cost and schedule insights - nasa

15
STRATEGIC INVESTMENTS DIVISION OFFICE OF THE CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER Cost and Schedule Insights Kevin Gilligan August 2018 1

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Page 1: Cost and Schedule Insights - NASA

STRATEGIC INVESTMENTS DIVISIONO F F I C E O F T H E C H I E F F I N A N C I A L O F F I C E R

Cost and Schedule Insights

Kevin GilliganAugust 2018 1

Todayrsquos Discussion

bull Lifecycle Cost (LCC) and Development Cost Metrics Against Baselines

Formulation KDP Range Estimates

Development Cost Metrics Controlling for Launch Services

bull

bull

2

LCC and Development Cost Metrics Against BaselineLCC Dev

3

LCC and Dev Cost Metrics Against Baseline

4

70 Joint Cost and Schedule ConfidenceAre we meeting the expected 70 success rate across the portfolio

bull NPR 71205Ebull ABC at 70 confidence

MA at 50 confidencebull

bull Aggregate NASA confidence at baselinebull ABC at 71 confidence

MA at 52 confidencebull

bull Actual performancebull 41 of projects met ABC commitments

30 of projects met MA commitmentsbull

bull Projects currently in Phase Dbull 20 meeting ABC commitments

0 meeting MA commitmentsbull

5

Formulation Cost and Schedule Ranges

bull

bullbull

bull

bullbull

Are we capturing the Agencyrsquos cost exposure in early estimates

In aggregate the high cost estimate is at or below the high estimate established at the preceding KDP

37 of the time for cost40 of the time for schedule

For projects that held a KDP-A the eventual KDP-C baseline cost and schedule (high estimates) are at or below the KDP-A estimate

31 of the time for cost18 of the time for schedule

6

Development Cost Metrics When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation

28Avg LV Proportion of Dev Cost Baseline

-8Avg Post-Baseline LV Cost Variation

7

Development Cost Performance When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost VariationHow would our development cost reporting metrics change

Lower LV costs can provide unexpected funds to cover growth in reporting

Lower LV costs sometimes have no effect on cost reporting

Higher LV costs can mask otherwise good cost performance

8

bull NASA cost performance has drastically improved since the early 2000rsquos

We are falling short of our portfolio goal of 70 projects hitting cost targets

Our cost and schedule ranges at KDP-A and KDP-B are optimistic and more often than do not capture the eventual high cost or schedule commitments at KDP-C baseline

Development cost reporting metrics can misrepresent how our projects are performing (both positively and negatively) if the LV contract award is well above or below the estimate included in the KDP-C baseline

bull

bull

bull

9

Back-up

10

1111

1212

Total KDPs Within Cost Range of Prior KDPYes No Total Percent At or Below

MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 14 31 45 31ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 19 33 52 37

Total KDPs Within Schedule Range of Prior KDPYes No Total Percent At or Below

MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 27 26 53 51ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 21 32 53 40

KDP-A to KDP-B CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 4 10 14 29KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 9 12 21 43

KDP-A to KDP-B ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 13 9 22 59KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 12 10 22 55

KDP-B to KDP-C CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-B Low 10 21 31 32ABC at or below KDP-B High 10 21 31 32

KDP-B to KDP-C ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-B Low 14 17 31 45ABC at or below KDP-B High 9 22 31 29

KDP-A to KDP-C CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-A Low 2 7 9 22ABC at or below KDP-A High 5 11 16 31

KDP-A to KDP-C ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-A Low 5 12 17 29ABC at or below KDP-A High 3 14 17 18

MAIN

KDP-B (LowMA)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO5686275102848528119263351059641208640999999999999949114046866738217762661581034311743818425184323598517108501896210691041474718310521606325899999999999981014964251080981085105140000000000011233104251658327653839458457218372294766471708KDP-C (MA)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO6275798152800000000000015104299999999999926335314596417912077464099999999999994911906405967389915229462668189167115519999999999999114443818425948892359261899999999999988385309999999999525710000000000002850860818962368227269999999999986382000000000000510026911474231856247953160616063258999999999999843771108108098116581105140000000000019959139321018321195900000000000183949734721887443662294761143099999999999970491809KDP-B (HighABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO568627517285593121328129110145412637440000000000000697846077686022485675116611853117496488352002628999999999999892823948009422032351990416138083105216063499111510288611283512101121400000000000114391152627586268587969577929165396295517572178KDP-C (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO62758389999999999999118129285594228129323110141901262531086037459789334319860210635252767518289180215519999999999999162312749648835966270000000000072628999999999999826289999999999998885029262794294162032368244356712108259999999999991011613239430000000000026840000000000000686691606160634994677114811283511658111214000000000001106421553411286261207900000000000196959843916591654359295511150599999999999975492178

COST ($M)

KDP-C to Replan (MA)595000000000000281704999999999999750000000000000014025429999999999993-178400000000000095115-85999999999999943826-25999999999996248E-200911-518999999999999773-1220000000000004531770000000000005117000000000000176266192299999999999951671-2800000000000011401112644044106389999999999965159999999999999425999999999999972-1246900000000005125710000000000002140107999999999999551896472000000000000171666999999999998263820000000000005922000000000000459114748445624775539999999999999103258999999999999811180000000000001939999999999999151167299999999999384830000000000109-33599999999999909-5550000000000011416020000000000005-3200000000000002831553639000000000000974113401372999999999999515260000000000002-5800000000000011429476-180455789999999999997710099999999999994-76000000000000227KDP-C to Replan (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPOTESS59500000000000028211499999999999918399999999999977392842000000000001592E-2-3084000000000000941809999999999991-8599999999999994344599999999999994-46999999999997044E-210860399999999999994316E-2978-45-281000000000000238420000000000004520329999999999995419999999999998866751153799999999999951802-108000000000000111623851847387182770000000000073628999999999999770-4297100000000000423299999999999983142-039999999999997726203338000000000000119256712921999999999999321011613781300000000000186840000000000000658600000000000023553999999999999910349911780000000000001329999999999999729948999999999996437460000000000036-88599999999999909-5720000000000004511440000000000009-32000000000000028235100000000000023453000000000000711081481372999999999999503989999999999997729551-18045-210000000000002270-21600000000000023

COST Change ($M)

B to C (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPOTESS01047535211267606203370517928286851448611111111110973E-2075077759107650046E-4-98804985102361215E-201486366383447687-7818181818181813E-2030674002751031632-37226838174140057E-4013440860215052999E-30-46012269938650305E-2-61086956521739177E-201085051546391753202363403859567541916901408450704179E-200227818101022070730-65060240963855487E-2071729957805907171E-20592556945781199880779814665592264319368421052631587E-20314499999999999890-4630495689655173E-288694328130947783E-2017749999999999999-42462845010613295E-400166502463054187263934495959166312E-2093093699515347267E-200048437693738375709067597185373168792E-20526615969581748940003366676193198057128745644599303111E-296699259374453242E-233198918775202764E-2-732231404958677E-2-5100766898519711E-279499652536483736E-2-27777777777777801E-203746613545816733204003014143287735301290322580645161315265600825167612E-20176206365503080030010075757575757570-061063923386687424-27818254073387508E-30-54000000000000055E-2

COST Change ()

Cost - HighB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate04285714285714285503225806451612903103125036538461538461536Schedule - HighB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate054545454545454541029032258064516131017647058823529413039622641509433965Cost - LowB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate02857142857142857032258064516129031022222222222222221031111111111111112Schedule - LowB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate059090909090909094045161290322580644029411764705882354050943396226415094

Data only (no charts)

plots

program table

A to B

A to B Cost

High Cost Estimate Change

KDP-A to KDP-B

Category 1 Change (high)01682251932581422Category 2 Change (high)60501935980863335E-2Category 3 Change (high)37110484780157868E-2Total Change (high)014626442296281486

Low Cost Estimate Change

KDP-A to KDP-B

Category 1 Change (low)010106870229007633Category 2 Change (low)19806591564406897Category 3 Change (low)0Total Change (low)21873131670301591

A to B Schedule

KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule Growth - Low Estimate

(in months)

MissionRestore-LSLSPACEWFIRSTOCO-3PSPLCRDEuclidGRACE-FOMars 2020SAGE-IIISWOTLADEEDARTNISARJASON-3MMSECOSTRESSSMAPXARMSOCOrion0-9-49-2-1-100000200912326273242

KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule Growth - High Estimate

(in months)

MissionRestore-LSLSPACEWFIRSTOCO-3PSPLCRDEuclidGRACE-FOMars 2020SAGE-IIISWOTLADEEDARTNISARJASON-3MMSECOSTRESSSMAPXARMSOCOrion-36-8-8-3-2-1-1000002569121726414451

image1png

image2png

image3png

image4png

Cost Variation Against Baselines

13

Methodology and Assumptions

The first step in conducting this analysis was to verify and validate the cost baseline information using source documentation KDP-C figures takes priority as the definitive baseline Where KDP-C decision memoranda was not available as in the case of many projects baselined prior to approximately 2009 figures were pulled from the first appearance as a development project in a Presidentrsquos Budget as the baseline against which to measure In a few cases notificationsreports to Congress (eg NSPD-49 reports) were used to identify a baseline figure MA figures were pulled solely from decision memoranda and thus our dataset with regard to MArsquos is smaller as it excludes many of the older projects that did not have standardized baseline documentation with MArsquos noted Variance to the baseline was then measured by using the most recent quarterly cost and schedule report Latest cost data is valid through the FY18 Q3 reporting period Slide 3 charts illustrate each project in the dataset with respective LCC and dev cost variances

The confidence level policy applied to each project was noted using source documentation as well as a cross-reference against when policy changes were implemented recognizing that a subset of projects received waivers to new policies during policy transition Certain exclusions were applied to ensure a dataset comparable across projects For example SOFIA had conducted a JCL on a replan but the decision memorandum made clear the baseline was not changing therefore the JCL confidence level could not fairly be applied to measure performance against the baseline Another example is GPM which was excluded as it was one of the very first projects baselined after JCL policy implementation and was not a ldquotruerdquo JCL with the decision memorandum noting that the intent was met while a JCL DPMC would be held many months later to evaluate progress There were a couple of additional exclusions applied

When a project is confirmed at KDP-C cost performance measurements were applied to that baseline If a project was then rebaselined a ldquonewrdquo project was added to the dataset using the rebaselined figures against which to measure as the Agency made the decision at that point to press ahead with the project and Congress provided reauthorization The ldquooriginalrdquo project was ldquofrozenrdquo in terms of development phase to fairly capture the contemporary phase performance (eg the ldquooriginalrdquo OCO-2 cost growth will always be categorized within the ldquoprojects in developmentrdquo performance category while the rebaselined OCO-2 cost performance falls into the ldquoprojects launchedrdquo category) The latest cost figures however were used to measure cost performance across both original baselines and rebaselines in order to fairly capture the accuracy of original estimates against final outcomes

This insight while placing an emphasis on the JCL while measuring performance does not intend to convey a discovered causal relationship between JCL and cost performance There have been many other related programmatic and technical advancements over the past 10 to 20 years that have influenced cost and schedule performance in the overall positive direction Other insights look into other influencers of costschedule performance

13

Dev Cost Metrics Controlling for LV Cost Variation

14

Methodology and Assumptions

SID pulled a number of data elements from a total of 22 SMD projects to conduct this analysis Data elements from a projectrsquos baseline include total development cost and the launch services cost estimate and have been sourced from KDP documentation quarterly reports and Cost Analysis Data Requirements (CADREs) These data were compared to currentactual total development and launch services costs from the most recent KDPquarterly reports Other data elements include Division Lead Center type of launch vehicle LCC category and current phase

SID calculated the overall development cost deltas from the baseline cost and verified the percentage growth with external reporting data where applicable SID then calculated the percent change in launch services development cost from baseline to currentactual The development cost percent change was calculated after removing launch services from the inputs

For further insight these same calculations were conducted by Division Lead Center type of launch vehicle and LCC category Division Lead Center and LCC category were then further broken down by looking only at projects currently in development

The 22 projects used in this analysis include Mars 2020 ICESat-2 ICON InSight SOC PSP SWOT TESS Juno Landsat-8 MMS OSIRIS-REx SMAP MAVEN GRAIL NuSTAR RBSP IRIS LADEE OCO-2 CYGNSS and Landsat 9 Representation includes seven planetary science seven earth science six heliophysics and two astrophysics missions twelve GSFC-led projects and eight JPL-led projects (LaRC and ARC representing the other two) ten Atlas V one Delta IV-H two Falcon 9 four Delta II four Pegasus and one Minotaur V rockets and six category 1 thirteen category 2 and three category 3 projects Seven projects assessed are currently in development

Other projects considered were excluded if launch was or is to be on a ride-share and launch services costs were negligible (eg RBI) Projects launching on internationally-contributed rockets were also excluded (eg GPM JWST) Other exclusions were based on data limitations at the time of analysis (eg no launch services costs available from baseline)

Did not add GPM international launchSOFIA no launchJWST international launch

RBI rideshareSentinel-6 international launch

Dawn no launch vehicle numbers availableSNPP No baseline LV estimate available

NISAR international launchLCRD rideshare

GRACE-FO rideshare

14

Sheet1

LV Percent ChangeJunoRBSPGRAILMMSNuSTARLandsat-8LADEEMAVENIRISSMAPSOCOSIRIS-RExCYGNSSInSightPSPICESat-2ICONTESSSWOTMars 2020Landsat 9-45693277310924457E-2-89820359281436273E-3-13089005235602092E-2-79299691040164669E-2-72625698324022187E-2-36392405063291208E-2036117381489841988-01759358288770053754455445544554525E-2-894617134192571E-2-030924586177798574-01931623931623931101912045889101338753833646028768001E-2-12694541231126538E-2-39142073098874007E-336848699240916792E-2-023399649430324276-017936024371667944-030075113341448961-12953367875648773E-3

Sheet2

Formulation KDPs

15

Methodology and Assumptions

Comparative analysis was conducted where possible (ie when highlow costschedule figures were available in KDP-ABC decision memoranda This analysis does not attempt to explain why the majority of costschedule estimates at KDPrsquos exceed prior estimates

Cost and schedule ranges were extracted from KDP-A and KDP-B decision memoranda Agency Baseline Commitments and Management Agreements were extracted from KDP-C decision memoranda Lifecycle cost was used in all cases (as opposed to development cost only) A project did not need to have all KDP-A through C figures to be included in the analysis (eg a project that did not have a KDP-A range was still included in the KDP-B to KDP-C statistics)

This analysis includes data from KDP-A KDP-B and KDP-C milestones At KDP-A and KDP-B a high and low estimate is established for both cost and schedule At KDP-C a Management Agreement and an Agency Baseline Commitment is established for both cost and schedule For ease of conveyance this analysis equates the Management Agreement as the low estimate for KDP-C and equates the Agency Baselines Commitment as the high estimate for KDP-C

15

  • PRESENTATION COVER - Cost and Schedule Insights
  • Todayrsquos Discussion
  • LCC and Development Cost Metrics Against Baseline
  • LCC and Dev Cost Metrics Against Baseline
  • 70 Joint Cost and Schedule Confidence Are we meeting the expected 70 success rate across the portfolio
  • Formulation Cost and Schedule Ranges Are we capturing the Agencyrsquos cost exposure in early estimates
  • Development Cost Metrics When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation
  • Development Cost Performance When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation How would our development cost reporting metrics change
  • NASA cost performance hashellip
  • Back-up
  • Bar Graph
  • Tables
  • Cost Variation Against Baselines Methodology and Assumptions
  • Dev Cost Metrics Controlling for LV Cost Variation Methodology and Assumptions
  • Formulation KDPs Methodology and Assumptions
Column1 KDP-C Date Lead Center Division Launch Vehicle LCC Category Phase Development Baseline Development CurrentActuals LV Estimate at Baseline LV CurrentActuals Development Baseline less LV Estimates Development CurrentActuals less LV Actuals Development Percent Change LV Percent Change Development Percent Change less LV Notes
Juno Aug-08 JPL Planetary Atlas V 1 Ops $ 7423 $ 7089 $ 1904 $ 1817 $ 5519 $ 5272 -45 -46 -45
RBSP Dec-08 GSFC Helio Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5338 $ 5040 $ 1336 $ 1324 $ 4002 $ 3716 -56 -09 -71
GRAIL Jan-09 JPL Planetary Delta II 2 Ops $ 4270 $ 3983 $ 1528 $ 1508 $ 2742 $ 2475 -67 -13 -97
MMS Jun-09 GSFC Helio Atlas V 1 Ops $ 8573 $ 8753 $ 1942 $ 1788 $ 6631 $ 6965 21 -79 50
NuSTAR Sep-09 JPL Astro Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1099 $ 1162 $ 358 $ 332 $ 741 $ 830 57 -73 120
Landsat-8 Dec-09 GSFC Earth Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5830 $ 5028 $ 1264 $ 1218 $ 4566 $ 3810 -138 -36 -166
LADEE Aug-10 ARC Planetary Minotaur V 2 Ops $ 1682 $ 1882 $ 443 $ 603 $ 1239 $ 1279 119 361 32
OCO-2 Sep-10 JPL Earth Delta II 2 Ops $ 2490 $ 3200 $ 676 $ 1368 $ 1814 $ 1832 285 1024 10 against original baseline rebaseline primary LV-driven aside from some RWA issues
MAVEN Oct-10 GSFC Planetary Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5672 $ 4720 $ 1870 $ 1541 $ 3802 $ 3179 -168 -176 -164
IRIS Nov-10 GSFC Helio Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1407 $ 1430 $ 404 $ 426 $ 1003 $ 1004 16 54 01
SMAP May-12 JPL Earth Delta II 2 Ops $ 4857 $ 4543 $ 1319 $ 1201 $ 3538 $ 3342 -65 -89 -55
SOC Mar-13 GSFC Helio Atlas V 2 Dev $ 3769 $ 3100 $ 2500 $ 1727 $ 1269 $ 1373 -178 -309 82
OSIRIS-REx May-13 GSFC Planetary Atlas V 1 Ops $ 7786 $ 6156 $ 2340 $ 1888 $ 5446 $ 4268 -209 -193 -216
CYGNSS Feb-14 LaRC Earth Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1511 $ 1287 $ 523 $ 623 $ 988 $ 664 -148 191 -328
InSight Mar-14 JPL Planetary Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5418 $ 6483 $ 1599 $ 1685 $ 3819 $ 4798 197 54 256
PSP Mar-14 GSFC Helio Delta IV-H 1 Dev $ 10557 $ 10503 $ 4305 $ 4250 $ 6252 $ 6253 -05 -13 00
ICESat-2 May-14 GSFC Earth Delta II 1 Dev $ 7637 $ 7441 $ 1188 $ 1183 $ 6449 $ 6258 -26 -04 -30
ICON Oct-14 GSFC Helio Pegasus 2 Dev $ 1960 $ 1982 $ 543 $ 563 $ 1417 $ 1419 11 37 01
TESS Oct-14 GSFC Astro Falcon 9 2 Ops $ 3232 $ 2799 $ 1141 $ 874 $ 2091 $ 1925 -134 -234 -79
SWOT May-16 JPL Earth Falcon 9 2 Dev $ 5715 $ 5715 $ 1313 $ 1078 $ 4402 $ 4638 00 -179 53
Mars 2020 Jun-16 JPL Planetary Atlas V 1 Dev $ 16769 $ 17253 $ 3425 $ 2395 $ 13344 $ 14858 29 -301 113
Landsat 9 Dec-17 GSFC Earth Atlas V 2 Dev $ 6342 $ 6342 $ 1544 $ 1542 $ 4798 $ 4800 00 -01 00
Projects in Development $ 52749 $ 52336 $ 14819 $ 12738 $ 37930 $ 39598 -08 -140 44
Projects in Operations $ 66588 $ 63555 $ 18647 $ 18196 $ 47941 $ 45359 -46 -24 -54
Total $ 119337 $ 115891 $ 33466 $ 30935 $ 85871 $ 84956 -29 -76 -11
Development Baseline Development CurrentActuals LV Estimate at Baseline LV CurrentActuals Development Baseline less LV Estimates Development CurrentActuals less LV Actuals Development Percent Change LV Percent Change Development Percent Change less LV
GSFC Project Total $ 68103 $ 63294 $ 20377 $ 18325 $ 47726 $ 44969 -71 -101 -58
JPL Projects Total $ 48041 $ 49428 $ 12122 $ 11384 $ 35919 $ 38044 29 -61 59
Did not add GPM international launch GSFC Projects in Ops $ 37838 $ 33926 $ 10297 $ 9059 $ 27541 $ 24867 -103 -120 -97
SOFIA no launch JPL Projects in Ops $ 25557 $ 26460 $ 7384 $ 7911 $ 18173 $ 18549 35 71 21
JWST international launch GSFC Projects in Dev $ 30265 $ 29368 $ 10080 $ 9266 $ 20185 $ 20102 -30 -81 -04
RBI rideshare JPL Projects in Dev $ 22484 $ 22968 $ 4738 $ 3473 $ 17746 $ 19495 22 -267 99
Sentinel-6 international launch
Dawn no launch vehicle numbers available Astro $ 4331 $ 3961 $ 1499 $ 1206 $ 2832 $ 2755 -85 -195 -27
SNPP No baseline LV estimate available Planetary $ 49020 $ 47566 $ 13109 $ 11437 $ 35911 $ 36129 -30 -128 06
NISAR international launch Helio $ 31604 $ 30808 $ 11030 $ 10078 $ 20574 $ 20730 -25 -86 08
LCRD rideshare Earth $ 34382 $ 33556 $ 7827 $ 8213 $ 26555 $ 25343 -24 49 -46
GRACE-FO rideshare
Astro - Dev Only $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0
Planetary - Dev Only $ 16769 $ 17253 $ 3425 $ 2395 $ 13344 $ 14858 29 -301 113
Helio - Dev Only $ 16286 $ 15585 $ 7348 $ 6540 $ 8938 $ 9045 -43 -110 12
Earth - Dev Only $ 19694 $ 19498 $ 4045 $ 3803 $ 15649 $ 15695 -10 -60 03
Atlas V $ 72920 $ 69964 $ 19725 $ 16926 $ 53195 $ 53038 -41 -142 -03
Delta IV-H $ 10557 $ 10503 $ 4305 $ 4250 $ 6252 $ 6253 -05 -13 00
Falcon 9 $ 8947 $ 8514 $ 2454 $ 1952 $ 6493 $ 6562 -48 -205 11
Delta II $ 19254 $ 19167 $ 4711 $ 5260 $ 14543 $ 13907 -05 117 -44 this is skewed by OCO-2 which switched from the baseline Taurus XL to the Delta-II at the rebaseline
Pegasus $ 5977 $ 5861 $ 1828 $ 1944 $ 4149 $ 3917 -19 63 -56
Minotaur V $ 1682 $ 1882 $ 443 $ 603 $ 1239 $ 1279 119 361 32
Category 1 $ 58745 $ 57195 $ 15104 $ 13322 $ 43641 $ 43873 -26 -118 05
Category 2 $ 56575 $ 54817 $ 17076 $ 16232 $ 39499 $ 38585 -31 -49 -23
Category 3 $ 4017 $ 3879 $ 1285 $ 1381 $ 2732 $ 2498 -34 75 -86
Category 1 - Dev Only $ 34963 $ 35197 $ 8918 $ 7829 $ 26045 $ 27368 07 -122 51
Category 2 - Dev Only $ 17786 $ 17139 $ 5900 $ 4909 $ 11886 $ 12230 -36 -168 29
Category 3 - Dev Only $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0
LV of Total Dev at Baseline 280
LV of Total Dev at FY18 Q3 267
Launch Vehicle Percent Cost Variation from Baseline Estimate in Chronological Order
Mission LCC Category KDP-A (low) KDP-A (high) KDP-B (low) KDP-B (high) Low Delta (months) High Delta (months) KDP-C MA MA Variance from A KDP-C ABC ABC Variance from A
Restore-L 2 Jun-20 Dec-23 Jun-20 Dec-20 0 -36
SLS 1 Dec-17 Dec-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 -9 -8 Dec-17 0 Nov-18 11
PACE 2 Dec-22 Dec-23 Aug-22 Apr-23 -4 -8
WFIRST 1 Dec-24 Dec-26 Sep-25 Sep-26 9 -3
OCO-3 3 Sep-16 Dec-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 -2 -2 Mar-18 18 May-18 17
PSP 1 Aug-18 Aug-18 Jul-18 Jul-18 -1 -1 Aug-18 0 Aug-18 0
LCRD 2 Mar-17 Mar-17 Feb-17 Feb-17 -1 -1 Jun-19 27 Nov-19 32
Euclid 3 Dec-14 Dec-14 Dec-14 Dec-14 0 0 May-15 5 May-16 17
GRACE-FO 2 Aug-17 Aug-17 Aug-17 Aug-17 0 0 Aug-17 0 Feb-18 6
Mars 2020 1 Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20 0 0 Jul-20 0 Jul-20 0
SAGE-III 3 Aug-14 Aug-14 Aug-14 Aug-14 0 0 Aug-14 0 Aug-14 0
SWOT 2 Oct-20 Oct-20 Oct-20 Oct-20 0 0 Apr-21 6 Apr-22 18
LADEE 3 Mar-12 Mar-12 May-12 May-12 2 2 May-13 14 Nov-13 20
DART 2 Dec-20 Dec-20 Dec-20 May-21 0 5 KDP-BC was combined due to advanced design maturity so B highlow here is equal to ABCMA
NISAR 2 Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-20 Jun-22 0 6 Dec-21 12 Sep-22 9
JASON-3 3 Jul-13 Jul-13 Apr-14 Apr-14 9 9 Mar-15 20 Mar-15 20
MMS 1 Oct-13 Oct-13 Oct-14 Oct-14 12 12 Aug-14 10 Mar-15 17
ECOSTRESS 3 May-17 Mar-18 Aug-17 Aug-19 3 17 Aug-17 3 Aug-19 17
SMAP 2 Mar-13 Mar-13 May-15 May-15 26 26 Oct-14 19 Mar-15 24
XARM 3 Oct-19 Oct-19 Jan-22 Mar-23 27 41
SOC 2 Apr-15 Apr-15 Dec-17 Dec-18 32 44 Jan-17 21 Oct-18 42
Orion 1 Dec-17 Dec-17 Jun-21 Mar-22 42 51 Aug-21 44 Apr-23 64
MAIA 3 NA NA Dec-19 Mar-21 NA NA
ICON 3 NA NA Feb-17 Jun-17 NA NA
GOLD 3 NA NA Dec-17 Dec-17 NA NA
GeoCarb 3 NA NA Jun-22 Jun-23 NA NA
IXPE 3 NA NA Dec-20 Dec-20 NA NA
Landsat 9 2 NA NA Dec-20 Nov-21 NA NA
Lucy 2 NA NA Oct-21 Nov-21 NA NA
TROPICS 3 NA NA Sep-19 Sep-20 NA NA
JUICE 3 NA NA Sep-19 Sep-19 NA NA
Psyche 2 NA NA Aug-22 Aug-22 NA NA
Clipper 1 NA NA Jun-22 Jul-23 NA NA removed Clipper from schedule calculations due to no KDP-A schedule estimate
CLARREO-PF 3 Jan-20 Jan-22
COST Growth () Schedule Growth (months)
of Pp (LowMA) (HighABC) (LowMA) (HighABC)
Category I 7 62 165 88 85
Category II 12 38 109 59 40
Category III 15 - -07 56 96
COST Growth () Schedule Growth (months)
(LowMA) (HighABC) (LowMA) (HighABC)
Average 80 118 66 70
Median 15 - 00 00
Standard Deviation 145 233 129 189
Minimum -12 -65 -9 -36
Maximum 417 745 42 51
Mission LCC Category KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta2 Change (low) Notes KDP-C MA KDP-C ABC MA Variance From A ABC Variance From A
Clipper 1 $ 4000 $ 4000 $ - 0 00 $ 3000 $ 3100 $ 100 33
DART 2 $ 270 $ 291 $ 21 78 $ 175 $ 248 $ 73 417
Euclid 3 $ 110 $ 110 $ - 0 00 $ 100 $ 100 $ - 0 00 Combined KDP-AB so no possible change 964 1014 -4 -8
GRACE-FO 2 $ 470 $ 460 $ (10) -21 $ 409 $ 404 $ (5) -12 4059 4319 -1 -8
JASON-3 3 $ 159 $ 166 $ 7 44 $ - 0 $ 158 1552 1552 -2
LADEE 3 $ 214 $ 200 $ (14) -65 $ - 0 $ 184 2359 2629 23
LCRD 2 $ 239 $ 239 $ 0 02 $ 239 $ 239 $ 0 02 2571 2627 8 10
Mars 2020 1 $ 2350 $ 2351 $ 1 00 $ 2140 $ 2186 $ 46 21 22727 24435 6 4
MMS 1 $ 777 $ 990 $ 213 275 $ 777 $ 928 $ 151 195 10026 10826 29 39
NISAR 2 $ 808 $ 808 $ - 0 00 $ 718 $ 718 $ - 0 00 7953 8669 11 7
OCO-3 3 $ 120 $ 111 $ (9) -71 $ 100 $ 101 $ 1 13 1108 1148 11 -4
Orion 1 $ 6391 $ 10288 $ 3897 610 $ - 0 $ 8534 Moved LRD from EM-1 to EM-2 extending LCC timeframe 108098 112835 77
PACE 2 $ 850 $ 850 $ - 0 00 $ 805 $ 805 $ - 0 00
PSP 1 $ 1300 $ 1439 $ 139 107 $ 1000 $ 1233 $ 233 233 13932 15534 39 19
Restore-L 2 $ 787 $ 753 $ (34) -43 $ 500 $ 628 $ 128 256
SAGE-III 3 $ 112 $ 115 $ 3 27 $ - 0 $ 104 101 112 0
SLS 1 $ 8855 $ 8587 $ (268) -30 $ - 0 $ 7653 8394 9695 9
SMAP 2 $ 514 $ 649 $ 135 263 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 7218 9165 78
SOC 2 $ 243 $ 424 $ 181 745 $ - 0 $ 371 3662 4359 79
SWOT 2 $ 752 $ 757 $ 5 07 $ 642 $ 647 $ 5 08 7049 7549 10 0
XARM 3 $ 172 $ 217 $ 45 264 $ 161 $ 179 $ 18 110
Count KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta Change (low) Notes
Category 1 6 $ 23673 $ 27655 $ 3982 168 $ 3275 $ 3606 $ 331 101
Category 2 9 $ 4933 $ 5231 $ 298 61 $ 4474 $ 13335 $ 8861 1981
Category 3 6 $ 887 $ 920 $ 33 37 $ - 0 $ 7757 $ 7757 ERRORDIV0
Total 21 $ 29493 $ 33807 $ 4314 146 $ 7749 $ 24698 $ 16949 2187
Mission LCC Category KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta2 Change (low) Notes
CLARREO-PF 3 $ 75 $ (75) -1000 $ 64
ICON 3 $ 249 $ 218
ECOSTRESS 3 $ 56 $ 49
GeoCarb 3 $ 181 $ 171
GOLD 3 $ 74 $ 64
IXPE 3 $ 205 $ 189
JUICE 3 $ 119 $ 103
Landsat 9 2 $ 928 $ 851 KDP-BC was combined due to advanced design maturity so B highlow here is equal to ABCMA
Lucy 2 $ 984 $ 914
Psyche 2 $ 957 $ 907
TROPICS 3 $ 30 $ 30
MAIA 3 $ 178 $ 150
Cost Estimate Deltas - KDP-A to KDP-B COST Growth ()
Mission Estimate KDP-A KDP-B Notes of Pp Low (MA) High (ABC)
SOC High $ 243 745 $ 424 Category I 4 127 172
Low $ - 0 $ 371 Category II 5 -01 199
Orion High $ 6391 610 $ 10288 Moved LRD from EM-1 to EM-2 extending LCC timeframe Category III 4 00 01
Low $ - 0 $ 8534
SMAP High $ 514 263 $ 649
Low $ - 0 $ - 0
SPP High $ 1300 107 $ 1439
Low $ 1000 233 $ 1233
JASON-3 High $ 159 44 $ 166
Low $ - 0 $ 158
SAGE-III High $ 112 27 $ 115
Low $ - 0 $ 104
SWOT High $ 752 07 $ 757
Low $ 642 08 $ 647
Mars 2020 High $ 2350 00 $ 2351
Low $ 2140 21 $ 2186
NISAR High $ 808 00 $ 808
Low $ 718 00 $ 718
Euclid High $ 110 00 $ 110 Combined KDP-AB so no change possible
Low $ 100 00 $ 100
GRACE Follow On High $ 470 -21 $ 460
Low $ 409 -12 $ 404
SLS High $ 8855 -30 $ 8587
Low $ - 0 $ 7653
LADEE High $ 214 -65 $ 200
Low $ - 0 $ 184
ProgramProject Name Category KDP A to B analysis (13 missions)
ASTRO-H 3 ASTRO-Hreg 3 bull13 Missions KDP-B Data Unavailable
CYGNSS 3 CYGNSS 3 bull7 Missions KDP-Crsquos have not yet occurred
DSCOVR 3 DSCOVR 3
C ECOSTRESS 3 ECOSTRESS 3
EUCLID 3 EUCLIDreg 3 Euclid
C GEDI 3 GEDI 3
GOES-R 1 GOES-R 1
GOLD 3 GOLD 3
GPM 2 GPM 2
GRACE-FO 2 GRACE-FO 2 GRACE Follow On
GSDO 1 GSDO 1
ICESat-2 1 ICESat-2reg 1
ICON 2 ICON 2
InSight 2 InSight 2
IRIS 3 IRIS 3
Jason-3 3 Jason-3 3 JASON-3
JPSS-1 1 JPSS-1 1
JWST 1 JWSTreg 1
LADEE 2 LADEEreg 2 LADEE
C LCRD 3 LCRD 3
LDCM 2 LDCMreg 2
LDSD 3 LDSD 3
C Mars 2020 1 Mars 2020 1 Mars 2020
MAVEN 2 MAVEN 2
MMS 1 MMS 1
MOMA 3 MOMA 3
MSL 1 MSL 1
NICER 3 NICER 3
C NISAR 2 NISAR 2 NISAR
NuSTAR 3 NuSTARreg 3
OCO-2 2 OCO-2 2
C OCO-3 3 OCO-3 3
ORION 1 ORION 1 Orion
OSIRIS Rex 1 OSIRIS Rexreg 1
SAGE III 3 SAGE III 3 SAGE-III
SGSS 1 SGSSreg 1
SLS 1 SLS 1 SLS
SMAP 2 SMAPreg 2 SMAP
SOC 2 SOC 2 SOC
SOFIA 1 SOFIA 1
PSP 1 PSP 1 PSP
C SWOT 2 SWOT 2 SWOT
TEMPO 3 TEMPO 3
TESS 2 TESS 2
Clipper
DART
PACE
Restore-L
XARM
Statistics COST Growth ($M) Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Average 9 9 43 61 136 070
Median 5 6 20 45 112 034
Standard Deviation 14 16 73 83 93 081
Variance 2 3 535 685 871 066
Minimum -9 -8 (71) (31) 15 - 0
Maximum 38 53 244 315 345 242
no JWST
Statistics
COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 18 17 118 131 1989 065
Median 20 17 101 132 19167 0582
Standard Deviation 16 19 105 117 11557 0830
Sample Variance 3 4 1101 1377 133562 0688
Minimum -6 -5 - 0 - 0 397 - 0
Maximum 46 48 284 274 4527 310
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 20 21 156 159 2031 075
Median 21 20 132 147 20783 0589
Standard Deviation 17 25 174 155 11214 0881
Sample Variance 3 6 3035 2394 125751 0776
Minimum -6 -5 00 00 40 - 0
Maximum 48 78 649 528 453 31
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 4 3 47 136 253 054
Median 9 9 61 132 24333 042
Standard Deviation 10 12 52 56 6657 022
Sample Variance 1 1 273 311 44310 005
Minimum -7 -11 (10) 82 1923 041
Maximum 11 11 92 193 3243 079
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
of Pp B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC)
Category I 6 4 4 22 78
Category II 9 8 13 71 83
Category III 8 6 11 28 52
Timeline Total Programs 46
Begin End Cost data Note Replans have KDP B = previous KDB C for comaprison planned Total Replans 14
2010 Present Total LCC Percent Replans 30
KDP-B KDP-C PresentFinal Breach Totals Statistics (B to C) or (C to Replan) Statictics - PresentFinal
KDP-B (LowMA) KDP-B (HighABC) KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) (MA) (ABC) 41416 14 9 9 8 COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
DIR ProgramProject Nameregdenotes Replan Category Cost LRD Cost LRD Signature Date Cost LRD Cost LRD Notes Signature Date Delta B to C (MA) Delta B to C (ABC) Cost LRD Cost LRD Source Replan Breach (YN) Schedule Breach Cost Breach B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC) C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC)
ASTRO-H 3 568 Aug-13 568 Aug-13 May-10 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 595 595 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 9 10 613 613 3450 018 21 34 2127 2530
ASTRO-Hreg 3 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 798 Nov-15 839 Mar-16 ABC +532 SEO option in Nov-13 1705 2115 758 Feb-16 759 Mar-16 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 21 34 2127 2530 817 310 -5 -10 307 - 0
CYGNSS 3 1028 Oct-16 1728 Apr-17 Jul-13 1528 Oct-16 1812 May-17 Feb-14 50 84 1595 Oct-16 1742 May-17 FY16Q2 N N 33 5 - 0 100 800 013 4 -4 - 0 - 0
JASD DSCOVR 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
928 Jan-15 Aug-13 0 928 928 Jan-15 94 Jan-15 KDP-E Jan-15 N N 0 0 0 1 - 0
ECOSTRESS 3 485 Aug-17 559 Aug-19 Apr-15 51043 Aug-17 55942 Aug-19 Dec-15 2543 0042 N N 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0 0 0
EUCLID 3 105 Dec-14 110 Dec-14 Jan-13 964 May-15 1014 May-16 ABC +44M for Science Center Sep-13 -86 -86 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -9 -8 503 1723 810 213 -1 -5 717 1117
EUCLIDreg 3 964 May-15 1454 May-16 Sep-13 179 Mar-17 190 Jun-18 Feb-16 826 446 179 Dec-21 190 Dec-22 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 46 31 2233 2537 2943 086 0 00 5787 5480
GEDI 3 1208 May-18 1263 May-18 Aug-15 120774 Jun-18 126253 Mar-19 Jun-16 -0026 -0047 N N -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100 -7 -10 607 817
JASD GOES-R 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
108603 Oct-15 Apr-12 0 108603 108295 Oct-16 kDP-D Sep-14 N N 0 0 32 24 1013 1320
GOLD 3 641 Dec-17 744 Dec-17 Feb-15 641 Oct-17 745 Apr-18 Mar-15 0 01 N N 0 0 (203) 403 167 242 5 2 810 307
GPM 2 Not Available 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 911 978 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 -2 -8 717 717
GPMreg 2 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 906 Feb-14 933 Jun-14 Oct-11 -5 -45 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16Q2 Y Y Y -1 -5 717 1117 2240 050 -1 -3 - 0 (400)
GRACE-FO 2 404 Aug-17 460 Aug-17 Aug-12 4059 Aug-17 4319 Feb-18 Feb-14 19 -281 4079 Aug-17 4318 Feb-18 FY16Q2 N N 0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032 0 -00 - 0 - 0
ESD GSDO 1 28119 Dec-17 31213 Mar-18 Feb-13 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 -1784 -3084 26336 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 FY16Q2 N N -7 -10 607 817 1923 042 0 00 - 0 - 0
ICESat-2 2 686 Apr-16 776 Nov-16 Aug-11 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 -122 842 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -2 11 813 603 1687 036 10 0 203 - 0
ICESat-2reg 1 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 9915 Oct-17 10635 Jun-18 May-14 3177 2033 9916 Oct-17 10636 Jun-18 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 32 24 1013 1320 1660 080 0 00 - 0 - 0
ICON 2 2177 Oct-16 2485 Jul-17 Jun-14 2294 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 Oct-14 117 42 232 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 FY16Q2 N N 5 2 810 307 500 061 1 00 - 0 - 0
Planetary InSight 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 6266 6751 6536 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 FY16Q2 N N 0 0 4 00 - 0 - 0
IRIS 3 Not Available 1671 Dec-12 1802 Jun-13 Nov-10 1671 1802 1873 Jun-13 1873 Jun-13 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 11 4 607 - 0
Jason-3 3 158 Apr-14 166 Apr-14 Jul-11 1552 Mar-15 1552 Mar-15 Jan-13 -28 -108 1579 Jul-15 1579 Jan-16 KDP-E draft N N -2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059 2 2 407 1020
JASD JPSS-1 1 Not Available 1623 Mar-17 Aug-13 0 1623 16235 Mar-17 KDP-D Apr-15 N N 0 0 36 48 2533 2637
JUICE 3 1034 Sep-19 1185 Sep-19 Apr-16 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 Apr-17 11 85 N N 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
JWST JWST 1 3117 Aug-11 3117 Aug-11 Jul-03 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 1264 1847 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046 0 0
JWSTreg 1 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 4044 3871 85104 Oct-18 88254 Oct-18 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 48 78 6493 5277 2577 205 1 -01 - 0 - 0
LADEE 2 1843 May-12 200 May-12 Dec-09 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 516 629 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 22 31 1217 1830 1027 178 26 34 1717 2433
LADEEreg 2 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 2619 Jul-13 2629 Nov-13 May-12 26 0 2738 Sep-13 2738 Sep-13 FY15Q1 Y N 10 0 203 - 0 1917 - 0 4 4 207 (203)
Landsat 9 2 851 Dec-20 928 Nov-21 Aug-16 838531 Dec-20 885029 Nov-21 Dec-17 -12469 -42971 N N -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
LCRD 2 2394 Feb-17 May-13 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 Apr-17 2571 233 N N 0 9 3343 4770 070 -6 -5 - 0 - 0
LDCM 2 710 Dec-12 800 Dec-12 Sep-09 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 140 142 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 16 18 - 0 607 707 086 -3 -3 - 0 - 0
LDCMreg 2 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 8608 Dec-12 9416 Jun-13 Dec-10 108 -04 8501 Feb-13 8568 Feb-13 FY15Q4 Y N 1 -0 - 0 - 0 867 - 0 -1 -9 207 (400)
STMD LDSD 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project
1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 1896 203 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0 9 13 917 1930
STMD LDSDreg 3 1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 2368 Dec-16 2368 Dec-16 Mar-15 472 338 249 Dec-16 249 Dec-16 FY15Q4 Y Y Y Y 20 17 1627 1627 2733 060 5 5 - 0 - 0
Mars 2020 1 2106 Jul-20 2351 Jul-20 May-15 22727 Jul-20 24435 Jul-20 STMDHEOMD added Jun-16 1667 925 N N 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0 -2 10 2437 3147
MAVEN 2 Not Available 6382 Nov-13 6712 Nov-13 Oct-10 6382 6712 598 Nov-13 600 Nov-13 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 -7 -11 - 0 - 0
MMS 1 9104 Oct-14 9904 Oct-14 Nov-07 10026 Aug-14 10826 Mar-15 Jun-09 922 922 1121 Sep-15 1121 Sep-15 FY16Q2 N N 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025 11 4 1320 613
MOMA 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)MOMA-MS did not have a traditional path of formulation NASArsquos participation on the MOMAinstrument began as a result of a proposal to the Mars Scout 2006 and Mission of OpportunityAnnouncement of Opportunity that proposal was selected for technology development In 2010NASA determined that the original team would not be able to produce a flight instrument onschedule and within acceptable risk NASA decided to bring the instrument technology andflight system development in-house to increase the probability of success The MOMA-MStechnology development effort was assigned to the Goddard Space Flight Center in Fall 2010The Project is entering the typical Life Cycle Review (LCR) process after a tailored PreliminaryDesign Review (PDR) and Key Decision Point (KDP)-C Until the time of KDP-C no formalAgency-level gate reviews were held (lack of KDP-A and KDP-B)
91 Oct-15 101 Oct-15 Apr-14 91 101 904 Jul-18 1004 Jul-18 FY16Q2 N N 0 0 -1 -1 3347 3347
MSL 1 Not Available 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 1474 1613 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
MSLreg 1 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 23185 Oct-11 23943 Nov-11 Apr-10 8445 7813 25176 Nov-11 25304 Nov-11 FY15Q1 Y Y Y Y 36 48 2533 2637 4527 058 8 6 103 - 0
NICER 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- the mission was selected from an AO and the down select places the project in phase B This was originally below $75 M threshold and no KDP DM were generated to document the cost and schedule

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
624 Aug-16 684 Feb-17 Feb-14 624 684 684 Feb-17 67 Feb-17 KDP-D Jan-16 N N 0 0 9 -2 613 - 0
NISAR 2 7183 Dec-20 8083 Dec-20 Feb-15 7953 Dec-21 8669 Sep-22 Aug-16 77 586 N N 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117
NuSTAR 3 1052 Oct-11 1052 Oct-11 Feb-08 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 554 554 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
NuSTARreg 3 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 1606 Nov-11 1606 Feb-12 Aug-10 0 0 166 Jun-12 166 Jun-12 FY14Q4 Y N 0 0 307 103 1167 009 3 3 710 403
OCO-2 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild
3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 3259 3499 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
OCO-2reg 2 3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 4377 Jul-14 4677 Feb-15 Jan-13 1118 1178 4276 Jul-14 4276 Jul-14 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 26 34 1717 2433 2767 088 -2 -9 - 0 (717)
OCO-3 3 1014 Jul-16 1115 Oct-16 Aug-13 1108 Mar-18 1148 May-18 May-16 94 33 N N 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
ESD ORION 1 96425 Sep-21 102886 Mar-22 Jan-13 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 11673 9949 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 FY16Q2 N N 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041 0 00 - 0 - 0
OSIRIS Rex 1 1085 Oct-16 1210 Oct-16 Apr-13 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 -336 -886 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0
OSIRIS Rexreg 1 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 9959 Oct-16 10642 Oct-16 Mar-14 -555 -572 10014 Oct-16 10572 Oct-16 FY16Q2 Y N -6 -5 - 0 - 0 1053 - 0 1 -1 - 0 - 0
PSP 1 1233 Jul-18 1439 Jul-18 Jan-12 13932 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 Mar-14 1602 1144 13931 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 FY16Q2 N N 11 8 103 103 2670 004 -0 00 - 0 - 0
SAGE III 3 1042 Aug-14 1152 Aug-14 Feb-12 101 Aug-14 112 Aug-14 Jul-12 -32 -32 1265 Aug-16 133 Aug-16 FY16Q2 N N -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0 20 19 2437 2437
SGSS 2 5165 Dec-15 6275 Sep-17 Aug-12 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 3155 2351 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
SGSSreg 1 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 11959 Jul-19 12079 Sep-19 Jul-15 3639 3453 1216 Jul-19 1228 Sep-19 PPBE18 PMR Y Y Y Y 30 40 2840 2740 2777 099 2 2 - 0 - 0
ESD SLS 1 7653 Mar-17 8587 Apr-17 Aug-12 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 741 1108 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 FY16Q1 N N 9 13 917 1930 2433 079 0 00 - 0 - 0
SMAP 2 5845 May-15 7792 May-15 Jan-10 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 1373 1373 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
SMAPreg 2 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 8744 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 Sep-12 1526 0 8899 May-15 8899 May-15 FY16Q2 Y N 17 0 - 0 - 0 397 - 0 2 -3 707 203
SOC 2 372 Jan-15 396 Mar-16 Dec-11 3662 Jan-17 4359 Oct-18 Mar-13 -58 399 2892 Oct-18 3789 Oct-18 FY16Q2 N N -2 10 2437 3147 1610 195 -27 -13 2127 - 0
SOFIA 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)SOFIA was reformulated because it was cancelled in the 2007 Budget The program went through multiple reviews until 2010 There is a file APMC Oct 6 2010 SOFIA r3 which is the confirmation review Sharedrive path USIDKDP and Other Decision MemosProjectsSOFIA

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project
29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 29476 29551 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
SOFIA (Budget) 1 29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 11431 Feb-14 11506 Feb-14 not a KDP Apr-14 -18045 -18045 29048 Feb-14 29122 Feb-14 FY16Q2 Budget Reduction N -158 -61 - 0 - 0 139100 - 0
SWOT 2 647 Oct-20 757 Oct-20 Jun-14 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 May-16 579 -21 N N 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
TEMPO 3 1708 May-17 2178 Dec-17 Apr-14 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 Apr-15 101 0 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 FY16Q2 N N 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008 0 00 - 0 - 0
TESS 2 350 Sep-17 400 Sep-17 May-14 3424 Dec-17 3784 Jun-18 Oct-14 -76 -216 31976 Dec-17 3517 Jun-18 FY16Q2 N N -2 -5 303 910 510 178 -7 -7 - 0 - 0
Currently in B Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) Schedule change Ratio
CLARREO-PF B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C
DART KDP-C in July Mean 13 -13 55 28 1729 115
Europa Clipper 02045454545 Median 17 -06 21 00 17483 0862
GeoCarb Standard Deviation 84 68 88 87 10875 0863
IXPE Minimum -27 -13 00 -72 397 050
Lucy Maximum 20 19 335 335 4527 310
MAIA
PACE
Psyche Paste data from above to this table for analysis
Restore-L -27 -13 2127 - 0 1610 050
SOC Replan Breach notification made DM not yet final -7 -7 - 0 - 0 080
TROPICS -7 -11 - 0 - 0 817 060
XARM -5 -10 307 - 0 867 088
-2 -9 - 0 (717) 2767 310
-2 -8 717 717 086
-1 -3 - 0 (400) 510 058
-1 -9 207 (400) 800 099
-1 -1 3347 3347 2240 205
1 -1 - 0 - 0 397
1 -01 - 0 - 0
2 2 - 0 - 0 1053
2 2 407 1020
2 -3 707 203 2577
1 00 - 0 - 0 2777
4 00 - 0 - 0 1887
3 3 710 403 1167
4 -4 - 0 - 0 1983
4 4 207 (203)
5 5 - 0 - 0 1917
8 6 103 - 0 2733
9 -2 613 - 0 4527
11 4 1320 613 503
11 4 607 - 0
20 19 2437 2437
Timeline Total Programs 46
Begin End Cost data Note Replans have KDP B = previous KDP C for comaprison planned Total Replans 14
2010 Present Total LCC Percent Replans 30
KDP-B KDP-C PresentFinal Breach Totals Statistics (B to C) or (C to Replan) Statistics - PresentFinal
KDP-B (LowMA) KDP-B (HighABC) KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) (MA) (ABC) 72618 20 13 13 9 COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
DIR ProgramProject Nameregdenotes Replan Category Cost LRD Cost LRD Signature Date Cost LRD Cost LRD Notes Signature Date Delta B to C (MA) Delta B to C (ABC) Cost LRD Cost LRD Source Replan Breach (YN) Schedule Breach Cost Breach B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC) C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC)
APD ASTRO-H 3 568 Aug-13 568 Aug-13 May-10 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 595 595 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 9 10 613 613 3450 018 21 34 2127 2530
APD ASTRO-Hreg 3 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 798 Nov-15 839 Mar-16 ABC +532 SEO option in Nov-13 1705 2115 74855 Feb-16 109271 Mar-16 FY17 Q1 Y Y Y Y 21 34 2127 2530 817 310 -7 30 307 - 0
ESD CYGNSS 3 1028 Oct-16 1728 Apr-17 Jul-13 1528 Oct-16 1812 May-17 Feb-14 50 84 159503 Dec-16 159503 Dec-16 FY18 Q3 N N 33 5 - 0 100 800 013 4 -12 203 (503)
JASD DSCOVR 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
928 Jan-15 Aug-13 0 928 928 Jan-15 94 Jan-15 KDP-E Jan-15 N N 0 0 0 1 - 0
x ESD ECOSTRESS 3 485 Aug-17 559 Aug-19 Apr-15 51043 Aug-17 55942 Aug-19 Dec-15 2543 0042 51043 Apr-18 52443 Aug-19 KDP-E May-18 N N 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0 0 0
HEO EGS 1 28119 Dec-17 31213 Mar-18 Feb-13 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 -1784 -3084 27418 Sep-18 28129 Nov-18 FY17 Q1 N N -7 -10 607 817 1923 042 4 00 307 - 0
HEO EGSreg 1 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 3145 Dec-19 3231 Jun-20 Dec-17 5115 4181 31446 Dec-19 31446 Dec-19 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 16 15 1827 1927 3957 049 -0 -27 - 0 (610)
x APD EUCLID 3 105 Dec-14 110 Dec-14 Jan-13 964 May-15 1014 May-16 ABC +44M for Science Center Sep-13 -86 -86 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -9 -8 503 1723 810 213 -1 -5 717 1117
APD EUCLIDreg 3 964 May-15 1454 May-16 Sep-13 179 Mar-17 190 Jun-18 Feb-16 826 446 206214 Mar-20 223452 Mar-20 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 46 31 2233 2537 2943 086 13 176 3653 2130
ESD GEDI 3 1208 May-18 1263 May-18 Aug-15 120774 Jun-18 126253 Mar-19 Jun-16 -0026 -0047 120774 Nov-18 123774 Mar-19 FY18 Q3 N N -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100 -7 -10 607 817
JASD GOES-R 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
108603 Oct-15 Apr-12 0 108603 10150 Nov-16 KDP-E Oct-16 N N 0 0 32 24 1013 1320
HPD GOLD 3 641 Dec-17 744 Dec-17 Feb-15 641 Oct-17 745 Apr-18 Mar-15 0 01 663 Feb-18 73 Apr-18 KDP-E Dec-17 N N 0 0 (203) 403 167 242 5 2 810 307
ESD GPM 2 Not Available 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 911 978 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16 Q1 N N 0 0 -2 -8 717 717
ESD GPMreg 2 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 906 Feb-14 933 Jun-14 Oct-11 -5 -45 8834 Feb-14 8904 Feb-14 FY17 Q3 Y Y Y -1 -5 717 1117 2240 050 -3 -5 - 0 (400)
ESD GRACE-FO 2 404 Aug-17 460 Aug-17 Aug-12 4059 Aug-17 4319 Feb-18 Feb-14 19 -281 4059 May-18 4319 May-18 FY18 Q3 N N 0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032 0 00 910 297
ESD ICESat-2 2 686 Apr-16 776 Nov-16 Aug-11 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 -122 842 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -2 11 813 603 1687 036 10 0 203 - 0
ESD ICESat-2reg 1 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 9915 Oct-17 10635 Jun-18 May-14 3177 2033 10561 Sep-18 10636 Oct-18 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 32 24 1013 1320 1660 080 6 00 1117 407
HPD ICON 2 2177 Oct-16 2485 Jul-17 Jun-14 2294 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 Oct-14 117 42 243 Jun-18 2527 Jun-18 FY18 Q3 N N 5 2 810 307 500 061 6 00 1217 810
PSD InSight 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight
6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 6266 6751 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0 ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE
PSD InSightreg 2 6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 8189 May-18 8289 May-18 Sep-16 1923 1538 8138 May-18 8138 May-18 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 23 23 2637 2637 3050 086 -1 -18 - 0 - 0
HPD IRIS 3 Not Available 1671 Dec-12 1802 Jun-13 Nov-10 1671 1802 1873 Jun-13 1873 Jun-13 FY16 Q1 N N 0 0 11 4 607 - 0
ESD Jason-3 3 158 Apr-14 166 Apr-14 Jul-11 1552 Mar-15 1552 Mar-15 Jan-13 -28 -108 1579 Jul-15 1579 Jan-16 KDP-E Sep-16 N N -2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059 2 2 407 1020
JASD JPSS-1 1 Not Available 1623 Mar-17 Aug-13 0 1623 16235 Mar-17 KDP-D Apr-15 N N 0 0 36 48 2533 2637
x PSD JUICE 3 1034 Sep-19 1185 Sep-19 Apr-16 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 Apr-17 11 85 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 KDP-C Apr-17 N N 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
JWST JWST 1 3117 Aug-11 3117 Aug-11 Jul-03 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 1264 1847 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046 0 0
JWST JWSTreg 1 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 4044 3871 85104 Oct-18 88254 Oct-18 FY16 Q2 Y Y Y Y 48 78 6493 5277 2577 205 1 -01 - 0 - 0
JWST JWSTregreg 1 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 94889 Nov-20 96627 Mar-21 May-18 10639 8277 94889 Nov-20 96627 Mar-21 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 9 2940 8113 036
PSD LADEE 2 1843 May-12 200 May-12 Dec-09 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 516 629 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 22 31 1217 1830 1027 178 26 34 1717 2433
PSD LADEEreg 2 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 2619 Jul-13 2629 Nov-13 May-12 26 0 2738 Sep-13 2738 Sep-13 FY15 Q1 Y N 10 0 203 - 0 1917 - 0 4 4 207 (203)
x ESD Landsat 9 2 851 Dec-20 928 Nov-21 Aug-16 838531 Dec-20 885029 Nov-21 Dec-17 -12469 -42971 8385 Dec-20 885 Nov-21 FY18 Q3 N N -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
STMD LCRD 2 2394 Feb-17 May-13 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 Apr-17 2571 233 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 FY18 Q3 N N 0 9 3343 4770 070 -6 -5 - 0 - 0
ESD LDCMLandsat 8 2 710 Dec-12 800 Dec-12 Sep-09 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 140 142 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 16 18 - 0 607 707 086 -3 -3 - 0 - 0
ESD LDCMLandsat 8reg 2 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 8608 Dec-12 9416 Jun-13 Dec-10 108 -04 85006 Feb-13 85666 Feb-13 FY18 Q3 Y N 1 -0 - 0 - 0 867 - 0 -1 -9 207 (400)
STMD LDSD 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 1896 203 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0 9 13 917 1930
STMD LDSDreg 3 1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 2368 Dec-16 2368 Dec-16 Mar-15 472 338 249 Dec-16 249 Dec-16 FY15 Q4 Y Y Y Y 20 17 1627 1627 2733 060 5 5 - 0 - 0
x PSD Mars 2020 1 2106 Jul-20 2351 Jul-20 May-15 22727 Jul-20 24435 Jul-20 STMDHEOMD added Jun-16 1667 925 23634 Jul-20 25304 Jul-20 FY18 Q3 N N 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0 -2 10 2437 3147
PSD MAVEN 2 Not Available 6382 Nov-13 6712 Nov-13 Oct-10 6382 6712 5753 Nov-13 5753 Nov-13 FY16 Q3 N N 0 0 -11 -14 - 0 - 0
HPD MMS 1 9104 Oct-14 9904 Oct-14 Nov-07 10026 Aug-14 10826 Mar-15 Jun-09 922 922 1098 Mar-15 1098 Mar-15 FY18 Q2 N N 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025 9 1 707 - 0
PSD MOMA 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)MOMA-MS did not have a traditional path of formulation NASArsquos participation on the MOMAinstrument began as a result of a proposal to the Mars Scout 2006 and Mission of OpportunityAnnouncement of Opportunity that proposal was selected for technology development In 2010NASA determined that the original team would not be able to produce a flight instrument onschedule and within acceptable risk NASA decided to bring the instrument technology andflight system development in-house to increase the probability of success The MOMA-MStechnology development effort was assigned to the Goddard Space Flight Center in Fall 2010The Project is entering the typical Life Cycle Review (LCR) process after a tailored PreliminaryDesign Review (PDR) and Key Decision Point (KDP)-C Until the time of KDP-C no formalAgency-level gate reviews were held (lack of KDP-A and KDP-B)
91 Oct-15 101 Oct-15 Apr-14 91 101 120243 Jul-20 128226 Jul-20 FY18 Q3 N N 0 0 24 27 5783 5783
PSD MSL 1 Not Available 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 1474 1613 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
PSD MSLreg 1 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 23185 Oct-11 23943 Nov-11 Apr-10 8445 7813 25176 Nov-11 25304 Nov-11 FY15 Q1 Y Y Y Y 36 48 2533 2637 4527 058 8 6 103 - 0
ESD NICER 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- the mission was selected from an AO and the down select places the project in phase B This was originally below $75 M threshold and no KDP DM were generated to document the cost and schedule

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
624 Aug-16 684 Feb-17 Feb-14 624 684 694 Jun-17 706 Aug-17 KDP-E May-17 N N 0 0 10 3 1013 603
x ESD NISAR 2 7183 Dec-20 8083 Dec-20 Feb-15 7953 Dec-21 8669 Sep-22 Aug-16 77 586 7953 Dec-21 8969 Sep-22 FY18 Q3 N N 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117 0 00346060676 0 0
APD NuSTAR 3 1052 Oct-11 1052 Oct-11 Feb-08 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 554 554 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
APD NuSTARreg 3 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 1606 Nov-11 1606 Feb-12 Aug-10 0 0 115315 Jun-12 115315 Jun-12 FY15 Q1 Y N 0 0 307 103 1167 009 -39 -28 710 403
ESD OCO-2 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild
3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 3259 3499 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
ESD OCO-2reg 2 3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 4377 Jul-14 4677 Feb-15 Jan-13 1118 1178 4245 Jul-14 4245 Jul-14 FY17 Q1 Y Y Y Y 26 34 1717 2433 2767 088 -3 -9 - 0 (717)
x ESD OCO-3 3 1014 Jul-16 1115 Oct-16 Aug-13 1108 Mar-18 1148 May-18 May-16 94 33 113388 Mar-18 113388 May-18 FY18 Q3 N N 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
HEO Orion 1 96425 Sep-21 102886 Mar-22 Jan-13 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 11673 9949 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041 ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE
HEO Orionreg 1 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 116581 Jun-22 116581 Jun-22 Jun-18 8483 3746 116581 Jun-22 116581 Jun-22 FY18 Q3 Y N 7 3 1013 (1013) 3347 030 0 00 - 0 - 0
PSD OSIRIS Rex 1 1085 Oct-16 1210 Oct-16 Apr-13 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 -336 -886 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0
PSD OSIRIS Rexreg 1 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 9959 Oct-16 10642 Oct-16 Mar-14 -555 -572 9975 Sep-16 10532 Sep-16 FY18 Q3 Y N -6 -5 - 0 - 0 1053 - 0 0 -1 (100) (100)
HPD PSP 1 1233 Jul-18 1439 Jul-18 Jan-12 13932 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 Mar-14 1602 1144 13821 Aug-18 15482 Aug-18 FY18 Q3 N N 11 8 103 103 2670 004 -1 -03 - 0 - 0
ESD SAGE III 3 1042 Aug-14 1152 Aug-14 Feb-12 101 Aug-14 112 Aug-14 Jul-12 -32 -32 129364 Feb-17 129364 Feb-17 FY18 Q3 N N -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0 22 16 3050 3050
HEO SGSS 2 5165 Dec-15 6275 Sep-17 Aug-12 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 3155 2351 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
HEO SGSSreg 1 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 11959 Jul-19 12079 Sep-19 Jul-15 3639 3453 1251 Sep-19 1261284 Nov-19 Path Forward APMC Dec 2016 Y Y Y Y 30 40 2840 2740 2777 099 4 4 223 267
HEO SLS 1 7653 Mar-17 8587 Apr-17 Aug-12 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 741 1108 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 FY16 Q1 N N 9 13 917 1930 2433 079 0 00 - 0 - 0
HEO SLSreg 1 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 9734 Dec-19 9843 Jun-20 Dec-17 1340 148 98029 Dec-19 98029 Dec-19 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 14 2 2433 1927 4060 047 1 -04
ESD SMAP 2 5845 May-15 7792 May-15 Jan-10 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 1373 1373 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
ESD SMAPreg 2 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 8744 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 Sep-12 1526 0 8899 Jan-15 8899 Jan-15 FY18 Q3 Y N 17 0 - 0 - 0 397 - 0 2 -3 307 (197)
HPD SOC 2 372 Jan-15 396 Mar-16 Dec-11 3662 Jan-17 4359 Oct-18 Mar-13 -58 399 3433 Feb-20 3866 Feb-20 FY18 Q3 N N -2 10 2437 3147 1610 195 -7 -11 3753 1627
APD SOFIA 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)SOFIA was reformulated because it was cancelled in the 2007 Budget The program went through multiple reviews until 2010 There is a file APMC Oct 6 2010 SOFIA r3 which is the confirmation review Sharedrive path USIDKDP and Other Decision MemosProjectsSOFIA
29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 29476 29551 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
APD SOFIAreg 1 29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 11431 Feb-14 11506 Feb-14 not a KDP Apr-14 -18045 -18045 15874 Feb-14 15949 Feb-14 FY18 Q3 Y N -158 -61 - 0 - 0 139100 - 0
x ESD SWOT 2 647 Oct-20 757 Oct-20 Jun-14 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 May-16 579 -21 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 FY18 Q3 N N 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
ESD TEMPO 3 1708 May-17 2178 Dec-17 Apr-14 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 Apr-15 101 0 181242 Sep-17 197242 Nov-17 FY18 Q3 N N 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008 0 -94 - 0 - 0
APD TESS 2 350 Sep-17 400 Sep-17 May-14 3424 Dec-17 3784 Jun-18 Oct-14 -76 -216 3333 Apr-18 3333 Jun-18 FY18 Q3 N N -2 -5 303 910 510 178 -3 -12 403 - 0
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) Schedule change Ratio
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C
Mean 90 88 50 81 1773 057
02045454545 Median 82 49 10 60 16233 0374
Standard Deviation 118 164 77 97 13962 0647
Minimum -7 -10 -71 -31 147 - 0 SPP
Maximum 38 59 244 345 7433 242 EUCLIDreg
GSDO
ICESat-2reg
Paste data from above to this table for analysis ORION
-7 -10 607 817 1923 042 SLS
-3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0 TEMPO
-2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059
0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032
Total KDPs Within Cost Range of Prior KDP Total KDPs Within Schedule Range of Prior KDP -2 -5 303 910 510 178
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0
MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 14 31 45 31 MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 27 26 53 51 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008
ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 19 33 52 37 ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 21 32 53 40 0 0 (203) 403 167 242
5 2 810 307 500 061
KDP-A to KDP-B Cost KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule 33 5 - 0 100 800 013
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 11 8 103 103 2670 004
KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 4 10 14 29 KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 13 9 22 59 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025
KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 9 12 21 43 KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 12 10 22 55 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041
-2 10 2437 3147 1610 195
9 10 613 613 3450 018
KDP-B to KDP-C Cost KDP-B to KDP-C Schedule -2 11 813 603 1687 036
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 9 13 917 1930 2433 079
MA at or below KDP-B Low 10 21 31 32 MA at or below KDP-B Low 14 17 31 45 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
ABC at or below KDP-B High 10 21 31 32 ABC at or below KDP-B High 9 22 31 29 16 18 - 0 607 707 086
22 31 1217 1830 1027 178
38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
KDP-A to KDP-C Cost KDP-A to KDP-C Schedule 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046
MA at or below KDP-A Low 2 7 9 22 MA at or below KDP-A Low 5 12 17 29 added 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0
ABC at or below KDP-A High 5 11 16 31 ABC at or below KDP-A High 3 14 17 18 added -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100
added 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
added -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
added 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0
added 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117
KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) Replan (MA) Replan (ABC) KDP-C to Replan (MA) KDP-C to Replan (ABC) KDP-C (or Replan) to PresentFinal (MA) KDP-C (or Replan) to PresentFinal (ABC) added 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
added 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
Percentage of Project CostSchedule HighLow Estimates Within Prior KDP Range Estimates
B Estimate at or below A Estimate C Estimate at or below B Estimate C Estimate at or below A Estimate Total at or below Preceding KDP Estimate
Cost - High 43 32 31 37
Cost - Low 29 32 22 31
Schedule - High 55 29 18 40
Schedule - Low 59 45 29 51
Page 2: Cost and Schedule Insights - NASA

Todayrsquos Discussion

bull Lifecycle Cost (LCC) and Development Cost Metrics Against Baselines

Formulation KDP Range Estimates

Development Cost Metrics Controlling for Launch Services

bull

bull

2

LCC and Development Cost Metrics Against BaselineLCC Dev

3

LCC and Dev Cost Metrics Against Baseline

4

70 Joint Cost and Schedule ConfidenceAre we meeting the expected 70 success rate across the portfolio

bull NPR 71205Ebull ABC at 70 confidence

MA at 50 confidencebull

bull Aggregate NASA confidence at baselinebull ABC at 71 confidence

MA at 52 confidencebull

bull Actual performancebull 41 of projects met ABC commitments

30 of projects met MA commitmentsbull

bull Projects currently in Phase Dbull 20 meeting ABC commitments

0 meeting MA commitmentsbull

5

Formulation Cost and Schedule Ranges

bull

bullbull

bull

bullbull

Are we capturing the Agencyrsquos cost exposure in early estimates

In aggregate the high cost estimate is at or below the high estimate established at the preceding KDP

37 of the time for cost40 of the time for schedule

For projects that held a KDP-A the eventual KDP-C baseline cost and schedule (high estimates) are at or below the KDP-A estimate

31 of the time for cost18 of the time for schedule

6

Development Cost Metrics When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation

28Avg LV Proportion of Dev Cost Baseline

-8Avg Post-Baseline LV Cost Variation

7

Development Cost Performance When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost VariationHow would our development cost reporting metrics change

Lower LV costs can provide unexpected funds to cover growth in reporting

Lower LV costs sometimes have no effect on cost reporting

Higher LV costs can mask otherwise good cost performance

8

bull NASA cost performance has drastically improved since the early 2000rsquos

We are falling short of our portfolio goal of 70 projects hitting cost targets

Our cost and schedule ranges at KDP-A and KDP-B are optimistic and more often than do not capture the eventual high cost or schedule commitments at KDP-C baseline

Development cost reporting metrics can misrepresent how our projects are performing (both positively and negatively) if the LV contract award is well above or below the estimate included in the KDP-C baseline

bull

bull

bull

9

Back-up

10

1111

1212

Total KDPs Within Cost Range of Prior KDPYes No Total Percent At or Below

MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 14 31 45 31ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 19 33 52 37

Total KDPs Within Schedule Range of Prior KDPYes No Total Percent At or Below

MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 27 26 53 51ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 21 32 53 40

KDP-A to KDP-B CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 4 10 14 29KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 9 12 21 43

KDP-A to KDP-B ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 13 9 22 59KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 12 10 22 55

KDP-B to KDP-C CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-B Low 10 21 31 32ABC at or below KDP-B High 10 21 31 32

KDP-B to KDP-C ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-B Low 14 17 31 45ABC at or below KDP-B High 9 22 31 29

KDP-A to KDP-C CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-A Low 2 7 9 22ABC at or below KDP-A High 5 11 16 31

KDP-A to KDP-C ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-A Low 5 12 17 29ABC at or below KDP-A High 3 14 17 18

MAIN

KDP-B (LowMA)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO5686275102848528119263351059641208640999999999999949114046866738217762661581034311743818425184323598517108501896210691041474718310521606325899999999999981014964251080981085105140000000000011233104251658327653839458457218372294766471708KDP-C (MA)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO6275798152800000000000015104299999999999926335314596417912077464099999999999994911906405967389915229462668189167115519999999999999114443818425948892359261899999999999988385309999999999525710000000000002850860818962368227269999999999986382000000000000510026911474231856247953160616063258999999999999843771108108098116581105140000000000019959139321018321195900000000000183949734721887443662294761143099999999999970491809KDP-B (HighABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO568627517285593121328129110145412637440000000000000697846077686022485675116611853117496488352002628999999999999892823948009422032351990416138083105216063499111510288611283512101121400000000000114391152627586268587969577929165396295517572178KDP-C (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO62758389999999999999118129285594228129323110141901262531086037459789334319860210635252767518289180215519999999999999162312749648835966270000000000072628999999999999826289999999999998885029262794294162032368244356712108259999999999991011613239430000000000026840000000000000686691606160634994677114811283511658111214000000000001106421553411286261207900000000000196959843916591654359295511150599999999999975492178

COST ($M)

KDP-C to Replan (MA)595000000000000281704999999999999750000000000000014025429999999999993-178400000000000095115-85999999999999943826-25999999999996248E-200911-518999999999999773-1220000000000004531770000000000005117000000000000176266192299999999999951671-2800000000000011401112644044106389999999999965159999999999999425999999999999972-1246900000000005125710000000000002140107999999999999551896472000000000000171666999999999998263820000000000005922000000000000459114748445624775539999999999999103258999999999999811180000000000001939999999999999151167299999999999384830000000000109-33599999999999909-5550000000000011416020000000000005-3200000000000002831553639000000000000974113401372999999999999515260000000000002-5800000000000011429476-180455789999999999997710099999999999994-76000000000000227KDP-C to Replan (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPOTESS59500000000000028211499999999999918399999999999977392842000000000001592E-2-3084000000000000941809999999999991-8599999999999994344599999999999994-46999999999997044E-210860399999999999994316E-2978-45-281000000000000238420000000000004520329999999999995419999999999998866751153799999999999951802-108000000000000111623851847387182770000000000073628999999999999770-4297100000000000423299999999999983142-039999999999997726203338000000000000119256712921999999999999321011613781300000000000186840000000000000658600000000000023553999999999999910349911780000000000001329999999999999729948999999999996437460000000000036-88599999999999909-5720000000000004511440000000000009-32000000000000028235100000000000023453000000000000711081481372999999999999503989999999999997729551-18045-210000000000002270-21600000000000023

COST Change ($M)

B to C (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPOTESS01047535211267606203370517928286851448611111111110973E-2075077759107650046E-4-98804985102361215E-201486366383447687-7818181818181813E-2030674002751031632-37226838174140057E-4013440860215052999E-30-46012269938650305E-2-61086956521739177E-201085051546391753202363403859567541916901408450704179E-200227818101022070730-65060240963855487E-2071729957805907171E-20592556945781199880779814665592264319368421052631587E-20314499999999999890-4630495689655173E-288694328130947783E-2017749999999999999-42462845010613295E-400166502463054187263934495959166312E-2093093699515347267E-200048437693738375709067597185373168792E-20526615969581748940003366676193198057128745644599303111E-296699259374453242E-233198918775202764E-2-732231404958677E-2-5100766898519711E-279499652536483736E-2-27777777777777801E-203746613545816733204003014143287735301290322580645161315265600825167612E-20176206365503080030010075757575757570-061063923386687424-27818254073387508E-30-54000000000000055E-2

COST Change ()

Cost - HighB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate04285714285714285503225806451612903103125036538461538461536Schedule - HighB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate054545454545454541029032258064516131017647058823529413039622641509433965Cost - LowB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate02857142857142857032258064516129031022222222222222221031111111111111112Schedule - LowB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate059090909090909094045161290322580644029411764705882354050943396226415094

Data only (no charts)

plots

program table

A to B

A to B Cost

High Cost Estimate Change

KDP-A to KDP-B

Category 1 Change (high)01682251932581422Category 2 Change (high)60501935980863335E-2Category 3 Change (high)37110484780157868E-2Total Change (high)014626442296281486

Low Cost Estimate Change

KDP-A to KDP-B

Category 1 Change (low)010106870229007633Category 2 Change (low)19806591564406897Category 3 Change (low)0Total Change (low)21873131670301591

A to B Schedule

KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule Growth - Low Estimate

(in months)

MissionRestore-LSLSPACEWFIRSTOCO-3PSPLCRDEuclidGRACE-FOMars 2020SAGE-IIISWOTLADEEDARTNISARJASON-3MMSECOSTRESSSMAPXARMSOCOrion0-9-49-2-1-100000200912326273242

KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule Growth - High Estimate

(in months)

