covid-19 immigration effects · 2021. 1. 17. · november 2020 highlights • november immigration...
TRANSCRIPT
COVID-19 Immigration Effects2018 to October 2020
Working Draft - Key Slides
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,000
2018-1 2018-4 2018-7 2018-10 2019-1 2019-4 2019-7 2019-10 2020-1 2020-4 2020-7 2020-10
Economic Family Refugees
Programs Examined• Permanent Residents/Immigrants (PRs): Economic, Family and Refugees
• TR to Permanent Resident transition
• Asylum Claimants by Office Type
• Temporary Residents/International Mobility Program (IMP): International Agreements (e.g., NAFTA, GATS), Canadian Interests (e.g., intra-corporate transfers, work exchange programs, post-graduate employment, spouses)
• Temporary Residents/Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP): caregivers, agriculture workers, other workers with Labour Market Impact Assessment (LMIA)
• Study Permits (international students)
• Asylum Claimants
• Citizenship
• Visitor Visas
2
November 2020 Highlights• November immigration numbers largely flat compared to October, permanent, temporary and students, with decline in applications
• PRs: Admissions remained largely flat, from 15,070 in October to 15,270 in November. November Year-over-year decline: Economic 48.9%, Family 40.3%. Refugees increase of 9.3%
• Applications: Decrease from 17,160 in September to 15,468 in October. October year-over-year decrease 52.4%
• Provincial Nominee Program: Flat, from 2,920 in October to 2,835 in November . October year-over-year decrease: 40%
• TR to PRs transition (i.e., those already in Canada): Increase from 6,395 in October to 7,195 in November (some double counting). November Year-over-year increase of 2.2%, driven by Post-graduate work program increase of 19.5%
• Temporary Residents: • TRs/IMP: Flat, from 34,815 in October (60% post-grad employment) to 33,875 in November. November Year-over-year change: Agreements decrease of 13.6%, Canadian Interests increase of 55.5%
• TRs/TFWP: Increase from 4,815 in October to 5,300 in November. November year-over-year decline: Caregivers 23.9% and Other LMIA 12.9%. Agriculture Increase of 19.9%,.
• Web “Get a work permit”: From 56,923 in November to 51,674 in December (outside Canada). December Year-over-year decline: 25.1%
• Students: Flat, 15,050 in October to 15,000 in November. November year-over-year increase of 19.2%, likely reflecting COVID delays • Applications: Decrease (seasonal) from 27,141 in September to 21,728 in October. October Year-over-year decrease: 30%
• Web “Get a study permit”: From 54,735 in November (outside Canada) to 51,556 in December. December Year-over-year decrease: 12.5%
• Asylum Claimants: Flat, from 1,310 in October to 1,320 in November (about 75% inland). November year-over-year decrease: 75.4%
• Settlement Services (May): Decline from 112,380 in April to 101,415 in May. Year-over-year decrease 9.8 percent • Web “Find immigrant services hear you”: From 10,601 in November (outside Canada) to 8,333 in December. December Year-over-year decrease: 41%
