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Conflict over Cougars A Window on Scientific Management David Mattson USGS Southwest Biological Science Center

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Page 1: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Conflict over CougarsA Window on

Scientific Management

David MattsonUSGS Southwest Biological Science Center

Page 2: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Living with Cougars in the Flagstaff Uplands

Size of cougar kills…

Page 3: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Trends

Page 4: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Circa 1500

Page 5: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Circa 1500Circa 1950

Page 6: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Circa 1500Circa 1950Circa present

Page 7: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Changes in management

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Page 8: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Persistence of goals1980-present

DominionisticUtilitarian

EcologisticScientific

Naturalistic“Heritage”

Provision of sport-huntingDepredation controlHuman safety

Page 9: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Flagstaff

Tucson

Phoenix

Page 10: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:
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Page 13: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:
Page 14: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Known sites of cougar predation

Page 15: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

The “Normal” Regime of Rule-Making & Implementation

Page 16: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:
Page 17: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

9 month seasonNo area limitsUntil recently, no limit on type of animalHunter reports kill within 10 days

1 lion/resident/year, with some exceptions

Page 18: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Monitoring the lion population & managing the harvest

$10$13

Page 19: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Monitoring the lion population & managing the harvest

$10$13

Page 20: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

A Regime Shift

Page 21: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:
Page 22: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

“Incidents”

Mt Elden – Flagstaff2001-2002

Sabino Canyon - Tucson2004

Page 23: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

“Opening the door to public input only gives voice to the animal rights nuts who will never be satisfied with less than a complete no kill policy.”

“The governor is mightily displeased.”

“Incidents”

Page 24: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

A Regime Shift

Existential anxiety

Publicdiscontent

Incivility

Some symptoms

Page 25: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Great difficulty identifying & securing the “common interest”

A Regime ShiftSome symptoms

Page 26: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Problem orientationDecision process(Psycho-) Social process

Kellert’s schematic of worldviews

An Analysis

Page 27: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

World Views(Kellert 1996, Ruther 2005)

Negativistic

Humanistic/Moralistic

Aesthetic/Naturalistic

Utilitarian/Dominionistic

Ecologistic/Scientistic

Page 28: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

The Dominionistic/Utilitarian Subsystem

The Ingroup

Page 29: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Hunters

Hunters

Wildlife watchers

Page 30: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Hunters

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Page 31: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

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Page 32: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Hunters

AGFD

Outfitters

Page 33: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Agency wealth

Page 34: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Agency ‘governance’Commission

Veteran of game management agencies

Boone & Crocket records;North American bighorn sheep Grand Slam

Yuma Rod & Gun ClubSafari Club International

Safari Club International

Set policyHire/fire the Director

Page 35: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Agency culture

Page 36: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Agency plans

Page 37: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Agency plans

Page 38: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Agency plans

Page 39: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

The Dominionistic/UtilitarianSubsystem

Legitimacy and wealth are largely generated within the subsystem through provision of the “wildlife product.”

Page 40: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

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MODELS OF GOVERNANCE & MANAGEMENT

…through provision of the wildlife product.

Page 41: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

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“Let Arizona Game & Fish manage wildlife, using scientific and statistical methods, rather than having to be concerned about the public, political, and media reaction.”

“No commissioner should ever have to bow to the wishes of emotional masses when science proves them wrong…politics should never interfere in their decisions.”

“Problems” are of a technical & biophysical nature to be defined and

solved by the experts (i.e., AZGF)

MODELS OF GOVERNANCE & MANAGEMENT

Page 42: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Virtually no concept of governance related to liberal democracy & civility.

Essentially no way to conceptualize “management” as fundamentally about

identifying & securing common interests.

Page 43: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

A Dynamic Environment

Page 44: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

World Views(Kellert 1996)

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Page 46: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Organizational Involvement Club attendance

Trust Philanthropy

Social Capital & Public Trust

Capacity for Civility

Page 47: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Social Capital & Public Trust

Capacity for Civility

Page 48: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Social Capital & Public Trust

Capacity for Civility

r = 0.63

Attentiveness of goals to emerging values

Page 49: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Social Capital & Public Trust

Capacity for Civility

Potential for conflict over state wildlife management

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Page 50: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Social Capital & Public Trust

Capacity for Civility

1

3

3

2

1

1

Potential for conflict over state wildlife management

Page 51: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

The OutgroupAnimal Rights &

Animal Welfare Activists

Page 52: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

The Outgroup

Animal Rights &Animal Welfare Activists

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Page 53: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Animal Rights & Animal Welfare Activists

Page 54: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Animal Rights & Animal Welfare Activists

AN

IMA

L R

IGH

TS

OTH

ER

Page 55: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Animal Rights & Animal Welfare Activists

“…a religious fervor…”

Page 56: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Animal Rights & Animal Welfare Activists

“…a religious fervor…”RECTITUDE

Page 57: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Animal Rights & Animal Welfare Activists

1978 1995

Page 58: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Animal Rights & Animal Welfare Activists

Percent of AZ residents who did not know who manages AZ wildlife

Page 59: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Animal Rights & Animal Welfare Activists

Foci of articles in the Flagstaff, AZ, Daily Sunduring “normal” periods, 1999-2005

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Perturbations(continued)

Page 62: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Mt Elden – Flagstaff2001-2002

Sabino Canyon - Tucson2004

Perturbations

Page 63: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Perturbations

Tucson Daily Star

Sabino Canyon

Flagstaff Daily Sun

Sabino CanyonMt Elden

Page 64: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Perturbations

Foci of articles in the Flagstaff, AZ, Daily Sunduring “normal” periods, 1999-2005Foci of articles in the Flagstaff, AZ, Daily Sunduring perturbations, 1999-2005

Page 65: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Perturbations

“The governor is mightily displeased.”

