crrc caucasus barometer-2013

Caucasus Barometer (CB)

Public Perceptions on Political, Social, and Economic issues in South Caucasus Countries

Some findings from the CRRC 2013 data

April 18, 2014Yerevan

CRRC [email protected]

www.crrccenters.org www.caucasusbarometer.org

mailto:[email protected]

http://www.crrc.am/

http://www.crrccenters.org/

http://www.caucasusbarometer.org/

Where We Survey

Methodology

• Over 2,000 people in each South Caucasus country

• Representative of total adult (18+) population• Proportional representation of demographic and

geographic groups• Multi-stage cluster sampling, sampling error is ± 2.3%• Household selection: Random walk method• Respondent selection: Kish table• Face-to-face interviews in local languages

• Domestic politics: democracy, freedom of speech, attitude towards government system

• International relations – various ideas for settling the Nagorno Karabakh conflict• Social Capital and values• Living standards, employment, migration trends

and development perspectives

Content

DOMESTIC POLITICS: DEMOCRACY, FREEDOM OF SPEECH, ATTITUDE TOWARDS GOVERNMENT SYSTEM

Unemployment

Unsolved territorial conflicts

Poverty

Low wages

Corruption

Emigration

Other

DK/RA

45

3

16

5

5

8

18

1

25

38

8

7

7

0

14

54

10

10

1

0

0

23

0

P4. What do you think is the most important issue facing country at the moment? (%)

CB2013

Georgia Azerbaijan Armenia

Refuse to answer

Don't know

Politics is definitely going in the wrong direction

Politics is going mainly in the wrong direction

Politics does not change at all

Politics is going mainly in the right direction

Politics is definitely going in the right direction

1

21

1

13

29

30

5

2

16

3

7

32

27

13

1

11

28

21

30

7

2

P1. Direction in which the country's domestic politics is going (%)CB2013

Armenia Azerbaijan Georgia

2013

2011

2010

2

2

3

7

11

11

30

29

25

21

20

15

28

19

20

12

19

26

ARMENIADirection in which the country's domestic politics are going (%)

CB2010-2013

Politics is definitely going in the right direction Politics is going mainly in the right directionPolitics does not change at all Politics is going mainly in the wrong directionPolitics is definitely going in the wrong direction DK/RA

Georgia

Azerbaijan

Armenia

4

17

3

28

32

14

44

22

36

11

18

34

12

11

13

ARMENIAP17. How much of a democracy is country today? (%)

CB2013

A full democracy A democracy but with minor problemsA democracy but with major problems Not a democracyDon't know

Don't know

Not a democracy

A democracy but with major problems

A democracy but with minor problems

A full democracy

15

27

36

16

6

15

28

35

18

5

14

34

36

14

3

ARMENIAHow much of a democracy is Armenia today? (%)

CB2011-2013

2013 2012 2011

DK/RA

Democracy is preferable to any other kind of government

In some circumstances a non-democratic can be preferred

For someone like me it doesn’t matter

19

61

12

8

12

55

7

26

9

47

13

30

P18. Attitude towards democracy (%)CB2013


Don't know

For someone like me, it doesn’t matter what kind of government we have

In some circumstances, a non-democratic government can be preferred

Democracy is preferable to any other kind of government

11

22

11

55

15

19

13

52

9

30

13

47

ARMENIAP18. Attitude towards democracy (%)

CB2011-2013

2013 2012 2011

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

2

12

4

13

24

22

47

34

53

17

15

7

16

7

2

5

9

12

P2. How well TV journalists in your country inform the population (%)CB2013

Very well Quite well In the middle Quite poorly Very poorly Don't know

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

68

52

76

28

35

13

4

13

11

P8. People have the right to openly say what they think (%)CB2013

Yes No DK/RA

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

1

4

2

12

21

31

42

27

29

28

11

4

15

34

34

1

3

1

GIZ4. Agree/disagree that courts in the country are free from governmental in-fluence (%)

CB2013

Completely agree Agree Disagree Completely disagree Don't know Refuse to answer

Georgia

Azerbaijan

Armenia

38

36

9

41

29

36

4

10

43

17

23

11

2

1

P15. Fairness of the most recent national elections (%)CB2013

Completely fair To some extent fair Not at all fair Don't know Refuse to answer

2011

2012

2013

12

10

9

35

43

36

33

27

43

19

19

11

1

1

1

ARMENIAFairness of the most recent national elections (%)

Completely fair To some extent fair Not at all fair Don't know Refuse to answer

Political parties

Parliament

Executive government

NGOs

Court system

Media

President

UN

EU

Police

Banks

Ombudsman

Healthcare system

Educational system

Local government

Army

Religious institutions respondent belongs to

2

2

3

3

3

3

5

7

7

7

8

9

9

10

11

28

43

8

9

11

15

12

23

14

20

21

23

35

22

32

36

24

34

33

25

20

21

34

24

40

22

32

31

29

24

30

28

25

26

16

13

22

21

19

15

20

14

15

10

12

13

13

9

14

14

12

9

4

39

45

44

21

33

18

42

16

17

25

13

15

16

12

23

11

5

4

3

3

13

8

1

2

15

13

2

6

15

1

3

3

1

2

ARMENIAP3. Trust towards (%)

CB2013Fully trust Somewhat trust Neither trust not distrust Somewhat distrust Fully distrust Don't know

Parlament Executive Government President

2.0

2.4

2.9

2.4

2.7

3.1

2.5

2.9

3.2

2.7

3.0

3.3

2.42.6

2.8

2.42.6

2.8

2.32.5

2.6

2.0 2.12.2

ARMENIATrust towards...

(average score, 5-point scale, where ‘1’ means “Fully distrust”, and ‘5’ means “Fully trust”)

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

2013

2012

2011

2010

2013

2012

2011

2010

2013

2012

2011

2010

Arm

enia

Aze

rbai

jan

Geo

rgia

4

6

6

9

24

20

27

30

1

1

1

1

95

93

91

91

64

71

64

63

97

97

99

98

1

1

3

11

9

9

7

1

2

1

ARMENIAPaid bribe (%)

Yes No DK

INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

NATO

EU

Eurasian Economic Community

9

16

31

17

25

24

30

25

21

11

10

5

17

13

8

16

11

11

ARMENIAP19-P21. Support of membership in... (%)

CB2013

Fully support Rather support Equally support and don't supportRather not support Don't support at all Don't know

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

16

16

34

25

18

31

25

32

17

10

9

4

13

8

4

11

17

10

P20. Support of country's membership in EU (%)CB2013

Fully support Rather support Equally support and don't supportRather not support Don't support at all DK/RA

Armenia

Georgia

31

14

24

18

21

17

5

7

8

17

11

27

P21. Support of country's membership in Eurasian Economic Community (%)CB2013

Fully support Rather support Equally support and don't supportRather not support Don't support at all Don't know

VARIOUS IDEAS FOR SETTLING THE NAGORNO KARABAKH CONFLICT

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

28

35

9

26

20

34

15

17

17

16

22

11

15

6

29

RC2.1. How likely to find a solution by peaceful negotiation? (%)CB2013

Very likely Rather likely Rather unlikely Very unlikely Don't know

Have NK as a formal part of Armenia

Have NK as an independent country

Create a special administrative region governed jointly

Have NK with a high degree of autonomy within Azerbaijan

Have NK in Azerbaijan without autonomy

73

54

1

13

17

2

1

1

7

23

88

91

91

3

2

4

4

4

5

5

6

5

5

ARMENIARC3. Are you favour/not accept?

Definitely favor Accept under certain circumstances Never acceptIndifferent DK/RA

Have NK as a formal part of Armenia

Have NK as an independent country

Create a special administrative region governed jointly

Have NK with a high degree of autonomy within Azerbaijan

Have NK in Azerbaijan without autonomy

0.435957904834966

10

4

19

3

95.3799167155573

81

90

44

4

9

6

5

3

31

94

AZERBAIJAN RC3. Favor/not accept (%)

CB2013

Definitely favor Accept under certain circumstances Never acceptIndifferent DK/RA

2013

2011

2013

2011

Arm

enia

Aze

rbai

jan

2

3

19

28

91

77

44

40

4 5

18

5

9

2

31

23

Favor/not accept (%)CB2011, 2013

Definitely favor Accept under certain circumstances Never accept Indifferent Don't know

Other

Iran

Georgia

No one

Don't know

France

Russia

2

1

2

4

5

9

77

1

1

2

4

4

5

83

ARMENIAP22. Main friend of the country (%)

2013 2012

Don't know

Georgia

Russia

France

Iran

USA

Turkey

Azerbaijan

1

1

1

2

32

63

0.502062310351499

0.546185431397452

0.768487181866629

0.88514159452963

1

1.98263309334804

28.2173251653113

66.2118131912267

ARMENIAP23. Main enemy of the country (%)

2013 2012

Azerbaijanis

Turks

Jews

Iranians

Kurds, Yezidis

Molokans

Georgians

Americans

Europeans

Russians

Armenians

22

31

51

52

57

58

67

75

76

89

91

76

67

45

46

40

38

31

21

21

10

8

1

2

4

2

3

4

2

4

3

1

1

ARMENIAN7. Approval of doing business with... (%)

CB2013

Approve Disapprove Don't know

Azerbaijanis

Turks

Iranians

Kurds, Yezidis

Molokans

Jews

Georgians

Americans

Europeans

Russians

Armenians

4

4

10

10

17

18

29

36

38

46

98

96

95

89

89

82

81

70

62

61

54

1

1

1

1

1

2

1

1

1

1

1

ARMENIAN8. Approval of women marrying (%)

CB2013

Approve Disapprove Don't know

SOCIAL CAPITAL AND VALUES

Other

Talent

Don't know

Appearance

Luck

Doing favors for the ‘right’ people

Age

Hard work

Professional abilities work experience

Education

Connections

1

5

2

1

9

3

3

7

12

28

30

1

3

1

1

4

14

4

8

11

35

19

1

1

2

6

6

7

9

10

12

19

27

J20. The most important factor for getting a good job (%)CB2013


Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

28

41

28

16

16

16

10

8

15

11

8

13

17

4

5

4

8

2

1

8

3

2

1

4

5

2

1

5

4

8

2

5

C15. Which of the following, in your opinion, will contribute to your children being better off? (of the respondents who think their children will be better off; %)

CB2013

Education Economic situation in the country Ability to work hard God’s blessing Luck Connections

Talent Political environment in the country Inheritance Other DK

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

2

3

19

34

13

45

20

45

23

11

23

4

4

6

4

2

1

1

22

9

2

3

3

D17. What do you think is the ideal number of children per family in country? (%)

CB2013

One Two Three Four Five Six or more Whatever number the God will give us DK

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

7

2

4

8

3

7

25

17

27

14

16

14

43

55

41

3

7

6

N14.1. To what extent, in your opinion, the following action can be justified or not: Get-ting a divorce (%)

CB2013

Can always be justified 5 4 3 2 Can never be justified 1 DK/RA

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

4

1

1

5

2

1

19

11

11

12

12

9

56

44

69

4

30

9

N14.2. To what extent, in your opinion, the following action can be justified or not: Hav-ing an abortion (%)

CB2013


Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

1

1

1 4

3

4

2

3

88

88

90

2

9

4

N14.3. To what extent, in your opinion, the following action can be justified or not: Cheating on one’s spouse (%)

CB2013


Don't know

Not important at all

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

Extremely important

3

1

1

1

5

2

3

7

6

70

6

3

2

2

12

4

6

11

10

44

2

3

1

1

1

6

2

4

8

12

61

P16. Important for a good citizen - vote in elections (%)CB2013



87

73

86

13

27

14

P14. Did you vote in the last national elections? (%)CB2013

Yes No

LIVING STANDARDS, EMPLOYMENT, MIGRATION TRENDS AND DEVELOPMENT PERSPECTIVES

Disabled

Student not working

Self-employed

Retired not working

Unemployed

Housewife not working

Have a job (employee)

1

4

12

16

17

18

32

ARMENIAJ1. Primary activity or situation (%)

CB2013

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

12

23

6

21

50

26

41

15

52

14

8

11

12

4

4

1

1

J10. Overall, how satisfied or dissatisfied are you with your job? (of the respondents who reported being employed; %)

CB2013

Very satisfied Somewhat satisfied In the middle Somewhat dissatisfied Very dissatisfied DK/RA

0

Up to 20,000 AMD

20,001-40,000 AMD

40,001-100,000 AMD

100,001-162,000AMD

162,001-325,000 AMD

325,001-488,000 AMD

More than 488,001 AMD

DK/RA

30

9

20

22

12

3

1

0

3

ARMENIAJ12. Personal income last month (%)

CB2013

Savings

Debts

Savings

Debts

Savings

Debts

Arm

enia

Aze

rbai

jan

Geo

rgia

12

51

18

34

11

41

88

49

80

66

89

58

2

1

J13-J14. Do you currently have any personal savings or debts? (%)CB2013

Yes No DK/RA

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

3.4

3.7

8.9

1.9

14.9

28.9

16.7

32.5

21.8

21

25.4

34.4

57.9

20.7

1.7

1.7

1.70.5

C13. Minimal monthly income for normal life (%)CB2013

USD 51– 100 USD 101 – 250 USD 251 – 400 USD 401 – 800 USD 801 – 1200More than USD 1200 Don't know

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

Armenia

Azerbaijan

Georgia

tem

pora

ry e

mig

ratio

npe

rman

ent e

mig

ratio

n

60

49

44

31

20

7

39

48

54

67

77

91

1

3

3

2

3

2

D23-D24. Interest in emigration (%)CB2013

Yes No Don't know

2013

2012

2011

2010

67

56

45

47

33

44

55

53

ARMENIADo you have any close friends currently living abroad, outside the borders of

Armenia? (%)CB2013

Yes No

2013

2012

2011

2010

83

80

68

63

17

20

32

37

ARMENIADo you have any family member or close relative currently living abroad, outside

the borders of Armenia? (%)CB2013

Yes No

Better off The same Worse off Not applicable – No children

Don't know

30

7

12

17

35

40

96

18

26

52

3 2

15

29

C14. Perceived financial situation of children when they are of respondent’s age (%)CB2013



4.36 4.33 4.42

5.20 5.29

6.61

C10-C11. Households economic rung (average score, 10-point scale, where ‘1’ is the lowest stage and 10 is the highest)

CB2013

Current Perceived (in 5 years)


6.7 6.67.0

6.7

6.1

6.86.6

6.1

6.9

6.4

5.8

6.6

How happy would you say you are? (average score, 10-point scale, where ‘10’ means “Extremely happy”,

and ‘1’ means “Extremely unhappy”)CB2010-2013

2013 2012 2011 2010

ONLINE DATA ANALYSESwww.caucasusbarometer.org

http://www.crrccenters.org/20130/Online-Tutorials

http://www.caucasusbarometer.org/

56

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