covid-19 virus tracking reports...all rights reserved -insights collective...
TRANSCRIPT
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COVID-19 Virus Tracking ReportsData as of 11/15
Made possible by contributions from other civic minded organizations including Red Sky Travel Insurance.
Compiled by Susan Rubin-Stewart & Jane Babilon
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ALL RIGHTS RESERVED - INSIGHTS COLLECTIVE [email protected]
COVID-19 Virus Tracking
Graphs contained in this report provide a summary of nationwide COVID cases and testing as well as regional breakouts of feeder markets, Western mountain destinations and Southeast destinations.Also included are graphs showing a comparison of the destinations/feeder markets that we track within some individual state.
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U.S. New Cases
3ALL RIGHTS RESERVED - INSIGHTS COLLECTIVE [email protected]
• The U.S. nears 11 million reported cases.
• Cases more than doubled the previous peak in July for three days last week.
Data courtesy of John Hopkins as of 11/15
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US Daily New CasesNew Cases 7-day avg
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U.S. Testing
4ALL RIGHTS RESERVED - INSIGHTS COLLECTIVE [email protected]
Data Courtesy of COVID Tracking Project• A low positivity rate
suggests that testing is more widespread and that it is not limited to those with severe symptoms.
• 10.5 million additional tests would be needed last week to achieve the goal of 5% positivity.
• Johns Hopkins data shows Kansas, South Dakota and Iowa all having 7-day positivity rates over 50%
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US COVID Testing7-day
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US Hospitalizations
5ALL RIGHTS RESERVED - INSIGHTS COLLECTIVE [email protected]
• 69,864 COVID patients, a record high, were in the hospital on 11/15.
• States began implementing new restrictions in response to the hospitalization increase.
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COVID HospitalizationsCurrently Hospitalized
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Feeder MarketsWestern Region & Northeast, South, Midwest Regions
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Feeder Markets: Western Region – New Cases
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Data courtesy of John Hopkins as of 11/15
• Despite numbers below other California cities, San Francisco has moved back a step in their reopening.
• San Diego officials are blaming their increased numbers on COVID fatigue.
• Portland has been placed under stricter restrictions for at least the next 4 weeks.
• Seattle mayor says nearly 20% of all their cases from the pandemic have been reported in the last 2 weeks.
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Feeder Markets: Western Region – New Cases
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Data courtesy of John Hopkins as of 11/15
• Salt Lake represented almost 39% of all new cases in Utah on 11/14.
• Denver’s 2-week positivity rate is 11.6%.
• Albuquerque’s data has been impacted by a disruption in the state reporting system.
• McCarran Airport (Las Vegas) reported October was the busiest travel month there since the pandemic began suggesting tourists may be contributing to the case increase.
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Feeder Markets: Southeast – New Cases
• Orlando is experiencing its highest spike in more than 3 months.• Atlanta reported
a 31.5% increase in its 14-day trend.• D.C. reported a
7-day average of 139 cases, the highest since May 24.
9ALL RIGHTS RESERVED - INSIGHTS COLLECTIVE [email protected]
Data courtesy of John Hopkins as of 11/15
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Feeder Markets: Northeast, Midwest Regions – New Cases
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Data courtesy of John Hopkins as of 11/15• Cook County (Chicago) accounts for almost 20% of all cases in Illinois and has seen its average positivity rate more than double over 3 weeks to 15%.
• NYC 7-day positivity rate is at 2.6% and appears to be slightly declining following 12 days of increases.
• Philadelphia is implementing stricter restrictions effective Nov. 20-Jan.1.
• Detroit says their numbers remain relatively low and blames their stricter rules on irresponsible behavior in the surrounding counties.
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DestinationsWestern Mountain & Southeast
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Western Mountain Destinations – New Cases
12ALL RIGHTS RESERVED - INSIGHTS COLLECTIVE [email protected]
Data courtesy of John Hopkins as of 11/15• Is Bend’s relatively low case load due to their strict mask enforcement including fines and a hotline for residents to report non-compliance?
• Although Summit CO reported an increase in the 2-week incidence rate of new cases and a positivity rate of 16.3%, it looks like their efforts maybe having some impact.
• Blaine County’s also may have flattened the curve.
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Western Mountain Destinations – New Cases
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Data courtesy of John Hopkins as of 11/15
• Whitefish continues to see high case numbers amid County Health Board inaction on restrictions.
• Aspen’s 14-day positivity rate is at 9.76%.
• Halloween super-spreader youthful event among causes of Steamboat’s rise in cases.
• Eagle County moves to a higher level of restrictions among rising case numbers.
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Southeast Destinations – New Cases
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Data courtesy of John Hopkins as of 11/15
• Bay County (Panama City Beach) had a testing positivity rate of 20% on Nov. 15.
• Monroe County (FL Keys) has a positivity rate at 15%.
• Dare County (NC Outer Banks) is in the state’s top 20 counties with the highest risk.
• Beaufort County (Hilton Head) had it’s highest 7-day average of new cases since Sept. 23.
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Southeast Destinations – New Cases
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Data courtesy of John Hopkins as of 11/15
• Nashville schools may return to virtual learning if case #s continue to rise.
• New Orleans positivity rate has nearly doubled from 1.2% to 2.2%, still below much of the country.
• Charleston leaders are confident their response is working and the numbers since August back this up.
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StatesColorado, California, Florida, Oregon, Utah
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Colorado
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• Colorado officials are considering adding a new level to the current COVID dial, just below the current strictest level as cases spike across the state.
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California
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• Although CA is in the bottom 25% for rate of cases in the US, most counties are being rolled back to the most restrictive tier of closures.
• El Dorado County (Lake Tahoe) attributes their latest spikes to pandemic fatigue, Halloween parties and the defiance of state requirements.
• Tahoe area appears tobe performing more like Nevada than California.
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Florida
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• Although Tampa is doing well, Florida had a record number of new cases over the weekend with more than 10,000 cases in one day
• No new lockdown is planned.
• Florida numbers may have been impacted by the temporary shutdown of some testing sites due to Tropical Storm Eta.
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Oregon
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• Bend was able to flatten the curve before the rest of the state.
• Oregon’s governor announced a 2-week freeze on most activities and nonessential business. This followed an announcement a week earlier of a 2-week pause on social activities.
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Utah
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• Utah reported over 21,000 new cases in the past week compared to just over 16,000 in the previous week.
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22ALL RIGHTS RESERVED - INSIGHTS COLLECTIVE [email protected]
The COVID-19 Virus Tracking is a weekly distribution of Insights Collective, an industry Think Tank focused on leading destinations through the New Realities of destination/resort management, marketing and positioning.
The COVID-19 Virus Tracking, combined with other resources from Insights Collective, allows destination and resort executives to have top-line information on demand and supply developments, along with Insights Collective knowledge on where to focus resources next.
For more information on COVID-19 developments, or industry implications: Susan Rubin-Stewart 970-333-0075 SRS Consulting Services or Jane Babilon 303-921-5173.