cra presentation to national assembly, senate, county assemblies

7/30/2019 CRA presentation to national assembly, senate, county assemblies

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ADDITIONAL FINANCIAL BURDEN TO NATIONAL AND COUNTY

GOVERNMENTS IF GENDER RULE IS NOT MET VIA ELECTIONS

FOR

COMMISSION ON REVENUE ALLOCATION

Promoting an equitable society

q NATIONAL ASSEMBLY

q SENATE

q COUNTY ASSEMBLIES

SEPTEMBER, 2012


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CURRENT FEMALE REPRESENTATION IN PARLIAMENT

1

%

RWANDA 56.3

TANZANIA 36.0

UGANDA 35.0

BURUNDI 30.5

KENYA 9.8

KENYA S POPULATION %

-MALE 19,192,378 49.7-FEMALE 19,417,719 50.3

TOTAL 38,610,097 100.0


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Provincial Premiers of South Africa

1. Eastern Cape

Premier:

Noxolo Kiviet

2. Northern Cape

Premier:

Hazel Jenkins

3.Western Cape

Premier:

Helen Zille

4. North West

Premier:

Thandi Modise

5. Gauteng

Premier:NomvulaMokonyane

6. KwaZulu-Natal

Premier:Zweli Mkhize

7. Limpopo

Premier:Cassel Mathale

8. Mpumalanga

Premier:David Mabuza

9. Free State

Premier:Sekgobelo Magashule

Wom en5, Men 4 (55% Women)

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4

GROSS DOMESTIC PRODUCT (GDP) $ BILLION - 2011

$ 384 B

$ 107 B

Source: World Bank


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CONSTITUENCIES, WARDS AND COUNTY REPRESENTATIVES

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No. COUNTY CONST. WARDS COUNTY REPS

1/3 2/3

1 Nairobi 17 85 29 56

2 Kakamega 12 60 20 40

3 Kiambu 12 60 20 40

4 Nakuru 11 55 19 36

5 Bungoma 9 45 15 306 Kisii 9 45 15 30

7 Meru 9 45 15 30

8 Homa Bay 8 40 14 26

9 Kitui 8 40 14 26

10 Machakos 8 40 14 2611 Migori 8 40 14 26

12 Busia 7 35 12 23

13 Kilifi 7 35 12 23


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1/3 2/3

14 Kisumu 7 35 12 23

15 Murang'a 7 35 12 23

16 Baringo 6 30 10 20

17 Garissa 6 30 10 20

18 Kericho 6 30 10 20

19 Makueni 6 30 10 20

20 Mandera 6 30 10 20

21 Mombasa 6 30 10 20

22 Nandi 6 30 10 20

23 Narok 6 30 10 2024 Nyeri 6 30 10 20

25 Siaya 6 30 10 20

26 Turkana 6 30 10 20


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1/3 2/3

27 Uasin Gishu 6 30 10 20

28 Wajir 6 30 10 20

29 Bomet 5 25 9 16

30 Kajiado 5 25 9 16

31 Nyandarua 5 25 9 16

32 Trans Nzoia 5 25 9 16

33 Vihiga 5 25 9 16

34 Elgeyo-Marakwet 4 20 7 13

35 Embu 4 20 7 13

36 Kirinyaga 4 20 7 13

37 Kwale 4 20 7 13

38 Marsabit 4 20 7 13

39 Nyamira 4 20 7 13


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1/3 2/3

40 Taita Taveta 4 20 7 13

41 West Pokot 4 20 7 13

42 Laikipia 3 15 5 10

43 Samburu 3 15 5 10

44 Tana River 3 15 5 10

45 Tharaka Nithi 3 15 5 10

46 Isiolo 2 10 4 6

47 Lamu 2 10 4 6

TOTAL 290 1450 492 958


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ADDITIONAL COST IF GENDER RULE IS NOT MET VIA ELECTIONS

COUNTY A COUNTY B

ELECTED - MEN- WOMEN 2010 30-

TOTAL ELECTED 30 30

ARTICLE 177 (I) (b )NOMINATION OF WOMEN - 15TOTAL COUNTY ASSEMBLY MEMBERS 30 45

SHS. SHS. MONTHLY PAY ASSUMING

SHS.300,000 PER MEMBER 9,000,000 13,500,000ANNUAL PAY 108 ,000,000 162 ,000,000

GENDER PENALTY:- MONTHLY (13,500,000 9,000,000)-ANNUALLY (4,500,000 x 12 months)- FIVE YEARS (54,000,000 x 5 years)

---

SHS.4,500,00054,000,000

270 ,000,000

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ALL 47 COUNTY ASSEMBLIES

TOTAL MEMBERS REQUIRED TO BE ELECTED 1,450 MINIMUM WOMEN TO BE ELECTED

(1/3 OF 1450) 492

WORST CASE SCENARIO

ELECTED WOMEN - NOMINATED, INVOKING ARTICLE 177 (I) (b) (492x 150%) 738 TOTAL COUNT Y ASSEMBLY MEMBERS (1,450 + 7 38) 2,188

