csx ethx ethanol transportation lt brian kendrick lt corey leewright lt mike blackman

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CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman

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Page 1: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman

CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation

LT Brian KendrickLT Corey LeewrightLT Mike Blackman

Page 2: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman

AgendaNetwork Overview

Geographical representation of the network

Potential Operator Problem

Analysis of Network

Network Recommendations

Page 3: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman

Identifying Our Network

EthX transports ethanol throughout the eastern half of the U.S.

21 total nodes, 7 demand and 2 supply

33 arcs both directed and undirected

Demand on the network is 904 cars per day

Objective – Maximize the flow while minimizing cost

Page 4: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman

Model Assumptions

Each arc has associated cost * Cij = Cost per day for movement of 1 car along arc

Supply nodes located in areas that have the most production facilities Demand nodes are located at end points of major EthX. * Each arc has a capacity constraint Uij

Capacity on each arc is ≤ capacity of node(i)

Capacities on the intermediary nodes modified to accommodate total demand on network .

* Information provided by CSX website

Page 5: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman
Page 6: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman

MAP 2

Network Legend:Green Nodes = Supply NodesYellow Nodes = IntermediariesRed Nodes = Demand Nodes

Page 7: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman

LegendLegend

Supply Nodes

Intermediary

Demand Nodes

Page 8: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman

New York Daily News 12/07/2010

26 cars out of a 131 car train derailed near Chicago. 9 of these cars were loaded with Ethanol.

Page 9: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman

Potential Operator Problem

A threat causes a delay of 12 hours but does not render this arc inoperable.

Penalty added to the overall cost to traverse the affected arc. (∑cij/m)*1.5 = 4232

A terrorist attack is an actual attack which renders the affected arc inoperable.

Page 10: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman

Zero Threats on Network

Zero Threats on Network

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Page 11: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman

Three Threats on Network

Three Threats on Network

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-452

-452

0

Page 12: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman

Five Threats on Network

Five Threats on Network

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-452

-452

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Page 13: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman

One Attack on NetworkOne Attack on Network

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Page 14: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman

Two Attacks on NetworkTwo Attacks on Network

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Page 15: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman

Three Attacks on Network

Three Attacks on Network

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Page 16: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman

Orl -

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Atl -

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0

1000000

2000000

3000000

4000000Cost vs Number of Threats

No Threats 1 Threat 2 Threats3 Threats 4 Threats 5 ThreatsFrom node a - To node b

Cost in Dollars

Page 17: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

Cost vs Number of Interdictions

AttacksThreats

Number of Interdictions

Co

st

in M

illio

ns

Page 18: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman

0 1 2 30

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

Percent Demand Met

Number of Attacks

Perc

en

t D

em

an

d M

et

Page 19: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman

MAP 2

Recommendations-Eliminate or increase capacity at choke points-Increase the number of Supply nodes- Incorporate short lines & regional lines-Alternative means of transportation

Page 20: CSX EthX Ethanol Transportation LT Brian Kendrick LT Corey Leewright LT Mike Blackman