• Citizenship: Decrease from 13,766 in September to 8,598 in October. October Year-over-year decrease: 56.3%. • Web “Apply for citizenship”: From 32,027 in November (outside Canada) to 22,051 in December. December 2020-2018 decrease: 5.6%%
• Visitor Visas: Slight increase from earlier complete shutdown. From 4,184 in September to 6,229 in October. October Year-over-year decrease: 91.3%
3
Overall Decline Across all Programs April-November 2019-20 Comparison
4
PR Applications
PR Admissions
Asylum Claimants
Temporary Workers IMP
Temporary Workers TFWP
Study Permit Applications
Study Permit Admissions
New Citizens
Visitor Visas
-120% -90% -60% -30% 0%
-96.1%
-73.6%
-31.9%
-65.7%
-13.7%
-17.7%
-77.3%
-58.9%
-62%
Permanent Residents
5
PR Applications: Region of Citizenship —2018-20
15,000
30,000
45,000
60,00020
18-1
2018
-4
2018
-7
2018
-10
2019
-1
2019
-4
2019
-7
2019
-10
2020
-1
2020
-4
2020
-7
2020
-10
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
6
Admissions: PRs by Categories—2018-20
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,00020
18-1
2018
-4
2018
-7
2018
-10
2019
-1
2019
-4
2019
-7
2019
-10
2020
-1
2020
-4
2020
-7
2020
-10
Economic Family Refugees
7
Admissions: PRs Region of Citizenship—2018-20
25%
50%
75%
100%20
18-1
2018
-4
2018
-7
2018
-10
2019
-1
2019
-4
2019
-7
2019
-10
2020
-1
2020
-4
2020
-7
2020
-10
10.4%11.2%12.4%8.2%10.2%10.3%
13.8%10.6%8.4%9.2%
11.7%9%9.3%9.1%8.5%10.3%8.3%8.5%8.5%8.3%8.9%8%
10%7.8%8.6%9.6%9.4%
11.6%9.5%9.6%9.6%9.3%9.6%11%12%
13.5%12.9%12.5%
10.3%9%
11.8%
16.8%
11.5%
11.8%11.1%12%
10.6%11%9.8%9.5%11.8%
9.8%10.1%10.4%10.3%10.8%10%
11.9%11.8%11.5%10.9%9.6%
12.5%11.5%10.3%9.9%9.5%10.2%
11%12.3%
18.4%20.6%19.2%
24.3%21%9.4%
13.2%
13.3%17.4%15.9%
16.4%20.8%18.2%18.8%20.4%
15.1%17.7%18.6%
14.9%16.3%15.8%15.1%
15.7%19.7%19.1%17.4%17.8%
15%16.7%
14.7%14.3%14.2%14.9%13.2%
11.5%
55.9%53.8%54.1%55.6%58%
66.4%
54.2%
60.9%60.8%62.6%58.5%58.4%60.2%61.2%60.6%61.6%62.6%61.7%
64.9%63.5%63%65.4%60.5%59.1%59.4%60.8%62%59.4%60.8%
63.9%65.1%65.6%64%63.4%62.7%
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
8
Admissions: Provincial Nominee Program—2018-20
2,250
4,500
6,750
9,00020
18-1
2018
-4
2018
-7
2018
-10
2019
-1
2019
-4
2019
-7
2019
-10
2020
-1
2020
-4
2020
-7
2020
-10
9
Admissions: PRs Total, Provincial Nominee Program Year to year comparison (monthly)—2019-20
-90%
-67.5%
-45%
-22.5%
0%
22.5%
45%
67.5%
90%
2019
-1
2019
-3
2019
-5
2019
-7
2019
-9
2019
-11
2020
-1
2020
-3
2020
-5
2020
-7
2020
-9
2020
-11
-40%
-55.7%-49.9%
-77.7%
-61.4%
-30.9%
-50.2%
-71.4%
-32.7%
45.6%
64.7%
13.5%
43.2%38.4%36.8%
57.3%
43.2%
25.4%
-1.6%
-29.7%
-18.7%
-36.2%-32.4%
-39.1%
-51.8%-57.7%
-64.2%-62.7%
-44.2%
-66.8%
-84.6%
-29.4%
28.1%32.7%
-4.1%
9.5%
18.3%
27.1%24.7%26.1%
14.3%14.8%
-6.6%-12.2%
-21.1%-20.9%
PRs Total PNP
10
Admissions: PRs Canada Total Year-to-Year Comparison by Category—November 2020, Quarterly
-90%
-67.5%
-45%
-22.5%
0%
22.5%
Economic Family Refugees
-13.1%-5.2%
17.7%
-81.6%-77.9%
-52%
-63.3%
-52.4%
-65.3%
9.3%
-40.3%-48.9%
November 2020 Q3 Q2 Q111
Admissions: PNP Provinces Year-over-year Comparison—November 2020, Year-to-date
-100%
-75%