MissionRestore-LSLSPACEWFIRSTOCO-3PSPLCRDEuclidGRACE-FOMars 2020SAGE-IIISWOTLADEEDARTNISARJASON-3MMSECOSTRESSSMAPXARMSOCOrion-36-8-8-3-2-1-1000002569121726414451

image1png

image2png

image3png

image4png

Cost Variation Against Baselines

13

Methodology and Assumptions

The first step in conducting this analysis was to verify and validate the cost baseline information using source documentation KDP-C figures takes priority as the definitive baseline Where KDP-C decision memoranda was not available as in the case of many projects baselined prior to approximately 2009 figures were pulled from the first appearance as a development project in a Presidentrsquos Budget as the baseline against which to measure In a few cases notificationsreports to Congress (eg NSPD-49 reports) were used to identify a baseline figure MA figures were pulled solely from decision memoranda and thus our dataset with regard to MArsquos is smaller as it excludes many of the older projects that did not have standardized baseline documentation with MArsquos noted Variance to the baseline was then measured by using the most recent quarterly cost and schedule report Latest cost data is valid through the FY18 Q3 reporting period Slide 3 charts illustrate each project in the dataset with respective LCC and dev cost variances

The confidence level policy applied to each project was noted using source documentation as well as a cross-reference against when policy changes were implemented recognizing that a subset of projects received waivers to new policies during policy transition Certain exclusions were applied to ensure a dataset comparable across projects For example SOFIA had conducted a JCL on a replan but the decision memorandum made clear the baseline was not changing therefore the JCL confidence level could not fairly be applied to measure performance against the baseline Another example is GPM which was excluded as it was one of the very first projects baselined after JCL policy implementation and was not a ldquotruerdquo JCL with the decision memorandum noting that the intent was met while a JCL DPMC would be held many months later to evaluate progress There were a couple of additional exclusions applied

When a project is confirmed at KDP-C cost performance measurements were applied to that baseline If a project was then rebaselined a ldquonewrdquo project was added to the dataset using the rebaselined figures against which to measure as the Agency made the decision at that point to press ahead with the project and Congress provided reauthorization The ldquooriginalrdquo project was ldquofrozenrdquo in terms of development phase to fairly capture the contemporary phase performance (eg the ldquooriginalrdquo OCO-2 cost growth will always be categorized within the ldquoprojects in developmentrdquo performance category while the rebaselined OCO-2 cost performance falls into the ldquoprojects launchedrdquo category) The latest cost figures however were used to measure cost performance across both original baselines and rebaselines in order to fairly capture the accuracy of original estimates against final outcomes

This insight while placing an emphasis on the JCL while measuring performance does not intend to convey a discovered causal relationship between JCL and cost performance There have been many other related programmatic and technical advancements over the past 10 to 20 years that have influenced cost and schedule performance in the overall positive direction Other insights look into other influencers of costschedule performance

13

Dev Cost Metrics Controlling for LV Cost Variation

14

Methodology and Assumptions

SID pulled a number of data elements from a total of 22 SMD projects to conduct this analysis Data elements from a projectrsquos baseline include total development cost and the launch services cost estimate and have been sourced from KDP documentation quarterly reports and Cost Analysis Data Requirements (CADREs) These data were compared to currentactual total development and launch services costs from the most recent KDPquarterly reports Other data elements include Division Lead Center type of launch vehicle LCC category and current phase

SID calculated the overall development cost deltas from the baseline cost and verified the percentage growth with external reporting data where applicable SID then calculated the percent change in launch services development cost from baseline to currentactual The development cost percent change was calculated after removing launch services from the inputs

For further insight these same calculations were conducted by Division Lead Center type of launch vehicle and LCC category Division Lead Center and LCC category were then further broken down by looking only at projects currently in development

The 22 projects used in this analysis include Mars 2020 ICESat-2 ICON InSight SOC PSP SWOT TESS Juno Landsat-8 MMS OSIRIS-REx SMAP MAVEN GRAIL NuSTAR RBSP IRIS LADEE OCO-2 CYGNSS and Landsat 9 Representation includes seven planetary science seven earth science six heliophysics and two astrophysics missions twelve GSFC-led projects and eight JPL-led projects (LaRC and ARC representing the other two) ten Atlas V one Delta IV-H two Falcon 9 four Delta II four Pegasus and one Minotaur V rockets and six category 1 thirteen category 2 and three category 3 projects Seven projects assessed are currently in development

Other projects considered were excluded if launch was or is to be on a ride-share and launch services costs were negligible (eg RBI) Projects launching on internationally-contributed rockets were also excluded (eg GPM JWST) Other exclusions were based on data limitations at the time of analysis (eg no launch services costs available from baseline)

Did not add GPM international launchSOFIA no launchJWST international launch

RBI rideshareSentinel-6 international launch

Dawn no launch vehicle numbers availableSNPP No baseline LV estimate available

NISAR international launchLCRD rideshare

GRACE-FO rideshare

14

Sheet1

LV Percent ChangeJunoRBSPGRAILMMSNuSTARLandsat-8LADEEMAVENIRISSMAPSOCOSIRIS-RExCYGNSSInSightPSPICESat-2ICONTESSSWOTMars 2020Landsat 9-45693277310924457E-2-89820359281436273E-3-13089005235602092E-2-79299691040164669E-2-72625698324022187E-2-36392405063291208E-2036117381489841988-01759358288770053754455445544554525E-2-894617134192571E-2-030924586177798574-01931623931623931101912045889101338753833646028768001E-2-12694541231126538E-2-39142073098874007E-336848699240916792E-2-023399649430324276-017936024371667944-030075113341448961-12953367875648773E-3

Sheet2

Formulation KDPs

15

Methodology and Assumptions

Comparative analysis was conducted where possible (ie when highlow costschedule figures were available in KDP-ABC decision memoranda This analysis does not attempt to explain why the majority of costschedule estimates at KDPrsquos exceed prior estimates

Cost and schedule ranges were extracted from KDP-A and KDP-B decision memoranda Agency Baseline Commitments and Management Agreements were extracted from KDP-C decision memoranda Lifecycle cost was used in all cases (as opposed to development cost only) A project did not need to have all KDP-A through C figures to be included in the analysis (eg a project that did not have a KDP-A range was still included in the KDP-B to KDP-C statistics)

This analysis includes data from KDP-A KDP-B and KDP-C milestones At KDP-A and KDP-B a high and low estimate is established for both cost and schedule At KDP-C a Management Agreement and an Agency Baseline Commitment is established for both cost and schedule For ease of conveyance this analysis equates the Management Agreement as the low estimate for KDP-C and equates the Agency Baselines Commitment as the high estimate for KDP-C

15

  • PRESENTATION COVER - Cost and Schedule Insights
  • Todayrsquos Discussion
  • LCC and Development Cost Metrics Against Baseline
  • LCC and Dev Cost Metrics Against Baseline
  • 70 Joint Cost and Schedule Confidence Are we meeting the expected 70 success rate across the portfolio
  • Formulation Cost and Schedule Ranges Are we capturing the Agencyrsquos cost exposure in early estimates
  • Development Cost Metrics When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation
  • Development Cost Performance When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation How would our development cost reporting metrics change
  • NASA cost performance hashellip
  • Back-up
  • Bar Graph
  • Tables
  • Cost Variation Against Baselines Methodology and Assumptions
  • Dev Cost Metrics Controlling for LV Cost Variation Methodology and Assumptions
  • Formulation KDPs Methodology and Assumptions
Column1 KDP-C Date Lead Center Division Launch Vehicle LCC Category Phase Development Baseline Development CurrentActuals LV Estimate at Baseline LV CurrentActuals Development Baseline less LV Estimates Development CurrentActuals less LV Actuals Development Percent Change LV Percent Change Development Percent Change less LV Notes
Juno Aug-08 JPL Planetary Atlas V 1 Ops $ 7423 $ 7089 $ 1904 $ 1817 $ 5519 $ 5272 -45 -46 -45
RBSP Dec-08 GSFC Helio Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5338 $ 5040 $ 1336 $ 1324 $ 4002 $ 3716 -56 -09 -71
GRAIL Jan-09 JPL Planetary Delta II 2 Ops $ 4270 $ 3983 $ 1528 $ 1508 $ 2742 $ 2475 -67 -13 -97
MMS Jun-09 GSFC Helio Atlas V 1 Ops $ 8573 $ 8753 $ 1942 $ 1788 $ 6631 $ 6965 21 -79 50
NuSTAR Sep-09 JPL Astro Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1099 $ 1162 $ 358 $ 332 $ 741 $ 830 57 -73 120
Landsat-8 Dec-09 GSFC Earth Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5830 $ 5028 $ 1264 $ 1218 $ 4566 $ 3810 -138 -36 -166
LADEE Aug-10 ARC Planetary Minotaur V 2 Ops $ 1682 $ 1882 $ 443 $ 603 $ 1239 $ 1279 119 361 32
OCO-2 Sep-10 JPL Earth Delta II 2 Ops $ 2490 $ 3200 $ 676 $ 1368 $ 1814 $ 1832 285 1024 10 against original baseline rebaseline primary LV-driven aside from some RWA issues
MAVEN Oct-10 GSFC Planetary Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5672 $ 4720 $ 1870 $ 1541 $ 3802 $ 3179 -168 -176 -164
IRIS Nov-10 GSFC Helio Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1407 $ 1430 $ 404 $ 426 $ 1003 $ 1004 16 54 01
SMAP May-12 JPL Earth Delta II 2 Ops $ 4857 $ 4543 $ 1319 $ 1201 $ 3538 $ 3342 -65 -89 -55
SOC Mar-13 GSFC Helio Atlas V 2 Dev $ 3769 $ 3100 $ 2500 $ 1727 $ 1269 $ 1373 -178 -309 82
OSIRIS-REx May-13 GSFC Planetary Atlas V 1 Ops $ 7786 $ 6156 $ 2340 $ 1888 $ 5446 $ 4268 -209 -193 -216
CYGNSS Feb-14 LaRC Earth Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1511 $ 1287 $ 523 $ 623 $ 988 $ 664 -148 191 -328
InSight Mar-14 JPL Planetary Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5418 $ 6483 $ 1599 $ 1685 $ 3819 $ 4798 197 54 256
PSP Mar-14 GSFC Helio Delta IV-H 1 Dev $ 10557 $ 10503 $ 4305 $ 4250 $ 6252 $ 6253 -05 -13 00
ICESat-2 May-14 GSFC Earth Delta II 1 Dev $ 7637 $ 7441 $ 1188 $ 1183 $ 6449 $ 6258 -26 -04 -30
ICON Oct-14 GSFC Helio Pegasus 2 Dev $ 1960 $ 1982 $ 543 $ 563 $ 1417 $ 1419 11 37 01
TESS Oct-14 GSFC Astro Falcon 9 2 Ops $ 3232 $ 2799 $ 1141 $ 874 $ 2091 $ 1925 -134 -234 -79
SWOT May-16 JPL Earth Falcon 9 2 Dev $ 5715 $ 5715 $ 1313 $ 1078 $ 4402 $ 4638 00 -179 53
Mars 2020 Jun-16 JPL Planetary Atlas V 1 Dev $ 16769 $ 17253 $ 3425 $ 2395 $ 13344 $ 14858 29 -301 113
Landsat 9 Dec-17 GSFC Earth Atlas V 2 Dev $ 6342 $ 6342 $ 1544 $ 1542 $ 4798 $ 4800 00 -01 00
Projects in Development $ 52749 $ 52336 $ 14819 $ 12738 $ 37930 $ 39598 -08 -140 44
Projects in Operations $ 66588 $ 63555 $ 18647 $ 18196 $ 47941 $ 45359 -46 -24 -54
Total $ 119337 $ 115891 $ 33466 $ 30935 $ 85871 $ 84956 -29 -76 -11
Development Baseline Development CurrentActuals LV Estimate at Baseline LV CurrentActuals Development Baseline less LV Estimates Development CurrentActuals less LV Actuals Development Percent Change LV Percent Change Development Percent Change less LV
GSFC Project Total $ 68103 $ 63294 $ 20377 $ 18325 $ 47726 $ 44969 -71 -101 -58
JPL Projects Total $ 48041 $ 49428 $ 12122 $ 11384 $ 35919 $ 38044 29 -61 59
Did not add GPM international launch GSFC Projects in Ops $ 37838 $ 33926 $ 10297 $ 9059 $ 27541 $ 24867 -103 -120 -97
SOFIA no launch JPL Projects in Ops $ 25557 $ 26460 $ 7384 $ 7911 $ 18173 $ 18549 35 71 21
JWST international launch GSFC Projects in Dev $ 30265 $ 29368 $ 10080 $ 9266 $ 20185 $ 20102 -30 -81 -04
RBI rideshare JPL Projects in Dev $ 22484 $ 22968 $ 4738 $ 3473 $ 17746 $ 19495 22 -267 99
Sentinel-6 international launch
Dawn no launch vehicle numbers available Astro $ 4331 $ 3961 $ 1499 $ 1206 $ 2832 $ 2755 -85 -195 -27
SNPP No baseline LV estimate available Planetary $ 49020 $ 47566 $ 13109 $ 11437 $ 35911 $ 36129 -30 -128 06
NISAR international launch Helio $ 31604 $ 30808 $ 11030 $ 10078 $ 20574 $ 20730 -25 -86 08
LCRD rideshare Earth $ 34382 $ 33556 $ 7827 $ 8213 $ 26555 $ 25343 -24 49 -46
GRACE-FO rideshare
Astro - Dev Only $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0
Planetary - Dev Only $ 16769 $ 17253 $ 3425 $ 2395 $ 13344 $ 14858 29 -301 113
Helio - Dev Only $ 16286 $ 15585 $ 7348 $ 6540 $ 8938 $ 9045 -43 -110 12
Earth - Dev Only $ 19694 $ 19498 $ 4045 $ 3803 $ 15649 $ 15695 -10 -60 03
Atlas V $ 72920 $ 69964 $ 19725 $ 16926 $ 53195 $ 53038 -41 -142 -03
Delta IV-H $ 10557 $ 10503 $ 4305 $ 4250 $ 6252 $ 6253 -05 -13 00
Falcon 9 $ 8947 $ 8514 $ 2454 $ 1952 $ 6493 $ 6562 -48 -205 11
Delta II $ 19254 $ 19167 $ 4711 $ 5260 $ 14543 $ 13907 -05 117 -44 this is skewed by OCO-2 which switched from the baseline Taurus XL to the Delta-II at the rebaseline
Pegasus $ 5977 $ 5861 $ 1828 $ 1944 $ 4149 $ 3917 -19 63 -56
Minotaur V $ 1682 $ 1882 $ 443 $ 603 $ 1239 $ 1279 119 361 32
Category 1 $ 58745 $ 57195 $ 15104 $ 13322 $ 43641 $ 43873 -26 -118 05
Category 2 $ 56575 $ 54817 $ 17076 $ 16232 $ 39499 $ 38585 -31 -49 -23
Category 3 $ 4017 $ 3879 $ 1285 $ 1381 $ 2732 $ 2498 -34 75 -86
Category 1 - Dev Only $ 34963 $ 35197 $ 8918 $ 7829 $ 26045 $ 27368 07 -122 51
Category 2 - Dev Only $ 17786 $ 17139 $ 5900 $ 4909 $ 11886 $ 12230 -36 -168 29
Category 3 - Dev Only $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0
LV of Total Dev at Baseline 280
LV of Total Dev at FY18 Q3 267
Launch Vehicle Percent Cost Variation from Baseline Estimate in Chronological Order
Mission LCC Category KDP-A (low) KDP-A (high) KDP-B (low) KDP-B (high) Low Delta (months) High Delta (months) KDP-C MA MA Variance from A KDP-C ABC ABC Variance from A
Restore-L 2 Jun-20 Dec-23 Jun-20 Dec-20 0 -36
SLS 1 Dec-17 Dec-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 -9 -8 Dec-17 0 Nov-18 11
PACE 2 Dec-22 Dec-23 Aug-22 Apr-23 -4 -8
WFIRST 1 Dec-24 Dec-26 Sep-25 Sep-26 9 -3
OCO-3 3 Sep-16 Dec-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 -2 -2 Mar-18 18 May-18 17
PSP 1 Aug-18 Aug-18 Jul-18 Jul-18 -1 -1 Aug-18 0 Aug-18 0
LCRD 2 Mar-17 Mar-17 Feb-17 Feb-17 -1 -1 Jun-19 27 Nov-19 32
Euclid 3 Dec-14 Dec-14 Dec-14 Dec-14 0 0 May-15 5 May-16 17
GRACE-FO 2 Aug-17 Aug-17 Aug-17 Aug-17 0 0 Aug-17 0 Feb-18 6
Mars 2020 1 Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20 0 0 Jul-20 0 Jul-20 0
SAGE-III 3 Aug-14 Aug-14 Aug-14 Aug-14 0 0 Aug-14 0 Aug-14 0
SWOT 2 Oct-20 Oct-20 Oct-20 Oct-20 0 0 Apr-21 6 Apr-22 18
LADEE 3 Mar-12 Mar-12 May-12 May-12 2 2 May-13 14 Nov-13 20
DART 2 Dec-20 Dec-20 Dec-20 May-21 0 5 KDP-BC was combined due to advanced design maturity so B highlow here is equal to ABCMA
NISAR 2 Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-20 Jun-22 0 6 Dec-21 12 Sep-22 9
JASON-3 3 Jul-13 Jul-13 Apr-14 Apr-14 9 9 Mar-15 20 Mar-15 20
MMS 1 Oct-13 Oct-13 Oct-14 Oct-14 12 12 Aug-14 10 Mar-15 17
ECOSTRESS 3 May-17 Mar-18 Aug-17 Aug-19 3 17 Aug-17 3 Aug-19 17
SMAP 2 Mar-13 Mar-13 May-15 May-15 26 26 Oct-14 19 Mar-15 24
XARM 3 Oct-19 Oct-19 Jan-22 Mar-23 27 41
SOC 2 Apr-15 Apr-15 Dec-17 Dec-18 32 44 Jan-17 21 Oct-18 42
Orion 1 Dec-17 Dec-17 Jun-21 Mar-22 42 51 Aug-21 44 Apr-23 64
MAIA 3 NA NA Dec-19 Mar-21 NA NA
ICON 3 NA NA Feb-17 Jun-17 NA NA
GOLD 3 NA NA Dec-17 Dec-17 NA NA
GeoCarb 3 NA NA Jun-22 Jun-23 NA NA
IXPE 3 NA NA Dec-20 Dec-20 NA NA
Landsat 9 2 NA NA Dec-20 Nov-21 NA NA
Lucy 2 NA NA Oct-21 Nov-21 NA NA
TROPICS 3 NA NA Sep-19 Sep-20 NA NA
JUICE 3 NA NA Sep-19 Sep-19 NA NA
Psyche 2 NA NA Aug-22 Aug-22 NA NA
Clipper 1 NA NA Jun-22 Jul-23 NA NA removed Clipper from schedule calculations due to no KDP-A schedule estimate
CLARREO-PF 3 Jan-20 Jan-22
COST Growth () Schedule Growth (months)
of Pp (LowMA) (HighABC) (LowMA) (HighABC)
Category I 7 62 165 88 85
Category II 12 38 109 59 40
Category III 15 - -07 56 96
COST Growth () Schedule Growth (months)
(LowMA) (HighABC) (LowMA) (HighABC)
Average 80 118 66 70
Median 15 - 00 00
Standard Deviation 145 233 129 189
Minimum -12 -65 -9 -36
Maximum 417 745 42 51
Mission LCC Category KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta2 Change (low) Notes KDP-C MA KDP-C ABC MA Variance From A ABC Variance From A
Clipper 1 $ 4000 $ 4000 $ - 0 00 $ 3000 $ 3100 $ 100 33
DART 2 $ 270 $ 291 $ 21 78 $ 175 $ 248 $ 73 417
Euclid 3 $ 110 $ 110 $ - 0 00 $ 100 $ 100 $ - 0 00 Combined KDP-AB so no possible change 964 1014 -4 -8
GRACE-FO 2 $ 470 $ 460 $ (10) -21 $ 409 $ 404 $ (5) -12 4059 4319 -1 -8
JASON-3 3 $ 159 $ 166 $ 7 44 $ - 0 $ 158 1552 1552 -2
LADEE 3 $ 214 $ 200 $ (14) -65 $ - 0 $ 184 2359 2629 23
LCRD 2 $ 239 $ 239 $ 0 02 $ 239 $ 239 $ 0 02 2571 2627 8 10
Mars 2020 1 $ 2350 $ 2351 $ 1 00 $ 2140 $ 2186 $ 46 21 22727 24435 6 4
MMS 1 $ 777 $ 990 $ 213 275 $ 777 $ 928 $ 151 195 10026 10826 29 39
NISAR 2 $ 808 $ 808 $ - 0 00 $ 718 $ 718 $ - 0 00 7953 8669 11 7
OCO-3 3 $ 120 $ 111 $ (9) -71 $ 100 $ 101 $ 1 13 1108 1148 11 -4
Orion 1 $ 6391 $ 10288 $ 3897 610 $ - 0 $ 8534 Moved LRD from EM-1 to EM-2 extending LCC timeframe 108098 112835 77
PACE 2 $ 850 $ 850 $ - 0 00 $ 805 $ 805 $ - 0 00
PSP 1 $ 1300 $ 1439 $ 139 107 $ 1000 $ 1233 $ 233 233 13932 15534 39 19
Restore-L 2 $ 787 $ 753 $ (34) -43 $ 500 $ 628 $ 128 256
SAGE-III 3 $ 112 $ 115 $ 3 27 $ - 0 $ 104 101 112 0
SLS 1 $ 8855 $ 8587 $ (268) -30 $ - 0 $ 7653 8394 9695 9
SMAP 2 $ 514 $ 649 $ 135 263 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 7218 9165 78
SOC 2 $ 243 $ 424 $ 181 745 $ - 0 $ 371 3662 4359 79
SWOT 2 $ 752 $ 757 $ 5 07 $ 642 $ 647 $ 5 08 7049 7549 10 0
XARM 3 $ 172 $ 217 $ 45 264 $ 161 $ 179 $ 18 110
Count KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta Change (low) Notes
Category 1 6 $ 23673 $ 27655 $ 3982 168 $ 3275 $ 3606 $ 331 101
Category 2 9 $ 4933 $ 5231 $ 298 61 $ 4474 $ 13335 $ 8861 1981
Category 3 6 $ 887 $ 920 $ 33 37 $ - 0 $ 7757 $ 7757 ERRORDIV0
Total 21 $ 29493 $ 33807 $ 4314 146 $ 7749 $ 24698 $ 16949 2187
Mission LCC Category KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta2 Change (low) Notes
CLARREO-PF 3 $ 75 $ (75) -1000 $ 64
ICON 3 $ 249 $ 218
ECOSTRESS 3 $ 56 $ 49
GeoCarb 3 $ 181 $ 171
GOLD 3 $ 74 $ 64
IXPE 3 $ 205 $ 189
JUICE 3 $ 119 $ 103
Landsat 9 2 $ 928 $ 851 KDP-BC was combined due to advanced design maturity so B highlow here is equal to ABCMA
Lucy 2 $ 984 $ 914
Psyche 2 $ 957 $ 907
TROPICS 3 $ 30 $ 30
MAIA 3 $ 178 $ 150
Cost Estimate Deltas - KDP-A to KDP-B COST Growth ()
Mission Estimate KDP-A KDP-B Notes of Pp Low (MA) High (ABC)
SOC High $ 243 745 $ 424 Category I 4 127 172
Low $ - 0 $ 371 Category II 5 -01 199
Orion High $ 6391 610 $ 10288 Moved LRD from EM-1 to EM-2 extending LCC timeframe Category III 4 00 01
Low $ - 0 $ 8534
SMAP High $ 514 263 $ 649
Low $ - 0 $ - 0
SPP High $ 1300 107 $ 1439
Low $ 1000 233 $ 1233
JASON-3 High $ 159 44 $ 166
Low $ - 0 $ 158
SAGE-III High $ 112 27 $ 115
Low $ - 0 $ 104
SWOT High $ 752 07 $ 757
Low $ 642 08 $ 647
Mars 2020 High $ 2350 00 $ 2351
Low $ 2140 21 $ 2186
NISAR High $ 808 00 $ 808
Low $ 718 00 $ 718
Euclid High $ 110 00 $ 110 Combined KDP-AB so no change possible
Low $ 100 00 $ 100
GRACE Follow On High $ 470 -21 $ 460
Low $ 409 -12 $ 404
SLS High $ 8855 -30 $ 8587
Low $ - 0 $ 7653
LADEE High $ 214 -65 $ 200
Low $ - 0 $ 184
ProgramProject Name Category KDP A to B analysis (13 missions)
ASTRO-H 3 ASTRO-Hreg 3 bull13 Missions KDP-B Data Unavailable
CYGNSS 3 CYGNSS 3 bull7 Missions KDP-Crsquos have not yet occurred
DSCOVR 3 DSCOVR 3
C ECOSTRESS 3 ECOSTRESS 3
EUCLID 3 EUCLIDreg 3 Euclid
C GEDI 3 GEDI 3
GOES-R 1 GOES-R 1
GOLD 3 GOLD 3
GPM 2 GPM 2
GRACE-FO 2 GRACE-FO 2 GRACE Follow On
GSDO 1 GSDO 1
ICESat-2 1 ICESat-2reg 1
ICON 2 ICON 2
InSight 2 InSight 2
IRIS 3 IRIS 3
Jason-3 3 Jason-3 3 JASON-3
JPSS-1 1 JPSS-1 1
JWST 1 JWSTreg 1
LADEE 2 LADEEreg 2 LADEE
C LCRD 3 LCRD 3
LDCM 2 LDCMreg 2
LDSD 3 LDSD 3
C Mars 2020 1 Mars 2020 1 Mars 2020
MAVEN 2 MAVEN 2
MMS 1 MMS 1
MOMA 3 MOMA 3
MSL 1 MSL 1
NICER 3 NICER 3
C NISAR 2 NISAR 2 NISAR
NuSTAR 3 NuSTARreg 3
OCO-2 2 OCO-2 2
C OCO-3 3 OCO-3 3
ORION 1 ORION 1 Orion
OSIRIS Rex 1 OSIRIS Rexreg 1
SAGE III 3 SAGE III 3 SAGE-III
SGSS 1 SGSSreg 1
SLS 1 SLS 1 SLS
SMAP 2 SMAPreg 2 SMAP
SOC 2 SOC 2 SOC
SOFIA 1 SOFIA 1
PSP 1 PSP 1 PSP
C SWOT 2 SWOT 2 SWOT
TEMPO 3 TEMPO 3
TESS 2 TESS 2
Clipper
DART
PACE
Restore-L
XARM
Statistics COST Growth ($M) Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Average 9 9 43 61 136 070
Median 5 6 20 45 112 034
Standard Deviation 14 16 73 83 93 081
Variance 2 3 535 685 871 066
Minimum -9 -8 (71) (31) 15 - 0
Maximum 38 53 244 315 345 242
no JWST
Statistics
COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 18 17 118 131 1989 065
Median 20 17 101 132 19167 0582
Standard Deviation 16 19 105 117 11557 0830
Sample Variance 3 4 1101 1377 133562 0688
Minimum -6 -5 - 0 - 0 397 - 0
Maximum 46 48 284 274 4527 310
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 20 21 156 159 2031 075
Median 21 20 132 147 20783 0589
Standard Deviation 17 25 174 155 11214 0881
Sample Variance 3 6 3035 2394 125751 0776
Minimum -6 -5 00 00 40 - 0
Maximum 48 78 649 528 453 31
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 4 3 47 136 253 054
Median 9 9 61 132 24333 042
Standard Deviation 10 12 52 56 6657 022
Sample Variance 1 1 273 311 44310 005
Minimum -7 -11 (10) 82 1923 041
Maximum 11 11 92 193 3243 079
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
of Pp B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC)
Category I 6 4 4 22 78
Category II 9 8 13 71 83
Category III 8 6 11 28 52
Timeline Total Programs 46
Begin End Cost data Note Replans have KDP B = previous KDB C for comaprison planned Total Replans 14
2010 Present Total LCC Percent Replans 30
KDP-B KDP-C PresentFinal Breach Totals Statistics (B to C) or (C to Replan) Statictics - PresentFinal
KDP-B (LowMA) KDP-B (HighABC) KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) (MA) (ABC) 41416 14 9 9 8 COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
DIR ProgramProject Nameregdenotes Replan Category Cost LRD Cost LRD Signature Date Cost LRD Cost LRD Notes Signature Date Delta B to C (MA) Delta B to C (ABC) Cost LRD Cost LRD Source Replan Breach (YN) Schedule Breach Cost Breach B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC) C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC)
ASTRO-H 3 568 Aug-13 568 Aug-13 May-10 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 595 595 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 9 10 613 613 3450 018 21 34 2127 2530
ASTRO-Hreg 3 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 798 Nov-15 839 Mar-16 ABC +532 SEO option in Nov-13 1705 2115 758 Feb-16 759 Mar-16 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 21 34 2127 2530 817 310 -5 -10 307 - 0
CYGNSS 3 1028 Oct-16 1728 Apr-17 Jul-13 1528 Oct-16 1812 May-17 Feb-14 50 84 1595 Oct-16 1742 May-17 FY16Q2 N N 33 5 - 0 100 800 013 4 -4 - 0 - 0
JASD DSCOVR 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
928 Jan-15 Aug-13 0 928 928 Jan-15 94 Jan-15 KDP-E Jan-15 N N 0 0 0 1 - 0
ECOSTRESS 3 485 Aug-17 559 Aug-19 Apr-15 51043 Aug-17 55942 Aug-19 Dec-15 2543 0042 N N 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0 0 0
EUCLID 3 105 Dec-14 110 Dec-14 Jan-13 964 May-15 1014 May-16 ABC +44M for Science Center Sep-13 -86 -86 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -9 -8 503 1723 810 213 -1 -5 717 1117
EUCLIDreg 3 964 May-15 1454 May-16 Sep-13 179 Mar-17 190 Jun-18 Feb-16 826 446 179 Dec-21 190 Dec-22 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 46 31 2233 2537 2943 086 0 00 5787 5480
GEDI 3 1208 May-18 1263 May-18 Aug-15 120774 Jun-18 126253 Mar-19 Jun-16 -0026 -0047 N N -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100 -7 -10 607 817
JASD GOES-R 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
108603 Oct-15 Apr-12 0 108603 108295 Oct-16 kDP-D Sep-14 N N 0 0 32 24 1013 1320
GOLD 3 641 Dec-17 744 Dec-17 Feb-15 641 Oct-17 745 Apr-18 Mar-15 0 01 N N 0 0 (203) 403 167 242 5 2 810 307
GPM 2 Not Available 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 911 978 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 -2 -8 717 717
GPMreg 2 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 906 Feb-14 933 Jun-14 Oct-11 -5 -45 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16Q2 Y Y Y -1 -5 717 1117 2240 050 -1 -3 - 0 (400)
GRACE-FO 2 404 Aug-17 460 Aug-17 Aug-12 4059 Aug-17 4319 Feb-18 Feb-14 19 -281 4079 Aug-17 4318 Feb-18 FY16Q2 N N 0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032 0 -00 - 0 - 0
ESD GSDO 1 28119 Dec-17 31213 Mar-18 Feb-13 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 -1784 -3084 26336 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 FY16Q2 N N -7 -10 607 817 1923 042 0 00 - 0 - 0
ICESat-2 2 686 Apr-16 776 Nov-16 Aug-11 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 -122 842 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -2 11 813 603 1687 036 10 0 203 - 0
ICESat-2reg 1 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 9915 Oct-17 10635 Jun-18 May-14 3177 2033 9916 Oct-17 10636 Jun-18 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 32 24 1013 1320 1660 080 0 00 - 0 - 0
ICON 2 2177 Oct-16 2485 Jul-17 Jun-14 2294 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 Oct-14 117 42 232 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 FY16Q2 N N 5 2 810 307 500 061 1 00 - 0 - 0
Planetary InSight 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 6266 6751 6536 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 FY16Q2 N N 0 0 4 00 - 0 - 0
IRIS 3 Not Available 1671 Dec-12 1802 Jun-13 Nov-10 1671 1802 1873 Jun-13 1873 Jun-13 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 11 4 607 - 0
Jason-3 3 158 Apr-14 166 Apr-14 Jul-11 1552 Mar-15 1552 Mar-15 Jan-13 -28 -108 1579 Jul-15 1579 Jan-16 KDP-E draft N N -2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059 2 2 407 1020
JASD JPSS-1 1 Not Available 1623 Mar-17 Aug-13 0 1623 16235 Mar-17 KDP-D Apr-15 N N 0 0 36 48 2533 2637
JUICE 3 1034 Sep-19 1185 Sep-19 Apr-16 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 Apr-17 11 85 N N 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
JWST JWST 1 3117 Aug-11 3117 Aug-11 Jul-03 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 1264 1847 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046 0 0
JWSTreg 1 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 4044 3871 85104 Oct-18 88254 Oct-18 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 48 78 6493 5277 2577 205 1 -01 - 0 - 0
LADEE 2 1843 May-12 200 May-12 Dec-09 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 516 629 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 22 31 1217 1830 1027 178 26 34 1717 2433
LADEEreg 2 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 2619 Jul-13 2629 Nov-13 May-12 26 0 2738 Sep-13 2738 Sep-13 FY15Q1 Y N 10 0 203 - 0 1917 - 0 4 4 207 (203)
Landsat 9 2 851 Dec-20 928 Nov-21 Aug-16 838531 Dec-20 885029 Nov-21 Dec-17 -12469 -42971 N N -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
LCRD 2 2394 Feb-17 May-13 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 Apr-17 2571 233 N N 0 9 3343 4770 070 -6 -5 - 0 - 0
LDCM 2 710 Dec-12 800 Dec-12 Sep-09 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 140 142 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 16 18 - 0 607 707 086 -3 -3 - 0 - 0
LDCMreg 2 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 8608 Dec-12 9416 Jun-13 Dec-10 108 -04 8501 Feb-13 8568 Feb-13 FY15Q4 Y N 1 -0 - 0 - 0 867 - 0 -1 -9 207 (400)
STMD LDSD 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project
1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 1896 203 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0 9 13 917 1930
STMD LDSDreg 3 1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 2368 Dec-16 2368 Dec-16 Mar-15 472 338 249 Dec-16 249 Dec-16 FY15Q4 Y Y Y Y 20 17 1627 1627 2733 060 5 5 - 0 - 0
Mars 2020 1 2106 Jul-20 2351 Jul-20 May-15 22727 Jul-20 24435 Jul-20 STMDHEOMD added Jun-16 1667 925 N N 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0 -2 10 2437 3147
MAVEN 2 Not Available 6382 Nov-13 6712 Nov-13 Oct-10 6382 6712 598 Nov-13 600 Nov-13 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 -7 -11 - 0 - 0
MMS 1 9104 Oct-14 9904 Oct-14 Nov-07 10026 Aug-14 10826 Mar-15 Jun-09 922 922 1121 Sep-15 1121 Sep-15 FY16Q2 N N 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025 11 4 1320 613
MOMA 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)MOMA-MS did not have a traditional path of formulation NASArsquos participation on the MOMAinstrument began as a result of a proposal to the Mars Scout 2006 and Mission of OpportunityAnnouncement of Opportunity that proposal was selected for technology development In 2010NASA determined that the original team would not be able to produce a flight instrument onschedule and within acceptable risk NASA decided to bring the instrument technology andflight system development in-house to increase the probability of success The MOMA-MStechnology development effort was assigned to the Goddard Space Flight Center in Fall 2010The Project is entering the typical Life Cycle Review (LCR) process after a tailored PreliminaryDesign Review (PDR) and Key Decision Point (KDP)-C Until the time of KDP-C no formalAgency-level gate reviews were held (lack of KDP-A and KDP-B)
91 Oct-15 101 Oct-15 Apr-14 91 101 904 Jul-18 1004 Jul-18 FY16Q2 N N 0 0 -1 -1 3347 3347
MSL 1 Not Available 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 1474 1613 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
MSLreg 1 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 23185 Oct-11 23943 Nov-11 Apr-10 8445 7813 25176 Nov-11 25304 Nov-11 FY15Q1 Y Y Y Y 36 48 2533 2637 4527 058 8 6 103 - 0
NICER 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- the mission was selected from an AO and the down select places the project in phase B This was originally below $75 M threshold and no KDP DM were generated to document the cost and schedule

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
624 Aug-16 684 Feb-17 Feb-14 624 684 684 Feb-17 67 Feb-17 KDP-D Jan-16 N N 0 0 9 -2 613 - 0
NISAR 2 7183 Dec-20 8083 Dec-20 Feb-15 7953 Dec-21 8669 Sep-22 Aug-16 77 586 N N 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117
NuSTAR 3 1052 Oct-11 1052 Oct-11 Feb-08 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 554 554 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
NuSTARreg 3 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 1606 Nov-11 1606 Feb-12 Aug-10 0 0 166 Jun-12 166 Jun-12 FY14Q4 Y N 0 0 307 103 1167 009 3 3 710 403
OCO-2 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild
3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 3259 3499 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
OCO-2reg 2 3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 4377 Jul-14 4677 Feb-15 Jan-13 1118 1178 4276 Jul-14 4276 Jul-14 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 26 34 1717 2433 2767 088 -2 -9 - 0 (717)
OCO-3 3 1014 Jul-16 1115 Oct-16 Aug-13 1108 Mar-18 1148 May-18 May-16 94 33 N N 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
ESD ORION 1 96425 Sep-21 102886 Mar-22 Jan-13 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 11673 9949 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 FY16Q2 N N 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041 0 00 - 0 - 0
OSIRIS Rex 1 1085 Oct-16 1210 Oct-16 Apr-13 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 -336 -886 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0
OSIRIS Rexreg 1 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 9959 Oct-16 10642 Oct-16 Mar-14 -555 -572 10014 Oct-16 10572 Oct-16 FY16Q2 Y N -6 -5 - 0 - 0 1053 - 0 1 -1 - 0 - 0
PSP 1 1233 Jul-18 1439 Jul-18 Jan-12 13932 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 Mar-14 1602 1144 13931 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 FY16Q2 N N 11 8 103 103 2670 004 -0 00 - 0 - 0
SAGE III 3 1042 Aug-14 1152 Aug-14 Feb-12 101 Aug-14 112 Aug-14 Jul-12 -32 -32 1265 Aug-16 133 Aug-16 FY16Q2 N N -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0 20 19 2437 2437
SGSS 2 5165 Dec-15 6275 Sep-17 Aug-12 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 3155 2351 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
SGSSreg 1 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 11959 Jul-19 12079 Sep-19 Jul-15 3639 3453 1216 Jul-19 1228 Sep-19 PPBE18 PMR Y Y Y Y 30 40 2840 2740 2777 099 2 2 - 0 - 0
ESD SLS 1 7653 Mar-17 8587 Apr-17 Aug-12 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 741 1108 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 FY16Q1 N N 9 13 917 1930 2433 079 0 00 - 0 - 0
SMAP 2 5845 May-15 7792 May-15 Jan-10 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 1373 1373 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
SMAPreg 2 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 8744 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 Sep-12 1526 0 8899 May-15 8899 May-15 FY16Q2 Y N 17 0 - 0 - 0 397 - 0 2 -3 707 203
SOC 2 372 Jan-15 396 Mar-16 Dec-11 3662 Jan-17 4359 Oct-18 Mar-13 -58 399 2892 Oct-18 3789 Oct-18 FY16Q2 N N -2 10 2437 3147 1610 195 -27 -13 2127 - 0
SOFIA 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)SOFIA was reformulated because it was cancelled in the 2007 Budget The program went through multiple reviews until 2010 There is a file APMC Oct 6 2010 SOFIA r3 which is the confirmation review Sharedrive path USIDKDP and Other Decision MemosProjectsSOFIA

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project
29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 29476 29551 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
SOFIA (Budget) 1 29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 11431 Feb-14 11506 Feb-14 not a KDP Apr-14 -18045 -18045 29048 Feb-14 29122 Feb-14 FY16Q2 Budget Reduction N -158 -61 - 0 - 0 139100 - 0
SWOT 2 647 Oct-20 757 Oct-20 Jun-14 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 May-16 579 -21 N N 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
TEMPO 3 1708 May-17 2178 Dec-17 Apr-14 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 Apr-15 101 0 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 FY16Q2 N N 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008 0 00 - 0 - 0
TESS 2 350 Sep-17 400 Sep-17 May-14 3424 Dec-17 3784 Jun-18 Oct-14 -76 -216 31976 Dec-17 3517 Jun-18 FY16Q2 N N -2 -5 303 910 510 178 -7 -7 - 0 - 0
Currently in B Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) Schedule change Ratio
CLARREO-PF B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C
DART KDP-C in July Mean 13 -13 55 28 1729 115
Europa Clipper 02045454545 Median 17 -06 21 00 17483 0862
GeoCarb Standard Deviation 84 68 88 87 10875 0863
IXPE Minimum -27 -13 00 -72 397 050
Lucy Maximum 20 19 335 335 4527 310
MAIA
PACE
Psyche Paste data from above to this table for analysis
Restore-L -27 -13 2127 - 0 1610 050
SOC Replan Breach notification made DM not yet final -7 -7 - 0 - 0 080
TROPICS -7 -11 - 0 - 0 817 060
XARM -5 -10 307 - 0 867 088
-2 -9 - 0 (717) 2767 310
-2 -8 717 717 086
-1 -3 - 0 (400) 510 058
-1 -9 207 (400) 800 099
-1 -1 3347 3347 2240 205
1 -1 - 0 - 0 397
1 -01 - 0 - 0
2 2 - 0 - 0 1053
2 2 407 1020
2 -3 707 203 2577
1 00 - 0 - 0 2777
4 00 - 0 - 0 1887
3 3 710 403 1167
4 -4 - 0 - 0 1983
4 4 207 (203)
5 5 - 0 - 0 1917
8 6 103 - 0 2733
9 -2 613 - 0 4527
11 4 1320 613 503
11 4 607 - 0
20 19 2437 2437
Timeline Total Programs 46
Begin End Cost data Note Replans have KDP B = previous KDP C for comaprison planned Total Replans 14
2010 Present Total LCC Percent Replans 30
KDP-B KDP-C PresentFinal Breach Totals Statistics (B to C) or (C to Replan) Statistics - PresentFinal
KDP-B (LowMA) KDP-B (HighABC) KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) (MA) (ABC) 72618 20 13 13 9 COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
DIR ProgramProject Nameregdenotes Replan Category Cost LRD Cost LRD Signature Date Cost LRD Cost LRD Notes Signature Date Delta B to C (MA) Delta B to C (ABC) Cost LRD Cost LRD Source Replan Breach (YN) Schedule Breach Cost Breach B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC) C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC)
APD ASTRO-H 3 568 Aug-13 568 Aug-13 May-10 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 595 595 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 9 10 613 613 3450 018 21 34 2127 2530
APD ASTRO-Hreg 3 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 798 Nov-15 839 Mar-16 ABC +532 SEO option in Nov-13 1705 2115 74855 Feb-16 109271 Mar-16 FY17 Q1 Y Y Y Y 21 34 2127 2530 817 310 -7 30 307 - 0
ESD CYGNSS 3 1028 Oct-16 1728 Apr-17 Jul-13 1528 Oct-16 1812 May-17 Feb-14 50 84 159503 Dec-16 159503 Dec-16 FY18 Q3 N N 33 5 - 0 100 800 013 4 -12 203 (503)
JASD DSCOVR 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
928 Jan-15 Aug-13 0 928 928 Jan-15 94 Jan-15 KDP-E Jan-15 N N 0 0 0 1 - 0
x ESD ECOSTRESS 3 485 Aug-17 559 Aug-19 Apr-15 51043 Aug-17 55942 Aug-19 Dec-15 2543 0042 51043 Apr-18 52443 Aug-19 KDP-E May-18 N N 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0 0 0
HEO EGS 1 28119 Dec-17 31213 Mar-18 Feb-13 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 -1784 -3084 27418 Sep-18 28129 Nov-18 FY17 Q1 N N -7 -10 607 817 1923 042 4 00 307 - 0
HEO EGSreg 1 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 3145 Dec-19 3231 Jun-20 Dec-17 5115 4181 31446 Dec-19 31446 Dec-19 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 16 15 1827 1927 3957 049 -0 -27 - 0 (610)
x APD EUCLID 3 105 Dec-14 110 Dec-14 Jan-13 964 May-15 1014 May-16 ABC +44M for Science Center Sep-13 -86 -86 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -9 -8 503 1723 810 213 -1 -5 717 1117
APD EUCLIDreg 3 964 May-15 1454 May-16 Sep-13 179 Mar-17 190 Jun-18 Feb-16 826 446 206214 Mar-20 223452 Mar-20 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 46 31 2233 2537 2943 086 13 176 3653 2130
ESD GEDI 3 1208 May-18 1263 May-18 Aug-15 120774 Jun-18 126253 Mar-19 Jun-16 -0026 -0047 120774 Nov-18 123774 Mar-19 FY18 Q3 N N -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100 -7 -10 607 817
JASD GOES-R 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
108603 Oct-15 Apr-12 0 108603 10150 Nov-16 KDP-E Oct-16 N N 0 0 32 24 1013 1320
HPD GOLD 3 641 Dec-17 744 Dec-17 Feb-15 641 Oct-17 745 Apr-18 Mar-15 0 01 663 Feb-18 73 Apr-18 KDP-E Dec-17 N N 0 0 (203) 403 167 242 5 2 810 307
ESD GPM 2 Not Available 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 911 978 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16 Q1 N N 0 0 -2 -8 717 717
ESD GPMreg 2 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 906 Feb-14 933 Jun-14 Oct-11 -5 -45 8834 Feb-14 8904 Feb-14 FY17 Q3 Y Y Y -1 -5 717 1117 2240 050 -3 -5 - 0 (400)
ESD GRACE-FO 2 404 Aug-17 460 Aug-17 Aug-12 4059 Aug-17 4319 Feb-18 Feb-14 19 -281 4059 May-18 4319 May-18 FY18 Q3 N N 0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032 0 00 910 297
ESD ICESat-2 2 686 Apr-16 776 Nov-16 Aug-11 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 -122 842 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -2 11 813 603 1687 036 10 0 203 - 0
ESD ICESat-2reg 1 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 9915 Oct-17 10635 Jun-18 May-14 3177 2033 10561 Sep-18 10636 Oct-18 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 32 24 1013 1320 1660 080 6 00 1117 407
HPD ICON 2 2177 Oct-16 2485 Jul-17 Jun-14 2294 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 Oct-14 117 42 243 Jun-18 2527 Jun-18 FY18 Q3 N N 5 2 810 307 500 061 6 00 1217 810
PSD InSight 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight
6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 6266 6751 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0 ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE
PSD InSightreg 2 6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 8189 May-18 8289 May-18 Sep-16 1923 1538 8138 May-18 8138 May-18 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 23 23 2637 2637 3050 086 -1 -18 - 0 - 0
HPD IRIS 3 Not Available 1671 Dec-12 1802 Jun-13 Nov-10 1671 1802 1873 Jun-13 1873 Jun-13 FY16 Q1 N N 0 0 11 4 607 - 0
ESD Jason-3 3 158 Apr-14 166 Apr-14 Jul-11 1552 Mar-15 1552 Mar-15 Jan-13 -28 -108 1579 Jul-15 1579 Jan-16 KDP-E Sep-16 N N -2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059 2 2 407 1020
JASD JPSS-1 1 Not Available 1623 Mar-17 Aug-13 0 1623 16235 Mar-17 KDP-D Apr-15 N N 0 0 36 48 2533 2637
x PSD JUICE 3 1034 Sep-19 1185 Sep-19 Apr-16 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 Apr-17 11 85 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 KDP-C Apr-17 N N 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
JWST JWST 1 3117 Aug-11 3117 Aug-11 Jul-03 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 1264 1847 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046 0 0
JWST JWSTreg 1 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 4044 3871 85104 Oct-18 88254 Oct-18 FY16 Q2 Y Y Y Y 48 78 6493 5277 2577 205 1 -01 - 0 - 0
JWST JWSTregreg 1 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 94889 Nov-20 96627 Mar-21 May-18 10639 8277 94889 Nov-20 96627 Mar-21 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 9 2940 8113 036
PSD LADEE 2 1843 May-12 200 May-12 Dec-09 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 516 629 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 22 31 1217 1830 1027 178 26 34 1717 2433
PSD LADEEreg 2 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 2619 Jul-13 2629 Nov-13 May-12 26 0 2738 Sep-13 2738 Sep-13 FY15 Q1 Y N 10 0 203 - 0 1917 - 0 4 4 207 (203)
x ESD Landsat 9 2 851 Dec-20 928 Nov-21 Aug-16 838531 Dec-20 885029 Nov-21 Dec-17 -12469 -42971 8385 Dec-20 885 Nov-21 FY18 Q3 N N -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
STMD LCRD 2 2394 Feb-17 May-13 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 Apr-17 2571 233 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 FY18 Q3 N N 0 9 3343 4770 070 -6 -5 - 0 - 0
ESD LDCMLandsat 8 2 710 Dec-12 800 Dec-12 Sep-09 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 140 142 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 16 18 - 0 607 707 086 -3 -3 - 0 - 0
ESD LDCMLandsat 8reg 2 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 8608 Dec-12 9416 Jun-13 Dec-10 108 -04 85006 Feb-13 85666 Feb-13 FY18 Q3 Y N 1 -0 - 0 - 0 867 - 0 -1 -9 207 (400)
STMD LDSD 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 1896 203 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0 9 13 917 1930
STMD LDSDreg 3 1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 2368 Dec-16 2368 Dec-16 Mar-15 472 338 249 Dec-16 249 Dec-16 FY15 Q4 Y Y Y Y 20 17 1627 1627 2733 060 5 5 - 0 - 0
x PSD Mars 2020 1 2106 Jul-20 2351 Jul-20 May-15 22727 Jul-20 24435 Jul-20 STMDHEOMD added Jun-16 1667 925 23634 Jul-20 25304 Jul-20 FY18 Q3 N N 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0 -2 10 2437 3147
PSD MAVEN 2 Not Available 6382 Nov-13 6712 Nov-13 Oct-10 6382 6712 5753 Nov-13 5753 Nov-13 FY16 Q3 N N 0 0 -11 -14 - 0 - 0
HPD MMS 1 9104 Oct-14 9904 Oct-14 Nov-07 10026 Aug-14 10826 Mar-15 Jun-09 922 922 1098 Mar-15 1098 Mar-15 FY18 Q2 N N 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025 9 1 707 - 0
PSD MOMA 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)MOMA-MS did not have a traditional path of formulation NASArsquos participation on the MOMAinstrument began as a result of a proposal to the Mars Scout 2006 and Mission of OpportunityAnnouncement of Opportunity that proposal was selected for technology development In 2010NASA determined that the original team would not be able to produce a flight instrument onschedule and within acceptable risk NASA decided to bring the instrument technology andflight system development in-house to increase the probability of success The MOMA-MStechnology development effort was assigned to the Goddard Space Flight Center in Fall 2010The Project is entering the typical Life Cycle Review (LCR) process after a tailored PreliminaryDesign Review (PDR) and Key Decision Point (KDP)-C Until the time of KDP-C no formalAgency-level gate reviews were held (lack of KDP-A and KDP-B)
91 Oct-15 101 Oct-15 Apr-14 91 101 120243 Jul-20 128226 Jul-20 FY18 Q3 N N 0 0 24 27 5783 5783
PSD MSL 1 Not Available 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 1474 1613 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
PSD MSLreg 1 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 23185 Oct-11 23943 Nov-11 Apr-10 8445 7813 25176 Nov-11 25304 Nov-11 FY15 Q1 Y Y Y Y 36 48 2533 2637 4527 058 8 6 103 - 0
ESD NICER 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- the mission was selected from an AO and the down select places the project in phase B This was originally below $75 M threshold and no KDP DM were generated to document the cost and schedule

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
624 Aug-16 684 Feb-17 Feb-14 624 684 694 Jun-17 706 Aug-17 KDP-E May-17 N N 0 0 10 3 1013 603
x ESD NISAR 2 7183 Dec-20 8083 Dec-20 Feb-15 7953 Dec-21 8669 Sep-22 Aug-16 77 586 7953 Dec-21 8969 Sep-22 FY18 Q3 N N 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117 0 00346060676 0 0
APD NuSTAR 3 1052 Oct-11 1052 Oct-11 Feb-08 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 554 554 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
APD NuSTARreg 3 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 1606 Nov-11 1606 Feb-12 Aug-10 0 0 115315 Jun-12 115315 Jun-12 FY15 Q1 Y N 0 0 307 103 1167 009 -39 -28 710 403
ESD OCO-2 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild
3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 3259 3499 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
ESD OCO-2reg 2 3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 4377 Jul-14 4677 Feb-15 Jan-13 1118 1178 4245 Jul-14 4245 Jul-14 FY17 Q1 Y Y Y Y 26 34 1717 2433 2767 088 -3 -9 - 0 (717)
x ESD OCO-3 3 1014 Jul-16 1115 Oct-16 Aug-13 1108 Mar-18 1148 May-18 May-16 94 33 113388 Mar-18 113388 May-18 FY18 Q3 N N 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
HEO Orion 1 96425 Sep-21 102886 Mar-22 Jan-13 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 11673 9949 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041 ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE
HEO Orionreg 1 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 116581 Jun-22 116581 Jun-22 Jun-18 8483 3746 116581 Jun-22 116581 Jun-22 FY18 Q3 Y N 7 3 1013 (1013) 3347 030 0 00 - 0 - 0
PSD OSIRIS Rex 1 1085 Oct-16 1210 Oct-16 Apr-13 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 -336 -886 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0
PSD OSIRIS Rexreg 1 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 9959 Oct-16 10642 Oct-16 Mar-14 -555 -572 9975 Sep-16 10532 Sep-16 FY18 Q3 Y N -6 -5 - 0 - 0 1053 - 0 0 -1 (100) (100)
HPD PSP 1 1233 Jul-18 1439 Jul-18 Jan-12 13932 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 Mar-14 1602 1144 13821 Aug-18 15482 Aug-18 FY18 Q3 N N 11 8 103 103 2670 004 -1 -03 - 0 - 0
ESD SAGE III 3 1042 Aug-14 1152 Aug-14 Feb-12 101 Aug-14 112 Aug-14 Jul-12 -32 -32 129364 Feb-17 129364 Feb-17 FY18 Q3 N N -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0 22 16 3050 3050
HEO SGSS 2 5165 Dec-15 6275 Sep-17 Aug-12 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 3155 2351 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
HEO SGSSreg 1 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 11959 Jul-19 12079 Sep-19 Jul-15 3639 3453 1251 Sep-19 1261284 Nov-19 Path Forward APMC Dec 2016 Y Y Y Y 30 40 2840 2740 2777 099 4 4 223 267
HEO SLS 1 7653 Mar-17 8587 Apr-17 Aug-12 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 741 1108 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 FY16 Q1 N N 9 13 917 1930 2433 079 0 00 - 0 - 0
HEO SLSreg 1 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 9734 Dec-19 9843 Jun-20 Dec-17 1340 148 98029 Dec-19 98029 Dec-19 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 14 2 2433 1927 4060 047 1 -04
ESD SMAP 2 5845 May-15 7792 May-15 Jan-10 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 1373 1373 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
ESD SMAPreg 2 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 8744 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 Sep-12 1526 0 8899 Jan-15 8899 Jan-15 FY18 Q3 Y N 17 0 - 0 - 0 397 - 0 2 -3 307 (197)
HPD SOC 2 372 Jan-15 396 Mar-16 Dec-11 3662 Jan-17 4359 Oct-18 Mar-13 -58 399 3433 Feb-20 3866 Feb-20 FY18 Q3 N N -2 10 2437 3147 1610 195 -7 -11 3753 1627
APD SOFIA 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)SOFIA was reformulated because it was cancelled in the 2007 Budget The program went through multiple reviews until 2010 There is a file APMC Oct 6 2010 SOFIA r3 which is the confirmation review Sharedrive path USIDKDP and Other Decision MemosProjectsSOFIA
29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 29476 29551 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
APD SOFIAreg 1 29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 11431 Feb-14 11506 Feb-14 not a KDP Apr-14 -18045 -18045 15874 Feb-14 15949 Feb-14 FY18 Q3 Y N -158 -61 - 0 - 0 139100 - 0
x ESD SWOT 2 647 Oct-20 757 Oct-20 Jun-14 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 May-16 579 -21 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 FY18 Q3 N N 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
ESD TEMPO 3 1708 May-17 2178 Dec-17 Apr-14 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 Apr-15 101 0 181242 Sep-17 197242 Nov-17 FY18 Q3 N N 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008 0 -94 - 0 - 0
APD TESS 2 350 Sep-17 400 Sep-17 May-14 3424 Dec-17 3784 Jun-18 Oct-14 -76 -216 3333 Apr-18 3333 Jun-18 FY18 Q3 N N -2 -5 303 910 510 178 -3 -12 403 - 0
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) Schedule change Ratio
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C
Mean 90 88 50 81 1773 057
02045454545 Median 82 49 10 60 16233 0374
Standard Deviation 118 164 77 97 13962 0647
Minimum -7 -10 -71 -31 147 - 0 SPP
Maximum 38 59 244 345 7433 242 EUCLIDreg
GSDO
ICESat-2reg
Paste data from above to this table for analysis ORION
-7 -10 607 817 1923 042 SLS
-3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0 TEMPO
-2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059
0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032
Total KDPs Within Cost Range of Prior KDP Total KDPs Within Schedule Range of Prior KDP -2 -5 303 910 510 178
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0
MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 14 31 45 31 MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 27 26 53 51 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008
ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 19 33 52 37 ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 21 32 53 40 0 0 (203) 403 167 242
5 2 810 307 500 061
KDP-A to KDP-B Cost KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule 33 5 - 0 100 800 013
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 11 8 103 103 2670 004
KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 4 10 14 29 KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 13 9 22 59 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025
KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 9 12 21 43 KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 12 10 22 55 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041
-2 10 2437 3147 1610 195
9 10 613 613 3450 018
KDP-B to KDP-C Cost KDP-B to KDP-C Schedule -2 11 813 603 1687 036
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 9 13 917 1930 2433 079
MA at or below KDP-B Low 10 21 31 32 MA at or below KDP-B Low 14 17 31 45 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
ABC at or below KDP-B High 10 21 31 32 ABC at or below KDP-B High 9 22 31 29 16 18 - 0 607 707 086
22 31 1217 1830 1027 178
38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
KDP-A to KDP-C Cost KDP-A to KDP-C Schedule 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046
MA at or below KDP-A Low 2 7 9 22 MA at or below KDP-A Low 5 12 17 29 added 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0
ABC at or below KDP-A High 5 11 16 31 ABC at or below KDP-A High 3 14 17 18 added -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100
added 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
added -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
added 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0
added 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117
KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) Replan (MA) Replan (ABC) KDP-C to Replan (MA) KDP-C to Replan (ABC) KDP-C (or Replan) to PresentFinal (MA) KDP-C (or Replan) to PresentFinal (ABC) added 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
added 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
Percentage of Project CostSchedule HighLow Estimates Within Prior KDP Range Estimates
B Estimate at or below A Estimate C Estimate at or below B Estimate C Estimate at or below A Estimate Total at or below Preceding KDP Estimate
Cost - High 43 32 31 37
Cost - Low 29 32 22 31
Schedule - High 55 29 18 40
Schedule - Low 59 45 29 51
Page 3: Cost and Schedule Insights - NASA

LCC and Development Cost Metrics Against BaselineLCC Dev

3

LCC and Dev Cost Metrics Against Baseline

4

70 Joint Cost and Schedule ConfidenceAre we meeting the expected 70 success rate across the portfolio

bull NPR 71205Ebull ABC at 70 confidence

MA at 50 confidencebull

bull Aggregate NASA confidence at baselinebull ABC at 71 confidence

MA at 52 confidencebull

bull Actual performancebull 41 of projects met ABC commitments

30 of projects met MA commitmentsbull

bull Projects currently in Phase Dbull 20 meeting ABC commitments

0 meeting MA commitmentsbull

5

Formulation Cost and Schedule Ranges

bull

bullbull

bull

bullbull

Are we capturing the Agencyrsquos cost exposure in early estimates

In aggregate the high cost estimate is at or below the high estimate established at the preceding KDP

37 of the time for cost40 of the time for schedule

For projects that held a KDP-A the eventual KDP-C baseline cost and schedule (high estimates) are at or below the KDP-A estimate

31 of the time for cost18 of the time for schedule

6

Development Cost Metrics When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation

28Avg LV Proportion of Dev Cost Baseline

-8Avg Post-Baseline LV Cost Variation

7

Development Cost Performance When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost VariationHow would our development cost reporting metrics change

Lower LV costs can provide unexpected funds to cover growth in reporting

Lower LV costs sometimes have no effect on cost reporting

Higher LV costs can mask otherwise good cost performance

8

bull NASA cost performance has drastically improved since the early 2000rsquos

We are falling short of our portfolio goal of 70 projects hitting cost targets

Our cost and schedule ranges at KDP-A and KDP-B are optimistic and more often than do not capture the eventual high cost or schedule commitments at KDP-C baseline

Development cost reporting metrics can misrepresent how our projects are performing (both positively and negatively) if the LV contract award is well above or below the estimate included in the KDP-C baseline

bull

bull

bull

9

Back-up

10

1111

1212

Total KDPs Within Cost Range of Prior KDPYes No Total Percent At or Below

MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 14 31 45 31ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 19 33 52 37

Total KDPs Within Schedule Range of Prior KDPYes No Total Percent At or Below

MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 27 26 53 51ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 21 32 53 40

KDP-A to KDP-B CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 4 10 14 29KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 9 12 21 43

KDP-A to KDP-B ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 13 9 22 59KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 12 10 22 55

KDP-B to KDP-C CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-B Low 10 21 31 32ABC at or below KDP-B High 10 21 31 32

KDP-B to KDP-C ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-B Low 14 17 31 45ABC at or below KDP-B High 9 22 31 29

KDP-A to KDP-C CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-A Low 2 7 9 22ABC at or below KDP-A High 5 11 16 31

KDP-A to KDP-C ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-A Low 5 12 17 29ABC at or below KDP-A High 3 14 17 18

MAIN

KDP-B (LowMA)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO5686275102848528119263351059641208640999999999999949114046866738217762661581034311743818425184323598517108501896210691041474718310521606325899999999999981014964251080981085105140000000000011233104251658327653839458457218372294766471708KDP-C (MA)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO6275798152800000000000015104299999999999926335314596417912077464099999999999994911906405967389915229462668189167115519999999999999114443818425948892359261899999999999988385309999999999525710000000000002850860818962368227269999999999986382000000000000510026911474231856247953160616063258999999999999843771108108098116581105140000000000019959139321018321195900000000000183949734721887443662294761143099999999999970491809KDP-B (HighABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO568627517285593121328129110145412637440000000000000697846077686022485675116611853117496488352002628999999999999892823948009422032351990416138083105216063499111510288611283512101121400000000000114391152627586268587969577929165396295517572178KDP-C (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO62758389999999999999118129285594228129323110141901262531086037459789334319860210635252767518289180215519999999999999162312749648835966270000000000072628999999999999826289999999999998885029262794294162032368244356712108259999999999991011613239430000000000026840000000000000686691606160634994677114811283511658111214000000000001106421553411286261207900000000000196959843916591654359295511150599999999999975492178

COST ($M)

KDP-C to Replan (MA)595000000000000281704999999999999750000000000000014025429999999999993-178400000000000095115-85999999999999943826-25999999999996248E-200911-518999999999999773-1220000000000004531770000000000005117000000000000176266192299999999999951671-2800000000000011401112644044106389999999999965159999999999999425999999999999972-1246900000000005125710000000000002140107999999999999551896472000000000000171666999999999998263820000000000005922000000000000459114748445624775539999999999999103258999999999999811180000000000001939999999999999151167299999999999384830000000000109-33599999999999909-5550000000000011416020000000000005-3200000000000002831553639000000000000974113401372999999999999515260000000000002-5800000000000011429476-180455789999999999997710099999999999994-76000000000000227KDP-C to Replan (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPOTESS59500000000000028211499999999999918399999999999977392842000000000001592E-2-3084000000000000941809999999999991-8599999999999994344599999999999994-46999999999997044E-210860399999999999994316E-2978-45-281000000000000238420000000000004520329999999999995419999999999998866751153799999999999951802-108000000000000111623851847387182770000000000073628999999999999770-4297100000000000423299999999999983142-039999999999997726203338000000000000119256712921999999999999321011613781300000000000186840000000000000658600000000000023553999999999999910349911780000000000001329999999999999729948999999999996437460000000000036-88599999999999909-5720000000000004511440000000000009-32000000000000028235100000000000023453000000000000711081481372999999999999503989999999999997729551-18045-210000000000002270-21600000000000023

COST Change ($M)

B to C (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPOTESS01047535211267606203370517928286851448611111111110973E-2075077759107650046E-4-98804985102361215E-201486366383447687-7818181818181813E-2030674002751031632-37226838174140057E-4013440860215052999E-30-46012269938650305E-2-61086956521739177E-201085051546391753202363403859567541916901408450704179E-200227818101022070730-65060240963855487E-2071729957805907171E-20592556945781199880779814665592264319368421052631587E-20314499999999999890-4630495689655173E-288694328130947783E-2017749999999999999-42462845010613295E-400166502463054187263934495959166312E-2093093699515347267E-200048437693738375709067597185373168792E-20526615969581748940003366676193198057128745644599303111E-296699259374453242E-233198918775202764E-2-732231404958677E-2-5100766898519711E-279499652536483736E-2-27777777777777801E-203746613545816733204003014143287735301290322580645161315265600825167612E-20176206365503080030010075757575757570-061063923386687424-27818254073387508E-30-54000000000000055E-2

COST Change ()

Cost - HighB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate04285714285714285503225806451612903103125036538461538461536Schedule - HighB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate054545454545454541029032258064516131017647058823529413039622641509433965Cost - LowB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate02857142857142857032258064516129031022222222222222221031111111111111112Schedule - LowB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate059090909090909094045161290322580644029411764705882354050943396226415094

Data only (no charts)

plots

program table

A to B

A to B Cost

High Cost Estimate Change

KDP-A to KDP-B

Category 1 Change (high)01682251932581422Category 2 Change (high)60501935980863335E-2Category 3 Change (high)37110484780157868E-2Total Change (high)014626442296281486

Low Cost Estimate Change

KDP-A to KDP-B

Category 1 Change (low)010106870229007633Category 2 Change (low)19806591564406897Category 3 Change (low)0Total Change (low)21873131670301591

A to B Schedule

KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule Growth - Low Estimate

(in months)

MissionRestore-LSLSPACEWFIRSTOCO-3PSPLCRDEuclidGRACE-FOMars 2020SAGE-IIISWOTLADEEDARTNISARJASON-3MMSECOSTRESSSMAPXARMSOCOrion0-9-49-2-1-100000200912326273242

KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule Growth - High Estimate

(in months)

MissionRestore-LSLSPACEWFIRSTOCO-3PSPLCRDEuclidGRACE-FOMars 2020SAGE-IIISWOTLADEEDARTNISARJASON-3MMSECOSTRESSSMAPXARMSOCOrion-36-8-8-3-2-1-1000002569121726414451

image1png

image2png

image3png

image4png

Cost Variation Against Baselines

13

Methodology and Assumptions

The first step in conducting this analysis was to verify and validate the cost baseline information using source documentation KDP-C figures takes priority as the definitive baseline Where KDP-C decision memoranda was not available as in the case of many projects baselined prior to approximately 2009 figures were pulled from the first appearance as a development project in a Presidentrsquos Budget as the baseline against which to measure In a few cases notificationsreports to Congress (eg NSPD-49 reports) were used to identify a baseline figure MA figures were pulled solely from decision memoranda and thus our dataset with regard to MArsquos is smaller as it excludes many of the older projects that did not have standardized baseline documentation with MArsquos noted Variance to the baseline was then measured by using the most recent quarterly cost and schedule report Latest cost data is valid through the FY18 Q3 reporting period Slide 3 charts illustrate each project in the dataset with respective LCC and dev cost variances

The confidence level policy applied to each project was noted using source documentation as well as a cross-reference against when policy changes were implemented recognizing that a subset of projects received waivers to new policies during policy transition Certain exclusions were applied to ensure a dataset comparable across projects For example SOFIA had conducted a JCL on a replan but the decision memorandum made clear the baseline was not changing therefore the JCL confidence level could not fairly be applied to measure performance against the baseline Another example is GPM which was excluded as it was one of the very first projects baselined after JCL policy implementation and was not a ldquotruerdquo JCL with the decision memorandum noting that the intent was met while a JCL DPMC would be held many months later to evaluate progress There were a couple of additional exclusions applied

When a project is confirmed at KDP-C cost performance measurements were applied to that baseline If a project was then rebaselined a ldquonewrdquo project was added to the dataset using the rebaselined figures against which to measure as the Agency made the decision at that point to press ahead with the project and Congress provided reauthorization The ldquooriginalrdquo project was ldquofrozenrdquo in terms of development phase to fairly capture the contemporary phase performance (eg the ldquooriginalrdquo OCO-2 cost growth will always be categorized within the ldquoprojects in developmentrdquo performance category while the rebaselined OCO-2 cost performance falls into the ldquoprojects launchedrdquo category) The latest cost figures however were used to measure cost performance across both original baselines and rebaselines in order to fairly capture the accuracy of original estimates against final outcomes

This insight while placing an emphasis on the JCL while measuring performance does not intend to convey a discovered causal relationship between JCL and cost performance There have been many other related programmatic and technical advancements over the past 10 to 20 years that have influenced cost and schedule performance in the overall positive direction Other insights look into other influencers of costschedule performance

13

Dev Cost Metrics Controlling for LV Cost Variation

14

Methodology and Assumptions

SID pulled a number of data elements from a total of 22 SMD projects to conduct this analysis Data elements from a projectrsquos baseline include total development cost and the launch services cost estimate and have been sourced from KDP documentation quarterly reports and Cost Analysis Data Requirements (CADREs) These data were compared to currentactual total development and launch services costs from the most recent KDPquarterly reports Other data elements include Division Lead Center type of launch vehicle LCC category and current phase

SID calculated the overall development cost deltas from the baseline cost and verified the percentage growth with external reporting data where applicable SID then calculated the percent change in launch services development cost from baseline to currentactual The development cost percent change was calculated after removing launch services from the inputs

For further insight these same calculations were conducted by Division Lead Center type of launch vehicle and LCC category Division Lead Center and LCC category were then further broken down by looking only at projects currently in development

The 22 projects used in this analysis include Mars 2020 ICESat-2 ICON InSight SOC PSP SWOT TESS Juno Landsat-8 MMS OSIRIS-REx SMAP MAVEN GRAIL NuSTAR RBSP IRIS LADEE OCO-2 CYGNSS and Landsat 9 Representation includes seven planetary science seven earth science six heliophysics and two astrophysics missions twelve GSFC-led projects and eight JPL-led projects (LaRC and ARC representing the other two) ten Atlas V one Delta IV-H two Falcon 9 four Delta II four Pegasus and one Minotaur V rockets and six category 1 thirteen category 2 and three category 3 projects Seven projects assessed are currently in development

Other projects considered were excluded if launch was or is to be on a ride-share and launch services costs were negligible (eg RBI) Projects launching on internationally-contributed rockets were also excluded (eg GPM JWST) Other exclusions were based on data limitations at the time of analysis (eg no launch services costs available from baseline)

Did not add GPM international launchSOFIA no launchJWST international launch

RBI rideshareSentinel-6 international launch

Dawn no launch vehicle numbers availableSNPP No baseline LV estimate available

NISAR international launchLCRD rideshare

GRACE-FO rideshare

14

Sheet1

LV Percent ChangeJunoRBSPGRAILMMSNuSTARLandsat-8LADEEMAVENIRISSMAPSOCOSIRIS-RExCYGNSSInSightPSPICESat-2ICONTESSSWOTMars 2020Landsat 9-45693277310924457E-2-89820359281436273E-3-13089005235602092E-2-79299691040164669E-2-72625698324022187E-2-36392405063291208E-2036117381489841988-01759358288770053754455445544554525E-2-894617134192571E-2-030924586177798574-01931623931623931101912045889101338753833646028768001E-2-12694541231126538E-2-39142073098874007E-336848699240916792E-2-023399649430324276-017936024371667944-030075113341448961-12953367875648773E-3

Sheet2

Formulation KDPs

15

Methodology and Assumptions

Comparative analysis was conducted where possible (ie when highlow costschedule figures were available in KDP-ABC decision memoranda This analysis does not attempt to explain why the majority of costschedule estimates at KDPrsquos exceed prior estimates

Cost and schedule ranges were extracted from KDP-A and KDP-B decision memoranda Agency Baseline Commitments and Management Agreements were extracted from KDP-C decision memoranda Lifecycle cost was used in all cases (as opposed to development cost only) A project did not need to have all KDP-A through C figures to be included in the analysis (eg a project that did not have a KDP-A range was still included in the KDP-B to KDP-C statistics)

This analysis includes data from KDP-A KDP-B and KDP-C milestones At KDP-A and KDP-B a high and low estimate is established for both cost and schedule At KDP-C a Management Agreement and an Agency Baseline Commitment is established for both cost and schedule For ease of conveyance this analysis equates the Management Agreement as the low estimate for KDP-C and equates the Agency Baselines Commitment as the high estimate for KDP-C

