crawl, walk, run - energy efficiency program library walk, run working together to advance emerging...

Crawl, Walk, Run Working Together to Advance Emerging Technologies

John Taylor September 28, 2017 Minneapolis, MN

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What are Emerging Opportunities?

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Emerging Technology

What is a Promising ET?

CEE

Market Transformation

Industry

Relevance to Members

Technical Potential

Consumers

Indicators of Market Change

Key Stakeholder Relationships

Unique CEE Role

Alignment with CEE Mission

Fills a Gap

Other Potential Assets

Level of Effort Required

Time Frame

Program Potential

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Strategies for Advancing ETs

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Collective Impact

If you can’t fly, run. If you can’t run, walk. If you can’t walk, crawl. But, by all means keep moving. -Dr. Martin Luther King, Jr.

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Agenda

Chris Pulfer, on behalf of FortisBC • Gas Heat Pumps

Terry McGowan, American Lighting Association • Residential Lighting Technologies

Robert Wilkins, AHRI • Connected HVAC Equipment

Gas Fired Heat Pumps Prefeasibility Study Results

Proprietary and Confidential 7

Chris Pulfer Consultant to FortisBC & Principal, Posterity Group

Jim Kobialko Program Manager, Innovative Technologies & Projects

CESIG

• FEU gas • 862,000 Residential • 93,000 Commercial • 900 Industrial

• FBC electric

• 142,000 Residential • 16,500 Commercial • 50 Industrial • 4,000 Other

About FortisBC

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…identify market-ready technologies that are not yet widely adopted … which are suitable for …DSM programs ...

FortisBC’s Innovative Technologies Program Area

…This is accomplished

through pilot and demonstration projects, pre-feasibility studies and the use of Industry Standard EM&V protocols to validate manufacturers’ claims...

FortisBC’s Innovative Technologies Program Area

FortisBC has been conducting DSM for a long time, most of the “low-hanging energy efficiency fruit” is gone

Many provincial jurisdictions have relatively stringent energy codes. In our heating-dominated climate, focus skews to natural gas end use, a particular issue for gas utilities

Federal and Provincial MEPS are stringent, and becoming more so

Pan-Canadian Framework: GHG Targets

Introduction – The Problem(s)

Introduction – The Problem

Why GHPs?

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What are Gas Fired Heat Pumps

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Codes and Standards

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There is currently no Minimum Efficient Performance Standards for natural gas heat pumps it the United States or Canada.

CSA has certified some Robur absorption heat pump models for safety in Canada under the relevant ANSI standard

ANSI also maintains a performance testing and rating standard

Baseline Descriptions

Vintage Heating/DHW Loads

Res Baseline Heating Equipment

Comm. Baseline Heating Equipment

Existing (retrofit)

As per 2011 FortisBC Conservation Potential Study

Forced-air furnace, 92% AFUE with ECM Boiler – 80% AFUE DHW – 0.625 EF

Heating (RTU or Boiler) – 80% DHW - 80%

New

As per 2011 FortisBC Conservation Potential Study

Forced-air furnace, 92% AFUE with ECM Boiler – 90% AFUE DHW – 0.625 EF

Heating (RTU or Boiler) – 80% DHW - 80%

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Coefficient of Performance (COP)

Vintage Coastal Interior Space Heat 1.20 1.15

DHW 1.40 1.30

SH + DHW (Res Only) 1.24 1.18

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Residential Savings Summary

Subsector Measure Life (years)

Upgrade Incremental

Cost

Gas Savings Per Measure

Retrofit 15 years $6,935 19.6 GJ/yr

New 15 years $5,558 17.3 GJ/yr

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Commercial Savings Summary

Subsector Measure Life (years)

Upgrade Incremental

Cost

Gas Savings Per

Measure

Retrofit 15 years $19,991 271 GJ/yr

New 15 years $20,751 265 GJ/yr

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Market Opportunity - Summary

Annual Achievable Potential

Residential 7,200 - 14,500 (retrofit)

650-1,300 (new)

Commercial 300 - 600 (retrofit)

20-50 (new)

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Key Obstacles to Increased Uptake

Market Barriers • Lack of supply and knowledgeable contractors • Availability, performance, cost, and introduction of

pre-commercial technology

Informational Barriers • Lack of information on energy performance Market

actor awareness

Financial Barriers • High capital cost

Key Knowledge Gaps & Recommendations

Gap #1 Energy performance of gas heat pumps in British Columbia remain uncertain Gap #2 Given early market entry period, current technology costs are uncertain.

