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County of Wellington Credit Review June 17, 2019

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County of Wellington Credit Review

June 17, 2019

Credit Review 2019

Welcome

Economic Development Focus and

Highlights

Socio Economic Profile

Jobs and Employment

Municipal and County Investments

Development Activity

Outlook

7 Municipalities surrounding the City of Guelph

Population: 97,610

Population projected to grow to 140,000 by 2041

Labour Force: 53,974

Households: 34,350

Average Household Income: $115,081

Highlights

▸ Successful funding ▸ MTO Grant $500,000 to

provide rural transit

▸ Smart Cities Infrastructure Canada $10 Million Win

▸ SWIFT $12.1M 2019 procurement

▸ BREI Award recognizing the Invest Well CIP (multi-community category)

▸ AMO Mainstreet Funding leveraged by Townships

▸ WOWC

▸ Talent Attraction

▸ Greater promotion ie. Festivals and Events Guide, E-Newsletters -metrics

▸ Taste Real Local Food

▸ Hillsburgh Library

▸ Signage Programme

▸ BR+E Implementation Fund

Economic DevelopmentThree-Year Plan

▸ Wellington County Community Improvement Programme (CIP)

▸ RideWell Rural Transit Service

▸ Talent Attraction and labour force assistance

▸ Housing Strategy

▸ Taste Real Local Food

▸ Downtown Development

▸ Marketing Wellington County

2018▸ Population: 97, 610

▸ 7 Municipalities

▸ Land: 2,610 km2

▸ Assessment Base ($M): 17,212

▸ Unemployment Rate: 3.06

▸ Households: 34,350

▸ Businesses: 3,751

▸ Labour Force: 53,974

▸ Employment: 48,082

▸ Local GDP (real, $M): 4.172

▸ Value of Building Permits ($M): 510

▸ Housing Starts: 359Wel

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Demographics: Population + HouseholdsSource: County Planning

MunicipalityPopulation

2018

Population

2041

Households

2018Households

2041

Centre Wellington 30,720 52,310 11,310 18,690

Erin 12,110 15,865 to 18,905 4,200 5,385 to 6,340

Guelph Eramosa 13,750 14,575 4,630 4,940

Mapleton 11,170 14,060 3,230 4,235

Minto 9,250 12,810 3,340 4,610

Puslinch 8,000 9,655 2,850 3,335

Wellington North 12,610 17,685 4,760 6,590

Wellington County

97,610 140,000 34,350 48,740

▸ Mid-2016: 90,880

▸ End of 2018: 97,610

Average Household IncomeSource: Manifold Data

131,443126,158

115,081110,576

103,488

89,811 87,758

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

Halton RegionExcluding

Oakville andBurlington

WaterlooRegion

ExcludingCambridge,

Kitchener andWaterloo

WellingtonCounty

DufferinCounty

Ontario Perth County Grey County

2018 Average Household Incomes Compared

Centre Wellington, $ 106,318

Erin, $142,361

Guelph Eramosa , $136,490

Mapleton, $107,206

Minto, $83,431

Puslinch, $179,036

Wellington North, $80,639

Wellington County, $115,081

Ontario, $103,488

Average Household Income in Wellington County (2018)

Labour Force by MunicipalitySource: Manifold Data

Municipality Labour Force 2018

% of County Labour Force

% of MunicipalPopulation

Centre Wellington 16,508 31% 55%

Erin 7,493 14% 61%

Guelph Eramosa 7,957 15% 59%

Mapleton 6,000 11% 54%

Minto 4,978 9% 54%

Puslinch 4,329 8% 56%

Wellington North 6,709 12% 53%

Wellington County 53,974 100% 56%

Job GrowthSource: EMSI Analyst

MunicipalityJobs

2011Jobs

2017Jobs

2018% Change

2011-2018# Business

2018

Centre Wellington 11,903 12,218 12,220 2.7% 1562

Puslinch 4,899 7,502 7,694 57.1% 212

Wellington North 6,651 7,311 7,437 11.8% 439

Guelph/Eramosa 5,179 6,632 6,778 30.9% 445

Minto 3,914 5,057 5,094 30.1% 352

Mapleton 4,432 4,527 4,623 4.3% 286

Erin 3,747 4,202 4,236 13.1% 455

County of Wellington 40,725 47,449 48,082 18.07% 3751

Jobs were 40,724 in 2011 and grew to 48,082 in 2018 = 18% Growth

2019 Jobs projected at 49,009 (2% change 2018-2019)

Region 2011 Jobs 2018 Jobs Change % Change

Occupation by Industry (2017-2018)Source: EMSI Analyst

Crystal: create new chart2011 / 2017 / 2018

Occupation DescriptionEmployment in Industry Group Change

2017 - 2018% Change

2017 - 2018

% of Total Jobs in Industry

Group (2011)

