corporate finance bonds, stocks, and capital allocation
TRANSCRIPT
Corporate Finance
Bonds, Stocks, and Capital Allocation
Overview
• The corporation– Ownership and Control– Limited Liability
• How does a corporation raise money?– Venture Capital– Stocks– Bonds
• Textbook topics– Weighted Average Cost of Capital, MARR and wealth of
the firm– Other capital allocation issues
(linear programming)
So you have this great idea…
• Computer matching service for ships and cargo
• Rocket Sled
• New gambling device
• (soon to be) Famous web site
• ?
Forms of Business• Sole proprietor 1 person business; assets and debts of the business are the debts of the
owner (proprietor). No protection from losses/liabilities.• Partnership
Several partners own the business and its cash flows. No protection from losses/liabilities.
• Limited PartnershipSeveral partners own a business and its cash flows. Losses are limited to the initial investment.
• Limited Company (or Corporation)Shareholders own the business in proportion to their shares. The shareholders elect a board of directors to manage the business. Losses are limited to the price of shares. The board of directors choose how much of the company profits to redistribute to shareholders, and how much to keep for future investment.
Example Corporation
ShareholdersTrade shares
Stock market
Vote to Appoint
Board of Directors
Officers
CEO (President), VP, Treasurer, Secretary
Appoint
Hire
Employees
Dividends
($$$)
Annual report
Issue more shares
Advantages of Corporations• Independent existence
– The corporation has an existence independent of its founder, shareholders, managers, or employees.
– It is treated like a person under the law, and can hold bank accounts, owe taxes, or be penalized for wrong doing.
• Tradable shares• Infinite life• Separation of ownership (shareholders) from
control (directors, officers, and employees)• Limited liability for owners (shareholders),
directors, and employees.– Can not lose more than they have invested.
Disadvantages of Corporations
• Paperwork and Regulatory costs• In some countries, the need to have annual
board of directors meetings in the country of registration
• Double taxation when profits are distributed as dividends to the share holders (in some countries)
• Added Bureaucracy in decision making
Profit of a Corporation
Taxable Profit = Revenues – Tax Deductible Costs
(Deductible Costs include labor, rent, lease of equipment, O&M for equipment, depreciation of purchased equipment, and interest on loans & bonds)
Net Profit = Taxable Profit * (1-t) t = tax rate (e.g. 15%; 40%)
Venture Capital 1011. Initial investors, called “Angels” are usually the
friends/family/associates of the entrepreneur.2. In high tech startups, the company may
participate in a “business incubator”. The entrepreneurs share facilities and advice with other startup companies.
3. Initial employees may work for stock options instead of cash. Stock options gives the right to buy the stock later at a low price. The employee takes a gamble to make a lot of money, or nothing. This practice saves the startup some costs when money is scarce. It can also allow them to lure top talent that they can not afford.
Venture Capital 1014. After proving the idea a bit, VC firms may be
interested in investing. This takes much begging and rejection. The VC firms will want to buy stock very cheap (a few cents/share), hoping to sell out at the IPO (Initial Public Offering of Shares)
5. After a few rounds of VC funding, and continued success, the startup may be “famous” and ready for an IPO.
6. At the IPO, the VCs often cash out first, while others (e.g., employees) may have to wait a while before being allowed to sell their options or shares.
7. After the IPO, success is still not assured. Over 80% of IPOs are bad investments and decline in value.
Venture Capital 1017. After the IPO, success is still not assured.
Over 80% of IPOs are bad investments and decline in value.
Equity (stock)
• Stock in a corporation is often called “equity”
• The term “equity” comes from the equation
Stockholders’ equity = Corp. Assets – Corp. Debts
• The book value of a share of stock =(stockholders’ equity / number of shares)
Valuing stock – PV of Dividends
• The stock price is usually determined in a market of voluntary buyers and sellers
• One early theory of stock valuation is that the price should equal the Present Worth (PW) of future dividends
• However, many famous companies (e.g. Microsoft) do not pay dividends.
Valuing stock – PW of future expected earnings
• Later theory assumed that except for tax issues, it should not affect stock price if a company distributes earnings as dividends or retains them for future investment.