-50%
-25%
0%
Atlantic ON MB SK AB BC
-31.5%-29.2%
-50.4%-52.8%-44.3%
-49.2%
-31.1%-37.6%
-60.6%
-42.3%
-26.4%-25%
November 2020 Year-to-date12
Admissions: Permanent Residents by Citizenship Year to Year Comparison (November 2020, Year-to-date)
Top 10 Countries — Ordered by 2018 base year
-100%
-74.8%
-49.6%
-24.4%
0.8%
India Philippines China Syria Nigeria USA Pakistan France Eritrea UK
-37.5%
-64.8%
-3.2%
-42.3%-39.2%
-50.3%-54.8%
-44%
-60.5%
-49%
-39.8%
-50%
-20.7%
-45.4%-43.1%-42.9%
0.8%
-29.2%
-60.7%
-52.2%
November 2020 Year-to-date13
Admissions: Temporary to Permanent ResidentsBy Program—2018-20
3,500
7,000
10,500
14,000
2018
-1
2018
-4
2018
-7
2018
-10
2019
-1
2019
-4
2019
-7
2019
-10
2020
-1
2020
-4
2020
-7
2020
-10
IMP Post-Graduate WP Students TFWP
14
Admissions by Program: TRs to PRs Year-over-year Comparison by Province—November 2020, Year-to-date
-60%
-45%
-30%
-15%
0%
15%
30%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
-28.4%-31.6%
-51.9%
-39.1%
-26.3%
-17.6%
-39.5%
12.4%
-22.8%
1.8%2.7%
14.7%
-10.5%-16.2%
November 2020 Year-to-date15
Admissions: TRs to PRs Year to Year Comparison by Program—November 2020, Year-to-date
-50%
-32.5%
-15%
2.5%
20%
IMP Post-Graduate WP Students TFWP
-39.7%
-31.4%-28.1%-28.6%
-22%
-11.7%
19.5%
0.1%
November 2020 Year-to-date16
Asylum Claimants: Office Type 2018-20
1,750
3,500
5,250
7,00020
18-1
2018
-4
2018
-7
2018
-10
2019
-1
2019
-4
2019
-7
2019
-10
2020
-1
2020
-4
2020
-7
2020
-10
Airport Border Inland
17
Asylum Claimants: Year-over-year Comparison by Office Type—November 2020, Quarterly
-110%
-80.75%
-51.5%
-22.25%
7%
Airport Border Inland
-9.8%
6.5%1.9%
-42.7%
-92.5%-98.6%
-77.8%
-89.1%-96.4%
-66.6%
-83.1%
-94.5%
November 2020 Q3 Q2 Q118
Asylum Claimants: Year-over-year Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year—November 2020, Last Quarter
-100%
-75%
-50%
-25%
0%
India Mexico Iran Nigeria Colombia Pakistan China Turkey Haiti USA
-83.5%
-62.5%
-90.4%
-75.9%
-87.3%-90%-96.1%
-84.8%-81.1%
-74.2% -73.9%-78%
-73.9%-75.8%-81.3%
-71.4%
-90%
-69.4%-75.8%
-70.8%
November 2020 July-Sep19
Temporary Residents
20
IMP & TFWP Work Permit Holders—2018-20
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,00020
18-1
2018
-4
2018
-7
2018
-10
2019
-1
2019
-4
2019
-7
2019
-10
2020
-1
2020
-4
2020
-7
2020
-10
Agreements Canadian Interests Caregivers Agriculture LMIA
21
IMP by Region of Citizenship—2018-20
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%20
18-1
2018
-4
2018
-7
2018
-10
2019
-1
2019
-4
2019
-7
2019
-10
2020
-1
2020
-4
2020
-7
2020
-10
11.9%10%
16.4%18%
19.7%19.6%
16.4%
8.5%
14.6%15.1%15.4%13.7%
14.3%13.8%
14.1%
19%20.4%
16.3%13.7%16.2%17%17.9%17%16.5%
16.1%17%
17.2%18.5%16.6%
18.6%18.6%19.5%18.3%16.4%18.8%
11.8%
10.6%
20.8%20.8%
18.5%
11.8%
11.1%
8.4%
26.8%28.6%
24.8%
13.4%
21.1%23.3%29.8%
27.1%28%
30.9%
25%
25.7%
33.1%28%27.8%
18.7%
21.2%
27.6%33%28.7%
20.6%
34%34.9%35%31.3%
28.3%
32.7%
69.3%74.2%
54.9%54%50%
57.6%
64.6%
77.8%
50.3%47.7%52.1%
65.3%
53.1%53.4%50.2%
46.4%43.1%45.2%
53.4%49.7%
42.2%45.7%46.8%
56.1%50.2%
42.7%41.8%44.5%
54.9%
38.6%37.4%36.7%40.9%
46.3%
