Cumbria Health Protection Board

Weekly COVID-19 SummaryWeek 30 (Ending Friday 24th July)

Summary Produced Wednesday 29th July

Produced By Cumbria Resilience Multi Agency Intelligence Cell (MAIC) 1

Weekly Summary

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Key points for week ending 24 July (Week 30):

• The number of new positive cases in Carlisle and Eden are less than

previous weeks;

• There is no change to the existing public health advice;

• The number of new positive cases in Carlisle and Eden is higher than other

areas in Cumbria;

• The rate of cases in Eden is high compared to the rest of Cumbria, but not

compared to other areas of concern in the North West;

• The number of contacts being traced has increased in line with positive

cases; local contact tracing is significant for situational awareness;

• Close monitoring of the data continues especially in South Lakeland.

• If the number of positive cases in an area continues to increase the advice

may change.

Cases

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Note: This represents the number of people with a positive test result

Key Points for Cumbria’s districts in Week 30:

• Carlisle had the greatest number of new cases (+13 new cases), however this was down from +26 new cases in week 29);

• For a second week, Eden had the highest rate of new cases (+11 new cases = 21 new cases per 100k population), however, this was

also down from +19 new cases (36 new cases per 100k population) in week 29;

• Both Eden and Carlisle’s rates of new cases were well above the national average (Eden = 21 new cases per 100k population and

Carlisle = 12 new cases per 100 population vs. England’s 7 cases per 100k population);

• South Lakeland, Copeland, Allerdale and Barrow-in-Furness experienced very small increases in new cases.

Mid-2019

PopulationNew Positive

Cases

Rate of New

Positive

Cases Per

100,000

Population

Total

Positive

Cases

New

Positive

Cases

Rate of

New

Positive

Cases Per

100,000

Population

Numerical

Change in

New

Positive

Cases

% Change

in New

Positive

Cases

Increase in

Rate of

New

Positive

Cases Per

100,000

Persons

Cumbria 500,012 55 11 2,790 41 8 -14 -25 -3

Allerdale 97,761 5 5 350 6 6 1 20 1

Barrow-in-Furness 67,049 0 0 704 1 1 1 n/a 1

Carlisle 108,678 26 24 696 13 12 -13 -50 -12

Copeland 68,183 2 3 336 4 6 2 100 3

Eden 53,253 19 36 190 11 21 -8 -42 -15

South Lakeland 105,088 3 3 509 6 6 3 100 3

Source: PHE Postcode COVID-19 Positive Cases Data

Last Updated: 28/07/2020

Weekly Summary: Public Health England (PHE) COVID 19 Positive Cases (Includes Pillar 1 & Pillar 2)

Week 29 (Ending 17 Jul 20) Week 30 (Ending 24 Jul 20) Week 29 - Week 30 Change

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Cumbria Cases

Note: This represents the number of people with a positive test result

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District CasesCarlisle has had the greatest number of cases for a number of weeks, while Eden has

also had substantially higher numbers of cases than other districts in the last two weeks.

Note: This represents the number of people with a positive test result. District allocation of

historic data provided in week 29 being queried with PHE due to postcode data issues and

may be subject to change.

Daily Lab-confirmed cases – Pillar 1 & 2[Preliminary up to 27th July]

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14-Jul

15-Jul 16-Jul

17-Jul

18-Jul 19-Jul 20-Jul 21-Jul

22-Jul

23-Jul

24-Jul

25-Jul

26-Jul

27-Jul

Allerdale 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 1

Barrow 1

Carlisle 3 6 3 4 4 1 3 2 1 2 1 5 2

Copeland 1 1 3 1 1

Eden 1 2 7 6 1 2 2 6 4 1 1 1

South Lakeland

1 1 2 2 1 1 6

Cumbria 6 10 11 13 6 2 8 8 11 7 3 2 7 10

[Data is subject to revisions]

Source: https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk/

[Updated Wednesday 29 July 2020 at 4:03pm]

R estimates & Growth Rates NHS Region

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Region RGrowth Rate

% per day

England 0.8-1.0 -4 to -0

East of England* 0.8-1.0 -3 to +2

London* 0.8-1.0 -5 to +1

Midlands 0.7-1.0 -5 to -0

North East and Yorkshire 0.8-1.0 -4 to -0

North West* 0.7-1.0 -5 to -1

South East* 0.8-1.0 -3 to +1

South West* 0.7-1.0 -5 to +2

Source: gov.uk. Friday 24th July.

North Cumbria falls within the North East and

Yorkshire region.

The values are shown as a range, the most likely true

values are somewhere towards the middle of this range.

*Low case numbers and/ or a high degree of variability in

transmission across the region means these estimates are

insufficiently robust to inform policy decisions.

Local Contact Tracing

The national test and trace system is complimented by local contact-tracing and focussed on cases linked to an organisation:

• In the week commencing the 20th July 32 incidents across Cumbria have been logged on the local system, these include early-intervention work with schools when someone displays symptoms

• From the 32 incidents a further 137 contacts have been identified and traced with the majority related to Carlisle

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