• This theory would suggest that stock price is related to the PW of future expected earnings
Valuing stock – PW of future expected earnings
• EPS = corporate profit / number of shares
• P/E ratio = Stock price / EPS
Example via Yahoo Finance
P/E ratio is higher for high-tech growth companies than for established industrial companies. Why is this?
Valuing Stock – PW of future expected earnings
Exponential growth formula
Growth Rate=g = (Ak- Ak-1)/ Ak-1
“Convenience rate” icr=[(1+i)/(1+g)]-1=(1+i-1-g)/(1+g)=(i-g)/(1+g)
Special formula PV = A1(P/A, icr%,N)/(1+g)
Earnings/Share
2002 2003 2004 2005
Price of Stock = PRESENT VALUE
For an infinite time horizon, we’ll need (P/A, icr%,)=1/ icr%
PV= A1*(P/A, icr%,)/(1+f)
PV of earnings = EPS*( (1+g)/(i-g) )/(1+g) = EPS/(i-g)
Valuing Stock – PW of future expected earnings
If price of stock is related to present value of future expected earnings
and we see thatPV = EPS/(i-g)
Thenthe P/E ratio should be P/E = PV/EPS = 1/(i-g)
Where i = industry MARRg = earnings growth rate
THIS EXPLAINS WHY COMPANYS with an EXPECTATION of GROWING EARNINGS have a HIGHER P/E ratio
Valuing Stock – Risk, Diversification, and
Industry MARRRisk – individual stocks may go up or down due to individual
company results. Price = Expected PV no reward or penalty for “gambling”Diversification – “Do not put all your eggs in one basket.”
Imagine holding small shares of many different companies: some of the individual risks will cancel each other.
Systematic risk – Risks that do not cancel. National and global risks (unemployment, inflation). Disaster. War.
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) => Rates of return seems to be correlated with Systematic risk – NOT risk that can be diversified.
Bonds• Are a way for companies to borrow large amounts of money
– more than they could borrow from a single source• Allow the company to borrow at a fixed interest rate• Are traded in a market, called the bond market.• Can vary in value with the market’s attitude about the
company’s credit rating or ability to repay the debt.• Usually give the bondholders rights to control the company
if the debts are not repaid• Do not otherwise give the bondholder any rights to manage
the company or any additional profit beyond the terms of the bond
• (In the USA) interest is a tax deductible cost for the company. In contrast, dividends paid on stock do not generate any tax deductions.
Coupon rate vs. Yield
• The coupon rate is the interest rate payment set by the company. It is fixed. Usually the interest payment consists of 2 payments per year.
• The yield of a bond is the IRR of buying the bond at a price P determined by willing traders on the bond market. The price P varies with market forces.
Bond pricing formula
Relationship between bond market prices (P),Face value (F), coupon rate per period (r%),
number of periods until repayment (N), and bond yield per period (y%).
Bond market price P is the PW of future bond paymentsP = F * (P/F,y%,N) + (r% * F) * (P/A,y%,N)
Example: Kmart, Inc. Bond
This is the cash flow from buying a $1000 KMART 7.75% bond that matures in 12 years.
Repayment of
Face amount us$1000
The bond entitles the owner to payments of
7.75%*$1000/2 = $38.75 every 6 months
The 7.75% is known as the “coupon rate”.
23 interest payments of us$38.75
Bond Pricing: Kmart ExampleWe know that the bond market price for buying or
selling this bond today can be obtained from a Present Worth analysis.
P = F * (P/F,y%,N) + (r% * F) * (P/A,y%,N) In the case of the KMART bond,P= $1000 *(P/F,y%(/6mo),23)+
$38.75 * (P/A,y%(/6mo),23)Note: the yield is not the same as the coupon rate.
The yield and market price are linked by the formula above.