15

  • PRESENTATION COVER - Cost and Schedule Insights
  • Todayrsquos Discussion
  • LCC and Development Cost Metrics Against Baseline
  • LCC and Dev Cost Metrics Against Baseline
  • 70 Joint Cost and Schedule Confidence Are we meeting the expected 70 success rate across the portfolio
  • Formulation Cost and Schedule Ranges Are we capturing the Agencyrsquos cost exposure in early estimates
  • Development Cost Metrics When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation
  • Development Cost Performance When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation How would our development cost reporting metrics change
  • NASA cost performance hashellip
  • Back-up
  • Bar Graph
  • Tables
  • Cost Variation Against Baselines Methodology and Assumptions
  • Dev Cost Metrics Controlling for LV Cost Variation Methodology and Assumptions
  • Formulation KDPs Methodology and Assumptions
Column1 KDP-C Date Lead Center Division Launch Vehicle LCC Category Phase Development Baseline Development CurrentActuals LV Estimate at Baseline LV CurrentActuals Development Baseline less LV Estimates Development CurrentActuals less LV Actuals Development Percent Change LV Percent Change Development Percent Change less LV Notes
Juno Aug-08 JPL Planetary Atlas V 1 Ops $ 7423 $ 7089 $ 1904 $ 1817 $ 5519 $ 5272 -45 -46 -45
RBSP Dec-08 GSFC Helio Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5338 $ 5040 $ 1336 $ 1324 $ 4002 $ 3716 -56 -09 -71
GRAIL Jan-09 JPL Planetary Delta II 2 Ops $ 4270 $ 3983 $ 1528 $ 1508 $ 2742 $ 2475 -67 -13 -97
MMS Jun-09 GSFC Helio Atlas V 1 Ops $ 8573 $ 8753 $ 1942 $ 1788 $ 6631 $ 6965 21 -79 50
NuSTAR Sep-09 JPL Astro Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1099 $ 1162 $ 358 $ 332 $ 741 $ 830 57 -73 120
Landsat-8 Dec-09 GSFC Earth Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5830 $ 5028 $ 1264 $ 1218 $ 4566 $ 3810 -138 -36 -166
LADEE Aug-10 ARC Planetary Minotaur V 2 Ops $ 1682 $ 1882 $ 443 $ 603 $ 1239 $ 1279 119 361 32
OCO-2 Sep-10 JPL Earth Delta II 2 Ops $ 2490 $ 3200 $ 676 $ 1368 $ 1814 $ 1832 285 1024 10 against original baseline rebaseline primary LV-driven aside from some RWA issues
MAVEN Oct-10 GSFC Planetary Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5672 $ 4720 $ 1870 $ 1541 $ 3802 $ 3179 -168 -176 -164
IRIS Nov-10 GSFC Helio Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1407 $ 1430 $ 404 $ 426 $ 1003 $ 1004 16 54 01
SMAP May-12 JPL Earth Delta II 2 Ops $ 4857 $ 4543 $ 1319 $ 1201 $ 3538 $ 3342 -65 -89 -55
SOC Mar-13 GSFC Helio Atlas V 2 Dev $ 3769 $ 3100 $ 2500 $ 1727 $ 1269 $ 1373 -178 -309 82
OSIRIS-REx May-13 GSFC Planetary Atlas V 1 Ops $ 7786 $ 6156 $ 2340 $ 1888 $ 5446 $ 4268 -209 -193 -216
CYGNSS Feb-14 LaRC Earth Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1511 $ 1287 $ 523 $ 623 $ 988 $ 664 -148 191 -328
InSight Mar-14 JPL Planetary Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5418 $ 6483 $ 1599 $ 1685 $ 3819 $ 4798 197 54 256
PSP Mar-14 GSFC Helio Delta IV-H 1 Dev $ 10557 $ 10503 $ 4305 $ 4250 $ 6252 $ 6253 -05 -13 00
ICESat-2 May-14 GSFC Earth Delta II 1 Dev $ 7637 $ 7441 $ 1188 $ 1183 $ 6449 $ 6258 -26 -04 -30
ICON Oct-14 GSFC Helio Pegasus 2 Dev $ 1960 $ 1982 $ 543 $ 563 $ 1417 $ 1419 11 37 01
TESS Oct-14 GSFC Astro Falcon 9 2 Ops $ 3232 $ 2799 $ 1141 $ 874 $ 2091 $ 1925 -134 -234 -79
SWOT May-16 JPL Earth Falcon 9 2 Dev $ 5715 $ 5715 $ 1313 $ 1078 $ 4402 $ 4638 00 -179 53
Mars 2020 Jun-16 JPL Planetary Atlas V 1 Dev $ 16769 $ 17253 $ 3425 $ 2395 $ 13344 $ 14858 29 -301 113
Landsat 9 Dec-17 GSFC Earth Atlas V 2 Dev $ 6342 $ 6342 $ 1544 $ 1542 $ 4798 $ 4800 00 -01 00
Projects in Development $ 52749 $ 52336 $ 14819 $ 12738 $ 37930 $ 39598 -08 -140 44
Projects in Operations $ 66588 $ 63555 $ 18647 $ 18196 $ 47941 $ 45359 -46 -24 -54
Total $ 119337 $ 115891 $ 33466 $ 30935 $ 85871 $ 84956 -29 -76 -11
Development Baseline Development CurrentActuals LV Estimate at Baseline LV CurrentActuals Development Baseline less LV Estimates Development CurrentActuals less LV Actuals Development Percent Change LV Percent Change Development Percent Change less LV
GSFC Project Total $ 68103 $ 63294 $ 20377 $ 18325 $ 47726 $ 44969 -71 -101 -58
JPL Projects Total $ 48041 $ 49428 $ 12122 $ 11384 $ 35919 $ 38044 29 -61 59
Did not add GPM international launch GSFC Projects in Ops $ 37838 $ 33926 $ 10297 $ 9059 $ 27541 $ 24867 -103 -120 -97
SOFIA no launch JPL Projects in Ops $ 25557 $ 26460 $ 7384 $ 7911 $ 18173 $ 18549 35 71 21
JWST international launch GSFC Projects in Dev $ 30265 $ 29368 $ 10080 $ 9266 $ 20185 $ 20102 -30 -81 -04
RBI rideshare JPL Projects in Dev $ 22484 $ 22968 $ 4738 $ 3473 $ 17746 $ 19495 22 -267 99
Sentinel-6 international launch
Dawn no launch vehicle numbers available Astro $ 4331 $ 3961 $ 1499 $ 1206 $ 2832 $ 2755 -85 -195 -27
SNPP No baseline LV estimate available Planetary $ 49020 $ 47566 $ 13109 $ 11437 $ 35911 $ 36129 -30 -128 06
NISAR international launch Helio $ 31604 $ 30808 $ 11030 $ 10078 $ 20574 $ 20730 -25 -86 08
LCRD rideshare Earth $ 34382 $ 33556 $ 7827 $ 8213 $ 26555 $ 25343 -24 49 -46
GRACE-FO rideshare
Astro - Dev Only $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0
Planetary - Dev Only $ 16769 $ 17253 $ 3425 $ 2395 $ 13344 $ 14858 29 -301 113
Helio - Dev Only $ 16286 $ 15585 $ 7348 $ 6540 $ 8938 $ 9045 -43 -110 12
Earth - Dev Only $ 19694 $ 19498 $ 4045 $ 3803 $ 15649 $ 15695 -10 -60 03
Atlas V $ 72920 $ 69964 $ 19725 $ 16926 $ 53195 $ 53038 -41 -142 -03
Delta IV-H $ 10557 $ 10503 $ 4305 $ 4250 $ 6252 $ 6253 -05 -13 00
Falcon 9 $ 8947 $ 8514 $ 2454 $ 1952 $ 6493 $ 6562 -48 -205 11
Delta II $ 19254 $ 19167 $ 4711 $ 5260 $ 14543 $ 13907 -05 117 -44 this is skewed by OCO-2 which switched from the baseline Taurus XL to the Delta-II at the rebaseline
Pegasus $ 5977 $ 5861 $ 1828 $ 1944 $ 4149 $ 3917 -19 63 -56
Minotaur V $ 1682 $ 1882 $ 443 $ 603 $ 1239 $ 1279 119 361 32
Category 1 $ 58745 $ 57195 $ 15104 $ 13322 $ 43641 $ 43873 -26 -118 05
Category 2 $ 56575 $ 54817 $ 17076 $ 16232 $ 39499 $ 38585 -31 -49 -23
Category 3 $ 4017 $ 3879 $ 1285 $ 1381 $ 2732 $ 2498 -34 75 -86
Category 1 - Dev Only $ 34963 $ 35197 $ 8918 $ 7829 $ 26045 $ 27368 07 -122 51
Category 2 - Dev Only $ 17786 $ 17139 $ 5900 $ 4909 $ 11886 $ 12230 -36 -168 29
Category 3 - Dev Only $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0
LV of Total Dev at Baseline 280
LV of Total Dev at FY18 Q3 267
Launch Vehicle Percent Cost Variation from Baseline Estimate in Chronological Order
Mission LCC Category KDP-A (low) KDP-A (high) KDP-B (low) KDP-B (high) Low Delta (months) High Delta (months) KDP-C MA MA Variance from A KDP-C ABC ABC Variance from A
Restore-L 2 Jun-20 Dec-23 Jun-20 Dec-20 0 -36
SLS 1 Dec-17 Dec-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 -9 -8 Dec-17 0 Nov-18 11
PACE 2 Dec-22 Dec-23 Aug-22 Apr-23 -4 -8
WFIRST 1 Dec-24 Dec-26 Sep-25 Sep-26 9 -3
OCO-3 3 Sep-16 Dec-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 -2 -2 Mar-18 18 May-18 17
PSP 1 Aug-18 Aug-18 Jul-18 Jul-18 -1 -1 Aug-18 0 Aug-18 0
LCRD 2 Mar-17 Mar-17 Feb-17 Feb-17 -1 -1 Jun-19 27 Nov-19 32
Euclid 3 Dec-14 Dec-14 Dec-14 Dec-14 0 0 May-15 5 May-16 17
GRACE-FO 2 Aug-17 Aug-17 Aug-17 Aug-17 0 0 Aug-17 0 Feb-18 6
Mars 2020 1 Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20 0 0 Jul-20 0 Jul-20 0
SAGE-III 3 Aug-14 Aug-14 Aug-14 Aug-14 0 0 Aug-14 0 Aug-14 0
SWOT 2 Oct-20 Oct-20 Oct-20 Oct-20 0 0 Apr-21 6 Apr-22 18
LADEE 3 Mar-12 Mar-12 May-12 May-12 2 2 May-13 14 Nov-13 20
DART 2 Dec-20 Dec-20 Dec-20 May-21 0 5 KDP-BC was combined due to advanced design maturity so B highlow here is equal to ABCMA
NISAR 2 Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-20 Jun-22 0 6 Dec-21 12 Sep-22 9
JASON-3 3 Jul-13 Jul-13 Apr-14 Apr-14 9 9 Mar-15 20 Mar-15 20
MMS 1 Oct-13 Oct-13 Oct-14 Oct-14 12 12 Aug-14 10 Mar-15 17
ECOSTRESS 3 May-17 Mar-18 Aug-17 Aug-19 3 17 Aug-17 3 Aug-19 17
SMAP 2 Mar-13 Mar-13 May-15 May-15 26 26 Oct-14 19 Mar-15 24
XARM 3 Oct-19 Oct-19 Jan-22 Mar-23 27 41
SOC 2 Apr-15 Apr-15 Dec-17 Dec-18 32 44 Jan-17 21 Oct-18 42
Orion 1 Dec-17 Dec-17 Jun-21 Mar-22 42 51 Aug-21 44 Apr-23 64
MAIA 3 NA NA Dec-19 Mar-21 NA NA
ICON 3 NA NA Feb-17 Jun-17 NA NA
GOLD 3 NA NA Dec-17 Dec-17 NA NA
GeoCarb 3 NA NA Jun-22 Jun-23 NA NA
IXPE 3 NA NA Dec-20 Dec-20 NA NA
Landsat 9 2 NA NA Dec-20 Nov-21 NA NA
Lucy 2 NA NA Oct-21 Nov-21 NA NA
TROPICS 3 NA NA Sep-19 Sep-20 NA NA
JUICE 3 NA NA Sep-19 Sep-19 NA NA
Psyche 2 NA NA Aug-22 Aug-22 NA NA
Clipper 1 NA NA Jun-22 Jul-23 NA NA removed Clipper from schedule calculations due to no KDP-A schedule estimate
CLARREO-PF 3 Jan-20 Jan-22
COST Growth () Schedule Growth (months)
of Pp (LowMA) (HighABC) (LowMA) (HighABC)
Category I 7 62 165 88 85
Category II 12 38 109 59 40
Category III 15 - -07 56 96
COST Growth () Schedule Growth (months)
(LowMA) (HighABC) (LowMA) (HighABC)
Average 80 118 66 70
Median 15 - 00 00
Standard Deviation 145 233 129 189
Minimum -12 -65 -9 -36
Maximum 417 745 42 51
Mission LCC Category KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta2 Change (low) Notes KDP-C MA KDP-C ABC MA Variance From A ABC Variance From A
Clipper 1 $ 4000 $ 4000 $ - 0 00 $ 3000 $ 3100 $ 100 33
DART 2 $ 270 $ 291 $ 21 78 $ 175 $ 248 $ 73 417
Euclid 3 $ 110 $ 110 $ - 0 00 $ 100 $ 100 $ - 0 00 Combined KDP-AB so no possible change 964 1014 -4 -8
GRACE-FO 2 $ 470 $ 460 $ (10) -21 $ 409 $ 404 $ (5) -12 4059 4319 -1 -8
JASON-3 3 $ 159 $ 166 $ 7 44 $ - 0 $ 158 1552 1552 -2
LADEE 3 $ 214 $ 200 $ (14) -65 $ - 0 $ 184 2359 2629 23
LCRD 2 $ 239 $ 239 $ 0 02 $ 239 $ 239 $ 0 02 2571 2627 8 10
Mars 2020 1 $ 2350 $ 2351 $ 1 00 $ 2140 $ 2186 $ 46 21 22727 24435 6 4
MMS 1 $ 777 $ 990 $ 213 275 $ 777 $ 928 $ 151 195 10026 10826 29 39
NISAR 2 $ 808 $ 808 $ - 0 00 $ 718 $ 718 $ - 0 00 7953 8669 11 7
OCO-3 3 $ 120 $ 111 $ (9) -71 $ 100 $ 101 $ 1 13 1108 1148 11 -4
Orion 1 $ 6391 $ 10288 $ 3897 610 $ - 0 $ 8534 Moved LRD from EM-1 to EM-2 extending LCC timeframe 108098 112835 77
PACE 2 $ 850 $ 850 $ - 0 00 $ 805 $ 805 $ - 0 00
PSP 1 $ 1300 $ 1439 $ 139 107 $ 1000 $ 1233 $ 233 233 13932 15534 39 19
Restore-L 2 $ 787 $ 753 $ (34) -43 $ 500 $ 628 $ 128 256
SAGE-III 3 $ 112 $ 115 $ 3 27 $ - 0 $ 104 101 112 0
SLS 1 $ 8855 $ 8587 $ (268) -30 $ - 0 $ 7653 8394 9695 9
SMAP 2 $ 514 $ 649 $ 135 263 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 7218 9165 78
SOC 2 $ 243 $ 424 $ 181 745 $ - 0 $ 371 3662 4359 79
SWOT 2 $ 752 $ 757 $ 5 07 $ 642 $ 647 $ 5 08 7049 7549 10 0
XARM 3 $ 172 $ 217 $ 45 264 $ 161 $ 179 $ 18 110
Count KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta Change (low) Notes
Category 1 6 $ 23673 $ 27655 $ 3982 168 $ 3275 $ 3606 $ 331 101
Category 2 9 $ 4933 $ 5231 $ 298 61 $ 4474 $ 13335 $ 8861 1981
Category 3 6 $ 887 $ 920 $ 33 37 $ - 0 $ 7757 $ 7757 ERRORDIV0
Total 21 $ 29493 $ 33807 $ 4314 146 $ 7749 $ 24698 $ 16949 2187
Mission LCC Category KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta2 Change (low) Notes
CLARREO-PF 3 $ 75 $ (75) -1000 $ 64
ICON 3 $ 249 $ 218
ECOSTRESS 3 $ 56 $ 49
GeoCarb 3 $ 181 $ 171
GOLD 3 $ 74 $ 64
IXPE 3 $ 205 $ 189
JUICE 3 $ 119 $ 103
Landsat 9 2 $ 928 $ 851 KDP-BC was combined due to advanced design maturity so B highlow here is equal to ABCMA
Lucy 2 $ 984 $ 914
Psyche 2 $ 957 $ 907
TROPICS 3 $ 30 $ 30
MAIA 3 $ 178 $ 150
Cost Estimate Deltas - KDP-A to KDP-B COST Growth ()
Mission Estimate KDP-A KDP-B Notes of Pp Low (MA) High (ABC)
SOC High $ 243 745 $ 424 Category I 4 127 172
Low $ - 0 $ 371 Category II 5 -01 199
Orion High $ 6391 610 $ 10288 Moved LRD from EM-1 to EM-2 extending LCC timeframe Category III 4 00 01
Low $ - 0 $ 8534
SMAP High $ 514 263 $ 649
Low $ - 0 $ - 0
SPP High $ 1300 107 $ 1439
Low $ 1000 233 $ 1233
JASON-3 High $ 159 44 $ 166
Low $ - 0 $ 158
SAGE-III High $ 112 27 $ 115
Low $ - 0 $ 104
SWOT High $ 752 07 $ 757
Low $ 642 08 $ 647
Mars 2020 High $ 2350 00 $ 2351
Low $ 2140 21 $ 2186
NISAR High $ 808 00 $ 808
Low $ 718 00 $ 718
Euclid High $ 110 00 $ 110 Combined KDP-AB so no change possible
Low $ 100 00 $ 100
GRACE Follow On High $ 470 -21 $ 460
Low $ 409 -12 $ 404
SLS High $ 8855 -30 $ 8587
Low $ - 0 $ 7653
LADEE High $ 214 -65 $ 200
Low $ - 0 $ 184
ProgramProject Name Category KDP A to B analysis (13 missions)
ASTRO-H 3 ASTRO-Hreg 3 bull13 Missions KDP-B Data Unavailable
CYGNSS 3 CYGNSS 3 bull7 Missions KDP-Crsquos have not yet occurred
DSCOVR 3 DSCOVR 3
C ECOSTRESS 3 ECOSTRESS 3
EUCLID 3 EUCLIDreg 3 Euclid
C GEDI 3 GEDI 3
GOES-R 1 GOES-R 1
GOLD 3 GOLD 3
GPM 2 GPM 2
GRACE-FO 2 GRACE-FO 2 GRACE Follow On
GSDO 1 GSDO 1
ICESat-2 1 ICESat-2reg 1
ICON 2 ICON 2
InSight 2 InSight 2
IRIS 3 IRIS 3
Jason-3 3 Jason-3 3 JASON-3
JPSS-1 1 JPSS-1 1
JWST 1 JWSTreg 1
LADEE 2 LADEEreg 2 LADEE
C LCRD 3 LCRD 3
LDCM 2 LDCMreg 2
LDSD 3 LDSD 3
C Mars 2020 1 Mars 2020 1 Mars 2020
MAVEN 2 MAVEN 2
MMS 1 MMS 1
MOMA 3 MOMA 3
MSL 1 MSL 1
NICER 3 NICER 3
C NISAR 2 NISAR 2 NISAR
NuSTAR 3 NuSTARreg 3
OCO-2 2 OCO-2 2
C OCO-3 3 OCO-3 3
ORION 1 ORION 1 Orion
OSIRIS Rex 1 OSIRIS Rexreg 1
SAGE III 3 SAGE III 3 SAGE-III
SGSS 1 SGSSreg 1
SLS 1 SLS 1 SLS
SMAP 2 SMAPreg 2 SMAP
SOC 2 SOC 2 SOC
SOFIA 1 SOFIA 1
PSP 1 PSP 1 PSP
C SWOT 2 SWOT 2 SWOT
TEMPO 3 TEMPO 3
TESS 2 TESS 2
Clipper
DART
PACE
Restore-L
XARM
Statistics COST Growth ($M) Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Average 9 9 43 61 136 070
Median 5 6 20 45 112 034
Standard Deviation 14 16 73 83 93 081
Variance 2 3 535 685 871 066
Minimum -9 -8 (71) (31) 15 - 0
Maximum 38 53 244 315 345 242
no JWST
Statistics
COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 18 17 118 131 1989 065
Median 20 17 101 132 19167 0582
Standard Deviation 16 19 105 117 11557 0830
Sample Variance 3 4 1101 1377 133562 0688
Minimum -6 -5 - 0 - 0 397 - 0
Maximum 46 48 284 274 4527 310
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 20 21 156 159 2031 075
Median 21 20 132 147 20783 0589
Standard Deviation 17 25 174 155 11214 0881
Sample Variance 3 6 3035 2394 125751 0776
Minimum -6 -5 00 00 40 - 0
Maximum 48 78 649 528 453 31
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 4 3 47 136 253 054
Median 9 9 61 132 24333 042
Standard Deviation 10 12 52 56 6657 022
Sample Variance 1 1 273 311 44310 005
Minimum -7 -11 (10) 82 1923 041
Maximum 11 11 92 193 3243 079
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
of Pp B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC)
Category I 6 4 4 22 78
Category II 9 8 13 71 83
Category III 8 6 11 28 52
Timeline Total Programs 46
Begin End Cost data Note Replans have KDP B = previous KDB C for comaprison planned Total Replans 14
2010 Present Total LCC Percent Replans 30
KDP-B KDP-C PresentFinal Breach Totals Statistics (B to C) or (C to Replan) Statictics - PresentFinal
KDP-B (LowMA) KDP-B (HighABC) KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) (MA) (ABC) 41416 14 9 9 8 COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
DIR ProgramProject Nameregdenotes Replan Category Cost LRD Cost LRD Signature Date Cost LRD Cost LRD Notes Signature Date Delta B to C (MA) Delta B to C (ABC) Cost LRD Cost LRD Source Replan Breach (YN) Schedule Breach Cost Breach B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC) C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC)
ASTRO-H 3 568 Aug-13 568 Aug-13 May-10 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 595 595 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 9 10 613 613 3450 018 21 34 2127 2530
ASTRO-Hreg 3 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 798 Nov-15 839 Mar-16 ABC +532 SEO option in Nov-13 1705 2115 758 Feb-16 759 Mar-16 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 21 34 2127 2530 817 310 -5 -10 307 - 0
CYGNSS 3 1028 Oct-16 1728 Apr-17 Jul-13 1528 Oct-16 1812 May-17 Feb-14 50 84 1595 Oct-16 1742 May-17 FY16Q2 N N 33 5 - 0 100 800 013 4 -4 - 0 - 0
JASD DSCOVR 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
928 Jan-15 Aug-13 0 928 928 Jan-15 94 Jan-15 KDP-E Jan-15 N N 0 0 0 1 - 0
ECOSTRESS 3 485 Aug-17 559 Aug-19 Apr-15 51043 Aug-17 55942 Aug-19 Dec-15 2543 0042 N N 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0 0 0
EUCLID 3 105 Dec-14 110 Dec-14 Jan-13 964 May-15 1014 May-16 ABC +44M for Science Center Sep-13 -86 -86 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -9 -8 503 1723 810 213 -1 -5 717 1117
EUCLIDreg 3 964 May-15 1454 May-16 Sep-13 179 Mar-17 190 Jun-18 Feb-16 826 446 179 Dec-21 190 Dec-22 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 46 31 2233 2537 2943 086 0 00 5787 5480
GEDI 3 1208 May-18 1263 May-18 Aug-15 120774 Jun-18 126253 Mar-19 Jun-16 -0026 -0047 N N -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100 -7 -10 607 817
JASD GOES-R 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
108603 Oct-15 Apr-12 0 108603 108295 Oct-16 kDP-D Sep-14 N N 0 0 32 24 1013 1320
GOLD 3 641 Dec-17 744 Dec-17 Feb-15 641 Oct-17 745 Apr-18 Mar-15 0 01 N N 0 0 (203) 403 167 242 5 2 810 307
GPM 2 Not Available 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 911 978 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 -2 -8 717 717
GPMreg 2 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 906 Feb-14 933 Jun-14 Oct-11 -5 -45 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16Q2 Y Y Y -1 -5 717 1117 2240 050 -1 -3 - 0 (400)
GRACE-FO 2 404 Aug-17 460 Aug-17 Aug-12 4059 Aug-17 4319 Feb-18 Feb-14 19 -281 4079 Aug-17 4318 Feb-18 FY16Q2 N N 0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032 0 -00 - 0 - 0
ESD GSDO 1 28119 Dec-17 31213 Mar-18 Feb-13 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 -1784 -3084 26336 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 FY16Q2 N N -7 -10 607 817 1923 042 0 00 - 0 - 0
ICESat-2 2 686 Apr-16 776 Nov-16 Aug-11 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 -122 842 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -2 11 813 603 1687 036 10 0 203 - 0
ICESat-2reg 1 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 9915 Oct-17 10635 Jun-18 May-14 3177 2033 9916 Oct-17 10636 Jun-18 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 32 24 1013 1320 1660 080 0 00 - 0 - 0
ICON 2 2177 Oct-16 2485 Jul-17 Jun-14 2294 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 Oct-14 117 42 232 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 FY16Q2 N N 5 2 810 307 500 061 1 00 - 0 - 0
Planetary InSight 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 6266 6751 6536 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 FY16Q2 N N 0 0 4 00 - 0 - 0
IRIS 3 Not Available 1671 Dec-12 1802 Jun-13 Nov-10 1671 1802 1873 Jun-13 1873 Jun-13 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 11 4 607 - 0
Jason-3 3 158 Apr-14 166 Apr-14 Jul-11 1552 Mar-15 1552 Mar-15 Jan-13 -28 -108 1579 Jul-15 1579 Jan-16 KDP-E draft N N -2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059 2 2 407 1020
JASD JPSS-1 1 Not Available 1623 Mar-17 Aug-13 0 1623 16235 Mar-17 KDP-D Apr-15 N N 0 0 36 48 2533 2637
JUICE 3 1034 Sep-19 1185 Sep-19 Apr-16 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 Apr-17 11 85 N N 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
JWST JWST 1 3117 Aug-11 3117 Aug-11 Jul-03 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 1264 1847 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046 0 0
JWSTreg 1 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 4044 3871 85104 Oct-18 88254 Oct-18 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 48 78 6493 5277 2577 205 1 -01 - 0 - 0
LADEE 2 1843 May-12 200 May-12 Dec-09 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 516 629 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 22 31 1217 1830 1027 178 26 34 1717 2433
LADEEreg 2 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 2619 Jul-13 2629 Nov-13 May-12 26 0 2738 Sep-13 2738 Sep-13 FY15Q1 Y N 10 0 203 - 0 1917 - 0 4 4 207 (203)
Landsat 9 2 851 Dec-20 928 Nov-21 Aug-16 838531 Dec-20 885029 Nov-21 Dec-17 -12469 -42971 N N -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
LCRD 2 2394 Feb-17 May-13 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 Apr-17 2571 233 N N 0 9 3343 4770 070 -6 -5 - 0 - 0
LDCM 2 710 Dec-12 800 Dec-12 Sep-09 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 140 142 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 16 18 - 0 607 707 086 -3 -3 - 0 - 0
LDCMreg 2 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 8608 Dec-12 9416 Jun-13 Dec-10 108 -04 8501 Feb-13 8568 Feb-13 FY15Q4 Y N 1 -0 - 0 - 0 867 - 0 -1 -9 207 (400)
STMD LDSD 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project
1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 1896 203 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0 9 13 917 1930
STMD LDSDreg 3 1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 2368 Dec-16 2368 Dec-16 Mar-15 472 338 249 Dec-16 249 Dec-16 FY15Q4 Y Y Y Y 20 17 1627 1627 2733 060 5 5 - 0 - 0
Mars 2020 1 2106 Jul-20 2351 Jul-20 May-15 22727 Jul-20 24435 Jul-20 STMDHEOMD added Jun-16 1667 925 N N 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0 -2 10 2437 3147
MAVEN 2 Not Available 6382 Nov-13 6712 Nov-13 Oct-10 6382 6712 598 Nov-13 600 Nov-13 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 -7 -11 - 0 - 0
MMS 1 9104 Oct-14 9904 Oct-14 Nov-07 10026 Aug-14 10826 Mar-15 Jun-09 922 922 1121 Sep-15 1121 Sep-15 FY16Q2 N N 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025 11 4 1320 613
MOMA 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)MOMA-MS did not have a traditional path of formulation NASArsquos participation on the MOMAinstrument began as a result of a proposal to the Mars Scout 2006 and Mission of OpportunityAnnouncement of Opportunity that proposal was selected for technology development In 2010NASA determined that the original team would not be able to produce a flight instrument onschedule and within acceptable risk NASA decided to bring the instrument technology andflight system development in-house to increase the probability of success The MOMA-MStechnology development effort was assigned to the Goddard Space Flight Center in Fall 2010The Project is entering the typical Life Cycle Review (LCR) process after a tailored PreliminaryDesign Review (PDR) and Key Decision Point (KDP)-C Until the time of KDP-C no formalAgency-level gate reviews were held (lack of KDP-A and KDP-B)
91 Oct-15 101 Oct-15 Apr-14 91 101 904 Jul-18 1004 Jul-18 FY16Q2 N N 0 0 -1 -1 3347 3347
MSL 1 Not Available 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 1474 1613 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
MSLreg 1 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 23185 Oct-11 23943 Nov-11 Apr-10 8445 7813 25176 Nov-11 25304 Nov-11 FY15Q1 Y Y Y Y 36 48 2533 2637 4527 058 8 6 103 - 0
NICER 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- the mission was selected from an AO and the down select places the project in phase B This was originally below $75 M threshold and no KDP DM were generated to document the cost and schedule

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
624 Aug-16 684 Feb-17 Feb-14 624 684 684 Feb-17 67 Feb-17 KDP-D Jan-16 N N 0 0 9 -2 613 - 0
NISAR 2 7183 Dec-20 8083 Dec-20 Feb-15 7953 Dec-21 8669 Sep-22 Aug-16 77 586 N N 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117
NuSTAR 3 1052 Oct-11 1052 Oct-11 Feb-08 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 554 554 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
NuSTARreg 3 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 1606 Nov-11 1606 Feb-12 Aug-10 0 0 166 Jun-12 166 Jun-12 FY14Q4 Y N 0 0 307 103 1167 009 3 3 710 403
OCO-2 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild
3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 3259 3499 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
OCO-2reg 2 3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 4377 Jul-14 4677 Feb-15 Jan-13 1118 1178 4276 Jul-14 4276 Jul-14 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 26 34 1717 2433 2767 088 -2 -9 - 0 (717)
OCO-3 3 1014 Jul-16 1115 Oct-16 Aug-13 1108 Mar-18 1148 May-18 May-16 94 33 N N 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
ESD ORION 1 96425 Sep-21 102886 Mar-22 Jan-13 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 11673 9949 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 FY16Q2 N N 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041 0 00 - 0 - 0
OSIRIS Rex 1 1085 Oct-16 1210 Oct-16 Apr-13 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 -336 -886 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0
OSIRIS Rexreg 1 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 9959 Oct-16 10642 Oct-16 Mar-14 -555 -572 10014 Oct-16 10572 Oct-16 FY16Q2 Y N -6 -5 - 0 - 0 1053 - 0 1 -1 - 0 - 0
PSP 1 1233 Jul-18 1439 Jul-18 Jan-12 13932 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 Mar-14 1602 1144 13931 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 FY16Q2 N N 11 8 103 103 2670 004 -0 00 - 0 - 0
SAGE III 3 1042 Aug-14 1152 Aug-14 Feb-12 101 Aug-14 112 Aug-14 Jul-12 -32 -32 1265 Aug-16 133 Aug-16 FY16Q2 N N -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0 20 19 2437 2437
SGSS 2 5165 Dec-15 6275 Sep-17 Aug-12 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 3155 2351 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
SGSSreg 1 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 11959 Jul-19 12079 Sep-19 Jul-15 3639 3453 1216 Jul-19 1228 Sep-19 PPBE18 PMR Y Y Y Y 30 40 2840 2740 2777 099 2 2 - 0 - 0
ESD SLS 1 7653 Mar-17 8587 Apr-17 Aug-12 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 741 1108 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 FY16Q1 N N 9 13 917 1930 2433 079 0 00 - 0 - 0
SMAP 2 5845 May-15 7792 May-15 Jan-10 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 1373 1373 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
SMAPreg 2 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 8744 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 Sep-12 1526 0 8899 May-15 8899 May-15 FY16Q2 Y N 17 0 - 0 - 0 397 - 0 2 -3 707 203
SOC 2 372 Jan-15 396 Mar-16 Dec-11 3662 Jan-17 4359 Oct-18 Mar-13 -58 399 2892 Oct-18 3789 Oct-18 FY16Q2 N N -2 10 2437 3147 1610 195 -27 -13 2127 - 0
SOFIA 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)SOFIA was reformulated because it was cancelled in the 2007 Budget The program went through multiple reviews until 2010 There is a file APMC Oct 6 2010 SOFIA r3 which is the confirmation review Sharedrive path USIDKDP and Other Decision MemosProjectsSOFIA

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project
29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 29476 29551 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
SOFIA (Budget) 1 29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 11431 Feb-14 11506 Feb-14 not a KDP Apr-14 -18045 -18045 29048 Feb-14 29122 Feb-14 FY16Q2 Budget Reduction N -158 -61 - 0 - 0 139100 - 0
SWOT 2 647 Oct-20 757 Oct-20 Jun-14 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 May-16 579 -21 N N 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
TEMPO 3 1708 May-17 2178 Dec-17 Apr-14 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 Apr-15 101 0 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 FY16Q2 N N 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008 0 00 - 0 - 0
TESS 2 350 Sep-17 400 Sep-17 May-14 3424 Dec-17 3784 Jun-18 Oct-14 -76 -216 31976 Dec-17 3517 Jun-18 FY16Q2 N N -2 -5 303 910 510 178 -7 -7 - 0 - 0
Currently in B Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) Schedule change Ratio
CLARREO-PF B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C
DART KDP-C in July Mean 13 -13 55 28 1729 115
Europa Clipper 02045454545 Median 17 -06 21 00 17483 0862
GeoCarb Standard Deviation 84 68 88 87 10875 0863
IXPE Minimum -27 -13 00 -72 397 050
Lucy Maximum 20 19 335 335 4527 310
MAIA
PACE
Psyche Paste data from above to this table for analysis
Restore-L -27 -13 2127 - 0 1610 050
SOC Replan Breach notification made DM not yet final -7 -7 - 0 - 0 080
TROPICS -7 -11 - 0 - 0 817 060
XARM -5 -10 307 - 0 867 088
-2 -9 - 0 (717) 2767 310
-2 -8 717 717 086
-1 -3 - 0 (400) 510 058
-1 -9 207 (400) 800 099
-1 -1 3347 3347 2240 205
1 -1 - 0 - 0 397
1 -01 - 0 - 0
2 2 - 0 - 0 1053
2 2 407 1020
2 -3 707 203 2577
1 00 - 0 - 0 2777
4 00 - 0 - 0 1887
3 3 710 403 1167
4 -4 - 0 - 0 1983
4 4 207 (203)
5 5 - 0 - 0 1917
8 6 103 - 0 2733
9 -2 613 - 0 4527
11 4 1320 613 503
11 4 607 - 0
20 19 2437 2437
Timeline Total Programs 46
Begin End Cost data Note Replans have KDP B = previous KDP C for comaprison planned Total Replans 14
2010 Present Total LCC Percent Replans 30
KDP-B KDP-C PresentFinal Breach Totals Statistics (B to C) or (C to Replan) Statistics - PresentFinal
KDP-B (LowMA) KDP-B (HighABC) KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) (MA) (ABC) 72618 20 13 13 9 COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
DIR ProgramProject Nameregdenotes Replan Category Cost LRD Cost LRD Signature Date Cost LRD Cost LRD Notes Signature Date Delta B to C (MA) Delta B to C (ABC) Cost LRD Cost LRD Source Replan Breach (YN) Schedule Breach Cost Breach B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC) C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC)
APD ASTRO-H 3 568 Aug-13 568 Aug-13 May-10 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 595 595 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 9 10 613 613 3450 018 21 34 2127 2530
APD ASTRO-Hreg 3 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 798 Nov-15 839 Mar-16 ABC +532 SEO option in Nov-13 1705 2115 74855 Feb-16 109271 Mar-16 FY17 Q1 Y Y Y Y 21 34 2127 2530 817 310 -7 30 307 - 0
ESD CYGNSS 3 1028 Oct-16 1728 Apr-17 Jul-13 1528 Oct-16 1812 May-17 Feb-14 50 84 159503 Dec-16 159503 Dec-16 FY18 Q3 N N 33 5 - 0 100 800 013 4 -12 203 (503)
JASD DSCOVR 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
928 Jan-15 Aug-13 0 928 928 Jan-15 94 Jan-15 KDP-E Jan-15 N N 0 0 0 1 - 0
x ESD ECOSTRESS 3 485 Aug-17 559 Aug-19 Apr-15 51043 Aug-17 55942 Aug-19 Dec-15 2543 0042 51043 Apr-18 52443 Aug-19 KDP-E May-18 N N 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0 0 0
HEO EGS 1 28119 Dec-17 31213 Mar-18 Feb-13 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 -1784 -3084 27418 Sep-18 28129 Nov-18 FY17 Q1 N N -7 -10 607 817 1923 042 4 00 307 - 0
HEO EGSreg 1 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 3145 Dec-19 3231 Jun-20 Dec-17 5115 4181 31446 Dec-19 31446 Dec-19 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 16 15 1827 1927 3957 049 -0 -27 - 0 (610)
x APD EUCLID 3 105 Dec-14 110 Dec-14 Jan-13 964 May-15 1014 May-16 ABC +44M for Science Center Sep-13 -86 -86 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -9 -8 503 1723 810 213 -1 -5 717 1117
APD EUCLIDreg 3 964 May-15 1454 May-16 Sep-13 179 Mar-17 190 Jun-18 Feb-16 826 446 206214 Mar-20 223452 Mar-20 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 46 31 2233 2537 2943 086 13 176 3653 2130
ESD GEDI 3 1208 May-18 1263 May-18 Aug-15 120774 Jun-18 126253 Mar-19 Jun-16 -0026 -0047 120774 Nov-18 123774 Mar-19 FY18 Q3 N N -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100 -7 -10 607 817
JASD GOES-R 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
108603 Oct-15 Apr-12 0 108603 10150 Nov-16 KDP-E Oct-16 N N 0 0 32 24 1013 1320
HPD GOLD 3 641 Dec-17 744 Dec-17 Feb-15 641 Oct-17 745 Apr-18 Mar-15 0 01 663 Feb-18 73 Apr-18 KDP-E Dec-17 N N 0 0 (203) 403 167 242 5 2 810 307
ESD GPM 2 Not Available 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 911 978 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16 Q1 N N 0 0 -2 -8 717 717
ESD GPMreg 2 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 906 Feb-14 933 Jun-14 Oct-11 -5 -45 8834 Feb-14 8904 Feb-14 FY17 Q3 Y Y Y -1 -5 717 1117 2240 050 -3 -5 - 0 (400)
ESD GRACE-FO 2 404 Aug-17 460 Aug-17 Aug-12 4059 Aug-17 4319 Feb-18 Feb-14 19 -281 4059 May-18 4319 May-18 FY18 Q3 N N 0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032 0 00 910 297
ESD ICESat-2 2 686 Apr-16 776 Nov-16 Aug-11 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 -122 842 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -2 11 813 603 1687 036 10 0 203 - 0
ESD ICESat-2reg 1 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 9915 Oct-17 10635 Jun-18 May-14 3177 2033 10561 Sep-18 10636 Oct-18 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 32 24 1013 1320 1660 080 6 00 1117 407
HPD ICON 2 2177 Oct-16 2485 Jul-17 Jun-14 2294 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 Oct-14 117 42 243 Jun-18 2527 Jun-18 FY18 Q3 N N 5 2 810 307 500 061 6 00 1217 810
PSD InSight 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight
6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 6266 6751 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0 ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE
PSD InSightreg 2 6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 8189 May-18 8289 May-18 Sep-16 1923 1538 8138 May-18 8138 May-18 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 23 23 2637 2637 3050 086 -1 -18 - 0 - 0
HPD IRIS 3 Not Available 1671 Dec-12 1802 Jun-13 Nov-10 1671 1802 1873 Jun-13 1873 Jun-13 FY16 Q1 N N 0 0 11 4 607 - 0
ESD Jason-3 3 158 Apr-14 166 Apr-14 Jul-11 1552 Mar-15 1552 Mar-15 Jan-13 -28 -108 1579 Jul-15 1579 Jan-16 KDP-E Sep-16 N N -2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059 2 2 407 1020
JASD JPSS-1 1 Not Available 1623 Mar-17 Aug-13 0 1623 16235 Mar-17 KDP-D Apr-15 N N 0 0 36 48 2533 2637
x PSD JUICE 3 1034 Sep-19 1185 Sep-19 Apr-16 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 Apr-17 11 85 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 KDP-C Apr-17 N N 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
JWST JWST 1 3117 Aug-11 3117 Aug-11 Jul-03 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 1264 1847 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046 0 0
JWST JWSTreg 1 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 4044 3871 85104 Oct-18 88254 Oct-18 FY16 Q2 Y Y Y Y 48 78 6493 5277 2577 205 1 -01 - 0 - 0
JWST JWSTregreg 1 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 94889 Nov-20 96627 Mar-21 May-18 10639 8277 94889 Nov-20 96627 Mar-21 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 9 2940 8113 036
PSD LADEE 2 1843 May-12 200 May-12 Dec-09 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 516 629 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 22 31 1217 1830 1027 178 26 34 1717 2433
PSD LADEEreg 2 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 2619 Jul-13 2629 Nov-13 May-12 26 0 2738 Sep-13 2738 Sep-13 FY15 Q1 Y N 10 0 203 - 0 1917 - 0 4 4 207 (203)
x ESD Landsat 9 2 851 Dec-20 928 Nov-21 Aug-16 838531 Dec-20 885029 Nov-21 Dec-17 -12469 -42971 8385 Dec-20 885 Nov-21 FY18 Q3 N N -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
STMD LCRD 2 2394 Feb-17 May-13 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 Apr-17 2571 233 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 FY18 Q3 N N 0 9 3343 4770 070 -6 -5 - 0 - 0
ESD LDCMLandsat 8 2 710 Dec-12 800 Dec-12 Sep-09 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 140 142 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 16 18 - 0 607 707 086 -3 -3 - 0 - 0
ESD LDCMLandsat 8reg 2 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 8608 Dec-12 9416 Jun-13 Dec-10 108 -04 85006 Feb-13 85666 Feb-13 FY18 Q3 Y N 1 -0 - 0 - 0 867 - 0 -1 -9 207 (400)
STMD LDSD 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 1896 203 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0 9 13 917 1930
STMD LDSDreg 3 1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 2368 Dec-16 2368 Dec-16 Mar-15 472 338 249 Dec-16 249 Dec-16 FY15 Q4 Y Y Y Y 20 17 1627 1627 2733 060 5 5 - 0 - 0
x PSD Mars 2020 1 2106 Jul-20 2351 Jul-20 May-15 22727 Jul-20 24435 Jul-20 STMDHEOMD added Jun-16 1667 925 23634 Jul-20 25304 Jul-20 FY18 Q3 N N 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0 -2 10 2437 3147
PSD MAVEN 2 Not Available 6382 Nov-13 6712 Nov-13 Oct-10 6382 6712 5753 Nov-13 5753 Nov-13 FY16 Q3 N N 0 0 -11 -14 - 0 - 0
HPD MMS 1 9104 Oct-14 9904 Oct-14 Nov-07 10026 Aug-14 10826 Mar-15 Jun-09 922 922 1098 Mar-15 1098 Mar-15 FY18 Q2 N N 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025 9 1 707 - 0
PSD MOMA 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)MOMA-MS did not have a traditional path of formulation NASArsquos participation on the MOMAinstrument began as a result of a proposal to the Mars Scout 2006 and Mission of OpportunityAnnouncement of Opportunity that proposal was selected for technology development In 2010NASA determined that the original team would not be able to produce a flight instrument onschedule and within acceptable risk NASA decided to bring the instrument technology andflight system development in-house to increase the probability of success The MOMA-MStechnology development effort was assigned to the Goddard Space Flight Center in Fall 2010The Project is entering the typical Life Cycle Review (LCR) process after a tailored PreliminaryDesign Review (PDR) and Key Decision Point (KDP)-C Until the time of KDP-C no formalAgency-level gate reviews were held (lack of KDP-A and KDP-B)
91 Oct-15 101 Oct-15 Apr-14 91 101 120243 Jul-20 128226 Jul-20 FY18 Q3 N N 0 0 24 27 5783 5783
PSD MSL 1 Not Available 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 1474 1613 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
PSD MSLreg 1 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 23185 Oct-11 23943 Nov-11 Apr-10 8445 7813 25176 Nov-11 25304 Nov-11 FY15 Q1 Y Y Y Y 36 48 2533 2637 4527 058 8 6 103 - 0
ESD NICER 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- the mission was selected from an AO and the down select places the project in phase B This was originally below $75 M threshold and no KDP DM were generated to document the cost and schedule

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
624 Aug-16 684 Feb-17 Feb-14 624 684 694 Jun-17 706 Aug-17 KDP-E May-17 N N 0 0 10 3 1013 603
x ESD NISAR 2 7183 Dec-20 8083 Dec-20 Feb-15 7953 Dec-21 8669 Sep-22 Aug-16 77 586 7953 Dec-21 8969 Sep-22 FY18 Q3 N N 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117 0 00346060676 0 0
APD NuSTAR 3 1052 Oct-11 1052 Oct-11 Feb-08 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 554 554 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
APD NuSTARreg 3 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 1606 Nov-11 1606 Feb-12 Aug-10 0 0 115315 Jun-12 115315 Jun-12 FY15 Q1 Y N 0 0 307 103 1167 009 -39 -28 710 403
ESD OCO-2 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild
3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 3259 3499 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
ESD OCO-2reg 2 3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 4377 Jul-14 4677 Feb-15 Jan-13 1118 1178 4245 Jul-14 4245 Jul-14 FY17 Q1 Y Y Y Y 26 34 1717 2433 2767 088 -3 -9 - 0 (717)
x ESD OCO-3 3 1014 Jul-16 1115 Oct-16 Aug-13 1108 Mar-18 1148 May-18 May-16 94 33 113388 Mar-18 113388 May-18 FY18 Q3 N N 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
HEO Orion 1 96425 Sep-21 102886 Mar-22 Jan-13 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 11673 9949 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041 ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE
HEO Orionreg 1 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 116581 Jun-22 116581 Jun-22 Jun-18 8483 3746 116581 Jun-22 116581 Jun-22 FY18 Q3 Y N 7 3 1013 (1013) 3347 030 0 00 - 0 - 0
PSD OSIRIS Rex 1 1085 Oct-16 1210 Oct-16 Apr-13 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 -336 -886 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0
PSD OSIRIS Rexreg 1 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 9959 Oct-16 10642 Oct-16 Mar-14 -555 -572 9975 Sep-16 10532 Sep-16 FY18 Q3 Y N -6 -5 - 0 - 0 1053 - 0 0 -1 (100) (100)
HPD PSP 1 1233 Jul-18 1439 Jul-18 Jan-12 13932 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 Mar-14 1602 1144 13821 Aug-18 15482 Aug-18 FY18 Q3 N N 11 8 103 103 2670 004 -1 -03 - 0 - 0
ESD SAGE III 3 1042 Aug-14 1152 Aug-14 Feb-12 101 Aug-14 112 Aug-14 Jul-12 -32 -32 129364 Feb-17 129364 Feb-17 FY18 Q3 N N -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0 22 16 3050 3050
HEO SGSS 2 5165 Dec-15 6275 Sep-17 Aug-12 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 3155 2351 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
HEO SGSSreg 1 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 11959 Jul-19 12079 Sep-19 Jul-15 3639 3453 1251 Sep-19 1261284 Nov-19 Path Forward APMC Dec 2016 Y Y Y Y 30 40 2840 2740 2777 099 4 4 223 267
HEO SLS 1 7653 Mar-17 8587 Apr-17 Aug-12 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 741 1108 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 FY16 Q1 N N 9 13 917 1930 2433 079 0 00 - 0 - 0
HEO SLSreg 1 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 9734 Dec-19 9843 Jun-20 Dec-17 1340 148 98029 Dec-19 98029 Dec-19 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 14 2 2433 1927 4060 047 1 -04
ESD SMAP 2 5845 May-15 7792 May-15 Jan-10 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 1373 1373 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
ESD SMAPreg 2 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 8744 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 Sep-12 1526 0 8899 Jan-15 8899 Jan-15 FY18 Q3 Y N 17 0 - 0 - 0 397 - 0 2 -3 307 (197)
HPD SOC 2 372 Jan-15 396 Mar-16 Dec-11 3662 Jan-17 4359 Oct-18 Mar-13 -58 399 3433 Feb-20 3866 Feb-20 FY18 Q3 N N -2 10 2437 3147 1610 195 -7 -11 3753 1627
APD SOFIA 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)SOFIA was reformulated because it was cancelled in the 2007 Budget The program went through multiple reviews until 2010 There is a file APMC Oct 6 2010 SOFIA r3 which is the confirmation review Sharedrive path USIDKDP and Other Decision MemosProjectsSOFIA
29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 29476 29551 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
APD SOFIAreg 1 29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 11431 Feb-14 11506 Feb-14 not a KDP Apr-14 -18045 -18045 15874 Feb-14 15949 Feb-14 FY18 Q3 Y N -158 -61 - 0 - 0 139100 - 0
x ESD SWOT 2 647 Oct-20 757 Oct-20 Jun-14 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 May-16 579 -21 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 FY18 Q3 N N 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
ESD TEMPO 3 1708 May-17 2178 Dec-17 Apr-14 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 Apr-15 101 0 181242 Sep-17 197242 Nov-17 FY18 Q3 N N 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008 0 -94 - 0 - 0
APD TESS 2 350 Sep-17 400 Sep-17 May-14 3424 Dec-17 3784 Jun-18 Oct-14 -76 -216 3333 Apr-18 3333 Jun-18 FY18 Q3 N N -2 -5 303 910 510 178 -3 -12 403 - 0
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) Schedule change Ratio
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C
Mean 90 88 50 81 1773 057
02045454545 Median 82 49 10 60 16233 0374
Standard Deviation 118 164 77 97 13962 0647
Minimum -7 -10 -71 -31 147 - 0 SPP
Maximum 38 59 244 345 7433 242 EUCLIDreg
GSDO
ICESat-2reg
Paste data from above to this table for analysis ORION
-7 -10 607 817 1923 042 SLS
-3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0 TEMPO
-2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059
0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032
Total KDPs Within Cost Range of Prior KDP Total KDPs Within Schedule Range of Prior KDP -2 -5 303 910 510 178
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0
MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 14 31 45 31 MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 27 26 53 51 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008
ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 19 33 52 37 ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 21 32 53 40 0 0 (203) 403 167 242
5 2 810 307 500 061
KDP-A to KDP-B Cost KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule 33 5 - 0 100 800 013
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 11 8 103 103 2670 004
KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 4 10 14 29 KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 13 9 22 59 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025
KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 9 12 21 43 KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 12 10 22 55 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041
-2 10 2437 3147 1610 195
9 10 613 613 3450 018
KDP-B to KDP-C Cost KDP-B to KDP-C Schedule -2 11 813 603 1687 036
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 9 13 917 1930 2433 079
MA at or below KDP-B Low 10 21 31 32 MA at or below KDP-B Low 14 17 31 45 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
ABC at or below KDP-B High 10 21 31 32 ABC at or below KDP-B High 9 22 31 29 16 18 - 0 607 707 086
22 31 1217 1830 1027 178
38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
KDP-A to KDP-C Cost KDP-A to KDP-C Schedule 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046
MA at or below KDP-A Low 2 7 9 22 MA at or below KDP-A Low 5 12 17 29 added 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0
ABC at or below KDP-A High 5 11 16 31 ABC at or below KDP-A High 3 14 17 18 added -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100
added 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
added -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
added 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0
added 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117
KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) Replan (MA) Replan (ABC) KDP-C to Replan (MA) KDP-C to Replan (ABC) KDP-C (or Replan) to PresentFinal (MA) KDP-C (or Replan) to PresentFinal (ABC) added 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
added 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
Percentage of Project CostSchedule HighLow Estimates Within Prior KDP Range Estimates
B Estimate at or below A Estimate C Estimate at or below B Estimate C Estimate at or below A Estimate Total at or below Preceding KDP Estimate
Cost - High 43 32 31 37
Cost - Low 29 32 22 31
Schedule - High 55 29 18 40
Schedule - Low 59 45 29 51
Page 4: Cost and Schedule Insights - NASA

LCC and Dev Cost Metrics Against Baseline

4

70 Joint Cost and Schedule ConfidenceAre we meeting the expected 70 success rate across the portfolio

bull NPR 71205Ebull ABC at 70 confidence

MA at 50 confidencebull

bull Aggregate NASA confidence at baselinebull ABC at 71 confidence

MA at 52 confidencebull

bull Actual performancebull 41 of projects met ABC commitments

30 of projects met MA commitmentsbull

bull Projects currently in Phase Dbull 20 meeting ABC commitments

0 meeting MA commitmentsbull

5

Formulation Cost and Schedule Ranges

bull

bullbull

bull

bullbull

Are we capturing the Agencyrsquos cost exposure in early estimates

In aggregate the high cost estimate is at or below the high estimate established at the preceding KDP

37 of the time for cost40 of the time for schedule

For projects that held a KDP-A the eventual KDP-C baseline cost and schedule (high estimates) are at or below the KDP-A estimate

31 of the time for cost18 of the time for schedule

6

Development Cost Metrics When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation

28Avg LV Proportion of Dev Cost Baseline

-8Avg Post-Baseline LV Cost Variation

7

Development Cost Performance When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost VariationHow would our development cost reporting metrics change

Lower LV costs can provide unexpected funds to cover growth in reporting

Lower LV costs sometimes have no effect on cost reporting

Higher LV costs can mask otherwise good cost performance

8

bull NASA cost performance has drastically improved since the early 2000rsquos

We are falling short of our portfolio goal of 70 projects hitting cost targets

Our cost and schedule ranges at KDP-A and KDP-B are optimistic and more often than do not capture the eventual high cost or schedule commitments at KDP-C baseline

Development cost reporting metrics can misrepresent how our projects are performing (both positively and negatively) if the LV contract award is well above or below the estimate included in the KDP-C baseline

bull

bull

bull

9

Back-up

10

1111

1212

Total KDPs Within Cost Range of Prior KDPYes No Total Percent At or Below

MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 14 31 45 31ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 19 33 52 37

Total KDPs Within Schedule Range of Prior KDPYes No Total Percent At or Below

MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 27 26 53 51ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 21 32 53 40

KDP-A to KDP-B CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 4 10 14 29KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 9 12 21 43

KDP-A to KDP-B ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 13 9 22 59KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 12 10 22 55

KDP-B to KDP-C CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-B Low 10 21 31 32ABC at or below KDP-B High 10 21 31 32

KDP-B to KDP-C ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-B Low 14 17 31 45ABC at or below KDP-B High 9 22 31 29

KDP-A to KDP-C CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-A Low 2 7 9 22ABC at or below KDP-A High 5 11 16 31

KDP-A to KDP-C ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-A Low 5 12 17 29ABC at or below KDP-A High 3 14 17 18

MAIN

KDP-B (LowMA)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO5686275102848528119263351059641208640999999999999949114046866738217762661581034311743818425184323598517108501896210691041474718310521606325899999999999981014964251080981085105140000000000011233104251658327653839458457218372294766471708KDP-C (MA)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO6275798152800000000000015104299999999999926335314596417912077464099999999999994911906405967389915229462668189167115519999999999999114443818425948892359261899999999999988385309999999999525710000000000002850860818962368227269999999999986382000000000000510026911474231856247953160616063258999999999999843771108108098116581105140000000000019959139321018321195900000000000183949734721887443662294761143099999999999970491809KDP-B (HighABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO568627517285593121328129110145412637440000000000000697846077686022485675116611853117496488352002628999999999999892823948009422032351990416138083105216063499111510288611283512101121400000000000114391152627586268587969577929165396295517572178KDP-C (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO62758389999999999999118129285594228129323110141901262531086037459789334319860210635252767518289180215519999999999999162312749648835966270000000000072628999999999999826289999999999998885029262794294162032368244356712108259999999999991011613239430000000000026840000000000000686691606160634994677114811283511658111214000000000001106421553411286261207900000000000196959843916591654359295511150599999999999975492178

COST ($M)

KDP-C to Replan (MA)595000000000000281704999999999999750000000000000014025429999999999993-178400000000000095115-85999999999999943826-25999999999996248E-200911-518999999999999773-1220000000000004531770000000000005117000000000000176266192299999999999951671-2800000000000011401112644044106389999999999965159999999999999425999999999999972-1246900000000005125710000000000002140107999999999999551896472000000000000171666999999999998263820000000000005922000000000000459114748445624775539999999999999103258999999999999811180000000000001939999999999999151167299999999999384830000000000109-33599999999999909-5550000000000011416020000000000005-3200000000000002831553639000000000000974113401372999999999999515260000000000002-5800000000000011429476-180455789999999999997710099999999999994-76000000000000227KDP-C to Replan (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPOTESS59500000000000028211499999999999918399999999999977392842000000000001592E-2-3084000000000000941809999999999991-8599999999999994344599999999999994-46999999999997044E-210860399999999999994316E-2978-45-281000000000000238420000000000004520329999999999995419999999999998866751153799999999999951802-108000000000000111623851847387182770000000000073628999999999999770-4297100000000000423299999999999983142-039999999999997726203338000000000000119256712921999999999999321011613781300000000000186840000000000000658600000000000023553999999999999910349911780000000000001329999999999999729948999999999996437460000000000036-88599999999999909-5720000000000004511440000000000009-32000000000000028235100000000000023453000000000000711081481372999999999999503989999999999997729551-18045-210000000000002270-21600000000000023

COST Change ($M)

B to C (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPOTESS01047535211267606203370517928286851448611111111110973E-2075077759107650046E-4-98804985102361215E-201486366383447687-7818181818181813E-2030674002751031632-37226838174140057E-4013440860215052999E-30-46012269938650305E-2-61086956521739177E-201085051546391753202363403859567541916901408450704179E-200227818101022070730-65060240963855487E-2071729957805907171E-20592556945781199880779814665592264319368421052631587E-20314499999999999890-4630495689655173E-288694328130947783E-2017749999999999999-42462845010613295E-400166502463054187263934495959166312E-2093093699515347267E-200048437693738375709067597185373168792E-20526615969581748940003366676193198057128745644599303111E-296699259374453242E-233198918775202764E-2-732231404958677E-2-5100766898519711E-279499652536483736E-2-27777777777777801E-203746613545816733204003014143287735301290322580645161315265600825167612E-20176206365503080030010075757575757570-061063923386687424-27818254073387508E-30-54000000000000055E-2

COST Change ()

Cost - HighB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate04285714285714285503225806451612903103125036538461538461536Schedule - HighB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate054545454545454541029032258064516131017647058823529413039622641509433965Cost - LowB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate02857142857142857032258064516129031022222222222222221031111111111111112Schedule - LowB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate059090909090909094045161290322580644029411764705882354050943396226415094

Data only (no charts)

plots

program table

A to B

A to B Cost

High Cost Estimate Change

KDP-A to KDP-B

Category 1 Change (high)01682251932581422Category 2 Change (high)60501935980863335E-2Category 3 Change (high)37110484780157868E-2Total Change (high)014626442296281486

Low Cost Estimate Change

KDP-A to KDP-B

Category 1 Change (low)010106870229007633Category 2 Change (low)19806591564406897Category 3 Change (low)0Total Change (low)21873131670301591

A to B Schedule

KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule Growth - Low Estimate

(in months)

MissionRestore-LSLSPACEWFIRSTOCO-3PSPLCRDEuclidGRACE-FOMars 2020SAGE-IIISWOTLADEEDARTNISARJASON-3MMSECOSTRESSSMAPXARMSOCOrion0-9-49-2-1-100000200912326273242

KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule Growth - High Estimate

(in months)

MissionRestore-LSLSPACEWFIRSTOCO-3PSPLCRDEuclidGRACE-FOMars 2020SAGE-IIISWOTLADEEDARTNISARJASON-3MMSECOSTRESSSMAPXARMSOCOrion-36-8-8-3-2-1-1000002569121726414451

image1png

image2png

image3png

image4png

Cost Variation Against Baselines

13

Methodology and Assumptions

The first step in conducting this analysis was to verify and validate the cost baseline information using source documentation KDP-C figures takes priority as the definitive baseline Where KDP-C decision memoranda was not available as in the case of many projects baselined prior to approximately 2009 figures were pulled from the first appearance as a development project in a Presidentrsquos Budget as the baseline against which to measure In a few cases notificationsreports to Congress (eg NSPD-49 reports) were used to identify a baseline figure MA figures were pulled solely from decision memoranda and thus our dataset with regard to MArsquos is smaller as it excludes many of the older projects that did not have standardized baseline documentation with MArsquos noted Variance to the baseline was then measured by using the most recent quarterly cost and schedule report Latest cost data is valid through the FY18 Q3 reporting period Slide 3 charts illustrate each project in the dataset with respective LCC and dev cost variances

The confidence level policy applied to each project was noted using source documentation as well as a cross-reference against when policy changes were implemented recognizing that a subset of projects received waivers to new policies during policy transition Certain exclusions were applied to ensure a dataset comparable across projects For example SOFIA had conducted a JCL on a replan but the decision memorandum made clear the baseline was not changing therefore the JCL confidence level could not fairly be applied to measure performance against the baseline Another example is GPM which was excluded as it was one of the very first projects baselined after JCL policy implementation and was not a ldquotruerdquo JCL with the decision memorandum noting that the intent was met while a JCL DPMC would be held many months later to evaluate progress There were a couple of additional exclusions applied

When a project is confirmed at KDP-C cost performance measurements were applied to that baseline If a project was then rebaselined a ldquonewrdquo project was added to the dataset using the rebaselined figures against which to measure as the Agency made the decision at that point to press ahead with the project and Congress provided reauthorization The ldquooriginalrdquo project was ldquofrozenrdquo in terms of development phase to fairly capture the contemporary phase performance (eg the ldquooriginalrdquo OCO-2 cost growth will always be categorized within the ldquoprojects in developmentrdquo performance category while the rebaselined OCO-2 cost performance falls into the ldquoprojects launchedrdquo category) The latest cost figures however were used to measure cost performance across both original baselines and rebaselines in order to fairly capture the accuracy of original estimates against final outcomes

This insight while placing an emphasis on the JCL while measuring performance does not intend to convey a discovered causal relationship between JCL and cost performance There have been many other related programmatic and technical advancements over the past 10 to 20 years that have influenced cost and schedule performance in the overall positive direction Other insights look into other influencers of costschedule performance

13

Dev Cost Metrics Controlling for LV Cost Variation

14

Methodology and Assumptions

SID pulled a number of data elements from a total of 22 SMD projects to conduct this analysis Data elements from a projectrsquos baseline include total development cost and the launch services cost estimate and have been sourced from KDP documentation quarterly reports and Cost Analysis Data Requirements (CADREs) These data were compared to currentactual total development and launch services costs from the most recent KDPquarterly reports Other data elements include Division Lead Center type of launch vehicle LCC category and current phase

SID calculated the overall development cost deltas from the baseline cost and verified the percentage growth with external reporting data where applicable SID then calculated the percent change in launch services development cost from baseline to currentactual The development cost percent change was calculated after removing launch services from the inputs

For further insight these same calculations were conducted by Division Lead Center type of launch vehicle and LCC category Division Lead Center and LCC category were then further broken down by looking only at projects currently in development

The 22 projects used in this analysis include Mars 2020 ICESat-2 ICON InSight SOC PSP SWOT TESS Juno Landsat-8 MMS OSIRIS-REx SMAP MAVEN GRAIL NuSTAR RBSP IRIS LADEE OCO-2 CYGNSS and Landsat 9 Representation includes seven planetary science seven earth science six heliophysics and two astrophysics missions twelve GSFC-led projects and eight JPL-led projects (LaRC and ARC representing the other two) ten Atlas V one Delta IV-H two Falcon 9 four Delta II four Pegasus and one Minotaur V rockets and six category 1 thirteen category 2 and three category 3 projects Seven projects assessed are currently in development

Other projects considered were excluded if launch was or is to be on a ride-share and launch services costs were negligible (eg RBI) Projects launching on internationally-contributed rockets were also excluded (eg GPM JWST) Other exclusions were based on data limitations at the time of analysis (eg no launch services costs available from baseline)

Did not add GPM international launchSOFIA no launchJWST international launch

RBI rideshareSentinel-6 international launch

Dawn no launch vehicle numbers availableSNPP No baseline LV estimate available

NISAR international launchLCRD rideshare

GRACE-FO rideshare

14

Sheet1

LV Percent ChangeJunoRBSPGRAILMMSNuSTARLandsat-8LADEEMAVENIRISSMAPSOCOSIRIS-RExCYGNSSInSightPSPICESat-2ICONTESSSWOTMars 2020Landsat 9-45693277310924457E-2-89820359281436273E-3-13089005235602092E-2-79299691040164669E-2-72625698324022187E-2-36392405063291208E-2036117381489841988-01759358288770053754455445544554525E-2-894617134192571E-2-030924586177798574-01931623931623931101912045889101338753833646028768001E-2-12694541231126538E-2-39142073098874007E-336848699240916792E-2-023399649430324276-017936024371667944-030075113341448961-12953367875648773E-3

Sheet2

Formulation KDPs

15

Methodology and Assumptions

Comparative analysis was conducted where possible (ie when highlow costschedule figures were available in KDP-ABC decision memoranda This analysis does not attempt to explain why the majority of costschedule estimates at KDPrsquos exceed prior estimates

Cost and schedule ranges were extracted from KDP-A and KDP-B decision memoranda Agency Baseline Commitments and Management Agreements were extracted from KDP-C decision memoranda Lifecycle cost was used in all cases (as opposed to development cost only) A project did not need to have all KDP-A through C figures to be included in the analysis (eg a project that did not have a KDP-A range was still included in the KDP-B to KDP-C statistics)

This analysis includes data from KDP-A KDP-B and KDP-C milestones At KDP-A and KDP-B a high and low estimate is established for both cost and schedule At KDP-C a Management Agreement and an Agency Baseline Commitment is established for both cost and schedule For ease of conveyance this analysis equates the Management Agreement as the low estimate for KDP-C and equates the Agency Baselines Commitment as the high estimate for KDP-C

