
Jan-09 Jan-11 Jan-13 Jan-15 Jan-17 Jan-19
Employment in utilities
November 2019 Level: 551OTM Change: 1
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, December 06, 2019.
Shaded area represents recession as denoted by the National Bureau of Economic Research.
Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
January 2009–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Utilities
Summary Mining & Logging
Construction Manufacturing Trade:
Wholesale Retail
Transp., Warehousing
& Utilities Information
Financial Activities
Professional & Business
Services
Private Education & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Other Services
Government
CES Highlights
Release Date: December 6, 2019
Employment in information changed
little in November (+13,000).
Other information services—which
includes web search portals, stock photo
agencies, and internet publishing
establishments—added 6,000 jobs in
November.
Information
Summary Mining & Logging
Construction Manufacturing Trade:
Wholesale Retail
Transp., Warehousing
& Utilities Information
Financial Activities
Professional & Business
Services
Private Education & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Other Services
Government
CES Highlights
Release Date: December 6, 2019
Employment in financial activities
edged up in November (+13,000). So far
this year, the industry has added an
average 11,000 jobs per month, similar
to an average of 10,000 jobs per month
in 2018.
Credit intermediation and related
activities contributed to the job growth
in November (+7,000).
Financial Activities
Summary Mining & Logging
Construction Manufacturing Trade:
Wholesale Retail
Transp., Warehousing
& Utilities Information
Financial Activities
Professional & Business
Services
Private Education & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Other Services
Government
CES Highlights
Release Date: December 6, 2019
4
3
-2
2
7
-6 -4 -2 0 2 4 6 8 10
Real estate and rental and leasing
Insurance carriers and related activities
Securities and commodities
- Commercial banking
Credit intermediation¹*
Employment in selected financial activities
November 2019 Prior 12-month average
Over-the-month change, November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Financial activities:
13
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, December 06, 2019.
Data are preliminary.
¹ Includes additional component industries not shown separately.* denotes significance
Employment in professional and business services continued to trend up
in November (+38,000), in line with the industry’s prior-12 month average
change of 34,000.
Professional and technical services, adding 31,000 jobs, accounted for the
majority of the employment change in November. Year to date, this
industry has added an average of 24,000 jobs per month, the same as in
2018. Employment in the majority of component industries trended up in
November, with architectural and engineering services adding 8,000 jobs.
In November, employment in administrative and waste services changed
little (+8,000).
8
0
31
-5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Administrative and wasteservices
Management of companiesand enterprises
Professional and technicalservices*
Over-the-month change Prior-3 Prior-6 Prior-12
Employment in professional and business services component industriesOver-the-month change and prior averages, November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics, December 06, 2019Most recent 2 months are preliminary.* denotes significance
34
11 11
16
20
11
21
10
25
10
4
17
21
56
29
11
20 2018
1211
21
13
21 22 21
23
31
27 2626
16
32
30
17
2223
30
23
21
29
33
17
15
19
31
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19
Over-the-month change Annual average
Over-the-month change, January 2016 ̶ November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Employment in professional and technical services
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics, December 06, 2019Most recent 2 months are preliminary.
Nov-19: 31*Prior-12: 23
CES Highlights
Release Date: December 6, 2019
Summary Mining & Logging
Construction Manufacturing Trade:
Wholesale Retail
Transp., Warehousing
& Utilities Information
Financial Activities
Professional & Business
Services
Private Education & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Other Services
Government
Professional and Business Services
Health care added 45,000 jobs in November, with gains totaling 365,000
so far this year. Employment in ambulatory health care services (+34,000)
and hospitals (+10,000) continued to trend up in November.
Within ambulatory health care services, offices of physicians (+16,000),
dentists (+6,000), and home health care services (+9,000) added jobs in
November.
36
32
26
3635
33
39
18
2627 27
41
8
22
20
24
14
34
41
1315
16
20
24 24
2624 23
32
22 22
38
25
32
34
50
42
33
50
25
16
33 3335
41
12
45
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19
Over-the-month change Annual average
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics, December 06, 2019.Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
Over-the-month change, January 2016–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Employment in health care
1
10
9
2
16
34
-10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
Nursing and residential care
Hospitals*
- Home health care services*
- Outpatient care centers
- Offices of physicians*
Ambulatory health care services¹*
Employment in selected health care industries
November 2019 Prior 12-month average
Over-the-month change, November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Health care industries:
45*
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, December 06, 2019.