ADDITIONAL COST TO ALL COUNTIES

-

MONTHLY ADDITIONAL COST(SHS.300,000 X 7 38) SHS.221,400 ,000

- ANNUAL ADDITIONAL COST 2,656,800 .00- FIVE YEARS ADDITIONAL COST 13,284,000 ,000


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NATIONAL ASSEMBLY

MPs REQUIRED TO BE ELECTED 290WOMEN COUNTY REPRESENTATIVES TO BE ELECTED 47 NOMINATED MPs 12 TOTAL, IF GENDER RULE IS MET 349WOMEN 1/3 OF 349 117 LESS: WOMEN COUNTY REPRESENTATIVES

47ADDITIONAL TO BE ELECTED 70ASSUMING NONE ELECTED, NOMINATE (70 x 150%) 105 TOTAL MEMBERS OF PARLIAMENT (349 + 105 ) 454

ADDITIONAL COST

ASSUMING SHS. 1 MILLION PAY PER MONTH SHS.

- MONTHLY 105 x 1 MILLION 105,000,000- ANNUALLY 1,260,000,000- FIVE YEARS 6,300,000,000


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SENATE

ONE ELECTED BY EACH COUNTY 47 NOMINATED WOMEN 16YOUTH (MAN + WOMAN) 2 PERSONS WITH DISABILITIES (MAN + WOMAN) 2TOTAL 67

GENDER RULE, 1/3 WOMEN 23LESS: WOMEN NOMINATED 18SHORTFAL L -TO BE ELECTED

- IF NOMINATED 5

(5 X 150%) 8

GENDER PENALTY SHS.- MONTLHY (SHS.1 MILLION PER MEMBER) 8,000,000- ANNUALLY 96,000,000- FIVE YEARS 480,000,000


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A D D I T I O NM E M B E

A D D I T IO N A L C O S T

M O N T H L Y E A R L Y

5 Y E A R S

S H S .

M I L L I O N

S H S .

M I L L I O N

S H S .

M I L L I O N

1 .C O U N T Y A S S E M B 73 8 221 2 ,6 57 1 3 ,2 82 .N A T I O N A L A S S E M 1 0 5 1 0 5 1 ,2 6 6 ,3 03 .S E N A T E 8 8 9 6 4 8 0

T O T A L 85 1 3 34 4 ,01 3 2 0 ,0 6


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IMPLEMENTATION OF GENDER EQUALITY PROVISION FOR THE NATIONAL ASSEMBLY

OPTION1: LEAVE SHORTFALL TO BE MET VIA NOMINATION

14

Elected Women from Const. 15 20 30 40 50 63 701 No. of MPs required 290

2 Women County Rep 47

3 Nominated MPs 12

4 TOTAL 349

5 Gender rule 1/3 116

6 Less: Women in No. 2 477 Less: 50% in No. 3 6

8 Balance to be Elected 63 63 63 63 63 63 63

9 Less: Elected per scenario 15 20 30 40 50 63 70

10 Balance 48 43 33 23 13 0 0

11 Gross up + 50% - Nominations 73 65 50 35 20 0 0

12 Elected in no. 4 349 349 349 349 349 349 34913 Total for National Assembly 422 414 399 384 369 349 349

14 Excess over 349 73 65 50 35 20 0 0

15 Total No. of Women in NA 141 138 133 128 123 116 123

16 % of Women in NA 33% 33% 33% 33% 33% 33% 35%


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IMPLEMENTATION OF GENDER EQUALITY PROVISION FOR THE NATIONAL ASSEMBLY

OPTION 2: INCREASE WOMEN REPRESENTATION FROM 47 TO 94

15

Elected Women from Const.15 20 30 32 40 701 No. of MPs required 290

2 Women County Rep 94

3 Nominated MPs 12

4 TOTAL 396

5 Gender rule 1/3 132

6 Less: Women in No. 2 94

7 Less: 50% in No. 3 6

8 Balance to be Elected 32 32 32 32 32 32

9 Less: Elected per scenario 15 20 30 32 40 70

10 Balance 17 12 2 0 0 0

11 Gross up + 50% - Nominations 26 18 3 0 0 0

12 Elected in no. 4 396 396 396 396 396 396

13 Total for National Assembly 422 414 399 396 396 39614 Excess over 349 26 18 3 0 0 0

15 Total No. of Women in NA 141 138 133 132 140 170

16 % of Women in NA 33% 33% 33% 33% 35% 43%


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MPs, GOVERNORS AND SENATORS Is Cost of Kenyas leadership burden sustainable?

KENYA USA

POPULATION 38,610,097 311,000,000

MPs/HOUSE OFREPRESENTATIVES 350 - 450 435

SENATORS 70 100

GOVERNORS 47 51


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THANK YOU

cra presentation to national assembly, senate, county assemblies

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