15

  • PRESENTATION COVER - Cost and Schedule Insights
  • Todayrsquos Discussion
  • LCC and Development Cost Metrics Against Baseline
  • LCC and Dev Cost Metrics Against Baseline
  • 70 Joint Cost and Schedule Confidence Are we meeting the expected 70 success rate across the portfolio
  • Formulation Cost and Schedule Ranges Are we capturing the Agencyrsquos cost exposure in early estimates
  • Development Cost Metrics When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation
  • Development Cost Performance When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation How would our development cost reporting metrics change
  • NASA cost performance hashellip
  • Back-up
  • Bar Graph
  • Tables
  • Cost Variation Against Baselines Methodology and Assumptions
  • Dev Cost Metrics Controlling for LV Cost Variation Methodology and Assumptions
  • Formulation KDPs Methodology and Assumptions
Column1 KDP-C Date Lead Center Division Launch Vehicle LCC Category Phase Development Baseline Development CurrentActuals LV Estimate at Baseline LV CurrentActuals Development Baseline less LV Estimates Development CurrentActuals less LV Actuals Development Percent Change LV Percent Change Development Percent Change less LV Notes
Juno Aug-08 JPL Planetary Atlas V 1 Ops $ 7423 $ 7089 $ 1904 $ 1817 $ 5519 $ 5272 -45 -46 -45
RBSP Dec-08 GSFC Helio Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5338 $ 5040 $ 1336 $ 1324 $ 4002 $ 3716 -56 -09 -71
GRAIL Jan-09 JPL Planetary Delta II 2 Ops $ 4270 $ 3983 $ 1528 $ 1508 $ 2742 $ 2475 -67 -13 -97
MMS Jun-09 GSFC Helio Atlas V 1 Ops $ 8573 $ 8753 $ 1942 $ 1788 $ 6631 $ 6965 21 -79 50
NuSTAR Sep-09 JPL Astro Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1099 $ 1162 $ 358 $ 332 $ 741 $ 830 57 -73 120
Landsat-8 Dec-09 GSFC Earth Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5830 $ 5028 $ 1264 $ 1218 $ 4566 $ 3810 -138 -36 -166
LADEE Aug-10 ARC Planetary Minotaur V 2 Ops $ 1682 $ 1882 $ 443 $ 603 $ 1239 $ 1279 119 361 32
OCO-2 Sep-10 JPL Earth Delta II 2 Ops $ 2490 $ 3200 $ 676 $ 1368 $ 1814 $ 1832 285 1024 10 against original baseline rebaseline primary LV-driven aside from some RWA issues
MAVEN Oct-10 GSFC Planetary Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5672 $ 4720 $ 1870 $ 1541 $ 3802 $ 3179 -168 -176 -164
IRIS Nov-10 GSFC Helio Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1407 $ 1430 $ 404 $ 426 $ 1003 $ 1004 16 54 01
SMAP May-12 JPL Earth Delta II 2 Ops $ 4857 $ 4543 $ 1319 $ 1201 $ 3538 $ 3342 -65 -89 -55
SOC Mar-13 GSFC Helio Atlas V 2 Dev $ 3769 $ 3100 $ 2500 $ 1727 $ 1269 $ 1373 -178 -309 82
OSIRIS-REx May-13 GSFC Planetary Atlas V 1 Ops $ 7786 $ 6156 $ 2340 $ 1888 $ 5446 $ 4268 -209 -193 -216
CYGNSS Feb-14 LaRC Earth Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1511 $ 1287 $ 523 $ 623 $ 988 $ 664 -148 191 -328
InSight Mar-14 JPL Planetary Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5418 $ 6483 $ 1599 $ 1685 $ 3819 $ 4798 197 54 256
PSP Mar-14 GSFC Helio Delta IV-H 1 Dev $ 10557 $ 10503 $ 4305 $ 4250 $ 6252 $ 6253 -05 -13 00
ICESat-2 May-14 GSFC Earth Delta II 1 Dev $ 7637 $ 7441 $ 1188 $ 1183 $ 6449 $ 6258 -26 -04 -30
ICON Oct-14 GSFC Helio Pegasus 2 Dev $ 1960 $ 1982 $ 543 $ 563 $ 1417 $ 1419 11 37 01
TESS Oct-14 GSFC Astro Falcon 9 2 Ops $ 3232 $ 2799 $ 1141 $ 874 $ 2091 $ 1925 -134 -234 -79
SWOT May-16 JPL Earth Falcon 9 2 Dev $ 5715 $ 5715 $ 1313 $ 1078 $ 4402 $ 4638 00 -179 53
Mars 2020 Jun-16 JPL Planetary Atlas V 1 Dev $ 16769 $ 17253 $ 3425 $ 2395 $ 13344 $ 14858 29 -301 113
Landsat 9 Dec-17 GSFC Earth Atlas V 2 Dev $ 6342 $ 6342 $ 1544 $ 1542 $ 4798 $ 4800 00 -01 00
Projects in Development $ 52749 $ 52336 $ 14819 $ 12738 $ 37930 $ 39598 -08 -140 44
Projects in Operations $ 66588 $ 63555 $ 18647 $ 18196 $ 47941 $ 45359 -46 -24 -54
Total $ 119337 $ 115891 $ 33466 $ 30935 $ 85871 $ 84956 -29 -76 -11
Development Baseline Development CurrentActuals LV Estimate at Baseline LV CurrentActuals Development Baseline less LV Estimates Development CurrentActuals less LV Actuals Development Percent Change LV Percent Change Development Percent Change less LV
GSFC Project Total $ 68103 $ 63294 $ 20377 $ 18325 $ 47726 $ 44969 -71 -101 -58
JPL Projects Total $ 48041 $ 49428 $ 12122 $ 11384 $ 35919 $ 38044 29 -61 59
Did not add GPM international launch GSFC Projects in Ops $ 37838 $ 33926 $ 10297 $ 9059 $ 27541 $ 24867 -103 -120 -97
SOFIA no launch JPL Projects in Ops $ 25557 $ 26460 $ 7384 $ 7911 $ 18173 $ 18549 35 71 21
JWST international launch GSFC Projects in Dev $ 30265 $ 29368 $ 10080 $ 9266 $ 20185 $ 20102 -30 -81 -04
RBI rideshare JPL Projects in Dev $ 22484 $ 22968 $ 4738 $ 3473 $ 17746 $ 19495 22 -267 99
Sentinel-6 international launch
Dawn no launch vehicle numbers available Astro $ 4331 $ 3961 $ 1499 $ 1206 $ 2832 $ 2755 -85 -195 -27
SNPP No baseline LV estimate available Planetary $ 49020 $ 47566 $ 13109 $ 11437 $ 35911 $ 36129 -30 -128 06
NISAR international launch Helio $ 31604 $ 30808 $ 11030 $ 10078 $ 20574 $ 20730 -25 -86 08
LCRD rideshare Earth $ 34382 $ 33556 $ 7827 $ 8213 $ 26555 $ 25343 -24 49 -46
GRACE-FO rideshare
Astro - Dev Only $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0
Planetary - Dev Only $ 16769 $ 17253 $ 3425 $ 2395 $ 13344 $ 14858 29 -301 113
Helio - Dev Only $ 16286 $ 15585 $ 7348 $ 6540 $ 8938 $ 9045 -43 -110 12
Earth - Dev Only $ 19694 $ 19498 $ 4045 $ 3803 $ 15649 $ 15695 -10 -60 03
Atlas V $ 72920 $ 69964 $ 19725 $ 16926 $ 53195 $ 53038 -41 -142 -03
Delta IV-H $ 10557 $ 10503 $ 4305 $ 4250 $ 6252 $ 6253 -05 -13 00
Falcon 9 $ 8947 $ 8514 $ 2454 $ 1952 $ 6493 $ 6562 -48 -205 11
Delta II $ 19254 $ 19167 $ 4711 $ 5260 $ 14543 $ 13907 -05 117 -44 this is skewed by OCO-2 which switched from the baseline Taurus XL to the Delta-II at the rebaseline
Pegasus $ 5977 $ 5861 $ 1828 $ 1944 $ 4149 $ 3917 -19 63 -56
Minotaur V $ 1682 $ 1882 $ 443 $ 603 $ 1239 $ 1279 119 361 32
Category 1 $ 58745 $ 57195 $ 15104 $ 13322 $ 43641 $ 43873 -26 -118 05
Category 2 $ 56575 $ 54817 $ 17076 $ 16232 $ 39499 $ 38585 -31 -49 -23
Category 3 $ 4017 $ 3879 $ 1285 $ 1381 $ 2732 $ 2498 -34 75 -86
Category 1 - Dev Only $ 34963 $ 35197 $ 8918 $ 7829 $ 26045 $ 27368 07 -122 51
Category 2 - Dev Only $ 17786 $ 17139 $ 5900 $ 4909 $ 11886 $ 12230 -36 -168 29
Category 3 - Dev Only $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0
LV of Total Dev at Baseline 280
LV of Total Dev at FY18 Q3 267
Launch Vehicle Percent Cost Variation from Baseline Estimate in Chronological Order
Mission LCC Category KDP-A (low) KDP-A (high) KDP-B (low) KDP-B (high) Low Delta (months) High Delta (months) KDP-C MA MA Variance from A KDP-C ABC ABC Variance from A
Restore-L 2 Jun-20 Dec-23 Jun-20 Dec-20 0 -36
SLS 1 Dec-17 Dec-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 -9 -8 Dec-17 0 Nov-18 11
PACE 2 Dec-22 Dec-23 Aug-22 Apr-23 -4 -8
WFIRST 1 Dec-24 Dec-26 Sep-25 Sep-26 9 -3
OCO-3 3 Sep-16 Dec-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 -2 -2 Mar-18 18 May-18 17
PSP 1 Aug-18 Aug-18 Jul-18 Jul-18 -1 -1 Aug-18 0 Aug-18 0
LCRD 2 Mar-17 Mar-17 Feb-17 Feb-17 -1 -1 Jun-19 27 Nov-19 32
Euclid 3 Dec-14 Dec-14 Dec-14 Dec-14 0 0 May-15 5 May-16 17
GRACE-FO 2 Aug-17 Aug-17 Aug-17 Aug-17 0 0 Aug-17 0 Feb-18 6
Mars 2020 1 Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20 0 0 Jul-20 0 Jul-20 0
SAGE-III 3 Aug-14 Aug-14 Aug-14 Aug-14 0 0 Aug-14 0 Aug-14 0
SWOT 2 Oct-20 Oct-20 Oct-20 Oct-20 0 0 Apr-21 6 Apr-22 18
LADEE 3 Mar-12 Mar-12 May-12 May-12 2 2 May-13 14 Nov-13 20
DART 2 Dec-20 Dec-20 Dec-20 May-21 0 5 KDP-BC was combined due to advanced design maturity so B highlow here is equal to ABCMA
NISAR 2 Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-20 Jun-22 0 6 Dec-21 12 Sep-22 9
JASON-3 3 Jul-13 Jul-13 Apr-14 Apr-14 9 9 Mar-15 20 Mar-15 20
MMS 1 Oct-13 Oct-13 Oct-14 Oct-14 12 12 Aug-14 10 Mar-15 17
ECOSTRESS 3 May-17 Mar-18 Aug-17 Aug-19 3 17 Aug-17 3 Aug-19 17
SMAP 2 Mar-13 Mar-13 May-15 May-15 26 26 Oct-14 19 Mar-15 24
XARM 3 Oct-19 Oct-19 Jan-22 Mar-23 27 41
SOC 2 Apr-15 Apr-15 Dec-17 Dec-18 32 44 Jan-17 21 Oct-18 42
Orion 1 Dec-17 Dec-17 Jun-21 Mar-22 42 51 Aug-21 44 Apr-23 64
MAIA 3 NA NA Dec-19 Mar-21 NA NA
ICON 3 NA NA Feb-17 Jun-17 NA NA
GOLD 3 NA NA Dec-17 Dec-17 NA NA
GeoCarb 3 NA NA Jun-22 Jun-23 NA NA
IXPE 3 NA NA Dec-20 Dec-20 NA NA
Landsat 9 2 NA NA Dec-20 Nov-21 NA NA
Lucy 2 NA NA Oct-21 Nov-21 NA NA
TROPICS 3 NA NA Sep-19 Sep-20 NA NA
JUICE 3 NA NA Sep-19 Sep-19 NA NA
Psyche 2 NA NA Aug-22 Aug-22 NA NA
Clipper 1 NA NA Jun-22 Jul-23 NA NA removed Clipper from schedule calculations due to no KDP-A schedule estimate
CLARREO-PF 3 Jan-20 Jan-22
COST Growth () Schedule Growth (months)
of Pp (LowMA) (HighABC) (LowMA) (HighABC)
Category I 7 62 165 88 85
Category II 12 38 109 59 40
Category III 15 - -07 56 96
COST Growth () Schedule Growth (months)
(LowMA) (HighABC) (LowMA) (HighABC)
Average 80 118 66 70
Median 15 - 00 00
Standard Deviation 145 233 129 189
Minimum -12 -65 -9 -36
Maximum 417 745 42 51
Mission LCC Category KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta2 Change (low) Notes KDP-C MA KDP-C ABC MA Variance From A ABC Variance From A
Clipper 1 $ 4000 $ 4000 $ - 0 00 $ 3000 $ 3100 $ 100 33
DART 2 $ 270 $ 291 $ 21 78 $ 175 $ 248 $ 73 417
Euclid 3 $ 110 $ 110 $ - 0 00 $ 100 $ 100 $ - 0 00 Combined KDP-AB so no possible change 964 1014 -4 -8
GRACE-FO 2 $ 470 $ 460 $ (10) -21 $ 409 $ 404 $ (5) -12 4059 4319 -1 -8
JASON-3 3 $ 159 $ 166 $ 7 44 $ - 0 $ 158 1552 1552 -2
LADEE 3 $ 214 $ 200 $ (14) -65 $ - 0 $ 184 2359 2629 23
LCRD 2 $ 239 $ 239 $ 0 02 $ 239 $ 239 $ 0 02 2571 2627 8 10
Mars 2020 1 $ 2350 $ 2351 $ 1 00 $ 2140 $ 2186 $ 46 21 22727 24435 6 4
MMS 1 $ 777 $ 990 $ 213 275 $ 777 $ 928 $ 151 195 10026 10826 29 39
NISAR 2 $ 808 $ 808 $ - 0 00 $ 718 $ 718 $ - 0 00 7953 8669 11 7
OCO-3 3 $ 120 $ 111 $ (9) -71 $ 100 $ 101 $ 1 13 1108 1148 11 -4
Orion 1 $ 6391 $ 10288 $ 3897 610 $ - 0 $ 8534 Moved LRD from EM-1 to EM-2 extending LCC timeframe 108098 112835 77
PACE 2 $ 850 $ 850 $ - 0 00 $ 805 $ 805 $ - 0 00
PSP 1 $ 1300 $ 1439 $ 139 107 $ 1000 $ 1233 $ 233 233 13932 15534 39 19
Restore-L 2 $ 787 $ 753 $ (34) -43 $ 500 $ 628 $ 128 256
SAGE-III 3 $ 112 $ 115 $ 3 27 $ - 0 $ 104 101 112 0
SLS 1 $ 8855 $ 8587 $ (268) -30 $ - 0 $ 7653 8394 9695 9
SMAP 2 $ 514 $ 649 $ 135 263 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 7218 9165 78
SOC 2 $ 243 $ 424 $ 181 745 $ - 0 $ 371 3662 4359 79
SWOT 2 $ 752 $ 757 $ 5 07 $ 642 $ 647 $ 5 08 7049 7549 10 0
XARM 3 $ 172 $ 217 $ 45 264 $ 161 $ 179 $ 18 110
Count KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta Change (low) Notes
Category 1 6 $ 23673 $ 27655 $ 3982 168 $ 3275 $ 3606 $ 331 101
Category 2 9 $ 4933 $ 5231 $ 298 61 $ 4474 $ 13335 $ 8861 1981
Category 3 6 $ 887 $ 920 $ 33 37 $ - 0 $ 7757 $ 7757 ERRORDIV0
Total 21 $ 29493 $ 33807 $ 4314 146 $ 7749 $ 24698 $ 16949 2187
Mission LCC Category KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta2 Change (low) Notes
CLARREO-PF 3 $ 75 $ (75) -1000 $ 64
ICON 3 $ 249 $ 218
ECOSTRESS 3 $ 56 $ 49
GeoCarb 3 $ 181 $ 171
GOLD 3 $ 74 $ 64
IXPE 3 $ 205 $ 189
JUICE 3 $ 119 $ 103
Landsat 9 2 $ 928 $ 851 KDP-BC was combined due to advanced design maturity so B highlow here is equal to ABCMA
Lucy 2 $ 984 $ 914
Psyche 2 $ 957 $ 907
TROPICS 3 $ 30 $ 30
MAIA 3 $ 178 $ 150
Cost Estimate Deltas - KDP-A to KDP-B COST Growth ()
Mission Estimate KDP-A KDP-B Notes of Pp Low (MA) High (ABC)
SOC High $ 243 745 $ 424 Category I 4 127 172
Low $ - 0 $ 371 Category II 5 -01 199
Orion High $ 6391 610 $ 10288 Moved LRD from EM-1 to EM-2 extending LCC timeframe Category III 4 00 01
Low $ - 0 $ 8534
SMAP High $ 514 263 $ 649
Low $ - 0 $ - 0
SPP High $ 1300 107 $ 1439
Low $ 1000 233 $ 1233
JASON-3 High $ 159 44 $ 166
Low $ - 0 $ 158
SAGE-III High $ 112 27 $ 115
Low $ - 0 $ 104
SWOT High $ 752 07 $ 757
Low $ 642 08 $ 647
Mars 2020 High $ 2350 00 $ 2351
Low $ 2140 21 $ 2186
NISAR High $ 808 00 $ 808
Low $ 718 00 $ 718
Euclid High $ 110 00 $ 110 Combined KDP-AB so no change possible
Low $ 100 00 $ 100
GRACE Follow On High $ 470 -21 $ 460
Low $ 409 -12 $ 404
SLS High $ 8855 -30 $ 8587
Low $ - 0 $ 7653
LADEE High $ 214 -65 $ 200
Low $ - 0 $ 184
ProgramProject Name Category KDP A to B analysis (13 missions)
ASTRO-H 3 ASTRO-Hreg 3 bull13 Missions KDP-B Data Unavailable
CYGNSS 3 CYGNSS 3 bull7 Missions KDP-Crsquos have not yet occurred
DSCOVR 3 DSCOVR 3
C ECOSTRESS 3 ECOSTRESS 3
EUCLID 3 EUCLIDreg 3 Euclid
C GEDI 3 GEDI 3
GOES-R 1 GOES-R 1
GOLD 3 GOLD 3
GPM 2 GPM 2
GRACE-FO 2 GRACE-FO 2 GRACE Follow On
GSDO 1 GSDO 1
ICESat-2 1 ICESat-2reg 1
ICON 2 ICON 2
InSight 2 InSight 2
IRIS 3 IRIS 3
Jason-3 3 Jason-3 3 JASON-3
JPSS-1 1 JPSS-1 1
JWST 1 JWSTreg 1
LADEE 2 LADEEreg 2 LADEE
C LCRD 3 LCRD 3
LDCM 2 LDCMreg 2
LDSD 3 LDSD 3
C Mars 2020 1 Mars 2020 1 Mars 2020
MAVEN 2 MAVEN 2
MMS 1 MMS 1
MOMA 3 MOMA 3
MSL 1 MSL 1
NICER 3 NICER 3
C NISAR 2 NISAR 2 NISAR
NuSTAR 3 NuSTARreg 3
OCO-2 2 OCO-2 2
C OCO-3 3 OCO-3 3
ORION 1 ORION 1 Orion
OSIRIS Rex 1 OSIRIS Rexreg 1
SAGE III 3 SAGE III 3 SAGE-III
SGSS 1 SGSSreg 1
SLS 1 SLS 1 SLS
SMAP 2 SMAPreg 2 SMAP
SOC 2 SOC 2 SOC
SOFIA 1 SOFIA 1
PSP 1 PSP 1 PSP
C SWOT 2 SWOT 2 SWOT
TEMPO 3 TEMPO 3
TESS 2 TESS 2
Clipper
DART
PACE
Restore-L
XARM
Statistics COST Growth ($M) Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Average 9 9 43 61 136 070
Median 5 6 20 45 112 034
Standard Deviation 14 16 73 83 93 081
Variance 2 3 535 685 871 066
Minimum -9 -8 (71) (31) 15 - 0
Maximum 38 53 244 315 345 242
no JWST
Statistics
COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 18 17 118 131 1989 065
Median 20 17 101 132 19167 0582
Standard Deviation 16 19 105 117 11557 0830
Sample Variance 3 4 1101 1377 133562 0688
Minimum -6 -5 - 0 - 0 397 - 0
Maximum 46 48 284 274 4527 310
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 20 21 156 159 2031 075
Median 21 20 132 147 20783 0589
Standard Deviation 17 25 174 155 11214 0881
Sample Variance 3 6 3035 2394 125751 0776
Minimum -6 -5 00 00 40 - 0
Maximum 48 78 649 528 453 31
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 4 3 47 136 253 054
Median 9 9 61 132 24333 042
Standard Deviation 10 12 52 56 6657 022
Sample Variance 1 1 273 311 44310 005
Minimum -7 -11 (10) 82 1923 041
Maximum 11 11 92 193 3243 079
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
of Pp B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC)
Category I 6 4 4 22 78
Category II 9 8 13 71 83
Category III 8 6 11 28 52
Timeline Total Programs 46
Begin End Cost data Note Replans have KDP B = previous KDB C for comaprison planned Total Replans 14
2010 Present Total LCC Percent Replans 30
KDP-B KDP-C PresentFinal Breach Totals Statistics (B to C) or (C to Replan) Statictics - PresentFinal
KDP-B (LowMA) KDP-B (HighABC) KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) (MA) (ABC) 41416 14 9 9 8 COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
DIR ProgramProject Nameregdenotes Replan Category Cost LRD Cost LRD Signature Date Cost LRD Cost LRD Notes Signature Date Delta B to C (MA) Delta B to C (ABC) Cost LRD Cost LRD Source Replan Breach (YN) Schedule Breach Cost Breach B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC) C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC)
ASTRO-H 3 568 Aug-13 568 Aug-13 May-10 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 595 595 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 9 10 613 613 3450 018 21 34 2127 2530
ASTRO-Hreg 3 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 798 Nov-15 839 Mar-16 ABC +532 SEO option in Nov-13 1705 2115 758 Feb-16 759 Mar-16 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 21 34 2127 2530 817 310 -5 -10 307 - 0
CYGNSS 3 1028 Oct-16 1728 Apr-17 Jul-13 1528 Oct-16 1812 May-17 Feb-14 50 84 1595 Oct-16 1742 May-17 FY16Q2 N N 33 5 - 0 100 800 013 4 -4 - 0 - 0
JASD DSCOVR 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
928 Jan-15 Aug-13 0 928 928 Jan-15 94 Jan-15 KDP-E Jan-15 N N 0 0 0 1 - 0
ECOSTRESS 3 485 Aug-17 559 Aug-19 Apr-15 51043 Aug-17 55942 Aug-19 Dec-15 2543 0042 N N 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0 0 0
EUCLID 3 105 Dec-14 110 Dec-14 Jan-13 964 May-15 1014 May-16 ABC +44M for Science Center Sep-13 -86 -86 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -9 -8 503 1723 810 213 -1 -5 717 1117
EUCLIDreg 3 964 May-15 1454 May-16 Sep-13 179 Mar-17 190 Jun-18 Feb-16 826 446 179 Dec-21 190 Dec-22 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 46 31 2233 2537 2943 086 0 00 5787 5480
GEDI 3 1208 May-18 1263 May-18 Aug-15 120774 Jun-18 126253 Mar-19 Jun-16 -0026 -0047 N N -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100 -7 -10 607 817
JASD GOES-R 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
108603 Oct-15 Apr-12 0 108603 108295 Oct-16 kDP-D Sep-14 N N 0 0 32 24 1013 1320
GOLD 3 641 Dec-17 744 Dec-17 Feb-15 641 Oct-17 745 Apr-18 Mar-15 0 01 N N 0 0 (203) 403 167 242 5 2 810 307
GPM 2 Not Available 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 911 978 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 -2 -8 717 717
GPMreg 2 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 906 Feb-14 933 Jun-14 Oct-11 -5 -45 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16Q2 Y Y Y -1 -5 717 1117 2240 050 -1 -3 - 0 (400)
GRACE-FO 2 404 Aug-17 460 Aug-17 Aug-12 4059 Aug-17 4319 Feb-18 Feb-14 19 -281 4079 Aug-17 4318 Feb-18 FY16Q2 N N 0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032 0 -00 - 0 - 0
ESD GSDO 1 28119 Dec-17 31213 Mar-18 Feb-13 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 -1784 -3084 26336 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 FY16Q2 N N -7 -10 607 817 1923 042 0 00 - 0 - 0
ICESat-2 2 686 Apr-16 776 Nov-16 Aug-11 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 -122 842 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -2 11 813 603 1687 036 10 0 203 - 0
ICESat-2reg 1 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 9915 Oct-17 10635 Jun-18 May-14 3177 2033 9916 Oct-17 10636 Jun-18 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 32 24 1013 1320 1660 080 0 00 - 0 - 0
ICON 2 2177 Oct-16 2485 Jul-17 Jun-14 2294 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 Oct-14 117 42 232 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 FY16Q2 N N 5 2 810 307 500 061 1 00 - 0 - 0
Planetary InSight 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 6266 6751 6536 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 FY16Q2 N N 0 0 4 00 - 0 - 0
IRIS 3 Not Available 1671 Dec-12 1802 Jun-13 Nov-10 1671 1802 1873 Jun-13 1873 Jun-13 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 11 4 607 - 0
Jason-3 3 158 Apr-14 166 Apr-14 Jul-11 1552 Mar-15 1552 Mar-15 Jan-13 -28 -108 1579 Jul-15 1579 Jan-16 KDP-E draft N N -2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059 2 2 407 1020
JASD JPSS-1 1 Not Available 1623 Mar-17 Aug-13 0 1623 16235 Mar-17 KDP-D Apr-15 N N 0 0 36 48 2533 2637
JUICE 3 1034 Sep-19 1185 Sep-19 Apr-16 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 Apr-17 11 85 N N 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
JWST JWST 1 3117 Aug-11 3117 Aug-11 Jul-03 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 1264 1847 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046 0 0
JWSTreg 1 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 4044 3871 85104 Oct-18 88254 Oct-18 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 48 78 6493 5277 2577 205 1 -01 - 0 - 0
LADEE 2 1843 May-12 200 May-12 Dec-09 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 516 629 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 22 31 1217 1830 1027 178 26 34 1717 2433
LADEEreg 2 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 2619 Jul-13 2629 Nov-13 May-12 26 0 2738 Sep-13 2738 Sep-13 FY15Q1 Y N 10 0 203 - 0 1917 - 0 4 4 207 (203)
Landsat 9 2 851 Dec-20 928 Nov-21 Aug-16 838531 Dec-20 885029 Nov-21 Dec-17 -12469 -42971 N N -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
LCRD 2 2394 Feb-17 May-13 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 Apr-17 2571 233 N N 0 9 3343 4770 070 -6 -5 - 0 - 0
LDCM 2 710 Dec-12 800 Dec-12 Sep-09 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 140 142 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 16 18 - 0 607 707 086 -3 -3 - 0 - 0
LDCMreg 2 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 8608 Dec-12 9416 Jun-13 Dec-10 108 -04 8501 Feb-13 8568 Feb-13 FY15Q4 Y N 1 -0 - 0 - 0 867 - 0 -1 -9 207 (400)
STMD LDSD 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project
1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 1896 203 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0 9 13 917 1930
STMD LDSDreg 3 1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 2368 Dec-16 2368 Dec-16 Mar-15 472 338 249 Dec-16 249 Dec-16 FY15Q4 Y Y Y Y 20 17 1627 1627 2733 060 5 5 - 0 - 0
Mars 2020 1 2106 Jul-20 2351 Jul-20 May-15 22727 Jul-20 24435 Jul-20 STMDHEOMD added Jun-16 1667 925 N N 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0 -2 10 2437 3147
MAVEN 2 Not Available 6382 Nov-13 6712 Nov-13 Oct-10 6382 6712 598 Nov-13 600 Nov-13 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 -7 -11 - 0 - 0
MMS 1 9104 Oct-14 9904 Oct-14 Nov-07 10026 Aug-14 10826 Mar-15 Jun-09 922 922 1121 Sep-15 1121 Sep-15 FY16Q2 N N 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025 11 4 1320 613
MOMA 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)MOMA-MS did not have a traditional path of formulation NASArsquos participation on the MOMAinstrument began as a result of a proposal to the Mars Scout 2006 and Mission of OpportunityAnnouncement of Opportunity that proposal was selected for technology development In 2010NASA determined that the original team would not be able to produce a flight instrument onschedule and within acceptable risk NASA decided to bring the instrument technology andflight system development in-house to increase the probability of success The MOMA-MStechnology development effort was assigned to the Goddard Space Flight Center in Fall 2010The Project is entering the typical Life Cycle Review (LCR) process after a tailored PreliminaryDesign Review (PDR) and Key Decision Point (KDP)-C Until the time of KDP-C no formalAgency-level gate reviews were held (lack of KDP-A and KDP-B)
91 Oct-15 101 Oct-15 Apr-14 91 101 904 Jul-18 1004 Jul-18 FY16Q2 N N 0 0 -1 -1 3347 3347
MSL 1 Not Available 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 1474 1613 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
MSLreg 1 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 23185 Oct-11 23943 Nov-11 Apr-10 8445 7813 25176 Nov-11 25304 Nov-11 FY15Q1 Y Y Y Y 36 48 2533 2637 4527 058 8 6 103 - 0
NICER 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- the mission was selected from an AO and the down select places the project in phase B This was originally below $75 M threshold and no KDP DM were generated to document the cost and schedule

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
624 Aug-16 684 Feb-17 Feb-14 624 684 684 Feb-17 67 Feb-17 KDP-D Jan-16 N N 0 0 9 -2 613 - 0
NISAR 2 7183 Dec-20 8083 Dec-20 Feb-15 7953 Dec-21 8669 Sep-22 Aug-16 77 586 N N 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117
NuSTAR 3 1052 Oct-11 1052 Oct-11 Feb-08 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 554 554 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
NuSTARreg 3 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 1606 Nov-11 1606 Feb-12 Aug-10 0 0 166 Jun-12 166 Jun-12 FY14Q4 Y N 0 0 307 103 1167 009 3 3 710 403
OCO-2 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild
3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 3259 3499 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
OCO-2reg 2 3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 4377 Jul-14 4677 Feb-15 Jan-13 1118 1178 4276 Jul-14 4276 Jul-14 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 26 34 1717 2433 2767 088 -2 -9 - 0 (717)
OCO-3 3 1014 Jul-16 1115 Oct-16 Aug-13 1108 Mar-18 1148 May-18 May-16 94 33 N N 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
ESD ORION 1 96425 Sep-21 102886 Mar-22 Jan-13 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 11673 9949 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 FY16Q2 N N 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041 0 00 - 0 - 0
OSIRIS Rex 1 1085 Oct-16 1210 Oct-16 Apr-13 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 -336 -886 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0
OSIRIS Rexreg 1 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 9959 Oct-16 10642 Oct-16 Mar-14 -555 -572 10014 Oct-16 10572 Oct-16 FY16Q2 Y N -6 -5 - 0 - 0 1053 - 0 1 -1 - 0 - 0
PSP 1 1233 Jul-18 1439 Jul-18 Jan-12 13932 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 Mar-14 1602 1144 13931 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 FY16Q2 N N 11 8 103 103 2670 004 -0 00 - 0 - 0
SAGE III 3 1042 Aug-14 1152 Aug-14 Feb-12 101 Aug-14 112 Aug-14 Jul-12 -32 -32 1265 Aug-16 133 Aug-16 FY16Q2 N N -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0 20 19 2437 2437
SGSS 2 5165 Dec-15 6275 Sep-17 Aug-12 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 3155 2351 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
SGSSreg 1 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 11959 Jul-19 12079 Sep-19 Jul-15 3639 3453 1216 Jul-19 1228 Sep-19 PPBE18 PMR Y Y Y Y 30 40 2840 2740 2777 099 2 2 - 0 - 0
ESD SLS 1 7653 Mar-17 8587 Apr-17 Aug-12 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 741 1108 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 FY16Q1 N N 9 13 917 1930 2433 079 0 00 - 0 - 0
SMAP 2 5845 May-15 7792 May-15 Jan-10 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 1373 1373 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
SMAPreg 2 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 8744 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 Sep-12 1526 0 8899 May-15 8899 May-15 FY16Q2 Y N 17 0 - 0 - 0 397 - 0 2 -3 707 203
SOC 2 372 Jan-15 396 Mar-16 Dec-11 3662 Jan-17 4359 Oct-18 Mar-13 -58 399 2892 Oct-18 3789 Oct-18 FY16Q2 N N -2 10 2437 3147 1610 195 -27 -13 2127 - 0
SOFIA 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)SOFIA was reformulated because it was cancelled in the 2007 Budget The program went through multiple reviews until 2010 There is a file APMC Oct 6 2010 SOFIA r3 which is the confirmation review Sharedrive path USIDKDP and Other Decision MemosProjectsSOFIA

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project
29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 29476 29551 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
SOFIA (Budget) 1 29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 11431 Feb-14 11506 Feb-14 not a KDP Apr-14 -18045 -18045 29048 Feb-14 29122 Feb-14 FY16Q2 Budget Reduction N -158 -61 - 0 - 0 139100 - 0
SWOT 2 647 Oct-20 757 Oct-20 Jun-14 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 May-16 579 -21 N N 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
TEMPO 3 1708 May-17 2178 Dec-17 Apr-14 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 Apr-15 101 0 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 FY16Q2 N N 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008 0 00 - 0 - 0
TESS 2 350 Sep-17 400 Sep-17 May-14 3424 Dec-17 3784 Jun-18 Oct-14 -76 -216 31976 Dec-17 3517 Jun-18 FY16Q2 N N -2 -5 303 910 510 178 -7 -7 - 0 - 0
Currently in B Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) Schedule change Ratio
CLARREO-PF B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C
DART KDP-C in July Mean 13 -13 55 28 1729 115
Europa Clipper 02045454545 Median 17 -06 21 00 17483 0862
GeoCarb Standard Deviation 84 68 88 87 10875 0863
IXPE Minimum -27 -13 00 -72 397 050
Lucy Maximum 20 19 335 335 4527 310
MAIA
PACE
Psyche Paste data from above to this table for analysis
Restore-L -27 -13 2127 - 0 1610 050
SOC Replan Breach notification made DM not yet final -7 -7 - 0 - 0 080
TROPICS -7 -11 - 0 - 0 817 060
XARM -5 -10 307 - 0 867 088
-2 -9 - 0 (717) 2767 310
-2 -8 717 717 086
-1 -3 - 0 (400) 510 058
-1 -9 207 (400) 800 099
-1 -1 3347 3347 2240 205
1 -1 - 0 - 0 397
1 -01 - 0 - 0
2 2 - 0 - 0 1053
2 2 407 1020
2 -3 707 203 2577
1 00 - 0 - 0 2777
4 00 - 0 - 0 1887
3 3 710 403 1167
4 -4 - 0 - 0 1983
4 4 207 (203)
5 5 - 0 - 0 1917
8 6 103 - 0 2733
9 -2 613 - 0 4527
11 4 1320 613 503
11 4 607 - 0
20 19 2437 2437
Timeline Total Programs 46
Begin End Cost data Note Replans have KDP B = previous KDP C for comaprison planned Total Replans 14
2010 Present Total LCC Percent Replans 30
KDP-B KDP-C PresentFinal Breach Totals Statistics (B to C) or (C to Replan) Statistics - PresentFinal
KDP-B (LowMA) KDP-B (HighABC) KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) (MA) (ABC) 72618 20 13 13 9 COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
DIR ProgramProject Nameregdenotes Replan Category Cost LRD Cost LRD Signature Date Cost LRD Cost LRD Notes Signature Date Delta B to C (MA) Delta B to C (ABC) Cost LRD Cost LRD Source Replan Breach (YN) Schedule Breach Cost Breach B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC) C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC)
APD ASTRO-H 3 568 Aug-13 568 Aug-13 May-10 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 595 595 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 9 10 613 613 3450 018 21 34 2127 2530
APD ASTRO-Hreg 3 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 798 Nov-15 839 Mar-16 ABC +532 SEO option in Nov-13 1705 2115 74855 Feb-16 109271 Mar-16 FY17 Q1 Y Y Y Y 21 34 2127 2530 817 310 -7 30 307 - 0
ESD CYGNSS 3 1028 Oct-16 1728 Apr-17 Jul-13 1528 Oct-16 1812 May-17 Feb-14 50 84 159503 Dec-16 159503 Dec-16 FY18 Q3 N N 33 5 - 0 100 800 013 4 -12 203 (503)
JASD DSCOVR 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
928 Jan-15 Aug-13 0 928 928 Jan-15 94 Jan-15 KDP-E Jan-15 N N 0 0 0 1 - 0
x ESD ECOSTRESS 3 485 Aug-17 559 Aug-19 Apr-15 51043 Aug-17 55942 Aug-19 Dec-15 2543 0042 51043 Apr-18 52443 Aug-19 KDP-E May-18 N N 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0 0 0
HEO EGS 1 28119 Dec-17 31213 Mar-18 Feb-13 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 -1784 -3084 27418 Sep-18 28129 Nov-18 FY17 Q1 N N -7 -10 607 817 1923 042 4 00 307 - 0
HEO EGSreg 1 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 3145 Dec-19 3231 Jun-20 Dec-17 5115 4181 31446 Dec-19 31446 Dec-19 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 16 15 1827 1927 3957 049 -0 -27 - 0 (610)
x APD EUCLID 3 105 Dec-14 110 Dec-14 Jan-13 964 May-15 1014 May-16 ABC +44M for Science Center Sep-13 -86 -86 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -9 -8 503 1723 810 213 -1 -5 717 1117
APD EUCLIDreg 3 964 May-15 1454 May-16 Sep-13 179 Mar-17 190 Jun-18 Feb-16 826 446 206214 Mar-20 223452 Mar-20 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 46 31 2233 2537 2943 086 13 176 3653 2130
ESD GEDI 3 1208 May-18 1263 May-18 Aug-15 120774 Jun-18 126253 Mar-19 Jun-16 -0026 -0047 120774 Nov-18 123774 Mar-19 FY18 Q3 N N -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100 -7 -10 607 817
JASD GOES-R 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
108603 Oct-15 Apr-12 0 108603 10150 Nov-16 KDP-E Oct-16 N N 0 0 32 24 1013 1320
HPD GOLD 3 641 Dec-17 744 Dec-17 Feb-15 641 Oct-17 745 Apr-18 Mar-15 0 01 663 Feb-18 73 Apr-18 KDP-E Dec-17 N N 0 0 (203) 403 167 242 5 2 810 307
ESD GPM 2 Not Available 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 911 978 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16 Q1 N N 0 0 -2 -8 717 717
ESD GPMreg 2 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 906 Feb-14 933 Jun-14 Oct-11 -5 -45 8834 Feb-14 8904 Feb-14 FY17 Q3 Y Y Y -1 -5 717 1117 2240 050 -3 -5 - 0 (400)
ESD GRACE-FO 2 404 Aug-17 460 Aug-17 Aug-12 4059 Aug-17 4319 Feb-18 Feb-14 19 -281 4059 May-18 4319 May-18 FY18 Q3 N N 0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032 0 00 910 297
ESD ICESat-2 2 686 Apr-16 776 Nov-16 Aug-11 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 -122 842 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -2 11 813 603 1687 036 10 0 203 - 0
ESD ICESat-2reg 1 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 9915 Oct-17 10635 Jun-18 May-14 3177 2033 10561 Sep-18 10636 Oct-18 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 32 24 1013 1320 1660 080 6 00 1117 407
HPD ICON 2 2177 Oct-16 2485 Jul-17 Jun-14 2294 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 Oct-14 117 42 243 Jun-18 2527 Jun-18 FY18 Q3 N N 5 2 810 307 500 061 6 00 1217 810
PSD InSight 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight
6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 6266 6751 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0 ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE
PSD InSightreg 2 6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 8189 May-18 8289 May-18 Sep-16 1923 1538 8138 May-18 8138 May-18 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 23 23 2637 2637 3050 086 -1 -18 - 0 - 0
HPD IRIS 3 Not Available 1671 Dec-12 1802 Jun-13 Nov-10 1671 1802 1873 Jun-13 1873 Jun-13 FY16 Q1 N N 0 0 11 4 607 - 0
ESD Jason-3 3 158 Apr-14 166 Apr-14 Jul-11 1552 Mar-15 1552 Mar-15 Jan-13 -28 -108 1579 Jul-15 1579 Jan-16 KDP-E Sep-16 N N -2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059 2 2 407 1020
JASD JPSS-1 1 Not Available 1623 Mar-17 Aug-13 0 1623 16235 Mar-17 KDP-D Apr-15 N N 0 0 36 48 2533 2637
x PSD JUICE 3 1034 Sep-19 1185 Sep-19 Apr-16 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 Apr-17 11 85 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 KDP-C Apr-17 N N 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
JWST JWST 1 3117 Aug-11 3117 Aug-11 Jul-03 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 1264 1847 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046 0 0
JWST JWSTreg 1 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 4044 3871 85104 Oct-18 88254 Oct-18 FY16 Q2 Y Y Y Y 48 78 6493 5277 2577 205 1 -01 - 0 - 0
JWST JWSTregreg 1 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 94889 Nov-20 96627 Mar-21 May-18 10639 8277 94889 Nov-20 96627 Mar-21 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 9 2940 8113 036
PSD LADEE 2 1843 May-12 200 May-12 Dec-09 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 516 629 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 22 31 1217 1830 1027 178 26 34 1717 2433
PSD LADEEreg 2 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 2619 Jul-13 2629 Nov-13 May-12 26 0 2738 Sep-13 2738 Sep-13 FY15 Q1 Y N 10 0 203 - 0 1917 - 0 4 4 207 (203)
x ESD Landsat 9 2 851 Dec-20 928 Nov-21 Aug-16 838531 Dec-20 885029 Nov-21 Dec-17 -12469 -42971 8385 Dec-20 885 Nov-21 FY18 Q3 N N -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
STMD LCRD 2 2394 Feb-17 May-13 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 Apr-17 2571 233 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 FY18 Q3 N N 0 9 3343 4770 070 -6 -5 - 0 - 0
ESD LDCMLandsat 8 2 710 Dec-12 800 Dec-12 Sep-09 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 140 142 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 16 18 - 0 607 707 086 -3 -3 - 0 - 0
ESD LDCMLandsat 8reg 2 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 8608 Dec-12 9416 Jun-13 Dec-10 108 -04 85006 Feb-13 85666 Feb-13 FY18 Q3 Y N 1 -0 - 0 - 0 867 - 0 -1 -9 207 (400)
STMD LDSD 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 1896 203 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0 9 13 917 1930
STMD LDSDreg 3 1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 2368 Dec-16 2368 Dec-16 Mar-15 472 338 249 Dec-16 249 Dec-16 FY15 Q4 Y Y Y Y 20 17 1627 1627 2733 060 5 5 - 0 - 0
x PSD Mars 2020 1 2106 Jul-20 2351 Jul-20 May-15 22727 Jul-20 24435 Jul-20 STMDHEOMD added Jun-16 1667 925 23634 Jul-20 25304 Jul-20 FY18 Q3 N N 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0 -2 10 2437 3147
PSD MAVEN 2 Not Available 6382 Nov-13 6712 Nov-13 Oct-10 6382 6712 5753 Nov-13 5753 Nov-13 FY16 Q3 N N 0 0 -11 -14 - 0 - 0
HPD MMS 1 9104 Oct-14 9904 Oct-14 Nov-07 10026 Aug-14 10826 Mar-15 Jun-09 922 922 1098 Mar-15 1098 Mar-15 FY18 Q2 N N 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025 9 1 707 - 0
PSD MOMA 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)MOMA-MS did not have a traditional path of formulation NASArsquos participation on the MOMAinstrument began as a result of a proposal to the Mars Scout 2006 and Mission of OpportunityAnnouncement of Opportunity that proposal was selected for technology development In 2010NASA determined that the original team would not be able to produce a flight instrument onschedule and within acceptable risk NASA decided to bring the instrument technology andflight system development in-house to increase the probability of success The MOMA-MStechnology development effort was assigned to the Goddard Space Flight Center in Fall 2010The Project is entering the typical Life Cycle Review (LCR) process after a tailored PreliminaryDesign Review (PDR) and Key Decision Point (KDP)-C Until the time of KDP-C no formalAgency-level gate reviews were held (lack of KDP-A and KDP-B)
91 Oct-15 101 Oct-15 Apr-14 91 101 120243 Jul-20 128226 Jul-20 FY18 Q3 N N 0 0 24 27 5783 5783
PSD MSL 1 Not Available 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 1474 1613 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
PSD MSLreg 1 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 23185 Oct-11 23943 Nov-11 Apr-10 8445 7813 25176 Nov-11 25304 Nov-11 FY15 Q1 Y Y Y Y 36 48 2533 2637 4527 058 8 6 103 - 0
ESD NICER 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- the mission was selected from an AO and the down select places the project in phase B This was originally below $75 M threshold and no KDP DM were generated to document the cost and schedule

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
624 Aug-16 684 Feb-17 Feb-14 624 684 694 Jun-17 706 Aug-17 KDP-E May-17 N N 0 0 10 3 1013 603
x ESD NISAR 2 7183 Dec-20 8083 Dec-20 Feb-15 7953 Dec-21 8669 Sep-22 Aug-16 77 586 7953 Dec-21 8969 Sep-22 FY18 Q3 N N 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117 0 00346060676 0 0
APD NuSTAR 3 1052 Oct-11 1052 Oct-11 Feb-08 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 554 554 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
APD NuSTARreg 3 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 1606 Nov-11 1606 Feb-12 Aug-10 0 0 115315 Jun-12 115315 Jun-12 FY15 Q1 Y N 0 0 307 103 1167 009 -39 -28 710 403
ESD OCO-2 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild
3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 3259 3499 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
ESD OCO-2reg 2 3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 4377 Jul-14 4677 Feb-15 Jan-13 1118 1178 4245 Jul-14 4245 Jul-14 FY17 Q1 Y Y Y Y 26 34 1717 2433 2767 088 -3 -9 - 0 (717)
x ESD OCO-3 3 1014 Jul-16 1115 Oct-16 Aug-13 1108 Mar-18 1148 May-18 May-16 94 33 113388 Mar-18 113388 May-18 FY18 Q3 N N 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
HEO Orion 1 96425 Sep-21 102886 Mar-22 Jan-13 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 11673 9949 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041 ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE
HEO Orionreg 1 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 116581 Jun-22 116581 Jun-22 Jun-18 8483 3746 116581 Jun-22 116581 Jun-22 FY18 Q3 Y N 7 3 1013 (1013) 3347 030 0 00 - 0 - 0
PSD OSIRIS Rex 1 1085 Oct-16 1210 Oct-16 Apr-13 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 -336 -886 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0
PSD OSIRIS Rexreg 1 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 9959 Oct-16 10642 Oct-16 Mar-14 -555 -572 9975 Sep-16 10532 Sep-16 FY18 Q3 Y N -6 -5 - 0 - 0 1053 - 0 0 -1 (100) (100)
HPD PSP 1 1233 Jul-18 1439 Jul-18 Jan-12 13932 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 Mar-14 1602 1144 13821 Aug-18 15482 Aug-18 FY18 Q3 N N 11 8 103 103 2670 004 -1 -03 - 0 - 0
ESD SAGE III 3 1042 Aug-14 1152 Aug-14 Feb-12 101 Aug-14 112 Aug-14 Jul-12 -32 -32 129364 Feb-17 129364 Feb-17 FY18 Q3 N N -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0 22 16 3050 3050
HEO SGSS 2 5165 Dec-15 6275 Sep-17 Aug-12 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 3155 2351 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
HEO SGSSreg 1 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 11959 Jul-19 12079 Sep-19 Jul-15 3639 3453 1251 Sep-19 1261284 Nov-19 Path Forward APMC Dec 2016 Y Y Y Y 30 40 2840 2740 2777 099 4 4 223 267
HEO SLS 1 7653 Mar-17 8587 Apr-17 Aug-12 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 741 1108 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 FY16 Q1 N N 9 13 917 1930 2433 079 0 00 - 0 - 0
HEO SLSreg 1 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 9734 Dec-19 9843 Jun-20 Dec-17 1340 148 98029 Dec-19 98029 Dec-19 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 14 2 2433 1927 4060 047 1 -04
ESD SMAP 2 5845 May-15 7792 May-15 Jan-10 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 1373 1373 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
ESD SMAPreg 2 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 8744 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 Sep-12 1526 0 8899 Jan-15 8899 Jan-15 FY18 Q3 Y N 17 0 - 0 - 0 397 - 0 2 -3 307 (197)
HPD SOC 2 372 Jan-15 396 Mar-16 Dec-11 3662 Jan-17 4359 Oct-18 Mar-13 -58 399 3433 Feb-20 3866 Feb-20 FY18 Q3 N N -2 10 2437 3147 1610 195 -7 -11 3753 1627
APD SOFIA 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)SOFIA was reformulated because it was cancelled in the 2007 Budget The program went through multiple reviews until 2010 There is a file APMC Oct 6 2010 SOFIA r3 which is the confirmation review Sharedrive path USIDKDP and Other Decision MemosProjectsSOFIA
29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 29476 29551 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
APD SOFIAreg 1 29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 11431 Feb-14 11506 Feb-14 not a KDP Apr-14 -18045 -18045 15874 Feb-14 15949 Feb-14 FY18 Q3 Y N -158 -61 - 0 - 0 139100 - 0
x ESD SWOT 2 647 Oct-20 757 Oct-20 Jun-14 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 May-16 579 -21 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 FY18 Q3 N N 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
ESD TEMPO 3 1708 May-17 2178 Dec-17 Apr-14 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 Apr-15 101 0 181242 Sep-17 197242 Nov-17 FY18 Q3 N N 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008 0 -94 - 0 - 0
APD TESS 2 350 Sep-17 400 Sep-17 May-14 3424 Dec-17 3784 Jun-18 Oct-14 -76 -216 3333 Apr-18 3333 Jun-18 FY18 Q3 N N -2 -5 303 910 510 178 -3 -12 403 - 0
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) Schedule change Ratio
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C
Mean 90 88 50 81 1773 057
02045454545 Median 82 49 10 60 16233 0374
Standard Deviation 118 164 77 97 13962 0647
Minimum -7 -10 -71 -31 147 - 0 SPP
Maximum 38 59 244 345 7433 242 EUCLIDreg
GSDO
ICESat-2reg
Paste data from above to this table for analysis ORION
-7 -10 607 817 1923 042 SLS
-3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0 TEMPO
-2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059
0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032
Total KDPs Within Cost Range of Prior KDP Total KDPs Within Schedule Range of Prior KDP -2 -5 303 910 510 178
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0
MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 14 31 45 31 MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 27 26 53 51 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008
ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 19 33 52 37 ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 21 32 53 40 0 0 (203) 403 167 242
5 2 810 307 500 061
KDP-A to KDP-B Cost KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule 33 5 - 0 100 800 013
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 11 8 103 103 2670 004
KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 4 10 14 29 KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 13 9 22 59 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025
KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 9 12 21 43 KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 12 10 22 55 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041
-2 10 2437 3147 1610 195
9 10 613 613 3450 018
KDP-B to KDP-C Cost KDP-B to KDP-C Schedule -2 11 813 603 1687 036
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 9 13 917 1930 2433 079
MA at or below KDP-B Low 10 21 31 32 MA at or below KDP-B Low 14 17 31 45 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
ABC at or below KDP-B High 10 21 31 32 ABC at or below KDP-B High 9 22 31 29 16 18 - 0 607 707 086
22 31 1217 1830 1027 178
38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
KDP-A to KDP-C Cost KDP-A to KDP-C Schedule 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046
MA at or below KDP-A Low 2 7 9 22 MA at or below KDP-A Low 5 12 17 29 added 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0
ABC at or below KDP-A High 5 11 16 31 ABC at or below KDP-A High 3 14 17 18 added -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100
added 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
added -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
added 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0
added 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117
KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) Replan (MA) Replan (ABC) KDP-C to Replan (MA) KDP-C to Replan (ABC) KDP-C (or Replan) to PresentFinal (MA) KDP-C (or Replan) to PresentFinal (ABC) added 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
added 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
Percentage of Project CostSchedule HighLow Estimates Within Prior KDP Range Estimates
B Estimate at or below A Estimate C Estimate at or below B Estimate C Estimate at or below A Estimate Total at or below Preceding KDP Estimate
Cost - High 43 32 31 37
Cost - Low 29 32 22 31
Schedule - High 55 29 18 40
Schedule - Low 59 45 29 51
Page 5: Cost and Schedule Insights - NASA

70 Joint Cost and Schedule ConfidenceAre we meeting the expected 70 success rate across the portfolio

bull NPR 71205Ebull ABC at 70 confidence

MA at 50 confidencebull

bull Aggregate NASA confidence at baselinebull ABC at 71 confidence

MA at 52 confidencebull

bull Actual performancebull 41 of projects met ABC commitments

30 of projects met MA commitmentsbull

bull Projects currently in Phase Dbull 20 meeting ABC commitments

0 meeting MA commitmentsbull

5

Formulation Cost and Schedule Ranges

bull

bullbull

bull

bullbull

Are we capturing the Agencyrsquos cost exposure in early estimates

In aggregate the high cost estimate is at or below the high estimate established at the preceding KDP

37 of the time for cost40 of the time for schedule

For projects that held a KDP-A the eventual KDP-C baseline cost and schedule (high estimates) are at or below the KDP-A estimate

31 of the time for cost18 of the time for schedule

6

Development Cost Metrics When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation

28Avg LV Proportion of Dev Cost Baseline

-8Avg Post-Baseline LV Cost Variation

7

Development Cost Performance When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost VariationHow would our development cost reporting metrics change

Lower LV costs can provide unexpected funds to cover growth in reporting

Lower LV costs sometimes have no effect on cost reporting

Higher LV costs can mask otherwise good cost performance

8

bull NASA cost performance has drastically improved since the early 2000rsquos

We are falling short of our portfolio goal of 70 projects hitting cost targets

Our cost and schedule ranges at KDP-A and KDP-B are optimistic and more often than do not capture the eventual high cost or schedule commitments at KDP-C baseline

Development cost reporting metrics can misrepresent how our projects are performing (both positively and negatively) if the LV contract award is well above or below the estimate included in the KDP-C baseline

bull

bull

bull

9

Back-up

10

1111

1212

Total KDPs Within Cost Range of Prior KDPYes No Total Percent At or Below

MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 14 31 45 31ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 19 33 52 37

Total KDPs Within Schedule Range of Prior KDPYes No Total Percent At or Below

MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 27 26 53 51ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 21 32 53 40

KDP-A to KDP-B CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 4 10 14 29KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 9 12 21 43

KDP-A to KDP-B ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 13 9 22 59KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 12 10 22 55

KDP-B to KDP-C CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-B Low 10 21 31 32ABC at or below KDP-B High 10 21 31 32

KDP-B to KDP-C ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-B Low 14 17 31 45ABC at or below KDP-B High 9 22 31 29

KDP-A to KDP-C CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-A Low 2 7 9 22ABC at or below KDP-A High 5 11 16 31

KDP-A to KDP-C ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-A Low 5 12 17 29ABC at or below KDP-A High 3 14 17 18

MAIN

KDP-B (LowMA)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO5686275102848528119263351059641208640999999999999949114046866738217762661581034311743818425184323598517108501896210691041474718310521606325899999999999981014964251080981085105140000000000011233104251658327653839458457218372294766471708KDP-C (MA)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO6275798152800000000000015104299999999999926335314596417912077464099999999999994911906405967389915229462668189167115519999999999999114443818425948892359261899999999999988385309999999999525710000000000002850860818962368227269999999999986382000000000000510026911474231856247953160616063258999999999999843771108108098116581105140000000000019959139321018321195900000000000183949734721887443662294761143099999999999970491809KDP-B (HighABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO568627517285593121328129110145412637440000000000000697846077686022485675116611853117496488352002628999999999999892823948009422032351990416138083105216063499111510288611283512101121400000000000114391152627586268587969577929165396295517572178KDP-C (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO62758389999999999999118129285594228129323110141901262531086037459789334319860210635252767518289180215519999999999999162312749648835966270000000000072628999999999999826289999999999998885029262794294162032368244356712108259999999999991011613239430000000000026840000000000000686691606160634994677114811283511658111214000000000001106421553411286261207900000000000196959843916591654359295511150599999999999975492178

COST ($M)

KDP-C to Replan (MA)595000000000000281704999999999999750000000000000014025429999999999993-178400000000000095115-85999999999999943826-25999999999996248E-200911-518999999999999773-1220000000000004531770000000000005117000000000000176266192299999999999951671-2800000000000011401112644044106389999999999965159999999999999425999999999999972-1246900000000005125710000000000002140107999999999999551896472000000000000171666999999999998263820000000000005922000000000000459114748445624775539999999999999103258999999999999811180000000000001939999999999999151167299999999999384830000000000109-33599999999999909-5550000000000011416020000000000005-3200000000000002831553639000000000000974113401372999999999999515260000000000002-5800000000000011429476-180455789999999999997710099999999999994-76000000000000227KDP-C to Replan (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPOTESS59500000000000028211499999999999918399999999999977392842000000000001592E-2-3084000000000000941809999999999991-8599999999999994344599999999999994-46999999999997044E-210860399999999999994316E-2978-45-281000000000000238420000000000004520329999999999995419999999999998866751153799999999999951802-108000000000000111623851847387182770000000000073628999999999999770-4297100000000000423299999999999983142-039999999999997726203338000000000000119256712921999999999999321011613781300000000000186840000000000000658600000000000023553999999999999910349911780000000000001329999999999999729948999999999996437460000000000036-88599999999999909-5720000000000004511440000000000009-32000000000000028235100000000000023453000000000000711081481372999999999999503989999999999997729551-18045-210000000000002270-21600000000000023

COST Change ($M)

B to C (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPOTESS01047535211267606203370517928286851448611111111110973E-2075077759107650046E-4-98804985102361215E-201486366383447687-7818181818181813E-2030674002751031632-37226838174140057E-4013440860215052999E-30-46012269938650305E-2-61086956521739177E-201085051546391753202363403859567541916901408450704179E-200227818101022070730-65060240963855487E-2071729957805907171E-20592556945781199880779814665592264319368421052631587E-20314499999999999890-4630495689655173E-288694328130947783E-2017749999999999999-42462845010613295E-400166502463054187263934495959166312E-2093093699515347267E-200048437693738375709067597185373168792E-20526615969581748940003366676193198057128745644599303111E-296699259374453242E-233198918775202764E-2-732231404958677E-2-5100766898519711E-279499652536483736E-2-27777777777777801E-203746613545816733204003014143287735301290322580645161315265600825167612E-20176206365503080030010075757575757570-061063923386687424-27818254073387508E-30-54000000000000055E-2

COST Change ()

Cost - HighB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate04285714285714285503225806451612903103125036538461538461536Schedule - HighB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate054545454545454541029032258064516131017647058823529413039622641509433965Cost - LowB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate02857142857142857032258064516129031022222222222222221031111111111111112Schedule - LowB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate059090909090909094045161290322580644029411764705882354050943396226415094

Data only (no charts)

plots

program table

A to B

A to B Cost

High Cost Estimate Change

KDP-A to KDP-B

Category 1 Change (high)01682251932581422Category 2 Change (high)60501935980863335E-2Category 3 Change (high)37110484780157868E-2Total Change (high)014626442296281486

Low Cost Estimate Change

KDP-A to KDP-B

Category 1 Change (low)010106870229007633Category 2 Change (low)19806591564406897Category 3 Change (low)0Total Change (low)21873131670301591

A to B Schedule

KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule Growth - Low Estimate

(in months)

MissionRestore-LSLSPACEWFIRSTOCO-3PSPLCRDEuclidGRACE-FOMars 2020SAGE-IIISWOTLADEEDARTNISARJASON-3MMSECOSTRESSSMAPXARMSOCOrion0-9-49-2-1-100000200912326273242

KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule Growth - High Estimate

(in months)

MissionRestore-LSLSPACEWFIRSTOCO-3PSPLCRDEuclidGRACE-FOMars 2020SAGE-IIISWOTLADEEDARTNISARJASON-3MMSECOSTRESSSMAPXARMSOCOrion-36-8-8-3-2-1-1000002569121726414451

image1png

image2png

image3png

image4png

Cost Variation Against Baselines

13

Methodology and Assumptions

The first step in conducting this analysis was to verify and validate the cost baseline information using source documentation KDP-C figures takes priority as the definitive baseline Where KDP-C decision memoranda was not available as in the case of many projects baselined prior to approximately 2009 figures were pulled from the first appearance as a development project in a Presidentrsquos Budget as the baseline against which to measure In a few cases notificationsreports to Congress (eg NSPD-49 reports) were used to identify a baseline figure MA figures were pulled solely from decision memoranda and thus our dataset with regard to MArsquos is smaller as it excludes many of the older projects that did not have standardized baseline documentation with MArsquos noted Variance to the baseline was then measured by using the most recent quarterly cost and schedule report Latest cost data is valid through the FY18 Q3 reporting period Slide 3 charts illustrate each project in the dataset with respective LCC and dev cost variances

The confidence level policy applied to each project was noted using source documentation as well as a cross-reference against when policy changes were implemented recognizing that a subset of projects received waivers to new policies during policy transition Certain exclusions were applied to ensure a dataset comparable across projects For example SOFIA had conducted a JCL on a replan but the decision memorandum made clear the baseline was not changing therefore the JCL confidence level could not fairly be applied to measure performance against the baseline Another example is GPM which was excluded as it was one of the very first projects baselined after JCL policy implementation and was not a ldquotruerdquo JCL with the decision memorandum noting that the intent was met while a JCL DPMC would be held many months later to evaluate progress There were a couple of additional exclusions applied

When a project is confirmed at KDP-C cost performance measurements were applied to that baseline If a project was then rebaselined a ldquonewrdquo project was added to the dataset using the rebaselined figures against which to measure as the Agency made the decision at that point to press ahead with the project and Congress provided reauthorization The ldquooriginalrdquo project was ldquofrozenrdquo in terms of development phase to fairly capture the contemporary phase performance (eg the ldquooriginalrdquo OCO-2 cost growth will always be categorized within the ldquoprojects in developmentrdquo performance category while the rebaselined OCO-2 cost performance falls into the ldquoprojects launchedrdquo category) The latest cost figures however were used to measure cost performance across both original baselines and rebaselines in order to fairly capture the accuracy of original estimates against final outcomes

This insight while placing an emphasis on the JCL while measuring performance does not intend to convey a discovered causal relationship between JCL and cost performance There have been many other related programmatic and technical advancements over the past 10 to 20 years that have influenced cost and schedule performance in the overall positive direction Other insights look into other influencers of costschedule performance

13

Dev Cost Metrics Controlling for LV Cost Variation

14

Methodology and Assumptions

SID pulled a number of data elements from a total of 22 SMD projects to conduct this analysis Data elements from a projectrsquos baseline include total development cost and the launch services cost estimate and have been sourced from KDP documentation quarterly reports and Cost Analysis Data Requirements (CADREs) These data were compared to currentactual total development and launch services costs from the most recent KDPquarterly reports Other data elements include Division Lead Center type of launch vehicle LCC category and current phase

SID calculated the overall development cost deltas from the baseline cost and verified the percentage growth with external reporting data where applicable SID then calculated the percent change in launch services development cost from baseline to currentactual The development cost percent change was calculated after removing launch services from the inputs

For further insight these same calculations were conducted by Division Lead Center type of launch vehicle and LCC category Division Lead Center and LCC category were then further broken down by looking only at projects currently in development

The 22 projects used in this analysis include Mars 2020 ICESat-2 ICON InSight SOC PSP SWOT TESS Juno Landsat-8 MMS OSIRIS-REx SMAP MAVEN GRAIL NuSTAR RBSP IRIS LADEE OCO-2 CYGNSS and Landsat 9 Representation includes seven planetary science seven earth science six heliophysics and two astrophysics missions twelve GSFC-led projects and eight JPL-led projects (LaRC and ARC representing the other two) ten Atlas V one Delta IV-H two Falcon 9 four Delta II four Pegasus and one Minotaur V rockets and six category 1 thirteen category 2 and three category 3 projects Seven projects assessed are currently in development

Other projects considered were excluded if launch was or is to be on a ride-share and launch services costs were negligible (eg RBI) Projects launching on internationally-contributed rockets were also excluded (eg GPM JWST) Other exclusions were based on data limitations at the time of analysis (eg no launch services costs available from baseline)

Did not add GPM international launchSOFIA no launchJWST international launch

RBI rideshareSentinel-6 international launch

Dawn no launch vehicle numbers availableSNPP No baseline LV estimate available

NISAR international launchLCRD rideshare

GRACE-FO rideshare

14

Sheet1

LV Percent ChangeJunoRBSPGRAILMMSNuSTARLandsat-8LADEEMAVENIRISSMAPSOCOSIRIS-RExCYGNSSInSightPSPICESat-2ICONTESSSWOTMars 2020Landsat 9-45693277310924457E-2-89820359281436273E-3-13089005235602092E-2-79299691040164669E-2-72625698324022187E-2-36392405063291208E-2036117381489841988-01759358288770053754455445544554525E-2-894617134192571E-2-030924586177798574-01931623931623931101912045889101338753833646028768001E-2-12694541231126538E-2-39142073098874007E-336848699240916792E-2-023399649430324276-017936024371667944-030075113341448961-12953367875648773E-3

Sheet2

Formulation KDPs

15

Methodology and Assumptions

Comparative analysis was conducted where possible (ie when highlow costschedule figures were available in KDP-ABC decision memoranda This analysis does not attempt to explain why the majority of costschedule estimates at KDPrsquos exceed prior estimates

Cost and schedule ranges were extracted from KDP-A and KDP-B decision memoranda Agency Baseline Commitments and Management Agreements were extracted from KDP-C decision memoranda Lifecycle cost was used in all cases (as opposed to development cost only) A project did not need to have all KDP-A through C figures to be included in the analysis (eg a project that did not have a KDP-A range was still included in the KDP-B to KDP-C statistics)

This analysis includes data from KDP-A KDP-B and KDP-C milestones At KDP-A and KDP-B a high and low estimate is established for both cost and schedule At KDP-C a Management Agreement and an Agency Baseline Commitment is established for both cost and schedule For ease of conveyance this analysis equates the Management Agreement as the low estimate for KDP-C and equates the Agency Baselines Commitment as the high estimate for KDP-C

15

  • PRESENTATION COVER - Cost and Schedule Insights
  • Todayrsquos Discussion
  • LCC and Development Cost Metrics Against Baseline
  • LCC and Dev Cost Metrics Against Baseline
  • 70 Joint Cost and Schedule Confidence Are we meeting the expected 70 success rate across the portfolio
  • Formulation Cost and Schedule Ranges Are we capturing the Agencyrsquos cost exposure in early estimates
  • Development Cost Metrics When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation
  • Development Cost Performance When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation How would our development cost reporting metrics change
  • NASA cost performance hashellip
  • Back-up
  • Bar Graph
  • Tables
  • Cost Variation Against Baselines Methodology and Assumptions
  • Dev Cost Metrics Controlling for LV Cost Variation Methodology and Assumptions
  • Formulation KDPs Methodology and Assumptions
Column1 KDP-C Date Lead Center Division Launch Vehicle LCC Category Phase Development Baseline Development CurrentActuals LV Estimate at Baseline LV CurrentActuals Development Baseline less LV Estimates Development CurrentActuals less LV Actuals Development Percent Change LV Percent Change Development Percent Change less LV Notes
Juno Aug-08 JPL Planetary Atlas V 1 Ops $ 7423 $ 7089 $ 1904 $ 1817 $ 5519 $ 5272 -45 -46 -45
RBSP Dec-08 GSFC Helio Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5338 $ 5040 $ 1336 $ 1324 $ 4002 $ 3716 -56 -09 -71
GRAIL Jan-09 JPL Planetary Delta II 2 Ops $ 4270 $ 3983 $ 1528 $ 1508 $ 2742 $ 2475 -67 -13 -97
MMS Jun-09 GSFC Helio Atlas V 1 Ops $ 8573 $ 8753 $ 1942 $ 1788 $ 6631 $ 6965 21 -79 50
NuSTAR Sep-09 JPL Astro Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1099 $ 1162 $ 358 $ 332 $ 741 $ 830 57 -73 120
Landsat-8 Dec-09 GSFC Earth Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5830 $ 5028 $ 1264 $ 1218 $ 4566 $ 3810 -138 -36 -166
LADEE Aug-10 ARC Planetary Minotaur V 2 Ops $ 1682 $ 1882 $ 443 $ 603 $ 1239 $ 1279 119 361 32
OCO-2 Sep-10 JPL Earth Delta II 2 Ops $ 2490 $ 3200 $ 676 $ 1368 $ 1814 $ 1832 285 1024 10 against original baseline rebaseline primary LV-driven aside from some RWA issues
MAVEN Oct-10 GSFC Planetary Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5672 $ 4720 $ 1870 $ 1541 $ 3802 $ 3179 -168 -176 -164
IRIS Nov-10 GSFC Helio Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1407 $ 1430 $ 404 $ 426 $ 1003 $ 1004 16 54 01
SMAP May-12 JPL Earth Delta II 2 Ops $ 4857 $ 4543 $ 1319 $ 1201 $ 3538 $ 3342 -65 -89 -55
SOC Mar-13 GSFC Helio Atlas V 2 Dev $ 3769 $ 3100 $ 2500 $ 1727 $ 1269 $ 1373 -178 -309 82
OSIRIS-REx May-13 GSFC Planetary Atlas V 1 Ops $ 7786 $ 6156 $ 2340 $ 1888 $ 5446 $ 4268 -209 -193 -216
CYGNSS Feb-14 LaRC Earth Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1511 $ 1287 $ 523 $ 623 $ 988 $ 664 -148 191 -328
InSight Mar-14 JPL Planetary Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5418 $ 6483 $ 1599 $ 1685 $ 3819 $ 4798 197 54 256
PSP Mar-14 GSFC Helio Delta IV-H 1 Dev $ 10557 $ 10503 $ 4305 $ 4250 $ 6252 $ 6253 -05 -13 00
ICESat-2 May-14 GSFC Earth Delta II 1 Dev $ 7637 $ 7441 $ 1188 $ 1183 $ 6449 $ 6258 -26 -04 -30
ICON Oct-14 GSFC Helio Pegasus 2 Dev $ 1960 $ 1982 $ 543 $ 563 $ 1417 $ 1419 11 37 01
TESS Oct-14 GSFC Astro Falcon 9 2 Ops $ 3232 $ 2799 $ 1141 $ 874 $ 2091 $ 1925 -134 -234 -79
SWOT May-16 JPL Earth Falcon 9 2 Dev $ 5715 $ 5715 $ 1313 $ 1078 $ 4402 $ 4638 00 -179 53
Mars 2020 Jun-16 JPL Planetary Atlas V 1 Dev $ 16769 $ 17253 $ 3425 $ 2395 $ 13344 $ 14858 29 -301 113
Landsat 9 Dec-17 GSFC Earth Atlas V 2 Dev $ 6342 $ 6342 $ 1544 $ 1542 $ 4798 $ 4800 00 -01 00
Projects in Development $ 52749 $ 52336 $ 14819 $ 12738 $ 37930 $ 39598 -08 -140 44
Projects in Operations $ 66588 $ 63555 $ 18647 $ 18196 $ 47941 $ 45359 -46 -24 -54
Total $ 119337 $ 115891 $ 33466 $ 30935 $ 85871 $ 84956 -29 -76 -11
Development Baseline Development CurrentActuals LV Estimate at Baseline LV CurrentActuals Development Baseline less LV Estimates Development CurrentActuals less LV Actuals Development Percent Change LV Percent Change Development Percent Change less LV
GSFC Project Total $ 68103 $ 63294 $ 20377 $ 18325 $ 47726 $ 44969 -71 -101 -58
JPL Projects Total $ 48041 $ 49428 $ 12122 $ 11384 $ 35919 $ 38044 29 -61 59
Did not add GPM international launch GSFC Projects in Ops $ 37838 $ 33926 $ 10297 $ 9059 $ 27541 $ 24867 -103 -120 -97
SOFIA no launch JPL Projects in Ops $ 25557 $ 26460 $ 7384 $ 7911 $ 18173 $ 18549 35 71 21
JWST international launch GSFC Projects in Dev $ 30265 $ 29368 $ 10080 $ 9266 $ 20185 $ 20102 -30 -81 -04
RBI rideshare JPL Projects in Dev $ 22484 $ 22968 $ 4738 $ 3473 $ 17746 $ 19495 22 -267 99
Sentinel-6 international launch
Dawn no launch vehicle numbers available Astro $ 4331 $ 3961 $ 1499 $ 1206 $ 2832 $ 2755 -85 -195 -27
SNPP No baseline LV estimate available Planetary $ 49020 $ 47566 $ 13109 $ 11437 $ 35911 $ 36129 -30 -128 06
NISAR international launch Helio $ 31604 $ 30808 $ 11030 $ 10078 $ 20574 $ 20730 -25 -86 08
LCRD rideshare Earth $ 34382 $ 33556 $ 7827 $ 8213 $ 26555 $ 25343 -24 49 -46
GRACE-FO rideshare
Astro - Dev Only $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0
Planetary - Dev Only $ 16769 $ 17253 $ 3425 $ 2395 $ 13344 $ 14858 29 -301 113
Helio - Dev Only $ 16286 $ 15585 $ 7348 $ 6540 $ 8938 $ 9045 -43 -110 12
Earth - Dev Only $ 19694 $ 19498 $ 4045 $ 3803 $ 15649 $ 15695 -10 -60 03
Atlas V $ 72920 $ 69964 $ 19725 $ 16926 $ 53195 $ 53038 -41 -142 -03
Delta IV-H $ 10557 $ 10503 $ 4305 $ 4250 $ 6252 $ 6253 -05 -13 00
Falcon 9 $ 8947 $ 8514 $ 2454 $ 1952 $ 6493 $ 6562 -48 -205 11
Delta II $ 19254 $ 19167 $ 4711 $ 5260 $ 14543 $ 13907 -05 117 -44 this is skewed by OCO-2 which switched from the baseline Taurus XL to the Delta-II at the rebaseline
Pegasus $ 5977 $ 5861 $ 1828 $ 1944 $ 4149 $ 3917 -19 63 -56
Minotaur V $ 1682 $ 1882 $ 443 $ 603 $ 1239 $ 1279 119 361 32
Category 1 $ 58745 $ 57195 $ 15104 $ 13322 $ 43641 $ 43873 -26 -118 05
Category 2 $ 56575 $ 54817 $ 17076 $ 16232 $ 39499 $ 38585 -31 -49 -23
Category 3 $ 4017 $ 3879 $ 1285 $ 1381 $ 2732 $ 2498 -34 75 -86
Category 1 - Dev Only $ 34963 $ 35197 $ 8918 $ 7829 $ 26045 $ 27368 07 -122 51
Category 2 - Dev Only $ 17786 $ 17139 $ 5900 $ 4909 $ 11886 $ 12230 -36 -168 29
Category 3 - Dev Only $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0
LV of Total Dev at Baseline 280
LV of Total Dev at FY18 Q3 267
Launch Vehicle Percent Cost Variation from Baseline Estimate in Chronological Order
Mission LCC Category KDP-A (low) KDP-A (high) KDP-B (low) KDP-B (high) Low Delta (months) High Delta (months) KDP-C MA MA Variance from A KDP-C ABC ABC Variance from A
Restore-L 2 Jun-20 Dec-23 Jun-20 Dec-20 0 -36
SLS 1 Dec-17 Dec-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 -9 -8 Dec-17 0 Nov-18 11
PACE 2 Dec-22 Dec-23 Aug-22 Apr-23 -4 -8
WFIRST 1 Dec-24 Dec-26 Sep-25 Sep-26 9 -3
OCO-3 3 Sep-16 Dec-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 -2 -2 Mar-18 18 May-18 17
PSP 1 Aug-18 Aug-18 Jul-18 Jul-18 -1 -1 Aug-18 0 Aug-18 0
LCRD 2 Mar-17 Mar-17 Feb-17 Feb-17 -1 -1 Jun-19 27 Nov-19 32
Euclid 3 Dec-14 Dec-14 Dec-14 Dec-14 0 0 May-15 5 May-16 17
GRACE-FO 2 Aug-17 Aug-17 Aug-17 Aug-17 0 0 Aug-17 0 Feb-18 6
Mars 2020 1 Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20 0 0 Jul-20 0 Jul-20 0
SAGE-III 3 Aug-14 Aug-14 Aug-14 Aug-14 0 0 Aug-14 0 Aug-14 0
SWOT 2 Oct-20 Oct-20 Oct-20 Oct-20 0 0 Apr-21 6 Apr-22 18
LADEE 3 Mar-12 Mar-12 May-12 May-12 2 2 May-13 14 Nov-13 20
DART 2 Dec-20 Dec-20 Dec-20 May-21 0 5 KDP-BC was combined due to advanced design maturity so B highlow here is equal to ABCMA
NISAR 2 Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-20 Jun-22 0 6 Dec-21 12 Sep-22 9
JASON-3 3 Jul-13 Jul-13 Apr-14 Apr-14 9 9 Mar-15 20 Mar-15 20
MMS 1 Oct-13 Oct-13 Oct-14 Oct-14 12 12 Aug-14 10 Mar-15 17
ECOSTRESS 3 May-17 Mar-18 Aug-17 Aug-19 3 17 Aug-17 3 Aug-19 17
SMAP 2 Mar-13 Mar-13 May-15 May-15 26 26 Oct-14 19 Mar-15 24
XARM 3 Oct-19 Oct-19 Jan-22 Mar-23 27 41
SOC 2 Apr-15 Apr-15 Dec-17 Dec-18 32 44 Jan-17 21 Oct-18 42
Orion 1 Dec-17 Dec-17 Jun-21 Mar-22 42 51 Aug-21 44 Apr-23 64
MAIA 3 NA NA Dec-19 Mar-21 NA NA
ICON 3 NA NA Feb-17 Jun-17 NA NA
GOLD 3 NA NA Dec-17 Dec-17 NA NA
GeoCarb 3 NA NA Jun-22 Jun-23 NA NA
IXPE 3 NA NA Dec-20 Dec-20 NA NA
Landsat 9 2 NA NA Dec-20 Nov-21 NA NA
Lucy 2 NA NA Oct-21 Nov-21 NA NA
TROPICS 3 NA NA Sep-19 Sep-20 NA NA
JUICE 3 NA NA Sep-19 Sep-19 NA NA
Psyche 2 NA NA Aug-22 Aug-22 NA NA
Clipper 1 NA NA Jun-22 Jul-23 NA NA removed Clipper from schedule calculations due to no KDP-A schedule estimate
CLARREO-PF 3 Jan-20 Jan-22
COST Growth () Schedule Growth (months)
of Pp (LowMA) (HighABC) (LowMA) (HighABC)
Category I 7 62 165 88 85
Category II 12 38 109 59 40
Category III 15 - -07 56 96
COST Growth () Schedule Growth (months)
(LowMA) (HighABC) (LowMA) (HighABC)
Average 80 118 66 70
Median 15 - 00 00
Standard Deviation 145 233 129 189
Minimum -12 -65 -9 -36
Maximum 417 745 42 51
Mission LCC Category KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta2 Change (low) Notes KDP-C MA KDP-C ABC MA Variance From A ABC Variance From A
Clipper 1 $ 4000 $ 4000 $ - 0 00 $ 3000 $ 3100 $ 100 33
DART 2 $ 270 $ 291 $ 21 78 $ 175 $ 248 $ 73 417
Euclid 3 $ 110 $ 110 $ - 0 00 $ 100 $ 100 $ - 0 00 Combined KDP-AB so no possible change 964 1014 -4 -8
GRACE-FO 2 $ 470 $ 460 $ (10) -21 $ 409 $ 404 $ (5) -12 4059 4319 -1 -8
JASON-3 3 $ 159 $ 166 $ 7 44 $ - 0 $ 158 1552 1552 -2
LADEE 3 $ 214 $ 200 $ (14) -65 $ - 0 $ 184 2359 2629 23
LCRD 2 $ 239 $ 239 $ 0 02 $ 239 $ 239 $ 0 02 2571 2627 8 10
Mars 2020 1 $ 2350 $ 2351 $ 1 00 $ 2140 $ 2186 $ 46 21 22727 24435 6 4
MMS 1 $ 777 $ 990 $ 213 275 $ 777 $ 928 $ 151 195 10026 10826 29 39
NISAR 2 $ 808 $ 808 $ - 0 00 $ 718 $ 718 $ - 0 00 7953 8669 11 7
OCO-3 3 $ 120 $ 111 $ (9) -71 $ 100 $ 101 $ 1 13 1108 1148 11 -4
Orion 1 $ 6391 $ 10288 $ 3897 610 $ - 0 $ 8534 Moved LRD from EM-1 to EM-2 extending LCC timeframe 108098 112835 77
PACE 2 $ 850 $ 850 $ - 0 00 $ 805 $ 805 $ - 0 00
PSP 1 $ 1300 $ 1439 $ 139 107 $ 1000 $ 1233 $ 233 233 13932 15534 39 19
Restore-L 2 $ 787 $ 753 $ (34) -43 $ 500 $ 628 $ 128 256
SAGE-III 3 $ 112 $ 115 $ 3 27 $ - 0 $ 104 101 112 0
SLS 1 $ 8855 $ 8587 $ (268) -30 $ - 0 $ 7653 8394 9695 9
SMAP 2 $ 514 $ 649 $ 135 263 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 7218 9165 78
SOC 2 $ 243 $ 424 $ 181 745 $ - 0 $ 371 3662 4359 79
SWOT 2 $ 752 $ 757 $ 5 07 $ 642 $ 647 $ 5 08 7049 7549 10 0
XARM 3 $ 172 $ 217 $ 45 264 $ 161 $ 179 $ 18 110
Count KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta Change (low) Notes
Category 1 6 $ 23673 $ 27655 $ 3982 168 $ 3275 $ 3606 $ 331 101
Category 2 9 $ 4933 $ 5231 $ 298 61 $ 4474 $ 13335 $ 8861 1981
Category 3 6 $ 887 $ 920 $ 33 37 $ - 0 $ 7757 $ 7757 ERRORDIV0
Total 21 $ 29493 $ 33807 $ 4314 146 $ 7749 $ 24698 $ 16949 2187
Mission LCC Category KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta2 Change (low) Notes
CLARREO-PF 3 $ 75 $ (75) -1000 $ 64
ICON 3 $ 249 $ 218
ECOSTRESS 3 $ 56 $ 49
GeoCarb 3 $ 181 $ 171
GOLD 3 $ 74 $ 64
IXPE 3 $ 205 $ 189
JUICE 3 $ 119 $ 103
Landsat 9 2 $ 928 $ 851 KDP-BC was combined due to advanced design maturity so B highlow here is equal to ABCMA
Lucy 2 $ 984 $ 914
Psyche 2 $ 957 $ 907
TROPICS 3 $ 30 $ 30
MAIA 3 $ 178 $ 150
Cost Estimate Deltas - KDP-A to KDP-B COST Growth ()
Mission Estimate KDP-A KDP-B Notes of Pp Low (MA) High (ABC)
SOC High $ 243 745 $ 424 Category I 4 127 172
Low $ - 0 $ 371 Category II 5 -01 199
Orion High $ 6391 610 $ 10288 Moved LRD from EM-1 to EM-2 extending LCC timeframe Category III 4 00 01
Low $ - 0 $ 8534
SMAP High $ 514 263 $ 649
Low $ - 0 $ - 0
SPP High $ 1300 107 $ 1439
Low $ 1000 233 $ 1233
JASON-3 High $ 159 44 $ 166
Low $ - 0 $ 158
SAGE-III High $ 112 27 $ 115
Low $ - 0 $ 104
SWOT High $ 752 07 $ 757
Low $ 642 08 $ 647
Mars 2020 High $ 2350 00 $ 2351
Low $ 2140 21 $ 2186
NISAR High $ 808 00 $ 808
Low $ 718 00 $ 718
Euclid High $ 110 00 $ 110 Combined KDP-AB so no change possible
Low $ 100 00 $ 100
GRACE Follow On High $ 470 -21 $ 460
Low $ 409 -12 $ 404
SLS High $ 8855 -30 $ 8587
Low $ - 0 $ 7653
LADEE High $ 214 -65 $ 200
Low $ - 0 $ 184
ProgramProject Name Category KDP A to B analysis (13 missions)
ASTRO-H 3 ASTRO-Hreg 3 bull13 Missions KDP-B Data Unavailable
CYGNSS 3 CYGNSS 3 bull7 Missions KDP-Crsquos have not yet occurred
DSCOVR 3 DSCOVR 3
C ECOSTRESS 3 ECOSTRESS 3
EUCLID 3 EUCLIDreg 3 Euclid
C GEDI 3 GEDI 3
GOES-R 1 GOES-R 1
GOLD 3 GOLD 3
GPM 2 GPM 2
GRACE-FO 2 GRACE-FO 2 GRACE Follow On
GSDO 1 GSDO 1
ICESat-2 1 ICESat-2reg 1
ICON 2 ICON 2
InSight 2 InSight 2
IRIS 3 IRIS 3
Jason-3 3 Jason-3 3 JASON-3
JPSS-1 1 JPSS-1 1
JWST 1 JWSTreg 1
LADEE 2 LADEEreg 2 LADEE
C LCRD 3 LCRD 3
LDCM 2 LDCMreg 2
LDSD 3 LDSD 3
C Mars 2020 1 Mars 2020 1 Mars 2020
MAVEN 2 MAVEN 2
MMS 1 MMS 1
MOMA 3 MOMA 3
MSL 1 MSL 1
NICER 3 NICER 3
C NISAR 2 NISAR 2 NISAR
NuSTAR 3 NuSTARreg 3
OCO-2 2 OCO-2 2
C OCO-3 3 OCO-3 3
ORION 1 ORION 1 Orion
OSIRIS Rex 1 OSIRIS Rexreg 1
SAGE III 3 SAGE III 3 SAGE-III
SGSS 1 SGSSreg 1
SLS 1 SLS 1 SLS
SMAP 2 SMAPreg 2 SMAP
SOC 2 SOC 2 SOC
SOFIA 1 SOFIA 1
PSP 1 PSP 1 PSP
C SWOT 2 SWOT 2 SWOT
TEMPO 3 TEMPO 3
TESS 2 TESS 2
Clipper
DART
PACE
Restore-L
XARM
Statistics COST Growth ($M) Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Average 9 9 43 61 136 070
Median 5 6 20 45 112 034
Standard Deviation 14 16 73 83 93 081
Variance 2 3 535 685 871 066
Minimum -9 -8 (71) (31) 15 - 0
Maximum 38 53 244 315 345 242
no JWST
Statistics
COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 18 17 118 131 1989 065
Median 20 17 101 132 19167 0582
Standard Deviation 16 19 105 117 11557 0830
Sample Variance 3 4 1101 1377 133562 0688
Minimum -6 -5 - 0 - 0 397 - 0
Maximum 46 48 284 274 4527 310
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 20 21 156 159 2031 075
Median 21 20 132 147 20783 0589
Standard Deviation 17 25 174 155 11214 0881
Sample Variance 3 6 3035 2394 125751 0776
Minimum -6 -5 00 00 40 - 0
Maximum 48 78 649 528 453 31
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 4 3 47 136 253 054
Median 9 9 61 132 24333 042
Standard Deviation 10 12 52 56 6657 022
Sample Variance 1 1 273 311 44310 005
Minimum -7 -11 (10) 82 1923 041
Maximum 11 11 92 193 3243 079
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
of Pp B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC)
Category I 6 4 4 22 78
Category II 9 8 13 71 83
Category III 8 6 11 28 52
Timeline Total Programs 46
Begin End Cost data Note Replans have KDP B = previous KDB C for comaprison planned Total Replans 14
2010 Present Total LCC Percent Replans 30
KDP-B KDP-C PresentFinal Breach Totals Statistics (B to C) or (C to Replan) Statictics - PresentFinal
KDP-B (LowMA) KDP-B (HighABC) KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) (MA) (ABC) 41416 14 9 9 8 COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
DIR ProgramProject Nameregdenotes Replan Category Cost LRD Cost LRD Signature Date Cost LRD Cost LRD Notes Signature Date Delta B to C (MA) Delta B to C (ABC) Cost LRD Cost LRD Source Replan Breach (YN) Schedule Breach Cost Breach B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC) C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC)
ASTRO-H 3 568 Aug-13 568 Aug-13 May-10 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 595 595 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 9 10 613 613 3450 018 21 34 2127 2530
ASTRO-Hreg 3 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 798 Nov-15 839 Mar-16 ABC +532 SEO option in Nov-13 1705 2115 758 Feb-16 759 Mar-16 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 21 34 2127 2530 817 310 -5 -10 307 - 0
CYGNSS 3 1028 Oct-16 1728 Apr-17 Jul-13 1528 Oct-16 1812 May-17 Feb-14 50 84 1595 Oct-16 1742 May-17 FY16Q2 N N 33 5 - 0 100 800 013 4 -4 - 0 - 0
JASD DSCOVR 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
928 Jan-15 Aug-13 0 928 928 Jan-15 94 Jan-15 KDP-E Jan-15 N N 0 0 0 1 - 0
ECOSTRESS 3 485 Aug-17 559 Aug-19 Apr-15 51043 Aug-17 55942 Aug-19 Dec-15 2543 0042 N N 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0 0 0
EUCLID 3 105 Dec-14 110 Dec-14 Jan-13 964 May-15 1014 May-16 ABC +44M for Science Center Sep-13 -86 -86 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -9 -8 503 1723 810 213 -1 -5 717 1117
EUCLIDreg 3 964 May-15 1454 May-16 Sep-13 179 Mar-17 190 Jun-18 Feb-16 826 446 179 Dec-21 190 Dec-22 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 46 31 2233 2537 2943 086 0 00 5787 5480
GEDI 3 1208 May-18 1263 May-18 Aug-15 120774 Jun-18 126253 Mar-19 Jun-16 -0026 -0047 N N -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100 -7 -10 607 817
JASD GOES-R 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
108603 Oct-15 Apr-12 0 108603 108295 Oct-16 kDP-D Sep-14 N N 0 0 32 24 1013 1320
GOLD 3 641 Dec-17 744 Dec-17 Feb-15 641 Oct-17 745 Apr-18 Mar-15 0 01 N N 0 0 (203) 403 167 242 5 2 810 307
GPM 2 Not Available 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 911 978 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 -2 -8 717 717
GPMreg 2 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 906 Feb-14 933 Jun-14 Oct-11 -5 -45 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16Q2 Y Y Y -1 -5 717 1117 2240 050 -1 -3 - 0 (400)
GRACE-FO 2 404 Aug-17 460 Aug-17 Aug-12 4059 Aug-17 4319 Feb-18 Feb-14 19 -281 4079 Aug-17 4318 Feb-18 FY16Q2 N N 0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032 0 -00 - 0 - 0
ESD GSDO 1 28119 Dec-17 31213 Mar-18 Feb-13 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 -1784 -3084 26336 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 FY16Q2 N N -7 -10 607 817 1923 042 0 00 - 0 - 0
ICESat-2 2 686 Apr-16 776 Nov-16 Aug-11 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 -122 842 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -2 11 813 603 1687 036 10 0 203 - 0
ICESat-2reg 1 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 9915 Oct-17 10635 Jun-18 May-14 3177 2033 9916 Oct-17 10636 Jun-18 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 32 24 1013 1320 1660 080 0 00 - 0 - 0
ICON 2 2177 Oct-16 2485 Jul-17 Jun-14 2294 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 Oct-14 117 42 232 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 FY16Q2 N N 5 2 810 307 500 061 1 00 - 0 - 0
Planetary InSight 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 6266 6751 6536 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 FY16Q2 N N 0 0 4 00 - 0 - 0
IRIS 3 Not Available 1671 Dec-12 1802 Jun-13 Nov-10 1671 1802 1873 Jun-13 1873 Jun-13 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 11 4 607 - 0
Jason-3 3 158 Apr-14 166 Apr-14 Jul-11 1552 Mar-15 1552 Mar-15 Jan-13 -28 -108 1579 Jul-15 1579 Jan-16 KDP-E draft N N -2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059 2 2 407 1020
JASD JPSS-1 1 Not Available 1623 Mar-17 Aug-13 0 1623 16235 Mar-17 KDP-D Apr-15 N N 0 0 36 48 2533 2637
JUICE 3 1034 Sep-19 1185 Sep-19 Apr-16 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 Apr-17 11 85 N N 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
JWST JWST 1 3117 Aug-11 3117 Aug-11 Jul-03 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 1264 1847 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046 0 0
JWSTreg 1 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 4044 3871 85104 Oct-18 88254 Oct-18 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 48 78 6493 5277 2577 205 1 -01 - 0 - 0
LADEE 2 1843 May-12 200 May-12 Dec-09 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 516 629 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 22 31 1217 1830 1027 178 26 34 1717 2433
LADEEreg 2 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 2619 Jul-13 2629 Nov-13 May-12 26 0 2738 Sep-13 2738 Sep-13 FY15Q1 Y N 10 0 203 - 0 1917 - 0 4 4 207 (203)
Landsat 9 2 851 Dec-20 928 Nov-21 Aug-16 838531 Dec-20 885029 Nov-21 Dec-17 -12469 -42971 N N -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
LCRD 2 2394 Feb-17 May-13 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 Apr-17 2571 233 N N 0 9 3343 4770 070 -6 -5 - 0 - 0
LDCM 2 710 Dec-12 800 Dec-12 Sep-09 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 140 142 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 16 18 - 0 607 707 086 -3 -3 - 0 - 0
LDCMreg 2 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 8608 Dec-12 9416 Jun-13 Dec-10 108 -04 8501 Feb-13 8568 Feb-13 FY15Q4 Y N 1 -0 - 0 - 0 867 - 0 -1 -9 207 (400)
STMD LDSD 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project
1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 1896 203 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0 9 13 917 1930
STMD LDSDreg 3 1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 2368 Dec-16 2368 Dec-16 Mar-15 472 338 249 Dec-16 249 Dec-16 FY15Q4 Y Y Y Y 20 17 1627 1627 2733 060 5 5 - 0 - 0
Mars 2020 1 2106 Jul-20 2351 Jul-20 May-15 22727 Jul-20 24435 Jul-20 STMDHEOMD added Jun-16 1667 925 N N 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0 -2 10 2437 3147
MAVEN 2 Not Available 6382 Nov-13 6712 Nov-13 Oct-10 6382 6712 598 Nov-13 600 Nov-13 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 -7 -11 - 0 - 0
MMS 1 9104 Oct-14 9904 Oct-14 Nov-07 10026 Aug-14 10826 Mar-15 Jun-09 922 922 1121 Sep-15 1121 Sep-15 FY16Q2 N N 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025 11 4 1320 613
MOMA 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)MOMA-MS did not have a traditional path of formulation NASArsquos participation on the MOMAinstrument began as a result of a proposal to the Mars Scout 2006 and Mission of OpportunityAnnouncement of Opportunity that proposal was selected for technology development In 2010NASA determined that the original team would not be able to produce a flight instrument onschedule and within acceptable risk NASA decided to bring the instrument technology andflight system development in-house to increase the probability of success The MOMA-MStechnology development effort was assigned to the Goddard Space Flight Center in Fall 2010The Project is entering the typical Life Cycle Review (LCR) process after a tailored PreliminaryDesign Review (PDR) and Key Decision Point (KDP)-C Until the time of KDP-C no formalAgency-level gate reviews were held (lack of KDP-A and KDP-B)
91 Oct-15 101 Oct-15 Apr-14 91 101 904 Jul-18 1004 Jul-18 FY16Q2 N N 0 0 -1 -1 3347 3347
MSL 1 Not Available 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 1474 1613 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
MSLreg 1 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 23185 Oct-11 23943 Nov-11 Apr-10 8445 7813 25176 Nov-11 25304 Nov-11 FY15Q1 Y Y Y Y 36 48 2533 2637 4527 058 8 6 103 - 0
NICER 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- the mission was selected from an AO and the down select places the project in phase B This was originally below $75 M threshold and no KDP DM were generated to document the cost and schedule