Annual Yield 6-mo Yield (P/A,y6%,23) (P/F,y6%,23) Bond Pricey12% y6% P/A*interest payments of $38.75 every 6 months
"+ P/F* $1000 repaymentsqrt(1+y12%)-1
5% 2.47% 17.38854453 0.570588561 $1,244.395.50% 2.71% 16.9448912 0.540252412 $1,196.876.00% 2.96% 16.51857021 0.511661276 $1,151.766.50% 3.20% 16.10875212 0.484707244 $1,108.927.00% 3.44% 15.71465293 0.459289542 $1,068.237.50% 3.68% 15.33553136 0.435314027 $1,029.578.00% 3.92% 14.97068627 0.412692724 $992.818.50% 4.16% 14.61945421 0.391343397 $957.859.00% 4.40% 14.28120722 0.37118915 $924.599.50% 4.64% 13.95535066 0.352158057 $892.93
10.00% 4.88% 13.64132128 0.334182821 $862.7810.50% 5.12% 13.33858535 0.317200456 $834.0711.00% 5.36% 13.04663697 0.301151995 $806.7111.50% 5.59% 12.76499641 0.285982215 $780.63
From yahoo on 1/May/2001 the bond is priced at $896.875 per bond plus $7.75 accrued interest (interest from 1/4 to 1/5)for a total price in the market of $904.63
The YIELD-TO-MATURITY is the IRR of purchasing this bond.we can see from the above chart that the IRR would be between 9 and 9.5% in terms of annual yield
Yahoo gave the yield as 9.229%
Kmart Bond Price as function of yield
Weighted Average Capital CostWhat?
A Measure of overall capital costs.Includes effect of taxation.
Why? WACC can be a guide for setting MARR.When a firm chooses a project with IRR>WACC, the
project will earn a profit after paying the interest and returns expected by shareholders. The firm will become wealthier.
If a firm sets MARR=WACC, then it will tend to choose profitable projects that reflect the firm’s access to capital.
How? See next slides for an example.
WACC Example: Part 1Lucky Holdings Limited, Hong Kong
Capital Rate of return
Bank Loans $5 000 000 6% (interest)
Bonds $10 000 000 8% (interest)
Stock $30 000 000 12% (historical returns on stock)
Retained Earnings $ 5 000 000 Same as stock 12%
TOTAL CAPITAL $50 000 000
What is the WACC? It is the average cost of capital, weighted by the amounts of capital, and adjusted for taxes.
WACC Example: Part 2Lucky Holdings Limited, Hong KongInterest is a tax deduction, the HK tax rate is 15%
=> HK government pays 15% of our interest!
Capital Rate of return After-tax Adjusted Cost
Bank Loans $5 000 000 6% (interest) 6%*0.85 = 5.1%
Bonds $10 000 000 8% (interest) 8%*0.85= 6.8%
Stock $30 000 000 12% (historical returns on stock)
12%
Retained Earnings $ 5 000 000 Same as stock 12% 12%
TOTAL CAPITAL $50 000 000 WACC(next slide)
WACC Example: Part 3Lucky Holdings Limited, Hong KongWACC is the weighted average of the after-tax adjusted cost
of capital. The weights are the capital amounts.
Capital After-tax Adjusted Cost
Bank Loans $5 000 000 6%*0.85 = 5.1%
Bonds $10 000 000 8%*0.85= 6.8%
Stock $30 000 000 12%
Retained Earnings $ 5 000 000 12%
TOTAL CAPITAL $50 000 000 10.27%
WACC=
{(5.1%)(5)+
(6.8%)(10)+
(12%)(30)+
(12%)(5)
}/50
=513.5%/50=
10.27%
Linear Programming and Capital Allocation
Let x[j]=1 if project j is selected, 0 if project j is not selected
PW of project j is PW[j]
Initial capital requirements for project j are K[j]
Max PW = j PW[j]*x[j]
With respect to constraints
j K[j]*x[j] <= Starting Capital
(and other constraints, which can be added here)Example of additional constraint: projects 3 and 4 need the same land, can not choose both…. => This constraint can be written as x[3]+x[4]<=1
Review• The corporation
– Separation of Ownership and Control and Limited Liability are needed to help convince others to invest
• How does a corporation raise money?– Venture Capital – Stocks– Bonds
• Textbook topics– Weighted Average Cost of Capital, MARR and wealth
of the firm– Other capital allocation issues
(linear programming)