% of Total Jobs in Industry

Group (2018)2011 2017 2018

Trades, transport and equipment operators and related occupations

8,514 10,044 10,306 262 3% 21% 21%

Sales and service occupations 7,262 8,942 9,095 153 2% 18% 19%

Management occupations 6,094 6,160 6,135 (25) (0%) 15% 13%

Business, finance and administration occupations

4,892 5,830 5,820 (10) (0%) 12% 12%

Occupations in manufacturing and utilities 4,044 4,946 5,071 125 3% 10% 11%

Occupations in education, law and social, community and government services

2,998 3,377 3,362 (15) (0%) 7% 7%

Natural and applied sciences and related occupations

1,743 2,426 2,440 14 1% 4% 5%

Health occupations 1,937 2,037 2,097 60 3% 5% 4%

Natural resources, agriculture and related production occupations

1,655 1,879 1,913 34 2% 4% 4%

Occupations in art, culture, recreation and sport 1,039 1,097 1,113 16 1% 3% 2%

Unclassified 548 711 729 18 3% 1% 2%

40,724 47,449 48,082 633 1% 100% 100%

Major Sectors of Employment (2017-2018)Source: EMSI Analyst

NAICS Description 2011 Jobs 2017 Jobs 2018 Jobs2011-2018 % Change

2017 - 2018 # Change

2017 - 2018 % Change

% of Total Employment

(2018)

31-33 Manufacturing 6,926 8,656 8,909 29% 253 3% 18.5%

23 Construction 4,439 5,636 5,725 29% 89 2% 11.9%

11 Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 4,624 4,338 4,229 (9%) (109) (3%) 8.8%

44-45 Retail trade 2,897 4,007 4,098 41% 91 2% 8.5%

62 Health care and social assistance 3,717 3,761 3,850 4% 89 2% 8.0%

41 Wholesale trade 2,179 2,806 2,854 31% 48 2% 5.9%

48-49 Transportation and warehousing 2,360 2,644 2,817 19% 173 7% 5.9%

72 Accommodation and food services 1,821 2,523 2,505 38% (18) (1%) 5.2%

54 Professional, scientific and technical services 2,030 2,302 2,357 16% 55 2% 4.9%

81 Other services (except public administration) 2,306 2,152 2,161 (6%) 9 0% 4.5%

56 Administrative and support, waste management and remediation services 1,897 2,106 2,170 14% 64 3% 4.5%

61 Educational services 1,614 1,855 1,936 20% 81 4% 4.0%

71 Arts, entertainment and recreation 796 1,097 991 24% (106) (10%) 2.1%

91 Public administration 800 923 941 18% 18 2% 2.0%

52 Finance and insurance 584 767 738 26% (29) (4%) 1.5%

X0 Unclassified 548 711 729 33% 18 3% 1.5%

53 Real estate and rental and leasing 484 508 484 0% (24) (5%) 1.0%

51 Information and cultural industries 474 384 306 (35%) (78) (20%) 0.6%

21 Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 64 141 150 134% 9 6% 0.3%

55 Management of companies and enterprises 33 77 74 124% (3) (4%) 0.2%

22 Utilities 130 56 59 (55%) 3 5% 0.1%

40,724 47,449 48,082 18% 633 1% 100.0%

Top 20 Corporate Taxpayers in 2019Source: County Treasury

Municipality Owner Business TypePuslinch Nestle Canada Inc. Food Processing Plant

Puslinch Morguard Brock McLean Warehousing

Centre Wellington Jefferson Elora Corporation Automotive Parts Plant

Minto TG Minto Corporation Standard Industrial

Mapleton Wallenstein Feed & Supply Grain Handling

Centre Wellington RMM Fergus Property Inc. Big Box

Puslinch Con-Cast Pipe Inc. Other Industrial

Wellington North 1236757 Ontario Inc. (Musashi) Standard Industrial

Puslinch Royal Canin Canada Company Food Processing Plant

Centre Wellington Nexans Canada Inc. Standard Industrial

Guelph Eramosa Coldpoint Properties Ltd. Standard Industrial

Puslinch 2354084 Ontario Limited Standard Industrial

Mapleton Darling International Canada Heavy Manufacturing

Centre Wellington Riocan Holdings Inc. Neighbourhood Shopping

Centre Wellington Skyline Retail Real Estate Neighbourhood Shopping

Puslinch 1056469 Ontario Inc. Standard Industrial

Wellington North Golden Valley Farms Inc. Standard Industrial

Puslinch Russel Metals Inc. Trustee Heavy Manufacturing

Wellington North Sligo Road Limited Standard Industrial

Puslinch Kenhar Products Inc. Standard Industrial

Wellington County Top EmployersSource: Municipal EDOs

Municipality Owner Employees SectorCounty Of Wellington Wellington County 880 Government