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
624 Aug-16 684 Feb-17 Feb-14 624 684 684 Feb-17 67 Feb-17 KDP-D Jan-16 N N 0 0 9 -2 613 - 0
NISAR 2 7183 Dec-20 8083 Dec-20 Feb-15 7953 Dec-21 8669 Sep-22 Aug-16 77 586 N N 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117
NuSTAR 3 1052 Oct-11 1052 Oct-11 Feb-08 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 554 554 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
NuSTARreg 3 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 1606 Nov-11 1606 Feb-12 Aug-10 0 0 166 Jun-12 166 Jun-12 FY14Q4 Y N 0 0 307 103 1167 009 3 3 710 403
OCO-2 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild
3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 3259 3499 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
OCO-2reg 2 3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 4377 Jul-14 4677 Feb-15 Jan-13 1118 1178 4276 Jul-14 4276 Jul-14 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 26 34 1717 2433 2767 088 -2 -9 - 0 (717)
OCO-3 3 1014 Jul-16 1115 Oct-16 Aug-13 1108 Mar-18 1148 May-18 May-16 94 33 N N 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
ESD ORION 1 96425 Sep-21 102886 Mar-22 Jan-13 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 11673 9949 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 FY16Q2 N N 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041 0 00 - 0 - 0
OSIRIS Rex 1 1085 Oct-16 1210 Oct-16 Apr-13 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 -336 -886 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0
OSIRIS Rexreg 1 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 9959 Oct-16 10642 Oct-16 Mar-14 -555 -572 10014 Oct-16 10572 Oct-16 FY16Q2 Y N -6 -5 - 0 - 0 1053 - 0 1 -1 - 0 - 0
PSP 1 1233 Jul-18 1439 Jul-18 Jan-12 13932 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 Mar-14 1602 1144 13931 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 FY16Q2 N N 11 8 103 103 2670 004 -0 00 - 0 - 0
SAGE III 3 1042 Aug-14 1152 Aug-14 Feb-12 101 Aug-14 112 Aug-14 Jul-12 -32 -32 1265 Aug-16 133 Aug-16 FY16Q2 N N -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0 20 19 2437 2437
SGSS 2 5165 Dec-15 6275 Sep-17 Aug-12 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 3155 2351 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
SGSSreg 1 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 11959 Jul-19 12079 Sep-19 Jul-15 3639 3453 1216 Jul-19 1228 Sep-19 PPBE18 PMR Y Y Y Y 30 40 2840 2740 2777 099 2 2 - 0 - 0
ESD SLS 1 7653 Mar-17 8587 Apr-17 Aug-12 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 741 1108 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 FY16Q1 N N 9 13 917 1930 2433 079 0 00 - 0 - 0
SMAP 2 5845 May-15 7792 May-15 Jan-10 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 1373 1373 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
SMAPreg 2 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 8744 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 Sep-12 1526 0 8899 May-15 8899 May-15 FY16Q2 Y N 17 0 - 0 - 0 397 - 0 2 -3 707 203
SOC 2 372 Jan-15 396 Mar-16 Dec-11 3662 Jan-17 4359 Oct-18 Mar-13 -58 399 2892 Oct-18 3789 Oct-18 FY16Q2 N N -2 10 2437 3147 1610 195 -27 -13 2127 - 0
SOFIA 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)SOFIA was reformulated because it was cancelled in the 2007 Budget The program went through multiple reviews until 2010 There is a file APMC Oct 6 2010 SOFIA r3 which is the confirmation review Sharedrive path USIDKDP and Other Decision MemosProjectsSOFIA

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project
29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 29476 29551 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
SOFIA (Budget) 1 29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 11431 Feb-14 11506 Feb-14 not a KDP Apr-14 -18045 -18045 29048 Feb-14 29122 Feb-14 FY16Q2 Budget Reduction N -158 -61 - 0 - 0 139100 - 0
SWOT 2 647 Oct-20 757 Oct-20 Jun-14 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 May-16 579 -21 N N 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
TEMPO 3 1708 May-17 2178 Dec-17 Apr-14 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 Apr-15 101 0 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 FY16Q2 N N 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008 0 00 - 0 - 0
TESS 2 350 Sep-17 400 Sep-17 May-14 3424 Dec-17 3784 Jun-18 Oct-14 -76 -216 31976 Dec-17 3517 Jun-18 FY16Q2 N N -2 -5 303 910 510 178 -7 -7 - 0 - 0
Currently in B Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) Schedule change Ratio
CLARREO-PF B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C
DART KDP-C in July Mean 13 -13 55 28 1729 115
Europa Clipper 02045454545 Median 17 -06 21 00 17483 0862
GeoCarb Standard Deviation 84 68 88 87 10875 0863
IXPE Minimum -27 -13 00 -72 397 050
Lucy Maximum 20 19 335 335 4527 310
MAIA
PACE
Psyche Paste data from above to this table for analysis
Restore-L -27 -13 2127 - 0 1610 050
SOC Replan Breach notification made DM not yet final -7 -7 - 0 - 0 080
TROPICS -7 -11 - 0 - 0 817 060
XARM -5 -10 307 - 0 867 088
-2 -9 - 0 (717) 2767 310
-2 -8 717 717 086
-1 -3 - 0 (400) 510 058
-1 -9 207 (400) 800 099
-1 -1 3347 3347 2240 205
1 -1 - 0 - 0 397
1 -01 - 0 - 0
2 2 - 0 - 0 1053
2 2 407 1020
2 -3 707 203 2577
1 00 - 0 - 0 2777
4 00 - 0 - 0 1887
3 3 710 403 1167
4 -4 - 0 - 0 1983
4 4 207 (203)
5 5 - 0 - 0 1917
8 6 103 - 0 2733
9 -2 613 - 0 4527
11 4 1320 613 503
11 4 607 - 0
20 19 2437 2437
Timeline Total Programs 46
Begin End Cost data Note Replans have KDP B = previous KDP C for comaprison planned Total Replans 14
2010 Present Total LCC Percent Replans 30
KDP-B KDP-C PresentFinal Breach Totals Statistics (B to C) or (C to Replan) Statistics - PresentFinal
KDP-B (LowMA) KDP-B (HighABC) KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) (MA) (ABC) 72618 20 13 13 9 COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
DIR ProgramProject Nameregdenotes Replan Category Cost LRD Cost LRD Signature Date Cost LRD Cost LRD Notes Signature Date Delta B to C (MA) Delta B to C (ABC) Cost LRD Cost LRD Source Replan Breach (YN) Schedule Breach Cost Breach B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC) C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC)
APD ASTRO-H 3 568 Aug-13 568 Aug-13 May-10 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 595 595 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 9 10 613 613 3450 018 21 34 2127 2530
APD ASTRO-Hreg 3 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 798 Nov-15 839 Mar-16 ABC +532 SEO option in Nov-13 1705 2115 74855 Feb-16 109271 Mar-16 FY17 Q1 Y Y Y Y 21 34 2127 2530 817 310 -7 30 307 - 0
ESD CYGNSS 3 1028 Oct-16 1728 Apr-17 Jul-13 1528 Oct-16 1812 May-17 Feb-14 50 84 159503 Dec-16 159503 Dec-16 FY18 Q3 N N 33 5 - 0 100 800 013 4 -12 203 (503)
JASD DSCOVR 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
928 Jan-15 Aug-13 0 928 928 Jan-15 94 Jan-15 KDP-E Jan-15 N N 0 0 0 1 - 0
x ESD ECOSTRESS 3 485 Aug-17 559 Aug-19 Apr-15 51043 Aug-17 55942 Aug-19 Dec-15 2543 0042 51043 Apr-18 52443 Aug-19 KDP-E May-18 N N 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0 0 0
HEO EGS 1 28119 Dec-17 31213 Mar-18 Feb-13 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 -1784 -3084 27418 Sep-18 28129 Nov-18 FY17 Q1 N N -7 -10 607 817 1923 042 4 00 307 - 0
HEO EGSreg 1 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 3145 Dec-19 3231 Jun-20 Dec-17 5115 4181 31446 Dec-19 31446 Dec-19 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 16 15 1827 1927 3957 049 -0 -27 - 0 (610)
x APD EUCLID 3 105 Dec-14 110 Dec-14 Jan-13 964 May-15 1014 May-16 ABC +44M for Science Center Sep-13 -86 -86 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -9 -8 503 1723 810 213 -1 -5 717 1117
APD EUCLIDreg 3 964 May-15 1454 May-16 Sep-13 179 Mar-17 190 Jun-18 Feb-16 826 446 206214 Mar-20 223452 Mar-20 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 46 31 2233 2537 2943 086 13 176 3653 2130
ESD GEDI 3 1208 May-18 1263 May-18 Aug-15 120774 Jun-18 126253 Mar-19 Jun-16 -0026 -0047 120774 Nov-18 123774 Mar-19 FY18 Q3 N N -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100 -7 -10 607 817
JASD GOES-R 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
108603 Oct-15 Apr-12 0 108603 10150 Nov-16 KDP-E Oct-16 N N 0 0 32 24 1013 1320
HPD GOLD 3 641 Dec-17 744 Dec-17 Feb-15 641 Oct-17 745 Apr-18 Mar-15 0 01 663 Feb-18 73 Apr-18 KDP-E Dec-17 N N 0 0 (203) 403 167 242 5 2 810 307
ESD GPM 2 Not Available 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 911 978 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16 Q1 N N 0 0 -2 -8 717 717
ESD GPMreg 2 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 906 Feb-14 933 Jun-14 Oct-11 -5 -45 8834 Feb-14 8904 Feb-14 FY17 Q3 Y Y Y -1 -5 717 1117 2240 050 -3 -5 - 0 (400)
ESD GRACE-FO 2 404 Aug-17 460 Aug-17 Aug-12 4059 Aug-17 4319 Feb-18 Feb-14 19 -281 4059 May-18 4319 May-18 FY18 Q3 N N 0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032 0 00 910 297
ESD ICESat-2 2 686 Apr-16 776 Nov-16 Aug-11 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 -122 842 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -2 11 813 603 1687 036 10 0 203 - 0
ESD ICESat-2reg 1 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 9915 Oct-17 10635 Jun-18 May-14 3177 2033 10561 Sep-18 10636 Oct-18 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 32 24 1013 1320 1660 080 6 00 1117 407
HPD ICON 2 2177 Oct-16 2485 Jul-17 Jun-14 2294 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 Oct-14 117 42 243 Jun-18 2527 Jun-18 FY18 Q3 N N 5 2 810 307 500 061 6 00 1217 810
PSD InSight 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight
6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 6266 6751 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0 ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE
PSD InSightreg 2 6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 8189 May-18 8289 May-18 Sep-16 1923 1538 8138 May-18 8138 May-18 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 23 23 2637 2637 3050 086 -1 -18 - 0 - 0
HPD IRIS 3 Not Available 1671 Dec-12 1802 Jun-13 Nov-10 1671 1802 1873 Jun-13 1873 Jun-13 FY16 Q1 N N 0 0 11 4 607 - 0
ESD Jason-3 3 158 Apr-14 166 Apr-14 Jul-11 1552 Mar-15 1552 Mar-15 Jan-13 -28 -108 1579 Jul-15 1579 Jan-16 KDP-E Sep-16 N N -2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059 2 2 407 1020
JASD JPSS-1 1 Not Available 1623 Mar-17 Aug-13 0 1623 16235 Mar-17 KDP-D Apr-15 N N 0 0 36 48 2533 2637
x PSD JUICE 3 1034 Sep-19 1185 Sep-19 Apr-16 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 Apr-17 11 85 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 KDP-C Apr-17 N N 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
JWST JWST 1 3117 Aug-11 3117 Aug-11 Jul-03 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 1264 1847 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046 0 0
JWST JWSTreg 1 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 4044 3871 85104 Oct-18 88254 Oct-18 FY16 Q2 Y Y Y Y 48 78 6493 5277 2577 205 1 -01 - 0 - 0
JWST JWSTregreg 1 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 94889 Nov-20 96627 Mar-21 May-18 10639 8277 94889 Nov-20 96627 Mar-21 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 9 2940 8113 036
PSD LADEE 2 1843 May-12 200 May-12 Dec-09 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 516 629 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 22 31 1217 1830 1027 178 26 34 1717 2433
PSD LADEEreg 2 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 2619 Jul-13 2629 Nov-13 May-12 26 0 2738 Sep-13 2738 Sep-13 FY15 Q1 Y N 10 0 203 - 0 1917 - 0 4 4 207 (203)
x ESD Landsat 9 2 851 Dec-20 928 Nov-21 Aug-16 838531 Dec-20 885029 Nov-21 Dec-17 -12469 -42971 8385 Dec-20 885 Nov-21 FY18 Q3 N N -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
STMD LCRD 2 2394 Feb-17 May-13 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 Apr-17 2571 233 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 FY18 Q3 N N 0 9 3343 4770 070 -6 -5 - 0 - 0
ESD LDCMLandsat 8 2 710 Dec-12 800 Dec-12 Sep-09 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 140 142 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 16 18 - 0 607 707 086 -3 -3 - 0 - 0
ESD LDCMLandsat 8reg 2 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 8608 Dec-12 9416 Jun-13 Dec-10 108 -04 85006 Feb-13 85666 Feb-13 FY18 Q3 Y N 1 -0 - 0 - 0 867 - 0 -1 -9 207 (400)
STMD LDSD 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 1896 203 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0 9 13 917 1930
STMD LDSDreg 3 1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 2368 Dec-16 2368 Dec-16 Mar-15 472 338 249 Dec-16 249 Dec-16 FY15 Q4 Y Y Y Y 20 17 1627 1627 2733 060 5 5 - 0 - 0
x PSD Mars 2020 1 2106 Jul-20 2351 Jul-20 May-15 22727 Jul-20 24435 Jul-20 STMDHEOMD added Jun-16 1667 925 23634 Jul-20 25304 Jul-20 FY18 Q3 N N 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0 -2 10 2437 3147
PSD MAVEN 2 Not Available 6382 Nov-13 6712 Nov-13 Oct-10 6382 6712 5753 Nov-13 5753 Nov-13 FY16 Q3 N N 0 0 -11 -14 - 0 - 0
HPD MMS 1 9104 Oct-14 9904 Oct-14 Nov-07 10026 Aug-14 10826 Mar-15 Jun-09 922 922 1098 Mar-15 1098 Mar-15 FY18 Q2 N N 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025 9 1 707 - 0
PSD MOMA 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)MOMA-MS did not have a traditional path of formulation NASArsquos participation on the MOMAinstrument began as a result of a proposal to the Mars Scout 2006 and Mission of OpportunityAnnouncement of Opportunity that proposal was selected for technology development In 2010NASA determined that the original team would not be able to produce a flight instrument onschedule and within acceptable risk NASA decided to bring the instrument technology andflight system development in-house to increase the probability of success The MOMA-MStechnology development effort was assigned to the Goddard Space Flight Center in Fall 2010The Project is entering the typical Life Cycle Review (LCR) process after a tailored PreliminaryDesign Review (PDR) and Key Decision Point (KDP)-C Until the time of KDP-C no formalAgency-level gate reviews were held (lack of KDP-A and KDP-B)
91 Oct-15 101 Oct-15 Apr-14 91 101 120243 Jul-20 128226 Jul-20 FY18 Q3 N N 0 0 24 27 5783 5783
PSD MSL 1 Not Available 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 1474 1613 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
PSD MSLreg 1 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 23185 Oct-11 23943 Nov-11 Apr-10 8445 7813 25176 Nov-11 25304 Nov-11 FY15 Q1 Y Y Y Y 36 48 2533 2637 4527 058 8 6 103 - 0
ESD NICER 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- the mission was selected from an AO and the down select places the project in phase B This was originally below $75 M threshold and no KDP DM were generated to document the cost and schedule

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
624 Aug-16 684 Feb-17 Feb-14 624 684 694 Jun-17 706 Aug-17 KDP-E May-17 N N 0 0 10 3 1013 603
x ESD NISAR 2 7183 Dec-20 8083 Dec-20 Feb-15 7953 Dec-21 8669 Sep-22 Aug-16 77 586 7953 Dec-21 8969 Sep-22 FY18 Q3 N N 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117 0 00346060676 0 0
APD NuSTAR 3 1052 Oct-11 1052 Oct-11 Feb-08 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 554 554 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
APD NuSTARreg 3 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 1606 Nov-11 1606 Feb-12 Aug-10 0 0 115315 Jun-12 115315 Jun-12 FY15 Q1 Y N 0 0 307 103 1167 009 -39 -28 710 403
ESD OCO-2 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild
3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 3259 3499 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
ESD OCO-2reg 2 3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 4377 Jul-14 4677 Feb-15 Jan-13 1118 1178 4245 Jul-14 4245 Jul-14 FY17 Q1 Y Y Y Y 26 34 1717 2433 2767 088 -3 -9 - 0 (717)
x ESD OCO-3 3 1014 Jul-16 1115 Oct-16 Aug-13 1108 Mar-18 1148 May-18 May-16 94 33 113388 Mar-18 113388 May-18 FY18 Q3 N N 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
HEO Orion 1 96425 Sep-21 102886 Mar-22 Jan-13 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 11673 9949 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041 ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE
HEO Orionreg 1 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 116581 Jun-22 116581 Jun-22 Jun-18 8483 3746 116581 Jun-22 116581 Jun-22 FY18 Q3 Y N 7 3 1013 (1013) 3347 030 0 00 - 0 - 0
PSD OSIRIS Rex 1 1085 Oct-16 1210 Oct-16 Apr-13 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 -336 -886 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0
PSD OSIRIS Rexreg 1 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 9959 Oct-16 10642 Oct-16 Mar-14 -555 -572 9975 Sep-16 10532 Sep-16 FY18 Q3 Y N -6 -5 - 0 - 0 1053 - 0 0 -1 (100) (100)
HPD PSP 1 1233 Jul-18 1439 Jul-18 Jan-12 13932 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 Mar-14 1602 1144 13821 Aug-18 15482 Aug-18 FY18 Q3 N N 11 8 103 103 2670 004 -1 -03 - 0 - 0
ESD SAGE III 3 1042 Aug-14 1152 Aug-14 Feb-12 101 Aug-14 112 Aug-14 Jul-12 -32 -32 129364 Feb-17 129364 Feb-17 FY18 Q3 N N -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0 22 16 3050 3050
HEO SGSS 2 5165 Dec-15 6275 Sep-17 Aug-12 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 3155 2351 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
HEO SGSSreg 1 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 11959 Jul-19 12079 Sep-19 Jul-15 3639 3453 1251 Sep-19 1261284 Nov-19 Path Forward APMC Dec 2016 Y Y Y Y 30 40 2840 2740 2777 099 4 4 223 267
HEO SLS 1 7653 Mar-17 8587 Apr-17 Aug-12 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 741 1108 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 FY16 Q1 N N 9 13 917 1930 2433 079 0 00 - 0 - 0
HEO SLSreg 1 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 9734 Dec-19 9843 Jun-20 Dec-17 1340 148 98029 Dec-19 98029 Dec-19 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 14 2 2433 1927 4060 047 1 -04
ESD SMAP 2 5845 May-15 7792 May-15 Jan-10 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 1373 1373 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
ESD SMAPreg 2 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 8744 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 Sep-12 1526 0 8899 Jan-15 8899 Jan-15 FY18 Q3 Y N 17 0 - 0 - 0 397 - 0 2 -3 307 (197)
HPD SOC 2 372 Jan-15 396 Mar-16 Dec-11 3662 Jan-17 4359 Oct-18 Mar-13 -58 399 3433 Feb-20 3866 Feb-20 FY18 Q3 N N -2 10 2437 3147 1610 195 -7 -11 3753 1627
APD SOFIA 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)SOFIA was reformulated because it was cancelled in the 2007 Budget The program went through multiple reviews until 2010 There is a file APMC Oct 6 2010 SOFIA r3 which is the confirmation review Sharedrive path USIDKDP and Other Decision MemosProjectsSOFIA
29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 29476 29551 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
APD SOFIAreg 1 29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 11431 Feb-14 11506 Feb-14 not a KDP Apr-14 -18045 -18045 15874 Feb-14 15949 Feb-14 FY18 Q3 Y N -158 -61 - 0 - 0 139100 - 0
x ESD SWOT 2 647 Oct-20 757 Oct-20 Jun-14 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 May-16 579 -21 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 FY18 Q3 N N 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
ESD TEMPO 3 1708 May-17 2178 Dec-17 Apr-14 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 Apr-15 101 0 181242 Sep-17 197242 Nov-17 FY18 Q3 N N 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008 0 -94 - 0 - 0
APD TESS 2 350 Sep-17 400 Sep-17 May-14 3424 Dec-17 3784 Jun-18 Oct-14 -76 -216 3333 Apr-18 3333 Jun-18 FY18 Q3 N N -2 -5 303 910 510 178 -3 -12 403 - 0
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) Schedule change Ratio
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C
Mean 90 88 50 81 1773 057
02045454545 Median 82 49 10 60 16233 0374
Standard Deviation 118 164 77 97 13962 0647
Minimum -7 -10 -71 -31 147 - 0 SPP
Maximum 38 59 244 345 7433 242 EUCLIDreg
GSDO
ICESat-2reg
Paste data from above to this table for analysis ORION
-7 -10 607 817 1923 042 SLS
-3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0 TEMPO
-2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059
0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032
Total KDPs Within Cost Range of Prior KDP Total KDPs Within Schedule Range of Prior KDP -2 -5 303 910 510 178
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0
MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 14 31 45 31 MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 27 26 53 51 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008
ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 19 33 52 37 ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 21 32 53 40 0 0 (203) 403 167 242
5 2 810 307 500 061
KDP-A to KDP-B Cost KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule 33 5 - 0 100 800 013
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 11 8 103 103 2670 004
KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 4 10 14 29 KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 13 9 22 59 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025
KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 9 12 21 43 KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 12 10 22 55 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041
-2 10 2437 3147 1610 195
9 10 613 613 3450 018
KDP-B to KDP-C Cost KDP-B to KDP-C Schedule -2 11 813 603 1687 036
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 9 13 917 1930 2433 079
MA at or below KDP-B Low 10 21 31 32 MA at or below KDP-B Low 14 17 31 45 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
ABC at or below KDP-B High 10 21 31 32 ABC at or below KDP-B High 9 22 31 29 16 18 - 0 607 707 086
22 31 1217 1830 1027 178
38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
KDP-A to KDP-C Cost KDP-A to KDP-C Schedule 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046
MA at or below KDP-A Low 2 7 9 22 MA at or below KDP-A Low 5 12 17 29 added 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0
ABC at or below KDP-A High 5 11 16 31 ABC at or below KDP-A High 3 14 17 18 added -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100
added 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
added -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
added 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0
added 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117
KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) Replan (MA) Replan (ABC) KDP-C to Replan (MA) KDP-C to Replan (ABC) KDP-C (or Replan) to PresentFinal (MA) KDP-C (or Replan) to PresentFinal (ABC) added 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
added 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
Percentage of Project CostSchedule HighLow Estimates Within Prior KDP Range Estimates
B Estimate at or below A Estimate C Estimate at or below B Estimate C Estimate at or below A Estimate Total at or below Preceding KDP Estimate
Cost - High 43 32 31 37
Cost - Low 29 32 22 31
Schedule - High 55 29 18 40
Schedule - Low 59 45 29 51
Page 6: Cost and Schedule Insights - NASA

Formulation Cost and Schedule Ranges

bull

bullbull

bull

bullbull

Are we capturing the Agencyrsquos cost exposure in early estimates

In aggregate the high cost estimate is at or below the high estimate established at the preceding KDP

37 of the time for cost40 of the time for schedule

For projects that held a KDP-A the eventual KDP-C baseline cost and schedule (high estimates) are at or below the KDP-A estimate

31 of the time for cost18 of the time for schedule

6

Development Cost Metrics When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation

28Avg LV Proportion of Dev Cost Baseline

-8Avg Post-Baseline LV Cost Variation

7

Development Cost Performance When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost VariationHow would our development cost reporting metrics change

Lower LV costs can provide unexpected funds to cover growth in reporting

Lower LV costs sometimes have no effect on cost reporting

Higher LV costs can mask otherwise good cost performance

8

bull NASA cost performance has drastically improved since the early 2000rsquos

We are falling short of our portfolio goal of 70 projects hitting cost targets

Our cost and schedule ranges at KDP-A and KDP-B are optimistic and more often than do not capture the eventual high cost or schedule commitments at KDP-C baseline

Development cost reporting metrics can misrepresent how our projects are performing (both positively and negatively) if the LV contract award is well above or below the estimate included in the KDP-C baseline

bull

bull

bull

9

Back-up

10

1111

1212

Total KDPs Within Cost Range of Prior KDPYes No Total Percent At or Below

MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 14 31 45 31ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 19 33 52 37

Total KDPs Within Schedule Range of Prior KDPYes No Total Percent At or Below

MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 27 26 53 51ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 21 32 53 40

KDP-A to KDP-B CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 4 10 14 29KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 9 12 21 43

KDP-A to KDP-B ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 13 9 22 59KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 12 10 22 55

KDP-B to KDP-C CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-B Low 10 21 31 32ABC at or below KDP-B High 10 21 31 32

KDP-B to KDP-C ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-B Low 14 17 31 45ABC at or below KDP-B High 9 22 31 29

KDP-A to KDP-C CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-A Low 2 7 9 22ABC at or below KDP-A High 5 11 16 31

KDP-A to KDP-C ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-A Low 5 12 17 29ABC at or below KDP-A High 3 14 17 18

MAIN

KDP-B (LowMA)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO5686275102848528119263351059641208640999999999999949114046866738217762661581034311743818425184323598517108501896210691041474718310521606325899999999999981014964251080981085105140000000000011233104251658327653839458457218372294766471708KDP-C (MA)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO6275798152800000000000015104299999999999926335314596417912077464099999999999994911906405967389915229462668189167115519999999999999114443818425948892359261899999999999988385309999999999525710000000000002850860818962368227269999999999986382000000000000510026911474231856247953160616063258999999999999843771108108098116581105140000000000019959139321018321195900000000000183949734721887443662294761143099999999999970491809KDP-B (HighABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO568627517285593121328129110145412637440000000000000697846077686022485675116611853117496488352002628999999999999892823948009422032351990416138083105216063499111510288611283512101121400000000000114391152627586268587969577929165396295517572178KDP-C (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO62758389999999999999118129285594228129323110141901262531086037459789334319860210635252767518289180215519999999999999162312749648835966270000000000072628999999999999826289999999999998885029262794294162032368244356712108259999999999991011613239430000000000026840000000000000686691606160634994677114811283511658111214000000000001106421553411286261207900000000000196959843916591654359295511150599999999999975492178

COST ($M)

KDP-C to Replan (MA)595000000000000281704999999999999750000000000000014025429999999999993-178400000000000095115-85999999999999943826-25999999999996248E-200911-518999999999999773-1220000000000004531770000000000005117000000000000176266192299999999999951671-2800000000000011401112644044106389999999999965159999999999999425999999999999972-1246900000000005125710000000000002140107999999999999551896472000000000000171666999999999998263820000000000005922000000000000459114748445624775539999999999999103258999999999999811180000000000001939999999999999151167299999999999384830000000000109-33599999999999909-5550000000000011416020000000000005-3200000000000002831553639000000000000974113401372999999999999515260000000000002-5800000000000011429476-180455789999999999997710099999999999994-76000000000000227KDP-C to Replan (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPOTESS59500000000000028211499999999999918399999999999977392842000000000001592E-2-3084000000000000941809999999999991-8599999999999994344599999999999994-46999999999997044E-210860399999999999994316E-2978-45-281000000000000238420000000000004520329999999999995419999999999998866751153799999999999951802-108000000000000111623851847387182770000000000073628999999999999770-4297100000000000423299999999999983142-039999999999997726203338000000000000119256712921999999999999321011613781300000000000186840000000000000658600000000000023553999999999999910349911780000000000001329999999999999729948999999999996437460000000000036-88599999999999909-5720000000000004511440000000000009-32000000000000028235100000000000023453000000000000711081481372999999999999503989999999999997729551-18045-210000000000002270-21600000000000023

COST Change ($M)

B to C (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPOTESS01047535211267606203370517928286851448611111111110973E-2075077759107650046E-4-98804985102361215E-201486366383447687-7818181818181813E-2030674002751031632-37226838174140057E-4013440860215052999E-30-46012269938650305E-2-61086956521739177E-201085051546391753202363403859567541916901408450704179E-200227818101022070730-65060240963855487E-2071729957805907171E-20592556945781199880779814665592264319368421052631587E-20314499999999999890-4630495689655173E-288694328130947783E-2017749999999999999-42462845010613295E-400166502463054187263934495959166312E-2093093699515347267E-200048437693738375709067597185373168792E-20526615969581748940003366676193198057128745644599303111E-296699259374453242E-233198918775202764E-2-732231404958677E-2-5100766898519711E-279499652536483736E-2-27777777777777801E-203746613545816733204003014143287735301290322580645161315265600825167612E-20176206365503080030010075757575757570-061063923386687424-27818254073387508E-30-54000000000000055E-2

COST Change ()

Cost - HighB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate04285714285714285503225806451612903103125036538461538461536Schedule - HighB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate054545454545454541029032258064516131017647058823529413039622641509433965Cost - LowB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate02857142857142857032258064516129031022222222222222221031111111111111112Schedule - LowB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate059090909090909094045161290322580644029411764705882354050943396226415094

Data only (no charts)

plots

program table

A to B

A to B Cost

High Cost Estimate Change

KDP-A to KDP-B

Category 1 Change (high)01682251932581422Category 2 Change (high)60501935980863335E-2Category 3 Change (high)37110484780157868E-2Total Change (high)014626442296281486

Low Cost Estimate Change

KDP-A to KDP-B

Category 1 Change (low)010106870229007633Category 2 Change (low)19806591564406897Category 3 Change (low)0Total Change (low)21873131670301591

A to B Schedule

KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule Growth - Low Estimate

(in months)

MissionRestore-LSLSPACEWFIRSTOCO-3PSPLCRDEuclidGRACE-FOMars 2020SAGE-IIISWOTLADEEDARTNISARJASON-3MMSECOSTRESSSMAPXARMSOCOrion0-9-49-2-1-100000200912326273242

KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule Growth - High Estimate

(in months)

MissionRestore-LSLSPACEWFIRSTOCO-3PSPLCRDEuclidGRACE-FOMars 2020SAGE-IIISWOTLADEEDARTNISARJASON-3MMSECOSTRESSSMAPXARMSOCOrion-36-8-8-3-2-1-1000002569121726414451

image1png

image2png

image3png

image4png

Cost Variation Against Baselines

13

Methodology and Assumptions

The first step in conducting this analysis was to verify and validate the cost baseline information using source documentation KDP-C figures takes priority as the definitive baseline Where KDP-C decision memoranda was not available as in the case of many projects baselined prior to approximately 2009 figures were pulled from the first appearance as a development project in a Presidentrsquos Budget as the baseline against which to measure In a few cases notificationsreports to Congress (eg NSPD-49 reports) were used to identify a baseline figure MA figures were pulled solely from decision memoranda and thus our dataset with regard to MArsquos is smaller as it excludes many of the older projects that did not have standardized baseline documentation with MArsquos noted Variance to the baseline was then measured by using the most recent quarterly cost and schedule report Latest cost data is valid through the FY18 Q3 reporting period Slide 3 charts illustrate each project in the dataset with respective LCC and dev cost variances

The confidence level policy applied to each project was noted using source documentation as well as a cross-reference against when policy changes were implemented recognizing that a subset of projects received waivers to new policies during policy transition Certain exclusions were applied to ensure a dataset comparable across projects For example SOFIA had conducted a JCL on a replan but the decision memorandum made clear the baseline was not changing therefore the JCL confidence level could not fairly be applied to measure performance against the baseline Another example is GPM which was excluded as it was one of the very first projects baselined after JCL policy implementation and was not a ldquotruerdquo JCL with the decision memorandum noting that the intent was met while a JCL DPMC would be held many months later to evaluate progress There were a couple of additional exclusions applied

When a project is confirmed at KDP-C cost performance measurements were applied to that baseline If a project was then rebaselined a ldquonewrdquo project was added to the dataset using the rebaselined figures against which to measure as the Agency made the decision at that point to press ahead with the project and Congress provided reauthorization The ldquooriginalrdquo project was ldquofrozenrdquo in terms of development phase to fairly capture the contemporary phase performance (eg the ldquooriginalrdquo OCO-2 cost growth will always be categorized within the ldquoprojects in developmentrdquo performance category while the rebaselined OCO-2 cost performance falls into the ldquoprojects launchedrdquo category) The latest cost figures however were used to measure cost performance across both original baselines and rebaselines in order to fairly capture the accuracy of original estimates against final outcomes

This insight while placing an emphasis on the JCL while measuring performance does not intend to convey a discovered causal relationship between JCL and cost performance There have been many other related programmatic and technical advancements over the past 10 to 20 years that have influenced cost and schedule performance in the overall positive direction Other insights look into other influencers of costschedule performance

13

Dev Cost Metrics Controlling for LV Cost Variation

14

Methodology and Assumptions

SID pulled a number of data elements from a total of 22 SMD projects to conduct this analysis Data elements from a projectrsquos baseline include total development cost and the launch services cost estimate and have been sourced from KDP documentation quarterly reports and Cost Analysis Data Requirements (CADREs) These data were compared to currentactual total development and launch services costs from the most recent KDPquarterly reports Other data elements include Division Lead Center type of launch vehicle LCC category and current phase

SID calculated the overall development cost deltas from the baseline cost and verified the percentage growth with external reporting data where applicable SID then calculated the percent change in launch services development cost from baseline to currentactual The development cost percent change was calculated after removing launch services from the inputs

For further insight these same calculations were conducted by Division Lead Center type of launch vehicle and LCC category Division Lead Center and LCC category were then further broken down by looking only at projects currently in development

The 22 projects used in this analysis include Mars 2020 ICESat-2 ICON InSight SOC PSP SWOT TESS Juno Landsat-8 MMS OSIRIS-REx SMAP MAVEN GRAIL NuSTAR RBSP IRIS LADEE OCO-2 CYGNSS and Landsat 9 Representation includes seven planetary science seven earth science six heliophysics and two astrophysics missions twelve GSFC-led projects and eight JPL-led projects (LaRC and ARC representing the other two) ten Atlas V one Delta IV-H two Falcon 9 four Delta II four Pegasus and one Minotaur V rockets and six category 1 thirteen category 2 and three category 3 projects Seven projects assessed are currently in development

Other projects considered were excluded if launch was or is to be on a ride-share and launch services costs were negligible (eg RBI) Projects launching on internationally-contributed rockets were also excluded (eg GPM JWST) Other exclusions were based on data limitations at the time of analysis (eg no launch services costs available from baseline)

Did not add GPM international launchSOFIA no launchJWST international launch

RBI rideshareSentinel-6 international launch

Dawn no launch vehicle numbers availableSNPP No baseline LV estimate available

NISAR international launchLCRD rideshare

GRACE-FO rideshare

14

Sheet1

LV Percent ChangeJunoRBSPGRAILMMSNuSTARLandsat-8LADEEMAVENIRISSMAPSOCOSIRIS-RExCYGNSSInSightPSPICESat-2ICONTESSSWOTMars 2020Landsat 9-45693277310924457E-2-89820359281436273E-3-13089005235602092E-2-79299691040164669E-2-72625698324022187E-2-36392405063291208E-2036117381489841988-01759358288770053754455445544554525E-2-894617134192571E-2-030924586177798574-01931623931623931101912045889101338753833646028768001E-2-12694541231126538E-2-39142073098874007E-336848699240916792E-2-023399649430324276-017936024371667944-030075113341448961-12953367875648773E-3

Sheet2

Formulation KDPs

15

Methodology and Assumptions

Comparative analysis was conducted where possible (ie when highlow costschedule figures were available in KDP-ABC decision memoranda This analysis does not attempt to explain why the majority of costschedule estimates at KDPrsquos exceed prior estimates

Cost and schedule ranges were extracted from KDP-A and KDP-B decision memoranda Agency Baseline Commitments and Management Agreements were extracted from KDP-C decision memoranda Lifecycle cost was used in all cases (as opposed to development cost only) A project did not need to have all KDP-A through C figures to be included in the analysis (eg a project that did not have a KDP-A range was still included in the KDP-B to KDP-C statistics)

This analysis includes data from KDP-A KDP-B and KDP-C milestones At KDP-A and KDP-B a high and low estimate is established for both cost and schedule At KDP-C a Management Agreement and an Agency Baseline Commitment is established for both cost and schedule For ease of conveyance this analysis equates the Management Agreement as the low estimate for KDP-C and equates the Agency Baselines Commitment as the high estimate for KDP-C

15

  • PRESENTATION COVER - Cost and Schedule Insights
  • Todayrsquos Discussion
  • LCC and Development Cost Metrics Against Baseline
  • LCC and Dev Cost Metrics Against Baseline
  • 70 Joint Cost and Schedule Confidence Are we meeting the expected 70 success rate across the portfolio
  • Formulation Cost and Schedule Ranges Are we capturing the Agencyrsquos cost exposure in early estimates
  • Development Cost Metrics When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation
  • Development Cost Performance When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation How would our development cost reporting metrics change
  • NASA cost performance hashellip
  • Back-up
  • Bar Graph
  • Tables
  • Cost Variation Against Baselines Methodology and Assumptions
  • Dev Cost Metrics Controlling for LV Cost Variation Methodology and Assumptions
  • Formulation KDPs Methodology and Assumptions
Column1 KDP-C Date Lead Center Division Launch Vehicle LCC Category Phase Development Baseline Development CurrentActuals LV Estimate at Baseline LV CurrentActuals Development Baseline less LV Estimates Development CurrentActuals less LV Actuals Development Percent Change LV Percent Change Development Percent Change less LV Notes
Juno Aug-08 JPL Planetary Atlas V 1 Ops $ 7423 $ 7089 $ 1904 $ 1817 $ 5519 $ 5272 -45 -46 -45
RBSP Dec-08 GSFC Helio Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5338 $ 5040 $ 1336 $ 1324 $ 4002 $ 3716 -56 -09 -71
GRAIL Jan-09 JPL Planetary Delta II 2 Ops $ 4270 $ 3983 $ 1528 $ 1508 $ 2742 $ 2475 -67 -13 -97
MMS Jun-09 GSFC Helio Atlas V 1 Ops $ 8573 $ 8753 $ 1942 $ 1788 $ 6631 $ 6965 21 -79 50
NuSTAR Sep-09 JPL Astro Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1099 $ 1162 $ 358 $ 332 $ 741 $ 830 57 -73 120
Landsat-8 Dec-09 GSFC Earth Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5830 $ 5028 $ 1264 $ 1218 $ 4566 $ 3810 -138 -36 -166
LADEE Aug-10 ARC Planetary Minotaur V 2 Ops $ 1682 $ 1882 $ 443 $ 603 $ 1239 $ 1279 119 361 32
OCO-2 Sep-10 JPL Earth Delta II 2 Ops $ 2490 $ 3200 $ 676 $ 1368 $ 1814 $ 1832 285 1024 10 against original baseline rebaseline primary LV-driven aside from some RWA issues
MAVEN Oct-10 GSFC Planetary Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5672 $ 4720 $ 1870 $ 1541 $ 3802 $ 3179 -168 -176 -164
IRIS Nov-10 GSFC Helio Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1407 $ 1430 $ 404 $ 426 $ 1003 $ 1004 16 54 01
SMAP May-12 JPL Earth Delta II 2 Ops $ 4857 $ 4543 $ 1319 $ 1201 $ 3538 $ 3342 -65 -89 -55
SOC Mar-13 GSFC Helio Atlas V 2 Dev $ 3769 $ 3100 $ 2500 $ 1727 $ 1269 $ 1373 -178 -309 82
OSIRIS-REx May-13 GSFC Planetary Atlas V 1 Ops $ 7786 $ 6156 $ 2340 $ 1888 $ 5446 $ 4268 -209 -193 -216
CYGNSS Feb-14 LaRC Earth Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1511 $ 1287 $ 523 $ 623 $ 988 $ 664 -148 191 -328
InSight Mar-14 JPL Planetary Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5418 $ 6483 $ 1599 $ 1685 $ 3819 $ 4798 197 54 256
PSP Mar-14 GSFC Helio Delta IV-H 1 Dev $ 10557 $ 10503 $ 4305 $ 4250 $ 6252 $ 6253 -05 -13 00
ICESat-2 May-14 GSFC Earth Delta II 1 Dev $ 7637 $ 7441 $ 1188 $ 1183 $ 6449 $ 6258 -26 -04 -30
ICON Oct-14 GSFC Helio Pegasus 2 Dev $ 1960 $ 1982 $ 543 $ 563 $ 1417 $ 1419 11 37 01
TESS Oct-14 GSFC Astro Falcon 9 2 Ops $ 3232 $ 2799 $ 1141 $ 874 $ 2091 $ 1925 -134 -234 -79
SWOT May-16 JPL Earth Falcon 9 2 Dev $ 5715 $ 5715 $ 1313 $ 1078 $ 4402 $ 4638 00 -179 53
Mars 2020 Jun-16 JPL Planetary Atlas V 1 Dev $ 16769 $ 17253 $ 3425 $ 2395 $ 13344 $ 14858 29 -301 113
Landsat 9 Dec-17 GSFC Earth Atlas V 2 Dev $ 6342 $ 6342 $ 1544 $ 1542 $ 4798 $ 4800 00 -01 00
Projects in Development $ 52749 $ 52336 $ 14819 $ 12738 $ 37930 $ 39598 -08 -140 44
Projects in Operations $ 66588 $ 63555 $ 18647 $ 18196 $ 47941 $ 45359 -46 -24 -54
Total $ 119337 $ 115891 $ 33466 $ 30935 $ 85871 $ 84956 -29 -76 -11
Development Baseline Development CurrentActuals LV Estimate at Baseline LV CurrentActuals Development Baseline less LV Estimates Development CurrentActuals less LV Actuals Development Percent Change LV Percent Change Development Percent Change less LV
GSFC Project Total $ 68103 $ 63294 $ 20377 $ 18325 $ 47726 $ 44969 -71 -101 -58
JPL Projects Total $ 48041 $ 49428 $ 12122 $ 11384 $ 35919 $ 38044 29 -61 59
Did not add GPM international launch GSFC Projects in Ops $ 37838 $ 33926 $ 10297 $ 9059 $ 27541 $ 24867 -103 -120 -97
SOFIA no launch JPL Projects in Ops $ 25557 $ 26460 $ 7384 $ 7911 $ 18173 $ 18549 35 71 21
JWST international launch GSFC Projects in Dev $ 30265 $ 29368 $ 10080 $ 9266 $ 20185 $ 20102 -30 -81 -04
RBI rideshare JPL Projects in Dev $ 22484 $ 22968 $ 4738 $ 3473 $ 17746 $ 19495 22 -267 99
Sentinel-6 international launch
Dawn no launch vehicle numbers available Astro $ 4331 $ 3961 $ 1499 $ 1206 $ 2832 $ 2755 -85 -195 -27
SNPP No baseline LV estimate available Planetary $ 49020 $ 47566 $ 13109 $ 11437 $ 35911 $ 36129 -30 -128 06
NISAR international launch Helio $ 31604 $ 30808 $ 11030 $ 10078 $ 20574 $ 20730 -25 -86 08
LCRD rideshare Earth $ 34382 $ 33556 $ 7827 $ 8213 $ 26555 $ 25343 -24 49 -46
GRACE-FO rideshare
Astro - Dev Only $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0
Planetary - Dev Only $ 16769 $ 17253 $ 3425 $ 2395 $ 13344 $ 14858 29 -301 113
Helio - Dev Only $ 16286 $ 15585 $ 7348 $ 6540 $ 8938 $ 9045 -43 -110 12
Earth - Dev Only $ 19694 $ 19498 $ 4045 $ 3803 $ 15649 $ 15695 -10 -60 03
Atlas V $ 72920 $ 69964 $ 19725 $ 16926 $ 53195 $ 53038 -41 -142 -03
Delta IV-H $ 10557 $ 10503 $ 4305 $ 4250 $ 6252 $ 6253 -05 -13 00
Falcon 9 $ 8947 $ 8514 $ 2454 $ 1952 $ 6493 $ 6562 -48 -205 11
Delta II $ 19254 $ 19167 $ 4711 $ 5260 $ 14543 $ 13907 -05 117 -44 this is skewed by OCO-2 which switched from the baseline Taurus XL to the Delta-II at the rebaseline
Pegasus $ 5977 $ 5861 $ 1828 $ 1944 $ 4149 $ 3917 -19 63 -56
Minotaur V $ 1682 $ 1882 $ 443 $ 603 $ 1239 $ 1279 119 361 32
Category 1 $ 58745 $ 57195 $ 15104 $ 13322 $ 43641 $ 43873 -26 -118 05
Category 2 $ 56575 $ 54817 $ 17076 $ 16232 $ 39499 $ 38585 -31 -49 -23
Category 3 $ 4017 $ 3879 $ 1285 $ 1381 $ 2732 $ 2498 -34 75 -86
Category 1 - Dev Only $ 34963 $ 35197 $ 8918 $ 7829 $ 26045 $ 27368 07 -122 51
Category 2 - Dev Only $ 17786 $ 17139 $ 5900 $ 4909 $ 11886 $ 12230 -36 -168 29
Category 3 - Dev Only $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0
LV of Total Dev at Baseline 280
LV of Total Dev at FY18 Q3 267
Launch Vehicle Percent Cost Variation from Baseline Estimate in Chronological Order
Mission LCC Category KDP-A (low) KDP-A (high) KDP-B (low) KDP-B (high) Low Delta (months) High Delta (months) KDP-C MA MA Variance from A KDP-C ABC ABC Variance from A
Restore-L 2 Jun-20 Dec-23 Jun-20 Dec-20 0 -36
SLS 1 Dec-17 Dec-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 -9 -8 Dec-17 0 Nov-18 11
PACE 2 Dec-22 Dec-23 Aug-22 Apr-23 -4 -8
WFIRST 1 Dec-24 Dec-26 Sep-25 Sep-26 9 -3
OCO-3 3 Sep-16 Dec-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 -2 -2 Mar-18 18 May-18 17
PSP 1 Aug-18 Aug-18 Jul-18 Jul-18 -1 -1 Aug-18 0 Aug-18 0
LCRD 2 Mar-17 Mar-17 Feb-17 Feb-17 -1 -1 Jun-19 27 Nov-19 32
Euclid 3 Dec-14 Dec-14 Dec-14 Dec-14 0 0 May-15 5 May-16 17
GRACE-FO 2 Aug-17 Aug-17 Aug-17 Aug-17 0 0 Aug-17 0 Feb-18 6
Mars 2020 1 Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20 0 0 Jul-20 0 Jul-20 0
SAGE-III 3 Aug-14 Aug-14 Aug-14 Aug-14 0 0 Aug-14 0 Aug-14 0
SWOT 2 Oct-20 Oct-20 Oct-20 Oct-20 0 0 Apr-21 6 Apr-22 18
LADEE 3 Mar-12 Mar-12 May-12 May-12 2 2 May-13 14 Nov-13 20
DART 2 Dec-20 Dec-20 Dec-20 May-21 0 5 KDP-BC was combined due to advanced design maturity so B highlow here is equal to ABCMA
NISAR 2 Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-20 Jun-22 0 6 Dec-21 12 Sep-22 9
JASON-3 3 Jul-13 Jul-13 Apr-14 Apr-14 9 9 Mar-15 20 Mar-15 20
MMS 1 Oct-13 Oct-13 Oct-14 Oct-14 12 12 Aug-14 10 Mar-15 17
ECOSTRESS 3 May-17 Mar-18 Aug-17 Aug-19 3 17 Aug-17 3 Aug-19 17
SMAP 2 Mar-13 Mar-13 May-15 May-15 26 26 Oct-14 19 Mar-15 24
XARM 3 Oct-19 Oct-19 Jan-22 Mar-23 27 41
SOC 2 Apr-15 Apr-15 Dec-17 Dec-18 32 44 Jan-17 21 Oct-18 42
Orion 1 Dec-17 Dec-17 Jun-21 Mar-22 42 51 Aug-21 44 Apr-23 64
MAIA 3 NA NA Dec-19 Mar-21 NA NA
ICON 3 NA NA Feb-17 Jun-17 NA NA
GOLD 3 NA NA Dec-17 Dec-17 NA NA
GeoCarb 3 NA NA Jun-22 Jun-23 NA NA
IXPE 3 NA NA Dec-20 Dec-20 NA NA
Landsat 9 2 NA NA Dec-20 Nov-21 NA NA
Lucy 2 NA NA Oct-21 Nov-21 NA NA
TROPICS 3 NA NA Sep-19 Sep-20 NA NA
JUICE 3 NA NA Sep-19 Sep-19 NA NA
Psyche 2 NA NA Aug-22 Aug-22 NA NA
Clipper 1 NA NA Jun-22 Jul-23 NA NA removed Clipper from schedule calculations due to no KDP-A schedule estimate
CLARREO-PF 3 Jan-20 Jan-22
COST Growth () Schedule Growth (months)
of Pp (LowMA) (HighABC) (LowMA) (HighABC)
Category I 7 62 165 88 85
Category II 12 38 109 59 40
Category III 15 - -07 56 96
COST Growth () Schedule Growth (months)
(LowMA) (HighABC) (LowMA) (HighABC)
Average 80 118 66 70
Median 15 - 00 00
Standard Deviation 145 233 129 189
Minimum -12 -65 -9 -36
Maximum 417 745 42 51
Mission LCC Category KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta2 Change (low) Notes KDP-C MA KDP-C ABC MA Variance From A ABC Variance From A
Clipper 1 $ 4000 $ 4000 $ - 0 00 $ 3000 $ 3100 $ 100 33
DART 2 $ 270 $ 291 $ 21 78 $ 175 $ 248 $ 73 417
Euclid 3 $ 110 $ 110 $ - 0 00 $ 100 $ 100 $ - 0 00 Combined KDP-AB so no possible change 964 1014 -4 -8
GRACE-FO 2 $ 470 $ 460 $ (10) -21 $ 409 $ 404 $ (5) -12 4059 4319 -1 -8
JASON-3 3 $ 159 $ 166 $ 7 44 $ - 0 $ 158 1552 1552 -2
LADEE 3 $ 214 $ 200 $ (14) -65 $ - 0 $ 184 2359 2629 23
LCRD 2 $ 239 $ 239 $ 0 02 $ 239 $ 239 $ 0 02 2571 2627 8 10
Mars 2020 1 $ 2350 $ 2351 $ 1 00 $ 2140 $ 2186 $ 46 21 22727 24435 6 4
MMS 1 $ 777 $ 990 $ 213 275 $ 777 $ 928 $ 151 195 10026 10826 29 39
NISAR 2 $ 808 $ 808 $ - 0 00 $ 718 $ 718 $ - 0 00 7953 8669 11 7
OCO-3 3 $ 120 $ 111 $ (9) -71 $ 100 $ 101 $ 1 13 1108 1148 11 -4
Orion 1 $ 6391 $ 10288 $ 3897 610 $ - 0 $ 8534 Moved LRD from EM-1 to EM-2 extending LCC timeframe 108098 112835 77
PACE 2 $ 850 $ 850 $ - 0 00 $ 805 $ 805 $ - 0 00
PSP 1 $ 1300 $ 1439 $ 139 107 $ 1000 $ 1233 $ 233 233 13932 15534 39 19
Restore-L 2 $ 787 $ 753 $ (34) -43 $ 500 $ 628 $ 128 256
SAGE-III 3 $ 112 $ 115 $ 3 27 $ - 0 $ 104 101 112 0
SLS 1 $ 8855 $ 8587 $ (268) -30 $ - 0 $ 7653 8394 9695 9
SMAP 2 $ 514 $ 649 $ 135 263 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 7218 9165 78
SOC 2 $ 243 $ 424 $ 181 745 $ - 0 $ 371 3662 4359 79
SWOT 2 $ 752 $ 757 $ 5 07 $ 642 $ 647 $ 5 08 7049 7549 10 0
XARM 3 $ 172 $ 217 $ 45 264 $ 161 $ 179 $ 18 110
Count KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta Change (low) Notes
Category 1 6 $ 23673 $ 27655 $ 3982 168 $ 3275 $ 3606 $ 331 101
Category 2 9 $ 4933 $ 5231 $ 298 61 $ 4474 $ 13335 $ 8861 1981
Category 3 6 $ 887 $ 920 $ 33 37 $ - 0 $ 7757 $ 7757 ERRORDIV0
Total 21 $ 29493 $ 33807 $ 4314 146 $ 7749 $ 24698 $ 16949 2187
Mission LCC Category KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta2 Change (low) Notes
CLARREO-PF 3 $ 75 $ (75) -1000 $ 64
ICON 3 $ 249 $ 218
ECOSTRESS 3 $ 56 $ 49
GeoCarb 3 $ 181 $ 171
GOLD 3 $ 74 $ 64
IXPE 3 $ 205 $ 189
JUICE 3 $ 119 $ 103
Landsat 9 2 $ 928 $ 851 KDP-BC was combined due to advanced design maturity so B highlow here is equal to ABCMA
Lucy 2 $ 984 $ 914
Psyche 2 $ 957 $ 907
TROPICS 3 $ 30 $ 30
MAIA 3 $ 178 $ 150
Cost Estimate Deltas - KDP-A to KDP-B COST Growth ()
Mission Estimate KDP-A KDP-B Notes of Pp Low (MA) High (ABC)
SOC High $ 243 745 $ 424 Category I 4 127 172
Low $ - 0 $ 371 Category II 5 -01 199
Orion High $ 6391 610 $ 10288 Moved LRD from EM-1 to EM-2 extending LCC timeframe Category III 4 00 01
Low $ - 0 $ 8534
SMAP High $ 514 263 $ 649
Low $ - 0 $ - 0
SPP High $ 1300 107 $ 1439
Low $ 1000 233 $ 1233
JASON-3 High $ 159 44 $ 166
Low $ - 0 $ 158
SAGE-III High $ 112 27 $ 115
Low $ - 0 $ 104
SWOT High $ 752 07 $ 757
Low $ 642 08 $ 647
Mars 2020 High $ 2350 00 $ 2351
Low $ 2140 21 $ 2186
NISAR High $ 808 00 $ 808
Low $ 718 00 $ 718
Euclid High $ 110 00 $ 110 Combined KDP-AB so no change possible
Low $ 100 00 $ 100
GRACE Follow On High $ 470 -21 $ 460
Low $ 409 -12 $ 404
SLS High $ 8855 -30 $ 8587
Low $ - 0 $ 7653
LADEE High $ 214 -65 $ 200
Low $ - 0 $ 184
ProgramProject Name Category KDP A to B analysis (13 missions)
ASTRO-H 3 ASTRO-Hreg 3 bull13 Missions KDP-B Data Unavailable
CYGNSS 3 CYGNSS 3 bull7 Missions KDP-Crsquos have not yet occurred
DSCOVR 3 DSCOVR 3
C ECOSTRESS 3 ECOSTRESS 3
EUCLID 3 EUCLIDreg 3 Euclid
C GEDI 3 GEDI 3
GOES-R 1 GOES-R 1
GOLD 3 GOLD 3
GPM 2 GPM 2
GRACE-FO 2 GRACE-FO 2 GRACE Follow On
GSDO 1 GSDO 1
ICESat-2 1 ICESat-2reg 1
ICON 2 ICON 2
InSight 2 InSight 2
IRIS 3 IRIS 3
Jason-3 3 Jason-3 3 JASON-3
JPSS-1 1 JPSS-1 1
JWST 1 JWSTreg 1
LADEE 2 LADEEreg 2 LADEE
C LCRD 3 LCRD 3
LDCM 2 LDCMreg 2
LDSD 3 LDSD 3
C Mars 2020 1 Mars 2020 1 Mars 2020
MAVEN 2 MAVEN 2
MMS 1 MMS 1
MOMA 3 MOMA 3
MSL 1 MSL 1
NICER 3 NICER 3
C NISAR 2 NISAR 2 NISAR
NuSTAR 3 NuSTARreg 3
OCO-2 2 OCO-2 2
C OCO-3 3 OCO-3 3
ORION 1 ORION 1 Orion
OSIRIS Rex 1 OSIRIS Rexreg 1
SAGE III 3 SAGE III 3 SAGE-III
SGSS 1 SGSSreg 1
SLS 1 SLS 1 SLS
SMAP 2 SMAPreg 2 SMAP
SOC 2 SOC 2 SOC
SOFIA 1 SOFIA 1
PSP 1 PSP 1 PSP
C SWOT 2 SWOT 2 SWOT
TEMPO 3 TEMPO 3
TESS 2 TESS 2
Clipper
DART
PACE
Restore-L
XARM
Statistics COST Growth ($M) Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Average 9 9 43 61 136 070
Median 5 6 20 45 112 034
Standard Deviation 14 16 73 83 93 081
Variance 2 3 535 685 871 066
Minimum -9 -8 (71) (31) 15 - 0
Maximum 38 53 244 315 345 242
no JWST
Statistics
COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 18 17 118 131 1989 065
Median 20 17 101 132 19167 0582
Standard Deviation 16 19 105 117 11557 0830
Sample Variance 3 4 1101 1377 133562 0688
Minimum -6 -5 - 0 - 0 397 - 0
Maximum 46 48 284 274 4527 310
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 20 21 156 159 2031 075
Median 21 20 132 147 20783 0589
Standard Deviation 17 25 174 155 11214 0881
Sample Variance 3 6 3035 2394 125751 0776
Minimum -6 -5 00 00 40 - 0
Maximum 48 78 649 528 453 31
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 4 3 47 136 253 054
Median 9 9 61 132 24333 042
Standard Deviation 10 12 52 56 6657 022
Sample Variance 1 1 273 311 44310 005
Minimum -7 -11 (10) 82 1923 041
Maximum 11 11 92 193 3243 079
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
of Pp B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC)
Category I 6 4 4 22 78
Category II 9 8 13 71 83
Category III 8 6 11 28 52
Timeline Total Programs 46
Begin End Cost data Note Replans have KDP B = previous KDB C for comaprison planned Total Replans 14
2010 Present Total LCC Percent Replans 30
KDP-B KDP-C PresentFinal Breach Totals Statistics (B to C) or (C to Replan) Statictics - PresentFinal
KDP-B (LowMA) KDP-B (HighABC) KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) (MA) (ABC) 41416 14 9 9 8 COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
DIR ProgramProject Nameregdenotes Replan Category Cost LRD Cost LRD Signature Date Cost LRD Cost LRD Notes Signature Date Delta B to C (MA) Delta B to C (ABC) Cost LRD Cost LRD Source Replan Breach (YN) Schedule Breach Cost Breach B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC) C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC)
ASTRO-H 3 568 Aug-13 568 Aug-13 May-10 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 595 595 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 9 10 613 613 3450 018 21 34 2127 2530
ASTRO-Hreg 3 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 798 Nov-15 839 Mar-16 ABC +532 SEO option in Nov-13 1705 2115 758 Feb-16 759 Mar-16 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 21 34 2127 2530 817 310 -5 -10 307 - 0
CYGNSS 3 1028 Oct-16 1728 Apr-17 Jul-13 1528 Oct-16 1812 May-17 Feb-14 50 84 1595 Oct-16 1742 May-17 FY16Q2 N N 33 5 - 0 100 800 013 4 -4 - 0 - 0
JASD DSCOVR 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
928 Jan-15 Aug-13 0 928 928 Jan-15 94 Jan-15 KDP-E Jan-15 N N 0 0 0 1 - 0
ECOSTRESS 3 485 Aug-17 559 Aug-19 Apr-15 51043 Aug-17 55942 Aug-19 Dec-15 2543 0042 N N 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0 0 0
EUCLID 3 105 Dec-14 110 Dec-14 Jan-13 964 May-15 1014 May-16 ABC +44M for Science Center Sep-13 -86 -86 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -9 -8 503 1723 810 213 -1 -5 717 1117
EUCLIDreg 3 964 May-15 1454 May-16 Sep-13 179 Mar-17 190 Jun-18 Feb-16 826 446 179 Dec-21 190 Dec-22 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 46 31 2233 2537 2943 086 0 00 5787 5480
GEDI 3 1208 May-18 1263 May-18 Aug-15 120774 Jun-18 126253 Mar-19 Jun-16 -0026 -0047 N N -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100 -7 -10 607 817
JASD GOES-R 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
108603 Oct-15 Apr-12 0 108603 108295 Oct-16 kDP-D Sep-14 N N 0 0 32 24 1013 1320
GOLD 3 641 Dec-17 744 Dec-17 Feb-15 641 Oct-17 745 Apr-18 Mar-15 0 01 N N 0 0 (203) 403 167 242 5 2 810 307
GPM 2 Not Available 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 911 978 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 -2 -8 717 717
GPMreg 2 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 906 Feb-14 933 Jun-14 Oct-11 -5 -45 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16Q2 Y Y Y -1 -5 717 1117 2240 050 -1 -3 - 0 (400)
GRACE-FO 2 404 Aug-17 460 Aug-17 Aug-12 4059 Aug-17 4319 Feb-18 Feb-14 19 -281 4079 Aug-17 4318 Feb-18 FY16Q2 N N 0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032 0 -00 - 0 - 0
ESD GSDO 1 28119 Dec-17 31213 Mar-18 Feb-13 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 -1784 -3084 26336 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 FY16Q2 N N -7 -10 607 817 1923 042 0 00 - 0 - 0
ICESat-2 2 686 Apr-16 776 Nov-16 Aug-11 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 -122 842 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -2 11 813 603 1687 036 10 0 203 - 0
ICESat-2reg 1 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 9915 Oct-17 10635 Jun-18 May-14 3177 2033 9916 Oct-17 10636 Jun-18 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 32 24 1013 1320 1660 080 0 00 - 0 - 0
ICON 2 2177 Oct-16 2485 Jul-17 Jun-14 2294 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 Oct-14 117 42 232 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 FY16Q2 N N 5 2 810 307 500 061 1 00 - 0 - 0
Planetary InSight 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 6266 6751 6536 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 FY16Q2 N N 0 0 4 00 - 0 - 0
IRIS 3 Not Available 1671 Dec-12 1802 Jun-13 Nov-10 1671 1802 1873 Jun-13 1873 Jun-13 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 11 4 607 - 0
Jason-3 3 158 Apr-14 166 Apr-14 Jul-11 1552 Mar-15 1552 Mar-15 Jan-13 -28 -108 1579 Jul-15 1579 Jan-16 KDP-E draft N N -2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059 2 2 407 1020
JASD JPSS-1 1 Not Available 1623 Mar-17 Aug-13 0 1623 16235 Mar-17 KDP-D Apr-15 N N 0 0 36 48 2533 2637
JUICE 3 1034 Sep-19 1185 Sep-19 Apr-16 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 Apr-17 11 85 N N 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
JWST JWST 1 3117 Aug-11 3117 Aug-11 Jul-03 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 1264 1847 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046 0 0
JWSTreg 1 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 4044 3871 85104 Oct-18 88254 Oct-18 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 48 78 6493 5277 2577 205 1 -01 - 0 - 0
LADEE 2 1843 May-12 200 May-12 Dec-09 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 516 629 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 22 31 1217 1830 1027 178 26 34 1717 2433
LADEEreg 2 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 2619 Jul-13 2629 Nov-13 May-12 26 0 2738 Sep-13 2738 Sep-13 FY15Q1 Y N 10 0 203 - 0 1917 - 0 4 4 207 (203)
Landsat 9 2 851 Dec-20 928 Nov-21 Aug-16 838531 Dec-20 885029 Nov-21 Dec-17 -12469 -42971 N N -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
LCRD 2 2394 Feb-17 May-13 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 Apr-17 2571 233 N N 0 9 3343 4770 070 -6 -5 - 0 - 0
LDCM 2 710 Dec-12 800 Dec-12 Sep-09 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 140 142 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 16 18 - 0 607 707 086 -3 -3 - 0 - 0
LDCMreg 2 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 8608 Dec-12 9416 Jun-13 Dec-10 108 -04 8501 Feb-13 8568 Feb-13 FY15Q4 Y N 1 -0 - 0 - 0 867 - 0 -1 -9 207 (400)
STMD LDSD 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project
1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 1896 203 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0 9 13 917 1930
STMD LDSDreg 3 1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 2368 Dec-16 2368 Dec-16 Mar-15 472 338 249 Dec-16 249 Dec-16 FY15Q4 Y Y Y Y 20 17 1627 1627 2733 060 5 5 - 0 - 0
Mars 2020 1 2106 Jul-20 2351 Jul-20 May-15 22727 Jul-20 24435 Jul-20 STMDHEOMD added Jun-16 1667 925 N N 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0 -2 10 2437 3147
MAVEN 2 Not Available 6382 Nov-13 6712 Nov-13 Oct-10 6382 6712 598 Nov-13 600 Nov-13 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 -7 -11 - 0 - 0
MMS 1 9104 Oct-14 9904 Oct-14 Nov-07 10026 Aug-14 10826 Mar-15 Jun-09 922 922 1121 Sep-15 1121 Sep-15 FY16Q2 N N 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025 11 4 1320 613
MOMA 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)MOMA-MS did not have a traditional path of formulation NASArsquos participation on the MOMAinstrument began as a result of a proposal to the Mars Scout 2006 and Mission of OpportunityAnnouncement of Opportunity that proposal was selected for technology development In 2010NASA determined that the original team would not be able to produce a flight instrument onschedule and within acceptable risk NASA decided to bring the instrument technology andflight system development in-house to increase the probability of success The MOMA-MStechnology development effort was assigned to the Goddard Space Flight Center in Fall 2010The Project is entering the typical Life Cycle Review (LCR) process after a tailored PreliminaryDesign Review (PDR) and Key Decision Point (KDP)-C Until the time of KDP-C no formalAgency-level gate reviews were held (lack of KDP-A and KDP-B)
91 Oct-15 101 Oct-15 Apr-14 91 101 904 Jul-18 1004 Jul-18 FY16Q2 N N 0 0 -1 -1 3347 3347
MSL 1 Not Available 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 1474 1613 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
MSLreg 1 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 23185 Oct-11 23943 Nov-11 Apr-10 8445 7813 25176 Nov-11 25304 Nov-11 FY15Q1 Y Y Y Y 36 48 2533 2637 4527 058 8 6 103 - 0
NICER 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- the mission was selected from an AO and the down select places the project in phase B This was originally below $75 M threshold and no KDP DM were generated to document the cost and schedule

