connected device market: embrace the chaos
TRANSCRIPT
TBR
T EC H N O LO G Y B U S I N ES S R ES EAR C H , I N C .
Technology Business Research Webinar Series
July 20, 2015
Connected Devices Markets: Embrace the Chaos
TBR
TBR Webinar Series | 7.20.15 | www.tbri.com | ©2015 Technology Business Research Inc.
Connected Devices Markets: Embrace the Chaos
What is the opportunity in connected devices?
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TBR Webinar Series | 7.20.15 | www.tbri.com | ©2015 Technology Business Research Inc.
Connected Devices Markets: Embrace the Chaos — Presenters
Jack Narcotta
Analyst
IoT and Devices
Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @JackN_TBR
Ezra Gottheil
Principal Analyst
IoT and Devices
Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @egottheil
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TBR
TBR Webinar Series | 7.20.15 | www.tbri.com | ©2015 Technology Business Research Inc.
Connected device markets will be chaotic, requiring vendors’ strategies to be fluid and dynamic
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Connected device definition
•Wearables, set-side boxes, modules
•The Internet of Things (IoT)
Impact on total addressable market
What are we waiting for?
New device strategies
Obstacles and disruptors
Connected devices: IoT and expectations
Gauging opportunities for success
•Evaluating consequences of delays
Connected Devices Markets: Embrace the Chaos
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TBR Webinar Series | 7.20.15 | www.tbri.com | ©2015 Technology Business Research Inc.
Connected Devices Markets: Embrace the Chaos
How will connected devices supplement the devices market?
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Smartphones
Declining ... but more slowly
Tablets
Market shrinking, where is the breakthrough?
PCs
Productivity workhorse Windows 10: helper or hindrance?
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What are connected device users waiting for?
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• Leaders, especially those other than Apple
• Use cases
• Services surrounding the device
• Usability
• Integration among devices
• Broad availability
Connected Devices Markets: Embrace the Chaos
Connected Devices
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What are vendor companies doing?
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Exploring new routes to market
•Same market, new angle
Evaluating partnerships
•Few vendors can go it alone.
•Alliances are the new normal.
Defining strategies
•Amplifying strengths
•Willingness to embrace risk
Connected Devices Markets: Embrace the Chaos
TBR
TBR Webinar Series | 7.20.15 | www.tbri.com | ©2015 Technology Business Research Inc.
What are the obstacles?
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•Niche use cases
•Technology supply greater than demand
•What is the killer app?
Connected Devices Markets: Embrace the Chaos
CONNECTED DEVICES
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What companies are disruptors, and why will they be successful?
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New routes to market
•APAC’s consumer market
o Coolpad, Micromax
o Lenovo, Xiaomi
•Xiaomi: Zero to global No. 2 in six months, trailing only Fitbit
Customer loyalty
•Connected device attach rates
•TBR estimates Apple Watch at ~10%
Retail scale
Proven brand and technology
Connected Devices Markets: Embrace the Chaos
TBR
TBR Webinar Series | 7.20.15 | www.tbri.com | ©2015 Technology Business Research Inc.
Connected devices will impact commercial markets
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Evolution into IoT
Commercial markets fuel:
•Standards development
•Reference architectures
•Management
oServices
oSecurity
•Analytics
oSoftware
Opportunities to cross into consumer markets
•Partnerships and alliances
Connected Devices Markets: Embrace the Chaos
TBR
TBR Webinar Series | 7.20.15 | www.tbri.com | ©2015 Technology Business Research Inc.
Consumers drive connected device innovation while commercial organizations fuel adoption
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Consumers’ expectations:
•Budgeting to purchase up to $300
•Some devices are connected today ...
expect all devices will be connected
Integration of connected devices requires commercial solutions:
•Extend value of devices, services.
•Predictive analytics optimizes behavior.
•Allow for automation and greater control.
•Monetize by creating new business models.
