csse 372 11.september.2008 risk chapter 2, pages 63-80 “at risk”

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CSSE 372 11.September.2008 Risk Chapter 2, pages 63-80 “At risk”

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Page 1: CSSE 372 11.September.2008 Risk Chapter 2, pages 63-80 “At risk”

CSSE 37211.September.2008

RiskChapter 2, pages 63-80

“At risk”

Page 2: CSSE 372 11.September.2008 Risk Chapter 2, pages 63-80 “At risk”

OutlineIdentificationEstimationMitigationExercise

Procter & Gamble’s equation: Risk = Hazard + Exposure.From www.pgbeautyscience.com/safety-assessment.html .

Page 3: CSSE 372 11.September.2008 Risk Chapter 2, pages 63-80 “At risk”

First CotD

Page 4: CSSE 372 11.September.2008 Risk Chapter 2, pages 63-80 “At risk”

IdentificationTechnicalProject ManagementOrganizationalExternal

Business

A lot of people use Pressman’s risk list:http://www.rspa.com/checklists/risk.html For example…

Page 5: CSSE 372 11.September.2008 Risk Chapter 2, pages 63-80 “At risk”

Technical Issues (start)…Are facilitated application specification techniques used to

aid in communication between the customer and developer? Are specific methods used for software analysis? Do you use a specific method for data and architectural

design? Is more than 90 percent of your code written in a high order

language? Are specific conventions for code documentation defined and

used? Do you use specific methods for test case design? Are software tools used to support planning and tracking

activities? …

Page 6: CSSE 372 11.September.2008 Risk Chapter 2, pages 63-80 “At risk”

Discussion – Who’ll have what risks?Which project manager is likely to have what kinds

of risks?TechnicalProject ManagementOrganizationalExternal

Shanice

Cody

Page 7: CSSE 372 11.September.2008 Risk Chapter 2, pages 63-80 “At risk”

Second CotD

Page 8: CSSE 372 11.September.2008 Risk Chapter 2, pages 63-80 “At risk”

Qualitative Estimation

Page 9: CSSE 372 11.September.2008 Risk Chapter 2, pages 63-80 “At risk”

Dynamic Estimation

Page 10: CSSE 372 11.September.2008 Risk Chapter 2, pages 63-80 “At risk”

Risk responseAcceptAvoidContingency planningMitigateTransfer

Page 11: CSSE 372 11.September.2008 Risk Chapter 2, pages 63-80 “At risk”

Monitoring/ControllingRisk logID numberRisk descriptionRisk ownerAction to be takenOutcome

Include Probability/Impact

Page 12: CSSE 372 11.September.2008 Risk Chapter 2, pages 63-80 “At risk”

How do you gather risks?FormalInformal

Page 13: CSSE 372 11.September.2008 Risk Chapter 2, pages 63-80 “At risk”

Risk assessments should be/contain:In the If _______, then___________ format Clearly tie back to 5 project constraints

Include a mitigation strategy Include a time line for revisiting/updating the risks Include key resources Indication of where it falls in the chart Opportunities

Page 14: CSSE 372 11.September.2008 Risk Chapter 2, pages 63-80 “At risk”

Discussion ProblemYou and 7 others are going to fly 1500 miles in a

pedal-powered airplane.The plane can carry 3000 pounds of freight

(including passengers) at 30 mph, when powered by 4 pedallers.

Each team member can pedal for 4 hours continuously.

If you lose power the plane crashes.

Page 15: CSSE 372 11.September.2008 Risk Chapter 2, pages 63-80 “At risk”

Activity1. Identify the risks

2. For each risk, estimate its probability and impact

3. Prioritize risks

4. Identify mitigation strategies for the most important half of the risks

5. Share your results withrest of class

Page 16: CSSE 372 11.September.2008 Risk Chapter 2, pages 63-80 “At risk”

Questions?

Bike blimp from http://blog.makezine.com/archive/2008/06/bike_blimp_remake.html.