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
624 Aug-16 684 Feb-17 Feb-14 624 684 684 Feb-17 67 Feb-17 KDP-D Jan-16 N N 0 0 9 -2 613 - 0
NISAR 2 7183 Dec-20 8083 Dec-20 Feb-15 7953 Dec-21 8669 Sep-22 Aug-16 77 586 N N 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117
NuSTAR 3 1052 Oct-11 1052 Oct-11 Feb-08 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 554 554 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
NuSTARreg 3 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 1606 Nov-11 1606 Feb-12 Aug-10 0 0 166 Jun-12 166 Jun-12 FY14Q4 Y N 0 0 307 103 1167 009 3 3 710 403
OCO-2 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild
3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 3259 3499 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
OCO-2reg 2 3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 4377 Jul-14 4677 Feb-15 Jan-13 1118 1178 4276 Jul-14 4276 Jul-14 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 26 34 1717 2433 2767 088 -2 -9 - 0 (717)
OCO-3 3 1014 Jul-16 1115 Oct-16 Aug-13 1108 Mar-18 1148 May-18 May-16 94 33 N N 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
ESD ORION 1 96425 Sep-21 102886 Mar-22 Jan-13 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 11673 9949 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 FY16Q2 N N 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041 0 00 - 0 - 0
OSIRIS Rex 1 1085 Oct-16 1210 Oct-16 Apr-13 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 -336 -886 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0
OSIRIS Rexreg 1 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 9959 Oct-16 10642 Oct-16 Mar-14 -555 -572 10014 Oct-16 10572 Oct-16 FY16Q2 Y N -6 -5 - 0 - 0 1053 - 0 1 -1 - 0 - 0
PSP 1 1233 Jul-18 1439 Jul-18 Jan-12 13932 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 Mar-14 1602 1144 13931 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 FY16Q2 N N 11 8 103 103 2670 004 -0 00 - 0 - 0
SAGE III 3 1042 Aug-14 1152 Aug-14 Feb-12 101 Aug-14 112 Aug-14 Jul-12 -32 -32 1265 Aug-16 133 Aug-16 FY16Q2 N N -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0 20 19 2437 2437
SGSS 2 5165 Dec-15 6275 Sep-17 Aug-12 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 3155 2351 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
SGSSreg 1 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 11959 Jul-19 12079 Sep-19 Jul-15 3639 3453 1216 Jul-19 1228 Sep-19 PPBE18 PMR Y Y Y Y 30 40 2840 2740 2777 099 2 2 - 0 - 0
ESD SLS 1 7653 Mar-17 8587 Apr-17 Aug-12 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 741 1108 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 FY16Q1 N N 9 13 917 1930 2433 079 0 00 - 0 - 0
SMAP 2 5845 May-15 7792 May-15 Jan-10 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 1373 1373 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
SMAPreg 2 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 8744 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 Sep-12 1526 0 8899 May-15 8899 May-15 FY16Q2 Y N 17 0 - 0 - 0 397 - 0 2 -3 707 203
SOC 2 372 Jan-15 396 Mar-16 Dec-11 3662 Jan-17 4359 Oct-18 Mar-13 -58 399 2892 Oct-18 3789 Oct-18 FY16Q2 N N -2 10 2437 3147 1610 195 -27 -13 2127 - 0
SOFIA 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)SOFIA was reformulated because it was cancelled in the 2007 Budget The program went through multiple reviews until 2010 There is a file APMC Oct 6 2010 SOFIA r3 which is the confirmation review Sharedrive path USIDKDP and Other Decision MemosProjectsSOFIA

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project
29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 29476 29551 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
SOFIA (Budget) 1 29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 11431 Feb-14 11506 Feb-14 not a KDP Apr-14 -18045 -18045 29048 Feb-14 29122 Feb-14 FY16Q2 Budget Reduction N -158 -61 - 0 - 0 139100 - 0
SWOT 2 647 Oct-20 757 Oct-20 Jun-14 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 May-16 579 -21 N N 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
TEMPO 3 1708 May-17 2178 Dec-17 Apr-14 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 Apr-15 101 0 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 FY16Q2 N N 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008 0 00 - 0 - 0
TESS 2 350 Sep-17 400 Sep-17 May-14 3424 Dec-17 3784 Jun-18 Oct-14 -76 -216 31976 Dec-17 3517 Jun-18 FY16Q2 N N -2 -5 303 910 510 178 -7 -7 - 0 - 0
Currently in B Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) Schedule change Ratio
CLARREO-PF B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C
DART KDP-C in July Mean 13 -13 55 28 1729 115
Europa Clipper 02045454545 Median 17 -06 21 00 17483 0862
GeoCarb Standard Deviation 84 68 88 87 10875 0863
IXPE Minimum -27 -13 00 -72 397 050
Lucy Maximum 20 19 335 335 4527 310
MAIA
PACE
Psyche Paste data from above to this table for analysis
Restore-L -27 -13 2127 - 0 1610 050
SOC Replan Breach notification made DM not yet final -7 -7 - 0 - 0 080
TROPICS -7 -11 - 0 - 0 817 060
XARM -5 -10 307 - 0 867 088
-2 -9 - 0 (717) 2767 310
-2 -8 717 717 086
-1 -3 - 0 (400) 510 058
-1 -9 207 (400) 800 099
-1 -1 3347 3347 2240 205
1 -1 - 0 - 0 397
1 -01 - 0 - 0
2 2 - 0 - 0 1053
2 2 407 1020
2 -3 707 203 2577
1 00 - 0 - 0 2777
4 00 - 0 - 0 1887
3 3 710 403 1167
4 -4 - 0 - 0 1983
4 4 207 (203)
5 5 - 0 - 0 1917
8 6 103 - 0 2733
9 -2 613 - 0 4527
11 4 1320 613 503
11 4 607 - 0
20 19 2437 2437
Timeline Total Programs 46
Begin End Cost data Note Replans have KDP B = previous KDP C for comaprison planned Total Replans 14
2010 Present Total LCC Percent Replans 30
KDP-B KDP-C PresentFinal Breach Totals Statistics (B to C) or (C to Replan) Statistics - PresentFinal
KDP-B (LowMA) KDP-B (HighABC) KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) (MA) (ABC) 72618 20 13 13 9 COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
DIR ProgramProject Nameregdenotes Replan Category Cost LRD Cost LRD Signature Date Cost LRD Cost LRD Notes Signature Date Delta B to C (MA) Delta B to C (ABC) Cost LRD Cost LRD Source Replan Breach (YN) Schedule Breach Cost Breach B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC) C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC)
APD ASTRO-H 3 568 Aug-13 568 Aug-13 May-10 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 595 595 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 9 10 613 613 3450 018 21 34 2127 2530
APD ASTRO-Hreg 3 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 798 Nov-15 839 Mar-16 ABC +532 SEO option in Nov-13 1705 2115 74855 Feb-16 109271 Mar-16 FY17 Q1 Y Y Y Y 21 34 2127 2530 817 310 -7 30 307 - 0
ESD CYGNSS 3 1028 Oct-16 1728 Apr-17 Jul-13 1528 Oct-16 1812 May-17 Feb-14 50 84 159503 Dec-16 159503 Dec-16 FY18 Q3 N N 33 5 - 0 100 800 013 4 -12 203 (503)
JASD DSCOVR 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
928 Jan-15 Aug-13 0 928 928 Jan-15 94 Jan-15 KDP-E Jan-15 N N 0 0 0 1 - 0
x ESD ECOSTRESS 3 485 Aug-17 559 Aug-19 Apr-15 51043 Aug-17 55942 Aug-19 Dec-15 2543 0042 51043 Apr-18 52443 Aug-19 KDP-E May-18 N N 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0 0 0
HEO EGS 1 28119 Dec-17 31213 Mar-18 Feb-13 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 -1784 -3084 27418 Sep-18 28129 Nov-18 FY17 Q1 N N -7 -10 607 817 1923 042 4 00 307 - 0
HEO EGSreg 1 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 3145 Dec-19 3231 Jun-20 Dec-17 5115 4181 31446 Dec-19 31446 Dec-19 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 16 15 1827 1927 3957 049 -0 -27 - 0 (610)
x APD EUCLID 3 105 Dec-14 110 Dec-14 Jan-13 964 May-15 1014 May-16 ABC +44M for Science Center Sep-13 -86 -86 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -9 -8 503 1723 810 213 -1 -5 717 1117
APD EUCLIDreg 3 964 May-15 1454 May-16 Sep-13 179 Mar-17 190 Jun-18 Feb-16 826 446 206214 Mar-20 223452 Mar-20 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 46 31 2233 2537 2943 086 13 176 3653 2130
ESD GEDI 3 1208 May-18 1263 May-18 Aug-15 120774 Jun-18 126253 Mar-19 Jun-16 -0026 -0047 120774 Nov-18 123774 Mar-19 FY18 Q3 N N -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100 -7 -10 607 817
JASD GOES-R 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
108603 Oct-15 Apr-12 0 108603 10150 Nov-16 KDP-E Oct-16 N N 0 0 32 24 1013 1320
HPD GOLD 3 641 Dec-17 744 Dec-17 Feb-15 641 Oct-17 745 Apr-18 Mar-15 0 01 663 Feb-18 73 Apr-18 KDP-E Dec-17 N N 0 0 (203) 403 167 242 5 2 810 307
ESD GPM 2 Not Available 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 911 978 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16 Q1 N N 0 0 -2 -8 717 717
ESD GPMreg 2 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 906 Feb-14 933 Jun-14 Oct-11 -5 -45 8834 Feb-14 8904 Feb-14 FY17 Q3 Y Y Y -1 -5 717 1117 2240 050 -3 -5 - 0 (400)
ESD GRACE-FO 2 404 Aug-17 460 Aug-17 Aug-12 4059 Aug-17 4319 Feb-18 Feb-14 19 -281 4059 May-18 4319 May-18 FY18 Q3 N N 0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032 0 00 910 297
ESD ICESat-2 2 686 Apr-16 776 Nov-16 Aug-11 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 -122 842 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -2 11 813 603 1687 036 10 0 203 - 0
ESD ICESat-2reg 1 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 9915 Oct-17 10635 Jun-18 May-14 3177 2033 10561 Sep-18 10636 Oct-18 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 32 24 1013 1320 1660 080 6 00 1117 407
HPD ICON 2 2177 Oct-16 2485 Jul-17 Jun-14 2294 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 Oct-14 117 42 243 Jun-18 2527 Jun-18 FY18 Q3 N N 5 2 810 307 500 061 6 00 1217 810
PSD InSight 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight
6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 6266 6751 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0 ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE
PSD InSightreg 2 6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 8189 May-18 8289 May-18 Sep-16 1923 1538 8138 May-18 8138 May-18 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 23 23 2637 2637 3050 086 -1 -18 - 0 - 0
HPD IRIS 3 Not Available 1671 Dec-12 1802 Jun-13 Nov-10 1671 1802 1873 Jun-13 1873 Jun-13 FY16 Q1 N N 0 0 11 4 607 - 0
ESD Jason-3 3 158 Apr-14 166 Apr-14 Jul-11 1552 Mar-15 1552 Mar-15 Jan-13 -28 -108 1579 Jul-15 1579 Jan-16 KDP-E Sep-16 N N -2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059 2 2 407 1020
JASD JPSS-1 1 Not Available 1623 Mar-17 Aug-13 0 1623 16235 Mar-17 KDP-D Apr-15 N N 0 0 36 48 2533 2637
x PSD JUICE 3 1034 Sep-19 1185 Sep-19 Apr-16 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 Apr-17 11 85 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 KDP-C Apr-17 N N 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
JWST JWST 1 3117 Aug-11 3117 Aug-11 Jul-03 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 1264 1847 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046 0 0
JWST JWSTreg 1 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 4044 3871 85104 Oct-18 88254 Oct-18 FY16 Q2 Y Y Y Y 48 78 6493 5277 2577 205 1 -01 - 0 - 0
JWST JWSTregreg 1 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 94889 Nov-20 96627 Mar-21 May-18 10639 8277 94889 Nov-20 96627 Mar-21 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 9 2940 8113 036
PSD LADEE 2 1843 May-12 200 May-12 Dec-09 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 516 629 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 22 31 1217 1830 1027 178 26 34 1717 2433
PSD LADEEreg 2 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 2619 Jul-13 2629 Nov-13 May-12 26 0 2738 Sep-13 2738 Sep-13 FY15 Q1 Y N 10 0 203 - 0 1917 - 0 4 4 207 (203)
x ESD Landsat 9 2 851 Dec-20 928 Nov-21 Aug-16 838531 Dec-20 885029 Nov-21 Dec-17 -12469 -42971 8385 Dec-20 885 Nov-21 FY18 Q3 N N -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
STMD LCRD 2 2394 Feb-17 May-13 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 Apr-17 2571 233 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 FY18 Q3 N N 0 9 3343 4770 070 -6 -5 - 0 - 0
ESD LDCMLandsat 8 2 710 Dec-12 800 Dec-12 Sep-09 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 140 142 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 16 18 - 0 607 707 086 -3 -3 - 0 - 0
ESD LDCMLandsat 8reg 2 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 8608 Dec-12 9416 Jun-13 Dec-10 108 -04 85006 Feb-13 85666 Feb-13 FY18 Q3 Y N 1 -0 - 0 - 0 867 - 0 -1 -9 207 (400)
STMD LDSD 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 1896 203 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0 9 13 917 1930
STMD LDSDreg 3 1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 2368 Dec-16 2368 Dec-16 Mar-15 472 338 249 Dec-16 249 Dec-16 FY15 Q4 Y Y Y Y 20 17 1627 1627 2733 060 5 5 - 0 - 0
x PSD Mars 2020 1 2106 Jul-20 2351 Jul-20 May-15 22727 Jul-20 24435 Jul-20 STMDHEOMD added Jun-16 1667 925 23634 Jul-20 25304 Jul-20 FY18 Q3 N N 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0 -2 10 2437 3147
PSD MAVEN 2 Not Available 6382 Nov-13 6712 Nov-13 Oct-10 6382 6712 5753 Nov-13 5753 Nov-13 FY16 Q3 N N 0 0 -11 -14 - 0 - 0
HPD MMS 1 9104 Oct-14 9904 Oct-14 Nov-07 10026 Aug-14 10826 Mar-15 Jun-09 922 922 1098 Mar-15 1098 Mar-15 FY18 Q2 N N 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025 9 1 707 - 0
PSD MOMA 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)MOMA-MS did not have a traditional path of formulation NASArsquos participation on the MOMAinstrument began as a result of a proposal to the Mars Scout 2006 and Mission of OpportunityAnnouncement of Opportunity that proposal was selected for technology development In 2010NASA determined that the original team would not be able to produce a flight instrument onschedule and within acceptable risk NASA decided to bring the instrument technology andflight system development in-house to increase the probability of success The MOMA-MStechnology development effort was assigned to the Goddard Space Flight Center in Fall 2010The Project is entering the typical Life Cycle Review (LCR) process after a tailored PreliminaryDesign Review (PDR) and Key Decision Point (KDP)-C Until the time of KDP-C no formalAgency-level gate reviews were held (lack of KDP-A and KDP-B)
91 Oct-15 101 Oct-15 Apr-14 91 101 120243 Jul-20 128226 Jul-20 FY18 Q3 N N 0 0 24 27 5783 5783
PSD MSL 1 Not Available 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 1474 1613 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
PSD MSLreg 1 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 23185 Oct-11 23943 Nov-11 Apr-10 8445 7813 25176 Nov-11 25304 Nov-11 FY15 Q1 Y Y Y Y 36 48 2533 2637 4527 058 8 6 103 - 0
ESD NICER 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- the mission was selected from an AO and the down select places the project in phase B This was originally below $75 M threshold and no KDP DM were generated to document the cost and schedule

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
624 Aug-16 684 Feb-17 Feb-14 624 684 694 Jun-17 706 Aug-17 KDP-E May-17 N N 0 0 10 3 1013 603
x ESD NISAR 2 7183 Dec-20 8083 Dec-20 Feb-15 7953 Dec-21 8669 Sep-22 Aug-16 77 586 7953 Dec-21 8969 Sep-22 FY18 Q3 N N 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117 0 00346060676 0 0
APD NuSTAR 3 1052 Oct-11 1052 Oct-11 Feb-08 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 554 554 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
APD NuSTARreg 3 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 1606 Nov-11 1606 Feb-12 Aug-10 0 0 115315 Jun-12 115315 Jun-12 FY15 Q1 Y N 0 0 307 103 1167 009 -39 -28 710 403
ESD OCO-2 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild
3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 3259 3499 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
ESD OCO-2reg 2 3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 4377 Jul-14 4677 Feb-15 Jan-13 1118 1178 4245 Jul-14 4245 Jul-14 FY17 Q1 Y Y Y Y 26 34 1717 2433 2767 088 -3 -9 - 0 (717)
x ESD OCO-3 3 1014 Jul-16 1115 Oct-16 Aug-13 1108 Mar-18 1148 May-18 May-16 94 33 113388 Mar-18 113388 May-18 FY18 Q3 N N 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
HEO Orion 1 96425 Sep-21 102886 Mar-22 Jan-13 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 11673 9949 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041 ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE
HEO Orionreg 1 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 116581 Jun-22 116581 Jun-22 Jun-18 8483 3746 116581 Jun-22 116581 Jun-22 FY18 Q3 Y N 7 3 1013 (1013) 3347 030 0 00 - 0 - 0
PSD OSIRIS Rex 1 1085 Oct-16 1210 Oct-16 Apr-13 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 -336 -886 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0
PSD OSIRIS Rexreg 1 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 9959 Oct-16 10642 Oct-16 Mar-14 -555 -572 9975 Sep-16 10532 Sep-16 FY18 Q3 Y N -6 -5 - 0 - 0 1053 - 0 0 -1 (100) (100)
HPD PSP 1 1233 Jul-18 1439 Jul-18 Jan-12 13932 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 Mar-14 1602 1144 13821 Aug-18 15482 Aug-18 FY18 Q3 N N 11 8 103 103 2670 004 -1 -03 - 0 - 0
ESD SAGE III 3 1042 Aug-14 1152 Aug-14 Feb-12 101 Aug-14 112 Aug-14 Jul-12 -32 -32 129364 Feb-17 129364 Feb-17 FY18 Q3 N N -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0 22 16 3050 3050
HEO SGSS 2 5165 Dec-15 6275 Sep-17 Aug-12 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 3155 2351 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
HEO SGSSreg 1 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 11959 Jul-19 12079 Sep-19 Jul-15 3639 3453 1251 Sep-19 1261284 Nov-19 Path Forward APMC Dec 2016 Y Y Y Y 30 40 2840 2740 2777 099 4 4 223 267
HEO SLS 1 7653 Mar-17 8587 Apr-17 Aug-12 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 741 1108 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 FY16 Q1 N N 9 13 917 1930 2433 079 0 00 - 0 - 0
HEO SLSreg 1 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 9734 Dec-19 9843 Jun-20 Dec-17 1340 148 98029 Dec-19 98029 Dec-19 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 14 2 2433 1927 4060 047 1 -04
ESD SMAP 2 5845 May-15 7792 May-15 Jan-10 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 1373 1373 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
ESD SMAPreg 2 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 8744 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 Sep-12 1526 0 8899 Jan-15 8899 Jan-15 FY18 Q3 Y N 17 0 - 0 - 0 397 - 0 2 -3 307 (197)
HPD SOC 2 372 Jan-15 396 Mar-16 Dec-11 3662 Jan-17 4359 Oct-18 Mar-13 -58 399 3433 Feb-20 3866 Feb-20 FY18 Q3 N N -2 10 2437 3147 1610 195 -7 -11 3753 1627
APD SOFIA 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)SOFIA was reformulated because it was cancelled in the 2007 Budget The program went through multiple reviews until 2010 There is a file APMC Oct 6 2010 SOFIA r3 which is the confirmation review Sharedrive path USIDKDP and Other Decision MemosProjectsSOFIA
29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 29476 29551 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
APD SOFIAreg 1 29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 11431 Feb-14 11506 Feb-14 not a KDP Apr-14 -18045 -18045 15874 Feb-14 15949 Feb-14 FY18 Q3 Y N -158 -61 - 0 - 0 139100 - 0
x ESD SWOT 2 647 Oct-20 757 Oct-20 Jun-14 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 May-16 579 -21 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 FY18 Q3 N N 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
ESD TEMPO 3 1708 May-17 2178 Dec-17 Apr-14 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 Apr-15 101 0 181242 Sep-17 197242 Nov-17 FY18 Q3 N N 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008 0 -94 - 0 - 0
APD TESS 2 350 Sep-17 400 Sep-17 May-14 3424 Dec-17 3784 Jun-18 Oct-14 -76 -216 3333 Apr-18 3333 Jun-18 FY18 Q3 N N -2 -5 303 910 510 178 -3 -12 403 - 0
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) Schedule change Ratio
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C
Mean 90 88 50 81 1773 057
02045454545 Median 82 49 10 60 16233 0374
Standard Deviation 118 164 77 97 13962 0647
Minimum -7 -10 -71 -31 147 - 0 SPP
Maximum 38 59 244 345 7433 242 EUCLIDreg
GSDO
ICESat-2reg
Paste data from above to this table for analysis ORION
-7 -10 607 817 1923 042 SLS
-3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0 TEMPO
-2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059
0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032
Total KDPs Within Cost Range of Prior KDP Total KDPs Within Schedule Range of Prior KDP -2 -5 303 910 510 178
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0
MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 14 31 45 31 MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 27 26 53 51 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008
ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 19 33 52 37 ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 21 32 53 40 0 0 (203) 403 167 242
5 2 810 307 500 061
KDP-A to KDP-B Cost KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule 33 5 - 0 100 800 013
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 11 8 103 103 2670 004
KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 4 10 14 29 KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 13 9 22 59 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025
KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 9 12 21 43 KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 12 10 22 55 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041
-2 10 2437 3147 1610 195
9 10 613 613 3450 018
KDP-B to KDP-C Cost KDP-B to KDP-C Schedule -2 11 813 603 1687 036
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 9 13 917 1930 2433 079
MA at or below KDP-B Low 10 21 31 32 MA at or below KDP-B Low 14 17 31 45 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
ABC at or below KDP-B High 10 21 31 32 ABC at or below KDP-B High 9 22 31 29 16 18 - 0 607 707 086
22 31 1217 1830 1027 178
38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
KDP-A to KDP-C Cost KDP-A to KDP-C Schedule 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046
MA at or below KDP-A Low 2 7 9 22 MA at or below KDP-A Low 5 12 17 29 added 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0
ABC at or below KDP-A High 5 11 16 31 ABC at or below KDP-A High 3 14 17 18 added -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100
added 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
added -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
added 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0
added 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117
KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) Replan (MA) Replan (ABC) KDP-C to Replan (MA) KDP-C to Replan (ABC) KDP-C (or Replan) to PresentFinal (MA) KDP-C (or Replan) to PresentFinal (ABC) added 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
added 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
Percentage of Project CostSchedule HighLow Estimates Within Prior KDP Range Estimates
B Estimate at or below A Estimate C Estimate at or below B Estimate C Estimate at or below A Estimate Total at or below Preceding KDP Estimate
Cost - High 43 32 31 37
Cost - Low 29 32 22 31
Schedule - High 55 29 18 40
Schedule - Low 59 45 29 51
Page 7: Cost and Schedule Insights - NASA

Development Cost Metrics When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation

28Avg LV Proportion of Dev Cost Baseline

-8Avg Post-Baseline LV Cost Variation

7

Development Cost Performance When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost VariationHow would our development cost reporting metrics change

Lower LV costs can provide unexpected funds to cover growth in reporting

Lower LV costs sometimes have no effect on cost reporting

Higher LV costs can mask otherwise good cost performance

8

bull NASA cost performance has drastically improved since the early 2000rsquos

We are falling short of our portfolio goal of 70 projects hitting cost targets

Our cost and schedule ranges at KDP-A and KDP-B are optimistic and more often than do not capture the eventual high cost or schedule commitments at KDP-C baseline

Development cost reporting metrics can misrepresent how our projects are performing (both positively and negatively) if the LV contract award is well above or below the estimate included in the KDP-C baseline

bull

bull

bull

9

Back-up

10

1111

1212

Total KDPs Within Cost Range of Prior KDPYes No Total Percent At or Below

MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 14 31 45 31ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 19 33 52 37

Total KDPs Within Schedule Range of Prior KDPYes No Total Percent At or Below

MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 27 26 53 51ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 21 32 53 40

KDP-A to KDP-B CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 4 10 14 29KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 9 12 21 43

KDP-A to KDP-B ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 13 9 22 59KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 12 10 22 55

KDP-B to KDP-C CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-B Low 10 21 31 32ABC at or below KDP-B High 10 21 31 32

KDP-B to KDP-C ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-B Low 14 17 31 45ABC at or below KDP-B High 9 22 31 29

KDP-A to KDP-C CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-A Low 2 7 9 22ABC at or below KDP-A High 5 11 16 31

KDP-A to KDP-C ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-A Low 5 12 17 29ABC at or below KDP-A High 3 14 17 18

MAIN

KDP-B (LowMA)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO5686275102848528119263351059641208640999999999999949114046866738217762661581034311743818425184323598517108501896210691041474718310521606325899999999999981014964251080981085105140000000000011233104251658327653839458457218372294766471708KDP-C (MA)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO6275798152800000000000015104299999999999926335314596417912077464099999999999994911906405967389915229462668189167115519999999999999114443818425948892359261899999999999988385309999999999525710000000000002850860818962368227269999999999986382000000000000510026911474231856247953160616063258999999999999843771108108098116581105140000000000019959139321018321195900000000000183949734721887443662294761143099999999999970491809KDP-B (HighABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO568627517285593121328129110145412637440000000000000697846077686022485675116611853117496488352002628999999999999892823948009422032351990416138083105216063499111510288611283512101121400000000000114391152627586268587969577929165396295517572178KDP-C (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO62758389999999999999118129285594228129323110141901262531086037459789334319860210635252767518289180215519999999999999162312749648835966270000000000072628999999999999826289999999999998885029262794294162032368244356712108259999999999991011613239430000000000026840000000000000686691606160634994677114811283511658111214000000000001106421553411286261207900000000000196959843916591654359295511150599999999999975492178

COST ($M)

KDP-C to Replan (MA)595000000000000281704999999999999750000000000000014025429999999999993-178400000000000095115-85999999999999943826-25999999999996248E-200911-518999999999999773-1220000000000004531770000000000005117000000000000176266192299999999999951671-2800000000000011401112644044106389999999999965159999999999999425999999999999972-1246900000000005125710000000000002140107999999999999551896472000000000000171666999999999998263820000000000005922000000000000459114748445624775539999999999999103258999999999999811180000000000001939999999999999151167299999999999384830000000000109-33599999999999909-5550000000000011416020000000000005-3200000000000002831553639000000000000974113401372999999999999515260000000000002-5800000000000011429476-180455789999999999997710099999999999994-76000000000000227KDP-C to Replan (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPOTESS59500000000000028211499999999999918399999999999977392842000000000001592E-2-3084000000000000941809999999999991-8599999999999994344599999999999994-46999999999997044E-210860399999999999994316E-2978-45-281000000000000238420000000000004520329999999999995419999999999998866751153799999999999951802-108000000000000111623851847387182770000000000073628999999999999770-4297100000000000423299999999999983142-039999999999997726203338000000000000119256712921999999999999321011613781300000000000186840000000000000658600000000000023553999999999999910349911780000000000001329999999999999729948999999999996437460000000000036-88599999999999909-5720000000000004511440000000000009-32000000000000028235100000000000023453000000000000711081481372999999999999503989999999999997729551-18045-210000000000002270-21600000000000023

COST Change ($M)

B to C (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPOTESS01047535211267606203370517928286851448611111111110973E-2075077759107650046E-4-98804985102361215E-201486366383447687-7818181818181813E-2030674002751031632-37226838174140057E-4013440860215052999E-30-46012269938650305E-2-61086956521739177E-201085051546391753202363403859567541916901408450704179E-200227818101022070730-65060240963855487E-2071729957805907171E-20592556945781199880779814665592264319368421052631587E-20314499999999999890-4630495689655173E-288694328130947783E-2017749999999999999-42462845010613295E-400166502463054187263934495959166312E-2093093699515347267E-200048437693738375709067597185373168792E-20526615969581748940003366676193198057128745644599303111E-296699259374453242E-233198918775202764E-2-732231404958677E-2-5100766898519711E-279499652536483736E-2-27777777777777801E-203746613545816733204003014143287735301290322580645161315265600825167612E-20176206365503080030010075757575757570-061063923386687424-27818254073387508E-30-54000000000000055E-2

COST Change ()

Cost - HighB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate04285714285714285503225806451612903103125036538461538461536Schedule - HighB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate054545454545454541029032258064516131017647058823529413039622641509433965Cost - LowB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate02857142857142857032258064516129031022222222222222221031111111111111112Schedule - LowB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate059090909090909094045161290322580644029411764705882354050943396226415094

Data only (no charts)

plots

program table

A to B

A to B Cost

High Cost Estimate Change

KDP-A to KDP-B

Category 1 Change (high)01682251932581422Category 2 Change (high)60501935980863335E-2Category 3 Change (high)37110484780157868E-2Total Change (high)014626442296281486

Low Cost Estimate Change

KDP-A to KDP-B

Category 1 Change (low)010106870229007633Category 2 Change (low)19806591564406897Category 3 Change (low)0Total Change (low)21873131670301591

A to B Schedule

KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule Growth - Low Estimate

(in months)

MissionRestore-LSLSPACEWFIRSTOCO-3PSPLCRDEuclidGRACE-FOMars 2020SAGE-IIISWOTLADEEDARTNISARJASON-3MMSECOSTRESSSMAPXARMSOCOrion0-9-49-2-1-100000200912326273242

KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule Growth - High Estimate

(in months)

MissionRestore-LSLSPACEWFIRSTOCO-3PSPLCRDEuclidGRACE-FOMars 2020SAGE-IIISWOTLADEEDARTNISARJASON-3MMSECOSTRESSSMAPXARMSOCOrion-36-8-8-3-2-1-1000002569121726414451

image1png

image2png

image3png

image4png

Cost Variation Against Baselines

13

Methodology and Assumptions

The first step in conducting this analysis was to verify and validate the cost baseline information using source documentation KDP-C figures takes priority as the definitive baseline Where KDP-C decision memoranda was not available as in the case of many projects baselined prior to approximately 2009 figures were pulled from the first appearance as a development project in a Presidentrsquos Budget as the baseline against which to measure In a few cases notificationsreports to Congress (eg NSPD-49 reports) were used to identify a baseline figure MA figures were pulled solely from decision memoranda and thus our dataset with regard to MArsquos is smaller as it excludes many of the older projects that did not have standardized baseline documentation with MArsquos noted Variance to the baseline was then measured by using the most recent quarterly cost and schedule report Latest cost data is valid through the FY18 Q3 reporting period Slide 3 charts illustrate each project in the dataset with respective LCC and dev cost variances

The confidence level policy applied to each project was noted using source documentation as well as a cross-reference against when policy changes were implemented recognizing that a subset of projects received waivers to new policies during policy transition Certain exclusions were applied to ensure a dataset comparable across projects For example SOFIA had conducted a JCL on a replan but the decision memorandum made clear the baseline was not changing therefore the JCL confidence level could not fairly be applied to measure performance against the baseline Another example is GPM which was excluded as it was one of the very first projects baselined after JCL policy implementation and was not a ldquotruerdquo JCL with the decision memorandum noting that the intent was met while a JCL DPMC would be held many months later to evaluate progress There were a couple of additional exclusions applied

When a project is confirmed at KDP-C cost performance measurements were applied to that baseline If a project was then rebaselined a ldquonewrdquo project was added to the dataset using the rebaselined figures against which to measure as the Agency made the decision at that point to press ahead with the project and Congress provided reauthorization The ldquooriginalrdquo project was ldquofrozenrdquo in terms of development phase to fairly capture the contemporary phase performance (eg the ldquooriginalrdquo OCO-2 cost growth will always be categorized within the ldquoprojects in developmentrdquo performance category while the rebaselined OCO-2 cost performance falls into the ldquoprojects launchedrdquo category) The latest cost figures however were used to measure cost performance across both original baselines and rebaselines in order to fairly capture the accuracy of original estimates against final outcomes

This insight while placing an emphasis on the JCL while measuring performance does not intend to convey a discovered causal relationship between JCL and cost performance There have been many other related programmatic and technical advancements over the past 10 to 20 years that have influenced cost and schedule performance in the overall positive direction Other insights look into other influencers of costschedule performance

13

Dev Cost Metrics Controlling for LV Cost Variation

14

Methodology and Assumptions

SID pulled a number of data elements from a total of 22 SMD projects to conduct this analysis Data elements from a projectrsquos baseline include total development cost and the launch services cost estimate and have been sourced from KDP documentation quarterly reports and Cost Analysis Data Requirements (CADREs) These data were compared to currentactual total development and launch services costs from the most recent KDPquarterly reports Other data elements include Division Lead Center type of launch vehicle LCC category and current phase

SID calculated the overall development cost deltas from the baseline cost and verified the percentage growth with external reporting data where applicable SID then calculated the percent change in launch services development cost from baseline to currentactual The development cost percent change was calculated after removing launch services from the inputs

For further insight these same calculations were conducted by Division Lead Center type of launch vehicle and LCC category Division Lead Center and LCC category were then further broken down by looking only at projects currently in development

The 22 projects used in this analysis include Mars 2020 ICESat-2 ICON InSight SOC PSP SWOT TESS Juno Landsat-8 MMS OSIRIS-REx SMAP MAVEN GRAIL NuSTAR RBSP IRIS LADEE OCO-2 CYGNSS and Landsat 9 Representation includes seven planetary science seven earth science six heliophysics and two astrophysics missions twelve GSFC-led projects and eight JPL-led projects (LaRC and ARC representing the other two) ten Atlas V one Delta IV-H two Falcon 9 four Delta II four Pegasus and one Minotaur V rockets and six category 1 thirteen category 2 and three category 3 projects Seven projects assessed are currently in development

Other projects considered were excluded if launch was or is to be on a ride-share and launch services costs were negligible (eg RBI) Projects launching on internationally-contributed rockets were also excluded (eg GPM JWST) Other exclusions were based on data limitations at the time of analysis (eg no launch services costs available from baseline)

Did not add GPM international launchSOFIA no launchJWST international launch

RBI rideshareSentinel-6 international launch

Dawn no launch vehicle numbers availableSNPP No baseline LV estimate available

NISAR international launchLCRD rideshare

GRACE-FO rideshare

14

Sheet1

LV Percent ChangeJunoRBSPGRAILMMSNuSTARLandsat-8LADEEMAVENIRISSMAPSOCOSIRIS-RExCYGNSSInSightPSPICESat-2ICONTESSSWOTMars 2020Landsat 9-45693277310924457E-2-89820359281436273E-3-13089005235602092E-2-79299691040164669E-2-72625698324022187E-2-36392405063291208E-2036117381489841988-01759358288770053754455445544554525E-2-894617134192571E-2-030924586177798574-01931623931623931101912045889101338753833646028768001E-2-12694541231126538E-2-39142073098874007E-336848699240916792E-2-023399649430324276-017936024371667944-030075113341448961-12953367875648773E-3

Sheet2

Formulation KDPs

15

Methodology and Assumptions

Comparative analysis was conducted where possible (ie when highlow costschedule figures were available in KDP-ABC decision memoranda This analysis does not attempt to explain why the majority of costschedule estimates at KDPrsquos exceed prior estimates

Cost and schedule ranges were extracted from KDP-A and KDP-B decision memoranda Agency Baseline Commitments and Management Agreements were extracted from KDP-C decision memoranda Lifecycle cost was used in all cases (as opposed to development cost only) A project did not need to have all KDP-A through C figures to be included in the analysis (eg a project that did not have a KDP-A range was still included in the KDP-B to KDP-C statistics)

This analysis includes data from KDP-A KDP-B and KDP-C milestones At KDP-A and KDP-B a high and low estimate is established for both cost and schedule At KDP-C a Management Agreement and an Agency Baseline Commitment is established for both cost and schedule For ease of conveyance this analysis equates the Management Agreement as the low estimate for KDP-C and equates the Agency Baselines Commitment as the high estimate for KDP-C

15

  • PRESENTATION COVER - Cost and Schedule Insights
  • Todayrsquos Discussion
  • LCC and Development Cost Metrics Against Baseline
  • LCC and Dev Cost Metrics Against Baseline
  • 70 Joint Cost and Schedule Confidence Are we meeting the expected 70 success rate across the portfolio
  • Formulation Cost and Schedule Ranges Are we capturing the Agencyrsquos cost exposure in early estimates
  • Development Cost Metrics When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation
  • Development Cost Performance When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation How would our development cost reporting metrics change
  • NASA cost performance hashellip
  • Back-up
  • Bar Graph
  • Tables
  • Cost Variation Against Baselines Methodology and Assumptions
  • Dev Cost Metrics Controlling for LV Cost Variation Methodology and Assumptions
  • Formulation KDPs Methodology and Assumptions
Column1 KDP-C Date Lead Center Division Launch Vehicle LCC Category Phase Development Baseline Development CurrentActuals LV Estimate at Baseline LV CurrentActuals Development Baseline less LV Estimates Development CurrentActuals less LV Actuals Development Percent Change LV Percent Change Development Percent Change less LV Notes
Juno Aug-08 JPL Planetary Atlas V 1 Ops $ 7423 $ 7089 $ 1904 $ 1817 $ 5519 $ 5272 -45 -46 -45
RBSP Dec-08 GSFC Helio Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5338 $ 5040 $ 1336 $ 1324 $ 4002 $ 3716 -56 -09 -71
GRAIL Jan-09 JPL Planetary Delta II 2 Ops $ 4270 $ 3983 $ 1528 $ 1508 $ 2742 $ 2475 -67 -13 -97
MMS Jun-09 GSFC Helio Atlas V 1 Ops $ 8573 $ 8753 $ 1942 $ 1788 $ 6631 $ 6965 21 -79 50
NuSTAR Sep-09 JPL Astro Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1099 $ 1162 $ 358 $ 332 $ 741 $ 830 57 -73 120
Landsat-8 Dec-09 GSFC Earth Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5830 $ 5028 $ 1264 $ 1218 $ 4566 $ 3810 -138 -36 -166
LADEE Aug-10 ARC Planetary Minotaur V 2 Ops $ 1682 $ 1882 $ 443 $ 603 $ 1239 $ 1279 119 361 32
OCO-2 Sep-10 JPL Earth Delta II 2 Ops $ 2490 $ 3200 $ 676 $ 1368 $ 1814 $ 1832 285 1024 10 against original baseline rebaseline primary LV-driven aside from some RWA issues
MAVEN Oct-10 GSFC Planetary Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5672 $ 4720 $ 1870 $ 1541 $ 3802 $ 3179 -168 -176 -164
IRIS Nov-10 GSFC Helio Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1407 $ 1430 $ 404 $ 426 $ 1003 $ 1004 16 54 01
SMAP May-12 JPL Earth Delta II 2 Ops $ 4857 $ 4543 $ 1319 $ 1201 $ 3538 $ 3342 -65 -89 -55
SOC Mar-13 GSFC Helio Atlas V 2 Dev $ 3769 $ 3100 $ 2500 $ 1727 $ 1269 $ 1373 -178 -309 82
OSIRIS-REx May-13 GSFC Planetary Atlas V 1 Ops $ 7786 $ 6156 $ 2340 $ 1888 $ 5446 $ 4268 -209 -193 -216
CYGNSS Feb-14 LaRC Earth Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1511 $ 1287 $ 523 $ 623 $ 988 $ 664 -148 191 -328
InSight Mar-14 JPL Planetary Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5418 $ 6483 $ 1599 $ 1685 $ 3819 $ 4798 197 54 256
PSP Mar-14 GSFC Helio Delta IV-H 1 Dev $ 10557 $ 10503 $ 4305 $ 4250 $ 6252 $ 6253 -05 -13 00
ICESat-2 May-14 GSFC Earth Delta II 1 Dev $ 7637 $ 7441 $ 1188 $ 1183 $ 6449 $ 6258 -26 -04 -30
ICON Oct-14 GSFC Helio Pegasus 2 Dev $ 1960 $ 1982 $ 543 $ 563 $ 1417 $ 1419 11 37 01
TESS Oct-14 GSFC Astro Falcon 9 2 Ops $ 3232 $ 2799 $ 1141 $ 874 $ 2091 $ 1925 -134 -234 -79
SWOT May-16 JPL Earth Falcon 9 2 Dev $ 5715 $ 5715 $ 1313 $ 1078 $ 4402 $ 4638 00 -179 53
Mars 2020 Jun-16 JPL Planetary Atlas V 1 Dev $ 16769 $ 17253 $ 3425 $ 2395 $ 13344 $ 14858 29 -301 113
Landsat 9 Dec-17 GSFC Earth Atlas V 2 Dev $ 6342 $ 6342 $ 1544 $ 1542 $ 4798 $ 4800 00 -01 00
Projects in Development $ 52749 $ 52336 $ 14819 $ 12738 $ 37930 $ 39598 -08 -140 44
Projects in Operations $ 66588 $ 63555 $ 18647 $ 18196 $ 47941 $ 45359 -46 -24 -54
Total $ 119337 $ 115891 $ 33466 $ 30935 $ 85871 $ 84956 -29 -76 -11
Development Baseline Development CurrentActuals LV Estimate at Baseline LV CurrentActuals Development Baseline less LV Estimates Development CurrentActuals less LV Actuals Development Percent Change LV Percent Change Development Percent Change less LV
GSFC Project Total $ 68103 $ 63294 $ 20377 $ 18325 $ 47726 $ 44969 -71 -101 -58
JPL Projects Total $ 48041 $ 49428 $ 12122 $ 11384 $ 35919 $ 38044 29 -61 59
Did not add GPM international launch GSFC Projects in Ops $ 37838 $ 33926 $ 10297 $ 9059 $ 27541 $ 24867 -103 -120 -97
SOFIA no launch JPL Projects in Ops $ 25557 $ 26460 $ 7384 $ 7911 $ 18173 $ 18549 35 71 21
JWST international launch GSFC Projects in Dev $ 30265 $ 29368 $ 10080 $ 9266 $ 20185 $ 20102 -30 -81 -04
RBI rideshare JPL Projects in Dev $ 22484 $ 22968 $ 4738 $ 3473 $ 17746 $ 19495 22 -267 99
Sentinel-6 international launch
Dawn no launch vehicle numbers available Astro $ 4331 $ 3961 $ 1499 $ 1206 $ 2832 $ 2755 -85 -195 -27
SNPP No baseline LV estimate available Planetary $ 49020 $ 47566 $ 13109 $ 11437 $ 35911 $ 36129 -30 -128 06
NISAR international launch Helio $ 31604 $ 30808 $ 11030 $ 10078 $ 20574 $ 20730 -25 -86 08
LCRD rideshare Earth $ 34382 $ 33556 $ 7827 $ 8213 $ 26555 $ 25343 -24 49 -46
GRACE-FO rideshare
Astro - Dev Only $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0
Planetary - Dev Only $ 16769 $ 17253 $ 3425 $ 2395 $ 13344 $ 14858 29 -301 113
Helio - Dev Only $ 16286 $ 15585 $ 7348 $ 6540 $ 8938 $ 9045 -43 -110 12
Earth - Dev Only $ 19694 $ 19498 $ 4045 $ 3803 $ 15649 $ 15695 -10 -60 03
Atlas V $ 72920 $ 69964 $ 19725 $ 16926 $ 53195 $ 53038 -41 -142 -03
Delta IV-H $ 10557 $ 10503 $ 4305 $ 4250 $ 6252 $ 6253 -05 -13 00
Falcon 9 $ 8947 $ 8514 $ 2454 $ 1952 $ 6493 $ 6562 -48 -205 11
Delta II $ 19254 $ 19167 $ 4711 $ 5260 $ 14543 $ 13907 -05 117 -44 this is skewed by OCO-2 which switched from the baseline Taurus XL to the Delta-II at the rebaseline
Pegasus $ 5977 $ 5861 $ 1828 $ 1944 $ 4149 $ 3917 -19 63 -56
Minotaur V $ 1682 $ 1882 $ 443 $ 603 $ 1239 $ 1279 119 361 32
Category 1 $ 58745 $ 57195 $ 15104 $ 13322 $ 43641 $ 43873 -26 -118 05
Category 2 $ 56575 $ 54817 $ 17076 $ 16232 $ 39499 $ 38585 -31 -49 -23
Category 3 $ 4017 $ 3879 $ 1285 $ 1381 $ 2732 $ 2498 -34 75 -86
Category 1 - Dev Only $ 34963 $ 35197 $ 8918 $ 7829 $ 26045 $ 27368 07 -122 51
Category 2 - Dev Only $ 17786 $ 17139 $ 5900 $ 4909 $ 11886 $ 12230 -36 -168 29
Category 3 - Dev Only $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0
LV of Total Dev at Baseline 280
LV of Total Dev at FY18 Q3 267
Launch Vehicle Percent Cost Variation from Baseline Estimate in Chronological Order
Mission LCC Category KDP-A (low) KDP-A (high) KDP-B (low) KDP-B (high) Low Delta (months) High Delta (months) KDP-C MA MA Variance from A KDP-C ABC ABC Variance from A
Restore-L 2 Jun-20 Dec-23 Jun-20 Dec-20 0 -36
SLS 1 Dec-17 Dec-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 -9 -8 Dec-17 0 Nov-18 11
PACE 2 Dec-22 Dec-23 Aug-22 Apr-23 -4 -8
WFIRST 1 Dec-24 Dec-26 Sep-25 Sep-26 9 -3
OCO-3 3 Sep-16 Dec-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 -2 -2 Mar-18 18 May-18 17
PSP 1 Aug-18 Aug-18 Jul-18 Jul-18 -1 -1 Aug-18 0 Aug-18 0
LCRD 2 Mar-17 Mar-17 Feb-17 Feb-17 -1 -1 Jun-19 27 Nov-19 32
Euclid 3 Dec-14 Dec-14 Dec-14 Dec-14 0 0 May-15 5 May-16 17
GRACE-FO 2 Aug-17 Aug-17 Aug-17 Aug-17 0 0 Aug-17 0 Feb-18 6
Mars 2020 1 Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20 0 0 Jul-20 0 Jul-20 0
SAGE-III 3 Aug-14 Aug-14 Aug-14 Aug-14 0 0 Aug-14 0 Aug-14 0
SWOT 2 Oct-20 Oct-20 Oct-20 Oct-20 0 0 Apr-21 6 Apr-22 18
LADEE 3 Mar-12 Mar-12 May-12 May-12 2 2 May-13 14 Nov-13 20
DART 2 Dec-20 Dec-20 Dec-20 May-21 0 5 KDP-BC was combined due to advanced design maturity so B highlow here is equal to ABCMA
NISAR 2 Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-20 Jun-22 0 6 Dec-21 12 Sep-22 9
JASON-3 3 Jul-13 Jul-13 Apr-14 Apr-14 9 9 Mar-15 20 Mar-15 20
MMS 1 Oct-13 Oct-13 Oct-14 Oct-14 12 12 Aug-14 10 Mar-15 17
ECOSTRESS 3 May-17 Mar-18 Aug-17 Aug-19 3 17 Aug-17 3 Aug-19 17
SMAP 2 Mar-13 Mar-13 May-15 May-15 26 26 Oct-14 19 Mar-15 24
XARM 3 Oct-19 Oct-19 Jan-22 Mar-23 27 41
SOC 2 Apr-15 Apr-15 Dec-17 Dec-18 32 44 Jan-17 21 Oct-18 42
Orion 1 Dec-17 Dec-17 Jun-21 Mar-22 42 51 Aug-21 44 Apr-23 64
MAIA 3 NA NA Dec-19 Mar-21 NA NA
ICON 3 NA NA Feb-17 Jun-17 NA NA
GOLD 3 NA NA Dec-17 Dec-17 NA NA
GeoCarb 3 NA NA Jun-22 Jun-23 NA NA
IXPE 3 NA NA Dec-20 Dec-20 NA NA
Landsat 9 2 NA NA Dec-20 Nov-21 NA NA
Lucy 2 NA NA Oct-21 Nov-21 NA NA
TROPICS 3 NA NA Sep-19 Sep-20 NA NA
JUICE 3 NA NA Sep-19 Sep-19 NA NA
Psyche 2 NA NA Aug-22 Aug-22 NA NA
Clipper 1 NA NA Jun-22 Jul-23 NA NA removed Clipper from schedule calculations due to no KDP-A schedule estimate
CLARREO-PF 3 Jan-20 Jan-22
COST Growth () Schedule Growth (months)
of Pp (LowMA) (HighABC) (LowMA) (HighABC)
Category I 7 62 165 88 85
Category II 12 38 109 59 40
Category III 15 - -07 56 96
COST Growth () Schedule Growth (months)
(LowMA) (HighABC) (LowMA) (HighABC)
Average 80 118 66 70
Median 15 - 00 00
Standard Deviation 145 233 129 189
Minimum -12 -65 -9 -36
Maximum 417 745 42 51
Mission LCC Category KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta2 Change (low) Notes KDP-C MA KDP-C ABC MA Variance From A ABC Variance From A
Clipper 1 $ 4000 $ 4000 $ - 0 00 $ 3000 $ 3100 $ 100 33
DART 2 $ 270 $ 291 $ 21 78 $ 175 $ 248 $ 73 417
Euclid 3 $ 110 $ 110 $ - 0 00 $ 100 $ 100 $ - 0 00 Combined KDP-AB so no possible change 964 1014 -4 -8
GRACE-FO 2 $ 470 $ 460 $ (10) -21 $ 409 $ 404 $ (5) -12 4059 4319 -1 -8
JASON-3 3 $ 159 $ 166 $ 7 44 $ - 0 $ 158 1552 1552 -2
LADEE 3 $ 214 $ 200 $ (14) -65 $ - 0 $ 184 2359 2629 23
LCRD 2 $ 239 $ 239 $ 0 02 $ 239 $ 239 $ 0 02 2571 2627 8 10
Mars 2020 1 $ 2350 $ 2351 $ 1 00 $ 2140 $ 2186 $ 46 21 22727 24435 6 4
MMS 1 $ 777 $ 990 $ 213 275 $ 777 $ 928 $ 151 195 10026 10826 29 39
NISAR 2 $ 808 $ 808 $ - 0 00 $ 718 $ 718 $ - 0 00 7953 8669 11 7
OCO-3 3 $ 120 $ 111 $ (9) -71 $ 100 $ 101 $ 1 13 1108 1148 11 -4
Orion 1 $ 6391 $ 10288 $ 3897 610 $ - 0 $ 8534 Moved LRD from EM-1 to EM-2 extending LCC timeframe 108098 112835 77
PACE 2 $ 850 $ 850 $ - 0 00 $ 805 $ 805 $ - 0 00
PSP 1 $ 1300 $ 1439 $ 139 107 $ 1000 $ 1233 $ 233 233 13932 15534 39 19
Restore-L 2 $ 787 $ 753 $ (34) -43 $ 500 $ 628 $ 128 256
SAGE-III 3 $ 112 $ 115 $ 3 27 $ - 0 $ 104 101 112 0
SLS 1 $ 8855 $ 8587 $ (268) -30 $ - 0 $ 7653 8394 9695 9
SMAP 2 $ 514 $ 649 $ 135 263 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 7218 9165 78
SOC 2 $ 243 $ 424 $ 181 745 $ - 0 $ 371 3662 4359 79
SWOT 2 $ 752 $ 757 $ 5 07 $ 642 $ 647 $ 5 08 7049 7549 10 0
XARM 3 $ 172 $ 217 $ 45 264 $ 161 $ 179 $ 18 110
Count KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta Change (low) Notes
Category 1 6 $ 23673 $ 27655 $ 3982 168 $ 3275 $ 3606 $ 331 101
Category 2 9 $ 4933 $ 5231 $ 298 61 $ 4474 $ 13335 $ 8861 1981
Category 3 6 $ 887 $ 920 $ 33 37 $ - 0 $ 7757 $ 7757 ERRORDIV0
Total 21 $ 29493 $ 33807 $ 4314 146 $ 7749 $ 24698 $ 16949 2187
Mission LCC Category KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta2 Change (low) Notes
CLARREO-PF 3 $ 75 $ (75) -1000 $ 64
ICON 3 $ 249 $ 218
ECOSTRESS 3 $ 56 $ 49
GeoCarb 3 $ 181 $ 171
GOLD 3 $ 74 $ 64
IXPE 3 $ 205 $ 189
JUICE 3 $ 119 $ 103
Landsat 9 2 $ 928 $ 851 KDP-BC was combined due to advanced design maturity so B highlow here is equal to ABCMA
Lucy 2 $ 984 $ 914
Psyche 2 $ 957 $ 907
TROPICS 3 $ 30 $ 30
MAIA 3 $ 178 $ 150
Cost Estimate Deltas - KDP-A to KDP-B COST Growth ()
Mission Estimate KDP-A KDP-B Notes of Pp Low (MA) High (ABC)
SOC High $ 243 745 $ 424 Category I 4 127 172
Low $ - 0 $ 371 Category II 5 -01 199
Orion High $ 6391 610 $ 10288 Moved LRD from EM-1 to EM-2 extending LCC timeframe Category III 4 00 01
Low $ - 0 $ 8534
SMAP High $ 514 263 $ 649
Low $ - 0 $ - 0
SPP High $ 1300 107 $ 1439
Low $ 1000 233 $ 1233
JASON-3 High $ 159 44 $ 166
Low $ - 0 $ 158
SAGE-III High $ 112 27 $ 115
Low $ - 0 $ 104
SWOT High $ 752 07 $ 757
Low $ 642 08 $ 647
Mars 2020 High $ 2350 00 $ 2351
Low $ 2140 21 $ 2186
NISAR High $ 808 00 $ 808
Low $ 718 00 $ 718
Euclid High $ 110 00 $ 110 Combined KDP-AB so no change possible
Low $ 100 00 $ 100
GRACE Follow On High $ 470 -21 $ 460
Low $ 409 -12 $ 404
SLS High $ 8855 -30 $ 8587
Low $ - 0 $ 7653
LADEE High $ 214 -65 $ 200
Low $ - 0 $ 184
ProgramProject Name Category KDP A to B analysis (13 missions)
ASTRO-H 3 ASTRO-Hreg 3 bull13 Missions KDP-B Data Unavailable
CYGNSS 3 CYGNSS 3 bull7 Missions KDP-Crsquos have not yet occurred
DSCOVR 3 DSCOVR 3
C ECOSTRESS 3 ECOSTRESS 3
EUCLID 3 EUCLIDreg 3 Euclid
C GEDI 3 GEDI 3
GOES-R 1 GOES-R 1
GOLD 3 GOLD 3
GPM 2 GPM 2
GRACE-FO 2 GRACE-FO 2 GRACE Follow On
GSDO 1 GSDO 1
ICESat-2 1 ICESat-2reg 1
ICON 2 ICON 2
InSight 2 InSight 2
IRIS 3 IRIS 3
Jason-3 3 Jason-3 3 JASON-3
JPSS-1 1 JPSS-1 1
JWST 1 JWSTreg 1
LADEE 2 LADEEreg 2 LADEE
C LCRD 3 LCRD 3
LDCM 2 LDCMreg 2
LDSD 3 LDSD 3
C Mars 2020 1 Mars 2020 1 Mars 2020
MAVEN 2 MAVEN 2
MMS 1 MMS 1
MOMA 3 MOMA 3
MSL 1 MSL 1
NICER 3 NICER 3
C NISAR 2 NISAR 2 NISAR
NuSTAR 3 NuSTARreg 3
OCO-2 2 OCO-2 2
C OCO-3 3 OCO-3 3
ORION 1 ORION 1 Orion
OSIRIS Rex 1 OSIRIS Rexreg 1
SAGE III 3 SAGE III 3 SAGE-III
SGSS 1 SGSSreg 1
SLS 1 SLS 1 SLS
SMAP 2 SMAPreg 2 SMAP
SOC 2 SOC 2 SOC
SOFIA 1 SOFIA 1
PSP 1 PSP 1 PSP
C SWOT 2 SWOT 2 SWOT
TEMPO 3 TEMPO 3
TESS 2 TESS 2
Clipper
DART
PACE
Restore-L
XARM
Statistics COST Growth ($M) Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Average 9 9 43 61 136 070
Median 5 6 20 45 112 034
Standard Deviation 14 16 73 83 93 081
Variance 2 3 535 685 871 066
Minimum -9 -8 (71) (31) 15 - 0
Maximum 38 53 244 315 345 242
no JWST
Statistics
COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 18 17 118 131 1989 065
Median 20 17 101 132 19167 0582
Standard Deviation 16 19 105 117 11557 0830
Sample Variance 3 4 1101 1377 133562 0688
Minimum -6 -5 - 0 - 0 397 - 0
Maximum 46 48 284 274 4527 310
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 20 21 156 159 2031 075
Median 21 20 132 147 20783 0589
Standard Deviation 17 25 174 155 11214 0881
Sample Variance 3 6 3035 2394 125751 0776
Minimum -6 -5 00 00 40 - 0
Maximum 48 78 649 528 453 31
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 4 3 47 136 253 054
Median 9 9 61 132 24333 042
Standard Deviation 10 12 52 56 6657 022
Sample Variance 1 1 273 311 44310 005
Minimum -7 -11 (10) 82 1923 041
Maximum 11 11 92 193 3243 079
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
of Pp B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC)
Category I 6 4 4 22 78
Category II 9 8 13 71 83
Category III 8 6 11 28 52
Timeline Total Programs 46
Begin End Cost data Note Replans have KDP B = previous KDB C for comaprison planned Total Replans 14
2010 Present Total LCC Percent Replans 30
KDP-B KDP-C PresentFinal Breach Totals Statistics (B to C) or (C to Replan) Statictics - PresentFinal
KDP-B (LowMA) KDP-B (HighABC) KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) (MA) (ABC) 41416 14 9 9 8 COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
DIR ProgramProject Nameregdenotes Replan Category Cost LRD Cost LRD Signature Date Cost LRD Cost LRD Notes Signature Date Delta B to C (MA) Delta B to C (ABC) Cost LRD Cost LRD Source Replan Breach (YN) Schedule Breach Cost Breach B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC) C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC)
ASTRO-H 3 568 Aug-13 568 Aug-13 May-10 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 595 595 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 9 10 613 613 3450 018 21 34 2127 2530
ASTRO-Hreg 3 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 798 Nov-15 839 Mar-16 ABC +532 SEO option in Nov-13 1705 2115 758 Feb-16 759 Mar-16 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 21 34 2127 2530 817 310 -5 -10 307 - 0
CYGNSS 3 1028 Oct-16 1728 Apr-17 Jul-13 1528 Oct-16 1812 May-17 Feb-14 50 84 1595 Oct-16 1742 May-17 FY16Q2 N N 33 5 - 0 100 800 013 4 -4 - 0 - 0
JASD DSCOVR 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
928 Jan-15 Aug-13 0 928 928 Jan-15 94 Jan-15 KDP-E Jan-15 N N 0 0 0 1 - 0
ECOSTRESS 3 485 Aug-17 559 Aug-19 Apr-15 51043 Aug-17 55942 Aug-19 Dec-15 2543 0042 N N 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0 0 0
EUCLID 3 105 Dec-14 110 Dec-14 Jan-13 964 May-15 1014 May-16 ABC +44M for Science Center Sep-13 -86 -86 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -9 -8 503 1723 810 213 -1 -5 717 1117
EUCLIDreg 3 964 May-15 1454 May-16 Sep-13 179 Mar-17 190 Jun-18 Feb-16 826 446 179 Dec-21 190 Dec-22 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 46 31 2233 2537 2943 086 0 00 5787 5480
GEDI 3 1208 May-18 1263 May-18 Aug-15 120774 Jun-18 126253 Mar-19 Jun-16 -0026 -0047 N N -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100 -7 -10 607 817
JASD GOES-R 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
108603 Oct-15 Apr-12 0 108603 108295 Oct-16 kDP-D Sep-14 N N 0 0 32 24 1013 1320
GOLD 3 641 Dec-17 744 Dec-17 Feb-15 641 Oct-17 745 Apr-18 Mar-15 0 01 N N 0 0 (203) 403 167 242 5 2 810 307
GPM 2 Not Available 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 911 978 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 -2 -8 717 717
GPMreg 2 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 906 Feb-14 933 Jun-14 Oct-11 -5 -45 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16Q2 Y Y Y -1 -5 717 1117 2240 050 -1 -3 - 0 (400)
GRACE-FO 2 404 Aug-17 460 Aug-17 Aug-12 4059 Aug-17 4319 Feb-18 Feb-14 19 -281 4079 Aug-17 4318 Feb-18 FY16Q2 N N 0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032 0 -00 - 0 - 0
ESD GSDO 1 28119 Dec-17 31213 Mar-18 Feb-13 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 -1784 -3084 26336 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 FY16Q2 N N -7 -10 607 817 1923 042 0 00 - 0 - 0
ICESat-2 2 686 Apr-16 776 Nov-16 Aug-11 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 -122 842 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -2 11 813 603 1687 036 10 0 203 - 0
ICESat-2reg 1 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 9915 Oct-17 10635 Jun-18 May-14 3177 2033 9916 Oct-17 10636 Jun-18 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 32 24 1013 1320 1660 080 0 00 - 0 - 0
ICON 2 2177 Oct-16 2485 Jul-17 Jun-14 2294 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 Oct-14 117 42 232 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 FY16Q2 N N 5 2 810 307 500 061 1 00 - 0 - 0
Planetary InSight 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 6266 6751 6536 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 FY16Q2 N N 0 0 4 00 - 0 - 0
IRIS 3 Not Available 1671 Dec-12 1802 Jun-13 Nov-10 1671 1802 1873 Jun-13 1873 Jun-13 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 11 4 607 - 0
Jason-3 3 158 Apr-14 166 Apr-14 Jul-11 1552 Mar-15 1552 Mar-15 Jan-13 -28 -108 1579 Jul-15 1579 Jan-16 KDP-E draft N N -2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059 2 2 407 1020
JASD JPSS-1 1 Not Available 1623 Mar-17 Aug-13 0 1623 16235 Mar-17 KDP-D Apr-15 N N 0 0 36 48 2533 2637
JUICE 3 1034 Sep-19 1185 Sep-19 Apr-16 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 Apr-17 11 85 N N 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
JWST JWST 1 3117 Aug-11 3117 Aug-11 Jul-03 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 1264 1847 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046 0 0
JWSTreg 1 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 4044 3871 85104 Oct-18 88254 Oct-18 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 48 78 6493 5277 2577 205 1 -01 - 0 - 0
LADEE 2 1843 May-12 200 May-12 Dec-09 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 516 629 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 22 31 1217 1830 1027 178 26 34 1717 2433
LADEEreg 2 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 2619 Jul-13 2629 Nov-13 May-12 26 0 2738 Sep-13 2738 Sep-13 FY15Q1 Y N 10 0 203 - 0 1917 - 0 4 4 207 (203)
Landsat 9 2 851 Dec-20 928 Nov-21 Aug-16 838531 Dec-20 885029 Nov-21 Dec-17 -12469 -42971 N N -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
LCRD 2 2394 Feb-17 May-13 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 Apr-17 2571 233 N N 0 9 3343 4770 070 -6 -5 - 0 - 0
LDCM 2 710 Dec-12 800 Dec-12 Sep-09 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 140 142 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 16 18 - 0 607 707 086 -3 -3 - 0 - 0
LDCMreg 2 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 8608 Dec-12 9416 Jun-13 Dec-10 108 -04 8501 Feb-13 8568 Feb-13 FY15Q4 Y N 1 -0 - 0 - 0 867 - 0 -1 -9 207 (400)
STMD LDSD 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project
1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 1896 203 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0 9 13 917 1930
STMD LDSDreg 3 1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 2368 Dec-16 2368 Dec-16 Mar-15 472 338 249 Dec-16 249 Dec-16 FY15Q4 Y Y Y Y 20 17 1627 1627 2733 060 5 5 - 0 - 0
Mars 2020 1 2106 Jul-20 2351 Jul-20 May-15 22727 Jul-20 24435 Jul-20 STMDHEOMD added Jun-16 1667 925 N N 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0 -2 10 2437 3147
MAVEN 2 Not Available 6382 Nov-13 6712 Nov-13 Oct-10 6382 6712 598 Nov-13 600 Nov-13 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 -7 -11 - 0 - 0
MMS 1 9104 Oct-14 9904 Oct-14 Nov-07 10026 Aug-14 10826 Mar-15 Jun-09 922 922 1121 Sep-15 1121 Sep-15 FY16Q2 N N 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025 11 4 1320 613
MOMA 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)MOMA-MS did not have a traditional path of formulation NASArsquos participation on the MOMAinstrument began as a result of a proposal to the Mars Scout 2006 and Mission of OpportunityAnnouncement of Opportunity that proposal was selected for technology development In 2010NASA determined that the original team would not be able to produce a flight instrument onschedule and within acceptable risk NASA decided to bring the instrument technology andflight system development in-house to increase the probability of success The MOMA-MStechnology development effort was assigned to the Goddard Space Flight Center in Fall 2010The Project is entering the typical Life Cycle Review (LCR) process after a tailored PreliminaryDesign Review (PDR) and Key Decision Point (KDP)-C Until the time of KDP-C no formalAgency-level gate reviews were held (lack of KDP-A and KDP-B)
91 Oct-15 101 Oct-15 Apr-14 91 101 904 Jul-18 1004 Jul-18 FY16Q2 N N 0 0 -1 -1 3347 3347
MSL 1 Not Available 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 1474 1613 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
MSLreg 1 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 23185 Oct-11 23943 Nov-11 Apr-10 8445 7813 25176 Nov-11 25304 Nov-11 FY15Q1 Y Y Y Y 36 48 2533 2637 4527 058 8 6 103 - 0
NICER 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- the mission was selected from an AO and the down select places the project in phase B This was originally below $75 M threshold and no KDP DM were generated to document the cost and schedule

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
624 Aug-16 684 Feb-17 Feb-14 624 684 684 Feb-17 67 Feb-17 KDP-D Jan-16 N N 0 0 9 -2 613 - 0
NISAR 2 7183 Dec-20 8083 Dec-20 Feb-15 7953 Dec-21 8669 Sep-22 Aug-16 77 586 N N 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117
NuSTAR 3 1052 Oct-11 1052 Oct-11 Feb-08 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 554 554 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
NuSTARreg 3 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 1606 Nov-11 1606 Feb-12 Aug-10 0 0 166 Jun-12 166 Jun-12 FY14Q4 Y N 0 0 307 103 1167 009 3 3 710 403
OCO-2 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild
3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 3259 3499 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
OCO-2reg 2 3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 4377 Jul-14 4677 Feb-15 Jan-13 1118 1178 4276 Jul-14 4276 Jul-14 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 26 34 1717 2433 2767 088 -2 -9 - 0 (717)
OCO-3 3 1014 Jul-16 1115 Oct-16 Aug-13 1108 Mar-18 1148 May-18 May-16 94 33 N N 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
ESD ORION 1 96425 Sep-21 102886 Mar-22 Jan-13 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 11673 9949 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 FY16Q2 N N 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041 0 00 - 0 - 0
OSIRIS Rex 1 1085 Oct-16 1210 Oct-16 Apr-13 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 -336 -886 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0
OSIRIS Rexreg 1 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 9959 Oct-16 10642 Oct-16 Mar-14 -555 -572 10014 Oct-16 10572 Oct-16 FY16Q2 Y N -6 -5 - 0 - 0 1053 - 0 1 -1 - 0 - 0
PSP 1 1233 Jul-18 1439 Jul-18 Jan-12 13932 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 Mar-14 1602 1144 13931 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 FY16Q2 N N 11 8 103 103 2670 004 -0 00 - 0 - 0
SAGE III 3 1042 Aug-14 1152 Aug-14 Feb-12 101 Aug-14 112 Aug-14 Jul-12 -32 -32 1265 Aug-16 133 Aug-16 FY16Q2 N N -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0 20 19 2437 2437
SGSS 2 5165 Dec-15 6275 Sep-17 Aug-12 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 3155 2351 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
SGSSreg 1 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 11959 Jul-19 12079 Sep-19 Jul-15 3639 3453 1216 Jul-19 1228 Sep-19 PPBE18 PMR Y Y Y Y 30 40 2840 2740 2777 099 2 2 - 0 - 0
ESD SLS 1 7653 Mar-17 8587 Apr-17 Aug-12 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 741 1108 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 FY16Q1 N N 9 13 917 1930 2433 079 0 00 - 0 - 0
SMAP 2 5845 May-15 7792 May-15 Jan-10 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 1373 1373 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
SMAPreg 2 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 8744 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 Sep-12 1526 0 8899 May-15 8899 May-15 FY16Q2 Y N 17 0 - 0 - 0 397 - 0 2 -3 707 203
SOC 2 372 Jan-15 396 Mar-16 Dec-11 3662 Jan-17 4359 Oct-18 Mar-13 -58 399 2892 Oct-18 3789 Oct-18 FY16Q2 N N -2 10 2437 3147 1610 195 -27 -13 2127 - 0
SOFIA 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)SOFIA was reformulated because it was cancelled in the 2007 Budget The program went through multiple reviews until 2010 There is a file APMC Oct 6 2010 SOFIA r3 which is the confirmation review Sharedrive path USIDKDP and Other Decision MemosProjectsSOFIA