Find FortisBC at:

Fortisbc.com

talkingenergy.ca

604-576-7000

For further information, please contact:

Thank you

Jim Kobialko

[email protected]

[email protected]

Chris Pulfer

2017 • Competition Awards lightingfortomorrow.com

The Lighting for Tomorrow Success

Story

Transforming Residential Lighting Lighting for Tomorrow has recognized exceptional new lighting products since

2002. Each year, the sponsors and co-sponsors of this unique and successful

industry partnership consider the market barriers that inhibit the adoption and use of energy efficient residential lighting.

They work together to create product categories and criteria that take into account evolving lighting technology and strive to support its successful

integration into lamps, retrofit kits, fixtures and controls to help ensure that these products will meet consumer needs.


2017 Competition

Awards


The Lighting for Tomorrow Success Story Transforming Residential Lighting

The Challenge: How to transform a 100+ year old consumer market to effectively use a new, unfamiliar and more costly technology base. What makes LFT work?

– Focus on the Consumer – Industry “Buy In” – The Challenge of a Competition – Changing and Anticipating the Market – The Awards Include One Year of Product Promotion/Publicity – Qualified Judges – Lighting Retailers, Designers, Electric Utilities,

Testing/Standards, Energy Programs, Industry Media – ENERGY STAR Certified Products – Sponsor Financial and In-Kind Support


Comfort. Beauty. Lifestyle.

Lighting is more than just “parts” - bulbs and fixtures. It enables us all to live our lives. Each year, the Lighting for Tomorrow competition judges handpick high efficiency lighting products that best blend form and function through

inspired design. The end goal? Better lighting, and better living.


The Last 15 Years of Lighting for Tomorrow Transforming Lighting

How Lighting for Tomorrow Encouraged Efficient LED Filament Lamps

2014 2015 2016

LF T Category No standalone category

Special entry category underscores efficiency and light quality characteristics; new bulb shapes and filament styles emerging

Percentage of All Lamp Entries 3% 45% 92%

Average Efficacy of Entries 89 lm/W 98 lm/W

LFT Product Awards

ENERGY STAR Filament lamps not eligible for certification

Expanded scope to include lower color temperature LED filament lamps; 280+ products listed as of August 2017


A Legacy of Lighting Industry Leadership

First LEDs

Lighting Controls

OLED & Connected

Lighting


What We Learned in 2017: New Directions in Lighting Artistry

• Designer use of various materials to achieve functional lighting and a sophisticated artistic appearance

• LEDs offer new possibilities – Mounted in close proximity to

heat-sensitive materials, not limited to standard sockets configurations

Trends


What We Learned in 2017: Connected or “Smart” Lighting

• A drive for simplicity – Making connected products as

easy to set up and use as possible

• Communication protocols increasingly invisible to installers and users – Data translations happen

automatically using wireless Bluetooth® or home Wi-Fi systems

Trends


What We Learned in 2017: Thinner and Thinner

• Optical Plastics and LEDs: designed to uniformly edge light large diffuse surfaces – Ceiling fixtures with flat

luminous surfaces – Traditional thin or slim under-

cabinet fixtures • Not limited to a single color

tone with the arrays of color-changing LEDs

Trends


What We Learned in 2017: “Filament” Bulbs – Larger and More Decorative

• Increase in light output ratings suggesting that these bulbs are now functional light sources

• Larger and more decorative bulb shapes enclosing decorative and increasingly intricate LED filament structures

Trends


What We Learned in 2017: One Luminaire = Multiple Layers of Light

• Ambient, task, and accent lighting can be built into a single luminaire and then combined via controls to achieve the desired lighting result. – More manufacturers are integrating

multiple layers into a single product.

Trends


Competition Sponsors

American Lighting Association

Consortium for Energy Efficiency UL


Competition Co-Sponsors


Judging Criteria

• Efficacy • Customer experience • Light quality • Innovation • Non-energy impacts


2017 Judging Panel

Name Organization Rolf Bergman Rolf Bergman Consulting

Eric Borden Pathfinder Consultants

David Edwards UL

Jeff LeBrun DTE Energy

Linda Longo enLIGHTenment

Candyce Marsh Duke Energy

Jodie Orange Living Lighting

Erik Page Erik Page & Associates

Bjarne Pedersen Architectural Lighting Design, Inc.

Greg Spigner Ferguson, a Wolseley Company

Tim Stumm Lights Fantastic Dallas


• What’s Next • For LFT?

Terry McGowan - [email protected]

Draft AHRI Standard 1380 Demand-Response-Ready Variable-Capacity Air-Conditioning Equipment <65,000 Btuh

Robert Wilkins CEE Industry Partners Meeting Minneapolis, Minnesota September 27-28, 2017

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I am here to share my personal experience and lessons learned as chairman of the AHRI technical committee that developed the draft standard. My remarks may not necessarily represent the views of AHRI or its member companies. Robert Wilkins

Notice

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Topics

2012: Why a Standard for DR Ready VC HVAC Equipment?