39.5%
Asia Europe Americas Africa Oceania
22
TFWP by Region of Citizenship—2018-20
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%20
18-1
2018
-4
2018
-7
2018
-10
2019
-1
2019
-4
2019
-7
2019
-10
2020
-1
2020
-4
2020
-7
2020
-10
50%53.1%
45.7%
25.5%20.8%
13.5%16.9%
9.8%
32%38%37%
50.5%
56%54.2%
41.1%38.6%
24.4%21.7%
24.3%
16%
25.9%
34.2%31.8%
49.2%49.3%
55.9%
36.8%31.9%
21.8%
16.9%15.8%13.7%
21%
31.9%31.8%
34.2%31.4%
39.2%
67.2%72.8%
81.5%78.2%
87.4%
56.3%50.5%50.1%
35.2%
28.5%31.2%
45%46.1%
67.9%71.1%
68.1%
78.9%
65.7%
56.3%57.6%
35.6%32.9%
28%
50.7%54.9%
68.9%
75.5%76.7%80.3%
70.9%
57%56.9%
Americas Asia Europe Africa Oceania
23
IMP & TFWP Work Permit Holders Total Year to Year Comparison (Monthly)
-70%
-52.5%
-35%
-17.5%
0%
17.5%
35%
52.5%
70%20
19-1
2019
-2
2019
-3
2019
-4
2019
-5
2019
-6
2019
-7
2019
-8
2019
-9
2019
-10
2019
-11
2019
-12
2020
-1
2020
-2
2020
-3
2020
-4
2020
-5
2020
-6
2020
-7
2020
-8
2020
-9
2020
-10
2020
-11
IMP TFWP
24
Temporary Residents by Program Canada Year to Year Comparison by Category—November 2020, Quarterly
-80%
-60%
-40%
-20%
0%
20%
40%
60%
Agreements Canadian Interests Caregivers Agriculture LMIA
34.6%
-21.6%
-51.9%
1.2%
-20.4%
-47.4%
-5.5%
-70.3%
-34.2%
-58%
-25.3%
2.5%
-58%-50.9%
-40.6%
-12.9%
19.9%
-23.9%
55.5%
-13.6%
Nov 2020 Q3 Q2 Q1
25
IMP by Citizenship Year to Year Comparison (November 2020, Last Quarter)
Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year
-90%
-67.5%
-45%
-22.5%
0%
22.5%
45%
67.5%
90%
India USA France China UK Australia Ireland Korea Brazil Japan-84.8%
-49.4%-57.4%
-68.3%-77.7%
-65.2%
-45.8%-58.1%-60.1%
-48.4% -44.8%
21.4%
34.2%
-55.7%
-84.9%
-59.9%
67.4%
5.8%
-42.8%
82.2%
November 2020 July-September26
TFWP by Citizenship Year to Year Comparison (November 2020, Last Quarter)
Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year
-105%
-70%
-35%
0%
35%
70%
105%
140%
Mexico Jamaica Guatemala Philippines India Korea USA UK China France
-16.9%
-41.1%-53.6%
-72.6%
-33.6%
-11%
-39.1%
-7.1%-22.9%
22.1%
45%
-22.2%-27.8%
-60.9%
3.5%
-27.8%
-5%
10.9%
125%
50%
November 2020 July-September27
Work Permits—Web Interest
40,000
80,000
120,000
160,00020
18-1
2018
-4
2018
-7
2018
-10
2019
-1
2019
-4
2019
-7
2019
-10
2020
-1
2020
-4
2020
-7
2020
-10
Canada Asia Americas Europe Oceania Africa Not captured
28
Work Permits—Web Interest Year to Year Comparison (December 2020, Year-to-date)
Top 10 Countries by “Get a work permit” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year
-70%
-52.5%
-35%
-17.5%
0%
17.5%
India USA Mexico UK Australia Pakistan Brazil Philippines UAE Saudi Arabia
-14.7%-18.8%
-14.3%
-22%-21.1%
-42.8%
-24.2%
4.3%
-9.1%
-22.8%
-15.7%
-23.9%
4.8%
-7.7%
-23.6%
-65%
-35%
-4.8%
-25.2%-22.5%
Dec 2020 Year-to-date29
Study Permits
30
Study Permit Applications—By Region—2018-20
17,500
35,000
52,500
70,00020
18-1
2018
-4
2018
-7
2018
-10
2019
-1
2019
-4
2019
-7
2019
-10
2020
-1
2020
-4
2020
-7
2020
-10
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
31
Study Permit Holders—By Level—2018-20
30,000
60,000
90,000
120,00020
18-1
2018
-4
2018
-7
2018
-10
2019
-1
2019
