consumer snapshot - july 2016
TRANSCRIPT
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July 2016
Consumer Snapshot
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sentiment strategy
Disclaimer: Prosper Business Development and its affiliated companies (“Prosper”) make no warranties, either expressed or implied, concerning: data gathered or obtained from any source; the present or future methodology employed in producing the statistics; or the data and estimates represent only the opinion of Prosper and reliance thereon and use thereof shall be at the user’s own risk.
July 2016
shopper outlook
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sentiment consumer sentiment
in the wake of the Brexit vote and subsequent stock market drop, sentiment declines more
than 10% from June to a current 41.1% feeling confident/very confident in the economy
very confident/confident in chances for a strong economy {adults 18+}
Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics
July’s reading represents a 13 month low (previous: Feb-16, 42.0%) and falls below the
average for the same period (45.0%)
45.2%
41.1%
36%
38%
40%
42%
44%
46%
48%
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sentiment very confident/confident in chances for a strong economy {adults 18+}
Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics
historical perspective this month’s reading represents a nearly 7 point decline from pre-recession Jul-07 (47.8%), falling
more in line with Jul-13 and Jul-14
historically, Jul-16 is the first y/y decline since recession-riddled Jul-11 – following the same
pattern we saw in June
consumer sentiment in the wake of the Brexit vote and subsequent
stock market drop, sentiment declines more than 10% from June to a current 41.1% feeling
confident/very confident in the economy July’s reading represents a 13 month low
(previous: Feb-16, 42.0%) and falls below the average for the same period (45.0%)
47.8
%
45.2
%
41.1
%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
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strategy practicality & focus on needs {adults 18+}
practical purchases with confidence falling from June, practicality
when spending rises m/m
focus on needs likewise, shoppers’ focus on just what they need
also increases from June
Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics
in July, 38.7% indicate that they’ve become more practical with purchasing, up more than a
point from June and resting higher than the 13 month average (37.4%)
42.9% indicate they are zeroing in on just what they need when at the store, in line with the 13
month average (42.6%)
40.8% 38.7%
46.6% 42.9%
30%32%34%36%38%40%42%44%46%48%
I have become more practical and realistic in mypurchasesI focus more on what I NEED rather than what I WANT
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economic rebound will the economy rebound? {adults 18+}
Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics
economic outlook: uncertainty despite the decline in confidence y/y,
consumers maintain their optimism regarding the overall economic outlook
those unsure about the economy’s future direction increase y/y, while pessimists decline
those 44 and under are the most positive about an eventual rebound, while consumers
45+ (and approaching retirement) express more uncertainty
35.3%
27.0%
37.7%
15%
20%
25%
30%
35%
40%
45%
50%
Jul-09 Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 Jul-15 Jul-16
Yes No Not sure
in Jul-16, one out of three (35.3%) were positive about a post-recession economic
rebound, even from a year ago (34.8%)
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the wealth effect which of the following statements best suits your feelings? {adults 18+}
Source: Prosper Insights & Analytics
the number of consumers who feel “less” wealthy compared to a year ago rises slightly, while just
under one in five assert they feel “more” wealthy
financial footing: stalled
economic outlook: uncertainty despite the decline in confidence y/y,
consumers maintain their optimism regarding the overall economic outlook
those unsure about the economy’s future direction increase y/y, while pessimists decline
those 44 and under are the most positive about an eventual rebound, while consumers
45+ (and approaching retirement) express more uncertainty
in Jul-16, one out of three (35.3%) were positive about a post-recession economic
rebound, even from a year ago (34.8%)
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
Jul-09 Jul-10 Jul-11 Jul-12 Jul-13 Jul-14 Jul-15 Jul-16
I feel more wealthy than I did last year at this timeI feel I have the same wealth as I did last year at this timeI feel less wealthy than I did last year at this time
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Pam Goodfellow Consumer Insights Director
Prosper Insights & Analytics™ [email protected] ProsperDiscovery.com
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