GENDER  EQUALITY  AND  MITIGATION:  COP21  IMPLICATIONS  FOR  IMPLEMENTING  MITIGATION  ACTIVITIES  WEBINAR,  FRIDAY,  FEBRUARY  5,  2016  

 

COP  21,  INDCs  and  Future  Implementation  Tools  

Alexander  Ochs  Senior  Director  Climate  &  

Energy,  Worldwatch  

COP  21    |  a  historical  milestone?  |  all  the  right  goals,  all  aboard,  all  in  the  box  |  a  framework  for  future  action  

INDCs    |  what  they  are  |  what’s  in  them  |  where  they  get  us  

IMPLEMENTATION  TOOLS  |  indcs,  leds,  namas  |  sectoral  strategies,  roadmaps  &  implementation  plans  |  toolkits  for  strategy  design  and  implementation  

 

OVERVIEW  

2/17  

COP  21    |  a  historical  milestone?  |  all  the  right  goals,  all  aboard,  all  in  the  box  |  a  framework  for  future  action  

 

3/17  

HISTORICAL  MILESTONE  

31-­‐pages  agreement  •  All  the  right  goals  •  All  aboard  •  All  in  the  box  

A  framework  for  action  

•  Now  or  never  -­‐  action  is  needed  

 4/17  

UNFCCC:  EVOLVING  CLIMATE  REGIME  •  Paris  the  latest  step  in  the  UN  Climate  Change  

Regime  originating  in  1992  –  Prevent  dangerous  climate  change  

•  1997  Kyoto  Protocol—”top-­‐down”  approach,  established  highly  differentiated  responsibilities  

•  2009  Copenhagen  Accord  &  2010  Cancun  Agreement—Parallel  “bottom-­‐up”  approach  

•  Durban  COP17  and  Warsaw  COP19—Legal  Protocol  and  INDCs  

 5/17  

ALL  THE  RIGHT  GOALS  

6/17  

•  Based  on  science  •  Prevent  dangerous  future  limiting  global  temperature  increase  

“well  below”  2°C,    with  an  eye  toward  1.5  °C  •  Peaking  as  soon  as  possible  •  Regular  reviews  of  science  informing  process;  e.g.  IPCC  to  deliver  

report  by  2018  scenarios  for  how  to  reach  1.5 °C  

•  Targeting  economic,  social,  environmental  sustainability  •  Equitable  access  to  sustainable  development,  eradication  of  

poverty,    •  Empowerment  of  women,  intergenerational  equity  •  Conservation  of  ecosystems  &  biodiversity  

 

ALL  ABOARD  

7/17  

•  Representing  consensus  of  all  196  parties  present  at  the  Conference  

•  Common  but  differentiated  responsibilities  and  respective  capabilities  

•  Wealthy  nations  to  take  lead  

•  Developing/emerging  countries  to  decarbonize  economic  growth  

•  Support  for  least  developed  countries  

•  Legally  binding  and  non-­‐mandatory  components  

 

 

 

ALL  IN  THE  BOX  

8/17  

•  Mitigation  –  reduces  emissions  fast  enough  to  achieve  temperature  goal  

•  Adaptation  –  strengthens  ability  of  countries  to  deal  with  climate  impacts  •  Loss  and  damage  –  strengthens  ability  to  recover  from  cc  impacts  

•  Support  –  includes  financial  &  technical  assistance  to  build  clean,  resilient  futures  

•  Transparency  &  accountability  –  MRV  of  climate  action  

 

 

INDCs:  intended  nationally  determined                  contributions    

|  what  they  are  |  what’s  in  them  |  where  they  get  us  

9/17  

INDCS  |  WHAT  THEY  ARE  

•  Climate  change  actions  a  national  government  intends  to  undertake  to  deal  with  climate  change  

•  Collected  and  submitted  to  the  UNFCCC  prior  to  COP21  in  a  manner  that  “facilitates  the  clarity,  transparency,  and  understanding  of  the  intended  contributions”  (COP20)  

•  Allow  tracking  of  collective  progress  towards  2C  goal  •  Future  plans  must    not  be  less  ambitious  •  Next  round  due  9-­‐12  month  prior  to  2020  COP  (contributions  for    

timeframe  to  2030)  

 10/17  

INDCS  |  WHAT  ‘S  IN  THEM  

•  Tremendous  variety  allowed  in  INDCs  •  Types  include:  absolute  economy-­‐wide  emissions  target,  

deviation  from  a  BAU  scenario,  intensity  target,  or  a  set  of  general  policies  and  actions.  

VARIED  GOAL  METRICS  •  Chile:  Unconditional  INDC  target  of  30%  reduction  of  GHG  

emissions-­‐intensity  per  unit  GDP  below  2007  levels  by  2030.    •  Bhutan:  Aims  to  maintain  GHG  emissions  below  its  total  

carbon  sink  from  land  use,  land  use  change,  and  forestry    •  Turkey:  Economy-­‐wide  target  to  reduce  emissions  by  21%  

below  BAU  in  2030  

11/17  

INDCS  |  WHERE  THEY  GET  US  

•  Submitted  pledges  account  for  94%  of  global  emissions  •  If  all  158  pledging  states  meet  their  target:  2.7C  

temperature  increase  by  2100  (Climate  Action  Tracker)  •  0.9C  lower  than  what  was  projected  from  policies  pre-­‐

INDCs  •  More  ambitious  action  needed  

•  Gap  from  target  can  be  reduced  by  increased  effort  from  countries  with  “conditional  targets”  

•  Co-­‐benefits  can  offset  costs  of  stronger  action  

12/17  

Implementation  Tools  |  indcs,  leds,  namas  |  sectoral  strategies,  roadmaps  |  toolkits  

 

13/17  

INDCS,  NAMAS,  LEDS  

LEDS  Transportation  Toolkit  

14/17  

WORLDW  

SECTORAL  STRATEGIES:  SUSTAINABLE  ENERGY  ROADMAPS  

15/17  

•  Collection  of  leading  instruments  and  methodologies  for  LEDS  in  the  energy  sector  

•  Quick  reference  guide  for  well  established  tools  available  at  low  or  no  cost  

TOOLKITS    

16/17  

THANK  YOU!  

Contact:  aochs@worldwatch.org      Worldwatch  Institute:  http://www.worldwatch.org/      LEDS  Energy  Working  Group:  http://en.openei.org/wiki/LEDSGP/sector/energy      

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