-4
2019
-7
2019
-10
2020
-1
2020
-4
2020
-7
2020
-10
Secondary or less Post Secondary Other Studies
32
Study Permit Holders—By Region—2018-20
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%20
18-1
2018
-4
2018
-7
2018
-10
2019
-1
2019
-4
2019
-7
2019
-10
2020
-1
2020
-4
2020
-7
2020
-10
11.5%5.3%6%5.9%4.6%
14.6%
3.7%4.6%4.5%4.9%6.3%2%
5.1%6.9%9.3%12.3%
6%4.9%3.3%2.9%5%5.8%7.9%2.6%
5.2%8.2%10.6%
14%
5.8%4.5%4.4%3.2%4.6%5.7%7.8%
12.3%
8.9%7%8%9.4%
8%
8.2%7.5%11.3%
13.9%11.3%
5.3%
12.6%12.3%10.8%
9.7%
9.4%8.4%
7.7%6.1%
9.4%11%
12.2%
6.2%
9.7%
11.4%10.9%
11.5%
9.8%8.5%8.3%
6.2%
9.3%12.1%
12.1%
11.1%
8.9%8.3%7.7%
10.7%
13.9%
8.9%8.6%
8.6%
9%11.1%
6.5%
11.4%11%12%7.4%
8.5%8.3%
7.2%6.4%
8.9%9.2%
12.4%
6.7%
8.5%
10.4%10.9%
7.3%
7.4%6.7%7.2%
5.3%
6.6%
7.8%10.7%
64.3%
75.8%78.4%78%74.3%
61.2%
78.7%78.4%74.7%
71%70.8%
85.9%
69.9%68.8%67.5%70.3%
75.6%77.9%81.2%
84.2%
76.1%73.2%
66.9%
83.9%
75.8%69.3%67.1%67%
76.4%79.8%79.6%
84.9%78.6%
73.1%68.8%
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
33
Study Permit Holders by Citizenship Year-over-year Comparison (November 2020, Year-to-date)
Top 10 Countries — Ordered by Number of Permits, 2018 base year
-75%
0%
75%
150%
225%
300%
India China Korea France Vietnam Brazil Iran Japan USA Nigeria
-20.7%-39.4%-47.8%
-27.3%-38%
-15.3%
-49.9%-33.3%-29.1%-27.1%
18.9%
76.9%62.9%
-13.8%
0.9%
-33%
237.5%
-1.6%-24%
33.5%
November 2020 Year-to-date34
Study Permit Holders Year-over-year Comparison by Province—November 2020, Quarterly
-90%
-55%
-20%
15%
50%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
-32.2%-38.8%
-27.8%-34.4%
-28.0%
-3.4%
-35.9%
-23.0%
-11.2%
-25.5%
-4.8%
-20.7%-24.3%
-28.9%-33.3%
-46.8%
-55.5%
-39.4%-42.3%-39.6%
-63.5%
21.4%
32.6%
11.9%
41.1%
5.6%
35.4%37.7%
November 2020 Q3 Q2 Q135
Study Permits—Web Interest
30,000
60,000
90,000
120,00020
18-1
2018
-4
2018
-7
2018
-10
2019
-1
2019
-4
2019
-7
2019
-10
2020
-1
2020
-4
2020
-7
2020
-10
Canada Asia Americas Africa Europe Oceania Not captured
36
Study Permits—Web Interest Year-over-year Comparison (December 2020, Year-to-date)
Top 10 Countries by “Get your study permit” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year
-100%
-75%
-50%
-25%
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
India USA China Nigeria Brazil PhilippinesColombia Mexico Iran Pakistan
-25.8%
-70.4%
-2.1%-11.3%
11.3%
-22%
3.9%
-48.9%
10%
-4.3%
4.9%
-98.9%
17.1%
36.5%
77.3%
37.8%39.5%
-42.4%
19.6%22.9%
December 2020 Year-to-date37
Settlement Services
38
Settlement—By Service—2018-20
62,500
125,000
187,500
250,00020
18-1
2018
-4
2018
-7
2018
-10
2019
-1
2019
-4
2019
-7
2019
-10
2020
-1
2020
-4
Information and Orientation Services Needs Assessment and Referrals Language Training Language AssessmentCommunity Connections Employment Related Services Resettlement Assistance Program
39
Settlement Services Year-over-year Comparison by Province—May 2020, Last Quarter
-50%
-37.5%
-25%
-12.5%
0%
12.5%
Atlantic QC ON MB SK AB BC
-4.9%-7.7%
-0.5%-5.2%-5.5%
-11.1%
2.1%
-30.3%
-36.6%-41.0%
-48.4%-46.3%-43.0%-42.8%
May 2020 Jan-March40