Connected Devices Markets: Embrace the Chaos
TBR
TBR Webinar Series | 7.20.15 | www.tbri.com | ©2015 Technology Business Research Inc.
An upcoming $74B opportunity will be divided among only the few vendors that execute properly
Connected Devices Markets: Embrace the Chaos
Connected devices create a substantial new pool of revenue.
•New market growth driver
Winning strategies will anticipate, not react.
•Take cues from Xiaomi, Lenovo, Micromax and Coolpad.
First-mover advantages are important.
•You cannot win if you do not play.
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TBR
TBR Webinar Series | 7.20.15 | www.tbri.com | ©2015 Technology Business Research Inc.
The road ahead, without connected devices, is primed for a long period of decline
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Mac PCs outperform global PC market
•Mac revenue up 1.7% year-to-year
Windows down 10.6% year-to-year
Strong growth in Chrome
•But from a small revenue base
The iPhone is a juggernaut.
Android: A race to the bottom?
•Revenue down 11.4% year-to-year
Windows Phone on life support
Connected Devices Markets: Embrace the Chaos
$29.6B
$5.6B
$642M $1B
$37.6B
$45.7B Windows
OS X
Windows Chrome
iOS
Android
1Q15 Revenue
Revenue totals indicate sum of revenue of devices powered by stated platform and manufactured and/or sold by vendors included in TBR’s Devices and Platforms Benchmark.
TBR
TBR Webinar Series | 7.20.15 | www.tbri.com | ©2015 Technology Business Research Inc.
Connected Devices Markets: Embrace the Chaos — Contact Information
Questions?
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James McIlroy Vice President of Sales Email: [email protected] Telephone: 603.929.1166
Twitter: @TBRinc SlideShare: www.slideshare.net/TBR_Market_Insight YouTube: www.youtube.com/user/TBRIChannel LinkedIn: www.linkedin.com/company/technology-business-research
Jack Narcotta
Analyst
IoT and Devices
Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @JackN_TBR
Ezra Gottheil
Principal Analyst
IoT and Devices
Email: [email protected]
Twitter: @egottheil
TBR
TBR Webinar Series | 7.20.15 | www.tbri.com | ©2015 Technology Business Research Inc.
PC Vendors
Handset Vendors
Tablet Vendors
The Devices and Platforms Benchmark provides ongoing coverage of connected device, PC, tablet and smartphone vendors and their strategies
Benchmarked Device Vendors
• Acer • Amazon • Apple • Asus • BlackBerry • Dell • Fujitsu • HP • HTC
• Huawei • Lenovo • LG • Microsoft • Panasonic • Samsung • Sony • Toshiba • ZTE
Nonbenchmarked Influencers
• Coolpad • Google • Intel • Micromax • Xiaomi
• AMD • ARM • Broadcom • NVIDIA • Qualcomm
TBR ranks and scores the top brand-name device companies by device segment financial metrics and chronicles interactions with key ecosystem partners that influence the devices business
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Content Ecosystem
Connected Devices Markets: Embrace the Chaos
TBR
TBR Webinar Series | 7.20.15 | www.tbri.com | ©2015 Technology Business Research Inc.
Devices Syndicated Research Coverage
Devices and Platforms Benchmark Vendors (Benchmark XLS data is also available)
Devices Reports
• Acer • Amazon • Apple • Asus • BlackBerry • Dell • Fujitsu • HP • HTC • Huawei • Lenovo
• LG • Microsoft • Panasonic • Samsung • Sony • Toshiba • ZTE
• Acer* • Apple • Asus* • Dell • Fujitsu • Google • HP
• Intel • Lenovo • Microsoft • Samsung*
Corporate IT Buying Behavior & Customer Satisfaction Studies
Market Forecasts (Market Forecasts XLS data is also available)
• Desktops • Notebooks • Services & Support
• Devices and Platforms Market Forecast**
TBR Devices Syndicated Coverage
*Semiannual publication **Annual publication
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