Data are preliminary.
¹ Includes additional component industries not shown separately.* denotes significance
Private Education and Health Services
CES Highlights
Release Date: December 6, 2019
Summary Mining & Logging
Construction Manufacturing Trade:
Wholesale Retail
Transp., Warehousing
& Utilities Information
Financial Activities
Professional & Business
Services
Private Education & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Other Services
Government
In November, employment in leisure and hospitality continued to
trend up (+45,000). After accounting for revisions in September and
October, the industry has added 219,000 jobs over the past 4 months.
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York reported more widespread
wage increases in November for leisure and hospitality workers relative
to other industries. Average hourly earnings of nonsupervisory
employees in leisure and hospitality have increased by 4.3 percent over
the past 12 months. For comparison, the Consumer Price Index increased
by 1.8 percent from October 2018 to October 2019.
Employment growth in food services and drinking places continued to
drive the trend in leisure and hospitality. Over the past 4 months, food
services and drinking places has added 149,000 jobs, despite stagnating
sales.
35
62
46
27
12
50
3542
32
20
58
19
4036
19
71
19
32
57
5
-80
102
18
32
13
25
1118
3843
35
17
-24
79
39
65
93
-1
32
9 124
-13
4856
70
45
-100
-50
0
50
100
150
Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19
Over-the-month change Annual average
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics, December 06, 2019.Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
Over-the-month change, January 2016–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Employment in leisure and hospitality
35 37
28
1822
19
5
39
33
24 23 2327
21
31
22 24
11
50
4
-66
79
14
21
10
21
711
32 32
25
14
-36
57
39
47
56
-2
31
19
10
2
-4
43
32
49
25
-80
-60
-40
-20
0
20
40
60
80
100
Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19
Over-the-month change Annual average
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics, December 06, 2019.Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
Over-the-month change, January 2016–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Employment in food services and drinking places
Leisure and Hospitality
CES Highlights
Release Date: December 6, 2019
Summary Mining & Logging
Construction Manufacturing Trade:
Wholesale Retail
Transp., Warehousing
& Utilities Information
Financial Activities
Professional & Business
Services
Private Education & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Other Services
Government
Employment in other services
changed little in November (+9,000). So
far this year, employment in the industry
has changed by an average +7,000 per
month.
-316
86
-713
413
16
-312
-14
16
11
5 511
10
5 5-3
14
934 4
113
15
18
-12
6 7 71
11
94
19
16
-315
75
-5-1
9
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19
Employment in other servicesOver-the-month change, January 2016–November 2019Seasonally adjusted, in thousands
Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics survey, December 06, 2019.
Most recent 2 months of data are preliminary.
Other Services
Summary Mining & Logging
Construction Manufacturing Trade:
Wholesale Retail
Transp., Warehousing
& Utilities Information
Financial Activities
Professional & Business
Services
Private Education & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Other Services
Government
CES Highlights
Release Date: December 6, 2019
Government employment
changed little in November
(+12,000). Employment in local
government continued to trend up
in November (+13,000), and the
industry has added 122,000 jobs
over the year.
Government
Summary Mining & Logging
Construction Manufacturing Trade:
Wholesale Retail
Transp., Warehousing
& Utilities Information
Financial Activities
Professional & Business
Services
Private Education & Health Services
Leisure & Hospitality
Other Services
Government
CES Highlights
Release Date: December 6, 2019
Prepared by Staff of the National Estimates Branch Current Employment Statistics Survey U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics 202-691-6555 Email CES
CES Analysts
Osman Alhassan
Ryan Ansell
Hyun Choi
Steve Crestol
Tyler Downing
Katelynn Harris
Mike McCall
John Mullins
Michael Osifalujo
Edward Park
Carson Wilson
Current Employment Statistics Highlights
Detailed Industry Employment Analysis