Settlement Services by Citizenship Year-over-year Comparison (May 2020, Last Quarter)
Top 10 Non-EU Not USA—Ordered by Number of PRs, 2018 base year
-70%
-52.5%
-35%
-17.5%
0%
17.5%
35%
India Philippines China Syria Nigeria Pakistan Eritrea Iran Iraq Korea, South
-12.4%-10.9%-7.7%
11.4%
-6.3%
26.6%
-7.6%
-16.8%-12.7%
6.4%
-50.2%
-39%-45.5%
-35.6%
-51.8%-48.4%
-36.2%
-46.3%
-59.6%-61.4%
May 2020 Jan-March41
Settlement Services—Web Interest
10,000
20,000
30,000
40,00020
18-1
1
2019
-2
2019
-5
2019
-8
2019
-11
2020
-2
2020
-5
2020
-8
2020
-11
Canada Asia Americas Europe Africa Oceania Other
42
Settlement Services—Web Interest Year-over-year Comparison (December 2020, Year-to-date) Top 10 Countries by “Find immigrant services near you” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year
-60%
-45%
-30%
-15%
0%
15%
India USA Brazil UAE Pakistan Nigeria Mexico UK ColombiaPhilippines
-6.8%
-28.4%
-13.1%-15.4%
-11.9%-8.9%
0.4%
-8.6%
-28.6%
-8.4%-10.7%
-51.2%
-22%-23%
-36.1%-31.4%
-25.7%
0%
-35.7%-31%
Dec 2020 Year-to-date43
Citizenship
44
New Citizens—By Region of Birth—2018-20
7,500
15,000
22,500
30,00020
18-1
2018
-4
2018
-7
2018
-10
2019
-1
2019
-4
2019
-7
2019
-10
2020
-1
2020
-4
2020
-7
2020
-10
Asia Africa Americas Europe Oceania
45
Citizenship by Region of Birth Year-over-year Comparison (November 2020, Year-to-date)
Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year
-100%
-75%
-50%
-25%
0%
Philippines India Iran China Pakistan Nigeria USA Egypt Iraq France
-70.7%
-81.7%-76.3%
-72.3%-68.5%
-75.7%-80%-78.2%
-71.1%-69.7%
-90.2%-89.9%
-80.8%-81.9%
-70.9%
-88%-88.7%-89.4%-84.9%
-75.4%
November 2020 Year-to-date46
Citizenship—Web Interest Note: Technical anomaly April - December 2019
45,000
90,000
135,000
180,000
2018
-1
2018
-4
2018
-7
2018
-10
2019
-1
2019
-4
2019
-7
2019
-10
2020
-1
2020
-4
2020
-7
2020
-10
Canada Americas Asia Europe Africa Oceania Not captured
47
Citizenship—Web Interest 2020 to 2018 Comparison (December 2020, Year-to-date)
Top 10 Countries by “Apply for Citizenship” ordered by site visits, 2018 base year
-70%
-52.5%
-35%
-17.5%
0%
17.5%
35%
52.5%
70%
USA India UK Pakistan UAE Nigeria China Brazil Turkey Bangladesh
8.2%
-28.3%-26.6%
-57.4%
-19.1%-17.2%
-7.4%
2.4%
-3.8%
34.7%
58.1%
2.1%
-18.5%
-63.8%
4.6%0.9%
15%24.2%
7.4%11.3%
Dec 2020 Year-to-date48
Approved Visitor Visas
49
Visitor Visas—By Source Country—2018-20
45,000
90,000
135,000
180,00020
18-1
2018
-4
2018
-7
2018
-10
2019
-1
2019
-4
2019
-7
2019
-10
2020
-1
2020
-4
2020
-7
2020
-10
Asia Americas Africa Europe Oceania Other
50
Visitor Visas—By Source Country Year-over-year Comparison (November 2020, Year-to-date)
Top 10 Countries—Ordered by 2018 base year
-100%
-75%
-50%
-25%
0%
China India Philippines Iran Brazil Vietnam Colombia Algeria Pakistan Russia
-72.3%-76.4%-76.5%-76.5%
-70.9%
-82.4%-82.5%-79.4%-80.2%
-91%-87.5%
-91.1%-96.8%-96.8%-97.2%
-93.3%
-85.4%
-95.2%
-87.7%
-97.4%
November 2020 Year-to-date51
Research Questions
52
• Which programs contracted most quickly and which source countries were most affected? Similarly, which programs and source countries recovered more quickly?