TG Minto Minto 800 Manufacturing

Jefferson Elora Corporation Centre Wellington 500 Manufacturing of Automotive Parts

Musashi Auto Parts Canada Inc Wellington North 500 Manufacturing of Automotive Parts

Nestle Waters Canada Puslinch 400 Manufacturing of Soft Drinks

Mammoet Crane Puslinch 400 Crane Rental, Heavy Lifting, Transport Specialist

Dana Long Corp Wellington North 310 Manufacturing of Thermal Products

Schneider National Puslinch 300 Transportation

Walmart Supercenter Centre Wellington 280 Retail

Wallenstein Feed & Supply Ltd Mapleton 240 Agriculture

NEW Elora Mill Centre Wellington 220 Inn, Banquet facility and Spa

Zehrs Centre Wellington 220 Retail

Concast Inc Puslinch 220 Manufacturing of Concrete Piping

Nexans Canada Inc. Centre Wellington 215 Manufacturing of Electrical Cabling

Groves Memorial Community Hosp Centre Wellington 210 Health Care

Walinga Inc Guelph Eramosa 200 Transportation

Cascade Canada Ltd Puslinch 200 Manufacturing of Material Handling Equipment

Royal Canin Canada Puslinch 200 Manufacturing of Dog And Cat Food

Slots At Grand River Raceway Centre Wellington 180 Casino

Viking-Cives Ltd Wellington North 180 Manufacturing

East Gen / Semex Guelph Eramosa 175 Agriculture

Louise Marshall Hospital Wellington North 175 Health Care

Pentalift Equipment Corp Puslinch 170 Manufacturing of Loading Dock, Materials Handling Equipment

Polycorp Limited Centre Wellington 160 Manufacturing of Engineered Polymer Products

Capital Paving Inc Puslinch 160 Paving Contractor

Wellington County Top EmployersSource: Municipal EDOs

Municipality Owner Employees SectorUGDSB - Minto Minto 158 Education

Llewelly Security Puslinch 150 Security Systems And Technology

UGDSB - Wellington North Wellington North 150 Education

Danby Products Ltd Guelph Eramosa 149 Manufacturing of Applicances

Denny Bus Lines Erin 140 Transportation

Drexler Construction Ltd Guelph Eramosa 140 Construction

Pike Lake Golf & Country Club Minto 140 Recreation

Maple Leaf Food Puslinch 140 Food Storage

Quality Engineered Homes Wellington North 140 Design and Manufacturing of Homes and Cottages

Cherry Forest Products Puslinch 135 Manufacturing of Lumber, Hardwood And Softwood Pallets, Skids and Crates

Centre Wellington Centre Wellington 133 Government

RR Donnelly Centre Wellington 130 Business Forms Printing

Vintex Inc Wellington North 130 Manufacturing Of Coated Textile Fabrics

Golden Valley Farms Inc Wellington North 125 Food Processing

Strathcona Long Term Care Wellington North 125 Health Care

Caressant Care Nursing Home Wellington North 125 Health Care

Centre Wellington High School Centre Wellington 120 Education

Rothsay - Darling International Mapleton 120 Agricultural Recycling

Caressant Care Harriston Minto 120 Health Care

Pintar Erin 110 manufacturing

Wightman Telecom Ltd Minto 106 Telecommunication

Puresource Inc Guelph Eramosa 105 Manufacturing and Distribution of Natural Wellness Products

Murray Group Ltd Mapleton 100 Paving Contractor

Edward Jones Puslinch 100 Financial

Wellington County NEW Business

Centre WellingtonStarbucks – Fergus, 16 employeesPorchlight Restaurant, 12 employeesElora Mill, 220 employeesElora Mercantile, 3 employees (retail)The Evelyn Restaurant, 8 employeesKings and Gents Barbershop, 2 employeesThe Elora Café, 3 employeesDaddy’s Butcher Shop, 2 employeesNew Gas Bar + convenience store, 6 employeesGrand Bark Pet ServicesRed Brick Real EstateThe Vault Coffee Uprooted FarmLa FontanaSavoy Culinary

MapletonThe Sign DepotCore FuelsSorry SaucePepprell Distilling coming in 2019

PuslinchUnion Market Square

MintoEscape the Old PostRoyal LePage RCR RealtyMailbox Coffee McDonald ChiropracticHolloway Automotive Magic Ice Cream ShopTriple F construction Elam Weber Woodworking

Guelph EramosaSaving Grace Yogo and SkincareGreen Bicycle Farm

Wellington NorthIScreamm Cone CompanyCircle K, Mount ForestExpressive Dance StudioBalance Breath Yoga StudioGrowing Abilities, Mount Forest

ErinExhale Academy for healing and personal development

Municipal Economic Development Efforts

2018 BR+E Fund Projects:

▸ Economic Development Strategic Action Plan leveraged with 35K OMAFRA RED funding (Centre Wellington)

▸ Town of Erin Momentum Action Plan, 10.5% funding for activities including CIP, Equine Sector, etc. (Erin)

▸ LaunchIt Minto business incubator 25% funding (Minto)

▸ Municipal Drinking Water Well System and Sewage Services Feasibility Study –Commercial/Industrial (Puslinch)

▸ Community Youth Resiliency Worker, Youth for North, Destination Development (Wellington North)

▸ Alma Gateway Signage (Mapleton)

2018 Development Activity Summary/Highlights

2018 New Residential Permits Issued

Year 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

New Residential Permits 205 326 431 665 551 359

MunicipalitySingle

DetachedSemi

DetachedRow House Apartment Total

Centre Wellington 83 3 25 36 147

Erin 17 0 0 0 17

Guelph-Eramosa 27 0 0 0 27

Mapleton 24 0 1 0 25

Minto 37 10 9 0 56

Puslinch 43 0 0 0 43

Wellington North 27 6 11 0 44

Wellington County 258 19 46 36 359

Source: County Planning, 2018 Performance Measures, Land Use Planning

Overall, 69% of building permits issued for new residential units in Wellington County in 2018 took place in settlement areas.

2018 Residential Development Activity

MunicipalityResidential

Construction Values 2014

Residential Construction Values

2015

Residential Construction Values

2016

Residential Construction Values

2017

Residential Construction Values

2018

Centre Wellington $43,395,868 $52,311,270 $108,938,000 $100,840,192 $52,183,667

Erin $15,927,481 $19,458,000 $24,725,950 $5,782,000 $9,955,000

Guelph/Eramosa $15,482,615 $20,784,203 $34,043,193 $25,939,150 $22,127,000

Mapleton $11,911,460 $12,126,450 $12,946,700 $12,066,000 $20,390,550

Minto $7,251,000 $8,983,000 $14,068,000 $16,782,000 $19,035,000

Puslinch $19,635,450 $29,000,000 40,043,377 $50,714,481 $56,533,879

Wellington North $8,550,000 $8,077,969 $14,995,550 $11,534,170 $17,934,700

Total $122,153,874 $98,429,622 $209,717,393 $223,657,993 $179,808,301

Residential Highlights

▸ $14 million home in Puslinch!

▸ Four story condo with 36 residential units, $11 million investment in Salem

▸ 2019: Granwood 152 units, Ospringe 60 units, Minto 51 units, Fox Run phase 2 proposals, Rockwell 60 units, Mount Forest 34 units.