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project
29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 29476 29551 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
SOFIA (Budget) 1 29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 11431 Feb-14 11506 Feb-14 not a KDP Apr-14 -18045 -18045 29048 Feb-14 29122 Feb-14 FY16Q2 Budget Reduction N -158 -61 - 0 - 0 139100 - 0
SWOT 2 647 Oct-20 757 Oct-20 Jun-14 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 May-16 579 -21 N N 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
TEMPO 3 1708 May-17 2178 Dec-17 Apr-14 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 Apr-15 101 0 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 FY16Q2 N N 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008 0 00 - 0 - 0
TESS 2 350 Sep-17 400 Sep-17 May-14 3424 Dec-17 3784 Jun-18 Oct-14 -76 -216 31976 Dec-17 3517 Jun-18 FY16Q2 N N -2 -5 303 910 510 178 -7 -7 - 0 - 0
Currently in B Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) Schedule change Ratio
CLARREO-PF B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C
DART KDP-C in July Mean 13 -13 55 28 1729 115
Europa Clipper 02045454545 Median 17 -06 21 00 17483 0862
GeoCarb Standard Deviation 84 68 88 87 10875 0863
IXPE Minimum -27 -13 00 -72 397 050
Lucy Maximum 20 19 335 335 4527 310
MAIA
PACE
Psyche Paste data from above to this table for analysis
Restore-L -27 -13 2127 - 0 1610 050
SOC Replan Breach notification made DM not yet final -7 -7 - 0 - 0 080
TROPICS -7 -11 - 0 - 0 817 060
XARM -5 -10 307 - 0 867 088
-2 -9 - 0 (717) 2767 310
-2 -8 717 717 086
-1 -3 - 0 (400) 510 058
-1 -9 207 (400) 800 099
-1 -1 3347 3347 2240 205
1 -1 - 0 - 0 397
1 -01 - 0 - 0
2 2 - 0 - 0 1053
2 2 407 1020
2 -3 707 203 2577
1 00 - 0 - 0 2777
4 00 - 0 - 0 1887
3 3 710 403 1167
4 -4 - 0 - 0 1983
4 4 207 (203)
5 5 - 0 - 0 1917
8 6 103 - 0 2733
9 -2 613 - 0 4527
11 4 1320 613 503
11 4 607 - 0
20 19 2437 2437
Timeline Total Programs 46
Begin End Cost data Note Replans have KDP B = previous KDP C for comaprison planned Total Replans 14
2010 Present Total LCC Percent Replans 30
KDP-B KDP-C PresentFinal Breach Totals Statistics (B to C) or (C to Replan) Statistics - PresentFinal
KDP-B (LowMA) KDP-B (HighABC) KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) (MA) (ABC) 72618 20 13 13 9 COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
DIR ProgramProject Nameregdenotes Replan Category Cost LRD Cost LRD Signature Date Cost LRD Cost LRD Notes Signature Date Delta B to C (MA) Delta B to C (ABC) Cost LRD Cost LRD Source Replan Breach (YN) Schedule Breach Cost Breach B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC) C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC)
APD ASTRO-H 3 568 Aug-13 568 Aug-13 May-10 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 595 595 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 9 10 613 613 3450 018 21 34 2127 2530
APD ASTRO-Hreg 3 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 798 Nov-15 839 Mar-16 ABC +532 SEO option in Nov-13 1705 2115 74855 Feb-16 109271 Mar-16 FY17 Q1 Y Y Y Y 21 34 2127 2530 817 310 -7 30 307 - 0
ESD CYGNSS 3 1028 Oct-16 1728 Apr-17 Jul-13 1528 Oct-16 1812 May-17 Feb-14 50 84 159503 Dec-16 159503 Dec-16 FY18 Q3 N N 33 5 - 0 100 800 013 4 -12 203 (503)
JASD DSCOVR 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
928 Jan-15 Aug-13 0 928 928 Jan-15 94 Jan-15 KDP-E Jan-15 N N 0 0 0 1 - 0
x ESD ECOSTRESS 3 485 Aug-17 559 Aug-19 Apr-15 51043 Aug-17 55942 Aug-19 Dec-15 2543 0042 51043 Apr-18 52443 Aug-19 KDP-E May-18 N N 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0 0 0
HEO EGS 1 28119 Dec-17 31213 Mar-18 Feb-13 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 -1784 -3084 27418 Sep-18 28129 Nov-18 FY17 Q1 N N -7 -10 607 817 1923 042 4 00 307 - 0
HEO EGSreg 1 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 3145 Dec-19 3231 Jun-20 Dec-17 5115 4181 31446 Dec-19 31446 Dec-19 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 16 15 1827 1927 3957 049 -0 -27 - 0 (610)
x APD EUCLID 3 105 Dec-14 110 Dec-14 Jan-13 964 May-15 1014 May-16 ABC +44M for Science Center Sep-13 -86 -86 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -9 -8 503 1723 810 213 -1 -5 717 1117
APD EUCLIDreg 3 964 May-15 1454 May-16 Sep-13 179 Mar-17 190 Jun-18 Feb-16 826 446 206214 Mar-20 223452 Mar-20 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 46 31 2233 2537 2943 086 13 176 3653 2130
ESD GEDI 3 1208 May-18 1263 May-18 Aug-15 120774 Jun-18 126253 Mar-19 Jun-16 -0026 -0047 120774 Nov-18 123774 Mar-19 FY18 Q3 N N -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100 -7 -10 607 817
JASD GOES-R 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
108603 Oct-15 Apr-12 0 108603 10150 Nov-16 KDP-E Oct-16 N N 0 0 32 24 1013 1320
HPD GOLD 3 641 Dec-17 744 Dec-17 Feb-15 641 Oct-17 745 Apr-18 Mar-15 0 01 663 Feb-18 73 Apr-18 KDP-E Dec-17 N N 0 0 (203) 403 167 242 5 2 810 307
ESD GPM 2 Not Available 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 911 978 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16 Q1 N N 0 0 -2 -8 717 717
ESD GPMreg 2 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 906 Feb-14 933 Jun-14 Oct-11 -5 -45 8834 Feb-14 8904 Feb-14 FY17 Q3 Y Y Y -1 -5 717 1117 2240 050 -3 -5 - 0 (400)
ESD GRACE-FO 2 404 Aug-17 460 Aug-17 Aug-12 4059 Aug-17 4319 Feb-18 Feb-14 19 -281 4059 May-18 4319 May-18 FY18 Q3 N N 0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032 0 00 910 297
ESD ICESat-2 2 686 Apr-16 776 Nov-16 Aug-11 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 -122 842 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -2 11 813 603 1687 036 10 0 203 - 0
ESD ICESat-2reg 1 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 9915 Oct-17 10635 Jun-18 May-14 3177 2033 10561 Sep-18 10636 Oct-18 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 32 24 1013 1320 1660 080 6 00 1117 407
HPD ICON 2 2177 Oct-16 2485 Jul-17 Jun-14 2294 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 Oct-14 117 42 243 Jun-18 2527 Jun-18 FY18 Q3 N N 5 2 810 307 500 061 6 00 1217 810
PSD InSight 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight
6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 6266 6751 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0 ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE
PSD InSightreg 2 6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 8189 May-18 8289 May-18 Sep-16 1923 1538 8138 May-18 8138 May-18 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 23 23 2637 2637 3050 086 -1 -18 - 0 - 0
HPD IRIS 3 Not Available 1671 Dec-12 1802 Jun-13 Nov-10 1671 1802 1873 Jun-13 1873 Jun-13 FY16 Q1 N N 0 0 11 4 607 - 0
ESD Jason-3 3 158 Apr-14 166 Apr-14 Jul-11 1552 Mar-15 1552 Mar-15 Jan-13 -28 -108 1579 Jul-15 1579 Jan-16 KDP-E Sep-16 N N -2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059 2 2 407 1020
JASD JPSS-1 1 Not Available 1623 Mar-17 Aug-13 0 1623 16235 Mar-17 KDP-D Apr-15 N N 0 0 36 48 2533 2637
x PSD JUICE 3 1034 Sep-19 1185 Sep-19 Apr-16 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 Apr-17 11 85 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 KDP-C Apr-17 N N 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
JWST JWST 1 3117 Aug-11 3117 Aug-11 Jul-03 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 1264 1847 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046 0 0
JWST JWSTreg 1 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 4044 3871 85104 Oct-18 88254 Oct-18 FY16 Q2 Y Y Y Y 48 78 6493 5277 2577 205 1 -01 - 0 - 0
JWST JWSTregreg 1 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 94889 Nov-20 96627 Mar-21 May-18 10639 8277 94889 Nov-20 96627 Mar-21 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 9 2940 8113 036
PSD LADEE 2 1843 May-12 200 May-12 Dec-09 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 516 629 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 22 31 1217 1830 1027 178 26 34 1717 2433
PSD LADEEreg 2 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 2619 Jul-13 2629 Nov-13 May-12 26 0 2738 Sep-13 2738 Sep-13 FY15 Q1 Y N 10 0 203 - 0 1917 - 0 4 4 207 (203)
x ESD Landsat 9 2 851 Dec-20 928 Nov-21 Aug-16 838531 Dec-20 885029 Nov-21 Dec-17 -12469 -42971 8385 Dec-20 885 Nov-21 FY18 Q3 N N -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
STMD LCRD 2 2394 Feb-17 May-13 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 Apr-17 2571 233 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 FY18 Q3 N N 0 9 3343 4770 070 -6 -5 - 0 - 0
ESD LDCMLandsat 8 2 710 Dec-12 800 Dec-12 Sep-09 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 140 142 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 16 18 - 0 607 707 086 -3 -3 - 0 - 0
ESD LDCMLandsat 8reg 2 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 8608 Dec-12 9416 Jun-13 Dec-10 108 -04 85006 Feb-13 85666 Feb-13 FY18 Q3 Y N 1 -0 - 0 - 0 867 - 0 -1 -9 207 (400)
STMD LDSD 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 1896 203 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0 9 13 917 1930
STMD LDSDreg 3 1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 2368 Dec-16 2368 Dec-16 Mar-15 472 338 249 Dec-16 249 Dec-16 FY15 Q4 Y Y Y Y 20 17 1627 1627 2733 060 5 5 - 0 - 0
x PSD Mars 2020 1 2106 Jul-20 2351 Jul-20 May-15 22727 Jul-20 24435 Jul-20 STMDHEOMD added Jun-16 1667 925 23634 Jul-20 25304 Jul-20 FY18 Q3 N N 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0 -2 10 2437 3147
PSD MAVEN 2 Not Available 6382 Nov-13 6712 Nov-13 Oct-10 6382 6712 5753 Nov-13 5753 Nov-13 FY16 Q3 N N 0 0 -11 -14 - 0 - 0
HPD MMS 1 9104 Oct-14 9904 Oct-14 Nov-07 10026 Aug-14 10826 Mar-15 Jun-09 922 922 1098 Mar-15 1098 Mar-15 FY18 Q2 N N 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025 9 1 707 - 0
PSD MOMA 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)MOMA-MS did not have a traditional path of formulation NASArsquos participation on the MOMAinstrument began as a result of a proposal to the Mars Scout 2006 and Mission of OpportunityAnnouncement of Opportunity that proposal was selected for technology development In 2010NASA determined that the original team would not be able to produce a flight instrument onschedule and within acceptable risk NASA decided to bring the instrument technology andflight system development in-house to increase the probability of success The MOMA-MStechnology development effort was assigned to the Goddard Space Flight Center in Fall 2010The Project is entering the typical Life Cycle Review (LCR) process after a tailored PreliminaryDesign Review (PDR) and Key Decision Point (KDP)-C Until the time of KDP-C no formalAgency-level gate reviews were held (lack of KDP-A and KDP-B)
91 Oct-15 101 Oct-15 Apr-14 91 101 120243 Jul-20 128226 Jul-20 FY18 Q3 N N 0 0 24 27 5783 5783
PSD MSL 1 Not Available 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 1474 1613 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
PSD MSLreg 1 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 23185 Oct-11 23943 Nov-11 Apr-10 8445 7813 25176 Nov-11 25304 Nov-11 FY15 Q1 Y Y Y Y 36 48 2533 2637 4527 058 8 6 103 - 0
ESD NICER 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- the mission was selected from an AO and the down select places the project in phase B This was originally below $75 M threshold and no KDP DM were generated to document the cost and schedule

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
624 Aug-16 684 Feb-17 Feb-14 624 684 694 Jun-17 706 Aug-17 KDP-E May-17 N N 0 0 10 3 1013 603
x ESD NISAR 2 7183 Dec-20 8083 Dec-20 Feb-15 7953 Dec-21 8669 Sep-22 Aug-16 77 586 7953 Dec-21 8969 Sep-22 FY18 Q3 N N 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117 0 00346060676 0 0
APD NuSTAR 3 1052 Oct-11 1052 Oct-11 Feb-08 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 554 554 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
APD NuSTARreg 3 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 1606 Nov-11 1606 Feb-12 Aug-10 0 0 115315 Jun-12 115315 Jun-12 FY15 Q1 Y N 0 0 307 103 1167 009 -39 -28 710 403
ESD OCO-2 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild
3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 3259 3499 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
ESD OCO-2reg 2 3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 4377 Jul-14 4677 Feb-15 Jan-13 1118 1178 4245 Jul-14 4245 Jul-14 FY17 Q1 Y Y Y Y 26 34 1717 2433 2767 088 -3 -9 - 0 (717)
x ESD OCO-3 3 1014 Jul-16 1115 Oct-16 Aug-13 1108 Mar-18 1148 May-18 May-16 94 33 113388 Mar-18 113388 May-18 FY18 Q3 N N 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
HEO Orion 1 96425 Sep-21 102886 Mar-22 Jan-13 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 11673 9949 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041 ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE
HEO Orionreg 1 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 116581 Jun-22 116581 Jun-22 Jun-18 8483 3746 116581 Jun-22 116581 Jun-22 FY18 Q3 Y N 7 3 1013 (1013) 3347 030 0 00 - 0 - 0
PSD OSIRIS Rex 1 1085 Oct-16 1210 Oct-16 Apr-13 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 -336 -886 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0
PSD OSIRIS Rexreg 1 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 9959 Oct-16 10642 Oct-16 Mar-14 -555 -572 9975 Sep-16 10532 Sep-16 FY18 Q3 Y N -6 -5 - 0 - 0 1053 - 0 0 -1 (100) (100)
HPD PSP 1 1233 Jul-18 1439 Jul-18 Jan-12 13932 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 Mar-14 1602 1144 13821 Aug-18 15482 Aug-18 FY18 Q3 N N 11 8 103 103 2670 004 -1 -03 - 0 - 0
ESD SAGE III 3 1042 Aug-14 1152 Aug-14 Feb-12 101 Aug-14 112 Aug-14 Jul-12 -32 -32 129364 Feb-17 129364 Feb-17 FY18 Q3 N N -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0 22 16 3050 3050
HEO SGSS 2 5165 Dec-15 6275 Sep-17 Aug-12 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 3155 2351 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
HEO SGSSreg 1 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 11959 Jul-19 12079 Sep-19 Jul-15 3639 3453 1251 Sep-19 1261284 Nov-19 Path Forward APMC Dec 2016 Y Y Y Y 30 40 2840 2740 2777 099 4 4 223 267
HEO SLS 1 7653 Mar-17 8587 Apr-17 Aug-12 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 741 1108 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 FY16 Q1 N N 9 13 917 1930 2433 079 0 00 - 0 - 0
HEO SLSreg 1 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 9734 Dec-19 9843 Jun-20 Dec-17 1340 148 98029 Dec-19 98029 Dec-19 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 14 2 2433 1927 4060 047 1 -04
ESD SMAP 2 5845 May-15 7792 May-15 Jan-10 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 1373 1373 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
ESD SMAPreg 2 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 8744 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 Sep-12 1526 0 8899 Jan-15 8899 Jan-15 FY18 Q3 Y N 17 0 - 0 - 0 397 - 0 2 -3 307 (197)
HPD SOC 2 372 Jan-15 396 Mar-16 Dec-11 3662 Jan-17 4359 Oct-18 Mar-13 -58 399 3433 Feb-20 3866 Feb-20 FY18 Q3 N N -2 10 2437 3147 1610 195 -7 -11 3753 1627
APD SOFIA 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)SOFIA was reformulated because it was cancelled in the 2007 Budget The program went through multiple reviews until 2010 There is a file APMC Oct 6 2010 SOFIA r3 which is the confirmation review Sharedrive path USIDKDP and Other Decision MemosProjectsSOFIA
29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 29476 29551 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
APD SOFIAreg 1 29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 11431 Feb-14 11506 Feb-14 not a KDP Apr-14 -18045 -18045 15874 Feb-14 15949 Feb-14 FY18 Q3 Y N -158 -61 - 0 - 0 139100 - 0
x ESD SWOT 2 647 Oct-20 757 Oct-20 Jun-14 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 May-16 579 -21 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 FY18 Q3 N N 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
ESD TEMPO 3 1708 May-17 2178 Dec-17 Apr-14 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 Apr-15 101 0 181242 Sep-17 197242 Nov-17 FY18 Q3 N N 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008 0 -94 - 0 - 0
APD TESS 2 350 Sep-17 400 Sep-17 May-14 3424 Dec-17 3784 Jun-18 Oct-14 -76 -216 3333 Apr-18 3333 Jun-18 FY18 Q3 N N -2 -5 303 910 510 178 -3 -12 403 - 0
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) Schedule change Ratio
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C
Mean 90 88 50 81 1773 057
02045454545 Median 82 49 10 60 16233 0374
Standard Deviation 118 164 77 97 13962 0647
Minimum -7 -10 -71 -31 147 - 0 SPP
Maximum 38 59 244 345 7433 242 EUCLIDreg
GSDO
ICESat-2reg
Paste data from above to this table for analysis ORION
-7 -10 607 817 1923 042 SLS
-3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0 TEMPO
-2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059
0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032
Total KDPs Within Cost Range of Prior KDP Total KDPs Within Schedule Range of Prior KDP -2 -5 303 910 510 178
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0
MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 14 31 45 31 MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 27 26 53 51 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008
ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 19 33 52 37 ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 21 32 53 40 0 0 (203) 403 167 242
5 2 810 307 500 061
KDP-A to KDP-B Cost KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule 33 5 - 0 100 800 013
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 11 8 103 103 2670 004
KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 4 10 14 29 KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 13 9 22 59 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025
KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 9 12 21 43 KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 12 10 22 55 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041
-2 10 2437 3147 1610 195
9 10 613 613 3450 018
KDP-B to KDP-C Cost KDP-B to KDP-C Schedule -2 11 813 603 1687 036
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 9 13 917 1930 2433 079
MA at or below KDP-B Low 10 21 31 32 MA at or below KDP-B Low 14 17 31 45 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
ABC at or below KDP-B High 10 21 31 32 ABC at or below KDP-B High 9 22 31 29 16 18 - 0 607 707 086
22 31 1217 1830 1027 178
38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
KDP-A to KDP-C Cost KDP-A to KDP-C Schedule 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046
MA at or below KDP-A Low 2 7 9 22 MA at or below KDP-A Low 5 12 17 29 added 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0
ABC at or below KDP-A High 5 11 16 31 ABC at or below KDP-A High 3 14 17 18 added -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100
added 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
added -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
added 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0
added 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117
KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) Replan (MA) Replan (ABC) KDP-C to Replan (MA) KDP-C to Replan (ABC) KDP-C (or Replan) to PresentFinal (MA) KDP-C (or Replan) to PresentFinal (ABC) added 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
added 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
Percentage of Project CostSchedule HighLow Estimates Within Prior KDP Range Estimates
B Estimate at or below A Estimate C Estimate at or below B Estimate C Estimate at or below A Estimate Total at or below Preceding KDP Estimate
Cost - High 43 32 31 37
Cost - Low 29 32 22 31
Schedule - High 55 29 18 40
Schedule - Low 59 45 29 51
Page 8: Cost and Schedule Insights - NASA

Development Cost Performance When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost VariationHow would our development cost reporting metrics change

Lower LV costs can provide unexpected funds to cover growth in reporting

Lower LV costs sometimes have no effect on cost reporting

Higher LV costs can mask otherwise good cost performance

8

bull NASA cost performance has drastically improved since the early 2000rsquos

We are falling short of our portfolio goal of 70 projects hitting cost targets

Our cost and schedule ranges at KDP-A and KDP-B are optimistic and more often than do not capture the eventual high cost or schedule commitments at KDP-C baseline

Development cost reporting metrics can misrepresent how our projects are performing (both positively and negatively) if the LV contract award is well above or below the estimate included in the KDP-C baseline

bull

bull

bull

9

Back-up

10

1111

1212

Total KDPs Within Cost Range of Prior KDPYes No Total Percent At or Below

MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 14 31 45 31ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 19 33 52 37

Total KDPs Within Schedule Range of Prior KDPYes No Total Percent At or Below

MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 27 26 53 51ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 21 32 53 40

KDP-A to KDP-B CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 4 10 14 29KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 9 12 21 43

KDP-A to KDP-B ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 13 9 22 59KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 12 10 22 55

KDP-B to KDP-C CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-B Low 10 21 31 32ABC at or below KDP-B High 10 21 31 32

KDP-B to KDP-C ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-B Low 14 17 31 45ABC at or below KDP-B High 9 22 31 29

KDP-A to KDP-C CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-A Low 2 7 9 22ABC at or below KDP-A High 5 11 16 31

KDP-A to KDP-C ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-A Low 5 12 17 29ABC at or below KDP-A High 3 14 17 18

MAIN

KDP-B (LowMA)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO5686275102848528119263351059641208640999999999999949114046866738217762661581034311743818425184323598517108501896210691041474718310521606325899999999999981014964251080981085105140000000000011233104251658327653839458457218372294766471708KDP-C (MA)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO6275798152800000000000015104299999999999926335314596417912077464099999999999994911906405967389915229462668189167115519999999999999114443818425948892359261899999999999988385309999999999525710000000000002850860818962368227269999999999986382000000000000510026911474231856247953160616063258999999999999843771108108098116581105140000000000019959139321018321195900000000000183949734721887443662294761143099999999999970491809KDP-B (HighABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO568627517285593121328129110145412637440000000000000697846077686022485675116611853117496488352002628999999999999892823948009422032351990416138083105216063499111510288611283512101121400000000000114391152627586268587969577929165396295517572178KDP-C (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO62758389999999999999118129285594228129323110141901262531086037459789334319860210635252767518289180215519999999999999162312749648835966270000000000072628999999999999826289999999999998885029262794294162032368244356712108259999999999991011613239430000000000026840000000000000686691606160634994677114811283511658111214000000000001106421553411286261207900000000000196959843916591654359295511150599999999999975492178

COST ($M)

KDP-C to Replan (MA)595000000000000281704999999999999750000000000000014025429999999999993-178400000000000095115-85999999999999943826-25999999999996248E-200911-518999999999999773-1220000000000004531770000000000005117000000000000176266192299999999999951671-2800000000000011401112644044106389999999999965159999999999999425999999999999972-1246900000000005125710000000000002140107999999999999551896472000000000000171666999999999998263820000000000005922000000000000459114748445624775539999999999999103258999999999999811180000000000001939999999999999151167299999999999384830000000000109-33599999999999909-5550000000000011416020000000000005-3200000000000002831553639000000000000974113401372999999999999515260000000000002-5800000000000011429476-180455789999999999997710099999999999994-76000000000000227KDP-C to Replan (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPOTESS59500000000000028211499999999999918399999999999977392842000000000001592E-2-3084000000000000941809999999999991-8599999999999994344599999999999994-46999999999997044E-210860399999999999994316E-2978-45-281000000000000238420000000000004520329999999999995419999999999998866751153799999999999951802-108000000000000111623851847387182770000000000073628999999999999770-4297100000000000423299999999999983142-039999999999997726203338000000000000119256712921999999999999321011613781300000000000186840000000000000658600000000000023553999999999999910349911780000000000001329999999999999729948999999999996437460000000000036-88599999999999909-5720000000000004511440000000000009-32000000000000028235100000000000023453000000000000711081481372999999999999503989999999999997729551-18045-210000000000002270-21600000000000023

COST Change ($M)

B to C (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPOTESS01047535211267606203370517928286851448611111111110973E-2075077759107650046E-4-98804985102361215E-201486366383447687-7818181818181813E-2030674002751031632-37226838174140057E-4013440860215052999E-30-46012269938650305E-2-61086956521739177E-201085051546391753202363403859567541916901408450704179E-200227818101022070730-65060240963855487E-2071729957805907171E-20592556945781199880779814665592264319368421052631587E-20314499999999999890-4630495689655173E-288694328130947783E-2017749999999999999-42462845010613295E-400166502463054187263934495959166312E-2093093699515347267E-200048437693738375709067597185373168792E-20526615969581748940003366676193198057128745644599303111E-296699259374453242E-233198918775202764E-2-732231404958677E-2-5100766898519711E-279499652536483736E-2-27777777777777801E-203746613545816733204003014143287735301290322580645161315265600825167612E-20176206365503080030010075757575757570-061063923386687424-27818254073387508E-30-54000000000000055E-2

COST Change ()

Cost - HighB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate04285714285714285503225806451612903103125036538461538461536Schedule - HighB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate054545454545454541029032258064516131017647058823529413039622641509433965Cost - LowB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate02857142857142857032258064516129031022222222222222221031111111111111112Schedule - LowB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate059090909090909094045161290322580644029411764705882354050943396226415094

Data only (no charts)

plots

program table

A to B

A to B Cost

High Cost Estimate Change

KDP-A to KDP-B

Category 1 Change (high)01682251932581422Category 2 Change (high)60501935980863335E-2Category 3 Change (high)37110484780157868E-2Total Change (high)014626442296281486

Low Cost Estimate Change

KDP-A to KDP-B

Category 1 Change (low)010106870229007633Category 2 Change (low)19806591564406897Category 3 Change (low)0Total Change (low)21873131670301591

A to B Schedule

KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule Growth - Low Estimate

(in months)

MissionRestore-LSLSPACEWFIRSTOCO-3PSPLCRDEuclidGRACE-FOMars 2020SAGE-IIISWOTLADEEDARTNISARJASON-3MMSECOSTRESSSMAPXARMSOCOrion0-9-49-2-1-100000200912326273242

KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule Growth - High Estimate

(in months)

MissionRestore-LSLSPACEWFIRSTOCO-3PSPLCRDEuclidGRACE-FOMars 2020SAGE-IIISWOTLADEEDARTNISARJASON-3MMSECOSTRESSSMAPXARMSOCOrion-36-8-8-3-2-1-1000002569121726414451

image1png

image2png

image3png

image4png

Cost Variation Against Baselines

13

Methodology and Assumptions

The first step in conducting this analysis was to verify and validate the cost baseline information using source documentation KDP-C figures takes priority as the definitive baseline Where KDP-C decision memoranda was not available as in the case of many projects baselined prior to approximately 2009 figures were pulled from the first appearance as a development project in a Presidentrsquos Budget as the baseline against which to measure In a few cases notificationsreports to Congress (eg NSPD-49 reports) were used to identify a baseline figure MA figures were pulled solely from decision memoranda and thus our dataset with regard to MArsquos is smaller as it excludes many of the older projects that did not have standardized baseline documentation with MArsquos noted Variance to the baseline was then measured by using the most recent quarterly cost and schedule report Latest cost data is valid through the FY18 Q3 reporting period Slide 3 charts illustrate each project in the dataset with respective LCC and dev cost variances

The confidence level policy applied to each project was noted using source documentation as well as a cross-reference against when policy changes were implemented recognizing that a subset of projects received waivers to new policies during policy transition Certain exclusions were applied to ensure a dataset comparable across projects For example SOFIA had conducted a JCL on a replan but the decision memorandum made clear the baseline was not changing therefore the JCL confidence level could not fairly be applied to measure performance against the baseline Another example is GPM which was excluded as it was one of the very first projects baselined after JCL policy implementation and was not a ldquotruerdquo JCL with the decision memorandum noting that the intent was met while a JCL DPMC would be held many months later to evaluate progress There were a couple of additional exclusions applied

When a project is confirmed at KDP-C cost performance measurements were applied to that baseline If a project was then rebaselined a ldquonewrdquo project was added to the dataset using the rebaselined figures against which to measure as the Agency made the decision at that point to press ahead with the project and Congress provided reauthorization The ldquooriginalrdquo project was ldquofrozenrdquo in terms of development phase to fairly capture the contemporary phase performance (eg the ldquooriginalrdquo OCO-2 cost growth will always be categorized within the ldquoprojects in developmentrdquo performance category while the rebaselined OCO-2 cost performance falls into the ldquoprojects launchedrdquo category) The latest cost figures however were used to measure cost performance across both original baselines and rebaselines in order to fairly capture the accuracy of original estimates against final outcomes

This insight while placing an emphasis on the JCL while measuring performance does not intend to convey a discovered causal relationship between JCL and cost performance There have been many other related programmatic and technical advancements over the past 10 to 20 years that have influenced cost and schedule performance in the overall positive direction Other insights look into other influencers of costschedule performance

13

Dev Cost Metrics Controlling for LV Cost Variation

14

Methodology and Assumptions

SID pulled a number of data elements from a total of 22 SMD projects to conduct this analysis Data elements from a projectrsquos baseline include total development cost and the launch services cost estimate and have been sourced from KDP documentation quarterly reports and Cost Analysis Data Requirements (CADREs) These data were compared to currentactual total development and launch services costs from the most recent KDPquarterly reports Other data elements include Division Lead Center type of launch vehicle LCC category and current phase

SID calculated the overall development cost deltas from the baseline cost and verified the percentage growth with external reporting data where applicable SID then calculated the percent change in launch services development cost from baseline to currentactual The development cost percent change was calculated after removing launch services from the inputs

For further insight these same calculations were conducted by Division Lead Center type of launch vehicle and LCC category Division Lead Center and LCC category were then further broken down by looking only at projects currently in development

The 22 projects used in this analysis include Mars 2020 ICESat-2 ICON InSight SOC PSP SWOT TESS Juno Landsat-8 MMS OSIRIS-REx SMAP MAVEN GRAIL NuSTAR RBSP IRIS LADEE OCO-2 CYGNSS and Landsat 9 Representation includes seven planetary science seven earth science six heliophysics and two astrophysics missions twelve GSFC-led projects and eight JPL-led projects (LaRC and ARC representing the other two) ten Atlas V one Delta IV-H two Falcon 9 four Delta II four Pegasus and one Minotaur V rockets and six category 1 thirteen category 2 and three category 3 projects Seven projects assessed are currently in development

Other projects considered were excluded if launch was or is to be on a ride-share and launch services costs were negligible (eg RBI) Projects launching on internationally-contributed rockets were also excluded (eg GPM JWST) Other exclusions were based on data limitations at the time of analysis (eg no launch services costs available from baseline)

Did not add GPM international launchSOFIA no launchJWST international launch

RBI rideshareSentinel-6 international launch

Dawn no launch vehicle numbers availableSNPP No baseline LV estimate available

NISAR international launchLCRD rideshare

GRACE-FO rideshare

14

Sheet1

LV Percent ChangeJunoRBSPGRAILMMSNuSTARLandsat-8LADEEMAVENIRISSMAPSOCOSIRIS-RExCYGNSSInSightPSPICESat-2ICONTESSSWOTMars 2020Landsat 9-45693277310924457E-2-89820359281436273E-3-13089005235602092E-2-79299691040164669E-2-72625698324022187E-2-36392405063291208E-2036117381489841988-01759358288770053754455445544554525E-2-894617134192571E-2-030924586177798574-01931623931623931101912045889101338753833646028768001E-2-12694541231126538E-2-39142073098874007E-336848699240916792E-2-023399649430324276-017936024371667944-030075113341448961-12953367875648773E-3

Sheet2

Formulation KDPs

15

Methodology and Assumptions

Comparative analysis was conducted where possible (ie when highlow costschedule figures were available in KDP-ABC decision memoranda This analysis does not attempt to explain why the majority of costschedule estimates at KDPrsquos exceed prior estimates

Cost and schedule ranges were extracted from KDP-A and KDP-B decision memoranda Agency Baseline Commitments and Management Agreements were extracted from KDP-C decision memoranda Lifecycle cost was used in all cases (as opposed to development cost only) A project did not need to have all KDP-A through C figures to be included in the analysis (eg a project that did not have a KDP-A range was still included in the KDP-B to KDP-C statistics)

This analysis includes data from KDP-A KDP-B and KDP-C milestones At KDP-A and KDP-B a high and low estimate is established for both cost and schedule At KDP-C a Management Agreement and an Agency Baseline Commitment is established for both cost and schedule For ease of conveyance this analysis equates the Management Agreement as the low estimate for KDP-C and equates the Agency Baselines Commitment as the high estimate for KDP-C

15

  • PRESENTATION COVER - Cost and Schedule Insights
  • Todayrsquos Discussion
  • LCC and Development Cost Metrics Against Baseline
  • LCC and Dev Cost Metrics Against Baseline
  • 70 Joint Cost and Schedule Confidence Are we meeting the expected 70 success rate across the portfolio
  • Formulation Cost and Schedule Ranges Are we capturing the Agencyrsquos cost exposure in early estimates
  • Development Cost Metrics When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation
  • Development Cost Performance When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation How would our development cost reporting metrics change
  • NASA cost performance hashellip
  • Back-up
  • Bar Graph
  • Tables
  • Cost Variation Against Baselines Methodology and Assumptions
  • Dev Cost Metrics Controlling for LV Cost Variation Methodology and Assumptions
  • Formulation KDPs Methodology and Assumptions
Column1 KDP-C Date Lead Center Division Launch Vehicle LCC Category Phase Development Baseline Development CurrentActuals LV Estimate at Baseline LV CurrentActuals Development Baseline less LV Estimates Development CurrentActuals less LV Actuals Development Percent Change LV Percent Change Development Percent Change less LV Notes
Juno Aug-08 JPL Planetary Atlas V 1 Ops $ 7423 $ 7089 $ 1904 $ 1817 $ 5519 $ 5272 -45 -46 -45
RBSP Dec-08 GSFC Helio Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5338 $ 5040 $ 1336 $ 1324 $ 4002 $ 3716 -56 -09 -71
GRAIL Jan-09 JPL Planetary Delta II 2 Ops $ 4270 $ 3983 $ 1528 $ 1508 $ 2742 $ 2475 -67 -13 -97
MMS Jun-09 GSFC Helio Atlas V 1 Ops $ 8573 $ 8753 $ 1942 $ 1788 $ 6631 $ 6965 21 -79 50
NuSTAR Sep-09 JPL Astro Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1099 $ 1162 $ 358 $ 332 $ 741 $ 830 57 -73 120
Landsat-8 Dec-09 GSFC Earth Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5830 $ 5028 $ 1264 $ 1218 $ 4566 $ 3810 -138 -36 -166
LADEE Aug-10 ARC Planetary Minotaur V 2 Ops $ 1682 $ 1882 $ 443 $ 603 $ 1239 $ 1279 119 361 32
OCO-2 Sep-10 JPL Earth Delta II 2 Ops $ 2490 $ 3200 $ 676 $ 1368 $ 1814 $ 1832 285 1024 10 against original baseline rebaseline primary LV-driven aside from some RWA issues
MAVEN Oct-10 GSFC Planetary Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5672 $ 4720 $ 1870 $ 1541 $ 3802 $ 3179 -168 -176 -164
IRIS Nov-10 GSFC Helio Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1407 $ 1430 $ 404 $ 426 $ 1003 $ 1004 16 54 01
SMAP May-12 JPL Earth Delta II 2 Ops $ 4857 $ 4543 $ 1319 $ 1201 $ 3538 $ 3342 -65 -89 -55
SOC Mar-13 GSFC Helio Atlas V 2 Dev $ 3769 $ 3100 $ 2500 $ 1727 $ 1269 $ 1373 -178 -309 82
OSIRIS-REx May-13 GSFC Planetary Atlas V 1 Ops $ 7786 $ 6156 $ 2340 $ 1888 $ 5446 $ 4268 -209 -193 -216
CYGNSS Feb-14 LaRC Earth Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1511 $ 1287 $ 523 $ 623 $ 988 $ 664 -148 191 -328
InSight Mar-14 JPL Planetary Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5418 $ 6483 $ 1599 $ 1685 $ 3819 $ 4798 197 54 256
PSP Mar-14 GSFC Helio Delta IV-H 1 Dev $ 10557 $ 10503 $ 4305 $ 4250 $ 6252 $ 6253 -05 -13 00
ICESat-2 May-14 GSFC Earth Delta II 1 Dev $ 7637 $ 7441 $ 1188 $ 1183 $ 6449 $ 6258 -26 -04 -30
ICON Oct-14 GSFC Helio Pegasus 2 Dev $ 1960 $ 1982 $ 543 $ 563 $ 1417 $ 1419 11 37 01
TESS Oct-14 GSFC Astro Falcon 9 2 Ops $ 3232 $ 2799 $ 1141 $ 874 $ 2091 $ 1925 -134 -234 -79
SWOT May-16 JPL Earth Falcon 9 2 Dev $ 5715 $ 5715 $ 1313 $ 1078 $ 4402 $ 4638 00 -179 53
Mars 2020 Jun-16 JPL Planetary Atlas V 1 Dev $ 16769 $ 17253 $ 3425 $ 2395 $ 13344 $ 14858 29 -301 113
Landsat 9 Dec-17 GSFC Earth Atlas V 2 Dev $ 6342 $ 6342 $ 1544 $ 1542 $ 4798 $ 4800 00 -01 00
Projects in Development $ 52749 $ 52336 $ 14819 $ 12738 $ 37930 $ 39598 -08 -140 44
Projects in Operations $ 66588 $ 63555 $ 18647 $ 18196 $ 47941 $ 45359 -46 -24 -54
Total $ 119337 $ 115891 $ 33466 $ 30935 $ 85871 $ 84956 -29 -76 -11
Development Baseline Development CurrentActuals LV Estimate at Baseline LV CurrentActuals Development Baseline less LV Estimates Development CurrentActuals less LV Actuals Development Percent Change LV Percent Change Development Percent Change less LV
GSFC Project Total $ 68103 $ 63294 $ 20377 $ 18325 $ 47726 $ 44969 -71 -101 -58
JPL Projects Total $ 48041 $ 49428 $ 12122 $ 11384 $ 35919 $ 38044 29 -61 59
Did not add GPM international launch GSFC Projects in Ops $ 37838 $ 33926 $ 10297 $ 9059 $ 27541 $ 24867 -103 -120 -97
SOFIA no launch JPL Projects in Ops $ 25557 $ 26460 $ 7384 $ 7911 $ 18173 $ 18549 35 71 21
JWST international launch GSFC Projects in Dev $ 30265 $ 29368 $ 10080 $ 9266 $ 20185 $ 20102 -30 -81 -04
RBI rideshare JPL Projects in Dev $ 22484 $ 22968 $ 4738 $ 3473 $ 17746 $ 19495 22 -267 99
Sentinel-6 international launch
Dawn no launch vehicle numbers available Astro $ 4331 $ 3961 $ 1499 $ 1206 $ 2832 $ 2755 -85 -195 -27
SNPP No baseline LV estimate available Planetary $ 49020 $ 47566 $ 13109 $ 11437 $ 35911 $ 36129 -30 -128 06
NISAR international launch Helio $ 31604 $ 30808 $ 11030 $ 10078 $ 20574 $ 20730 -25 -86 08
LCRD rideshare Earth $ 34382 $ 33556 $ 7827 $ 8213 $ 26555 $ 25343 -24 49 -46
GRACE-FO rideshare
Astro - Dev Only $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0
Planetary - Dev Only $ 16769 $ 17253 $ 3425 $ 2395 $ 13344 $ 14858 29 -301 113
Helio - Dev Only $ 16286 $ 15585 $ 7348 $ 6540 $ 8938 $ 9045 -43 -110 12
Earth - Dev Only $ 19694 $ 19498 $ 4045 $ 3803 $ 15649 $ 15695 -10 -60 03
Atlas V $ 72920 $ 69964 $ 19725 $ 16926 $ 53195 $ 53038 -41 -142 -03
Delta IV-H $ 10557 $ 10503 $ 4305 $ 4250 $ 6252 $ 6253 -05 -13 00
Falcon 9 $ 8947 $ 8514 $ 2454 $ 1952 $ 6493 $ 6562 -48 -205 11
Delta II $ 19254 $ 19167 $ 4711 $ 5260 $ 14543 $ 13907 -05 117 -44 this is skewed by OCO-2 which switched from the baseline Taurus XL to the Delta-II at the rebaseline
Pegasus $ 5977 $ 5861 $ 1828 $ 1944 $ 4149 $ 3917 -19 63 -56
Minotaur V $ 1682 $ 1882 $ 443 $ 603 $ 1239 $ 1279 119 361 32
Category 1 $ 58745 $ 57195 $ 15104 $ 13322 $ 43641 $ 43873 -26 -118 05
Category 2 $ 56575 $ 54817 $ 17076 $ 16232 $ 39499 $ 38585 -31 -49 -23
Category 3 $ 4017 $ 3879 $ 1285 $ 1381 $ 2732 $ 2498 -34 75 -86
Category 1 - Dev Only $ 34963 $ 35197 $ 8918 $ 7829 $ 26045 $ 27368 07 -122 51
Category 2 - Dev Only $ 17786 $ 17139 $ 5900 $ 4909 $ 11886 $ 12230 -36 -168 29
Category 3 - Dev Only $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0
LV of Total Dev at Baseline 280
LV of Total Dev at FY18 Q3 267
Launch Vehicle Percent Cost Variation from Baseline Estimate in Chronological Order
Mission LCC Category KDP-A (low) KDP-A (high) KDP-B (low) KDP-B (high) Low Delta (months) High Delta (months) KDP-C MA MA Variance from A KDP-C ABC ABC Variance from A
Restore-L 2 Jun-20 Dec-23 Jun-20 Dec-20 0 -36
SLS 1 Dec-17 Dec-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 -9 -8 Dec-17 0 Nov-18 11
PACE 2 Dec-22 Dec-23 Aug-22 Apr-23 -4 -8
WFIRST 1 Dec-24 Dec-26 Sep-25 Sep-26 9 -3
OCO-3 3 Sep-16 Dec-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 -2 -2 Mar-18 18 May-18 17
PSP 1 Aug-18 Aug-18 Jul-18 Jul-18 -1 -1 Aug-18 0 Aug-18 0
LCRD 2 Mar-17 Mar-17 Feb-17 Feb-17 -1 -1 Jun-19 27 Nov-19 32
Euclid 3 Dec-14 Dec-14 Dec-14 Dec-14 0 0 May-15 5 May-16 17
GRACE-FO 2 Aug-17 Aug-17 Aug-17 Aug-17 0 0 Aug-17 0 Feb-18 6
Mars 2020 1 Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20 0 0 Jul-20 0 Jul-20 0
SAGE-III 3 Aug-14 Aug-14 Aug-14 Aug-14 0 0 Aug-14 0 Aug-14 0
SWOT 2 Oct-20 Oct-20 Oct-20 Oct-20 0 0 Apr-21 6 Apr-22 18
LADEE 3 Mar-12 Mar-12 May-12 May-12 2 2 May-13 14 Nov-13 20
DART 2 Dec-20 Dec-20 Dec-20 May-21 0 5 KDP-BC was combined due to advanced design maturity so B highlow here is equal to ABCMA
NISAR 2 Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-20 Jun-22 0 6 Dec-21 12 Sep-22 9
JASON-3 3 Jul-13 Jul-13 Apr-14 Apr-14 9 9 Mar-15 20 Mar-15 20
MMS 1 Oct-13 Oct-13 Oct-14 Oct-14 12 12 Aug-14 10 Mar-15 17
ECOSTRESS 3 May-17 Mar-18 Aug-17 Aug-19 3 17 Aug-17 3 Aug-19 17
SMAP 2 Mar-13 Mar-13 May-15 May-15 26 26 Oct-14 19 Mar-15 24
XARM 3 Oct-19 Oct-19 Jan-22 Mar-23 27 41
SOC 2 Apr-15 Apr-15 Dec-17 Dec-18 32 44 Jan-17 21 Oct-18 42
Orion 1 Dec-17 Dec-17 Jun-21 Mar-22 42 51 Aug-21 44 Apr-23 64
MAIA 3 NA NA Dec-19 Mar-21 NA NA
ICON 3 NA NA Feb-17 Jun-17 NA NA
GOLD 3 NA NA Dec-17 Dec-17 NA NA
GeoCarb 3 NA NA Jun-22 Jun-23 NA NA
IXPE 3 NA NA Dec-20 Dec-20 NA NA
Landsat 9 2 NA NA Dec-20 Nov-21 NA NA
Lucy 2 NA NA Oct-21 Nov-21 NA NA
TROPICS 3 NA NA Sep-19 Sep-20 NA NA
JUICE 3 NA NA Sep-19 Sep-19 NA NA
Psyche 2 NA NA Aug-22 Aug-22 NA NA
Clipper 1 NA NA Jun-22 Jul-23 NA NA removed Clipper from schedule calculations due to no KDP-A schedule estimate
CLARREO-PF 3 Jan-20 Jan-22
COST Growth () Schedule Growth (months)
of Pp (LowMA) (HighABC) (LowMA) (HighABC)
Category I 7 62 165 88 85
Category II 12 38 109 59 40
Category III 15 - -07 56 96
COST Growth () Schedule Growth (months)
(LowMA) (HighABC) (LowMA) (HighABC)
Average 80 118 66 70
Median 15 - 00 00
Standard Deviation 145 233 129 189
Minimum -12 -65 -9 -36
Maximum 417 745 42 51
Mission LCC Category KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta2 Change (low) Notes KDP-C MA KDP-C ABC MA Variance From A ABC Variance From A
Clipper 1 $ 4000 $ 4000 $ - 0 00 $ 3000 $ 3100 $ 100 33
DART 2 $ 270 $ 291 $ 21 78 $ 175 $ 248 $ 73 417
Euclid 3 $ 110 $ 110 $ - 0 00 $ 100 $ 100 $ - 0 00 Combined KDP-AB so no possible change 964 1014 -4 -8
GRACE-FO 2 $ 470 $ 460 $ (10) -21 $ 409 $ 404 $ (5) -12 4059 4319 -1 -8
JASON-3 3 $ 159 $ 166 $ 7 44 $ - 0 $ 158 1552 1552 -2
LADEE 3 $ 214 $ 200 $ (14) -65 $ - 0 $ 184 2359 2629 23
LCRD 2 $ 239 $ 239 $ 0 02 $ 239 $ 239 $ 0 02 2571 2627 8 10
Mars 2020 1 $ 2350 $ 2351 $ 1 00 $ 2140 $ 2186 $ 46 21 22727 24435 6 4
MMS 1 $ 777 $ 990 $ 213 275 $ 777 $ 928 $ 151 195 10026 10826 29 39
NISAR 2 $ 808 $ 808 $ - 0 00 $ 718 $ 718 $ - 0 00 7953 8669 11 7
OCO-3 3 $ 120 $ 111 $ (9) -71 $ 100 $ 101 $ 1 13 1108 1148 11 -4
Orion 1 $ 6391 $ 10288 $ 3897 610 $ - 0 $ 8534 Moved LRD from EM-1 to EM-2 extending LCC timeframe 108098 112835 77
PACE 2 $ 850 $ 850 $ - 0 00 $ 805 $ 805 $ - 0 00
PSP 1 $ 1300 $ 1439 $ 139 107 $ 1000 $ 1233 $ 233 233 13932 15534 39 19
Restore-L 2 $ 787 $ 753 $ (34) -43 $ 500 $ 628 $ 128 256
SAGE-III 3 $ 112 $ 115 $ 3 27 $ - 0 $ 104 101 112 0
SLS 1 $ 8855 $ 8587 $ (268) -30 $ - 0 $ 7653 8394 9695 9
SMAP 2 $ 514 $ 649 $ 135 263 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 7218 9165 78
SOC 2 $ 243 $ 424 $ 181 745 $ - 0 $ 371 3662 4359 79
SWOT 2 $ 752 $ 757 $ 5 07 $ 642 $ 647 $ 5 08 7049 7549 10 0
XARM 3 $ 172 $ 217 $ 45 264 $ 161 $ 179 $ 18 110
Count KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta Change (low) Notes
Category 1 6 $ 23673 $ 27655 $ 3982 168 $ 3275 $ 3606 $ 331 101
Category 2 9 $ 4933 $ 5231 $ 298 61 $ 4474 $ 13335 $ 8861 1981
Category 3 6 $ 887 $ 920 $ 33 37 $ - 0 $ 7757 $ 7757 ERRORDIV0
Total 21 $ 29493 $ 33807 $ 4314 146 $ 7749 $ 24698 $ 16949 2187
Mission LCC Category KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta2 Change (low) Notes
CLARREO-PF 3 $ 75 $ (75) -1000 $ 64
ICON 3 $ 249 $ 218
ECOSTRESS 3 $ 56 $ 49
GeoCarb 3 $ 181 $ 171
GOLD 3 $ 74 $ 64
IXPE 3 $ 205 $ 189
JUICE 3 $ 119 $ 103
Landsat 9 2 $ 928 $ 851 KDP-BC was combined due to advanced design maturity so B highlow here is equal to ABCMA
Lucy 2 $ 984 $ 914
Psyche 2 $ 957 $ 907
TROPICS 3 $ 30 $ 30
MAIA 3 $ 178 $ 150
Cost Estimate Deltas - KDP-A to KDP-B COST Growth ()
Mission Estimate KDP-A KDP-B Notes of Pp Low (MA) High (ABC)
SOC High $ 243 745 $ 424 Category I 4 127 172
Low $ - 0 $ 371 Category II 5 -01 199
Orion High $ 6391 610 $ 10288 Moved LRD from EM-1 to EM-2 extending LCC timeframe Category III 4 00 01
Low $ - 0 $ 8534
SMAP High $ 514 263 $ 649
Low $ - 0 $ - 0
SPP High $ 1300 107 $ 1439
Low $ 1000 233 $ 1233
JASON-3 High $ 159 44 $ 166
Low $ - 0 $ 158
SAGE-III High $ 112 27 $ 115
Low $ - 0 $ 104
SWOT High $ 752 07 $ 757
Low $ 642 08 $ 647
Mars 2020 High $ 2350 00 $ 2351
Low $ 2140 21 $ 2186
NISAR High $ 808 00 $ 808
Low $ 718 00 $ 718
Euclid High $ 110 00 $ 110 Combined KDP-AB so no change possible
Low $ 100 00 $ 100
GRACE Follow On High $ 470 -21 $ 460
Low $ 409 -12 $ 404
SLS High $ 8855 -30 $ 8587
Low $ - 0 $ 7653
LADEE High $ 214 -65 $ 200
Low $ - 0 $ 184
ProgramProject Name Category KDP A to B analysis (13 missions)
ASTRO-H 3 ASTRO-Hreg 3 bull13 Missions KDP-B Data Unavailable
CYGNSS 3 CYGNSS 3 bull7 Missions KDP-Crsquos have not yet occurred
DSCOVR 3 DSCOVR 3
C ECOSTRESS 3 ECOSTRESS 3
EUCLID 3 EUCLIDreg 3 Euclid
C GEDI 3 GEDI 3
GOES-R 1 GOES-R 1
GOLD 3 GOLD 3
GPM 2 GPM 2
GRACE-FO 2 GRACE-FO 2 GRACE Follow On
GSDO 1 GSDO 1
ICESat-2 1 ICESat-2reg 1
ICON 2 ICON 2
InSight 2 InSight 2
IRIS 3 IRIS 3
Jason-3 3 Jason-3 3 JASON-3
JPSS-1 1 JPSS-1 1
JWST 1 JWSTreg 1
LADEE 2 LADEEreg 2 LADEE
C LCRD 3 LCRD 3
LDCM 2 LDCMreg 2
LDSD 3 LDSD 3
C Mars 2020 1 Mars 2020 1 Mars 2020
MAVEN 2 MAVEN 2
MMS 1 MMS 1
MOMA 3 MOMA 3
MSL 1 MSL 1
NICER 3 NICER 3
C NISAR 2 NISAR 2 NISAR
NuSTAR 3 NuSTARreg 3
OCO-2 2 OCO-2 2
C OCO-3 3 OCO-3 3
ORION 1 ORION 1 Orion
OSIRIS Rex 1 OSIRIS Rexreg 1
SAGE III 3 SAGE III 3 SAGE-III
SGSS 1 SGSSreg 1
SLS 1 SLS 1 SLS
SMAP 2 SMAPreg 2 SMAP
SOC 2 SOC 2 SOC
SOFIA 1 SOFIA 1
PSP 1 PSP 1 PSP
C SWOT 2 SWOT 2 SWOT
TEMPO 3 TEMPO 3
TESS 2 TESS 2
Clipper
DART
PACE
Restore-L
XARM
Statistics COST Growth ($M) Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Average 9 9 43 61 136 070
Median 5 6 20 45 112 034
Standard Deviation 14 16 73 83 93 081
Variance 2 3 535 685 871 066
Minimum -9 -8 (71) (31) 15 - 0
Maximum 38 53 244 315 345 242
no JWST
Statistics
COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 18 17 118 131 1989 065
Median 20 17 101 132 19167 0582
Standard Deviation 16 19 105 117 11557 0830
Sample Variance 3 4 1101 1377 133562 0688
Minimum -6 -5 - 0 - 0 397 - 0
Maximum 46 48 284 274 4527 310
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 20 21 156 159 2031 075
Median 21 20 132 147 20783 0589
Standard Deviation 17 25 174 155 11214 0881
Sample Variance 3 6 3035 2394 125751 0776
Minimum -6 -5 00 00 40 - 0
Maximum 48 78 649 528 453 31
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 4 3 47 136 253 054
Median 9 9 61 132 24333 042
Standard Deviation 10 12 52 56 6657 022
Sample Variance 1 1 273 311 44310 005
Minimum -7 -11 (10) 82 1923 041
Maximum 11 11 92 193 3243 079
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
of Pp B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC)
Category I 6 4 4 22 78
Category II 9 8 13 71 83
Category III 8 6 11 28 52
Timeline Total Programs 46
Begin End Cost data Note Replans have KDP B = previous KDB C for comaprison planned Total Replans 14
2010 Present Total LCC Percent Replans 30
KDP-B KDP-C PresentFinal Breach Totals Statistics (B to C) or (C to Replan) Statictics - PresentFinal
KDP-B (LowMA) KDP-B (HighABC) KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) (MA) (ABC) 41416 14 9 9 8 COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
DIR ProgramProject Nameregdenotes Replan Category Cost LRD Cost LRD Signature Date Cost LRD Cost LRD Notes Signature Date Delta B to C (MA) Delta B to C (ABC) Cost LRD Cost LRD Source Replan Breach (YN) Schedule Breach Cost Breach B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC) C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC)
ASTRO-H 3 568 Aug-13 568 Aug-13 May-10 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 595 595 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 9 10 613 613 3450 018 21 34 2127 2530
ASTRO-Hreg 3 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 798 Nov-15 839 Mar-16 ABC +532 SEO option in Nov-13 1705 2115 758 Feb-16 759 Mar-16 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 21 34 2127 2530 817 310 -5 -10 307 - 0
CYGNSS 3 1028 Oct-16 1728 Apr-17 Jul-13 1528 Oct-16 1812 May-17 Feb-14 50 84 1595 Oct-16 1742 May-17 FY16Q2 N N 33 5 - 0 100 800 013 4 -4 - 0 - 0
JASD DSCOVR 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
928 Jan-15 Aug-13 0 928 928 Jan-15 94 Jan-15 KDP-E Jan-15 N N 0 0 0 1 - 0
ECOSTRESS 3 485 Aug-17 559 Aug-19 Apr-15 51043 Aug-17 55942 Aug-19 Dec-15 2543 0042 N N 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0 0 0
EUCLID 3 105 Dec-14 110 Dec-14 Jan-13 964 May-15 1014 May-16 ABC +44M for Science Center Sep-13 -86 -86 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -9 -8 503 1723 810 213 -1 -5 717 1117
EUCLIDreg 3 964 May-15 1454 May-16 Sep-13 179 Mar-17 190 Jun-18 Feb-16 826 446 179 Dec-21 190 Dec-22 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 46 31 2233 2537 2943 086 0 00 5787 5480
GEDI 3 1208 May-18 1263 May-18 Aug-15 120774 Jun-18 126253 Mar-19 Jun-16 -0026 -0047 N N -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100 -7 -10 607 817
JASD GOES-R 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
108603 Oct-15 Apr-12 0 108603 108295 Oct-16 kDP-D Sep-14 N N 0 0 32 24 1013 1320
GOLD 3 641 Dec-17 744 Dec-17 Feb-15 641 Oct-17 745 Apr-18 Mar-15 0 01 N N 0 0 (203) 403 167 242 5 2 810 307
GPM 2 Not Available 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 911 978 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 -2 -8 717 717
GPMreg 2 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 906 Feb-14 933 Jun-14 Oct-11 -5 -45 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16Q2 Y Y Y -1 -5 717 1117 2240 050 -1 -3 - 0 (400)
GRACE-FO 2 404 Aug-17 460 Aug-17 Aug-12 4059 Aug-17 4319 Feb-18 Feb-14 19 -281 4079 Aug-17 4318 Feb-18 FY16Q2 N N 0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032 0 -00 - 0 - 0
ESD GSDO 1 28119 Dec-17 31213 Mar-18 Feb-13 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 -1784 -3084 26336 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 FY16Q2 N N -7 -10 607 817 1923 042 0 00 - 0 - 0
ICESat-2 2 686 Apr-16 776 Nov-16 Aug-11 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 -122 842 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -2 11 813 603 1687 036 10 0 203 - 0
ICESat-2reg 1 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 9915 Oct-17 10635 Jun-18 May-14 3177 2033 9916 Oct-17 10636 Jun-18 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 32 24 1013 1320 1660 080 0 00 - 0 - 0
ICON 2 2177 Oct-16 2485 Jul-17 Jun-14 2294 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 Oct-14 117 42 232 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 FY16Q2 N N 5 2 810 307 500 061 1 00 - 0 - 0
Planetary InSight 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 6266 6751 6536 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 FY16Q2 N N 0 0 4 00 - 0 - 0
IRIS 3 Not Available 1671 Dec-12 1802 Jun-13 Nov-10 1671 1802 1873 Jun-13 1873 Jun-13 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 11 4 607 - 0
Jason-3 3 158 Apr-14 166 Apr-14 Jul-11 1552 Mar-15 1552 Mar-15 Jan-13 -28 -108 1579 Jul-15 1579 Jan-16 KDP-E draft N N -2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059 2 2 407 1020
JASD JPSS-1 1 Not Available 1623 Mar-17 Aug-13 0 1623 16235 Mar-17 KDP-D Apr-15 N N 0 0 36 48 2533 2637
JUICE 3 1034 Sep-19 1185 Sep-19 Apr-16 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 Apr-17 11 85 N N 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
JWST JWST 1 3117 Aug-11 3117 Aug-11 Jul-03 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 1264 1847 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046 0 0
JWSTreg 1 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 4044 3871 85104 Oct-18 88254 Oct-18 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 48 78 6493 5277 2577 205 1 -01 - 0 - 0
LADEE 2 1843 May-12 200 May-12 Dec-09 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 516 629 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 22 31 1217 1830 1027 178 26 34 1717 2433
LADEEreg 2 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 2619 Jul-13 2629 Nov-13 May-12 26 0 2738 Sep-13 2738 Sep-13 FY15Q1 Y N 10 0 203 - 0 1917 - 0 4 4 207 (203)
Landsat 9 2 851 Dec-20 928 Nov-21 Aug-16 838531 Dec-20 885029 Nov-21 Dec-17 -12469 -42971 N N -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
LCRD 2 2394 Feb-17 May-13 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 Apr-17 2571 233 N N 0 9 3343 4770 070 -6 -5 - 0 - 0
LDCM 2 710 Dec-12 800 Dec-12 Sep-09 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 140 142 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 16 18 - 0 607 707 086 -3 -3 - 0 - 0
LDCMreg 2 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 8608 Dec-12 9416 Jun-13 Dec-10 108 -04 8501 Feb-13 8568 Feb-13 FY15Q4 Y N 1 -0 - 0 - 0 867 - 0 -1 -9 207 (400)
STMD LDSD 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project
1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 1896 203 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0 9 13 917 1930
STMD LDSDreg 3 1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 2368 Dec-16 2368 Dec-16 Mar-15 472 338 249 Dec-16 249 Dec-16 FY15Q4 Y Y Y Y 20 17 1627 1627 2733 060 5 5 - 0 - 0
Mars 2020 1 2106 Jul-20 2351 Jul-20 May-15 22727 Jul-20 24435 Jul-20 STMDHEOMD added Jun-16 1667 925 N N 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0 -2 10 2437 3147
MAVEN 2 Not Available 6382 Nov-13 6712 Nov-13 Oct-10 6382 6712 598 Nov-13 600 Nov-13 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 -7 -11 - 0 - 0
MMS 1 9104 Oct-14 9904 Oct-14 Nov-07 10026 Aug-14 10826 Mar-15 Jun-09 922 922 1121 Sep-15 1121 Sep-15 FY16Q2 N N 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025 11 4 1320 613
MOMA 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)MOMA-MS did not have a traditional path of formulation NASArsquos participation on the MOMAinstrument began as a result of a proposal to the Mars Scout 2006 and Mission of OpportunityAnnouncement of Opportunity that proposal was selected for technology development In 2010NASA determined that the original team would not be able to produce a flight instrument onschedule and within acceptable risk NASA decided to bring the instrument technology andflight system development in-house to increase the probability of success The MOMA-MStechnology development effort was assigned to the Goddard Space Flight Center in Fall 2010The Project is entering the typical Life Cycle Review (LCR) process after a tailored PreliminaryDesign Review (PDR) and Key Decision Point (KDP)-C Until the time of KDP-C no formalAgency-level gate reviews were held (lack of KDP-A and KDP-B)
91 Oct-15 101 Oct-15 Apr-14 91 101 904 Jul-18 1004 Jul-18 FY16Q2 N N 0 0 -1 -1 3347 3347
MSL 1 Not Available 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 1474 1613 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
MSLreg 1 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 23185 Oct-11 23943 Nov-11 Apr-10 8445 7813 25176 Nov-11 25304 Nov-11 FY15Q1 Y Y Y Y 36 48 2533 2637 4527 058 8 6 103 - 0
NICER 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- the mission was selected from an AO and the down select places the project in phase B This was originally below $75 M threshold and no KDP DM were generated to document the cost and schedule

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
624 Aug-16 684 Feb-17 Feb-14 624 684 684 Feb-17 67 Feb-17 KDP-D Jan-16 N N 0 0 9 -2 613 - 0
NISAR 2 7183 Dec-20 8083 Dec-20 Feb-15 7953 Dec-21 8669 Sep-22 Aug-16 77 586 N N 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117
NuSTAR 3 1052 Oct-11 1052 Oct-11 Feb-08 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 554 554 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
NuSTARreg 3 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 1606 Nov-11 1606 Feb-12 Aug-10 0 0 166 Jun-12 166 Jun-12 FY14Q4 Y N 0 0 307 103 1167 009 3 3 710 403
OCO-2 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild
3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 3259 3499 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
OCO-2reg 2 3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 4377 Jul-14 4677 Feb-15 Jan-13 1118 1178 4276 Jul-14 4276 Jul-14 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 26 34 1717 2433 2767 088 -2 -9 - 0 (717)
OCO-3 3 1014 Jul-16 1115 Oct-16 Aug-13 1108 Mar-18 1148 May-18 May-16 94 33 N N 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
ESD ORION 1 96425 Sep-21 102886 Mar-22 Jan-13 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 11673 9949 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 FY16Q2 N N 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041 0 00 - 0 - 0
OSIRIS Rex 1 1085 Oct-16 1210 Oct-16 Apr-13 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 -336 -886 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0
OSIRIS Rexreg 1 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 9959 Oct-16 10642 Oct-16 Mar-14 -555 -572 10014 Oct-16 10572 Oct-16 FY16Q2 Y N -6 -5 - 0 - 0 1053 - 0 1 -1 - 0 - 0
PSP 1 1233 Jul-18 1439 Jul-18 Jan-12 13932 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 Mar-14 1602 1144 13931 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 FY16Q2 N N 11 8 103 103 2670 004 -0 00 - 0 - 0
SAGE III 3 1042 Aug-14 1152 Aug-14 Feb-12 101 Aug-14 112 Aug-14 Jul-12 -32 -32 1265 Aug-16 133 Aug-16 FY16Q2 N N -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0 20 19 2437 2437
SGSS 2 5165 Dec-15 6275 Sep-17 Aug-12 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 3155 2351 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
SGSSreg 1 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 11959 Jul-19 12079 Sep-19 Jul-15 3639 3453 1216 Jul-19 1228 Sep-19 PPBE18 PMR Y Y Y Y 30 40 2840 2740 2777 099 2 2 - 0 - 0
ESD SLS 1 7653 Mar-17 8587 Apr-17 Aug-12 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 741 1108 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 FY16Q1 N N 9 13 917 1930 2433 079 0 00 - 0 - 0
SMAP 2 5845 May-15 7792 May-15 Jan-10 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 1373 1373 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
SMAPreg 2 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 8744 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 Sep-12 1526 0 8899 May-15 8899 May-15 FY16Q2 Y N 17 0 - 0 - 0 397 - 0 2 -3 707 203
SOC 2 372 Jan-15 396 Mar-16 Dec-11 3662 Jan-17 4359 Oct-18 Mar-13 -58 399 2892 Oct-18 3789 Oct-18 FY16Q2 N N -2 10 2437 3147 1610 195 -27 -13 2127 - 0
SOFIA 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)SOFIA was reformulated because it was cancelled in the 2007 Budget The program went through multiple reviews until 2010 There is a file APMC Oct 6 2010 SOFIA r3 which is the confirmation review Sharedrive path USIDKDP and Other Decision MemosProjectsSOFIA

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project
29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 29476 29551 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
SOFIA (Budget) 1 29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 11431 Feb-14 11506 Feb-14 not a KDP Apr-14 -18045 -18045 29048 Feb-14 29122 Feb-14 FY16Q2 Budget Reduction N -158 -61 - 0 - 0 139100 - 0
SWOT 2 647 Oct-20 757 Oct-20 Jun-14 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 May-16 579 -21 N N 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
TEMPO 3 1708 May-17 2178 Dec-17 Apr-14 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 Apr-15 101 0 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 FY16Q2 N N 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008 0 00 - 0 - 0
TESS 2 350 Sep-17 400 Sep-17 May-14 3424 Dec-17 3784 Jun-18 Oct-14 -76 -216 31976 Dec-17 3517 Jun-18 FY16Q2 N N -2 -5 303 910 510 178 -7 -7 - 0 - 0
Currently in B Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) Schedule change Ratio
CLARREO-PF B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C
DART KDP-C in July Mean 13 -13 55 28 1729 115
Europa Clipper 02045454545 Median 17 -06 21 00 17483 0862
GeoCarb Standard Deviation 84 68 88 87 10875 0863
IXPE Minimum -27 -13 00 -72 397 050
Lucy Maximum 20 19 335 335 4527 310
MAIA
PACE
Psyche Paste data from above to this table for analysis
Restore-L -27 -13 2127 - 0 1610 050
SOC Replan Breach notification made DM not yet final -7 -7 - 0 - 0 080
TROPICS -7 -11 - 0 - 0 817 060
XARM -5 -10 307 - 0 867 088
-2 -9 - 0 (717) 2767 310
-2 -8 717 717 086
-1 -3 - 0 (400) 510 058
-1 -9 207 (400) 800 099
-1 -1 3347 3347 2240 205
1 -1 - 0 - 0 397
1 -01 - 0 - 0
2 2 - 0 - 0 1053
2 2 407 1020
2 -3 707 203 2577
1 00 - 0 - 0 2777
4 00 - 0 - 0 1887
3 3 710 403 1167
4 -4 - 0 - 0 1983
4 4 207 (203)
5 5 - 0 - 0 1917
8 6 103 - 0 2733
9 -2 613 - 0 4527
11 4 1320 613 503
11 4 607 - 0
20 19 2437 2437
Timeline Total Programs 46
Begin End Cost data Note Replans have KDP B = previous KDP C for comaprison planned Total Replans 14
2010 Present Total LCC Percent Replans 30
KDP-B KDP-C PresentFinal Breach Totals Statistics (B to C) or (C to Replan) Statistics - PresentFinal
KDP-B (LowMA) KDP-B (HighABC) KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) (MA) (ABC) 72618 20 13 13 9 COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
DIR ProgramProject Nameregdenotes Replan Category Cost LRD Cost LRD Signature Date Cost LRD Cost LRD Notes Signature Date Delta B to C (MA) Delta B to C (ABC) Cost LRD Cost LRD Source Replan Breach (YN) Schedule Breach Cost Breach B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC) C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC)
APD ASTRO-H 3 568 Aug-13 568 Aug-13 May-10 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 595 595 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 9 10 613 613 3450 018 21 34 2127 2530
APD ASTRO-Hreg 3 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 798 Nov-15 839 Mar-16 ABC +532 SEO option in Nov-13 1705 2115 74855 Feb-16 109271 Mar-16 FY17 Q1 Y Y Y Y 21 34 2127 2530 817 310 -7 30 307 - 0
ESD CYGNSS 3 1028 Oct-16 1728 Apr-17 Jul-13 1528 Oct-16 1812 May-17 Feb-14 50 84 159503 Dec-16 159503 Dec-16 FY18 Q3 N N 33 5 - 0 100 800 013 4 -12 203 (503)
JASD DSCOVR 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
928 Jan-15 Aug-13 0 928 928 Jan-15 94 Jan-15 KDP-E Jan-15 N N 0 0 0 1 - 0
x ESD ECOSTRESS 3 485 Aug-17 559 Aug-19 Apr-15 51043 Aug-17 55942 Aug-19 Dec-15 2543 0042 51043 Apr-18 52443 Aug-19 KDP-E May-18 N N 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0 0 0
HEO EGS 1 28119 Dec-17 31213 Mar-18 Feb-13 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 -1784 -3084 27418 Sep-18 28129 Nov-18 FY17 Q1 N N -7 -10 607 817 1923 042 4 00 307 - 0
HEO EGSreg 1 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 3145 Dec-19 3231 Jun-20 Dec-17 5115 4181 31446 Dec-19 31446 Dec-19 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 16 15 1827 1927 3957 049 -0 -27 - 0 (610)
x APD EUCLID 3 105 Dec-14 110 Dec-14 Jan-13 964 May-15 1014 May-16 ABC +44M for Science Center Sep-13 -86 -86 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -9 -8 503 1723 810 213 -1 -5 717 1117
APD EUCLIDreg 3 964 May-15 1454 May-16 Sep-13 179 Mar-17 190 Jun-18 Feb-16 826 446 206214 Mar-20 223452 Mar-20 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 46 31 2233 2537 2943 086 13 176 3653 2130
ESD GEDI 3 1208 May-18 1263 May-18 Aug-15 120774 Jun-18 126253 Mar-19 Jun-16 -0026 -0047 120774 Nov-18 123774 Mar-19 FY18 Q3 N N -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100 -7 -10 607 817
JASD GOES-R 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
108603 Oct-15 Apr-12 0 108603 10150 Nov-16 KDP-E Oct-16 N N 0 0 32 24 1013 1320
HPD GOLD 3 641 Dec-17 744 Dec-17 Feb-15 641 Oct-17 745 Apr-18 Mar-15 0 01 663 Feb-18 73 Apr-18 KDP-E Dec-17 N N 0 0 (203) 403 167 242 5 2 810 307
ESD GPM 2 Not Available 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 911 978 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16 Q1 N N 0 0 -2 -8 717 717
ESD GPMreg 2 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 906 Feb-14 933 Jun-14 Oct-11 -5 -45 8834 Feb-14 8904 Feb-14 FY17 Q3 Y Y Y -1 -5 717 1117 2240 050 -3 -5 - 0 (400)
ESD GRACE-FO 2 404 Aug-17 460 Aug-17 Aug-12 4059 Aug-17 4319 Feb-18 Feb-14 19 -281 4059 May-18 4319 May-18 FY18 Q3 N N 0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032 0 00 910 297
ESD ICESat-2 2 686 Apr-16 776 Nov-16 Aug-11 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 -122 842 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -2 11 813 603 1687 036 10 0 203 - 0
ESD ICESat-2reg 1 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 9915 Oct-17 10635 Jun-18 May-14 3177 2033 10561 Sep-18 10636 Oct-18 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 32 24 1013 1320 1660 080 6 00 1117 407
HPD ICON 2 2177 Oct-16 2485 Jul-17 Jun-14 2294 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 Oct-14 117 42 243 Jun-18 2527 Jun-18 FY18 Q3 N N 5 2 810 307 500 061 6 00 1217 810
PSD InSight 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight
6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 6266 6751 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0 ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE
PSD InSightreg 2 6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 8189 May-18 8289 May-18 Sep-16 1923 1538 8138 May-18 8138 May-18 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 23 23 2637 2637 3050 086 -1 -18 - 0 - 0
HPD IRIS 3 Not Available 1671 Dec-12 1802 Jun-13 Nov-10 1671 1802 1873 Jun-13 1873 Jun-13 FY16 Q1 N N 0 0 11 4 607 - 0
ESD Jason-3 3 158 Apr-14 166 Apr-14 Jul-11 1552 Mar-15 1552 Mar-15 Jan-13 -28 -108 1579 Jul-15 1579 Jan-16 KDP-E Sep-16 N N -2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059 2 2 407 1020
JASD JPSS-1 1 Not Available 1623 Mar-17 Aug-13 0 1623 16235 Mar-17 KDP-D Apr-15 N N 0 0 36 48 2533 2637
x PSD JUICE 3 1034 Sep-19 1185 Sep-19 Apr-16 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 Apr-17 11 85 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 KDP-C Apr-17 N N 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
JWST JWST 1 3117 Aug-11 3117 Aug-11 Jul-03 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 1264 1847 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046 0 0
JWST JWSTreg 1 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 4044 3871 85104 Oct-18 88254 Oct-18 FY16 Q2 Y Y Y Y 48 78 6493 5277 2577 205 1 -01 - 0 - 0
JWST JWSTregreg 1 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 94889 Nov-20 96627 Mar-21 May-18 10639 8277 94889 Nov-20 96627 Mar-21 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 9 2940 8113 036
PSD LADEE 2 1843 May-12 200 May-12 Dec-09 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 516 629 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 22 31 1217 1830 1027 178 26 34 1717 2433
PSD LADEEreg 2 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 2619 Jul-13 2629 Nov-13 May-12 26 0 2738 Sep-13 2738 Sep-13 FY15 Q1 Y N 10 0 203 - 0 1917 - 0 4 4 207 (203)
x ESD Landsat 9 2 851 Dec-20 928 Nov-21 Aug-16 838531 Dec-20 885029 Nov-21 Dec-17 -12469 -42971 8385 Dec-20 885 Nov-21 FY18 Q3 N N -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
STMD LCRD 2 2394 Feb-17 May-13 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 Apr-17 2571 233 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 FY18 Q3 N N 0 9 3343 4770 070 -6 -5 - 0 - 0
ESD LDCMLandsat 8 2 710 Dec-12 800 Dec-12 Sep-09 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 140 142 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 16 18 - 0 607 707 086 -3 -3 - 0 - 0
ESD LDCMLandsat 8reg 2 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 8608 Dec-12 9416 Jun-13 Dec-10 108 -04 85006 Feb-13 85666 Feb-13 FY18 Q3 Y N 1 -0 - 0 - 0 867 - 0 -1 -9 207 (400)
STMD LDSD 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 1896 203 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0 9 13 917 1930
STMD LDSDreg 3 1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 2368 Dec-16 2368 Dec-16 Mar-15 472 338 249 Dec-16 249 Dec-16 FY15 Q4 Y Y Y Y 20 17 1627 1627 2733 060 5 5 - 0 - 0
x PSD Mars 2020 1 2106 Jul-20 2351 Jul-20 May-15 22727 Jul-20 24435 Jul-20 STMDHEOMD added Jun-16 1667 925 23634 Jul-20 25304 Jul-20 FY18 Q3 N N 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0 -2 10 2437 3147
PSD MAVEN 2 Not Available 6382 Nov-13 6712 Nov-13 Oct-10 6382 6712 5753 Nov-13 5753 Nov-13 FY16 Q3 N N 0 0 -11 -14 - 0 - 0
HPD MMS 1 9104 Oct-14 9904 Oct-14 Nov-07 10026 Aug-14 10826 Mar-15 Jun-09 922 922 1098 Mar-15 1098 Mar-15 FY18 Q2 N N 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025 9 1 707 - 0
PSD MOMA 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)MOMA-MS did not have a traditional path of formulation NASArsquos participation on the MOMAinstrument began as a result of a proposal to the Mars Scout 2006 and Mission of OpportunityAnnouncement of Opportunity that proposal was selected for technology development In 2010NASA determined that the original team would not be able to produce a flight instrument onschedule and within acceptable risk NASA decided to bring the instrument technology andflight system development in-house to increase the probability of success The MOMA-MStechnology development effort was assigned to the Goddard Space Flight Center in Fall 2010The Project is entering the typical Life Cycle Review (LCR) process after a tailored PreliminaryDesign Review (PDR) and Key Decision Point (KDP)-C Until the time of KDP-C no formalAgency-level gate reviews were held (lack of KDP-A and KDP-B)
91 Oct-15 101 Oct-15 Apr-14 91 101 120243 Jul-20 128226 Jul-20 FY18 Q3 N N 0 0 24 27 5783 5783
PSD MSL 1 Not Available 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 1474 1613 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
PSD MSLreg 1 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 23185 Oct-11 23943 Nov-11 Apr-10 8445 7813 25176 Nov-11 25304 Nov-11 FY15 Q1 Y Y Y Y 36 48 2533 2637 4527 058 8 6 103 - 0
ESD NICER 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- the mission was selected from an AO and the down select places the project in phase B This was originally below $75 M threshold and no KDP DM were generated to document the cost and schedule