• Did application success rates vary pre and post-COVID by source country?
• Were exogenous factors such as US immigration restrictions or tensions with China a factor?
• Did interest in immigrating to Canada increase or decrease and for which countries?
Annex
53
Top Countries Share of Total (2018)
10 Countries 25 Countries
Permanent Residents 60.9% 77.7%
IMP 70.8% 86.4%
TFWP 85.2% 93.2%
Study Permits 70.3% 73.8%
Asylum Claimants 57.4% 77.4%
Citizenship 50.3% 71.5%
54
Top Countries (2018)
Permanent Residents IMP TFWP Students Citizenship
India 69,980 India 55,610 Mexico 28,860 India 107,105 Philippines 19,647
Philippines 35,050 USA 26,540 Jamaica 10,200 China 85,100 India 19,486
China 29,710 Finland 23,445 Guatemala 9,810 Korea 16,875 Iran 10,037
Syria 12,045 China 21,910 Philippines 8,750 Vietnam 12,370 PRC 9,718
Nigeria 10,920 UK 11,205 India 7,380 Iran 7,040 Pakistan 9,406
USA 10,905 Australia 8,850 Korea 1,960 Japan 6,685 Nigeria 4,398
Pakistan 9,490 Ireland 8,675 USA 1,850 Bangladesh 4,155 USA 4,229
France 6,175 Korea 8,105 UK 940 Philippines 4,075 Egypt 4,115
Eritrea 5,695 Brazil 8,080 China 935 Taiwan 3,160 Iraq 3,951
UK 5,660 Japan 7,250 France 915 Saudi Arabia
2,870 France 3,836
55
Data Sources• PRs: Canada - Admissions of Permanent Residents by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada - Admissions
of Permanent Residents by Country of Citizenship, COVID Immigration Impact - PR Applications Source Countries• TR to Permanent Resident transition: Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Post-graduate Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and
Immigration Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior International Mobility Program Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Study Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category, Canada – Admissions of Permanent Residents with Prior Temporary Foreign Worker Program Work Permit Holder Status by Province/Territory of Intended Destination and Immigration Category
• Asylum Claimants: Canada - Asylum Claimants by Claim Office Type, Province/Territory* of Claim and Claim Year, Canada - Asylum Claimants by Top Twenty-Five Countries of Citizenship (2019 ranking), Claim Office Type and Claim Year
• TRs: Canada - International Mobility Program (IMP) work permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, program and year in which permit(s) became effective, Canada - Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP) work permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, program and year in which permit(s) became effective, Canada – International Mobility Program work permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became effective, Canada – Temporary Foreign Worker Program work permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became effective
• Study Permits: Canada - Study permit holders by country of citizenship and year in which permit(s) became effective, Canada - Study permit holders by province/territory of intended destination, study level and year in which permit(s) became effective, Source Countries - Applications Processed by IRCC for New Study Permit Applications
• Settlement Services: Special request IRCC data table
• Citizenship: Source Countries (Country of Birth) - New Canadian Citizens (in Persons) by Month
• Web: Provided by IRCC
56