2018 Agricultural Development Activity5 years 2014-2018

MunicipalityAgricultural

Construction Values 2014

Agricultural Construction Values

2015

Agricultural Construction Values

2016

Agricultural Construction Values

2017

Agricultural Construction Values

2018

Centre Wellington $5,593,500 $7,813,800 $8,938,550 $5,238,000 $19,803,400

Erin $1,801,750 $1,523,700 $2,078,500 $18,237,500 $2,151,900

Guelph/Eramosa $2,528,000 $4,141,700 $2,273,428 $5,835,700 $1,992,000

Mapleton $11,882,835 $22,428,515 $17,945,062 $35,903,023 $31,006,660

Minto $1,045,000 $6,655,000 $3,293,000 $4,752,000 $11,951,000

Puslinch $0 $922,000 $215,000 $720,000 $2,090,224

Wellington North $6,880,600 $5,207,000 $8,511,353 $10,632,500 $14,030,400

Total $29,731,685 $48,691,715 $43,254,893 $81,318,723 $83,025,584

Agricultural Highlights

▸ University of Guelph new Beef Research Barn, $9 million

▸ LEL Farms, Puslinch, $1.3 million turkey barns and manure storage investment

▸ 12 New Dairy Barns and 6 existing farms with diary barn additions

2018 Industrial Development Activity5 years 2014-2018

MunicipalityIndustrial

Construction Values 2014

Industrial Construction Values

2015

Industrial Construction Values

2016

Industrial Construction Values

2017

Industrial Construction Values

2018

Centre Wellington $6,633,900 $9,136,000 $2,442,000 $3,972,000 $884,000

Erin $1,472,000 $656,000 $3,621,000 $0 $1,018,000

Guelph/Eramosa $4,000,000 $3,930,000 $1,475,500 $505,000 $5,120,000

Mapleton $1,609,000 $17,674,200 $1,097,500 $7,887,000 $28,449,850

Minto $3,138,000 $1,500,000 $950,000 $5,172,000 $1,930,000

Puslinch $1,152,397 $553,000 $0 $0 $0

Wellington North $1,200,500 $2,848,990 $926,000 $1,439,000 $8,407,500

Total $19,205,797 $27,162,190 $10,512,000 $18,975,000 $45,809,350

Industrial/Manufacturing Highlights

▸ Nieuwland Feed and Supply Ltd., $25 million expansion

▸ 3 Kerr Crescent, $3.1 million interior renovation and addition in Puslinch

▸ Musashi, $3.1 million plant addition, Arthur

Photo Source: Twitter @ Gulutzen_Crete

2018 Commercial Development Activity5 years 2014-2018

Commercial Construction Values 2014

Commercial Construction Values 2015

Commercial Construction Values 2016

Commercial Construction Values 2017

Commercial Construction Values 2018

Centre Wellington $2,751,400 $7,946,533 $14,497,000 $5,441,533 $11,721,166

Erin $2,014,000 $215,778 $60,000 $0 $79,950

Guelph/Eramosa $12,725,000 $2,246,000 $1,782,000 $786,000 $131,000

Mapleton $202,000 $2,717,800 $487,000 $31,600 $982,000

Minto $2,343,000 $400,000 $605,000 $247,000 $328,000

Puslinch $4,020,000 $1,315,000 $1,964,095 $1,778,000 $4,852,281

Wellington North $846,000 $1,204,800 $3,630,800 $875,975 $4,108,250

Total $24,901,400 $6,894,578 $23,025,895 $9,160,108 $22,202,647

Commercial Development Highlights

▸ Elora Mill opened it’s doors in early summer 2018. 27 million investment to date.

▸ Construction of new Canadian Tire store in Mount Forest, 2.9 million investment and 10 additional employees

▸ Musashi Auto expansion (25 new employees)

▸ Minto downtown commercial unit revitalization in Palmerston from dilapidated to 8 renovated commercial units and 15 renovated rental units

2018 Institutional Development Activity5 years 2014-2018

MunicipalityInstitutional

Construction Values 2014

Institutional Construction Values

2015

Institutional Construction Values

2016

Institutional Construction Values

2017

Institutional Construction Values

2018

Centre Wellington $5,792,850 $3,901,000 $1,500,000 $7,128,000 $123,781,000

Erin $433,000 $0 $25,000 $30,000 $246,000

Guelph/Eramosa $11,589,750 $5,509,865 $132,000 $101,561 $483,980

Mapleton $6,000 $679,702 $9,500 $350,000 $6,000

Minto $581,000 $6,062,000 $2,476,000 $1,583,000 $240,000

Puslinch $0 $0 $0 $0 $0

Wellington North $305,000 $825,000 $1,939,000 $13,254,500 $255,000

Total $18,707,600 $16,977,567 $6,081,500 $22,447,061 $125,011,980

Institutional Development Highlights

▸ Groves Memorial Community Hospital 127.5 million (opens in 2020)

▸ Wellington Place Childcare and Learning Centre, 2.9 million

▸ Strathcona long Term Care Home, new 87 bed long term care home (added 25 employees)

Investments happening in 2019

▸ Centre Wellington: New Freshco and 3 unit commercial plaza (6M)

▸ Jefferson Elora Corporation, 68,000 sf addition (10M)

▸ Elora Distillery (650K)

▸ CEVA 50,000 sf expansion

▸ Arjune Manufacturing and Promar Construction setting up in the Mapleton Industrial Park

▸ TG Minto, 50,000 sf industrial addition

▸ Kronsinski Enterprise, medical cannabis production and processing

▸ Shrimp Canada

▸ Concast new office building

▸ Royal Canin, expansion

▸ Louise Marshall Hospital expansion

▸ Arthur Wastewater Treatment Plant Phase 1 Construction (12M)

Jana Burns BA, MSc

Director of Economic Development

County of Wellington

[email protected]

1.519.837.2600 x2525