Brief Summary of the Draft Standard

Benefits to Utilities

Benefits to Manufacturers

Potential Next Steps for Utilities

Lessons Learned from the Process

Composition of the Technical Committee

Other Suggestions for Future CEE Emerging Technology Initiatives

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2012: Why a Standard for DR Ready VC HVAC Equipment?

AHRI leadership identified a confluence of issues and opportunities

Utility issues in 2012 • Growing pressure to save energy, reduce carbon and manage peaks • Closure of coal-fired and nuclear generating stations • New, sharper utility peaks caused by growing solar generation • Aging of existing load control communication systems

Technology opportunities in 2012 • Inverter technology maturing and coming to US-style HVAC • New, enhanced demand response communication systems available

This confluence of developments made developing our Standard timely

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Brief Summary of Draft Standard: Highlights of Operation

Communication CTA-2045 and/or OpenADR 2.0

Configuration signals To automate enrollment/connection process

Cooling operation: General curtailment Critical curtailment Grid emergency

Benchmark at rated load power (95˚F) Max input power capped at 30% below benchmark Max input power capped at 60% below benchmark Turn off equipment (not for control strategy)

Heat pump operation: General curtailment Critical curtailment

Benchmark at rated load power (47˚F) Max input power capped at 30% below benchmark Turn off resistance heat

Some other provisions include: • Advance notification of DR event • Return acknowledgment of signals and diagnostic data upon request • Load-up function • Customer override provision with notification to the utility

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Benefits to Utilities

• VCAC is very effective to reduce peak loads • Energy efficiency rises during demand response events • Much more effective than costly increases in minimum EER ratings

• Parallel increases in energy efficiency (18 to 21 SEER)

• Addresses needs to expand/modernize old load control systems

• Modern communication systems improve DR performance and reliability

• Raises confidence that systems will perform when needed • Avoids need for equipment modification; reduces truck rolls

• Capable of both direct load control and peak load price programs

• Less impact on indoor comfort than compressor cycling or thermostat

setback strategies

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Benefits to Manufacturers

• Increases opportunities to sell higher efficiency products • Especially inverter driven products

• Provides better way to reduce utility peak loads versus increasing EER

• Reduces focus on costly EER ratings.

• Could stimulate utility incentives • Demand response incentives, in parallel with • Energy efficiency incentives

• Attractive product to replace old, inefficient equipment in field

• Especially in stressed substations or circuits

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Potential Next Steps for Utilities

• Consider future plans for your DR program and technology • Direct load control program, or • Peak load pricing program

• Consider new communication technology

• OpenADR2.0, or • CTA2045 as a “bridge” to existing communication system, or • CTA2045 as a “bridge” to new communication system

• Consider coordinating or integrating DR and EE programs and

incentives to benefit from parallel • Superior DR performance • Superior EE performance

• Discuss your plans with manufacturers now planning their products

• Continue the collaboration

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Lessons Learned from the Process • Identify and focus on the target opportunity:

• Avoid trying to do everything for everybody • Save good but tangential ideas for future projects

• Chart the path forward. Early on, we developed:

• A white paper • Our future state vision • Roadmap (a process flow chart) to the future state

• A strong cross section of TC participants leads to collaboration and a

shared understanding of both industries’ situations: • Utility demand response programs, technologies and constraints • Manufacturer capabilities plus technical and regulatory constraints

• Be willing to negotiate and compromise

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Composition of Technical Committee: A Strong Cross Section

Manufacturers Carrier Daikin Emerson Fujitsu Ingersoll Rand Johnson Controls Nortek Rheem Others at times

Utilities Duke Energy Pacific Gas & Electric Southern Cal Edison Others at times

Organizations AHRI CEE EPA Energy Star EPRI Others at times

Participants gained both an understanding of demand response programs and technologies, and respect for both industries’ concerns, needs and issues. This has led to strong collaboration and cooperation.

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Other Suggestions for Future CEE Emerging Technology Initiatives • Identify target opportunities with meaningful benefits for both

• Utilities, and • Manufacturers

• Identify and co-opt supporting entities, e.g.,

• CEE • EPRI • Manufacturers’ trade associations • Technical societies and alliances • Government agencies / national laboratories • Universities

• If possible, enlist participants with both utility and manufacturer

experience.

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Thank you!

Robert Wilkins 160 Creek Water Lane Arnold, Maryland 21012 443-794-0998 [email protected]

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DISCUSSION

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