Page 66: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

PerturbationsAZGF defends its legitimacy…

…who said AGFD was doing a good job.

…who knew AGFD managed Arizona’s wildlife.

Page 67: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

“The Problem”Discourse content

AZGF is over-reacting, not being responsive or creative, & is serving the special interests of hunters.

People are irresponsible, for example by having dogs off leash; unbridled development is also a problem.

Cougars are a threat to human safety

Page 68: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

“The Problem”Discourse content

AZGF is over-reacting, not being responsive or creative, & is serving the special interests of hunters.

People are irresponsible, for example by having dogs off leash; unbridled development is also a problem.

BLAME: AZ Game & FishINTENT: Intentional

BLAME: The Public; developers,recreationists

INTENT: Intentional & Inadvertent

Cougars are a threat to human safetyBLAME: CougarsINTENT: Intentional & Inadvertent

Page 69: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

“The Problem”Discourse content

AZGF is over-reacting, not being responsive or creative, & is serving the special interests of hunters.

People are irresponsible, for example by having dogs off leash; unbridled development is also a problem.

BLAME: AZ Game & FishINTENT: Intentional

BLAME: The Public; developers,recreationists

INTENT: Intentional & Inadvertent

Cougars are a threat to human safetyBLAME: CougarsINTENT: Intentional & Inadvertent

PSYCHO-SOCIAL

BIOPHYSICAL

POLICY, “normal” & constitutive

Page 70: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

“The Solution”Discourse content

Close conflict areas, educate, enforce leash laws, do research, and make people responsible for their actions.

Kill the threatening cougar, kill more cougars in general, & educate the public.

Page 71: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

“The Solution”Discourse content

Close conflict areas, educate, enforce leash laws, do research, and make people responsible for their actions.

Kill the threatening cougar, kill more cougars in general, & educate the public.

Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish

Responsibility: PERSONAL, USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish

Authority: AZ Game & FishResponsibility: AZ Game & Fish,

Hunters

Page 72: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

“The Solution”Discourse content

Close conflict areas, educate, enforce leash laws, do research, and make people responsible for their actions.

Kill the threatening cougar, kill more cougars in general, & educate the public.

Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish

Responsibility: PERSONAL, USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish

Authority: AZ Game & FishResponsibility: AZ Game & Fish,

Hunters

MODIFY PEOPLE’S BEHAVIORthru formal & informal policy

KILL ANIMALS

Page 73: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

“The Solution”?

Page 74: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Learning(& Change)?

Page 75: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Learning(& Change)?

Workshops to develop a standard protocol for

responding to “incidents.”

(Stabilize expectations)

Page 76: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Learning(& Change)?

?

Page 77: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Learning(& Change)?

Legislation ?

Page 78: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Learning(& Change)?

Change in hunting regulations & development

of a management plan

(Stabilize expectations & increase legitimacy)

Page 79: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Learning(& Change)?

INVOKED THE NORMS OF OTHER STATE GAME & FISH

AGENCIES

Page 80: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Learning(& Change)?

Modal Value Profile of Game & Fish Employees

SKILLRESPECTPOWER

Page 81: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Learning(& Change)?

● Stop all cougar hunting

● Stop hunting females

● Stop using hounds

● Curtail the hunting season

● Require inspection of kills

● Require closure of hunt inGMUs meeting quota

● Prepare & implementmanagement plan

● Revise & justify cougardensity estimates

No

effe

ct o

n ha

rves

t

● Stop all cougar hunting

● Stop hunting females

● Stop using hounds

● Revise & justify cougardensity estimates

Demands by Animal Rights Activists

Page 82: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

I Demands by Animal Right! Activist!

! Symbolic rather ..; -=-I than substantive )

Designed to 1

conform state with broader norms

Page 83: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Alternatives?Substantive reorientation toward civility and liberal democracy will require:

Restructured funding to represent a broader spectrum of stakeholders.

Rules for Commission composition that insure broader stakeholder representation.

Change in agency culture to engender democratic & civil ideals of governance.

Change in societal norms & expectations...?

Page 84: Conflict over Cougars - MIT OpenCourseWare · 2021. 1. 23. · cougars in general, & educate the public. Authority: USFS, State & County governments, AZ Game & Fish Responsibility:

Alternatives?

Develop parallel institutions of wildlife management…

involving a broad spectrum of stakeholders…

dealing with concrete rather than symbolic issues.

Nearer term: