crippling effect of survey data

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Slide 1

The crippling effect of survey data Paper Recycling ConferenceChicago, Illinois2012

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

Survey-Based Market Information: Negatively Affects Performance2

Survey results lack credibilityThe real price industry paysSusceptible to manipulationStrains trading relationships

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

Survey-Based Market Information: Negatively Affects Performance3

Survey results lack credibilityThe real price industry paysDo not reflect your experienceCannot support decisions on any level

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

Survey-Based Market Information: Negatively Affects Performance4

Survey results lack credibilityThe real price industry paysAmplify the effects of marginal tradesCreates artificial price volatility

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

Survey-Based Market Information: Negatively Affects Performance5

Survey results lack credibilityThe real price industry paysNot codified; no standardsCreates artificial price volatilityWreaks havoc with financials

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

Survey-Based Market Information: Negatively Affects Performance6

Survey results lack credibilityThe real price industry paysVariable & unknowable margin of errorForget about forecasting

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

Survey-Based Market Information: Negatively Affects Performance7

Survey results lack credibilityThe real price industry paysReflect markets sentiment and forecastErodes decision-makers confidence

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

What do we know about this business?8

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

What do we know about this business?9

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

What do we know about this business?10

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

Does This Describe Your Business?Fragmented supply chainThousands of participantsHistory of antagonism between buyers and sellersNational and international influencesCommodity business that is affected by local marketsHigh distrust of current pricing services

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2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

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A History of Delivering Value12

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

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A History of Delivering Value13

2001: Stumpage Price Service

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

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A History of Delivering Value14

2001: Stumpage Price Service

2006: Forest2Mill: Raw Material Benchmarks US South

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

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A History of Delivering Value15

2001: Stumpage Price Service

2006: Forest2Mill: Raw Material Benchmarks US South

2007: Forest2Mill: Raw Material Benchmarks Pacific Northwest

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

15

A History of Delivering Value16

2001: Stumpage Price Service

2006: Forest2Mill: Raw Material Benchmarks US South

2007: Forest2Mill: Raw Material Benchmarks Pacific Northwest

2008: Forest2Fuel: Delivered Price Benchmarks Wood Feedstock Price Index

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

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A History of Delivering Value17

2001: Stumpage Price Service

2006: Forest2Mill: Raw Material Benchmarks US South

2007: Forest2Mill: Raw Material Benchmarks Pacific Northwest

2008: Forest2Fuel: Delivered Price Benchmarks Wood Feedstock Price Index

2009: Mill2Market: Lumber Market Analysis Service Lumber Market Quarterly Benchmark

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

17

A History of Delivering Value18

2001: Stumpage Price Service

2006: Forest2Mill: Raw Material Benchmarks US South

2007: Forest2Mill: Raw Material Benchmarks Pacific Northwest

2008: Forest2Fuel: Delivered Price Benchmarks Wood Feedstock Price Index

2009: Mill2Market: Lumber Market Analysis Service Lumber Market Quarterly Benchmark

2011: Market2Mill:Recovered Fiber Service

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

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How Does it Work?Transaction data onlyNo survey, no callingEvery customer transaction is reportedStandardizedCollection and reporting (apples to apples) AuditsParticipation required to receive dataData comes directly from customers (buyers and sellers)Deep industry participationTarget 90%Meet DOJ Anti-trust requirements

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2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

Data: Unsurpassed Detail PriceFreightOriginType of sellerType of buyerMode of transportMiles

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2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

Recovered Fiber Monthly Reports21

OCC and DLK; MP and SOP next quarter

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

Recovered Fiber Monthly Reports22

Contract and spot separated.Simple reports based on a 42,423 verified transactions.

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

Recovered Fiber Quarterly Benchmark23

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

Winners and losers?24

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

Mill Identifies High Cost Winner25

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

Broker Identifies Low Realizations Winner26

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

Differences Between Waste Streams Winner27

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

How Do Your Freight Costs Stack Up?

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2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

We handle the data, while you handle your business.29

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

DataData is submitted by all participants: Monthly data submission of prior months transactionsElectronically submitted in any format (xls, csv, xml, etc.)Transaction level data from accounting or fiber systemsInbound purchasing/receiving transactions for mill participantsOutbound FTL scale transactions for supplier participantsForest2Market analysts quality check the data:Validation of receiptFitness tests: volume norms, price norms, etc.

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2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

DataAll submitted data subject to periodic audits.Data is secure.Data is confidential; external/internal firewalls periodically audited to ensure only authorized persons can access.All reports adhere to anti-trust guidelines.

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2016, Forest2Market, Inc.

Contact32Pete StewartPresident & [email protected]

Forest2Market15720 Brixham Hill AveSuite 550Charlotte, NC 28277

2016, Forest2Market, Inc.