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
624 Aug-16 684 Feb-17 Feb-14 624 684 694 Jun-17 706 Aug-17 KDP-E May-17 N N 0 0 10 3 1013 603
x ESD NISAR 2 7183 Dec-20 8083 Dec-20 Feb-15 7953 Dec-21 8669 Sep-22 Aug-16 77 586 7953 Dec-21 8969 Sep-22 FY18 Q3 N N 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117 0 00346060676 0 0
APD NuSTAR 3 1052 Oct-11 1052 Oct-11 Feb-08 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 554 554 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
APD NuSTARreg 3 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 1606 Nov-11 1606 Feb-12 Aug-10 0 0 115315 Jun-12 115315 Jun-12 FY15 Q1 Y N 0 0 307 103 1167 009 -39 -28 710 403
ESD OCO-2 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild
3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 3259 3499 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
ESD OCO-2reg 2 3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 4377 Jul-14 4677 Feb-15 Jan-13 1118 1178 4245 Jul-14 4245 Jul-14 FY17 Q1 Y Y Y Y 26 34 1717 2433 2767 088 -3 -9 - 0 (717)
x ESD OCO-3 3 1014 Jul-16 1115 Oct-16 Aug-13 1108 Mar-18 1148 May-18 May-16 94 33 113388 Mar-18 113388 May-18 FY18 Q3 N N 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
HEO Orion 1 96425 Sep-21 102886 Mar-22 Jan-13 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 11673 9949 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041 ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE
HEO Orionreg 1 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 116581 Jun-22 116581 Jun-22 Jun-18 8483 3746 116581 Jun-22 116581 Jun-22 FY18 Q3 Y N 7 3 1013 (1013) 3347 030 0 00 - 0 - 0
PSD OSIRIS Rex 1 1085 Oct-16 1210 Oct-16 Apr-13 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 -336 -886 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0
PSD OSIRIS Rexreg 1 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 9959 Oct-16 10642 Oct-16 Mar-14 -555 -572 9975 Sep-16 10532 Sep-16 FY18 Q3 Y N -6 -5 - 0 - 0 1053 - 0 0 -1 (100) (100)
HPD PSP 1 1233 Jul-18 1439 Jul-18 Jan-12 13932 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 Mar-14 1602 1144 13821 Aug-18 15482 Aug-18 FY18 Q3 N N 11 8 103 103 2670 004 -1 -03 - 0 - 0
ESD SAGE III 3 1042 Aug-14 1152 Aug-14 Feb-12 101 Aug-14 112 Aug-14 Jul-12 -32 -32 129364 Feb-17 129364 Feb-17 FY18 Q3 N N -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0 22 16 3050 3050
HEO SGSS 2 5165 Dec-15 6275 Sep-17 Aug-12 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 3155 2351 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
HEO SGSSreg 1 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 11959 Jul-19 12079 Sep-19 Jul-15 3639 3453 1251 Sep-19 1261284 Nov-19 Path Forward APMC Dec 2016 Y Y Y Y 30 40 2840 2740 2777 099 4 4 223 267
HEO SLS 1 7653 Mar-17 8587 Apr-17 Aug-12 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 741 1108 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 FY16 Q1 N N 9 13 917 1930 2433 079 0 00 - 0 - 0
HEO SLSreg 1 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 9734 Dec-19 9843 Jun-20 Dec-17 1340 148 98029 Dec-19 98029 Dec-19 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 14 2 2433 1927 4060 047 1 -04
ESD SMAP 2 5845 May-15 7792 May-15 Jan-10 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 1373 1373 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
ESD SMAPreg 2 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 8744 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 Sep-12 1526 0 8899 Jan-15 8899 Jan-15 FY18 Q3 Y N 17 0 - 0 - 0 397 - 0 2 -3 307 (197)
HPD SOC 2 372 Jan-15 396 Mar-16 Dec-11 3662 Jan-17 4359 Oct-18 Mar-13 -58 399 3433 Feb-20 3866 Feb-20 FY18 Q3 N N -2 10 2437 3147 1610 195 -7 -11 3753 1627
APD SOFIA 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)SOFIA was reformulated because it was cancelled in the 2007 Budget The program went through multiple reviews until 2010 There is a file APMC Oct 6 2010 SOFIA r3 which is the confirmation review Sharedrive path USIDKDP and Other Decision MemosProjectsSOFIA
29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 29476 29551 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
APD SOFIAreg 1 29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 11431 Feb-14 11506 Feb-14 not a KDP Apr-14 -18045 -18045 15874 Feb-14 15949 Feb-14 FY18 Q3 Y N -158 -61 - 0 - 0 139100 - 0
x ESD SWOT 2 647 Oct-20 757 Oct-20 Jun-14 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 May-16 579 -21 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 FY18 Q3 N N 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
ESD TEMPO 3 1708 May-17 2178 Dec-17 Apr-14 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 Apr-15 101 0 181242 Sep-17 197242 Nov-17 FY18 Q3 N N 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008 0 -94 - 0 - 0
APD TESS 2 350 Sep-17 400 Sep-17 May-14 3424 Dec-17 3784 Jun-18 Oct-14 -76 -216 3333 Apr-18 3333 Jun-18 FY18 Q3 N N -2 -5 303 910 510 178 -3 -12 403 - 0
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) Schedule change Ratio
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C
Mean 90 88 50 81 1773 057
02045454545 Median 82 49 10 60 16233 0374
Standard Deviation 118 164 77 97 13962 0647
Minimum -7 -10 -71 -31 147 - 0 SPP
Maximum 38 59 244 345 7433 242 EUCLIDreg
GSDO
ICESat-2reg
Paste data from above to this table for analysis ORION
-7 -10 607 817 1923 042 SLS
-3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0 TEMPO
-2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059
0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032
Total KDPs Within Cost Range of Prior KDP Total KDPs Within Schedule Range of Prior KDP -2 -5 303 910 510 178
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0
MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 14 31 45 31 MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 27 26 53 51 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008
ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 19 33 52 37 ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 21 32 53 40 0 0 (203) 403 167 242
5 2 810 307 500 061
KDP-A to KDP-B Cost KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule 33 5 - 0 100 800 013
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 11 8 103 103 2670 004
KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 4 10 14 29 KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 13 9 22 59 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025
KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 9 12 21 43 KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 12 10 22 55 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041
-2 10 2437 3147 1610 195
9 10 613 613 3450 018
KDP-B to KDP-C Cost KDP-B to KDP-C Schedule -2 11 813 603 1687 036
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 9 13 917 1930 2433 079
MA at or below KDP-B Low 10 21 31 32 MA at or below KDP-B Low 14 17 31 45 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
ABC at or below KDP-B High 10 21 31 32 ABC at or below KDP-B High 9 22 31 29 16 18 - 0 607 707 086
22 31 1217 1830 1027 178
38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
KDP-A to KDP-C Cost KDP-A to KDP-C Schedule 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046
MA at or below KDP-A Low 2 7 9 22 MA at or below KDP-A Low 5 12 17 29 added 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0
ABC at or below KDP-A High 5 11 16 31 ABC at or below KDP-A High 3 14 17 18 added -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100
added 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
added -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
added 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0
added 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117
KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) Replan (MA) Replan (ABC) KDP-C to Replan (MA) KDP-C to Replan (ABC) KDP-C (or Replan) to PresentFinal (MA) KDP-C (or Replan) to PresentFinal (ABC) added 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
added 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
Percentage of Project CostSchedule HighLow Estimates Within Prior KDP Range Estimates
B Estimate at or below A Estimate C Estimate at or below B Estimate C Estimate at or below A Estimate Total at or below Preceding KDP Estimate
Cost - High 43 32 31 37
Cost - Low 29 32 22 31
Schedule - High 55 29 18 40
Schedule - Low 59 45 29 51
Page 9: Cost and Schedule Insights - NASA

bull NASA cost performance has drastically improved since the early 2000rsquos

We are falling short of our portfolio goal of 70 projects hitting cost targets

Our cost and schedule ranges at KDP-A and KDP-B are optimistic and more often than do not capture the eventual high cost or schedule commitments at KDP-C baseline

Development cost reporting metrics can misrepresent how our projects are performing (both positively and negatively) if the LV contract award is well above or below the estimate included in the KDP-C baseline

bull

bull

bull

9

Back-up

10

1111

1212

Total KDPs Within Cost Range of Prior KDPYes No Total Percent At or Below

MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 14 31 45 31ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 19 33 52 37

Total KDPs Within Schedule Range of Prior KDPYes No Total Percent At or Below

MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 27 26 53 51ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 21 32 53 40

KDP-A to KDP-B CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 4 10 14 29KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 9 12 21 43

KDP-A to KDP-B ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 13 9 22 59KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 12 10 22 55

KDP-B to KDP-C CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-B Low 10 21 31 32ABC at or below KDP-B High 10 21 31 32

KDP-B to KDP-C ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-B Low 14 17 31 45ABC at or below KDP-B High 9 22 31 29

KDP-A to KDP-C CostYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-A Low 2 7 9 22ABC at or below KDP-A High 5 11 16 31

KDP-A to KDP-C ScheduleYes No Total Percent At or Below

MA at or below KDP-A Low 5 12 17 29ABC at or below KDP-A High 3 14 17 18

MAIN

KDP-B (LowMA)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO5686275102848528119263351059641208640999999999999949114046866738217762661581034311743818425184323598517108501896210691041474718310521606325899999999999981014964251080981085105140000000000011233104251658327653839458457218372294766471708KDP-C (MA)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO6275798152800000000000015104299999999999926335314596417912077464099999999999994911906405967389915229462668189167115519999999999999114443818425948892359261899999999999988385309999999999525710000000000002850860818962368227269999999999986382000000000000510026911474231856247953160616063258999999999999843771108108098116581105140000000000019959139321018321195900000000000183949734721887443662294761143099999999999970491809KDP-B (HighABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO568627517285593121328129110145412637440000000000000697846077686022485675116611853117496488352002628999999999999892823948009422032351990416138083105216063499111510288611283512101121400000000000114391152627586268587969577929165396295517572178KDP-C (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPO62758389999999999999118129285594228129323110141901262531086037459789334319860210635252767518289180215519999999999999162312749648835966270000000000072628999999999999826289999999999998885029262794294162032368244356712108259999999999991011613239430000000000026840000000000000686691606160634994677114811283511658111214000000000001106421553411286261207900000000000196959843916591654359295511150599999999999975492178

COST ($M)

KDP-C to Replan (MA)595000000000000281704999999999999750000000000000014025429999999999993-178400000000000095115-85999999999999943826-25999999999996248E-200911-518999999999999773-1220000000000004531770000000000005117000000000000176266192299999999999951671-2800000000000011401112644044106389999999999965159999999999999425999999999999972-1246900000000005125710000000000002140107999999999999551896472000000000000171666999999999998263820000000000005922000000000000459114748445624775539999999999999103258999999999999811180000000000001939999999999999151167299999999999384830000000000109-33599999999999909-5550000000000011416020000000000005-3200000000000002831553639000000000000974113401372999999999999515260000000000002-5800000000000011429476-180455789999999999997710099999999999994-76000000000000227KDP-C to Replan (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPOTESS59500000000000028211499999999999918399999999999977392842000000000001592E-2-3084000000000000941809999999999991-8599999999999994344599999999999994-46999999999997044E-210860399999999999994316E-2978-45-281000000000000238420000000000004520329999999999995419999999999998866751153799999999999951802-108000000000000111623851847387182770000000000073628999999999999770-4297100000000000423299999999999983142-039999999999997726203338000000000000119256712921999999999999321011613781300000000000186840000000000000658600000000000023553999999999999910349911780000000000001329999999999999729948999999999996437460000000000036-88599999999999909-5720000000000004511440000000000009-32000000000000028235100000000000023453000000000000711081481372999999999999503989999999999997729551-18045-210000000000002270-21600000000000023

COST Change ($M)

B to C (ABC)ASTRO-HASTRO-HregCYGNSSDSCOVRECOSTRESSEGSEGSregEUCLIDEUCLIDregGEDIGOES-RGOLDGPMGPMregGRACE-FOICESat-2ICESat-2regICONInSightInSightregIRISJason-3JPSS-1JUICEJWSTJWSTregJWSTregregLADEELADEEregLandsat 9LCRDLDCMLandsat 8LDCMLandsat 8regLDSDLDSDregMars 2020MAVENMMSMOMAMSLMSLregNICERNISARNuSTARNuSTARregOCO-2OCO-2regOCO-3OrionOrionregOSIRIS RexOSIRIS RexregPSPSAGE IIISGSSSGSSregSLSSLSregSMAPSMAPregSOCSOFIASOFIAregSWOTTEMPOTESS01047535211267606203370517928286851448611111111110973E-2075077759107650046E-4-98804985102361215E-201486366383447687-7818181818181813E-2030674002751031632-37226838174140057E-4013440860215052999E-30-46012269938650305E-2-61086956521739177E-201085051546391753202363403859567541916901408450704179E-200227818101022070730-65060240963855487E-2071729957805907171E-20592556945781199880779814665592264319368421052631587E-20314499999999999890-4630495689655173E-288694328130947783E-2017749999999999999-42462845010613295E-400166502463054187263934495959166312E-2093093699515347267E-200048437693738375709067597185373168792E-20526615969581748940003366676193198057128745644599303111E-296699259374453242E-233198918775202764E-2-732231404958677E-2-5100766898519711E-279499652536483736E-2-27777777777777801E-203746613545816733204003014143287735301290322580645161315265600825167612E-20176206365503080030010075757575757570-061063923386687424-27818254073387508E-30-54000000000000055E-2

COST Change ()

Cost - HighB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate04285714285714285503225806451612903103125036538461538461536Schedule - HighB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate054545454545454541029032258064516131017647058823529413039622641509433965Cost - LowB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate02857142857142857032258064516129031022222222222222221031111111111111112Schedule - LowB Estimate at or below A EstimateC Estimate at or below B EstimateC Estimate at or below A EstimateTotal at or below Preceding KDP Estimate059090909090909094045161290322580644029411764705882354050943396226415094

Data only (no charts)

plots

program table

A to B

A to B Cost

High Cost Estimate Change

KDP-A to KDP-B

Category 1 Change (high)01682251932581422Category 2 Change (high)60501935980863335E-2Category 3 Change (high)37110484780157868E-2Total Change (high)014626442296281486

Low Cost Estimate Change

KDP-A to KDP-B

Category 1 Change (low)010106870229007633Category 2 Change (low)19806591564406897Category 3 Change (low)0Total Change (low)21873131670301591

A to B Schedule

KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule Growth - Low Estimate

(in months)

MissionRestore-LSLSPACEWFIRSTOCO-3PSPLCRDEuclidGRACE-FOMars 2020SAGE-IIISWOTLADEEDARTNISARJASON-3MMSECOSTRESSSMAPXARMSOCOrion0-9-49-2-1-100000200912326273242

KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule Growth - High Estimate

(in months)

MissionRestore-LSLSPACEWFIRSTOCO-3PSPLCRDEuclidGRACE-FOMars 2020SAGE-IIISWOTLADEEDARTNISARJASON-3MMSECOSTRESSSMAPXARMSOCOrion-36-8-8-3-2-1-1000002569121726414451

image1png

image2png

image3png

image4png

Cost Variation Against Baselines

13

Methodology and Assumptions

The first step in conducting this analysis was to verify and validate the cost baseline information using source documentation KDP-C figures takes priority as the definitive baseline Where KDP-C decision memoranda was not available as in the case of many projects baselined prior to approximately 2009 figures were pulled from the first appearance as a development project in a Presidentrsquos Budget as the baseline against which to measure In a few cases notificationsreports to Congress (eg NSPD-49 reports) were used to identify a baseline figure MA figures were pulled solely from decision memoranda and thus our dataset with regard to MArsquos is smaller as it excludes many of the older projects that did not have standardized baseline documentation with MArsquos noted Variance to the baseline was then measured by using the most recent quarterly cost and schedule report Latest cost data is valid through the FY18 Q3 reporting period Slide 3 charts illustrate each project in the dataset with respective LCC and dev cost variances

The confidence level policy applied to each project was noted using source documentation as well as a cross-reference against when policy changes were implemented recognizing that a subset of projects received waivers to new policies during policy transition Certain exclusions were applied to ensure a dataset comparable across projects For example SOFIA had conducted a JCL on a replan but the decision memorandum made clear the baseline was not changing therefore the JCL confidence level could not fairly be applied to measure performance against the baseline Another example is GPM which was excluded as it was one of the very first projects baselined after JCL policy implementation and was not a ldquotruerdquo JCL with the decision memorandum noting that the intent was met while a JCL DPMC would be held many months later to evaluate progress There were a couple of additional exclusions applied

When a project is confirmed at KDP-C cost performance measurements were applied to that baseline If a project was then rebaselined a ldquonewrdquo project was added to the dataset using the rebaselined figures against which to measure as the Agency made the decision at that point to press ahead with the project and Congress provided reauthorization The ldquooriginalrdquo project was ldquofrozenrdquo in terms of development phase to fairly capture the contemporary phase performance (eg the ldquooriginalrdquo OCO-2 cost growth will always be categorized within the ldquoprojects in developmentrdquo performance category while the rebaselined OCO-2 cost performance falls into the ldquoprojects launchedrdquo category) The latest cost figures however were used to measure cost performance across both original baselines and rebaselines in order to fairly capture the accuracy of original estimates against final outcomes

This insight while placing an emphasis on the JCL while measuring performance does not intend to convey a discovered causal relationship between JCL and cost performance There have been many other related programmatic and technical advancements over the past 10 to 20 years that have influenced cost and schedule performance in the overall positive direction Other insights look into other influencers of costschedule performance

13

Dev Cost Metrics Controlling for LV Cost Variation

14

Methodology and Assumptions

SID pulled a number of data elements from a total of 22 SMD projects to conduct this analysis Data elements from a projectrsquos baseline include total development cost and the launch services cost estimate and have been sourced from KDP documentation quarterly reports and Cost Analysis Data Requirements (CADREs) These data were compared to currentactual total development and launch services costs from the most recent KDPquarterly reports Other data elements include Division Lead Center type of launch vehicle LCC category and current phase

SID calculated the overall development cost deltas from the baseline cost and verified the percentage growth with external reporting data where applicable SID then calculated the percent change in launch services development cost from baseline to currentactual The development cost percent change was calculated after removing launch services from the inputs

For further insight these same calculations were conducted by Division Lead Center type of launch vehicle and LCC category Division Lead Center and LCC category were then further broken down by looking only at projects currently in development

The 22 projects used in this analysis include Mars 2020 ICESat-2 ICON InSight SOC PSP SWOT TESS Juno Landsat-8 MMS OSIRIS-REx SMAP MAVEN GRAIL NuSTAR RBSP IRIS LADEE OCO-2 CYGNSS and Landsat 9 Representation includes seven planetary science seven earth science six heliophysics and two astrophysics missions twelve GSFC-led projects and eight JPL-led projects (LaRC and ARC representing the other two) ten Atlas V one Delta IV-H two Falcon 9 four Delta II four Pegasus and one Minotaur V rockets and six category 1 thirteen category 2 and three category 3 projects Seven projects assessed are currently in development

Other projects considered were excluded if launch was or is to be on a ride-share and launch services costs were negligible (eg RBI) Projects launching on internationally-contributed rockets were also excluded (eg GPM JWST) Other exclusions were based on data limitations at the time of analysis (eg no launch services costs available from baseline)

Did not add GPM international launchSOFIA no launchJWST international launch

RBI rideshareSentinel-6 international launch

Dawn no launch vehicle numbers availableSNPP No baseline LV estimate available

NISAR international launchLCRD rideshare

GRACE-FO rideshare

14

Sheet1

LV Percent ChangeJunoRBSPGRAILMMSNuSTARLandsat-8LADEEMAVENIRISSMAPSOCOSIRIS-RExCYGNSSInSightPSPICESat-2ICONTESSSWOTMars 2020Landsat 9-45693277310924457E-2-89820359281436273E-3-13089005235602092E-2-79299691040164669E-2-72625698324022187E-2-36392405063291208E-2036117381489841988-01759358288770053754455445544554525E-2-894617134192571E-2-030924586177798574-01931623931623931101912045889101338753833646028768001E-2-12694541231126538E-2-39142073098874007E-336848699240916792E-2-023399649430324276-017936024371667944-030075113341448961-12953367875648773E-3

Sheet2

Formulation KDPs

15

Methodology and Assumptions

Comparative analysis was conducted where possible (ie when highlow costschedule figures were available in KDP-ABC decision memoranda This analysis does not attempt to explain why the majority of costschedule estimates at KDPrsquos exceed prior estimates

Cost and schedule ranges were extracted from KDP-A and KDP-B decision memoranda Agency Baseline Commitments and Management Agreements were extracted from KDP-C decision memoranda Lifecycle cost was used in all cases (as opposed to development cost only) A project did not need to have all KDP-A through C figures to be included in the analysis (eg a project that did not have a KDP-A range was still included in the KDP-B to KDP-C statistics)

This analysis includes data from KDP-A KDP-B and KDP-C milestones At KDP-A and KDP-B a high and low estimate is established for both cost and schedule At KDP-C a Management Agreement and an Agency Baseline Commitment is established for both cost and schedule For ease of conveyance this analysis equates the Management Agreement as the low estimate for KDP-C and equates the Agency Baselines Commitment as the high estimate for KDP-C

15

  • PRESENTATION COVER - Cost and Schedule Insights
  • Todayrsquos Discussion
  • LCC and Development Cost Metrics Against Baseline
  • LCC and Dev Cost Metrics Against Baseline
  • 70 Joint Cost and Schedule Confidence Are we meeting the expected 70 success rate across the portfolio
  • Formulation Cost and Schedule Ranges Are we capturing the Agencyrsquos cost exposure in early estimates
  • Development Cost Metrics When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation
  • Development Cost Performance When Controlling for Launch Vehicle Cost Variation How would our development cost reporting metrics change
  • NASA cost performance hashellip
  • Back-up
  • Bar Graph
  • Tables
  • Cost Variation Against Baselines Methodology and Assumptions
  • Dev Cost Metrics Controlling for LV Cost Variation Methodology and Assumptions
  • Formulation KDPs Methodology and Assumptions
Column1 KDP-C Date Lead Center Division Launch Vehicle LCC Category Phase Development Baseline Development CurrentActuals LV Estimate at Baseline LV CurrentActuals Development Baseline less LV Estimates Development CurrentActuals less LV Actuals Development Percent Change LV Percent Change Development Percent Change less LV Notes
Juno Aug-08 JPL Planetary Atlas V 1 Ops $ 7423 $ 7089 $ 1904 $ 1817 $ 5519 $ 5272 -45 -46 -45
RBSP Dec-08 GSFC Helio Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5338 $ 5040 $ 1336 $ 1324 $ 4002 $ 3716 -56 -09 -71
GRAIL Jan-09 JPL Planetary Delta II 2 Ops $ 4270 $ 3983 $ 1528 $ 1508 $ 2742 $ 2475 -67 -13 -97
MMS Jun-09 GSFC Helio Atlas V 1 Ops $ 8573 $ 8753 $ 1942 $ 1788 $ 6631 $ 6965 21 -79 50
NuSTAR Sep-09 JPL Astro Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1099 $ 1162 $ 358 $ 332 $ 741 $ 830 57 -73 120
Landsat-8 Dec-09 GSFC Earth Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5830 $ 5028 $ 1264 $ 1218 $ 4566 $ 3810 -138 -36 -166
LADEE Aug-10 ARC Planetary Minotaur V 2 Ops $ 1682 $ 1882 $ 443 $ 603 $ 1239 $ 1279 119 361 32
OCO-2 Sep-10 JPL Earth Delta II 2 Ops $ 2490 $ 3200 $ 676 $ 1368 $ 1814 $ 1832 285 1024 10 against original baseline rebaseline primary LV-driven aside from some RWA issues
MAVEN Oct-10 GSFC Planetary Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5672 $ 4720 $ 1870 $ 1541 $ 3802 $ 3179 -168 -176 -164
IRIS Nov-10 GSFC Helio Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1407 $ 1430 $ 404 $ 426 $ 1003 $ 1004 16 54 01
SMAP May-12 JPL Earth Delta II 2 Ops $ 4857 $ 4543 $ 1319 $ 1201 $ 3538 $ 3342 -65 -89 -55
SOC Mar-13 GSFC Helio Atlas V 2 Dev $ 3769 $ 3100 $ 2500 $ 1727 $ 1269 $ 1373 -178 -309 82
OSIRIS-REx May-13 GSFC Planetary Atlas V 1 Ops $ 7786 $ 6156 $ 2340 $ 1888 $ 5446 $ 4268 -209 -193 -216
CYGNSS Feb-14 LaRC Earth Pegasus 3 Ops $ 1511 $ 1287 $ 523 $ 623 $ 988 $ 664 -148 191 -328
InSight Mar-14 JPL Planetary Atlas V 2 Ops $ 5418 $ 6483 $ 1599 $ 1685 $ 3819 $ 4798 197 54 256
PSP Mar-14 GSFC Helio Delta IV-H 1 Dev $ 10557 $ 10503 $ 4305 $ 4250 $ 6252 $ 6253 -05 -13 00
ICESat-2 May-14 GSFC Earth Delta II 1 Dev $ 7637 $ 7441 $ 1188 $ 1183 $ 6449 $ 6258 -26 -04 -30
ICON Oct-14 GSFC Helio Pegasus 2 Dev $ 1960 $ 1982 $ 543 $ 563 $ 1417 $ 1419 11 37 01
TESS Oct-14 GSFC Astro Falcon 9 2 Ops $ 3232 $ 2799 $ 1141 $ 874 $ 2091 $ 1925 -134 -234 -79
SWOT May-16 JPL Earth Falcon 9 2 Dev $ 5715 $ 5715 $ 1313 $ 1078 $ 4402 $ 4638 00 -179 53
Mars 2020 Jun-16 JPL Planetary Atlas V 1 Dev $ 16769 $ 17253 $ 3425 $ 2395 $ 13344 $ 14858 29 -301 113
Landsat 9 Dec-17 GSFC Earth Atlas V 2 Dev $ 6342 $ 6342 $ 1544 $ 1542 $ 4798 $ 4800 00 -01 00
Projects in Development $ 52749 $ 52336 $ 14819 $ 12738 $ 37930 $ 39598 -08 -140 44
Projects in Operations $ 66588 $ 63555 $ 18647 $ 18196 $ 47941 $ 45359 -46 -24 -54
Total $ 119337 $ 115891 $ 33466 $ 30935 $ 85871 $ 84956 -29 -76 -11
Development Baseline Development CurrentActuals LV Estimate at Baseline LV CurrentActuals Development Baseline less LV Estimates Development CurrentActuals less LV Actuals Development Percent Change LV Percent Change Development Percent Change less LV
GSFC Project Total $ 68103 $ 63294 $ 20377 $ 18325 $ 47726 $ 44969 -71 -101 -58
JPL Projects Total $ 48041 $ 49428 $ 12122 $ 11384 $ 35919 $ 38044 29 -61 59
Did not add GPM international launch GSFC Projects in Ops $ 37838 $ 33926 $ 10297 $ 9059 $ 27541 $ 24867 -103 -120 -97
SOFIA no launch JPL Projects in Ops $ 25557 $ 26460 $ 7384 $ 7911 $ 18173 $ 18549 35 71 21
JWST international launch GSFC Projects in Dev $ 30265 $ 29368 $ 10080 $ 9266 $ 20185 $ 20102 -30 -81 -04
RBI rideshare JPL Projects in Dev $ 22484 $ 22968 $ 4738 $ 3473 $ 17746 $ 19495 22 -267 99
Sentinel-6 international launch
Dawn no launch vehicle numbers available Astro $ 4331 $ 3961 $ 1499 $ 1206 $ 2832 $ 2755 -85 -195 -27
SNPP No baseline LV estimate available Planetary $ 49020 $ 47566 $ 13109 $ 11437 $ 35911 $ 36129 -30 -128 06
NISAR international launch Helio $ 31604 $ 30808 $ 11030 $ 10078 $ 20574 $ 20730 -25 -86 08
LCRD rideshare Earth $ 34382 $ 33556 $ 7827 $ 8213 $ 26555 $ 25343 -24 49 -46
GRACE-FO rideshare
Astro - Dev Only $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0
Planetary - Dev Only $ 16769 $ 17253 $ 3425 $ 2395 $ 13344 $ 14858 29 -301 113
Helio - Dev Only $ 16286 $ 15585 $ 7348 $ 6540 $ 8938 $ 9045 -43 -110 12
Earth - Dev Only $ 19694 $ 19498 $ 4045 $ 3803 $ 15649 $ 15695 -10 -60 03
Atlas V $ 72920 $ 69964 $ 19725 $ 16926 $ 53195 $ 53038 -41 -142 -03
Delta IV-H $ 10557 $ 10503 $ 4305 $ 4250 $ 6252 $ 6253 -05 -13 00
Falcon 9 $ 8947 $ 8514 $ 2454 $ 1952 $ 6493 $ 6562 -48 -205 11
Delta II $ 19254 $ 19167 $ 4711 $ 5260 $ 14543 $ 13907 -05 117 -44 this is skewed by OCO-2 which switched from the baseline Taurus XL to the Delta-II at the rebaseline
Pegasus $ 5977 $ 5861 $ 1828 $ 1944 $ 4149 $ 3917 -19 63 -56
Minotaur V $ 1682 $ 1882 $ 443 $ 603 $ 1239 $ 1279 119 361 32
Category 1 $ 58745 $ 57195 $ 15104 $ 13322 $ 43641 $ 43873 -26 -118 05
Category 2 $ 56575 $ 54817 $ 17076 $ 16232 $ 39499 $ 38585 -31 -49 -23
Category 3 $ 4017 $ 3879 $ 1285 $ 1381 $ 2732 $ 2498 -34 75 -86
Category 1 - Dev Only $ 34963 $ 35197 $ 8918 $ 7829 $ 26045 $ 27368 07 -122 51
Category 2 - Dev Only $ 17786 $ 17139 $ 5900 $ 4909 $ 11886 $ 12230 -36 -168 29
Category 3 - Dev Only $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0 ERRORDIV0
LV of Total Dev at Baseline 280
LV of Total Dev at FY18 Q3 267
Launch Vehicle Percent Cost Variation from Baseline Estimate in Chronological Order
Mission LCC Category KDP-A (low) KDP-A (high) KDP-B (low) KDP-B (high) Low Delta (months) High Delta (months) KDP-C MA MA Variance from A KDP-C ABC ABC Variance from A
Restore-L 2 Jun-20 Dec-23 Jun-20 Dec-20 0 -36
SLS 1 Dec-17 Dec-17 Mar-17 Apr-17 -9 -8 Dec-17 0 Nov-18 11
PACE 2 Dec-22 Dec-23 Aug-22 Apr-23 -4 -8
WFIRST 1 Dec-24 Dec-26 Sep-25 Sep-26 9 -3
OCO-3 3 Sep-16 Dec-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 -2 -2 Mar-18 18 May-18 17
PSP 1 Aug-18 Aug-18 Jul-18 Jul-18 -1 -1 Aug-18 0 Aug-18 0
LCRD 2 Mar-17 Mar-17 Feb-17 Feb-17 -1 -1 Jun-19 27 Nov-19 32
Euclid 3 Dec-14 Dec-14 Dec-14 Dec-14 0 0 May-15 5 May-16 17
GRACE-FO 2 Aug-17 Aug-17 Aug-17 Aug-17 0 0 Aug-17 0 Feb-18 6
Mars 2020 1 Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20 Jul-20 0 0 Jul-20 0 Jul-20 0
SAGE-III 3 Aug-14 Aug-14 Aug-14 Aug-14 0 0 Aug-14 0 Aug-14 0
SWOT 2 Oct-20 Oct-20 Oct-20 Oct-20 0 0 Apr-21 6 Apr-22 18
LADEE 3 Mar-12 Mar-12 May-12 May-12 2 2 May-13 14 Nov-13 20
DART 2 Dec-20 Dec-20 Dec-20 May-21 0 5 KDP-BC was combined due to advanced design maturity so B highlow here is equal to ABCMA
NISAR 2 Dec-20 Dec-21 Dec-20 Jun-22 0 6 Dec-21 12 Sep-22 9
JASON-3 3 Jul-13 Jul-13 Apr-14 Apr-14 9 9 Mar-15 20 Mar-15 20
MMS 1 Oct-13 Oct-13 Oct-14 Oct-14 12 12 Aug-14 10 Mar-15 17
ECOSTRESS 3 May-17 Mar-18 Aug-17 Aug-19 3 17 Aug-17 3 Aug-19 17
SMAP 2 Mar-13 Mar-13 May-15 May-15 26 26 Oct-14 19 Mar-15 24
XARM 3 Oct-19 Oct-19 Jan-22 Mar-23 27 41
SOC 2 Apr-15 Apr-15 Dec-17 Dec-18 32 44 Jan-17 21 Oct-18 42
Orion 1 Dec-17 Dec-17 Jun-21 Mar-22 42 51 Aug-21 44 Apr-23 64
MAIA 3 NA NA Dec-19 Mar-21 NA NA
ICON 3 NA NA Feb-17 Jun-17 NA NA
GOLD 3 NA NA Dec-17 Dec-17 NA NA
GeoCarb 3 NA NA Jun-22 Jun-23 NA NA
IXPE 3 NA NA Dec-20 Dec-20 NA NA
Landsat 9 2 NA NA Dec-20 Nov-21 NA NA
Lucy 2 NA NA Oct-21 Nov-21 NA NA
TROPICS 3 NA NA Sep-19 Sep-20 NA NA
JUICE 3 NA NA Sep-19 Sep-19 NA NA
Psyche 2 NA NA Aug-22 Aug-22 NA NA
Clipper 1 NA NA Jun-22 Jul-23 NA NA removed Clipper from schedule calculations due to no KDP-A schedule estimate
CLARREO-PF 3 Jan-20 Jan-22
COST Growth () Schedule Growth (months)
of Pp (LowMA) (HighABC) (LowMA) (HighABC)
Category I 7 62 165 88 85
Category II 12 38 109 59 40
Category III 15 - -07 56 96
COST Growth () Schedule Growth (months)
(LowMA) (HighABC) (LowMA) (HighABC)
Average 80 118 66 70
Median 15 - 00 00
Standard Deviation 145 233 129 189
Minimum -12 -65 -9 -36
Maximum 417 745 42 51
Mission LCC Category KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta2 Change (low) Notes KDP-C MA KDP-C ABC MA Variance From A ABC Variance From A
Clipper 1 $ 4000 $ 4000 $ - 0 00 $ 3000 $ 3100 $ 100 33
DART 2 $ 270 $ 291 $ 21 78 $ 175 $ 248 $ 73 417
Euclid 3 $ 110 $ 110 $ - 0 00 $ 100 $ 100 $ - 0 00 Combined KDP-AB so no possible change 964 1014 -4 -8
GRACE-FO 2 $ 470 $ 460 $ (10) -21 $ 409 $ 404 $ (5) -12 4059 4319 -1 -8
JASON-3 3 $ 159 $ 166 $ 7 44 $ - 0 $ 158 1552 1552 -2
LADEE 3 $ 214 $ 200 $ (14) -65 $ - 0 $ 184 2359 2629 23
LCRD 2 $ 239 $ 239 $ 0 02 $ 239 $ 239 $ 0 02 2571 2627 8 10
Mars 2020 1 $ 2350 $ 2351 $ 1 00 $ 2140 $ 2186 $ 46 21 22727 24435 6 4
MMS 1 $ 777 $ 990 $ 213 275 $ 777 $ 928 $ 151 195 10026 10826 29 39
NISAR 2 $ 808 $ 808 $ - 0 00 $ 718 $ 718 $ - 0 00 7953 8669 11 7
OCO-3 3 $ 120 $ 111 $ (9) -71 $ 100 $ 101 $ 1 13 1108 1148 11 -4
Orion 1 $ 6391 $ 10288 $ 3897 610 $ - 0 $ 8534 Moved LRD from EM-1 to EM-2 extending LCC timeframe 108098 112835 77
PACE 2 $ 850 $ 850 $ - 0 00 $ 805 $ 805 $ - 0 00
PSP 1 $ 1300 $ 1439 $ 139 107 $ 1000 $ 1233 $ 233 233 13932 15534 39 19
Restore-L 2 $ 787 $ 753 $ (34) -43 $ 500 $ 628 $ 128 256
SAGE-III 3 $ 112 $ 115 $ 3 27 $ - 0 $ 104 101 112 0
SLS 1 $ 8855 $ 8587 $ (268) -30 $ - 0 $ 7653 8394 9695 9
SMAP 2 $ 514 $ 649 $ 135 263 $ - 0 $ - 0 $ - 0 7218 9165 78
SOC 2 $ 243 $ 424 $ 181 745 $ - 0 $ 371 3662 4359 79
SWOT 2 $ 752 $ 757 $ 5 07 $ 642 $ 647 $ 5 08 7049 7549 10 0
XARM 3 $ 172 $ 217 $ 45 264 $ 161 $ 179 $ 18 110
Count KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta Change (low) Notes
Category 1 6 $ 23673 $ 27655 $ 3982 168 $ 3275 $ 3606 $ 331 101
Category 2 9 $ 4933 $ 5231 $ 298 61 $ 4474 $ 13335 $ 8861 1981
Category 3 6 $ 887 $ 920 $ 33 37 $ - 0 $ 7757 $ 7757 ERRORDIV0
Total 21 $ 29493 $ 33807 $ 4314 146 $ 7749 $ 24698 $ 16949 2187
Mission LCC Category KDP-A High KDP-B High Delta Change (high) KDP-A Low KDP-B Low Delta2 Change (low) Notes
CLARREO-PF 3 $ 75 $ (75) -1000 $ 64
ICON 3 $ 249 $ 218
ECOSTRESS 3 $ 56 $ 49
GeoCarb 3 $ 181 $ 171
GOLD 3 $ 74 $ 64
IXPE 3 $ 205 $ 189
JUICE 3 $ 119 $ 103
Landsat 9 2 $ 928 $ 851 KDP-BC was combined due to advanced design maturity so B highlow here is equal to ABCMA
Lucy 2 $ 984 $ 914
Psyche 2 $ 957 $ 907
TROPICS 3 $ 30 $ 30
MAIA 3 $ 178 $ 150
Cost Estimate Deltas - KDP-A to KDP-B COST Growth ()
Mission Estimate KDP-A KDP-B Notes of Pp Low (MA) High (ABC)
SOC High $ 243 745 $ 424 Category I 4 127 172
Low $ - 0 $ 371 Category II 5 -01 199
Orion High $ 6391 610 $ 10288 Moved LRD from EM-1 to EM-2 extending LCC timeframe Category III 4 00 01
Low $ - 0 $ 8534
SMAP High $ 514 263 $ 649
Low $ - 0 $ - 0
SPP High $ 1300 107 $ 1439
Low $ 1000 233 $ 1233
JASON-3 High $ 159 44 $ 166
Low $ - 0 $ 158
SAGE-III High $ 112 27 $ 115
Low $ - 0 $ 104
SWOT High $ 752 07 $ 757
Low $ 642 08 $ 647
Mars 2020 High $ 2350 00 $ 2351
Low $ 2140 21 $ 2186
NISAR High $ 808 00 $ 808
Low $ 718 00 $ 718
Euclid High $ 110 00 $ 110 Combined KDP-AB so no change possible
Low $ 100 00 $ 100
GRACE Follow On High $ 470 -21 $ 460
Low $ 409 -12 $ 404
SLS High $ 8855 -30 $ 8587
Low $ - 0 $ 7653
LADEE High $ 214 -65 $ 200
Low $ - 0 $ 184
ProgramProject Name Category KDP A to B analysis (13 missions)
ASTRO-H 3 ASTRO-Hreg 3 bull13 Missions KDP-B Data Unavailable
CYGNSS 3 CYGNSS 3 bull7 Missions KDP-Crsquos have not yet occurred
DSCOVR 3 DSCOVR 3
C ECOSTRESS 3 ECOSTRESS 3
EUCLID 3 EUCLIDreg 3 Euclid
C GEDI 3 GEDI 3
GOES-R 1 GOES-R 1
GOLD 3 GOLD 3
GPM 2 GPM 2
GRACE-FO 2 GRACE-FO 2 GRACE Follow On
GSDO 1 GSDO 1
ICESat-2 1 ICESat-2reg 1
ICON 2 ICON 2
InSight 2 InSight 2
IRIS 3 IRIS 3
Jason-3 3 Jason-3 3 JASON-3
JPSS-1 1 JPSS-1 1
JWST 1 JWSTreg 1
LADEE 2 LADEEreg 2 LADEE
C LCRD 3 LCRD 3
LDCM 2 LDCMreg 2
LDSD 3 LDSD 3
C Mars 2020 1 Mars 2020 1 Mars 2020
MAVEN 2 MAVEN 2
MMS 1 MMS 1
MOMA 3 MOMA 3
MSL 1 MSL 1
NICER 3 NICER 3
C NISAR 2 NISAR 2 NISAR
NuSTAR 3 NuSTARreg 3
OCO-2 2 OCO-2 2
C OCO-3 3 OCO-3 3
ORION 1 ORION 1 Orion
OSIRIS Rex 1 OSIRIS Rexreg 1
SAGE III 3 SAGE III 3 SAGE-III
SGSS 1 SGSSreg 1
SLS 1 SLS 1 SLS
SMAP 2 SMAPreg 2 SMAP
SOC 2 SOC 2 SOC
SOFIA 1 SOFIA 1
PSP 1 PSP 1 PSP
C SWOT 2 SWOT 2 SWOT
TEMPO 3 TEMPO 3
TESS 2 TESS 2
Clipper
DART
PACE
Restore-L
XARM
Statistics COST Growth ($M) Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Average 9 9 43 61 136 070
Median 5 6 20 45 112 034
Standard Deviation 14 16 73 83 93 081
Variance 2 3 535 685 871 066
Minimum -9 -8 (71) (31) 15 - 0
Maximum 38 53 244 315 345 242
no JWST
Statistics
COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 18 17 118 131 1989 065
Median 20 17 101 132 19167 0582
Standard Deviation 16 19 105 117 11557 0830
Sample Variance 3 4 1101 1377 133562 0688
Minimum -6 -5 - 0 - 0 397 - 0
Maximum 46 48 284 274 4527 310
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 20 21 156 159 2031 075
Median 21 20 132 147 20783 0589
Standard Deviation 17 25 174 155 11214 0881
Sample Variance 3 6 3035 2394 125751 0776
Minimum -6 -5 00 00 40 - 0
Maximum 48 78 649 528 453 31
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months)
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio
Mean 4 3 47 136 253 054
Median 9 9 61 132 24333 042
Standard Deviation 10 12 52 56 6657 022
Sample Variance 1 1 273 311 44310 005
Minimum -7 -11 (10) 82 1923 041
Maximum 11 11 92 193 3243 079
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
of Pp B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC)
Category I 6 4 4 22 78
Category II 9 8 13 71 83
Category III 8 6 11 28 52
Timeline Total Programs 46
Begin End Cost data Note Replans have KDP B = previous KDB C for comaprison planned Total Replans 14
2010 Present Total LCC Percent Replans 30
KDP-B KDP-C PresentFinal Breach Totals Statistics (B to C) or (C to Replan) Statictics - PresentFinal
KDP-B (LowMA) KDP-B (HighABC) KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) (MA) (ABC) 41416 14 9 9 8 COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
DIR ProgramProject Nameregdenotes Replan Category Cost LRD Cost LRD Signature Date Cost LRD Cost LRD Notes Signature Date Delta B to C (MA) Delta B to C (ABC) Cost LRD Cost LRD Source Replan Breach (YN) Schedule Breach Cost Breach B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC) C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC)
ASTRO-H 3 568 Aug-13 568 Aug-13 May-10 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 595 595 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 9 10 613 613 3450 018 21 34 2127 2530
ASTRO-Hreg 3 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 798 Nov-15 839 Mar-16 ABC +532 SEO option in Nov-13 1705 2115 758 Feb-16 759 Mar-16 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 21 34 2127 2530 817 310 -5 -10 307 - 0
CYGNSS 3 1028 Oct-16 1728 Apr-17 Jul-13 1528 Oct-16 1812 May-17 Feb-14 50 84 1595 Oct-16 1742 May-17 FY16Q2 N N 33 5 - 0 100 800 013 4 -4 - 0 - 0
JASD DSCOVR 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
928 Jan-15 Aug-13 0 928 928 Jan-15 94 Jan-15 KDP-E Jan-15 N N 0 0 0 1 - 0
ECOSTRESS 3 485 Aug-17 559 Aug-19 Apr-15 51043 Aug-17 55942 Aug-19 Dec-15 2543 0042 N N 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0 0 0
EUCLID 3 105 Dec-14 110 Dec-14 Jan-13 964 May-15 1014 May-16 ABC +44M for Science Center Sep-13 -86 -86 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -9 -8 503 1723 810 213 -1 -5 717 1117
EUCLIDreg 3 964 May-15 1454 May-16 Sep-13 179 Mar-17 190 Jun-18 Feb-16 826 446 179 Dec-21 190 Dec-22 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 46 31 2233 2537 2943 086 0 00 5787 5480
GEDI 3 1208 May-18 1263 May-18 Aug-15 120774 Jun-18 126253 Mar-19 Jun-16 -0026 -0047 N N -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100 -7 -10 607 817
JASD GOES-R 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
108603 Oct-15 Apr-12 0 108603 108295 Oct-16 kDP-D Sep-14 N N 0 0 32 24 1013 1320
GOLD 3 641 Dec-17 744 Dec-17 Feb-15 641 Oct-17 745 Apr-18 Mar-15 0 01 N N 0 0 (203) 403 167 242 5 2 810 307
GPM 2 Not Available 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 911 978 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 -2 -8 717 717
GPMreg 2 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 906 Feb-14 933 Jun-14 Oct-11 -5 -45 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16Q2 Y Y Y -1 -5 717 1117 2240 050 -1 -3 - 0 (400)
GRACE-FO 2 404 Aug-17 460 Aug-17 Aug-12 4059 Aug-17 4319 Feb-18 Feb-14 19 -281 4079 Aug-17 4318 Feb-18 FY16Q2 N N 0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032 0 -00 - 0 - 0
ESD GSDO 1 28119 Dec-17 31213 Mar-18 Feb-13 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 -1784 -3084 26336 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 FY16Q2 N N -7 -10 607 817 1923 042 0 00 - 0 - 0
ICESat-2 2 686 Apr-16 776 Nov-16 Aug-11 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 -122 842 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -2 11 813 603 1687 036 10 0 203 - 0
ICESat-2reg 1 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 9915 Oct-17 10635 Jun-18 May-14 3177 2033 9916 Oct-17 10636 Jun-18 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 32 24 1013 1320 1660 080 0 00 - 0 - 0
ICON 2 2177 Oct-16 2485 Jul-17 Jun-14 2294 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 Oct-14 117 42 232 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 FY16Q2 N N 5 2 810 307 500 061 1 00 - 0 - 0
Planetary InSight 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 6266 6751 6536 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 FY16Q2 N N 0 0 4 00 - 0 - 0
IRIS 3 Not Available 1671 Dec-12 1802 Jun-13 Nov-10 1671 1802 1873 Jun-13 1873 Jun-13 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 11 4 607 - 0
Jason-3 3 158 Apr-14 166 Apr-14 Jul-11 1552 Mar-15 1552 Mar-15 Jan-13 -28 -108 1579 Jul-15 1579 Jan-16 KDP-E draft N N -2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059 2 2 407 1020
JASD JPSS-1 1 Not Available 1623 Mar-17 Aug-13 0 1623 16235 Mar-17 KDP-D Apr-15 N N 0 0 36 48 2533 2637
JUICE 3 1034 Sep-19 1185 Sep-19 Apr-16 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 Apr-17 11 85 N N 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
JWST JWST 1 3117 Aug-11 3117 Aug-11 Jul-03 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 1264 1847 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046 0 0
JWSTreg 1 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 4044 3871 85104 Oct-18 88254 Oct-18 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 48 78 6493 5277 2577 205 1 -01 - 0 - 0
LADEE 2 1843 May-12 200 May-12 Dec-09 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 516 629 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 22 31 1217 1830 1027 178 26 34 1717 2433
LADEEreg 2 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 2619 Jul-13 2629 Nov-13 May-12 26 0 2738 Sep-13 2738 Sep-13 FY15Q1 Y N 10 0 203 - 0 1917 - 0 4 4 207 (203)
Landsat 9 2 851 Dec-20 928 Nov-21 Aug-16 838531 Dec-20 885029 Nov-21 Dec-17 -12469 -42971 N N -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
LCRD 2 2394 Feb-17 May-13 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 Apr-17 2571 233 N N 0 9 3343 4770 070 -6 -5 - 0 - 0
LDCM 2 710 Dec-12 800 Dec-12 Sep-09 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 140 142 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 16 18 - 0 607 707 086 -3 -3 - 0 - 0
LDCMreg 2 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 8608 Dec-12 9416 Jun-13 Dec-10 108 -04 8501 Feb-13 8568 Feb-13 FY15Q4 Y N 1 -0 - 0 - 0 867 - 0 -1 -9 207 (400)
STMD LDSD 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project
1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 1896 203 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0 9 13 917 1930
STMD LDSDreg 3 1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 2368 Dec-16 2368 Dec-16 Mar-15 472 338 249 Dec-16 249 Dec-16 FY15Q4 Y Y Y Y 20 17 1627 1627 2733 060 5 5 - 0 - 0
Mars 2020 1 2106 Jul-20 2351 Jul-20 May-15 22727 Jul-20 24435 Jul-20 STMDHEOMD added Jun-16 1667 925 N N 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0 -2 10 2437 3147
MAVEN 2 Not Available 6382 Nov-13 6712 Nov-13 Oct-10 6382 6712 598 Nov-13 600 Nov-13 FY16Q1 N N 0 0 -7 -11 - 0 - 0
MMS 1 9104 Oct-14 9904 Oct-14 Nov-07 10026 Aug-14 10826 Mar-15 Jun-09 922 922 1121 Sep-15 1121 Sep-15 FY16Q2 N N 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025 11 4 1320 613
MOMA 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)MOMA-MS did not have a traditional path of formulation NASArsquos participation on the MOMAinstrument began as a result of a proposal to the Mars Scout 2006 and Mission of OpportunityAnnouncement of Opportunity that proposal was selected for technology development In 2010NASA determined that the original team would not be able to produce a flight instrument onschedule and within acceptable risk NASA decided to bring the instrument technology andflight system development in-house to increase the probability of success The MOMA-MStechnology development effort was assigned to the Goddard Space Flight Center in Fall 2010The Project is entering the typical Life Cycle Review (LCR) process after a tailored PreliminaryDesign Review (PDR) and Key Decision Point (KDP)-C Until the time of KDP-C no formalAgency-level gate reviews were held (lack of KDP-A and KDP-B)
91 Oct-15 101 Oct-15 Apr-14 91 101 904 Jul-18 1004 Jul-18 FY16Q2 N N 0 0 -1 -1 3347 3347
MSL 1 Not Available 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 1474 1613 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
MSLreg 1 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 23185 Oct-11 23943 Nov-11 Apr-10 8445 7813 25176 Nov-11 25304 Nov-11 FY15Q1 Y Y Y Y 36 48 2533 2637 4527 058 8 6 103 - 0
NICER 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- the mission was selected from an AO and the down select places the project in phase B This was originally below $75 M threshold and no KDP DM were generated to document the cost and schedule

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
624 Aug-16 684 Feb-17 Feb-14 624 684 684 Feb-17 67 Feb-17 KDP-D Jan-16 N N 0 0 9 -2 613 - 0
NISAR 2 7183 Dec-20 8083 Dec-20 Feb-15 7953 Dec-21 8669 Sep-22 Aug-16 77 586 N N 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117
NuSTAR 3 1052 Oct-11 1052 Oct-11 Feb-08 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 554 554 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
NuSTARreg 3 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 1606 Nov-11 1606 Feb-12 Aug-10 0 0 166 Jun-12 166 Jun-12 FY14Q4 Y N 0 0 307 103 1167 009 3 3 710 403
OCO-2 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild
3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 3259 3499 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
OCO-2reg 2 3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 4377 Jul-14 4677 Feb-15 Jan-13 1118 1178 4276 Jul-14 4276 Jul-14 FY16Q2 Y Y Y Y 26 34 1717 2433 2767 088 -2 -9 - 0 (717)
OCO-3 3 1014 Jul-16 1115 Oct-16 Aug-13 1108 Mar-18 1148 May-18 May-16 94 33 N N 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
ESD ORION 1 96425 Sep-21 102886 Mar-22 Jan-13 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 11673 9949 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 FY16Q2 N N 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041 0 00 - 0 - 0
OSIRIS Rex 1 1085 Oct-16 1210 Oct-16 Apr-13 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 -336 -886 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N -3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0
OSIRIS Rexreg 1 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 9959 Oct-16 10642 Oct-16 Mar-14 -555 -572 10014 Oct-16 10572 Oct-16 FY16Q2 Y N -6 -5 - 0 - 0 1053 - 0 1 -1 - 0 - 0
PSP 1 1233 Jul-18 1439 Jul-18 Jan-12 13932 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 Mar-14 1602 1144 13931 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 FY16Q2 N N 11 8 103 103 2670 004 -0 00 - 0 - 0
SAGE III 3 1042 Aug-14 1152 Aug-14 Feb-12 101 Aug-14 112 Aug-14 Jul-12 -32 -32 1265 Aug-16 133 Aug-16 FY16Q2 N N -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0 20 19 2437 2437
SGSS 2 5165 Dec-15 6275 Sep-17 Aug-12 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 3155 2351 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
SGSSreg 1 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 11959 Jul-19 12079 Sep-19 Jul-15 3639 3453 1216 Jul-19 1228 Sep-19 PPBE18 PMR Y Y Y Y 30 40 2840 2740 2777 099 2 2 - 0 - 0
ESD SLS 1 7653 Mar-17 8587 Apr-17 Aug-12 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 741 1108 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 FY16Q1 N N 9 13 917 1930 2433 079 0 00 - 0 - 0
SMAP 2 5845 May-15 7792 May-15 Jan-10 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 1373 1373 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
SMAPreg 2 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 8744 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 Sep-12 1526 0 8899 May-15 8899 May-15 FY16Q2 Y N 17 0 - 0 - 0 397 - 0 2 -3 707 203
SOC 2 372 Jan-15 396 Mar-16 Dec-11 3662 Jan-17 4359 Oct-18 Mar-13 -58 399 2892 Oct-18 3789 Oct-18 FY16Q2 N N -2 10 2437 3147 1610 195 -27 -13 2127 - 0
SOFIA 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)SOFIA was reformulated because it was cancelled in the 2007 Budget The program went through multiple reviews until 2010 There is a file APMC Oct 6 2010 SOFIA r3 which is the confirmation review Sharedrive path USIDKDP and Other Decision MemosProjectsSOFIA

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project
29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 29476 29551 Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned Replaned N N 0 0
SOFIA (Budget) 1 29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 11431 Feb-14 11506 Feb-14 not a KDP Apr-14 -18045 -18045 29048 Feb-14 29122 Feb-14 FY16Q2 Budget Reduction N -158 -61 - 0 - 0 139100 - 0
SWOT 2 647 Oct-20 757 Oct-20 Jun-14 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 May-16 579 -21 N N 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
TEMPO 3 1708 May-17 2178 Dec-17 Apr-14 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 Apr-15 101 0 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 FY16Q2 N N 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008 0 00 - 0 - 0
TESS 2 350 Sep-17 400 Sep-17 May-14 3424 Dec-17 3784 Jun-18 Oct-14 -76 -216 31976 Dec-17 3517 Jun-18 FY16Q2 N N -2 -5 303 910 510 178 -7 -7 - 0 - 0
Currently in B Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) Schedule change Ratio
CLARREO-PF B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C
DART KDP-C in July Mean 13 -13 55 28 1729 115
Europa Clipper 02045454545 Median 17 -06 21 00 17483 0862
GeoCarb Standard Deviation 84 68 88 87 10875 0863
IXPE Minimum -27 -13 00 -72 397 050
Lucy Maximum 20 19 335 335 4527 310
MAIA
PACE
Psyche Paste data from above to this table for analysis
Restore-L -27 -13 2127 - 0 1610 050
SOC Replan Breach notification made DM not yet final -7 -7 - 0 - 0 080
TROPICS -7 -11 - 0 - 0 817 060
XARM -5 -10 307 - 0 867 088
-2 -9 - 0 (717) 2767 310
-2 -8 717 717 086
-1 -3 - 0 (400) 510 058
-1 -9 207 (400) 800 099
-1 -1 3347 3347 2240 205
1 -1 - 0 - 0 397
1 -01 - 0 - 0
2 2 - 0 - 0 1053
2 2 407 1020
2 -3 707 203 2577
1 00 - 0 - 0 2777
4 00 - 0 - 0 1887
3 3 710 403 1167
4 -4 - 0 - 0 1983
4 4 207 (203)
5 5 - 0 - 0 1917
8 6 103 - 0 2733
9 -2 613 - 0 4527
11 4 1320 613 503
11 4 607 - 0
20 19 2437 2437
Timeline Total Programs 46
Begin End Cost data Note Replans have KDP B = previous KDP C for comaprison planned Total Replans 14
2010 Present Total LCC Percent Replans 30
KDP-B KDP-C PresentFinal Breach Totals Statistics (B to C) or (C to Replan) Statistics - PresentFinal
KDP-B (LowMA) KDP-B (HighABC) KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) (MA) (ABC) 72618 20 13 13 9 COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) COST Growth Schedule Growth (months)
DIR ProgramProject Nameregdenotes Replan Category Cost LRD Cost LRD Signature Date Cost LRD Cost LRD Notes Signature Date Delta B to C (MA) Delta B to C (ABC) Cost LRD Cost LRD Source Replan Breach (YN) Schedule Breach Cost Breach B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C Schedule change Ratio C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC) C to Present (MA) C to Present (ABC)
APD ASTRO-H 3 568 Aug-13 568 Aug-13 May-10 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 595 595 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 9 10 613 613 3450 018 21 34 2127 2530
APD ASTRO-Hreg 3 6275 Feb-14 6275 Feb-14 Mar-13 798 Nov-15 839 Mar-16 ABC +532 SEO option in Nov-13 1705 2115 74855 Feb-16 109271 Mar-16 FY17 Q1 Y Y Y Y 21 34 2127 2530 817 310 -7 30 307 - 0
ESD CYGNSS 3 1028 Oct-16 1728 Apr-17 Jul-13 1528 Oct-16 1812 May-17 Feb-14 50 84 159503 Dec-16 159503 Dec-16 FY18 Q3 N N 33 5 - 0 100 800 013 4 -12 203 (503)
JASD DSCOVR 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
928 Jan-15 Aug-13 0 928 928 Jan-15 94 Jan-15 KDP-E Jan-15 N N 0 0 0 1 - 0
x ESD ECOSTRESS 3 485 Aug-17 559 Aug-19 Apr-15 51043 Aug-17 55942 Aug-19 Dec-15 2543 0042 51043 Apr-18 52443 Aug-19 KDP-E May-18 N N 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0 0 0
HEO EGS 1 28119 Dec-17 31213 Mar-18 Feb-13 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 -1784 -3084 27418 Sep-18 28129 Nov-18 FY17 Q1 N N -7 -10 607 817 1923 042 4 00 307 - 0
HEO EGSreg 1 26335 Jun-18 28129 Nov-18 Sep-14 3145 Dec-19 3231 Jun-20 Dec-17 5115 4181 31446 Dec-19 31446 Dec-19 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 16 15 1827 1927 3957 049 -0 -27 - 0 (610)
x APD EUCLID 3 105 Dec-14 110 Dec-14 Jan-13 964 May-15 1014 May-16 ABC +44M for Science Center Sep-13 -86 -86 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -9 -8 503 1723 810 213 -1 -5 717 1117
APD EUCLIDreg 3 964 May-15 1454 May-16 Sep-13 179 Mar-17 190 Jun-18 Feb-16 826 446 206214 Mar-20 223452 Mar-20 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 46 31 2233 2537 2943 086 13 176 3653 2130
ESD GEDI 3 1208 May-18 1263 May-18 Aug-15 120774 Jun-18 126253 Mar-19 Jun-16 -0026 -0047 120774 Nov-18 123774 Mar-19 FY18 Q3 N N -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100 -7 -10 607 817
JASD GOES-R 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
108603 Oct-15 Apr-12 0 108603 10150 Nov-16 KDP-E Oct-16 N N 0 0 32 24 1013 1320
HPD GOLD 3 641 Dec-17 744 Dec-17 Feb-15 641 Oct-17 745 Apr-18 Mar-15 0 01 663 Feb-18 73 Apr-18 KDP-E Dec-17 N N 0 0 (203) 403 167 242 5 2 810 307
ESD GPM 2 Not Available 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 911 978 8936 Feb-14 9006 Feb-14 FY16 Q1 N N 0 0 -2 -8 717 717
ESD GPMreg 2 911 Jul-13 978 Jul-13 Dec-09 906 Feb-14 933 Jun-14 Oct-11 -5 -45 8834 Feb-14 8904 Feb-14 FY17 Q3 Y Y Y -1 -5 717 1117 2240 050 -3 -5 - 0 (400)
ESD GRACE-FO 2 404 Aug-17 460 Aug-17 Aug-12 4059 Aug-17 4319 Feb-18 Feb-14 19 -281 4059 May-18 4319 May-18 FY18 Q3 N N 0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032 0 00 910 297
ESD ICESat-2 2 686 Apr-16 776 Nov-16 Aug-11 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 -122 842 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -2 11 813 603 1687 036 10 0 203 - 0
ESD ICESat-2reg 1 6738 Dec-16 8602 May-17 Dec-12 9915 Oct-17 10635 Jun-18 May-14 3177 2033 10561 Sep-18 10636 Oct-18 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 32 24 1013 1320 1660 080 6 00 1117 407
HPD ICON 2 2177 Oct-16 2485 Jul-17 Jun-14 2294 Jun-17 2527 Oct-17 Oct-14 117 42 243 Jun-18 2527 Jun-18 FY18 Q3 N N 5 2 810 307 500 061 6 00 1217 810
PSD InSight 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight
6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 6266 6751 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0 ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE
PSD InSightreg 2 6266 Mar-16 6751 Mar-16 Mar-14 8189 May-18 8289 May-18 Sep-16 1923 1538 8138 May-18 8138 May-18 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y Y 23 23 2637 2637 3050 086 -1 -18 - 0 - 0
HPD IRIS 3 Not Available 1671 Dec-12 1802 Jun-13 Nov-10 1671 1802 1873 Jun-13 1873 Jun-13 FY16 Q1 N N 0 0 11 4 607 - 0
ESD Jason-3 3 158 Apr-14 166 Apr-14 Jul-11 1552 Mar-15 1552 Mar-15 Jan-13 -28 -108 1579 Jul-15 1579 Jan-16 KDP-E Sep-16 N N -2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059 2 2 407 1020
JASD JPSS-1 1 Not Available 1623 Mar-17 Aug-13 0 1623 16235 Mar-17 KDP-D Apr-15 N N 0 0 36 48 2533 2637
x PSD JUICE 3 1034 Sep-19 1185 Sep-19 Apr-16 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 Apr-17 11 85 1144 Sep-19 127 Sep-19 KDP-C Apr-17 N N 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
JWST JWST 1 3117 Aug-11 3117 Aug-11 Jul-03 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 1264 1847 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046 0 0
JWST JWSTreg 1 4381 Jun-13 4964 Jun-14 Aug-09 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 4044 3871 85104 Oct-18 88254 Oct-18 FY16 Q2 Y Y Y Y 48 78 6493 5277 2577 205 1 -01 - 0 - 0
JWST JWSTregreg 1 8425 Oct-18 8835 Oct-18 Sep-11 94889 Nov-20 96627 Mar-21 May-18 10639 8277 94889 Nov-20 96627 Mar-21 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 9 2940 8113 036
PSD LADEE 2 1843 May-12 200 May-12 Dec-09 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 516 629 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 22 31 1217 1830 1027 178 26 34 1717 2433
PSD LADEEreg 2 2359 May-13 2629 Nov-13 Oct-10 2619 Jul-13 2629 Nov-13 May-12 26 0 2738 Sep-13 2738 Sep-13 FY15 Q1 Y N 10 0 203 - 0 1917 - 0 4 4 207 (203)
x ESD Landsat 9 2 851 Dec-20 928 Nov-21 Aug-16 838531 Dec-20 885029 Nov-21 Dec-17 -12469 -42971 8385 Dec-20 885 Nov-21 FY18 Q3 N N -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
STMD LCRD 2 2394 Feb-17 May-13 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 Apr-17 2571 233 2571 Jun-19 2627 Nov-19 FY18 Q3 N N 0 9 3343 4770 070 -6 -5 - 0 - 0
ESD LDCMLandsat 8 2 710 Dec-12 800 Dec-12 Sep-09 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 140 142 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 16 18 - 0 607 707 086 -3 -3 - 0 - 0
ESD LDCMLandsat 8reg 2 850 Dec-12 942 Jun-13 Apr-10 8608 Dec-12 9416 Jun-13 Dec-10 108 -04 85006 Feb-13 85666 Feb-13 FY18 Q3 Y N 1 -0 - 0 - 0 867 - 0 -1 -9 207 (400)
STMD LDSD 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)a 71208 project

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)o Insight was an AO project selected in August 2012 (AO selection is equivalent of KDP B) Recently SMD has started documenting this with a KDP B but I donrsquot believe there is one for Insight

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)Started with a NASANOAA Interagency Agreement This was a the old GORE-Sat spacecraft that had been stored and was brought back and had additional NOAA instruments added and the USAF provided LV
1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 1896 203 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0 9 13 917 1930
STMD LDSDreg 3 1896 Aug-15 203 Aug-15 Dec-12 2368 Dec-16 2368 Dec-16 Mar-15 472 338 249 Dec-16 249 Dec-16 FY15 Q4 Y Y Y Y 20 17 1627 1627 2733 060 5 5 - 0 - 0
x PSD Mars 2020 1 2106 Jul-20 2351 Jul-20 May-15 22727 Jul-20 24435 Jul-20 STMDHEOMD added Jun-16 1667 925 23634 Jul-20 25304 Jul-20 FY18 Q3 N N 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0 -2 10 2437 3147
PSD MAVEN 2 Not Available 6382 Nov-13 6712 Nov-13 Oct-10 6382 6712 5753 Nov-13 5753 Nov-13 FY16 Q3 N N 0 0 -11 -14 - 0 - 0
HPD MMS 1 9104 Oct-14 9904 Oct-14 Nov-07 10026 Aug-14 10826 Mar-15 Jun-09 922 922 1098 Mar-15 1098 Mar-15 FY18 Q2 N N 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025 9 1 707 - 0
PSD MOMA 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)MOMA-MS did not have a traditional path of formulation NASArsquos participation on the MOMAinstrument began as a result of a proposal to the Mars Scout 2006 and Mission of OpportunityAnnouncement of Opportunity that proposal was selected for technology development In 2010NASA determined that the original team would not be able to produce a flight instrument onschedule and within acceptable risk NASA decided to bring the instrument technology andflight system development in-house to increase the probability of success The MOMA-MStechnology development effort was assigned to the Goddard Space Flight Center in Fall 2010The Project is entering the typical Life Cycle Review (LCR) process after a tailored PreliminaryDesign Review (PDR) and Key Decision Point (KDP)-C Until the time of KDP-C no formalAgency-level gate reviews were held (lack of KDP-A and KDP-B)
91 Oct-15 101 Oct-15 Apr-14 91 101 120243 Jul-20 128226 Jul-20 FY18 Q3 N N 0 0 24 27 5783 5783
PSD MSL 1 Not Available 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 1474 1613 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
PSD MSLreg 1 1474 Sep-09 1613 Sep-09 Aug-06 23185 Oct-11 23943 Nov-11 Apr-10 8445 7813 25176 Nov-11 25304 Nov-11 FY15 Q1 Y Y Y Y 36 48 2533 2637 4527 058 8 6 103 - 0
ESD NICER 3 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- the mission was selected from an AO and the down select places the project in phase B This was originally below $75 M threshold and no KDP DM were generated to document the cost and schedule

GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)This was a NOAA project and we werenrsquot getting all that information The SRR was in Nov 2009SDR June 2010 ndash but I believe those were done at the ldquoprogram seriesrdquo level (there are four GOES spacecraft being built)
624 Aug-16 684 Feb-17 Feb-14 624 684 694 Jun-17 706 Aug-17 KDP-E May-17 N N 0 0 10 3 1013 603
x ESD NISAR 2 7183 Dec-20 8083 Dec-20 Feb-15 7953 Dec-21 8669 Sep-22 Aug-16 77 586 7953 Dec-21 8969 Sep-22 FY18 Q3 N N 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117 0 00346060676 0 0
APD NuSTAR 3 1052 Oct-11 1052 Oct-11 Feb-08 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 554 554 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
APD NuSTARreg 3 1606 Aug-11 1606 Jan-12 Sep-09 1606 Nov-11 1606 Feb-12 Aug-10 0 0 115315 Jun-12 115315 Jun-12 FY15 Q1 Y N 0 0 307 103 1167 009 -39 -28 710 403
ESD OCO-2 2 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)No KDP-B documents are available- Authorized a tailored formulation period because this was a rebuild
3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 3259 3499 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
ESD OCO-2reg 2 3259 Feb-13 3499 Feb-13 Sep-10 4377 Jul-14 4677 Feb-15 Jan-13 1118 1178 4245 Jul-14 4245 Jul-14 FY17 Q1 Y Y Y Y 26 34 1717 2433 2767 088 -3 -9 - 0 (717)
x ESD OCO-3 3 1014 Jul-16 1115 Oct-16 Aug-13 1108 Mar-18 1148 May-18 May-16 94 33 113388 Mar-18 113388 May-18 FY18 Q3 N N 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
HEO Orion 1 96425 Sep-21 102886 Mar-22 Jan-13 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 11673 9949 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041 ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE ERRORVALUE
HEO Orionreg 1 108098 Aug-21 112835 Apr-23 Sep-15 116581 Jun-22 116581 Jun-22 Jun-18 8483 3746 116581 Jun-22 116581 Jun-22 FY18 Q3 Y N 7 3 1013 (1013) 3347 030 0 00 - 0 - 0
PSD OSIRIS Rex 1 1085 Oct-16 1210 Oct-16 Apr-13 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 -336 -886 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N -3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0
PSD OSIRIS Rexreg 1 10514 Oct-16 11214 Oct-16 May-13 9959 Oct-16 10642 Oct-16 Mar-14 -555 -572 9975 Sep-16 10532 Sep-16 FY18 Q3 Y N -6 -5 - 0 - 0 1053 - 0 0 -1 (100) (100)
HPD PSP 1 1233 Jul-18 1439 Jul-18 Jan-12 13932 Aug-18 15534 Aug-18 Mar-14 1602 1144 13821 Aug-18 15482 Aug-18 FY18 Q3 N N 11 8 103 103 2670 004 -1 -03 - 0 - 0
ESD SAGE III 3 1042 Aug-14 1152 Aug-14 Feb-12 101 Aug-14 112 Aug-14 Jul-12 -32 -32 129364 Feb-17 129364 Feb-17 FY18 Q3 N N -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0 22 16 3050 3050
HEO SGSS 2 5165 Dec-15 6275 Sep-17 Aug-12 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 3155 2351 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
HEO SGSSreg 1 832 Mar-17 8626 Jun-17 Apr-13 11959 Jul-19 12079 Sep-19 Jul-15 3639 3453 1251 Sep-19 1261284 Nov-19 Path Forward APMC Dec 2016 Y Y Y Y 30 40 2840 2740 2777 099 4 4 223 267
HEO SLS 1 7653 Mar-17 8587 Apr-17 Aug-12 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 741 1108 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 FY16 Q1 N N 9 13 917 1930 2433 079 0 00 - 0 - 0
HEO SLSreg 1 8394 Dec-17 9695 Nov-18 Aug-14 9734 Dec-19 9843 Jun-20 Dec-17 1340 148 98029 Dec-19 98029 Dec-19 FY18 Q3 Y Y Y 14 2 2433 1927 4060 047 1 -04
ESD SMAP 2 5845 May-15 7792 May-15 Jan-10 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 1373 1373 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
ESD SMAPreg 2 7218 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 May-12 8744 Oct-14 9165 Mar-15 Sep-12 1526 0 8899 Jan-15 8899 Jan-15 FY18 Q3 Y N 17 0 - 0 - 0 397 - 0 2 -3 307 (197)
HPD SOC 2 372 Jan-15 396 Mar-16 Dec-11 3662 Jan-17 4359 Oct-18 Mar-13 -58 399 3433 Feb-20 3866 Feb-20 FY18 Q3 N N -2 10 2437 3147 1610 195 -7 -11 3753 1627
APD SOFIA 1 Not Available
GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020) GIANNINI ROBERT L (HQ-IN020)SOFIA was reformulated because it was cancelled in the 2007 Budget The program went through multiple reviews until 2010 There is a file APMC Oct 6 2010 SOFIA r3 which is the confirmation review Sharedrive path USIDKDP and Other Decision MemosProjectsSOFIA
29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 29476 29551 Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned Replanned N N 0 0
APD SOFIAreg 1 29476 Feb-14 29551 Feb-14 11431 Feb-14 11506 Feb-14 not a KDP Apr-14 -18045 -18045 15874 Feb-14 15949 Feb-14 FY18 Q3 Y N -158 -61 - 0 - 0 139100 - 0
x ESD SWOT 2 647 Oct-20 757 Oct-20 Jun-14 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 May-16 579 -21 7049 Apr-21 7549 Apr-22 FY18 Q3 N N 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
ESD TEMPO 3 1708 May-17 2178 Dec-17 Apr-14 1809 Sep-17 2178 Nov-17 Apr-15 101 0 181242 Sep-17 197242 Nov-17 FY18 Q3 N N 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008 0 -94 - 0 - 0
APD TESS 2 350 Sep-17 400 Sep-17 May-14 3424 Dec-17 3784 Jun-18 Oct-14 -76 -216 3333 Apr-18 3333 Jun-18 FY18 Q3 N N -2 -5 303 910 510 178 -3 -12 403 - 0
Statistics COST Growth Schedule Growth (months) Duration (months) Schedule change Ratio
B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C (MA) B to C (ABC) B to C
Mean 90 88 50 81 1773 057
02045454545 Median 82 49 10 60 16233 0374
Standard Deviation 118 164 77 97 13962 0647
Minimum -7 -10 -71 -31 147 - 0 SPP
Maximum 38 59 244 345 7433 242 EUCLIDreg
GSDO
ICESat-2reg
Paste data from above to this table for analysis ORION
-7 -10 607 817 1923 042 SLS
-3 -7 - 0 - 0 147 - 0 TEMPO
-2 -7 1113 1113 1887 059
0 -6 - 0 613 1897 032
Total KDPs Within Cost Range of Prior KDP Total KDPs Within Schedule Range of Prior KDP -2 -5 303 910 510 178
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below -3 -3 - 0 - 0 503 - 0
MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 14 31 45 31 MALow at or below Preceding KDP Low 27 26 53 51 6 0 410 (100) 1217 008
ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 19 33 52 37 ABCHigh at or below Preceding KDP High 21 32 53 40 0 0 (203) 403 167 242
5 2 810 307 500 061
KDP-A to KDP-B Cost KDP-A to KDP-B Schedule 33 5 - 0 100 800 013
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 11 8 103 103 2670 004
KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 4 10 14 29 KDP-B Low at or below KDP-A Low 13 9 22 59 9 9 (203) 503 1983 025
KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 9 12 21 43 KDP-B High at or below KDP-A High 12 10 22 55 11 10 (103) 1320 3243 041
-2 10 2437 3147 1610 195
9 10 613 613 3450 018
KDP-B to KDP-C Cost KDP-B to KDP-C Schedule -2 11 813 603 1687 036
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 9 13 917 1930 2433 079
MA at or below KDP-B Low 10 21 31 32 MA at or below KDP-B Low 14 17 31 45 19 18 (707) (203) 2930 007
ABC at or below KDP-B High 10 21 31 32 ABC at or below KDP-B High 9 22 31 29 16 18 - 0 607 707 086
22 31 1217 1830 1027 178
38 37 1520 (307) 820 037
KDP-A to KDP-C Cost KDP-A to KDP-C Schedule 34 53 (203) 307 1927 016
Yes No Total Percent At or Below Yes No Total Percent At or Below 29 59 2233 3450 7433 046
MA at or below KDP-A Low 2 7 9 22 MA at or below KDP-A Low 5 12 17 29 added 5 0 - 0 - 0 813 - 0
ABC at or below KDP-A High 5 11 16 31 ABC at or below KDP-A High 3 14 17 18 added -0 -0 103 1013 1017 100
added 10 7 - 0 - 0 1217 - 0
added -1 -5 - 0 - 0 1623 - 0
added 7 4 - 0 - 0 1323 - 0
added 10 7 1217 2130 1823 117
KDP-C (MA) KDP-C (ABC) Replan (MA) Replan (ABC) KDP-C to Replan (MA) KDP-C to Replan (ABC) KDP-C (or Replan) to PresentFinal (MA) KDP-C (or Replan) to PresentFinal (ABC) added 8 3 2027 1923 3347 057
added 8 -0 607 1823 2333 078
Percentage of Project CostSchedule HighLow Estimates Within Prior KDP Range Estimates
B Estimate at or below A Estimate C Estimate at or below B Estimate C Estimate at or below A Estimate Total at or below Preceding KDP Estimate
Cost - High 43 32 31 37
Cost - Low 29 32 22 31
Schedule - High 55 29 18 40
Schedule - Low 59 45 29 51
Page 10: Cost and Schedule Insights - NASA
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Page 12: Cost and Schedule Insights - NASA
Page 13: Cost and Schedule Insights - NASA
Page 14: Cost and Schedule Insights - NASA
Page 15: Cost and Schedule Insights - NASA